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1.
Brain Behav ; 14(4): e3478, 2024 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38622897

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: Examine the link between pediatric traumatic brain injury (pTBI) and early-onset multiple sclerosis in Finland. METHODS: Conducted nationwide register study (1998-2018) with 28,750 pTBI patients (< 18) and 38,399 pediatric references with extremity fractures. Multiple sclerosis diagnoses from Finnish Social Insurance Institution. Employed Kaplan-Meier and multivariable Cox regression for probability assessment, results presented with 95% CI. RESULTS: Of 66 post-traumatic multiple sclerosis cases, 30 (0.10%) had pTBI, and 36 (0.09%) were in the reference group. Cumulative incidence rates (CIR) in the first 10 years were 46.5 per 100,000 (pTBI) and 33.1 per 100,000 (reference). Hazard ratio (HR) for pTBI was 1.10 (95% CI: 0.56-1.48).Stratified by gender, women's CIR was 197.9 per 100,000 (pTBI) and 167.0 per 100,000 (reference) after 15 years. For men, CIR was 44.6 per 100,000 (pTBI) and 34.7 per 100,000 (reference). In the initial 3 years, HR for female pTBI was 1.75 (95% CI: 0.05-6.32), and between years 3 and 20, it was 1.08 (95% CI: 0.51-1.67). For male patients, HR was 1.74 (95% CI: 0.69-4.39). SIGNIFICANCE: We did not find evidence of an association between pTBI and early-onset multiple sclerosis 20 years post-initial trauma.


Assuntos
Lesões Encefálicas Traumáticas , Esclerose Múltipla , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Criança , Estudos de Coortes , Finlândia/epidemiologia , Esclerose Múltipla/epidemiologia , Lesões Encefálicas Traumáticas/epidemiologia , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais
2.
BMC Psychiatry ; 24(1): 284, 2024 Apr 16.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38627723

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Prior studies have reported a potential relationship between depressive disorder (DD), immune function, and inflammatory response. Some studies have also confirmed the correlation between immune and inflammatory responses and Bell's palsy. Considering that the pathophysiology of these two diseases has several similarities, this study investigates if DD raises the risk of developing Bell's palsy. METHODS: This nationwide propensity score-weighting cohort study utilized Taiwan National Health Insurance data. 44,198 patients with DD were identified as the DD cohort and 1,433,650 adult subjects without DD were identified as the comparison cohort. The inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) strategy was used to balance the differences of covariates between two groups. The 5-year incidence of Bell's palsy was evaluated using the Cox proportional-hazard model, presenting results in terms of hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). RESULTS: The average age of DD patients was 48.3 ± 17.3 years, and 61.86% were female. After propensity score-weighting strategy, no significant demographic differences emerged between the DD and comparison cohort. The Cox proportional hazards model revealed a statistically significant adjusted IPTW-HR of 1.315 (95% CI: 1.168-1.481) for Bell's palsy in DD patients compared to comparison subjects. Further independent factors for Bell's palsy in this model were age (IPTW-HR: 1.012, 95% CI: 1.010-1.013, p < 0.0001), sex (IPTW-HR: 0.909, 95% CI: 0.869-0.952, p < 0.0001), hypertension (IPTW-HR: 1.268, 95% CI: 1.186-1.355, p < 0.0001), hyperlipidemia (IPTW-HR: 1.084, 95% CI: 1.001-1.173, p = 0.047), and diabetes (IPTW-HR: 1.513, 95% CI: 1.398-1.637, p < 0.0001) CONCLUSION: This Study confirmed that individuals with DD face an elevated risk of developing Bell's palsy. These findings hold significant implications for both clinicians and researchers, shedding light on the potential interplay between mental health and the risk of certain physical health outcomes.


Assuntos
Paralisia de Bell , Transtorno Depressivo , Adulto , Humanos , Feminino , Masculino , Paralisia de Bell/epidemiologia , Paralisia de Bell/etiologia , Paralisia de Bell/psicologia , Pontuação de Propensão , Estudos de Coortes , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais
3.
BMC Geriatr ; 24(1): 340, 2024 Apr 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38622572

