Assuntos
Inundações , 34661 , Modelos Logísticos , Modelos Organizacionais , Planejamento em DesastresRESUMO
Planning for local community disaster is compounded with erroneus assumptions. Six problematic models are identified: agent facts, big accident, end of the world, media, command and control, administrative. Problematic assumptions in each of them are identified. A more adequate model centered on problem solving is identified. The there is a discrepancy between disaster planning efforts and the actual response experience seems rather universal. That discrepancy is symbolozed by the graffiti which predictably surfaces on many walls in post disaster locations -- "First the earthquake, then the disaster". That contradiction is seldom reduced as a result of post disaster critiques, since the most usual conclusion is that the plan was adequate but the "people" did not follow it. Another explanation will be provided here. A more plausible explanation for failure is that most planning efforts adopt a number of erroneous assumptions which affect the autcome. Those assumptions are infrequently changed or modified by experience (AU)
