Discontinuation of Renin-Angiotensin-Aldosterone System Inhibitors Secondary to Hyperkalemia Translates into Higher Cardiorenal Outcomes.

INTRODUCTION: Discontinuation of renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system inhibitor (RAASi) is common after hyperkalemia. We evaluated the risk of kidney and mortality outcomes associated with RAASi discontinuation among patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) and hyperkalemia. METHODS: We identified adult patients with CKD (eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2) who experienced new-onset hyperkalemia (potassium ≥5.0 mEq/L) between 2016 and 2017 from Kaiser Permanente Southern California and followed them through 2019. We defined treatment discontinuation as having ≥90-day gap in refills of all RAASi within 3 months after hyperkalemia. We used multivariable Cox proportional hazards models to evaluate the association between RAASi discontinuation and the primary composite outcome of kidney (≥40% eGFR decline, dialysis, kidney transplant) or all-cause mortality. We evaluated cardiovascular events and recurrence of hyperkalemia as secondary outcomes. RESULTS: Among 5,728 patients (mean age 76 years), 13.5% discontinued RAASi within 3 months after new-onset hyperkalemia. During the median 2 years of follow-up, 29.7% had the primary composite outcome (15.5% with ≥40% eGFR decline, 2.8% dialysis or kidney transplant, 18.4% all-cause mortality). Patients who discontinued RAASi had a higher all-cause mortality compared with those who continued RAASi (26.7% vs. 17.1%) but had no differences in kidney outcomes, cardiovascular events, and recurrence of hyperkalemia. RAASi discontinuation was associated with a higher risk of kidney or all-cause mortality composite outcome (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.21, 95% CI: 1.06, 1.37) mainly driven by all-cause mortality (aHR: 1.34, 95% CI: 1.14, 1.56). CONCLUSION: RAASi discontinuation after hyperkalemia was associated with worsened mortality, which may underscore the benefits of continuing RAASi among patients with CKD.

Validation of ICD-10 hospital discharge diagnosis codes to identify incident and recurrent ischemic stroke from a US integrated healthcare system.

PURPOSE: This study validated incident and recurrent ischemic stroke identified by International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-10) hospital discharge diagnosis codes. METHODS: Using electronic health records (EHR) of adults (≥18 years) receiving care from Kaiser Permanente Southern California with ICD-10 hospital discharge diagnosis codes of ischemic stroke (I63.x, G46.3, and G46.4) between October 2015 and September 2020, we identified 75 patients with both incident and recurrent stroke events (total 150 cases). Two neurologists independently evaluated validity of ICD-10 codes through chart reviews. RESULTS: The positive predictive value (PPV, 95% CI) for incident stroke was 93% (95% CI: 88%, 99%) and the PPV for recurrent stroke was 72% (95% CI: 62%, 82%). The PPV for recurrent stroke improved after applying a gap of 20 days (PPV of 75%; 95% CI: 63%, 87%) or removing hospital admissions related to stroke-related procedures (PPV of 78%; 95% CI: 68%, 88%). CONCLUSION: The ICD-10 hospital discharge diagnosis codes for ischemic stroke showed a high PPV for incident cases, while the PPV for recurrent cases were less optimal. Algorithms to improve the accuracy of ICD-10 codes for recurrent ischemic stroke may be necessary.

Effectiveness and Safety of Dabigatran in Atrial Fibrillation Patients with Severe Obesity: a Real-World Retrospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Direct oral anticoagulants such as dabigatran are the preferred anticoagulant in treating atrial fibrillation (AF) patients due to their effectiveness and safety. Whether this applies to severely obese patients needs to be determined. OBJECTIVE: To compare the effectiveness and safety of dabigatran with warfarin among AF patients with severe obesity. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. PARTICIPANTS: AF patients with a BMI >40kg/m2 or a weight >120kg receiving dabigatran or warfarin between 10/01/2010 and 12/31/2019 in a large integrated health system and followed through 08/01/2020. INTERVENTIONS: Not applicable. MAIN MEASURES: Primary effectiveness outcome was composite thromboembolism including transient ischemic attack, ischemic stroke, or systemic embolism. Primary safety outcome was composite bleeding including gastrointestinal bleeding, intracranial bleeding, or other bleeding. Secondary outcomes included the individual outcomes and all-cause mortality. Propensity score matching (PSM) was performed to create a 1:1 matched cohort and Cox proportional hazards model was used to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) of each outcome for dabigatran users compared to warfarin users. KEY RESULTS: A total of 6848 patients receiving either dabigatran or warfarin were identified. In a 1:1 matched cohort, dabigatran users had a HR of 0.71 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.56-0.91) for composite thromboembolism, a HR of 1.24 (95%CI: 1.07-1.42) for composite bleeding, and a HR of 0.57 (95% CI: 0.45-0.71) for all-cause mortality when compared to warfarin users. CONCLUSIONS: Among AF patients with a BMI >40kg/m2 or a weight >120kg in a real-world clinical setting, dabigatran was effective in reducing the risk of thromboembolism and mortality but was associated with an increased risk of bleeding when compared to warfarin. Dabigatran may be a reasonable option for AF patients with severe obesity.

