Exploring pre-MRI imaging tests: patient survey reveals potential implications for healthcare efficiency in Israel.

BACKGROUND: Medical imaging tests are vital in healthcare but can be costly, impacting national health expenditures. Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) is a crucial diagnostic tool for assessing medical conditions. However, the rising demand for MRI scans has frequently strained available resources. This study aimed to estimate the prevalence of different imaging tests in individuals who eventually had an MRI, in the Israeli public health system. METHODS: An online survey of patient experience of scheduling an MRI was conducted in January-February 2023, among 557 Israeli adults, representing all four health maintenance organizations (HMOs). All participants had undergone an MRI in the public health system within the past year. RESULTS: Results showed that 60% of participants underwent other imaging tests before their MRI scan. Of those, computed tomography (CT) scans (43%), X-rays (39%), and ultrasounds (32%) were the most common additional imaging procedures. In addition, of the 60% of participants, 23% had undergone more than one prior imaging examination. CONCLUSIONS: These findings highlight the high prevalence of preliminary imaging tests prior to MRI, with many patients undergoing multiple tests for the same problem. The health system may need to evaluate whether current clinical guidelines defining the use of various imaging tests are cost-effective.

"When everyone is responsible, no one takes responsibility": exploring pediatric physiotherapy services in Israel.

BACKGROUND: According to Israel's National Health Insurance Law (1994), the Ministry of Health is responsible for the provision of health services in the country including physiotherapy services; moreover, the Special Education Law (1988), stipulates that physiotherapy services for children with motor disabilities, as well as other allied health services, are provided by the Ministry of Education in educational settings. Thus, children with motor disabilities are entitled PT services under two different laws by two different ministries. METHOD: To describe the physiotherapy services for children with motor disabilities and examine how policymakers view these services, we conducted a qualitative study including in-depth semi-structured interviews with 10 policymakers from the Ministry of Health and the Ministry of Education, and the national directors of physiotherapy services from three of the four health maintenance organizations in Israel. RESULTS: Study results indicate that there is an array of physiotherapy services and providers. Despite the regulation of these services for children with motor disabilities, uncertainty and lack of knowledge were found about various issues. Therefore, the thematic analysis was structured around four descriptive questions: Where do the children receive physiotherapy? Who is eligible for physiotherapy treatment and who receives treatment? What interventions do children with motor disabilities receive? Who provides therapy for children with motor disabilities? CONCLUSIONS: Policymakers are dubious regarding the provision of these services, questioning whether children with motor disabilities receive physiotherapy services according to their needs. In addition, the abundance of suppliers does not necessarily improve the quality of services provided to children with motor disabilities, which may ultimately harm their developmental potential.

Preparation and synbiotic interaction mechanism of microcapsules of Bifidobacterium animalis F1-7 and human milk oligosaccharides (HMO).

Probiotics such as Bifidobacterium spp. generally possess important physiological functions. However, maintaining probiotic viability is a challenge during processing, storage, and digestive transit period. Microencapsulation is widely considered to be an attractive approach. In this study, B. animalis F1-7 microcapsules and B. animalis F1-7-HMO microcapsules were successfully prepared by emulsification/internal gelation with high encapsulation efficiency (90.67 % and 92.16 %, respectively). The current study revealed that HMO-supplemented microcapsules exhibited more stable lyophilized forms and thermal stability. Additionally, a significant improvement in probiotic cell viability was observed in such microcapsules during simulated gastrointestinal (GI) fluids or storage. We also showed that the individual HMO mixtures 6'-SL remarkably promoted the growth and acetate yield of B. animalis F1-7 for 48 h (p < 0.05). The synbiotic combination of 6'-SL with B. animalis F1-7 enhanced SCFAs production in vitro fecal fermentation, decreasing several harmful intestinal bacteria such as Dorea, Escherichia-Shigella, and Streptococcus while enriching the probiotic A. muciniphila. This study provides strong support for HMO or 6'-SL combined with B. animalis F1-7 as an innovative dietary ingredient to bring health benefits. The potential of the synbiotic microcapsules with this combination merits further exploration for future use in the food industry.

Longitudinal quantification of Bifidobacterium longum subsp. infantis reveals late colonization in the infant gut independent of maternal milk HMO composition.

