The efficacy and safety of a fixed-dose combination of apocynin and paeonol, APPA, in symptomatic knee OA: A double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled, clinical trial.

OBJECTIVE: Apocynin (AP) and paeonol (PA) are low molecular weight phenolic compounds with a broad array of anti-inflammatory and immunoregulatory effects. This study assessed of a fixed-dose combination of APPA in people with symptomatic knee osteoarthritis (OA). METHODS: A multi-center, randomized, placebo-controlled, double-blind phase 2a trial enrolled participants with radiographic knee OA (Kellgren-Lawrence, KL, grades 2-3) and pain ≥40/100 on WOMAC pain subscale, and evaluated the efficacy and safety of oral APPA over a 28-day period. APPA 800 mg or matching placebo was administered twice daily in a 1:1 ratio. Post-hoc analyses explored the response to APPA in sub-groups with more severe pain and structural severity. RESULTS: The two groups were comparable at baseline; 152 subjects were enrolled and 148 completed the trial. There was no statistically significant difference between groups with respect to the primary outcome, WOMAC pain (mean difference between groups was -0.89, 95% CI: -5.62, 3.84, p = 0.71), nor WOMAC function or WOMAC total. However, predefined subgroup analyses of subjects with symptoms compatible with nociplastic/neuropathic pain features showed a statistically significant effect of APPA compared to placebo. Adverse events (mainly gastrointestinal) were mild to moderate. CONCLUSION: Treatment with APPA 800 mg twice daily for 28 days in subjects with symptomatic knee OA was not associated with significant symptom improvement compared to placebo. The treatment was well-tolerated and safe. While the study was not powered for such analysis, pre-planned subgroup analyses showed a significant effect of APPA in subjects with nociplastic pain/severe OA, indicating that further research in the effects of APPA in appropriate patients is warranted.

A phase 2b double-blind placebo-controlled randomized clinical trial of SB-061, an aggrecan mimetic, in patients with symptomatic knee osteoarthritis.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the efficacy and safety of intra-articular injections of a novel aggrecan mimetic, SB-061, in subjects with knee osteoarthritis (OA). METHODS: This was a randomized, placebo-controlled, double-blind phase II study comparing intra-articular injections of SB-061 with placebo (isotonic saline) for 52 weeks, administered at baseline, Wk 16, and Wk 32. Eligible subjects had a KL grade of 2 or 3 on X-ray of the target knee and a Western Ontario McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index (WOMAC) pain score ≥20 out of 50 at screening and baseline visits. Subjects having any other knee condition were excluded. Use of analgesics was prohibited, except for rescue medication. The primary endpoint was change from baseline (CFB) in WOMAC pain at Week 8. Secondary endpoints were CFB in WOMAC function and total, ICOAP, Patient Global Assessment, and 20-meter walk test. Exploratory endpoints included structural CFB in magnetic resonance imaging entities. RESULTS: A total of 288 subjects were randomized to SB-061 (n = 145) or placebo (n = 143), and 252 (87.5%) completed injections. The groups were comparable at baseline. The primary endpoint was not met, as no significant difference in the CFB of the WOMAC pain score at Week 8 between groups was observed, nor at any other time point during the study. Similarly, neither of the secondary or exploratory endpoints indicated any significant difference between groups. The frequency and type of adverse events were similar between groups. SB-061 was well-tolerated. CONCLUSION: Intra-articular injections of SB-061 administered at baseline, Week 16, and Week 32, over one year in subjects with knee OA, were safe but did not show any statistically significant effect on knee pain nor on other symptomatic or structural entities compared to placebo. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER EUDRACT NO: 2019-004515-31.

Impact of monitoring approaches on data quality in clinical trials.

