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1.
Am J Transplant ; 2024 Mar 16.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38499088
2.
Prev Med ; : 107936, 2024 Mar 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38493896

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To assess recovery in childhood and adolescent vaccine ordering since initial declines in 2020 due to COVID-19 pandemic-related disruptions. METHODS: Using vaccine ordering data provided by Merck & Co., Inc., Rahway, NJ, USA, the number of measles-containing vaccine doses ordered each month in the U.S. during January 1, 2020-May 31, 2022 were compared to doses ordered during the corresponding month in 2018 and human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine doses ordered during January 1, 2020-December 31, 2022 were compared to corresponding month in 2019. Differences stratified by public vs. private funding source and state and urbanicity of the county where the provider is located were examined. RESULTS: The cumulative deficit for measles-containing vaccines was 1,314,179 doses (-5.7%) as of May 2022 and 3,911,020 doses (-13.6%) for HPV vaccine as of December 2022. Deficits in publicly funded doses and HPV doses ordered in rural counties were greater than deficits in privately funded doses and HPV doses ordered in urban counties. CONCLUSIONS: Findings show that monthly measles-containing and HPV vaccine ordering has recovered; however, deficits remain. Greater deficits in publicly funded vaccine doses and HPV ordering in rural counties suggest varying level of recovery. To reduce gaps in deficits, health care providers are strongly encouraged to use every visit to recommend needed vaccines.

4.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38198377

RESUMO

The global reemergence of measles in 2018-2019 reinforces the relevance of high-coverage immunization to maintain the disease elimination. During an outbreak in the Sao Paulo State in 2019, several measles cases were reported in individuals who were adequately vaccinated according to the current immunization schedule recommends. This study aimed to assess measles IgG antibody seropositivity and titers in previously vaccinated adults. A cross-sectional study was conducted at CRIE-HC-FMUSP (Sao Paulo, Brazil) in 2019. It included healthy adults who had received two or more Measles-Mumps-Rubella vaccines (MMR) and excluded individuals with immunocompromising conditions. Measles IgG antibodies were measured and compared by ELISA (Euroimmun®) and chemiluminescence (LIASON®). The association of seropositivity and titers with variables of interest (age, sex, profession, previous measles, number of measles-containing vaccine doses, interval between MMR doses, and time elapsed since the last MMR dose) was analyzed. A total of 162 participants were evaluated, predominantly young (median age 30 years), women (69.8%) and healthcare professionals (61.7%). The median interval between MMR doses was 13.2 years, and the median time since the last dose was 10.4 years. The seropositivity rate was 32.7% by ELISA and 75.3% by CLIA, and a strong positive correlation was found between the tests. Multivariate analyses revealed that age and time since the last dose were independently associated with positivity. Despite being a single-center evaluation, our results suggest that measles seropositivity may be lower than expected in adequately immunized adults. Seropositivity was higher among older individuals and those with a shorter time since the last MMR vaccine dose.


Assuntos
Anticorpos Antivirais , Sarampo , Humanos , Feminino , Adulto , Estudos Transversais , Brasil/epidemiologia , Surtos de Doenças , Sarampo/prevenção & controle
5.
Artigo em Português | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38226153

RESUMO

Objective: To perform a systematic review of scientific publications addressing the use of stratification methods to define risk areas for measles transmission. Method: Articles published in English, Portuguese, and Spanish in journals indexed in the SciELO, PubMed, and LILACS databases were selected. The search terms risk assessment AND measles were used without date limits. Editorials, opinion articles, individual-level observational studies, and publications that did not focus on the application of methods to stratify measles transmission risk areas were excluded. Year of publication, authorship, country where the study was performed, objective, geographic level of analysis, method used, indicators, and limitations were recorded in a data form. Results: Thirteen articles published between 2011 and 2022 in nine countries from the six World Health Organization (WHO) regions were selected. Of these, 10 referred to the Measles Risk Assessment Tool developed by the WHO/Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Only one study adapted the tool to the local context. The risk stratification indicators used in the selected studies focused on a combination of the following dimensions: population immunity, quality of surveillance systems, and epidemiologic status. The systematic output of data with adequate quality and coverage was a noteworthy aspect hindering risk stratification. Conclusion: There seems to be limited dissemination of measles risk stratification strategies, especially at local levels. The need to train human resources to process and interpret risk analyses as part of the routine of surveillance services is emphasized.