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Geriatric hip fractures are associated with a high incidence of mortality. This study examines the predictive value of the systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) on one-year mortality in elderly hip fracture patients. METHODS: A single-center retrospective study was conducted between February 2017 and October 2020. Three hundred and eleven surgically treated consecutive hip fracture patients were included in the study. Admission, postoperative first day, and postoperative fifth-day SII values were calculated. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to calculate the cut-off values, and patients were divided into high and low groups according to these cut-off values. After univariate Cox regression analysis, significant factors were included in the multivariate Cox proportional hazards model to adjust the effect of covariates and explore independent predictive factors associated with mortality. Further subgroup analysis was performed to evaluate the accuracy of the results for different clinical and biological characteristics. RESULTS: The mean age was 80.7 ± 8.0 years, and women made up the majority (67.8%) of the patients. The one-year mortality rate was 28.0%. After univariate and multivariate analyses, high postoperative fifth-day SII remained an independent predictor of one-year mortality (adjusted HR 2.16, 95% CI 1.38-3.38, p = 0.001). Older age, male gender, Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) ≥ 2, and hypoalbuminemia were found to be other independent predictors. The optimal cut-off value of the postoperative fifth-day SII was calculated at 1751.9 units (p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: The postoperative fifth-day SII is a simple and useful inflammatory biomarker for predicting one-year mortality in patients with hip fracture.


Assuntos
Fraturas do Quadril , Inflamação , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Estudos Retrospectivos , Inflamação/diagnóstico , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Biomarcadores , Fraturas do Quadril/diagnóstico , Fraturas do Quadril/cirurgia , Prognóstico
4.
Cancer Control ; 31: 10732748241246958, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38623948

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: Identify predictors of overall survival (OS) after hypopharyngeal/laryngeal cancer in Florida. MATERIAL AND METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study using data from the Florida Cancer Data System (FCDS) on patients diagnosed with hypopharyngeal or laryngeal cancer from 2010-2017. Primary outcome was OS. Hazard ratios (HRs) were estimated from univariable and multivariable Cox regression models for OS. Data was analyzed from November 1, 2022, to June 30, 2023. RESULTS: We analyzed 6771 patients, who were primarily male (81.2%), White non-Hispanic (WNH) (78.2%), publicly insured (70.1%), married (51.8%), and residents of urban counties (73.6%). Black patients were more likely to be younger at diagnosis (38.9%), single (43.4%), to have distant SEER stage disease (25.6%). Median OS were lowest among patients who were uninsured (34 months), with hypopharyngeal site disease (18 months), and a smoking history (current: 34 months, former: 46 months, no smoking: 63 months). Multivariable Cox regression analysis showed worse OS for single/unmarried vs married (HR 1.47 [95%CI: 1.36-1.59], P < .001), history of tobacco use (current: HR 1.62 [95%CI: 1.440-1.817], P < .001; former smokers: (HR 1.28 [95%CI: 1.139-1.437], P < .001) vs no history). Improved OS was observed among White Hispanics (WH) vs WNH (HR .73 [95%CI: .655-.817], P < .001) and women vs men (HR .88 [95%CI: .807-.954], P = .002). Geographical mapping showed that mortality rates were highest in census tracts with low income and education. CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest that sociodemographic and clinical factors impact OS from hypopharyngeal/laryngeal cancer in Florida and vary geographically within the state. These results will help guide future public health interventions.


Assuntos
Neoplasias Laríngeas , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Florida/epidemiologia , Estudos Retrospectivos , Etnicidade , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais
5.
Nat Commun ; 15(1): 3042, 2024 Apr 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38589358

RESUMO

The development of an effective survival prediction tool is key for reducing colorectal cancer mortality. Here, we apply a three-stage study to devise a polygenic prognostic score (PPS) for stratifying colorectal cancer overall survival. Leveraging two cohorts of 3703 patients, we first perform a genome-wide survival association analysis to develop eight candidate PPSs. Further using an independent cohort with 470 patients, we identify the 287 variants-derived PPS (i.e., PPS287) achieving an optimal prediction performance [hazard ratio (HR) per SD = 1.99, P = 1.76 × 10-8], accompanied by additional tests in two external cohorts, with HRs per SD of 1.90 (P = 3.21 × 10-14; 543 patients) and 1.80 (P = 1.11 × 10-9; 713 patients). Notably, the detrimental impact of pathologic characteristics and genetic risk could be attenuated by a healthy lifestyle, yielding a 7.62% improvement in the 5-year overall survival rate. Therefore, our findings demonstrate the integrated contribution of pathologic characteristics, germline variants, and lifestyle exposure to the prognosis of colorectal cancer patients.