Physician adjudication of angioedema diagnosis codes in a population of patients with heart failure prescribed angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor therapy.

PURPOSE: Our objective was to calculate the positive predictive value (PPV) of the ICD-9 diagnosis code for angioedema when physicians adjudicate the events by electronic health record review. Our secondary objective was to evaluate the inter-rater reliability of physician adjudication. METHODS: Patients from the Cardiovascular Research Network previously diagnosed with heart failure who were started on angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEI) during the study period (July 1, 2006 through September 30, 2015) were included. A team of two physicians per participating site adjudicated possible events using electronic health records for all patients coded for angioedema for a total of five sites. The PPV was calculated as the number of physician-adjudicated cases divided by all cases with the diagnosis code of angioedema (ICD-9-CM code 995.1) meeting the inclusion criteria. The inter-rater reliability of physician teams, or kappa statistic, was also calculated. RESULTS: There were 38 061 adults with heart failure initiating ACEI in the study (21 489 patient-years). Of 114 coded events that were adjudicated by physicians, 98 angioedema events were confirmed for a PPV of 86% (95% CI: 80%, 92%). The kappa statistic based on physician inter-rater reliability was 0.65 (95% CI: 0.47, 0.82). CONCLUSIONS: ICD-9 diagnosis code of 995.1 (angioneurotic edema, not elsewhere classified) is highly predictive of angioedema in adults with heart failure exposed to ACEI.

Cost of Hospitalization Associated With Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infection Versus Influenza Infection in Hospitalized Older Adults.

Despite the severity of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) disease in older adults, data on its costs are limited. We compared hospitalization costs for 2090 adults aged ≥ 60 years hospitalized with RSV or influenza by assigning direct health care costs. Hospitalization with RSV was associated with longer hospitalization and increased frequency of diagnosis-related groups for pulmonary complications, resulting in costs at least as great as those for influenza ($16 034 vs $15 163; 95% confidence interval for the difference, -$811 to $2547). Awareness of RSV disease burden in adults is needed to facilitate vaccination and treatment when they become available.

Fixed-Dose Combination Medications for Treating Hypertension: A Review of Effectiveness, Safety, and Challenges.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: To summarize the recent evidence on the effectiveness and safety of antihypertensive fixed-dose combination (FDC) medications, and to describe the facilitators and barriers to implementing FDCs in US clinical practice. RECENT FINDINGS: Recent clinical practice guidelines include FDC use for treating high BP. Clinical trials in recent years support the use of antihypertensive FDCs including low-dose triple- and quadruple-therapy FDCs. Initiating a low-to-standard dose dual-therapy FDCs showed better BP control than initiating treatment with a standard-dose monotherapy, and triple-therapy FDCs produced better BP control rates than dual-therapy FDCs. Retrospective cohort studies showed that FDCs are associated with increased medication adherence, reduced clinical inertia, decreased time to BP control, and improved cardiovascular outcomes. We further discussed barriers and facilitators of wider implementation of antihypertensive FDCs in clinical practice. FDC treatment for hypertension is not commonly used despite historical and recent data which support the effectiveness, safety, and benefits of FDCs. Simplified and protocolized treatment algorithms, team-based care, shared decision-making principles are crucial to successful utilization and implementation of FDC in clinical practice.

Hyperaldosteronism Screening and Findings From a Large Diverse Population With Resistant Hypertension Within an Integrated Health System.