Objetivo: Realizar una revisión sistemática de las publicaciones científicas en las que se han abordado experiencias de aplicación de métodos de estratificación para definir las zonas de riesgo de transmisión del sarampión. Métodos: Se seleccionaron artículos publicados en español, inglés o portugués en revistas indizadas en las bases de datos SciELO, PubMed y LILACS. En la búsqueda se utilizaron los descriptores "risk assessment" y "measles", sin limitaciones en la fecha de publicación. Se excluyeron editoriales, artículos de opinión, estudios de observación de pacientes individuales y publicaciones que no tratasen de la aplicación de métodos de estratificación de zonas de riesgo de transmisión del sarampión. Se empleó un formulario para extraer la información sobre año de publicación, autoría, país de realización del estudio, objetivo, escala geográfica, método utilizado, indicadores y limitaciones. Resultados: Se seleccionaron 13 artículos publicados entre el 2011 y el 2022 en nueve países de las seis regiones de la Organización Mundial de la Salud (OMS). En 10 de ellos se utilizó como referencia la herramienta de evaluación del riesgo de sarampión creada por la OMS y los Centros para el Control y la Prevención de Enfermedades de Estados Unidos. Solamente en un estudio se adaptó la herramienta al contexto local. Los indicadores utilizados para la estratificación del riesgo se basaron en una combinación de las dimensiones de inmunidad poblacional, calidad de los sistemas de vigilancia y situación epidemiológica. Entre las dificultades de la estratificación del riesgo se destaca la de generación sistemática de datos con una cobertura y calidad adecuadas. Conclusión: Las estrategias de estratificación del riesgo de transmisión del sarampión siguen sin estar, al parecer, muy extendidas, en especial a nivel local. Cabe reiterar la necesidad de fomentar la capacitación de recursos humanos para procesar e interpretar los análisis de riesgo en las operaciones habituales de los servicios de vigilancia.

7.
Artigo em Português | PAHO-IRIS | ID: phr-59157

RESUMO

[RESUMO]. Objetivo. Realizar uma revisão sistemática de publicações científicas que abordaram experiências de aplicação de métodos de estratificação para definir áreas de risco de transmissão de sarampo. Método. Foram selecionados artigos publicados nos idiomas inglês, português e espanhol em periódicos indexados nas bases SciELO, PubMed e LILACS. A busca utilizou os descritores risk assessment AND measles, sem delimitação de período. Foram excluídos editoriais, artigos de opinião, estudos observacionais de nível individual e publicações que não tratavam da aplicação de métodos de estratificação de áreas de risco de transmissão de sarampo. As informações de ano de publicação, autoria, país de realização do estudo, objetivo, escala geográfica, método utilizado, indicadores e limitações foram extraídas por meio de formulário. Resultados. Foram selecionados 13 artigos publicados entre 2011 e 2022 em nove países das seis regiões da Organização Mundial da Saúde (OMS). Desses, 10 tiveram como referência a ferramenta Measles Risk Assessment Tool desenvolvida pela OMS/Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Apenas um estudo adaptou a ferramenta ao contexto local. Os indicadores utilizados para a estratificação de risco enfocaram uma combinação das dimensões imunidade populacional, qualidade dos sistemas de vigilância e situação epidemiológica. Como dificuldades para a estratificação de risco, destaca-se a produção sistemática de dados com cobertura e qualidade adequadas. Conclusão. As estratégias de estratificação do risco de transmissão de sarampo parecem ser ainda pouco difundidas, especialmente na escala local. Reitera-se a necessidade de estímulo à capacitação de recursos humanos para processamento e interpretação das análises de risco nas rotinas dos serviços de vigilância.


[ABSTRACT]. Objective. To perform a systematic review of scientific publications addressing the use of stratification methods to define risk areas for measles transmission. Method. Articles published in English, Portuguese, and Spanish in journals indexed in the SciELO, PubMed, and LILACS databases were selected. The search terms risk assessment AND measles were used without date limits. Editorials, opinion articles, individual-level observational studies, and publications that did not focus on the application of methods to stratify measles transmission risk areas were excluded. Year of publication, authorship, country where the study was performed, objective, geographic level of analysis, method used, indicators, and limitations were recorded in a data form. Results. Thirteen articles published between 2011 and 2022 in nine countries from the six World Health Organization (WHO) regions were selected. Of these, 10 referred to the Measles Risk Assessment Tool developed by the WHO/Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Only one study adapted the tool to the local context. The risk stratification indicators used in the selected studies focused on a combination of the following dimensions: population immunity, quality of surveillance systems, and epidemiologic status. The systematic output of data with adequate quality and coverage was a noteworthy aspect hindering risk stratification. Conclusion. There seems to be limited dissemination of measles risk stratification strategies, especially at local levels. The need to train human resources to process and interpret risk analyses as part of the routine of surveillance services is emphasized.