Assuntos
Neoplasias Colorretais , Humanos , Neoplasias Colorretais/patologia , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Taxa de Sobrevida , Fatores de Risco , Estilo de Vida
6.
BMC Med Res Methodol ; 24(1): 86, 2024 Apr 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38589783

RESUMO

Prostate cancer is the most common cancer after non-melanoma skin cancer and the second leading cause of cancer deaths in US men. Its incidence and mortality rates vary substantially across geographical regions and over time, with large disparities by race, geographic regions (i.e., Appalachia), among others. The widely used Cox proportional hazards model is usually not applicable in such scenarios owing to the violation of the proportional hazards assumption. In this paper, we fit Bayesian accelerated failure time models for the analysis of prostate cancer survival and take dependent spatial structures and temporal information into account by incorporating random effects with multivariate conditional autoregressive priors. In particular, we relax the proportional hazards assumption, consider flexible frailty structures in space and time, and also explore strategies for handling the temporal variable. The parameter estimation and inference are based on a Monte Carlo Markov chain technique under a Bayesian framework. The deviance information criterion is used to check goodness of fit and to select the best candidate model. Extensive simulations are performed to examine and compare the performances of models in different contexts. Finally, we illustrate our approach by using the 2004-2014 Pennsylvania Prostate Cancer Registry data to explore spatial-temporal heterogeneity in overall survival and identify significant risk factors.


Assuntos
Modelos Estatísticos , Neoplasias da Próstata , Masculino , Humanos , Teorema de Bayes , Dados de Saúde Coletados Rotineiramente , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Cadeias de Markov
8.
Acta Oncol ; 63: 146-153, 2024 Apr 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38591350

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: In the Nordic countries, universal healthcare access has been effective in reducing socioeconomic disparities in non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) management. However, other factors, such as proximity to healthcare facilities, may still affect access to care. This study aimed at investigating the influence of residential area on NSCLC survival. METHODS: This population-based study utilized hospital records to identify NSCLC patients who underwent their initial treatment at Vaasa Central Hospital between January 1, 2016, and December 31, 2020. Patients were categorized based on their postal codes into urban areas (≤50 km from the hospital) and rural areas (>50 km from the hospital). Survival rates between these two groups were compared using Cox regression analysis. RESULTS: A total of 321 patients were included in the study. Patients residing in rural areas (n = 104) exhibited poorer 12-month survival rates compared to their urban counterparts (n = 217) (unadjusted Hazard Ratio [HR]: 1.38; 95% Confidence Interval [CI]: 1.01-1.89; p = 0.042). After adjusting for factors such as performance status, frailty, and stage at diagnosis in a multivariate Cox regression model, the adjusted HR increased to 1.47 (95% CI: 1.07-2.01; p = 0.017) for patients living in rural areas compared to those in urban areas. INTERPRETATION: The study findings indicate that the distance to the hospital is associated with increased lung cancer mortality. This suggests that geographical proximity may play a crucial role in the disparities observed in NSCLC survival rates. Addressing these disparities should involve strategies aimed at improving healthcare accessibility, particularly for patients residing in rural areas, to enhance NSCLC outcomes and reduce mortality.


Assuntos
Carcinoma Pulmonar de Células não Pequenas , Neoplasias Pulmonares , Humanos , Carcinoma Pulmonar de Células não Pequenas/terapia , Neoplasias Pulmonares/terapia , Pulmão , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Taxa de Sobrevida , Disparidades em Assistência à Saúde
9.
Sci Rep ; 14(1): 8005, 2024 04 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38580695

RESUMO

The association between high blood pressure and fracture showed obvious discrepancies and were mostly between hypertension with future fracture, but rarely between fracture and incident hypertension. The present study aims to investigate the associations of hypertension with future fracture, and fracture with incident hypertension. We included adult participants from the China Health and Nutrition Survey (CHNS) prospective cohort in 1997-2015 (N = 10,227), 2000-2015 (N = 10,547), 2004-2015 (N = 10,909), and 2006-2015 (N = 11,121) (baseline in 1997, 2000, 2004, 2006 respectively and outcome in 2015). Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs. In the analysis of the association between hypertension and future fracture, the adjusted HRs (95% CIs) were 1.34 (0.95-1.90) in 1997-2015, 1.40 (1.04-1.88) in 2000-2015, 1.32 (0.98-1.78) in 2004-2015, and 1.38 (1.01-1.88) in 2006-2015. In the analysis of the association between fracture and incident hypertension, the adjusted HRs (95% CIs) were 1.28 (0.96-1.72) in 1997-2015, 1.18 (0.94-1.49) in 2000-2015, 1.12 (0.89-1.40) in 2004-2015, and 1.09 (0.85-1.38) in 2006-2015. The present study showed that hypertension history was associated with increased risk of future fracture, but not vice versa.


