Decline in U.S. Emergency Department admission rates driven by critical pathway conditions, 2006-2014.

OBJECTIVES: Despite increasing ED visits, evidence suggests overall hospitalization rates have decreased; however, it is unknown what clinical conditions account for these changes. We aim to describe condition-specific trends and hospital-level variation in hospitalization rates after ED visits from 2006 to 2014. METHODS: Retrospective observational study of adult ED visits to U.S. acute care hospitals using nationally weighted data from the 2006-2014 National Emergency Department Survey. Our primary outcome was ED admission rate, defined as the number of admissions originating in the ED divided by the number of ED visits. We report admission rates overall and for each condition, including changes over time. We used logistic regression to compare the odds of ED admission from 2006 to 2014, adjusting for patient and hospital characteristics. We also measured hospital-level variation by calculating hospital-level median ED admission rates and interquartile ranges. RESULTS: After adjusting for patient and hospital characteristics, the odds of ED admission for any condition were 0.49 (CI 0.45, 0.52) in 2014 compared to 2006. The conditions with the greatest relative change in ED admission rates were chest pain (21.7 to 7.5%) and syncope (28.9 to 13.8%). The decline in ED admission rates were accompanied by increased variation in hospital-level ED admission rates. CONCLUSIONS: Recent reductions in ED admissions are largely attributable to decreased admissions for conditions amenable to outpatient critical pathways. Focusing on hospitals with persistently above-average ED admission rates may be a promising approach to improve the value of acute care.

One year mortality of patients treated with naloxone for opioid overdose by emergency medical services.

Study objective: Prehospital use of naloxone for presumed opioid overdose has increased markedly in recent years because of the current opioid overdose epidemic. In this study, we determine the 1-year mortality of suspected opioid overdose patients who were treated with naloxone by EMS and initially survived. Methods: This was a retrospective observational study of patients using three linked statewide datasets in Massachusetts: emergency medical services (EMS), a master demographics file, and death records. We included all suspected opioid overdose patients who were treated with naloxone by EMS. The primary outcome measures were death within 3 days of treatment and between 4 days and 1 year of treatment. Results: Between July 1, 2013 and December 31, 2015, there were 9734 individuals who met inclusion criteria and were included for analysis. Of these, 807 (8.3% (95% confidence interval (CI) 7.7-8.8%)) died in the first 3 days, 668 (6.9% (95% CI 6.4-7.4%)) died between 4 days and 1 year, and 8259 (84.8% (95% CI 84.1-85.6%)) were still alive at 1 year. Excluding those who died within 3 days, 668 of the remaining 8927 individuals (7.5% (95% CI 6.9-8.0%)) died within 1 year. Conclusion: The 1-year mortality of those who are treated with naloxone for opioid overdose by EMS is high. Communities should focus both on primary prevention and interventions for this patient population, including strengthening regional treatment centers and expanding access to medication for opioid use disorder.

Examining Parity among Black and Hispanic Resident Physicians.

BACKGROUND: The US physician workforce does not represent the racial or ethnic diversity of the population it serves. OBJECTIVES: To assess whether the proportion of US physician trainees of Black race and Hispanic ethnicity has changed over time and then provide a conceptual projection of future trends. DESIGN: Cross-sectional, retrospective, analysis based on 11 years of publicly available data paired with recent US census population estimates. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 86,303 (2007-2008) to 103,539 (2017-2018) resident physicians in the 20 largest US Accreditation Council for Graduate Medical Education resident specialties. MAIN MEASURES: Changes in proportion of physician trainees of Black race and Hispanic ethnicity per academic year. Projected number of years it will then take, for specialties with positive changes, to reach proportions of Black race and Hispanic ethnicity comparable to that of the US population. KEY RESULTS: Among the 20 largest specialty training programs, Radiology was the only specialty with a statistically significant increase in the proportion of Black trainees, but it could take Radiology 77 years to reach levels of Black representation comparable to that of the US population. Obstetrics/Gynecology, Emergency Medicine, Internal Medicine/Pediatrics, and Orthopedic Surgery demonstrated a statistically significant increase in the proportion of Hispanic trainees, but it could take these specialties 35, 54, 61, and 93 years respectively to achieve Hispanic representation comparable to that of the US population. CONCLUSIONS: Among US residents in the 20 largest specialties, no specialty represented either the Black or Hispanic populations in proportions comparable to the overall US population. Only a small number of specialties demonstrated statistically significant increases. This conceptual projection suggests that current efforts to promote diversity are insufficient.