[RESUMEN]. Objetivo. Realizar una revisión sistemática de las publicaciones científicas en las que se han abordado experiencias de aplicación de métodos de estratificación para definir las zonas de riesgo de transmisión del sarampión. Método. Se seleccionaron artículos publicados en español, inglés o portugués en revistas indizadas en las bases de datos SciELO, PubMed y LILACS. En la búsqueda se utilizaron los descriptores "risk assessment" y "measles", sin limitaciones en la fecha de publicación. Se excluyeron editoriales, artículos de opinión, estudios de observación de pacientes individuales y publicaciones que no tratasen de la aplicación de métodos de estratificación de zonas de riesgo de transmisión del sarampión. Se empleó un formulario para extraer la información sobre año de publicación, autoría, país de realización del estudio, objetivo, escala geográfica, método utilizado, indicadores y limitaciones. Resultados. Se seleccionaron 13 artículos publicados entre el 2011 y el 2022 en nueve países de las seis regiones de la Organización Mundial de la Salud (OMS). En 10 de ellos se utilizó como referencia la herramienta de evaluación del riesgo de sarampión creada por la OMS y los Centros para el Control y la Prevención de Enfermedades de Estados Unidos. Solamente en un estudio se adaptó la herramienta al contexto local. Los indicadores utilizados para la estratificación del riesgo se basaron en una combinación de las dimensiones de inmunidad poblacional, calidad de los sistemas de vigilancia y situación epidemiológica. Entre las dificultades de la estratificación del riesgo se destaca la de generación sistemática de datos con una cobertura y calidad adecuadas. Conclusiones. Las estrategias de estratificación del riesgo de transmisión del sarampión siguen sin estar, al parecer, muy extendidas, en especial a nivel local. Cabe reiterar la necesidad de fomentar la capacitación de recursos humanos para procesar e interpretar los análisis de riesgo en las operaciones habituales de los servicios de vigilancia.


Assuntos
Sarampo , Medição de Risco , Estudos Ecológicos , Vigilância em Saúde Pública , Sarampo , Medição de Risco , Estudos Ecológicos , Vigilância em Saúde Pública , Sarampo , Medição de Risco , Estudos Ecológicos , Vigilância em Saúde Pública
8.
J Clin Virol ; 170: 105623, 2024 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38065047

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Laboratory diagnosis of measles can be challenging, and the reintroduction of the measles virus in Brazil has brought about new issues. The aim of this study was to analyze the qPCR results of swab and urine samples and compare them with those of immunological methods for the diagnosis of measles. METHODS: This was a cross-sectional study based on a retrospective analysis of 3,451 suspected cases using laboratory test surveillance databases for qPCR (respiratory swabs and urine) and serologic tests for IgM and paired IgG. Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, accuracy, and agreement through kappa and adjusted kappa coefficients (PABAK) were calculated using different diagnostic strategies. RESULTS: The swab and urine samples obtained using real-time qPCR were equivalent. Samples collected simultaneously and the combined samples showed moderate agreement between IgM ELISA and real-time qPCR; however, 48.9 % of the IgM ELISA analyses did not demonstrate detectable qPCR concentrations during simultaneous collections and 43.9 % of combined collections. The paired analysis of IgG showed an accuracy of 67.5 % for IgM and 90.7 % for real-time qPCR. CONCLUSIONS: Diagnosis based on IgM presents detection delimitation in samples collected early (1-5 days), suggesting that these individuals satisfy at least two criteria. In addition to qPCR, paired analysis of IgG using ELISA can be used to increase the sensitivity and specificity of laboratory diagnoses.


Assuntos
Anticorpos Antivirais , Sarampo , Humanos , Brasil/epidemiologia , Estudos Retrospectivos , Estudos Transversais , Sarampo/diagnóstico , Sarampo/epidemiologia , Técnicas de Laboratório Clínico , Ensaio de Imunoadsorção Enzimática/métodos , Sensibilidade e Especificidade , Surtos de Doenças , Imunoglobulina M , Imunoglobulina G
9.
Rev. panam. salud pública ; 48: e1, 2024. tab, graf
Artigo em Português | LILACS-Express | LILACS | ID: biblio-1536669

RESUMO

RESUMO Objetivo. Realizar uma revisão sistemática de publicações científicas que abordaram experiências de aplicação de métodos de estratificação para definir áreas de risco de transmissão de sarampo. Métodos. Foram selecionados artigos publicados nos idiomas inglês, português e espanhol em periódicos indexados nas bases SciELO, PubMed e LILACS. A busca utilizou os descritores risk assessment AND measles, sem delimitação de período. Foram excluídos editoriais, artigos de opinião, estudos observacionais de nível individual e publicações que não tratavam da aplicação de métodos de estratificação de áreas de risco de transmissão de sarampo. As informações de ano de publicação, autoria, país de realização do estudo, objetivo, escala geográfica, método utilizado, indicadores e limitações foram extraídas por meio de formulário. Resultados. Foram selecionados 13 artigos publicados entre 2011 e 2022 em nove países das seis regiões da Organização Mundial da Saúde (OMS). Desses, 10 tiveram como referência a ferramenta Measles Risk Assessment Tool desenvolvida pela OMS/Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Apenas um estudo adaptou a ferramenta ao contexto local. Os indicadores utilizados para a estratificação de risco enfocaram uma combinação das dimensões imunidade populacional, qualidade dos sistemas de vigilância e situação epidemiológica. Como dificuldades para a estratificação de risco, destaca-se a produção sistemática de dados com cobertura e qualidade adequadas. Conclusão. As estratégias de estratificação do risco de transmissão de sarampo parecem ser ainda pouco difundidas, especialmente na escala local. Reitera-se a necessidade de estímulo à capacitação de recursos humanos para processamento e interpretação das análises de risco nas rotinas dos serviços de vigilância.