INTRODUCTION: Hyperaldosteronism (HA) is a common cause of secondary hypertension and may contribute to resistant hypertension (RH). The authors sought to determine and characterize HA screening, positivity rates, and mineralocorticoid receptor antagonist (MRA) use among patients with RH. METHODS: A cross-sectional study was performed within Kaiser Permanente Southern California (7/1/2012-6/30/2017). Using contemporary criteria, RH was defined as blood pressure uncontrolled (≥ 130/80) on ≥ 3 medications or requiring ≥ 4 antihypertensive medications. The primary outcome was screening rate for HA defined as any aldosterone and plasma renin activity measurement. Secondary outcomes were HA screen positive rates and MRA use among all patients with RH. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to estimate odds ratio (with 95% confidence intervals) for factors associated with HA screening and for patients that screened positive. RESULTS: Among 102,480 patients identified as RH, 1977 (1.9%) were screened for HA and 727 (36.8%) screened positive for HA. MRA use was 6.5% among all patients with RH (22.5% among screened, 31.2% among screened positive). Black race, potassium < 4, bicarbonate > 29, chronic kidney disease, obstructive sleep apnea, and systolic blood pressure were associated with HA screening, but only Black race (1.55 [1.20-2.01]), potassium (1.82 [1.48-2.24]), bicarbonate levels (1.39 [1.10-1.75]), and diastolic blood pressure (1.15 [1.03-1.29]) were associated with positive screenings. CONCLUSION: The authors' findings demonstrate low screening rates for HA among patients with difficult-to-control hypertension yet a high positivity rate among those screened. Factors associated with screening did not always correlate with screening positive. Screening and targeted use of MRA may lead to improved blood pressure control and outcomes among patients with RH.

Cardiovascular Risk Associated With Social Determinants of Health at Individual and Area Levels.

Importance: The benefit of adding social determinants of health (SDOH) when estimating atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk is unclear. Objective: To examine the association of SDOH at both individual and area levels with ASCVD risks, and to assess if adding individual- and area-level SDOH to the pooled cohort equations (PCEs) or the Predicting Risk of CVD Events (PREVENT) equations improves the accuracy of risk estimates. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study included participants data from 4 large US cohort studies. Eligible participants were aged 40 to 79 years without a history of ASCVD. Baseline data were collected from 1995 to 2007; median (IQR) follow-up was 13.0 (9.3-15.0) years. Data were analyzed from September 2023 to February 2024. Exposures: Individual- and area-level education, income, and employment status. Main outcomes and measures: ASCVD was defined as the composite outcome of nonfatal myocardial infarction, death from coronary heart disease, and fatal or nonfatal stroke. Results: A total of 26 316 participants were included (mean [SD] age, 61.0 [9.1] years; 15 494 women [58.9%]; 11 365 Black [43.2%], 703 Chinese American [2.7%], 1278 Hispanic [4.9%], and 12 970 White [49.3%]); 11 764 individuals (44.7%) had at least 1 adverse individual-level SDOH and 10 908 (41.5%) had at least 1 adverse area-level SDOH. A total of 2673 ASCVD events occurred during follow-up. SDOH were associated with increased risk of ASCVD at both the individual and area levels, including for low education (individual: hazard ratio [HR], 1.39 [95% CI, 1.25-1.55]; area: HR, 1.31 [95% CI, 1.20-1.42]), low income (individual: 1.35 [95% CI, 1.25-1.47]; area: HR, 1.28 [95% CI, 1.17-1.40]), and unemployment (individual: HR, 1.61 [95% CI, 1.24-2.10]; area: HR, 1.25 [95% CI, 1.14-1.37]). Adding area-level SDOH alone to the PCEs did not change model discrimination but modestly improved calibration. Furthermore, adding both individual- and area-level SDOH to the PCEs led to a modest improvement in both discrimination and calibration in non-Hispanic Black individuals (change in C index, 0.0051 [95% CI, 0.0011 to 0.0126]; change in scaled integrated Brier score [IBS], 0.396% [95% CI, 0.221% to 0.802%]), and improvement in calibration in White individuals (change in scaled IBS, 0.274% [95% CI, 0.095% to 0.665%]). Adding individual-level SDOH to the PREVENT plus area-level social deprivation index (SDI) equations did not improve discrimination but modestly improved calibration in White participants (change in scaled IBS, 0.182% [95% CI, 0.040% to 0.496%]), Black participants (0.187% [95% CI, 0.039% to 0.501%]), and women (0.289% [95% CI, 0.115% to 0.574%]). Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study, both individual- and area-level SDOH were associated with ASCVD risk; adding both individual- and area-level SDOH to the PCEs modestly improved discrimination and calibration for estimating ASCVD risk for Black individuals, and adding individual-level SDOH to PREVENT plus SDI also modestly improved calibration. These findings suggest that both individual- and area-level SDOH may be considered in future development of ASCVD risk assessment tools, particularly among Black individuals.

Identification of recurrent atrial fibrillation using natural language processing applied to electronic health records.