Assessment of outcomes of calciphylaxis.

BACKGROUND: Calciphylaxis is a rare thrombotic vasculopathy characterized by high morbidity and mortality. There is a paucity of studies examining longitudinal outcomes. OBJECTIVE: To assess mortality, days spent in the hospital, and amputations in patients with calciphylaxis. METHODS: A retrospective medical record review was conducted in 145 patients diagnosed with calciphylaxis at an urban tertiary care hospital from January 2006 to December 2018. RESULTS: Six-month mortality was 37.2%, and 1-year mortality was 44.1%. Patients with nephrogenic calciphylaxis had worse survival than those with nonnephrogenic calciphylaxis (P = .007). This difference in survival disappeared when limiting mortality to deaths due to calciphylaxis. Age (P = .003) and end-stage renal disease (P = .01) were risk factors associated with 1-year mortality. Diabetes mellitus was associated with greater total hospitalization days (coefficient, 1.1; 95% confidence interval, 1.01-1.4); bedside debridement was associated with fewer hospitalization days (coefficient, 0.8; 95% confidence interval, 0.7-0.9). Amputations were not associated with any of the examined risk factors. The use of warfarin followed by a transition to nonwarfarin anticoagulation was associated with decreased hazard of death (P = .01). LIMITATIONS: Retrospective nature. CONCLUSIONS: Calciphylaxis remains a complex, heterogeneous disease. Mortality is lower in patients with nonnephrogenic disease. These findings may be incorporated during discussions regarding the goals of care to facilitate informed shared decision making.

Ambulance Calls for Substance-Related Issues Before and After COVID-19.

Background: The United States is currently facing 2 epidemics: sustained morbidity and mortality from substance use and the more recent COVID-19 pandemic. We tested the hypothesis that the pandemic has disproportionately affected individuals with substance use disorder by evaluating average daily 9-1-1 ambulance calls for substance use-related issues compared with all other calls. Methods: This was a retrospective cross-sectional analysis of 9-1-1 ambulance calls before and after the start of COVID-19 in Massachusetts. We used consecutive samples of 9-1-1 ambulance calls, categorized into those which were substance-related or not. An interrupted time series analysis was performed to determine if there were changes in numbers of daily calls before a statewide declaration of emergency for COVID-19 (February 15-March 9, 2020), from the emergency declaration until a stay-at-home advisory (March 10-March 22, 2020) and following the stay-at-home advisory (March 23-May 15, 2020). Results: Compared with prior to the statewide emergency, the post-statewide emergency average of daily ambulance calls decreased from 2,453.2 to 1,969.6, a 19.7% decrease. Similarly, calls for substance-related reasons decreased by 16.4% compared with prior to the statewide emergency. However, despite an initial decrease in calls, after the stay-at-home advisory calls for substance use began increasing by 0.7 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.4-1.1) calls/day, while calls for other reasons did not significantly change (+1.2 (95% CI -0.8 to 3.1) calls/day). Refusal of transport for substance-related calls increased from 5.0% before the statewide emergency to 7.5% after the declaration (p < 0.001). Conclusions: After an initial decline in substance-related ambulance calls following a statewide declaration of emergency, calls for substance use increased to pre-COVID-19 levels, while those for other reasons remained at a lower rate. The results suggest that COVID-19 is disproportionately affecting individuals with substance use disorder.