ABSTRACT Objective. To perform a systematic review of scientific publications addressing the use of stratification methods to define risk areas for measles transmission. Method. Articles published in English, Portuguese, and Spanish in journals indexed in the SciELO, PubMed, and LILACS databases were selected. The search terms risk assessment AND measles were used without date limits. Editorials, opinion articles, individual-level observational studies, and publications that did not focus on the application of methods to stratify measles transmission risk areas were excluded. Year of publication, authorship, country where the study was performed, objective, geographic level of analysis, method used, indicators, and limitations were recorded in a data form. Results. Thirteen articles published between 2011 and 2022 in nine countries from the six World Health Organization (WHO) regions were selected. Of these, 10 referred to the Measles Risk Assessment Tool developed by the WHO/Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Only one study adapted the tool to the local context. The risk stratification indicators used in the selected studies focused on a combination of the following dimensions: population immunity, quality of surveillance systems, and epidemiologic status. The systematic output of data with adequate quality and coverage was a noteworthy aspect hindering risk stratification. Conclusion. There seems to be limited dissemination of measles risk stratification strategies, especially at local levels. The need to train human resources to process and interpret risk analyses as part of the routine of surveillance services is emphasized.


RESUMEN Objetivo. Realizar una revisión sistemática de las publicaciones científicas en las que se han abordado experiencias de aplicación de métodos de estratificación para definir las zonas de riesgo de transmisión del sarampión. Métodos. Se seleccionaron artículos publicados en español, inglés o portugués en revistas indizadas en las bases de datos SciELO, PubMed y LILACS. En la búsqueda se utilizaron los descriptores "risk assessment" y "measles", sin limitaciones en la fecha de publicación. Se excluyeron editoriales, artículos de opinión, estudios de observación de pacientes individuales y publicaciones que no tratasen de la aplicación de métodos de estratificación de zonas de riesgo de transmisión del sarampión. Se empleó un formulario para extraer la información sobre año de publicación, autoría, país de realización del estudio, objetivo, escala geográfica, método utilizado, indicadores y limitaciones. Resultados. Se seleccionaron 13 artículos publicados entre el 2011 y el 2022 en nueve países de las seis regiones de la Organización Mundial de la Salud (OMS). En 10 de ellos se utilizó como referencia la herramienta de evaluación del riesgo de sarampión creada por la OMS y los Centros para el Control y la Prevención de Enfermedades de Estados Unidos. Solamente en un estudio se adaptó la herramienta al contexto local. Los indicadores utilizados para la estratificación del riesgo se basaron en una combinación de las dimensiones de inmunidad poblacional, calidad de los sistemas de vigilancia y situación epidemiológica. Entre las dificultades de la estratificación del riesgo se destaca la de generación sistemática de datos con una cobertura y calidad adecuadas. Conclusión. Las estrategias de estratificación del riesgo de transmisión del sarampión siguen sin estar, al parecer, muy extendidas, en especial a nivel local. Cabe reiterar la necesidad de fomentar la capacitación de recursos humanos para procesar e interpretar los análisis de riesgo en las operaciones habituales de los servicios de vigilancia.

10.
Rev Panam Salud Publica ; 47: e165, 2023.
Artigo em Espanhol | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38089106

RESUMO

Objective: Describe measles outbreaks caused by importation of multiple cases, and the corresponding control interventions. Methods: Descriptive study of measles outbreaks caused by the importation of multiple cases to Colombia in 2018-2019. Case definitions, classification of source of infection, collection of biological specimens, searches for suspected cases, case identification, and contact tracing were employed. Vaccination records were obtained from vaccination cards or from the Colombian information system. Nationality was determined from records found in the public health surveillance system. The incident command system was used, and response teams and action plans were activated to control outbreaks. Results: In March 2018, the first case of measles imported from Venezuela was confirmed. Measles incidence in 2018 was 0.2 cases per 100 000 population, and it was 0.3 per 100 000 in 2019. The case fatality rate in 2019 was 0.4%. A total of 214 cases were confirmed in the Venezuelan population (91% with no vaccination history); and 69 outbreaks with no epidemiological link were studied. The MVi/Hulu Langat.MYS/26.11[D8] lineage was identified. Endemic circulation was prevented through innovative interventions such as infection surveillance and control, immediate notification, prioritization of field visits, and transmission risk level criteria. Conclusions: Colombia controlled measles outbreaks that resulted from imported cases, and it prevented endemic circulation, thereby maintaining certification of measles elimination in the country.