Assuntos
Fraturas Ósseas , Hipertensão , Adulto , Humanos , Estudos Prospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Inquéritos Epidemiológicos , Pressão Sanguínea , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais
10.
J Gastrointest Surg ; 28(4): 559-565, 2024 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38583910

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Biliary tract cancer (BTC) is an invasive adenocarcinoma affecting the hepatobiliary system, but high recurrence rates highlight the need for more effective adjuvant approaches. The modified Glasgow prognostic score (mGPS) has been explored as an independent prognostic indicator in patients with BTC. However, consensus on its prognostic value is lacking. This meta-analysis aimed to comprehensively assess the association between mGPS and diverse clinical outcomes in BTC by systematically analyzing relevant studies. METHODS: A systematic search approach was used to look for eligible papers published until June 2023 in PubMed, Web of Science, and Embase, with a focus on overall survival (OS) and disease-free/recurrence-free survival (DFS/RFS). The prognostic potential of mGPS was assessed using hazard ratios (HRs) with corresponding 95% CIs. RESULTS: A total of 15 papers comprising 2447 patients were included in this meta-analysis. The results demonstrated that, in patients with BTC, the high mGPS was associated with poorer OS (HR=1.49, 95% CI=1.35-1.65, P<0.001) and DFS/RFS (HR=3.23, 95%CI=1.98-5.26, P=0.193). CONCLUSION: According to this meta-analysis, our study found that high mGPS was associated with poorer OS and DFS/RFS in patients with BTC.


Assuntos
Neoplasias do Sistema Biliar , Humanos , Prognóstico , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais
11.
BMC Cardiovasc Disord ; 24(1): 194, 2024 Apr 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38580951

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: High-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) is shown to be an independent protective factor against coronary artery diseases (CAD). Yet there are limited studies focusing on the association between HDL-C and coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery outcomes. HYPOTHESIS: Low levels of HDL-C are associated with higher incidence of adverse outcomes in patients undergoing CABG. METHODS: This registry-based study included 17,772 patients who underwent elective isolated CABG between 2007 and 2017. Patients were classified into low and desirable HDL-C groups based on their serum HDL-C levels at admission and were followed for one-year post-surgery. The study population included 13,321 patients with low HDL-C and 4,451 with desirable HDL-C. proportional hazard Cox models were performed to evaluate the association between HDL-C levels and incidence of mortality as well as major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCE), while adjusting for potential confounders. Moreover, participants were stratified based on sex and the association was also investigated in each subgroup separately. RESULTS: No significant difference was found between the groups regarding incidence of both mortality and MACCE, after adjusting with Inverse Probability Weighting (IPW) [HR (95%CI): 0.84 (0.46-1.53), p-value:0.575 and HR (95% CI): 0.91 (0.56-1.50), p-value:0.733, respectively]. According to the sex-based subgroup analysis, no significant association was observed after adjustment with IPW analysis. However, as we examined the association between the interaction of HDL-C levels, sex and cardiovascular outcomes, we found a significant association (HR;1.19 (95%CI: 1.04-1.45); p = 0.030). CONCLUSION: HDL-C level was not associated with either mortality or MACCE during one year after CABG procedure. Sex-based analysis showed that in males, HDL-C is significantly more protective against these outcomes, compared to females. Further studies are necessary to elucidate the exact mechanisms mediating such association.


Assuntos
Ponte de Artéria Coronária , Doença da Artéria Coronariana , Masculino , Feminino , Humanos , HDL-Colesterol , Ponte de Artéria Coronária/efeitos adversos , Doença da Artéria Coronariana/diagnóstico por imagem , Doença da Artéria Coronariana/cirurgia , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , LDL-Colesterol , Resultado do Tratamento , Fatores de Risco
12.
J Obstet Gynaecol ; 44(1): 2333784, 2024 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38602239