AIMS: Source data verification (SDV) has been reported to account for up to 25% of the budget in clinical trials (CT) and cost-benefit of SDV has been questioned. Guidelines for risk-based monitoring (RBM) were published in 2013 by agencies and in 2016, ICH-GCP-E6-(R2) added a requirement for risk-based approaches. This report will perform a comparison of the impact of RBM vs classic monitoring (CM) on data quality (defined as accuracy of data reporting from source data to final trial data) and expected impact on costs of CTs. METHODS: Data on residual errors from four, large comparable randomised CTs were examined by post-trial SDV. Observed discrepancies were analysed in the categories of "overall" data, "major efficacy" and "major safety". In each category, the residual error rate was calculated as the number of discrepancies divided by the number of data-fields verified. RESULTS: A total of 1 716 087 data points were verified using CM and 323 174 using RBM. The overall error rate was 0.40% for RBM and 0.37% for CM (P < 0.01). For major efficacy, defined by risk assessment, the error rate was 0.15% and 0.28% (P < 0.0001); in major safety, defined by risk assessment, the error rate was 0.49% and 0.67% (P = 0.15), both in favour of the RBM approach. CONCLUSION: These empirical data, directly comparing RBM with CM, suggest that RBM improves data quality regarding data-points of major importance to trial outcomes, efficacy and major safety. Overall, the RBM approach showed a correlation to reduced amount of data collection errors with major relevance for interpretation of study results and subject safety as well as reducing on-site monitoring and data cleaning resources.

Symptomatic and structural benefit of cathepsin K inhibition by MIV-711 in a subgroup with unilateral pain: post-hoc analysis of a randomised phase 2a clinical trial.

OBJECTIVES: Osteoarthritis (OA) development programmes face challenges due to discordance between structural changes and symptoms. A novel cathepsin-K inhibitor, MIV-711, recently reported structural benefits, but did not demonstrate a significant difference from placebo in symptoms. Previous work suggests that pain from non-target joints may confound OA pain outcomes. We therefore conducted an exploratory analysis in participants with predominantly unilateral knee pain from the MIV-711-201 trial. METHOSD: Participants scoring below median contralateral knee NRS pain at baseline from the MIV-711-201 phase 2a clinical trial (n=119) were analysed by treatment group for differences in change from baseline in WOMAC pain, quantitative magnetic resonance imaging bone area and cartilage thickness with a repeated-measures mixed model adjusting for relevant co-variates. RESULTS: In the subgroup with unilateral knee pain, treatment with MIV-711 100 mg led to greater reduction in WOMAC pain compared to placebo (-5.0, 95% CI: -8.69 to -1.3, p=0.008), while 200 mg did not (-2.5, 95% CI: -6.5 to 1.6, p=0.23). MIV-711 treatment was associated with a reduced change in bone area compared to placebo (200 mg; -19.6 mm2 , 95% CI: -36.2 to -3.0, p=0.02, and 100 mg; -12.5 mm2 , 95% CI: -27.8 to 2.8, p=0.11,). No observed differences between treatment groups in cartilage thickness were found in this subgroup. CONCLUSIONS: In a subgroup with predominantly unilateral knee pain, significant reduction in OA pain by MIV-711 100 mg treatment was found, with concurrent beneficial structural effects, highlighting the importance of appropriate pain inclusion criteria in OA trials.

Long-term structural and symptomatic effects of intra-articular sprifermin in patients with knee osteoarthritis: 5-year results from the FORWARD study.