Objetivo: Descrever os surtos de sarampo gerados por múltiplas importações de casos e as intervenções de controle. Métodos: Estudo descritivo de surtos devido a múltiplas importações de casos para a Colômbia entre 2018 e 2019. Foram utilizadas definições de caso, classificação da fonte de infecção, coleta de amostras biológicas, rastreamento de casos suspeitos, identificação e seguimento de contatos. O histórico de vacinação foi obtido do cartão de vacinação ou do sistema de informações da Colômbia. A nacionalidade foi definida de acordo com o registro no sistema de vigilância em saúde pública. O sistema de comando de incidentes foi usado, com equipes de resposta e planos de ação para controlar os surtos. Resultados: O primeiro caso de sarampo importado da Venezuela foi confirmado em março de 2018. Nesse ano, a incidência foi de 0,2 casos por 100 mil habitantes e, em 2019, de 0,3 casos por 100 mil habitantes. A taxa de letalidade em 2019 foi de 0,4%. Um total de 214 casos foi confirmado na população venezuelana (91% sem histórico de vacinação). Foram estudados 69 surtos sem vínculo epidemiológico. Foi identificado o genótipo D8, cepa MVi/Hulu Langat.MYS/26.11. A circulação endêmica foi evitada por meio de intervenções inovadoras, como vigilância e controle de infecções, notificação "superimediata", priorização de visitas de campo e critérios para níveis de risco de transmissão. Conclusões: A Colômbia controlou os surtos de sarampo decorrentes de casos importados e impediu a circulação endêmica a fim de manter a certificação da eliminação do vírus do sarampo no país.

11.
Public Health Pract (Oxf) ; 6: 100404, 2023 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38099088

RESUMO

Objectives: The largest mumps outbreak in the United States since 2006 occurred in Arkansas during the 2016-17 school year. An additional dose (third dose) of measles-mumps-rubella vaccine (MMR3) was offered to school children. We evaluated the vaccine effectiveness (VE) of MMR3 compared with two doses of MMR for preventing mumps among school-aged children during the outbreak. Study design: A generalized linear mixed effects model was used to estimate the incremental vaccine effectiveness (VE) of a third dose of MMR compared with two doses of MMR for preventing mumps. Methods: We obtained school enrollment, immunization status and mumps case status from school registries, Arkansas's immunization registry, and Arkansas's mumps surveillance system, respectively. We included students who previously received 2 doses of MMR in schools with ≥1 mumps case after the MMR3 clinic. We used a generalized linear mixed model to estimate VE of MMR3 compared with two doses of MMR. Results: Sixteen schools with 9272 students were included in the analysis. Incremental VE of MMR3 versus a two-dose MMR regimen was 52.7% (95% confidence interval [CI]: -3.6%‒78.4%) overall and in 8 schools with high mumps transmission it was 64.0% (95% CI: 1.2%‒86.9%). MMR3 VE was higher among middle compared with elementary school students (68.5% [95% CI: -30.2%‒92.4%] vs 37.6% [95% CI: -62.5%‒76.1%]); these differences were not statistically significant. Conclusion: Our findings suggest MMR3 provided additional protection from mumps compared with two MMR doses in elementary and middle school settings during a mumps outbreak.

12.
Artigo em Espanhol | PAHO-IRIS | ID: phr-58700

RESUMO

[RESUMEN]. Objetivo. Describir los brotes de sarampión generados por la múltiple importación de casos y las intervenciones de control. Métodos. Estudio descriptivo de brotes por múltiple importación de casos a Colombia entre 2018-2019. Se utilizaron las definiciones de caso, clasificación de fuente de infección, recolección de muestras biológicas, rastreo de casos sospechosos, identificación y seguimiento de contactos. El antecedente vacunal se obtuvo del carné o del sistema de información de Colombia. La nacionalidad se definió de acuerdo con el registro en el sistema de vigilancia en salud pública. Se empleó el sistema de comando de incidente con equipos de respuesta y planes de acción para controlar los brotes. Resultados. En marzo de 2018 se confirmó el primer caso de sarampión importado de Venezuela. La incidencia en 2018 fue 0,2 casos por 100 000 habitantes y en 2019 fue 0,3. La letalidad en 2019 fue de 0,4%. Se confirmaron 214 casos en población venezolana (91% sin antecedente vacunal). Se estudiaron 69 brotes sin vínculo epidemiológico. Se identificó el genotipo D8 linaje MVi/Hulu Langat.MYS/26.11. Se evitó la circulación endémica a través de intervenciones innovadoras tales como, la vigilancia y control de infecciones, notificación super inmediata, priorización de visitas de campo y criterios de niveles de riesgo de transmisión. Conclusiones. Colombia controló los brotes de sarampión que se presentaron por la importación de casos e impido la circulación endémica para conservar la certificación de la eliminación del virus de sarampión en el país.