Breast milk contains human milk oligosaccharides (HMOs) that cannot be digested by infants, yet nourish their developing gut microbiome. While Bifidobacterium are the best-known utilizers of individual HMOs, a longitudinal study examining the evolving microbial community at high-resolution coupled with mothers' milk HMO composition is lacking. Here, we developed a high-throughput method to quantify Bifidobacterium longum subsp. infantis (BL. infantis), a proficient HMO-utilizer, and applied it to a longitudinal cohort consisting of 21 mother-infant dyads. We observed substantial changes in the infant gut microbiome over the course of several months, while the HMO composition in mothers' milk remained relatively stable. Although Bifidobacterium species significantly influenced sample variation, no specific HMOs correlated with Bifidobacterium species abundance. Surprisingly, we found that BL. infantis colonization began late in the breastfeeding period both in our cohort and in other geographic locations, highlighting the importance of focusing on BL. infantis dynamics in the infant gut.

Measuring restrictiveness of Medicare Advantage networks: A claims-based approach.

OBJECTIVE: To develop and validate a measure of provider network restrictiveness in the Medicare Advantage (MA) population. DATA SOURCES: Prescription drug event data and beneficiary information for Part D enrollees from the Center for Medicare and Medicaid Services, along with prescriber identifiers; geographic variables from the Area Health Resources Files. STUDY DESIGN: A prediction model was used to predict the unique number of primary care providers that would have been seen by MA beneficiaries absent network restrictions. The model was trained and validated on Traditional Medicare (TM) beneficiaries. A pseudo-Poisson and a random forest model were evaluated. An observed-to-expected (O/E) ratio was calculated as the number of unique providers seen by MA beneficiaries divided by the number expected based the TM prediction model. Multivariable linear models were used to assess the relationship between network restrictiveness and plan and market factors. DATA COLLECTION/EXTRACTION METHODS: Prescription drug event data were obtained for a 20% random sample of beneficiaries enrolled in prescription drug coverage from 2011 to 2017. PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: Health Maintenance Organization plans were more restrictive (O/E = 55.5%; 95% CI 55.3%-55.7%) than Health Maintenance Organization-Point of Service plans (67.2%; 95% CI 66.7%-67.8%) or Preferred Provider Organization plans (74.7%; 95% CI 74.3%-75.1%), and rural areas had more restrictive networks (31.6%; 95% CI 29.0%-34.2%) than metropolitan areas (61.5%; 95% CI 61.3%-61.7%). Multivariable results confirmed these findings, and also indicated that increased provider supply was associated with less restrictive networks. CONCLUSIONS: We developed a means of estimating provider network restrictiveness in MA from claims data. Our results validate the approach, providing confidence for wider application (e.g., for other markets and specialties) and use for regulation.

Trends in Israeli community-based opioid prescribing, 2010-2020, an observational study of the country's largest HMO.

BACKGROUND: Prescription opioids are widely used for pain control and palliative care but have been associated with a variety of untoward effects, including opioid use disorder, addiction, and increased mortality. Patterns of opioid use in Israel are to date poorly described. METHODS: Using a community-based database, the authors performed a retrospective analysis of filled opioid prescriptions of Israeli HMO members 18 years of age or older during the years of 2010-2020 that filled at least one opioid prescription. Morphine milligram equivalent (MME) calculations were stratified by presence or absence of oncology diagnosis and by specific opioid medication. RESULTS: The percentage of HMO members who filled at least one opioid prescription increased every year from 2.1% in 2010 to 4.2% in 2020. There was an increase in the MME per prescription (44.2%), daily MME per capita (142.1%) and MME per prescription-filling patient (39%) from 2010 to 2020. Increased prescription opioid use is driven by a small group of non-oncological patients, which is less than 1.5% of opioid-prescribed patients and 0.1% of the adult population, primarily owing to fentanyl use. CONCLUSION: Supervision and control of opioid prescriptions in Israel should be a focused effort directed at patients prescribed uniquely high dosages rather than a population-wide strategy that focuses on all patients prescribed opioids. This should be complemented by improved physician training and access to non-opioid therapies, as well as improved data collection and analysis.

Kaiser Permanente's CMO: How AI Might Help Clinicians Address Patients' Social Risk Factors.

In this Medical News article, Andrew Bindman, MD, executive vice president and chief medical officer for Kaiser Permanente, discusses how AI can alert clinicians when patients are falling through the health care system's cracks.

Opioid consumption by cancer patients in an Israeli Health Maintenance Organization from 2007-2018.