One-Year Mortality of Patients After Emergency Department Treatment for Nonfatal Opioid Overdose.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: Despite the increased availability of naloxone, death rates from opioid overdose continue to increase. The goal of this study is to determine the 1-year mortality of patients who were treated for a nonfatal opioid overdose in Massachusetts emergency departments (EDs). METHODS: This was a retrospective observational study of patients from 3 linked statewide Massachusetts data sets: a master demographics list, an acute care hospital case-mix database, and death records. Patients discharged from the ED with a final diagnosis of opioid overdose were included. The primary outcome measure was death from any cause within 1 year of overdose treatment. RESULTS: During the study period, 17,241 patients were treated for opioid overdose. Of the 11,557 patients who met study criteria, 635 (5.5%) died within 1 year, 130 (1.1%) died within 1 month, and 29 (0.25%) died within 2 days. Of the 635 deaths at 1 year, 130 (20.5%) occurred within 1 month and 29 (4.6%) occurred within 2 days. CONCLUSION: The short-term and 1-year mortality of patients treated in the ED for nonfatal opioid overdose is high. The first month, and particularly the first 2 days after overdose, is the highest-risk period. Patients who survive opioid overdose should be considered high risk and receive interventions such as being offered buprenorphine, counseling, and referral to treatment before ED discharge.

Implementation of liposomal bupivacaine transversus abdominis plane blocks into the colorectal enhanced recovery after surgery protocol: a natural experiment.

BACKGROUND: Enhanced recovery after surgery (ERAS) programs are now standard of care for colorectal surgery. Efforts have been aimed at decreasing postoperative opioid consumption. The goal of this study is to evaluate the effect of liposomal bupivacaine transversus abdominis plane (TAP) blocks on opioid use and its downstream effect on rates of ileus and hospital length of stay (LOS). METHODS: We performed a retrospective pre- and postintervention time-trend analysis (2016-2018) of ERAS patients undergoing laparoscopic colorectal surgery at two academic medical centers within the same hospital system. The intervention was liposomal bupivacaine TAP blocks versus standard local infiltration with bupivacaine with a primary outcome of total morphine milligram equivalents (MME) administered within 72 h of surgery. Secondary outcomes included hospital LOS and rate of postoperative ileus. RESULTS: There were 556 patients included at the control hospital, and 384 patients were included at the treatment hospital. Patients at both hospitals were similar with regard to age, body mass index, comorbidities, and surgical indication. In an adjusted time-trend analysis, the treatment hospital was associated with a significant decrease in MME administered (- 15.9 mg, p = 0.04) and hospital LOS (- 0.8 days, p < 0.001). There was no significant decrease in the rate of ileus at the treatment hospital (- 6.9%, p = 0.08). CONCLUSIONS: In a time-trend analysis, the addition of liposomal bupivacaine TAP blocks into the ERAS protocol resulted in significantly reduced opioid use and shorter hospital LOS for patients undergoing surgery at the treatment hospital. Liposomal bupivacaine TAP blocks should be considered for inclusion in the standard ERAS protocol.

Effects of Rescheduling Hydrocodone on Opioid Prescribing in Ohio.