OBJECTIVE: The FORWARD (FGF-18 Osteoarthritis Randomized Trial with Administration of Repeated Doses) trial assessed efficacy and safety of the potential disease-modifying osteoarthritis drug (DMOAD) sprifermin in patients with knee osteoarthritis. Here, we report 5-year efficacy and safety results. METHODS: Patients were randomised to intra-articular sprifermin 100 µg or 30 µg every 6 months (q6mo) or 12 months, or placebo, for 18 months. The primary analysis was at year 2, with follow-up at years 3, 4 and 5. Additional post hoc exploratory analyses were conducted in patients with baseline minimum radiographic joint space width 1.5-3.5 mm and Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index (WOMAC) pain 40-90, a subgroup at risk (SAR) of progression. RESULTS: 378 (69%) patients completed the 5-year follow-up. A significant dose-response in total femorotibial joint cartilage thickness with sprifermin (trend test, p<0.001) and a 0.05 mm mean difference with sprifermin 100 µg q6mo versus placebo (95% CI 0.00 to 0.10; p=0.015) were sustained to year 5. WOMAC pain scores improved ~50% from baseline in all groups. No patient in the 100 µg q6mo group had replacement of the treated knee. 96%-98% of patients receiving sprifermin and 98% placebo reported adverse events, most were mild or moderate and deemed unrelated to treatment. Adverse event-related study withdrawals were <10%. Differentiation in WOMAC pain between sprifermin 100 µg q6mo and placebo in the SAR (n=161) at year 3 was maintained to year 5 (-10.08; 95% CI -25.68 to 5.53). CONCLUSION: In the longest DMOAD trial reported to date, sprifermin maintained long-term structural modification of articular cartilage over 3.5 years post-treatment. Potential translation to clinical benefit was observed in the SAR. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT01919164.

A biomarker perspective on the acute effect of exercise with and without impact on joint tissue turnover: an exploratory randomized cross-over study.

PURPOSE: To investigate acute changes in biochemical markers of bone and cartilage turnover in response to moderate intensity exercise with and without joint impact in healthy human subjects. METHODS: A randomized, cross-over, exploratory, clinical study was conducted. Twenty healthy subjects with no history of joint trauma completed 30 min interventions of standardized moderate intensity cycling and running as well as a resting intervention 1 week apart. Blood samples were taken immediately before, four times after exercise and again the next day. Urine was sampled, before, after and the next day. On the day of rest, samples were taken at timepoints similar to the days of exercise. Markers of type I (CTX-I), II (C2M, CTX-II) and VI (C6M) collagen degradation, cartilage oligomeric matrix protein (COMP) and procollagen C-2 (PRO-C2) was measured. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT04542655, 02 September 2020, retrospectively registered. RESULTS: CTX-I was different from cycling (4.2%, 95%CI: 0.4-8.0%, p = 0.03) and resting (6.8%, 95%CI: 2.9-10.7%, p = 0.001) after running and the mean change in COMP was different from cycling (10.3%, 95%CI: 1.1-19.5%, p = 0.03), but not from resting (8.6%, 95%CI: - 0.7-17.8%, p = 0.07) after running. Overall, changes in other biomarkers were not different between interventions. CONCLUSION: In this exploratory study, running, but not cycling, at a moderate intensity and duration induced acute changes in biomarkers of bone and cartilage extra-cellular matrix turnover.

A low cartilage formation and repair endotype predicts radiographic progression of symptomatic knee osteoarthritis.

BACKGROUND: Osteoarthritis (OA) is a disease with multiple endotypes. A hallmark of OA is loss of cartilage; however, it is evident that the rate of cartilage loss differs among patients, which may partly be attributed to differential capacity for cartilage repair. We hypothesize that a low cartilage repair endotype exists and that such endotypes are more likely to progress radiographically. The aim of this study is to examine the associations of level of cartilage formation with OA severity and radiographic OA progression. We used the blood-based marker PRO-C2, reflecting type II collagen formation, to assess levels of cartilage formation. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The type II collagen propeptide PRO-C2 was measured in the serum/plasma of knee OA subjects from New York University (NYU, n = 106) and a subcohort of the phase III oral salmon calcitonin (sCT) trial SMC021-2301 (SMC, n = 147). Risk of radiographic medial joint space narrowing (JSN) over 24 months was compared between quartiles (very low, low, moderate, and high) of PRO-C2. Associations were adjusted for age, gender, BMI, race, baseline pain levels, and baseline joint space width. RESULTS: In both the NYU and SMC cohorts, subjects with low PRO-C2 levels had greater JSN compared with subjects with high PRO-C2. Mean difference in JSN between subjects with very low and high levels of PRO-C2 was 0.65 mm (p = 0.002), corresponding to a 3.4 (1.4-8.6)-fold higher risk of progression. There was no significant effect of sCT treatment, compared with placebo, on JSN over 2 years before stratification based on baseline PRO-C2. However, there were proportionately fewer progressors in the sCT arm of the very low/low PRO-C2 group compared with the moderate/high group (Chi squared = 6.5, p = 0.011). CONCLUSION: Serum/plasma level of type II collagen formation, PRO-C2, may be an objective indicator of a low cartilage repair endotype, displaying radiographic progression and superior response to a proanabolic drug. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level III post hoc exploratory analysis of one longitudinal cohort and a sub-study from one phase III clinical trial.