PURPOSE: Opioids are the cornerstone of therapy for cancer patients with moderate to severe pain. The objective was to characterize opioid purchases by cancer patients in Clalit Health Services (CHS), the largest Health Maintenance Organization in Israel, over the years 2007-2018. METHODS: Data for all CHS cancer patients aged 18 years old and above who purchased an opioid at least once during the 12-year study period were obtained from computerized databases. The amount of opioids was converted into oral morphine equivalents (OME). RESULTS: 108,543 cancer patients who purchased opioids at least once were enrolled. They comprised 30.5% of the CHS purchasers of opioids in the study period. The total number of cancer patients who purchased an opioid at least once increased gradually from 13,057 in 2007 to 20,675 (58% increase) in 2018, while the annual number of CHS cancer patients increased by only 39%. The annual OME per capita increased from 753 mg in 2007 to 1,432 mg in 2018 (91% increase). In 2007 8.1% of the cancer patients purchased opioids and 9.2% in 2018. Two thirds of all cancer patients purchased opioids for three months or less, 11.9% continued for more than one year, and 5.8% for more than two years. CONCLUSIONS: There is a clinically non-significant increase in the rate of cancer patients purchasing opioids. About two thirds of the cancer patients purchased opioids for only three months, and 94% for up to two years. Under-treatment of cancer pain should still be of concern. While patients are prescribed higher doses, under-prescription may still be a problem..

Patient-level predictors of temporal regularity of primary care visits.

BACKGROUND: Patients with chronic diseases should meet with their primary care doctor regularly to facilitate proactive care. Little is known about what factors are associated with more regular follow-up. METHODS: We studied 70,095 patients age 40 + with one of three chronic conditions (diabetes mellitus, heart failure, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease), cared for by Leumit Health Services, an Israeli health maintenance organization. Patients were divided into the quintile with the least temporally regular care (i.e., the most irregular intervals between visits) vs. the other four quintiles. We examined patient-level predictors of being in the least-temporally-regular quintile. We calculated the risk-adjusted regularity of care at 239 LHS clinics with at least 30 patients. For each clinic, compared the number of patients with the least temporally regular care with the number predicted to be in this group based on patient characteristics. RESULTS: Compared to older patients, younger patients (age 40-49), were more likely to be in the least-temporally-regular group. For example, age 70-79 had an adjusted odds ratio (AOR) of 0.82 compared to age 40-49 (p < 0.001 for all findings discussed here). Males were more likely to be in the least-regular group (AOR 1.18). Patients with previous myocardial infarction (AOR 1.07), atrial fibrillation (AOR 1.08), and current smokers (AOR 1.12) were more likely to have an irregular pattern of care. In contrast, patients with diabetes (AOR 0.79) or osteoporosis (AOR 0.86) were less likely to have an irregular pattern of care. Clinic-level number of patients with irregular care, compared with the predicted number, ranged from 0.36 (fewer patients with temporally irregular care) to 1.71 (more patients). CONCLUSIONS: Some patient characteristics are associated with more or less temporally regular patterns of primary care visits. Clinics vary widely on the number of patients with a temporally irregular pattern of care, after adjusting for patient characteristics. Health systems can use the patient-level model to identify patients at high risk for temporally irregular patterns of primary care. The next step is to examine which strategies are employed by clinics that achieve the most temporally regular care, since these strategies may be possible to emulate elsewhere.

Population turnover and leakage in commercial ACOs.

OBJECTIVES: Commercial accountable care organization (ACO) contracts attempt to mitigate spending growth, but past evaluations have been limited to continuously enrolled ACO members in health maintenance organization (HMO) plans, excluding many members. The objective of this study was to examine the magnitude of turnover and leakage within a commercial ACO. STUDY DESIGN: A historical cohort study using detailed information from multiple commercial ACO contracts within a large health care system between 2015 and 2019. METHODS: Individuals insured through 1 of the 3 largest commercial ACO contracts during the study period, 2015-2019, were included. We examined patterns of entry and exit and the characteristics that predicted remaining in the ACO compared with leaving the ACO. We also examined predictors of the amount of care delivered in the ACO compared with outside the ACO. RESULTS: Among the 453,573 commercially insured individuals in the ACO, approximately half left the ACO within the initial 24 months after entry. Approximately one-third of spending was for care occurring outside the ACO. Patients who remained in the ACO differed from those who left earlier, including being older, having a non-HMO plan, having lower predicted spending at entry, and having more medical spending for care performed within the ACO during the initial quarter of membership. CONCLUSIONS: Both turnover and leakage hamper the ability of ACOs to manage spending. Modifications that address potentially intrinsic vs avoidable sources of population turnover and increase patient incentives for care within vs outside of ACOs could help address medical spending growth within commercial ACO programs.