BACKGROUND: We quantified opioid prescribing after the 2014 rescheduling of hydrocodone from schedule III to II in the United States using a state-wide prescription database and studied trends three years before and after the policy change, focusing on certain specialties. METHODS: We used Ohio's state prescription drug monitoring program database, which includes all filled schedule II and III prescriptions regardless of payer or pharmacy, to conduct an interrupted time series analysis of the nine most prescribed opioids: hydrocodone, oxycodone, tramadol, codeine, and others. We analyzed hydrocodone prescribing trends for the physician specialties of internal medicine, anesthesiology, and emergency medicine. We evaluated trends 37 months before and after the rescheduling change. RESULTS: Rescheduling was associated with a hydrocodone level change of -26,358 (95% confidence interval [CI] = -36,700 to -16,016) prescriptions (-5.8%) and an additional decrease in prescriptions of -1,568 (95% CI = -2,296 to -839) per month (-0.8%). Codeine prescribing temporarily increased, at a level change of 6,304 (95% CI = 3,003 to 9,606) prescriptions (18.5%), indicating a substitution effect. Hydrocodone prescriptions by specialty were associated with a level change of -805 (95% CI = -1,280 to -330) prescriptions (-8.5%) for anesthesiologists and a level change of -14,619 (95% CI = -23,710 to -5,528) prescriptions (-10.2%) for internists. There was no effect on prescriptions by emergency physicians. CONCLUSIONS: The 2014 federal rescheduling of hydrocodone was associated with declines in hydrocodone prescriptions in Ohio beyond what had already been occurring, and hydrocodone may have been briefly substituted with codeine. These results indicate that rescheduling did have a lasting effect but affected prescribing specialties variably.

Prescription and Prescriber Specialty Characteristics of Initial Opioid Prescriptions Associated with Chronic Use.

OBJECTIVE: This study evaluated the characteristics of opioid prescriptions, including prescriber specialty, given to opioid-naïve patients and their association with chronic use. DESIGN: Cross-sectional analysis of the Ohio prescription drug monitoring program from January 2010 to November 2017. SETTING: Ohio, USA. SUBJECTS: Patients who had no opioid prescriptions from 2010 to 2012 and a first-time prescription from January 2013 to November 2016. METHODS: Chronic use was defined as at least six opioid prescriptions in one year and either one or more years between the first and last prescription or an average of ≤30 days not covered by an opioid during that year. RESULTS: A total of 4,252,809 opioid-naïve patients received their first opioid prescription between 2013 and 2016; 364,947 (8.6%) met the definition for chronic use. Those who developed chronic use were older (51.7 vs 45.6 years) and more likely to be female (53.6% vs 52.8%), and their first prescription had higher pill quantities (44.9 vs 30.2), higher morphine milligram equivalents (MME; 355.3 vs 200.0), and was more likely to be an extended-release formulation (2.9% vs 0.7%, all P < 0.001). When compared with internal medicine, the adjusted odds of chronic use were highest with anesthesiology (odds ratio [OR] = 1.46) and neurology (OR = 1.43) and lowest with ophthalmology (OR = 0.33) and gynecology (OR = 0.37). CONCLUSIONS: Eight point six percent of opioid-naïve individuals who received an opioid prescription developed chronic use. This rate varied depending on the specialty of the provider who wrote the prescription. The risk of chronic use increased with higher MME content of the initial prescription and use of extended-release opioids.

A randomized trial of ultrasound-guided peripheral IV catheter placement in difficult access patients using a guidewire approach.

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this pilot study was to investigate whether use of a guidewire improves successful placement of ultrasound-guided peripheral IVs (PIV) in difficult intravenous access patients in the emergency department (ED). METHODS: This was an unblinded, prospective, randomized trial performed by emergency medicine (EM) clinicians at a single academic ED. Eligible participants were randomized to ultrasound-guided PIV placement with or without the use of a guidewire. PIV access was obtained using the Accucath™ 20 gauge × 5.7 cm catheters by way of deployment or non-deployment of the guidewire. Primary outcome measure was first-pass success rate and secondary outcomes included number of attempts, complication rates, and clinician reported ease of insertion. RESULTS: Seventy patients were enrolled and 69 were included in the final analysis. Thirty-four participants were randomized to use of guidewire and 35 to no guidewire. First-pass success rates were similar with and without guidewire use, 47.1% vs. 45.7%, (p = 0.9). There were no differences found in median number of attempts between the two techniques, 2 (IQR 1-2) vs 2 (IQR 1-2), (p = 0.60). The complication rates were similar, 15% vs. 29% (p = 0.25). Clinicians reported no difference in ease of insertion between methods on a 5-point Likert Scale, mean 2.6 vs 2.7 (p = 0.76). DISCUSSION: In this pilot study comparing ultrasound-guided PIV placement in ED patients using an integrated guidewire versus no guidewire, there was no significant difference in first-pass success, number of attempts, or complication rates. This study provides preliminary data for further investigations.