AIMS: This study aimed to develop and apply natural language processing (NLP) algorithms to identify recurrent atrial fibrillation (AF) episodes following rhythm control therapy initiation using electronic health records (EHRs). METHODS AND RESULTS: We included adults with new-onset AF who initiated rhythm control therapies (ablation, cardioversion, or antiarrhythmic medication) within two US integrated healthcare delivery systems. A code-based algorithm identified potential AF recurrence using diagnosis and procedure codes. An automated NLP algorithm was developed and validated to capture AF recurrence from electrocardiograms, cardiac monitor reports, and clinical notes. Compared with the reference standard cases confirmed by physicians' adjudication, the F-scores, sensitivity, and specificity were all above 0.90 for the NLP algorithms at both sites. We applied the NLP and code-based algorithms to patients with incident AF (n = 22 970) during the 12 months after initiating rhythm control therapy. Applying the NLP algorithms, the percentages of patients with AF recurrence for sites 1 and 2 were 60.7% and 69.9% (ablation), 64.5% and 73.7% (cardioversion), and 49.6% and 55.5% (antiarrhythmic medication), respectively. In comparison, the percentages of patients with code-identified AF recurrence for sites 1 and 2 were 20.2% and 23.7% for ablation, 25.6% and 28.4% for cardioversion, and 20.0% and 27.5% for antiarrhythmic medication, respectively. CONCLUSION: When compared with a code-based approach alone, this study's high-performing automated NLP method identified significantly more patients with recurrent AF. The NLP algorithms could enable efficient evaluation of treatment effectiveness of AF therapies in large populations and help develop tailored interventions.

Representation of Real-World Adults With Chronic Kidney Disease in Clinical Trials Supporting Blood Pressure Treatment Targets.

BACKGROUND: Little is known about how well trial participants with chronic kidney disease (CKD) represent real-world adults with CKD. We assessed the population representativeness of clinical trials supporting the 2021 Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes blood pressure (BP) guidelines in real-world adults with CKD. METHODS AND RESULTS: Using a cross-sectional analysis, we identified patients with CKD who met the guideline definition of hypertension based on use of antihypertensive medications or sustained systolic BP ≥120 mm Hg in 2019 in the Veterans Affairs and Kaiser Permanente of Southern California. We applied the eligibility criteria from 3 BP target trials, SPRINT (Systolic Pressure Intervention Trial), ACCORD (Action to Control Cardiovascular Risk in Diabetes), and AASK (African American Study of Kidney Disease), to estimate the proportion of adults with a systolic BP above the guideline-recommended target and the proportion who met eligibility criteria for ≥1 trial. We identified 503 480 adults in the Veterans Affairs and 73 412 adults in Kaiser Permanente of Southern California with CKD and hypertension in 2019. We estimated 79.7% in the Veterans Affairs and 87.3% in the Kaiser Permanente of Southern California populations had a systolic BP ≥120 mm Hg; only 23.8% [23.7%-24.0%] in the Veterans Affairs and 20.8% [20.5%-21.1%] in Kaiser Permanente of Southern California were trial-eligible. Among trial-ineligible patients, >50% met >1 exclusion criteria. CONCLUSIONS: Major BP target trials were representative of fewer than 1 in 4 real-world adults with CKD and hypertension. A large proportion of adults who are at risk for cardiovascular morbidity from hypertension and susceptible to adverse treatment effects lack relevant treatment information.

Association Between Young Adult Characteristics and Blood Pressure Trajectories.

BACKGROUND: Blood pressure (BP) trajectories from young adulthood through middle age are associated with cardiovascular risk. We examined the associations of hypertension risk factors with BP trajectories among a large diverse sample. METHODS AND RESULTS: We analyzed data from young adults, aged 18 to 39 years, with untreated BP <140/90 mm Hg at baseline from Kaiser Permanente Southern California (N=355 324). We used latent growth curve models to identify 10-year BP trajectories and to assess the associations between characteristics in young adulthood and BP trajectories. We identified the following 5 distinct systolic BP trajectories, which appeared to be determined mainly by the baseline BP with progressively higher BP at each year: group 1 (lowest BP trajectory, 7.9%), group 2 (26.5%), group 3 (33.0%), group 4 (25.4%), and group 5 (highest BP trajectory, 7.3%). Older age (adjusted odds ratio for 30-39 versus 18-29 years, 1.23 [95% CI, 1.18-1.28]), male sex (13.38 [95% CI, 12.80-13.99]), obesity (body mass index ≥30 versus 18.5-24.9 kg/m2, 14.81 [95% CI, 14.03-15.64]), overweight (body mass index 25-29.9 versus 18.5-24.9 kg/m2, 3.16 [95% CI, 3.00-3.33]), current smoking (1.58 [95% CI, 1.48-1.67]), prediabetes (1.21 [95% CI, 1.13-1.29]), diabetes (1.60 [95% CI, 1.41-1.81]) and high low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (≥160 versus <100 mg/dL, 1.52 [95% CI, 1.37-1.68]) were associated with the highest BP trajectory (group 5) compared with the reference group (group 2). CONCLUSIONS: Traditional hypertension risk factors including smoking, diabetes, and elevated lipids were associated with BP trajectories in young adults, with obesity having the strongest association with the highest BP trajectory group.