Differences In Use Of Services And Quality Of Care In Medicare Advantage And Traditional Medicare, 2010 And 2017.

Medicare Advantage (MA) enrollment growth could make it difficult for MA plans to maintain their track record of limiting discretionary utilization while delivering higher-quality care than traditional Medicare. We compared quality and utilization measures in Medicare Advantage and traditional Medicare in 2010 and 2017. Clinical quality performance was higher in MA health maintenance organizations (HMOs) and preferred provider organizations (PPOs) than in traditional Medicare for almost all measures in both years. MA HMOs outperformed traditional Medicare on all measures in 2017. MA HMOs' performance on nearly all seven patient-reported quality measures improved, and MA HMOs outperformed traditional Medicare on five of those measures in 2017. MA PPOs performed the same as or better than traditional Medicare on all but one patient-reported quality measure in 2010 and 2017. The number of emergency department visits was 30 percent lower, the number of elective hip and knee replacements was approximately 10 percent lower, and the number of back surgeries was almost 30 percent lower in MA HMOs than in traditional Medicare in 2017. Utilization trends were similar in MA PPOs, but differences from traditional Medicare were narrower. Despite increased enrollment, overall utilization remains lower in Medicare Advantage than in traditional Medicare, whereas quality performance is the same or higher.

"I'm 'just' a community pediatrician" views and challenges of pediatricians working in the community in Israel.

BACKGROUND: There are ongoing changes around the world in the training and practice of pediatricians who work in the community. These changes are driven by the understanding that pediatricians are required to provide not only acute primary care but also to address more comprehensive concerns, particularly the 'new morbidities'. The present study examines the professional identity of Israeli pediatricians in the community in light of these changes, the barriers and challenges to their work and professional adaptations in the field. METHODS: We used a mixed-methods approach, collecting the perspectives of 137 pediatricians who work in the community through an anonymous online survey, followed by in-depth semi-structured interviews with 11 community pediatricians. RESULTS: The survey results show that community pediatricians in Israel have limited knowledge on a variety of developmental, behavioral and emotional issues; that they lack working relationships with medical or other professionals; and are rarely engaged with other community services. Three main themes arose from the interviews that support and deepen the survey results: perceptions of the profession (pediatrics in the community vs. community pediatrics), the stature of pediatricians in the community (during residency, the choice to work in the community, their daily work) and barriers and change in community pediatrics (isolation, limited resources and challenges arising from the nature of community work). CONCLUSIONS: The present study sheds light on the professional identity and the day-to-day challenges and successes of pediatricians working in the community. Continuing medical education, providing a supportive framework and professional community, better resources, more time with patients, and tools and opportunities for professional development would help pediatricians who work in the community to overcome some of these challenges. The research findings reinforce the need for policy change in the field of community pediatrics with a specific community training curriculum, provision of more resources and ongoing support for pediatricians. This requires partnership between the HMOs, the Ministry of Health, the Scientific Council (Israel Medical Association, professional organizations) and NGOs in order to turn individual-level solutions into system-level and policy-changing solutions.

Evaluation of Potentially Avoidable Acute Care Utilization Among Patients Insured by Medicare Advantage vs Traditional Medicare.