The Impact of Conversion From an Urgent Care Center to a Freestanding Emergency Department on Patient Population, Conditions Managed, and Reimbursement.

BACKGROUND: Freestanding emergency departments (FSEDs), EDs not attached to acute care hospitals, are expanding. One key question is whether FSEDs are more similar to higher-cost hospital-based EDs or to lower-cost urgent care centers (UCCs). OBJECTIVE: Our aim was to determine whether there was a change in patient population, conditions managed, and reimbursement among three facilities that converted from a UCC to an FSED. METHODS: Using insurance claims from Blue Cross Blue Shield of Texas, we compared outcomes of interest for three facilities that converted from a UCC to an FSED for 1 year before and after conversion. RESULTS: There was no significant change in age, sex, and comorbidities among patients treated after conversion. Conditions were similar after conversion, though there was a small increase in visits for potentially more severe conditions. For example, the most common diagnoses before and after conversion were upper respiratory infections (42.8% of UCC visits, 26.0% of FSED visits), while chest pain increased from rank 30 to 10 (0.5% of UCC visits, 2.3% of FSED visits). Yearly number of visits decreased after conversion, while median reimbursement per visit increased (facility A: $148 to $2,153; facility B: $137 to $1,466; and facility C: $131 to $1,925) and total revenue increased (facility A: $1,389,590 to $1,486,203; facility B: $896,591 to $4,294,636; and facility C: $637,585 to $8,429,828). CONCLUSIONS: After three UCCs converted to FSEDs, patient volume decreased and reimbursement per visit increased, despite no change in patient characteristics and little change in conditions managed. These case studies suggest that some FSEDs are similar to UCCs in patient mix and conditions treated.

Opioid Prescriptions by Specialty in Ohio, 2010-2014.

Background: The current US opioid epidemic is attributed to the large volume of prescribed opioids. This study analyzed the contribution of different medical specialties to overall opioids by evaluating the pill counts and morphine milligram equivalents (MMEs) of opioid prescriptions, stratified by provider specialty, and determined temporal trends. Methods: This was an analysis of the Ohio prescription drug monitoring program database, which captures scheduled medication prescriptions filled in the state as well as prescriber specialty. We extracted prescriptions for pill versions of opioids written in the calendar years 2010 to 2014. The main outcomes were the number of filled prescriptions, pill counts, MMEs, and extended-released opioids written by physicians in each specialty, and annual prescribing trends. Results: There were 56,873,719 prescriptions for the studied opioids dispensed, for which 41,959,581 (73.8%) had prescriber specialty type available. Mean number of pills per prescription and MMEs were highest for physical medicine/rehabilitation (PM&R; 91.2 pills, 1,532 mg, N = 1,680,579), anesthesiology/pain (89.3 pills, 1,484 mg, N = 3,261,449), hematology/oncology (88.2 pills, 1,534 mg, N = 516,596), and neurology (84.4 pills, 1,230 mg, N = 573,389). Family medicine (21.8%) and internal medicine (17.6%) wrote the most opioid prescriptions overall. Time trends in the average number of pills and MMEs per prescription also varied depending on specialty. Conclusions: The numbers of pills and MMEs per opioid prescription vary markedly by prescriber specialty, as do trends in prescribing characteristics. Pill count and MME values define each specialty's contribution to overall opioid prescribing more accurately than the number of prescriptions alone.