[ABSTRACT]. Objective. Describe measles outbreaks caused by importation of multiple cases, and the corresponding con- trol interventions. Methods. Descriptive study of measles outbreaks caused by the importation of multiple cases to Colombia in 2018–2019. Case definitions, classification of source of infection, collection of biological specimens, sear- ches for suspected cases, case identification, and contact tracing were employed. Vaccination records were obtained from vaccination cards or from the Colombian information system. Nationality was determined from records found in the public health surveillance system. The incident command system was used, and response teams and action plans were activated to control outbreaks. Results. In March 2018, the first case of measles imported from Venezuela was confirmed. Measles incidence in 2018 was 0.2 cases per 100 000 population, and it was 0.3 per 100 000 in 2019. The case fatality rate in 2019 was 0.4%. A total of 214 cases were confirmed in the Venezuelan population (91% with no vaccination history); and 69 outbreaks with no epidemiological link were studied. The MVi/Hulu Langat.MYS/26.11[D8] lineage was identified. Endemic circulation was prevented through innovative interventions such as infection surveillance and control, immediate notification, prioritization of field visits, and transmission risk level criteria. Conclusions. Colombia controlled measles outbreaks that resulted from imported cases, and it prevented endemic circulation, thereby maintaining certification of measles elimination in the country.


[RESUMO]. Objetivo. Descrever os surtos de sarampo gerados por múltiplas importações de casos e as intervenções de controle. Métodos. Estudo descritivo de surtos devido a múltiplas importações de casos para a Colômbia entre 2018 e 2019. Foram utilizadas definições de caso, classificação da fonte de infecção, coleta de amostras biológicas, rastreamento de casos suspeitos, identificação e seguimento de contatos. O histórico de vacinação foi obtido do cartão de vacinação ou do sistema de informações da Colômbia. A nacionalidade foi definida de acordo com o registro no sistema de vigilância em saúde pública. O sistema de comando de incidentes foi usado, com equipes de resposta e planos de ação para controlar os surtos. Resultados. O primeiro caso de sarampo importado da Venezuela foi confirmado em março de 2018. Nesse ano, a incidência foi de 0,2 casos por 100 mil habitantes e, em 2019, de 0,3 casos por 100 mil habitantes. A taxa de letalidade em 2019 foi de 0,4%. Um total de 214 casos foi confirmado na população venezuelana (91% sem histórico de vacinação). Foram estudados 69 surtos sem vínculo epidemiológico. Foi identificado o genótipo D8, cepa MVi/Hulu Langat.MYS/26.11. A circulação endêmica foi evitada por meio de intervenções inovadoras, como vigilância e controle de infecções, notificação “superimediata”, priorização de visitas de campo e critérios para níveis de risco de transmissão. Conclusões. A Colômbia controlou os surtos de sarampo decorrentes de casos importados e impediu a circulação endêmica a fim de manter a certificação da eliminação do vírus do sarampo no país.


Assuntos
Sarampo , Surtos de Doenças , Vigilância em Saúde Pública , Migrantes , Genótipo , Colômbia , Sarampo , Surtos de Doenças , Vigilância em Saúde Pública , Migrantes , Genótipo , Sarampo , Surtos de Doenças , Vigilância em Saúde Pública , Genótipo , Colômbia
14.
Epidemiol Serv Saude ; 32(3): e2023545, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês, Português | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38018649

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the measles epidemiological surveillance system, before and during the COVID-19 pandemic in Pernambuco, Brazil. METHODS: This was a descriptive evaluation of the quality (duplicity; completeness; consistency), timeliness and usefulness attributed, classified as excellent ≥ 90.0%, regular ≥ 70.0% and < 90.0%, and poor (< 70.0%). Data from the Notifiable Health Conditions Information System and Laboratory Environment Management System were used, before (03/11/2018-03/10/2020) and during (03/11/2020-03/10/2022) the pandemic. RESULTS: 1,548 suspected measles cases were registered (1,469 before and 79 during the pandemic). In the two periods studied, there were 11 and 1 duplicate records, average completeness in filling out the variables was 99.2% and 95.7%, while average consistency was 96.7% and 97.5%, respectively. Timeliness (receipt of samples, 16.2% and 33.0%. Release of results, 1.3% and 1.3%) and usefulness (43.5% and 24.4%) were poor. CONCLUSION: Quality was classified as excellent in the periods studied, timeliness and usefulness were classified as poor, signaling non-compliance with the purpose of the system. MAIN RESULTS: The quality of data from the measles epidemiological surveillance system in Pernambuco was excellent, while its timeliness and usefulness were poor during both periods. IMPLICATIONS FOR SERVICES: The limited timeliness and, therefore, the low usefulness of the measles epidemiological surveillance system must be discussed in the three government spheres of health service management, with the aim of training the professionals involved, as well as monitoring and evaluating the system. PERSPECTIVES: Systematic monitoring and evaluation generates evidence that supports health service managers and workers in the timely identification of gaps that compromise the full fulfillment of the objectives proposed.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Sarampo , Humanos , Brasil/epidemiologia , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Sistemas de Informação , Sarampo/epidemiologia , Pandemias , Vigilância em Saúde Pública
16.
Lancet Reg Health Am ; 23: 100533, 2023 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37497395

