Development and validation of a stratification tool for predicting risk of deep sternal wound infection after coronary artery bypass grafting at a brazilian hospital
Rev. bras. cir. cardiovasc
; 32(1): 1-7, Jan.-Feb. 2017. tab, graf
Artigo
em Inglês
| LILACS
| ID: biblio-843468
Biblioteca responsável:
BR1.1
ABSTRACT
Abstract Objective:
Deep sternal wound infection following coronary artery bypass grafting is a serious complication associated with significant morbidity and mortality. Despite the substantial impact of deep sternal wound infection, there is a lack of specific risk stratification tools to predict this complication after coronary artery bypass grafting. This study was undertaken to develop a specific prognostic scoring system for the development of deep sternal wound infection that could risk-stratify patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting and be applied right after the surgical procedure.Methods:
Between March 2007 and August 2016, continuous, prospective surveillance data on deep sternal wound infection and a set of 27 variables of 1500 patients were collected. Using binary logistic regression analysis, we identified independent predictors of deep sternal wound infection. Initially we developed a predictive model in a subset of 500 patients. Dataset was expanded to other 1000 consecutive cases and a final model and risk score were derived. Calibration of the scores was performed using the Hosmer-Lemeshow test.Results:
The model had area under Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve of 0.729 (0.821 for preliminary dataset). Baseline risk score incorporated independent predictors of deep sternal wound infection obesity (P=0.046; OR 2.58; 95% CI 1.11-6.68), diabetes (P=0.046; OR 2.61; 95% CI 1.12-6.63), smoking (P=0.008; OR 2.10; 95% CI 1.12-4.67), pedicled internal thoracic artery (P=0.012; OR 5.11; 95% CI 1.42-18.40), and on-pump coronary artery bypass grafting (P=0.042; OR 2.20; 95% CI 1.13-5.81). A risk stratification system was, then, developed.Conclusion:
This tool effectively predicts deep sternal wound infection risk at our center and may help with risk stratification in relation to public reporting and targeted prevention strategies in patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting.
Texto completo:
Disponível
Coleções:
Bases de dados internacionais
Base de dados:
LILACS
Assunto principal:
Esterno
/
Infecção da Ferida Cirúrgica
/
Ponte de Artéria Coronária
/
Artéria Torácica Interna
Tipo de estudo:
Estudo de etiologia
/
Estudo observacional
/
Estudo prognóstico
/
Fatores de risco
Limite:
Idoso
/
Feminino
/
Humanos
/
Masculino
País/Região como assunto:
América do Sul
/
Brasil
Idioma:
Inglês
Revista:
Rev. bras. cir. cardiovasc
Assunto da revista:
Cardiologia
/
CIRURGIA GERAL
Ano de publicação:
2017
Tipo de documento:
Artigo
País de afiliação:
Brasil
Instituição/País de afiliação:
Pronto-Socorro Cardiológico de Pernambuco/BR