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Cervical cancer (CC) is the second most common malignancy in women, and identifying biomarkers of CC is crucial for prognosis prediction. Here, we investigated the expression of AF4/FMR2 Family Member 3 (AFF3) in CC and its association with clinicopathological features and prognosis. METHODS: Tumour and adjacent tissues, along with clinicopathological features and follow-up information, were collected from 78 patients. AFF3 expression was assessed using quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction and Western blotting. The correlation between AFF3 expression and CC symptoms was using chi-square test. The 5-year overall survival (OS) was analysed using the Kaplan-Meier method. The Univariate analysis of prognostic risk factors was conducted using the COX proportional hazards model, followed by multivariate COX regression analysis including variables with p < 0.01. RESULTS: AFF3 expression was downregulated in CC, and its levels were correlated with lymph node metastasis (LNM) and International Federation of Gynaecology and Obstetrics (FIGO) stage. Patients with low AFF3 expression had a lower 5-year OS rate (52.78%, 19/36). Postoperative survival was reduced in patients with histological grade 3 (G3), myometrial invasion (depth ≥ 1/2), lymphovascular space invasion, LNM, and advanced FIGO stage. Low expression of AFF3 (HR: 2.848, 95% CI: 1.144-7.090) and histological grade G3 (HR: 4.393, 95% CI: 1.663-11.607) were identified as independent prognostic risk factors in CC patients. CONCLUSION: Low expression of AFF3 and histological G3 are independent predictors of poor prognosis in CC patients, suggesting that AFF3 could serve as a potential biomarker for prognostic assessment in CC.


Cervical cancer is a significant health concern worldwide, responsible for over 300,000 deaths annually and ranking as the fourth most common cancer in women. Existing screening methods have limitations, highlighting the need for innovative therapies. In our research, we identified a specific genetic material that varied significantly among cervical cancer patients with varying survival outcomes, detected in tissue samples obtained post-surgery. Our study demonstrates the considerable potential of this marker for accurately predicting outcomes in our study population. By analysing differences in the expression of this genetic marker, we can forecast the prognosis and progression of cervical cancer. These findings offer valuable insights for advancing cervical cancer treatment strategies, potentially improving outcomes for patients. Early detection and targeted treatment based on this genetic marker could extend patients' lives and prevent fatalities by enabling timely medical intervention and management.


Assuntos
Neoplasias do Colo do Útero , Humanos , Feminino , Neoplasias do Colo do Útero/patologia , Estadiamento de Neoplasias , Prognóstico , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Reação em Cadeia da Polimerase em Tempo Real , Metástase Linfática , Proteínas Nucleares
13.
Ren Fail ; 46(1): 2338483, 2024 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38604948

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Previous study consistently showed that lower serum sodium (SNa) was associated with a greater risk of mortality in hemodialysis (HD) patients. However, few studies have focused on the change in SNa (ΔSNa = post-HD SNa - pre-HD SNa) during an HD session. METHODS: In a retrospective cohort of maintenance HD adults, all-cause mortality and cardio-cerebrovascular event (CCVE) were followed up for a medium of 82 months. Baseline pre-HD SNa and ΔSNa were collected; time-averaged pre-HD SNa and ΔSNa were computed as the mean values within 1-year, 2-year and 3-year intervals after enrollment. Cox proportional hazards models were used to evaluate the relationships of pre-HD and ΔSNa with outcomes. RESULTS: Time-averaged pre-HD SNa were associated with all-cause mortality (2-year pre-HD SNa: HR [95% CI] 0.86 [0.74-0.99], p = 0.042) and CCVE (3-year pre-HD SNa: HR [95% CI] 0.83 [0.72-0.96], p = 0.012) with full adjustment. Time-averaged ΔSNa also demonstrated an association with all-cause mortality (3-year ΔSNa: HR [95% CI] 1.26 [1.03-1.55], p = 0.026) as well as with CCVE (3-year ΔSNa: HR [95% CI] 1.51 [1.21-1.88], p = <0.001) when fully adjusted. Baseline pre-HD SNa and ΔSNa didn't exhibit association with both outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Lower time-averaged pre-HD SNa and higher time-averaged ΔSNa were associated with a greater risk of all-cause mortality and CCVE in HD patients.