Race and ethnicity and pharmacy dispensing of SGLT2 inhibitors and GLP-1 receptor agonists in type 2 diabetes.

Background: Sodium-Glucose Cotransporter 2 Inhibitors (SGLT2i) and Glucagon-Like Peptide-1 Receptor Agonists (GLP-1 RA) improve cardiorenal outcomes in patients with type 2 diabetes. Equitable use of SGLT2i and GLP-1 RA has the potential to reduce racial and ethnic health disparities. We evaluated trends in pharmacy dispensing of SGLT2i and GLP-1 RA by race and ethnicity. Methods: Retrospective cohort study of patients (≥18 years) with type 2 diabetes using 2014-2022 electronic health record data from six US care delivery systems. Entry was at earliest pharmacy dispensing of any type 2 diabetes medication. We used multivariable logistic regression to evaluate the association between pharmacy dispensing of SGLT2i and GLP1-RA and race and ethnicity. Findings: Our cohort included 687,165 patients (median 6 years of dispensing data; median 60 years; 0.3% American Indian/Alaska Native (AI/AN), 16.6% Asian, 10.5% Black, 1.4% Hawaiian or Pacific Islander (HPI), 31.1% Hispanic, 3.8% Other, and 36.3% White). SGLT2i was lower for AI/AN (OR 0.80, 95% confidence interval 0.68-0.94), Black (0.89, 0.86-0.92) and Hispanic (0.87, 0.85-0.89) compared to White patients. GLP-1 RA was lower for AI/AN (0.78, 0.63-0.97), Asian (0.50, 0.48-0.53), Black (0.86, 0.83-0.90), HPI (0.52, 0.46-0.57), Hispanic (0.69, 0.66-0.71), and Other (0.78, 0.73-0.83) compared to White patients. Interpretation: Dispensing of SGLT2is, and GLP-1 RAs was lower in minority group patients. There is a need to evaluate approaches to increase use of these cardiorenal protective drugs in patients from racial and ethnic minority groups with type 2 diabetes to reduce adverse cardiorenal outcomes and improve health equity. Funding: Patient-Centered Outcomes Research Institute and National Institutes of Health.

Multiple medication adherence and its effect on clinical outcomes among patients with comorbid type 2 diabetes and hypertension.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate multiple medication adherence (MMA) and its impact on microvascular and macrovascular complications using instrumental variables (IVs). RESEARCH DESIGN: A retrospective observational study was conducted using administrative claims and electronic medical records from a large physician group in Southern California (N=2334). SUBJECTS: We identified individuals between January 2006 and June 2009 newly starting oral diabetes (DM) or hypertension (HTN) medications with preexisting comorbid HTN or DM prescription history. MEASURES: MMA was defined as a proportion of days covered where both DM and HTN medications were simultaneously available over a 33-month follow-up period. Microvascular or macrovascular complications included myocardial infarction, stroke, renal failure, and diabetic retinopathy. Multivariable logistic regressions and an IV estimation using physician-related variables were implemented. RESULTS: MMA was supoptimal as the mean (SD) proportion of days covered was 0.53 (0.32). Patients were more adherent to medications for a preexisting condition in comparison with those for the newer disease. Older age, number of index medications [OR (95% CI)=1.36 (1.22-1.52)], receiving care from a physician who prescribed statin more frequently [OR (95% CI)=2.63 (1.67-4.14)], and receiving care from the same physician for both DM and HTN [OR (95% CI)=1.57 (1.08-2.27)] were significant factors of being adherent. Using physician-related IVs, MMA reduced microvascular and macrovascular complications. The increase in MMA from 50% to 80% reduced the average predicted probability of microvascular or macrovascular complication rate by 29.5%. CONCLUSIONS: Adherence to medications for DM and HTN were differed and higher MMA reduced microvascular or macrovascular complications when controlling for endogeneity bias.

Effectiveness and safety of Dabigatran 110 mg versus 150 mg for Stroke Prevention in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation at High Bleeding Risk.