Where Do Freestanding Emergency Departments Choose to Locate? A National Inventory and Geographic Analysis in Three States.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: We determine the number and location of freestanding emergency departments (EDs) across the United States and determine the population characteristics of areas where freestanding EDs are located. METHODS: We conducted a systematic inventory of US freestanding EDs. For the 3 states with the highest number of freestanding EDs, we linked demographic, insurance, and health services data, using the 5-digit ZIP code corresponding to the freestanding ED's location. To create a comparison nonfreestanding ED group, we matched 187 freestanding EDs to 1,048 nonfreestanding ED ZIP codes on land and population within state. We compared differences in demographic, insurance, and health services factors between matched ZIP codes with and without freestanding EDs, using univariate regressions with weights. RESULTS: We identified 360 freestanding EDs located in 30 states; 54.2% of freestanding EDs were hospital satellites, 36.6% were independent, and 9.2% were not classifiable. The 3 states with the highest number of freestanding EDs accounted for 66% of all freestanding EDs: Texas (181), Ohio (34), and Colorado (24). Across all 3 states, freestanding EDs were located in ZIP codes that had higher incomes and a lower proportion of the population with Medicaid. In Texas and Ohio, freestanding EDs were located in ZIP codes with a higher proportion of the population with private insurance. In Texas, freestanding EDs were located in ZIP codes that had fewer Hispanics, had a greater number of hospital-based EDs and physician offices, and had more physician visits and medical spending per year than ZIP codes without a freestanding ED. In Ohio, freestanding EDs were located in ZIP codes with fewer hospital-based EDs. CONCLUSION: In Texas, Ohio, and Colorado, freestanding EDs were located in areas with a better payer mix. The location of freestanding EDs in relation to other health care facilities and use and spending on health care varied between states.

The Effect of Opioid Prescribing Guidelines on Prescriptions by Emergency Physicians in Ohio.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: The objective of our study is to evaluate the association between Ohio's April 2012 emergency physician guidelines aimed at reducing inappropriate opioid prescribing and the number and type of opioid prescriptions dispensed by emergency physicians. METHODS: We used Ohio's prescription drug monitoring program data from January 1, 2010, to December 31, 2014, and included the 5 most commonly prescribed opioids (hydrocodone, oxycodone, tramadol, codeine, and hydromorphone). The primary outcome was the monthly statewide prescription total of opioids written by emergency physicians in Ohio. We used an interrupted time series analysis to compare pre- and postguideline level and trend in number of opioid prescriptions dispensed by emergency physicians per month, number of prescriptions stratified by 5 commonly prescribed opioids, and number of prescriptions for greater than 3 days' supply of opioids. RESULTS: Beginning in January 2010, the number of prescriptions dispensed by all emergency physicians in Ohio decreased by 0.3% per month (95% confidence interval [CI] -0.49% to -0.15%). The implementation of the guidelines in April 2012 was associated with a 12% reduction (95% CI -17.7% to -6.3%) in the level of statewide total prescriptions per month and an additional decline of 0.9% (95% CI -1.1% to -0.7%) in trend relative to the preguideline trend. The estimated effect of the guidelines on total monthly prescriptions greater than a 3-day supply was an 11.2% reduction in level (95% CI -18.8% to -3.6%) and an additional 0.9% (95% CI -1.3% to -0.5%) decline in trend per month after the guidelines. Guidelines were also associated with a reduction in prescribing for each of the 5 individual opioids, with various effect. CONCLUSION: In Ohio, emergency physician opioid prescribing guidelines were associated with a decrease in the quantity of opioid prescriptions written by emergency physicians. Although introduction of the guidelines occurred in parallel with other opioid-related interventions, our findings suggest an additional effect of the guidelines on prescribing behavior. Similar guidelines may have the potential to reduce opioid prescribing in other geographic areas and for other specialties as well.

Racial and Ethnic Concordance Between National Health Service Corps Clinicians and Underserved Populations.