Assuntos
Falência Renal Crônica , Sódio , Adulto , Humanos , Estudos Retrospectivos , Diálise Renal/efeitos adversos , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais
14.
Front Public Health ; 12: 1365943, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38560448

RESUMO

Introduction: Social isolation has been recognized as a contributing factor to negative health outcomes. Although living alone is associated with health-related outcomes, existing findings are inconsistent. It is not the act of living alone that may predict poor health, but rather social isolation that can lead to increased mortality risk. This study investigated the combined associations of social isolation and living alone with mortality among community-dwelling older adults. Methods: We included older adults from Itabashi ward, Tokyo, who participated in comprehensive health checkups. Participants were categorized into four groups based on their social isolation status and living alone. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality, analyzed using Cox proportional hazards models. Results: Of the 1,106 participants (mean age 73, 42% male), 4.5% experienced both social isolation and living alone. This combination was associated with a worse prognosis regarding all-cause mortality (hazard ratio (HR): 2.08 [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.08-4. 00]). Those who were socially isolated but not living alone also showed a trend towards higher mortality risk (HR: 1.41 [95% CI, 0.90-2.20]). Contrastingly, those who were not socially isolated and lived alone did not show an increased mortality risk (HR: 0.81 [95% CI, 0.44-1.49]). Discussion and conclusion: Living alone is not inherently associated with a poor prognosis in older adults; however, social isolation was associated with a higher mortality risk. Healthcare providers should focus on enhancing social interactions and support for older adults because of their effects on health rather than solely addressing living arrangements to prevent adverse health events.


Assuntos
Ambiente Domiciliar , Isolamento Social , Humanos , Masculino , Idoso , Feminino , Vida Independente , Características de Residência , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais
15.
Biometrics ; 80(2)2024 Mar 27.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38563532

RESUMO

Deep learning has continuously attained huge success in diverse fields, while its application to survival data analysis remains limited and deserves further exploration. For the analysis of current status data, a deep partially linear Cox model is proposed to circumvent the curse of dimensionality. Modeling flexibility is attained by using deep neural networks (DNNs) to accommodate nonlinear covariate effects and monotone splines to approximate the baseline cumulative hazard function. We establish the convergence rate of the proposed maximum likelihood estimators. Moreover, we derive that the finite-dimensional estimator for treatment covariate effects is $\sqrt{n}$-consistent, asymptotically normal, and attains semiparametric efficiency. Finally, we demonstrate the performance of our procedures through extensive simulation studies and application to real-world data on news popularity.


Assuntos
Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Funções Verossimilhança , Análise de Sobrevida , Simulação por Computador , Modelos Lineares
16.
Ann Med ; 56(1): 2338604, 2024 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38599340

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Circulating plasma cells (CPCs) are defined by the presence of peripheral blood clonal plasma cells, which would contribute to the progression and dissemination of multiple myeloma (MM). An increasing number of studies have demonstrated the predictive potential of CPCs in the past few years. Therefore, there is a growing need for an updated meta-analysis to identify the specific relationship between CPCs and the prognosis of MM based on the current research status. METHODS: The PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane Library databases were screened to determine eligible studies from inception to November 5, 2023. Publications that reported the prognostic value of CPCs in MM patients were included. Hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were extracted to pool the results. Subgroup analyses were performed based on region, sample size, cut-off value, detection time, initial treatment, and data type. The association between CPCs level and clinicopathological characteristics, including the International Staging System (ISS), Revised-ISS (R-ISS), and cytogenetic abnormalities were also evaluated. Statistical analyses were conducted using STATA 17.0 software. RESULTS: Twenty-two studies with a total of 5637 myeloma patients were enrolled in the current meta-analysis. The results indicated that myeloma patients with elevated CPCs were expected to have a poor OS (HR = 2.19, 95% CI: 1.81-2.66, p < 0.001) and PFS (HR = 2.45, 95% CI: 1.93-3.12, p < 0.001). Subgroup analyses did not alter the prognostic role of CPCs, regardless of region, sample size, cut-off value, detection time, initial treatment, or data type. Moreover, the increased CPCs were significantly related to advanced tumour stage (ISS III vs. ISS I-II: pooled OR = 2.89, 95% CI: 2.41-3.46, p < 0.001; R-ISS III vs. R-ISS I-II: pooled OR = 3.65, 95% CI: 2.43-5.50, p < 0.001) and high-risk cytogenetics (high-risk vs. standard-risk: OR = 2.22, 95% CI: 1.60-3.08, p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Our meta-analysis confirmed that the increased number of CPCs had a negative impact on the PFS and OS of MM patients. Therefore, CPCs could be a promising prognostic biomarker that helps with risk stratification and disease monitoring.


There is a growing need for an updated meta-analysis to identify the specific relationship between CPCs and the prognosis of MM based on the current research status.Our meta-analysis revealed that a high CPCs level was significantly associated with worse OS and PFS in MM patients.CPCs could be a promising predictive biomarker that helps with risk stratification and disease monitoring.