PURPOSE: The effectiveness and tolerability of a reduced dose (110 mg) of dabigatran versus the standard dose (150 mg) were evaluated in subgroups of patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) at high bleeding risk. METHODS: Eligible patients were adults with AF and a creatinine clearance rate ≥30 mL/min who were initiated on treatment with dabigatran (index) between 2016 and 2018. High-bleeding-risk subgroups were identified: (1) age ≥80 years; (2) moderate renal impairment (creatinine clearance rate 30-<50 mL/min); and (3) recent bleeding or a HAS-BLED score of ≥3. Fine-Gray subdistribution hazard regression models with inverse probability of treatment weights were used to investigate associations between dabigatran dose and three outcomes: stroke or systemic embolism, major bleeding requiring hospitalization, and all-cause mortality. FINDINGS: Among 7858 patients with AF and a high bleeding risk (age ≥80 years, 3472; moderate renal impairment, 1574; recent bleeding or HAS-BLED score ≥3, 2812), 32.3% received reduced-dose dabigatran. Compared with the standard dose, use of the reduced dose of dabigatran was not associated with an increased risk for stroke or systemic embolism but was associated with a lower risk for major bleeding (HR = 0.65; 95% CI, 0.44-0.95) and all-cause mortality (HR = 0.78; 95% CI, 0.65-0.92) in patients aged ≥80 years. The use of reduced-dose dabigatran was associated with a lower risk for major bleeding (HR = 0.54; 95% CI, 0.30-0.95) and all-cause mortality among patients with moderate renal impairment (HR = 0.53; 95% CI, 0.40-0.71). IMPLICATIONS: Lower risks for bleed and mortality associated with reduced- versus standard-dose dabigatran in patients with AF and a high bleeding risk suggest a better dosing strategy.

Incidence of Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease in Young Adults at Low Short-Term But High Long-Term Risk.

BACKGROUND: Young adults may have high long-term atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk despite low short-term risk. OBJECTIVES: In this study, we sought to compare the performance of short-term and long-term ASCVD risk prediction tools in young adults and evaluate ASCVD incidence associated with predicted short-term and long-term risk. METHODS: We included adults aged 18 to 39 years, from 2008 to 2009 in a U.S. integrated health care system, and followed them through 2019. We calculated 10-year and 30-year ASCVD predicted risk and assessed ASCVD incidence. RESULTS: Among 414,260 young adults, 813 had an incident ASCVD event during a median of 4 years (maximum 11 years). Compared with 10-year predicted risk, 30-year predicted risk improved reclassification (net reclassification index: 16%) despite having similar discrimination (Harrell's C: 0.749 vs 0.726). Overall, 1.0% and 2.2% of young adults were categorized as having elevated 10-year (≥7.5%) and elevated 30-year (≥20%) predicted risk, respectively, and 1.6% as having low 10-year (<7.5%) but elevated 30-year predicted risk. The ASCVD incidence rate per 1,000 person-years was 2.60 (95% CI: 1.92-3.52) for those with elevated 10-year predicted risk, 1.87 (95% CI: 1.42-2.46) for those with low 10-year but elevated 30-year predicted risk, and 0.32 (95% CI: 0.30-0.35) for those with low 10-year and 30-year predicted risk. The age- and sex-adjusted incidence rate ratio was 3.04 (95% CI: 2.25-4.10) comparing those with low 10-year but elevated 30-year predicted risk and those with low 10-year and 30-year predicted risk. CONCLUSIONS: Long-term ASCVD risk prediction tools further discriminate a subgroup of young adults with elevated observed risk despite low estimated short-term risk.

Blood Pressure Control Among Black and White Adults Following a Quality Improvement Program in a Large Integrated Health System.

Importance: A higher percentage of non-Hispanic Black (hereinafter, Black) adults vs non-Hispanic White (hereinafter, White) adults with hypertension have uncontrolled blood pressure (BP) contributing to racial and ethnic disparities in cardiovascular disease. In 2010, Kaiser Permanente Southern California began implementing quality improvement (QI) strategies aimed at reducing this disparity. Objective: To examine the change in BP control between Black and White patients before and after the implementation of a QI program. Design, Setting, and Participants: A QI quasi-experimental, difference-in-difference analysis was conducted of Kaiser Permanente Southern California patients 18 years or older included in the population care management hypertension registry. The study was conducted from December 31, 2008, to December 31, 2019. Data analysis was performed from November 20, 2020, to November 7, 2022. Interventions: Quality improvement program implementation began in 2010. Main Outcomes and Measures: Blood pressure control (systolic BP <140 mm Hg and diastolic BP <90 mm Hg) was assessed using the last outpatient BP measurement in each calendar year. Changes in BP control between Black and White patients from before (2008-2009) to after (2016-2019) implementation of the QI program were examined using a difference-in-difference analysis. Blood pressure control disparities from 2008 through 2019 by age, sex, race and ethnicity, and factors associated with BP control were examined. Results: The number of patients with hypertension increased from 624 094 in 2008 (mean [SD] age, 61.8 [13.5] years; 330 551 [53.0%] female patients; 89 407 [14.3%] Black and 284 116 [45.5%] White patients) to 855 257 in 2019 (mean [SD] age, 64.5 [13.6] years; 444 422 [52.0%] female patients; 107 054 [12.5%] Black and 331 932 [38.8%] White patients). Blood pressure control increased an absolute 4.6% (95% CI, 4.3%-4.8%) among Black patients and 2.1% (95% CI, 2.0%-2.2%) among White patients from before to after the QI program implementation (difference-in-difference: 2.5%; 95% CI, 2.2%-2.8%). The largest reduction in BP control disparity between Black and White female patients was for those aged 50 to 64 years (difference-in-difference: 3.8%; 95% CI, 3.2%-4.4%) and for those aged 18 to 49 years between Black and White male patients (difference-in-difference: 4.2%; 95% CI, 3.0%-5.5%). The proportion of BP control among Black male patients aged 18 to 49 years was the lowest throughout 2008-2019 compared with male and female patients in other age and racial and ethnic groups. In 2019, uncontrolled BP was more common among Black vs White patients (prevalence ratio: 1.13; 95% CI, 1.12-1.14). Conclusions and Relevance: This QI program noted that disparities in BP control between Black and White patients were decreased but not eliminated following implementation of QI strategies aimed at reducing disparities in BP control. These findings suggest that more focused interventions may be needed to increase BP control among Black individuals.