Importance: Despite the widely recognized importance of racial and ethnic concordance between patients and clinicians, there is a lack of studies on clinician diversity in medically underserved areas and whether it aligns with the changing demographic landscape. Objective: To assess trends in National Health Services Corps (NHSC) clinician diversity and racial and ethnic concordance between NHSC clinicians and the populations in underserved areas from before to after the 2009 NHSC expansion. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cross-sectional, population-based study compared trends in the diversity of NHSC clinicians practicing in health professional shortage areas (HPSAs) and the HPSA populations during 2003 to 2019 using the Health Resources and Services Administration's NHSC Field Strength Database and Area Health Resources Files. The analysis was performed from February through May 2023. Main Outcomes and Measures: Concordance was measured with an annual community representativeness ratio defined as the ratio of the proportions of same race or ethnicity NHSC clinicians to HPSA population. Results: There were a total of 41 180 clinicians practicing in HPSAs from 2003 to 2019; the median (IQR) age was 34 (30-41) years. Among 38 569 NHSC clinicians who reported gender, 28 444 (73.7%) identified as female and 10 125 (26.3%) identified as male. The average annual number of NHSC clinicians increased from 3357 in 2003 to 2008 to 9592 in 2009 to 2019. Before 2009, 1076 clinicians (5.3%) identified as Black, 9780 (48.6%) as Hispanic, 908 (4.5%) as other, and 8380 (41.6%) as White. During this period, concordance was low among non-Hispanic White and Black individuals due to clinician underrepresentation relative to the population, yet Hispanic clinicians were overrepresented. Following the 2009 NHSC expansion, the main change was the sharp decline in the proportion of Hispanic clinicians, to 1601 (13%) by 2019; while concordance was achieved for non-Hispanic White and Black individuals, Hispanic clinicians became underrepresented relative to population. The results held across 3 specialties: primary care, mental health care, and dental care. Conclusions and Relevance: This cross-sectional study of trends in racial and ethnic concordance found that while the NHSC expansion starting in 2009 improved clinician-population concordance for non-Hispanic White and Black individuals, it reversed a prior trend for Hispanic individuals among whom clinicians became underrepresented relative to the population. Targeted NHSC clinician recruitment efforts are needed to improve concordance for Hispanic individuals in underserved areas, especially given Hispanics' projected growth in the US.

Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on regular emergency department users.

OBJECTIVES: Regular users of the emergency department (ED) include both patients who could be better served in lower-acuity settings and those with high-severity conditions. ED use decreased during the COVID-19 pandemic, but patterns among regular ED users are unknown. To determine the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on this population, we examined quarterly postpandemic ED utilization among prepandemic regular ED users. Key subgroups included prepandemic ED users with regular visits for (1) low-severity conditions and (2) high-severity conditions. STUDY DESIGN: An event study design with COVID-19 and historic controls cohorts. METHODS: We identified 4710 regular ED users at baseline and followed their ED utilization for 7 quarters. We used a generalized estimating equations model to compare the relative quarterly percent difference in ED visit rates between the COVID-19 and historic controls cohorts. RESULTS: The first postpandemic quarter was associated with the largest decline in ED visits, at -36.0% (95% CI, -42.0% to -29.3%) per regular ED user overall, -52.2% (95% CI, -69.4% to -25.3%) among high-severity users, and -29.6% (95% CI, -39.8% to -17.8%) among low-severity users. However, use did not statistically differ from expected levels after 5 quarters among all regular ED users, 1 quarter among high-severity users, and 3 quarters among regular low-severity users. CONCLUSIONS: Initial reductions among regular high-severity ED users raise concern for harm from delayed or missed care but did not result in increased high-severity visits later. Nonsustained declines among regular low-severity ED users suggest barriers to and opportunities for redirecting nonurgent ED use to lower-acuity settings.

Projected Saudi Arabian pediatric emergency consultant physician staffing needs for 2021-2030.