Importance: Medicare Advantage plans have strong incentives to reduce potentially wasteful health care, including costly acute care visits for ambulatory care-sensitive conditions (ACSCs). However, it remains unknown whether Medicare Advantage plans lower acute care use compared with traditional Medicare, or if it shifts patients from hospitalization to observation stays and emergency department (ED) direct discharges. Objective: To determine whether Medicare Advantage is associated with differential utilization of hospitalizations, observations, and ED direct discharges for ACSCs compared with traditional Medicare. Design, Setting, and Participants: Cross-sectional study of US Medicare Advantage vs traditional Medicare beneficiaries from January 1 to December 31, 2018. Poisson regression models were used to compare risk-adjusted rates of Medicare Advantage vs traditional Medicare, controlling for patient demographic characteristics and clinical risk and including county fixed-effects. Data were analyzed between April 2021 and November 2022. Main Outcomes and Measures: Hospitalizations, observation stays, and ED direct discharges for ACSCs. Results: The study sample comprised 2 665 340 Medicare Advantage patients (mean [SD] age, 72.7 [9.8] years; 1 504 519 [56.4%] women; 1 859 067 [69.7%] White individuals) and 7 981 547 traditional Medicare patients (mean [SD] age, 71.2 [11.8] years; 4 232 201 [53.0%] women; 6 176 239 [77.4%] White individuals). Medicare Advantage patients had lower risk of hospitalization for ACSCs compared with traditional Medicare patients (relative risk [RR], 0.94; 95% CI, 0.93-0.95), primarily owing to fewer hospitalizations for acute conditions (eg, pneumonia). Medicare Advantage patients had a higher risk of ED direct discharges (RR, 1.44; 95% CI, 1.43-1.45) and observation stays (RR, 2.38; 95% CI, 2.34-2.41) for ACSCs vs traditional Medicare patients. Overall, Medicare Advantage patients were at higher risk of needing care for an ACSC (hospitalization, ED direct discharge, or observation stay) than traditional Medicare patients (RR, 1.30; 95% CI, 1.30-1.31). Within the Medicare Advantage population, patients in health maintenance organizations (HMOs) were at lower risk of ACSC-related hospitalization compared with patients in its preferred provider organizations (RR, 0.96; 95% CI, 0.95-0.98); however, those in the HMOs had a higher risk of ED direct discharge (RR, 1.08; 95% CI, 1.07-1.09) and observation stay (overall RR, 1.10; 95% CI, 1.02-1.12). Conclusions and Relevance: The findings of this cross-sectional study of Medicare Advantage and traditional Medicare patients with ACSCs indicate that apparent gains in lowering rates of potentially avoidable acute care have been associated with shifting inpatient care to settings such as ED direct discharges and observation stays.

Perception among NHIS-HMO Enrolees of the Attitudes of Medical Personnel during Outpatient Care in Lagos Hospitals.

The quality of healthcare services depends on the interactions between administrators, customers, and healthcare providers. This study seeks to examine how National Health Insurance Scheme (NHIS)-Health Maintenance Organization (HMO) enrolees perceive the attitudes of medical personnel while receiving outpatient care in Lagos hospitals. Mixed methods were used, i.e., distributing questionnaires and in-depth interviews with participants. Quantitative data were analysed using Statistical Product and Service Solutions (SPSS) version 20, and approaches that involved frequency statistics, factor analysis, contingency chi-square and correlation analysis were applied. The results indicate that the variables "humane" and "empathetic" have a direct impact on enrolees' perception and an indirect impact on motivation to adhere to medical advice among enrolees. This research has practical implications, especially in light of new initiatives of NHIS collaboration with HMO to deliver quality healthcare services to enrolees.

Impact of a selective narrow network with comprehensive patient navigation on access, utilization, expenditures, and enrollee experiences.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the effect of enrollee switching from a broad-network accountable care organization (ACO) health maintenance organization (HMO) to a "high performance" ACO-HMO with a selective narrow network and comprehensive patient navigation system on access, utilization, expenditures, and enrollee experiences. DATA SOURCES: Secondary administrative data were obtained for 2016-2020, and primary interview and survey data in 2021. STUDY DESIGN: Fixed-effects instrumental variable analyses of administrative data and regression analyses of survey data. Outcomes included access, utilization, expenditures, and enrollee experience. Background information was gathered via interviews. DATA COLLECTION/EXTRACTION METHODS: We obtained medical expenditure/enrollment and access data on continuously enrolled members in a broad-network ACO-HMO (n = 24,555), a subset of those who switched to a high-performance ACO-HMO in 2018 (n = 7664); interviews of organizational leaders (n = 13); and an enrollee survey (n = 512). PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: Health care effectiveness data and information Set (HEDIS) access measures were not different across plans. However, annual utilization dropped by 15.5 percentage points (95% CI: 18.1, 12.9) more in the high-performance ACO-HMO, with relative annual expenditures declining by $1251 (95% CI: $1461, $1042) per person per year. High-performance ACO-HMO enrollees were 10.1 percentage points (95% CI 0.001, 0.201) more likely to access primary care usually or always as soon as needed and 11.2 percentage points (95% CI 0.007, 0.217) more likely to access specialty care usually or always as soon as needed. Plan satisfaction was 7.1 percentage points (95% CI: -0.001, 0.138) higher in the high-performance ACO-HMO. Interviewees noted the comprehensive patient navigation system was designed to ensure patients remained in the narrow network to receive care. CONCLUSIONS: ACO and HMO contracts with selective narrow networks supported by comprehensive patient navigation can reduce expenditures and improve specialty access and patient satisfaction compared to broad-network plans that lack these features. Payers should consider implementing narrow networks with comprehensive support systems.