Association of Kidney Function With Risk of Adverse Effects of Therapies for Atrial Fibrillation.

Introduction: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is common in chronic kidney disease (CKD) and is treated with rate control medications, antiarrhythmic medications, as well as anticoagulation and procedures, each of which have associated risks. We aimed to evaluate the association of CKD status with the risks of adverse effects after initiation of AF therapies. Methods: This was a cohort study of community-based adults who newly initiated rate control medications, antiarrhythmic medications, warfarin, direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) or received AF procedures in the 1 year after diagnosis of AF. Baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was calculated using outpatient serum creatinine measures. Adverse effects within 1 year related to each AF therapy or within 1 month of an AF procedure were ascertained from vital sign databases, electrocardiograms (ECGs), and administrative codes. Fine-Gray hazard models were used to study the association of eGFR categories with risk of adverse effects for each AF therapy. Results: Among 115,564 patients with incident AF, lower eGFR (vs. eGFR ≥60 ml/min per 1.73 m2) was significantly associated with higher adjusted risk of adverse effects after initiation of rate control therapies (most commonly hypotension and bradycardia) as follows: eGFR 45-59 (hazard ratio [HR] 1.14, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.07-1.22), 30-44 (HR 1.15, 95% CI 1.06-1.25), and 15-29 (HR 1.29, 95% CI: 1.12-1.47) ml/min per 1.73 m2. Lower eGFR was associated with higher adjusted risk of adverse effects (most commonly prolonged QRS and QTc intervals) after initiation of an antiarrhythmic medication (vs. eGFR >60 ml/min per 1.73 m2) as follows: eGFR 45-59 (HR 1.12, 95% CI 1.01-1.23) and eGFR<15 (HR 1.43, 95% CI 1.01-2.01) ml/min per 1.73 m2. Conclusion: There was a graded association between lower eGFR and risk of major bleeding with warfarin use, with the greatest risk among those with eGFR <15 ml/min per 1.73 m2 (HR of 2.93, 95% CI 1.99-4.30). There was no association of eGFR with major bleeding in patients receiving DOACs. Rates of adverse effects within 1 month of an AF procedure were low among patients with (n = 18) and without (n = 41) CKD and was underpowered for further analyses. In conclusion, lower eGFR was associated with significantly higher risks of adverse effects after initiation of commonly used therapies to treat AF. These data may help inform the complex therapeutic decisions in patients with CKD and AF.

Incident Atrial Fibrillation and Risk of Dementia in a Diverse, Community-Based Population.