BACKGROUND: Assess current and future pediatric emergency physician supply and need at 26 pediatric emergency departments (EDs) in 10 administrative regions across Saudi Arabia from 2021 through 2030. METHODS: For 10 administrative regions across Saudi Arabia, data were obtained on the size of the pediatric population (children <14 years old), the expected number of pediatric ED visits, and the number of pediatric emergency, fellowship-trained consultant physicians for the years 2015 through 2019. Time series linear regression modeling was used to estimate annual pediatric population sizes and pediatric ED visits for 2021-2030, based on 2015-2019 data trends. The projected number of pediatric emergency consultant physicians needed for 2021-2030 based on these trends was calculated according to a consensus method adopted by the Saudi Ministry of Health. RESULTS: For the 10 Saudi Arabian administrative regions, the pediatric population is estimated to be 8,061,409 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 7,815,767 to 8,307,052) in 2021 and 9,764,591 (95% CI: 9,046,490 to 10,500,000) for 2030, and estimated the number of pediatric ED visits is 3,442,259 (95% CI: 3,013,697 to 3,870,822) for 2021 and 4,610,072 (95% CI: 3,026,986 to 6,193,158) for 2030. The projected number of pediatric emergency consultant physicians needed for 2021 is 1158 (95% CI: 1,002 to 1,314) and for 2030 is 1500 (95% CI: 985 to 2016), whereas deficit in number of pediatric emergency consultant physicians available is 1107 (95% CI: 944 to 1,270) for 2021 and 1405 (95% CI: 869 to 1,941) for 2030. CONCLUSIONS: The study projections demonstrate a disparity between current and projected supply and demand of pediatric emergency physicians within Saudi Arabia.

The Effect of Noise-Masking Earbuds (SleepBuds) on Reported Sleep Quality and Tension in Health Care Shift Workers: Prospective Single-Subject Design Study.

BACKGROUND: Shift work is associated with sleep disorders, which impair alertness and increase risk of chronic physical and mental health disease. In health care workers, shift work and its associated sleep loss decrease provider wellness and can compromise patient care. Pharmacological sleep aids or substances such as alcohol are often used to improve sleep with variable effects on health and well-being. OBJECTIVE: We tested whether use of noise-masking earbuds can improve reported sleep quality, sleepiness, and stress level in health care shift workers, and increase alertness and reaction time post night shift. METHODS: Emergency medicine resident physicians were recruited for a prospective, single-subject design study. Entrance surveys on current sleep habits were completed. For 14 days, participants completed daily surveys reporting sleep aid use and self-rated perceived sleepiness, tension level, and last nights' sleep quality using an 8-point Likert scale. After overnight shifts, 3-minute psychomotor vigilance tests (PVT) measuring reaction time were completed. At the end of 14 days, participants were provided noise-masking earbuds, which they used in addition to their baseline sleep regimens as they were needed for sleep for the remainder of the study period. Daily sleep surveys, post-overnight shift PVT, and earbud use data were collected for an additional 14 days. A linear mixed effects regression model was used to assess changes in the pre- and postintervention outcomes with participants serving as their own controls. RESULTS: In total, 36 residents were recruited, of whom 26 participants who completed daily sleep surveys and used earbuds at least once during the study period were included in the final analysis. The median number of days of earbud use was 5 (IQR 2-9) days of the available 14 days. On days when residents reported earbud use, previous nights' sleep quality increased by 0.5 points (P<.001, 95% CI 0.23-0.80), daily sleepiness decreased by 0.6 points (P<.001, 95% CI -0.90 to -0.34), and total daily tension decreased by 0.6 points (P<.001, 95% CI -0.81 to -0.32). These effects were more pronounced in participants who reported worse-than-average preintervention sleep scores. CONCLUSIONS: Nonpharmacological noise-masking interventions such as earbuds may improve daily sleepiness, tension, and perceived sleep quality in health care shift workers. Larger-scale studies are needed to determine this interventions' effect on other populations of shift workers' post-night shift alertness, users' long-term physical and mental health, and patient outcomes.