RESUMO

Background: Of the eight large (>50 cases) US postelimination outbreaks, the first and last occurred in Ohio. Ohio's vaccination registry is incomplete. Community-level immunity gaps threaten more than two decades of measles elimination in the US. We developed a statistical model, VaxEstim, to rapidly estimate the early-phase vaccination coverage and immunity gap in the exposed population during the 2022 Central Ohio outbreak. Methods: We used reconstructed daily incidence (from publicly available data) and assumptions about the distribution of the serial interval, or the time between symptom onset in successive measles cases, to estimate the effective reproduction number (i.e., the average number of secondary infections caused by an infected individual in a partially immune population). We estimated early-phase measles vaccination coverage by comparing the effective reproduction number to the basic reproduction number (i.e., the average number of secondary infections caused by an infected individual in a fully susceptible population) while accounting for vaccine effectiveness. Finally, we estimated the early-phase immunity gap as the difference between the estimated critical vaccination threshold and vaccination coverage. Findings: VaxEstim estimated the early-phase vaccination coverage as 53% (95% credible interval, 21%-77%), the critical vaccination threshold as 93%, and the immunity gap as 42% (95% credible interval, 18%-74%). Interpretation: This study estimates a significant immunity gap in the exposed population during the early phase of the 2022 Central Ohio measles outbreak, suggesting a robust public health response is needed to identify the susceptible community and develop community-specific strategies to close the immunity gap. Funding: This work was supported in part by the National Institute of General Medical Sciences, National Institutes of Health; the UK Medical Research Council (MRC); the Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office; the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Health Protection Research Unit in Modelling Methodology; Imperial College London, and the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, Community Jameel; the EDCTP2 programme, supported by the EU; and the Sergei Brin Foundation.

17.
Vaccines (Basel) ; 11(5)2023 May 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37243030

RESUMO

Ongoing outbreaks of measles threaten its elimination status in the United States. Its resurgence points to lower parental vaccine confidence and local pockets of unvaccinated and undervaccinated individuals. The geographic clustering of hesitancy to MMR indicates the presence of social drivers that shape parental perceptions and decisions on immunization. Through a qualitative systematic review of published literature (n = 115 articles; 7 databases), we determined major themes regarding parental reasons for MMR vaccine hesitancy, social context of MMR vaccine hesitancy, and trustworthy vaccine information sources. Fear of autism was the most cited reason for MMR hesitancy. The social drivers of vaccine hesitancy included primary care/healthcare, education, economy, and government/policy factors. Social factors, such as income and education, exerted a bidirectional influence, which facilitated or hindered vaccine compliance depending on how the social determinant was experienced. Fear of autism was the most cited reason for MMR hesitancy. Vaccine hesitancy to MMR and other childhood vaccines clustered in middle- to high-income areas among mothers with a college-level education or higher who preferred internet/social media narratives over physician-based vaccine information. They had low parental trust, low perceived disease susceptibility, and were skeptical of vaccine safety and benefits. Combating MMR vaccine misinformation and hesitancy requires intersectoral and multifaceted approaches at various socioecological levels to address the social drivers of vaccine behavior.

18.
JMIR Form Res ; 7: e42832, 2023 Apr 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37014694

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Measles, a highly contagious viral infection, is resurging in the United States, driven by international importation and declining domestic vaccination coverage. Despite this resurgence, measles outbreaks are still rare events that are difficult to predict. Improved methods to predict outbreaks at the county level would facilitate the optimal allocation of public health resources. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to validate and compare extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) and logistic regression, 2 supervised learning approaches, to predict the US counties most likely to experience measles cases. We also aimed to assess the performance of hybrid versions of these models that incorporated additional predictors generated by 2 clustering algorithms, hierarchical density-based spatial clustering of applications with noise (HDBSCAN) and unsupervised random forest (uRF). METHODS: We constructed a supervised machine learning model based on XGBoost and unsupervised models based on HDBSCAN and uRF. The unsupervised models were used to investigate clustering patterns among counties with measles outbreaks; these clustering data were also incorporated into hybrid XGBoost models as additional input variables. The machine learning models were then compared to logistic regression models with and without input from the unsupervised models. RESULTS: Both HDBSCAN and uRF identified clusters that included a high percentage of counties with measles outbreaks. XGBoost and XGBoost hybrid models outperformed logistic regression and logistic regression hybrid models, with the area under the receiver operating curve values of 0.920-0.926 versus 0.900-0.908, the area under the precision-recall curve values of 0.522-0.532 versus 0.485-0.513, and F2 scores of 0.595-0.601 versus 0.385-0.426. Logistic regression or logistic regression hybrid models had higher sensitivity than XGBoost or XGBoost hybrid models (0.837-0.857 vs 0.704-0.735) but a lower positive predictive value (0.122-0.141 vs 0.340-0.367) and specificity (0.793-0.821 vs 0.952-0.958). The hybrid versions of the logistic regression and XGBoost models had slightly higher areas under the precision-recall curve, specificity, and positive predictive values than the respective models that did not include any unsupervised features. CONCLUSIONS: XGBoost provided more accurate predictions of measles cases at the county level compared with logistic regression. The threshold of prediction in this model can be adjusted to align with each county's resources, priorities, and risk for measles. While clustering pattern data from unsupervised machine learning approaches improved some aspects of model performance in this imbalanced data set, the optimal approach for the integration of such approaches with supervised machine learning models requires further investigation.