Background Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common, clinically relevant arrhythmia in adults and associated with ischemic stroke and premature death. However, data are conflicting on whether AF is independently associated with risk of dementia, particularly in diverse populations. Methods and Results We identified all adults from 2 large integrated health care delivery systems between 2010 and 2017 and performed a 1:1 match of incident AF: no AF by age at index date, sex, estimated glomerular filtration rate category, and study site. Subsequent dementia was identified through previously validated diagnosis codes. Fine-Gray subdistribution hazard models were used to examine the association of incident AF (versus no AF) with risk of incident dementia, adjusting for sociodemographics and comorbidity and accounting for competing risk of death. Subgroup analyses by age, sex, race, ethnicity, and chronic kidney disease status were also performed. Among 196 968 matched adults, mean (SD) age was 73.6 (11.3) years, with 44.8% women, and 72.3% White. Incidence rates (per 100 person-years) for dementia over a median follow-up of 3.3 (interquartile range, 1.7-5.4) years were 2.79 (95% CI, 2.72-2.85) and 2.04 (95% CI, 1.99-2.08) per 100 person-years in persons with versus without incident AF, respectively. In adjusted models, incident AF was associated with a significantly greater risk of diagnosed dementia (subdistribution hazard ratio [sHR], 1.13 [95% CI, 1.09-1.16]). With additional adjustment for interim stroke events, the association of incident AF with dementia remained statistically significant (sHR, 1.10 [95% CI, 1.07-1.15]). Associations were stronger for age <65 (sHR, 1.65 [95% CI, 1.29-2.12]) versus ≥65 (sHR, 1.07 [95% CI, 1.03-1.10]) years (interaction P<0.001); and those without (sHR, 1.20 [95% CI, 1.14-1.26]) versus with chronic kidney disease (sHR, 1.06 [95% CI, 1.01-1.11]; interaction P<0.001). No meaningful differences were seen by sex, race, or ethnicity. Conclusions In a large, diverse community-based cohort, incident AF was associated with a modestly increased risk of dementia that was more prominent in younger patients and those without chronic kidney disease but did not substantially vary across sex, race, or ethnicity. Further studies should delineate mechanisms underpinning these findings, which may inform use of AF therapies.

Treatment and Control of Hypertension Among Adults With Chronic Kidney Disease, 2011 to 2019.

BACKGROUND: Hypertension frequently accompanies chronic kidney disease (CKD) as etiology and sequela. We examined contemporary trends in hypertension treatment and control in a national sample of adults with CKD. METHODS: We evaluated 5% cross-sectional samples of adults with CKD between 2011 and 2019 in the Veterans Health Administration. We defined CKD as a sustained estimated glomerular filtration rate value <60 mL/min per 1.73 m2 or a urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio ≥30 mg/g. The main outcomes were blood pressure (BP) control, defined as a systolic BP <140 mm Hg and a diastolic BP <90 mm Hg based on the mean of monthly BP measurements, and prescriptions for antihypertensive medications. RESULTS: The annual samples ranged between n=22 110 and n=33 039 individuals, with a mean age of 72 years, 96% of whom were men. Between 2011 and 2014, the age-adjusted proportion of adults with controlled BP declined from 78.0% to 72.2% (P value for linear trend, <0.001), reached a nadir of 71.0% in 2015, and then increased to 72.9% by 2019 (P value for linear trend, <0.001). Among adults with BP above goal, the age-adjusted proportion who did not receive antihypertensive treatment increased throughout the decade from 18.8% to 21.6%, and the age-adjusted proportion who received ≥3 antihypertensive medications decreased from 41.8% to 36.3%. Prescriptions for first-line antihypertensive agents also decreased. CONCLUSIONS: Among adults with CKD treated in the Veterans Health Administration, the proportion with controlled BP declined between 2011 and 2015 followed by a modest increase, coinciding with fewer prescriptions for antihypertensive medications.

Cost-effectiveness of a 3-year tele-messaging intervention for positive airway pressure use.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of a 3-year tele-messaging intervention for positive airway pressure (PAP) use in obstructive sleep apnea (OSA). STUDY DESIGN: A post hoc cost-effectiveness analysis (from US payers' perspective) of data from a 3-month tele-OSA trial, augmented with 33 months of epidemiologic follow-up. METHODS: Cost-effectiveness was compared among 3 groups of participants with an apnea-hypopnea index of at least 15 events/hour: (1) no messaging (n = 172), (2) messaging for 3 months (n = 124), and (3) messaging for 3 years (n = 46). We report the incremental cost (2020 US$) per incremental hour of PAP use and the fraction probability of acceptability based on a willingness-to-pay threshold of $1825 per year ($5/day). RESULTS: The use of 3 years of messaging had similar mean annual costs ($5825) compared with no messaging ($5889; P = .89) but lower mean cost compared with 3 months of messaging ($7376; P = .02). Those who received messaging for 3 years had the highest mean PAP use (4.11 hours/night), followed by no messaging (3.03 hours/night) and 3 months of messaging (2.84 hours/night) (all P < .05). The incremental cost-effectiveness ratios indicated that 3 years of messaging showed lower costs and greater hours of PAP use compared with both no messaging and 3 months of messaging. Based on a willingness-to-pay threshold of $1825, there is a greater than 97.5% chance (ie, 95% confidence) that 3 years of messaging is acceptable compared with the other 2 interventions. CONCLUSIONS: Long-term tele-messaging is highly likely to be cost-effective compared with both no and short-term messaging, with an acceptable willingness-to-pay threshold. Future long-term cost-effectiveness studies in a randomized controlled trial setting are warranted.