Next-generation universal hereditary cancer screening: implementation of an automated hereditary cancer screening program for patients with advanced cancer undergoing tumor sequencing in a large HMO.

Variants in hereditary cancer risk genes are frequently identified following tumor-based DNA sequencing and represent an opportunity to diagnose hereditary cancer. We implemented an automated hereditary cancer screening program in a large HMO for all patients who underwent tumor-based DNA sequencing to identify patients with hereditary cancer and determine if this approach augmented existing genetic counseling approaches driven by personal/family history criteria. Regular automated searches of a centralized tumor DNA variant database were performed for ATM, BRCA1, BRCA2, MLH1, MSH2, MSH6, PALB2, and/or PMS2 variants, and germline hereditary cancer gene panel testing was offered to patients with tumor variants who had never undergone germline testing. Patients completing germline testing due to their tumor DNA test results were considered part of the tumor DNA safety net. Patients previously completing germline testing via traditional genetic counseling and tumor DNA safety net were compared for demographics, tumor type, presence of germline pathogenic/likely pathogenic (P/LP) variant, and whether NCCN criteria were met for hereditary cancer genetic testing. Germline P/LP variants were common in both groups. Patients who received germline testing through traditional genetic counseling were more likely to have cardinal hereditary tumors than the tumor DNA safety net group. Patients identified with hereditary cancer through traditional genetic counseling were more likely to meet NCCN personal/family history criteria for germline testing than the tumor DNA safety net group (99% versus 34%). A universal tumor DNA safety net screen is an important diagnostic strategy which augments traditional genetic counseling approaches based on personal/family history.

Trends in Biochemical Parameters, Healthcare Resource and Medication Use in the 5 Years Preceding IBD Diagnosis: A Health Maintenance Organization Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Few data describing pre-diagnosis changes in patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) exist. We aimed to determine if there is a pattern of change in use of health resources, medications and laboratory results in the years preceding diagnosis. METHODS: This retrospective study used electronic medical records of Maccabi Health Services (MHS). Patients with IBD ≥ 16 years of age and minimum of 5-years follow-up were identified by entry into the MHS IBD registry and included in the analysis. Demographic, clinical, medication and laboratory data were collected. Generalized estimating equation model was applied to study trends and compare between years. RESULTS: This study included 5643 patients with IBD. Of these, 3039 (53.8%) had Crohn's disease (CD), 2322 (41.1%) had ulcerative colitis (UC) and 282 (5%) had indeterminate colitis (IC). Laboratory parameters including white blood cells, platelets and C-reactive protein showed significant increases while haemoglobin and mean cell volume showed significant decreases in mean values in the 2 years prior to diagnosis with stable values prior to that (p < 0.0001). Parameters such as creatinine, total protein and albumin showed significant, progressive decreases in mean values starting 5 years prior to diagnosis (p < 0.0001). Patients with CD had distinct laboratory trends when compared with patients with UC. CONCLUSIONS: Changes in laboratory parameters, healthcare service and medication use occur during the 5-year period before IBD diagnosis. These data can have future clinical applicability by developing a composite score and referral algorithm introducing red flags into primary care visits and appropriate referral for specialist care.

How state surprise billing protections increased ED visits, 2007-2018: potential implications for the No Surprises Act.

OBJECTIVES: The No Surprises Act took effect in 2022 and prevents patients from receiving unexpected emergency department (ED) out-of-network physician bills from in-network hospitals and restricts out-of-network co-payments to in-network co-payment levels. By studying similar state bans, we examine whether the large reduction in out-of-pocket payments under bans will have an unintended consequence of an increase in ED visits and spending. STUDY DESIGN: We examine 16 million nonelderly, fully funded, privately insured health maintenance organization (HMO) enrollees between 2007 and 2018 from 15 states with balance billing bans for HMO ED visits and 16 states without bans as the control group. METHODS: Using MarketScan data, we conduct an event study analysis and a difference-in-difference analysis of the impact of state balance billing bans on the probability of an ED visit. We use a 2-part expenditure model to estimate the impact on spending. RESULTS: By analyzing 15 state-level bans, we find that the bans reduced spending per visit by 14% but spurred a demand response, an increase of 3 percentage points in ED visits, which wiped away the cost savings. Based on an ED severity index, these extra ED visits were 9% less urgent than prior to the bans. CONCLUSIONS: We predict that the federal ban will result in $5.1 billion in savings but 3.5 million more ED visits at $4.2 billion in extra spending per year, largely negating expected savings. Health plans must be prepared to manage this spike in ED visits as the No Surprises Act takes effect.