Assuntos
Mieloma Múltiplo , Humanos , Mieloma Múltiplo/diagnóstico , Mieloma Múltiplo/terapia , Plasmócitos/patologia , Prognóstico , Biomarcadores , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais
17.
PLoS One ; 19(4): e0292726, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38573879

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The long non-coding RNA cancer susceptibility candidate (CASC) has abnormal expression in lung cancer tissues and may correlate with lung cancer prognosis. This study aimed to comprehensively evaluate the association between CASC expression and the cancer prognosis. METHODS: PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, Google Scholar, Cochrane Library, and China National Knowledge Infrastructure databases were searched until April 1, 2023, to obtain the relevant literature. Studies that met the predefined eligibility criteria were included, and their quality was independently assessed by 2 investigators according to the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS) score. Detailed information was obtained, such as first author, year of publication, and number of patients. Hazard ratio (HR) with a 95% confidence interval (CI) was extracted and grouped to assess the relationship between CASC expression and cancer prognosis. The dichotomous data was merged and shown as the odds ratio (OR) with a 95% CI was extracted to assess the relationship between CASC expression and clinicopathological parameters. RESULTS: A total of 12 studies with 746 patients with lung cancer were included in the meta-analysis. The expression levels of lncRNA CASC2 and CASC7 were decreased, while those of CASC9, 11, 15, and 19 were induced in lung cancer tissues compared with paracancerous tissues. In the population with low CASC expression (CASC2 and CASC7), high CASC expression indicated a good lung cancer prognosis (HR = 0.469; 95% CI, 0.271-0.668). Conversely, in the population with high CASC expression (CASC9, 11, 15, and 19), high CASC expression predicted a poor lung cancer outcome (HR = 1.910; 95% CI, 1.628-2.192). High CASC expression also predicted worse disease-free survival (DFS) (HR = 2.803; 95% CI, 1.804-6.319). Combined OR with 95% CI revealed an insignificant positive association between high CASC expression and advanced TNM stage (OR = 1.061; 95% CI, 0.775-1.454), LNM (OR = 0.962; 95% CI, 0.724-1.277), tumor size (OR = 0.942; 95% CI, 0.667-1.330), and histological grade (OR = 1.022; 95% CI, 0.689-1.517). CONCLUSION: The CASC expression levels negatively correlate with lung cancer prognosis. Therefore, CASC expression may serve as a prognostic marker and a potential therapeutic target for lung cancer.


Assuntos
Neoplasias Pulmonares , Neoplasias , RNA Longo não Codificante , Humanos , Neoplasias Pulmonares/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Pulmonares/genética , Neoplasias/patologia , Prognóstico , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Intervalo Livre de Doença , RNA Longo não Codificante/genética , RNA Longo não Codificante/metabolismo , Biomarcadores Tumorais/genética
18.
BMC Neurol ; 24(1): 108, 2024 Apr 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38566012

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Effective interventions for Multiple Sclerosis require timely treatment optimization which usually involves switching disease modifying therapies. The patterns of prescription and the reasons for changing treatment in people with MS, especially in low prevalence populations, are unknown. OBJECTIVES: To describe the persistence, reasons of DMT switches and prescription patterns in a cohort of Colombian people with MS. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective observational study including patients with confirmed MS with at least one visit at our centre. We estimated the overall incidence rate of medication changes and assessed the persistence on medication with Kaplan-Meier survival estimates for individual medications and according to efficacy and mode of administration. The factors associated with changing medications were assessed using adjusted Cox proportional-hazards models. The reasons for switching medication changes were described, and the prescription patterns were assessed using network analysis, with measures of centrality. RESULTS: Seven hundred one patients with MS were included. Mean age was 44.3 years, and 67.9% were female. Mean disease duration was 11.3 years and 84.5% had relapsing MS at onset, with median EDSS of 1.0. Treatment was started in 659 (94%) of the patients after a mean of 3 years after MS symptom onset. Among them, 39.5% maintained their initial DMT, 29.9% experienced a single DMT change, while 18.7% went through two, and 11.9% had three or more DMT changes until the final follow-up. The total number of treatment modifications reached 720, resulting in an incidence rate of 1.09 (95% confidence interval: 1.01-1.17) per patient per year The median time to change after the first DMT was 3.75 years, and was not different according to the mode of administration or efficacy classification. The main reasons for changing DMT were MS activity (relapses, 56.7%; MRI activity, 18.6%), followed by non-serious adverse events (15.3%) and disability (11.1%). Younger age at MS onset, care under our centre and insurer status were the main determinants of treatment change. Network analysis showed that interferons and fingolimod were the most influential DMTs. CONCLUSIONS: A majority of patients switch medications, mostly due to disease activity, and in association with age and insurer status.