19.
J Med Virol ; 95(4): e28687, 2023 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36941778

RESUMO

Measles virus (MeV) has been an excellent vector platform for delivering vaccines against many pathogens because of its high safety and efficacy, and induction of long-lived immunity. Early in the COVID-19 pandemic, a recombinant MeV (rMeV) expressing the prefusion full-length spike protein stabilized by two prolines (TMV-083) was developed and tested in phase 1 and 1/2 clinical trials but was discontinued because of insufficient immunogenicity and a low seroconversion rate in adults. Here, we compared the immunogenicity of rMeV expressing a soluble prefusion spike (preS) protein stabilized by two prolines (rMeV-preS-2P) with a rMeV expressing a soluble preS protein stabilized by six prolines (rMeV-preS-6P). We found that rMeV-preS-6P expressed approximately five times more preS than rMeV-preS-2P in cell culture. Importantly, rMeV-preS-6P induced 30-60 and six times more serum immunoglobulin G and neutralizing antibody than rMeV-preS-2P, respectively, in IFNAR-/- mice. IFNAR-/- mice immunized with rMeV-preS-6P were completely protected from challenge with a mouse-adapted SARS-CoV-2, whereas those immunized with rMeV-preS-2P were partially protected. In addition, hamsters immunized with rMeV-preS-6P were completely protected from the challenge with a Delta variant of SARS-CoV-2. Our results demonstrate that rMeV-preS-6P is significantly more efficacious than rMeV-preS-2P, highlighting the value of using preS-6P as the antigen for developing vaccines against SARS-CoV-2.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Cricetinae , Animais , Humanos , Camundongos , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , SARS-CoV-2/genética , Vacinas contra COVID-19 , Pandemias , Glicoproteína da Espícula de Coronavírus/genética , Anticorpos Neutralizantes , Vírus do Sarampo/genética , Prolina , Anticorpos Antivirais
20.
Lancet Glob Health ; 11(4): e516-e524, 2023 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36925172

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: To understand the current measles mortality burden, and to mitigate the future burden, it is crucial to have robust estimates of measles case fatalities. Estimates of measles case-fatality ratios (CFRs) that are specific to age, location, and time are essential to capture variations in underlying population-level factors, such as vaccination coverage and measles incidence, which contribute to increases or decreases in CFRs. In this study, we updated estimates of measles CFRs by expanding upon previous systematic reviews and implementing a meta-regression model. Our objective was to use all information available to estimate measles CFRs in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs) by country, age, and year. METHODS: For this systematic review and meta-regression modelling study, we searched PubMed on Dec 31, 2020 for all available primary data published from Jan 1, 1980 to Dec 31, 2020, on measles cases and fatalities occurring up to Dec 31, 2019 in LMICs. We included studies that previous systematic reviews had included or which contained primary data on measles cases and deaths from hospital-based, community-based, or surveillance-based reports, including outbreak investigations. We excluded studies that were not in humans, or reported only data that were only non-primary, or on restricted populations (eg, people living with HIV), or on long-term measles mortality (eg, death from subacute sclerosing panencephalitis), and studies that did not include country-level data or relevant information on measles cases and deaths, or were for a high-income country. We extracted summary data on measles cases and measles deaths from studies that fitted our inclusion and exclusion criteria. Using these data and a suite of covariates related to measles CFRs, we implemented a Bayesian meta-regression model to produce estimates of measles CFRs from 1990 to 2019 by location and age group. This study was not registered with PROSPERO or otherwise. FINDINGS: We identified 2705 records, of which 208 sources contained information on both measles cases and measles deaths in LMICS and were included in the review. Between 1990 and 2019, CFRs substantially decreased in both community-based and hospital-based settings, with consistent patterns across age groups. For people aged 0-34 years, we estimated a mean CFR for 2019 of 1·32% (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 1·28-1·36) among community-based settings and 5·35% (5·08-5·64) among hospital-based settings. We estimated the 2019 CFR in community-based settings to be 3·03% (UI 2·89-3·16) for those younger than 1 year, 1·63% (1·58-1·68) for age 1-4 years, 0·84% (0·80-0·87) for age 5-9 years, and 0·67% (0·64-0·70) for age 10-14 years. INTERPRETATION: Although CFRs have declined between 1990 and 2019, there are still large heterogeneities across locations and ages. One limitation of this systematic review is that we were unable to assess measles CFR among particular populations, such as refugees and internally displaced people. Our updated methodological framework and estimates could be used to evaluate the effect of measles control and vaccination programmes on reducing the preventable measles mortality burden. FUNDING: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation; Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance; and the US National Institutes of Health.


Assuntos
Países em Desenvolvimento , Sarampo , Humanos , Teorema de Bayes , Sarampo/epidemiologia , Sarampo/prevenção & controle , Vacinação , Renda , Saúde Global
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