Assuntos
Esclerose Múltipla Recidivante-Remitente , Esclerose Múltipla , População da América do Sul , Humanos , Feminino , Adulto , Masculino , Esclerose Múltipla/tratamento farmacológico , Esclerose Múltipla/epidemiologia , Cloridrato de Fingolimode/uso terapêutico , Estudos Retrospectivos , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Esclerose Múltipla Recidivante-Remitente/tratamento farmacológico
19.
Ann Med ; 56(1): 2337729, 2024 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38569199

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Many studies have explored the value of the systemic inflammation response index (SIRI) in predicting the prognosis of patients with breast cancer (BC); however, their findings remain controversial. Consequently, we performed the present meta-analysis to accurately identify the role of SIRI in predicting BC prognosis. METHODS: PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, and Web of Science databases were comprehensively searched between their inception and February 10, 2024. The significance of SIRI in predicting overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) in BC patients was analyzed by calculating pooled hazard ratios (HRs) and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs). RESULTS: Eight articles involving 2,997 patients with BC were enrolled in the present study. According to our combined analysis, a higher SIRI was markedly associated with dismal OS (HR = 2.43, 95%CI = 1.42-4.15, p < 0.001) but not poor DFS (HR = 2.59, 95%CI = 0.81-8.24, p = 0.107) in patients with BC. Moreover, based on the pooled results, a high SIRI was significantly related to T3-T4 stage (OR = 1.73, 95%CI = 1.40-2.14, p < 0.001), N1-N3 stage (OR = 1.61, 95%CI = 1.37-1.91, p < 0.001), TNM stage III (OR = 1.63, 95%CI = 1.34-1.98, p < 0.001), and poor differentiation (OR = 1.25, 95%CI = 1.02-1.52, p = 0.028). CONCLUSION: According to our results, a high SIRI significantly predicted poor OS in patients with BC. Furthermore, elevated SIRI was also remarkably related to increased tumor size and later BC tumor stage. The SIRI can serve as a novel prognostic biomarker for patients with BC.


Based on our knowledge, this study is the first meta-analysis to explore value of SIRI in predicting BC prognosis.According to our results, a high SIRI significantly predicted the dismal OS in BC patients.SIRI can serve as the novel prognostic biomarker for BC patients.


Assuntos
Neoplasias da Mama , Humanos , Feminino , Prognóstico , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Intervalo Livre de Doença , Inflamação/patologia
20.
Turk Neurosurg ; 34(2): 216-223, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38497173

RESUMO

AIM: To identify the predictive factors associated with the survival of patients with a diagnosis of primary spinal cord lymphoma (PSCL). MATERIAL AND METHODS: The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database was used in this study, which involved 254 patients with PSCL. Data on the patients' age, sex, race, pathology, Ann Arbor stage, adjuvant therapy, and year of diagnosis were collected. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression models were conducted to detect the predictive variables. RESULTS: Of the 254 patients, 67 (26.4%) die from lymphoma at the time of data collection. Cancer-specific survival at 1, 3, and 5 years was 81.0%, 74.6%, and 74.1%, respectively. Diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBL) was the highest prevalent histotype (n=140, 55.1%). The multivariate Cox regression models revealed that chemotherapy (hazard ratio (HR): 0.47; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.16-0.82; p=0.040) and radiochemotherapy (HR: 0.43; 95% CI, 0.10-0.57; p=0.045) were independent predictors of favorable cancer-specific survival, whereas age - 80 years (HR: 6.51; 95% CI, 1.65-25.64; p=0.003) and DLBL (HR:1.71; 95% CI, 1.02-2.88; p=0.030) were independently associated with poor cancer-specific survival. CONCLUSION: The survival outcome of PSCL is favorable in the current treatment strategy. Chemotherapy and radiochemotherapy were predictors of favorable outcomes, whereas older age and DLBL were associated with poor prognosis.


Assuntos
Linfoma Difuso de Grandes Células B , Humanos , Prognóstico , Programa de SEER , Linfoma Difuso de Grandes Células B/tratamento farmacológico , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Medula Espinal/patologia
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