Incidence of total hip and total knee replacements from the prospective epidemiologic risk factor study: considerations for event driven clinical trial design.

BACKGROUND: Osteoarthritis (OA) leads to joint failure and total joint replacement (TJR, either hip (H) or knee (K)). Worsening of pain and joint space narrowing are believed to be surrogates for joint failure; however, we hypothesize that TJR, as a reflection of joint failure, can be used as an endpoint in event-driven clinical trials within a reasonable duration. We explored the incidence of TJR in the Prospective Epidemiologic Risk Factor (PERF I) study. METHODS: A total of 5855 Danish postmenopausal women aged 49-88 enrolled in the PERF I study during 1999-2001 (baseline). Three-, six- and twelve-year follow-up data from the Danish National Patient Registry was collected, including occurrence of TJR and OA diagnosis. At baseline the women were asked whether they had OA. RESULTS: The women with a TJR diagnosis before or after baseline were on average 1 year older (p < 0.001) and heavier (p < 0.001), compared to women with no TJR. The 3-, 6- and 12-year cumulative incidences were 1.1, 2.4 and 6.0% for TKR, and 2.1, 4.4 and 9.3% for THR. For those with an OA diagnosis at baseline the respective incidences were 2.7, 5.6 and 11.7% and 3.9, 7.2 and 13.6% CONCLUSIONS: Within 3, 6 or 12 years TJR incidences were double for women with an OA diagnosis compared to the all-comer population. TJRs are frequent amongst elderly women with OA and it is, therefore, feasible to conduct event-driven clinical trials where TJR is the endpoint demonstrating clinical benefit of a novel disease-modifying OA drug (DMOAD).

Effect of Intra-Articular Sprifermin vs Placebo on Femorotibial Joint Cartilage Thickness in Patients With Osteoarthritis: The FORWARD Randomized Clinical Trial.

Importance: Sprifermin is under investigation as a disease-modifying osteoarthritis drug. Objective: To evaluate the effects of sprifermin on changes in total femorotibial joint cartilage thickness in the more symptomatic knee of patients with osteoarthritis. Design, Setting, and Participants: FORWARD (FGF-18 Osteoarthritis Randomized Trial with Administration of Repeated Doses) was a 5-year, dose-finding, multicenter randomized clinical trial conducted at 10 sites. Eligible participants were aged 40 to 85 years with symptomatic, radiographic knee osteoarthritis and Kellgren-Lawrence grade 2 or 3. Enrollment began in July 2013 and ended in May 2014; the last participant visit occurred on May 8, 2017. The primary outcome at 2 years and a follow-up analysis at 3 years are reported. Interventions: Participants were randomized to 1 of 5 groups: intra-articular injections of 100 µg of sprifermin administered every 6 months (n = 110) or every 12 months (n = 110), 30 µg of sprifermin every 6 months (n = 111) or every 12 months (n = 110), or placebo every 6 months (n = 108). Each treatment consisted of weekly injections over 3 weeks. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary end point was change in total femorotibial joint cartilage thickness measured by quantitative magnetic resonance imaging at 2 years. The secondary end points (of 15 total) included 2-year change from baseline in total Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index (WOMAC) scores. The minimal clinically important difference (MCID) is unknown for the primary outcome; for total WOMAC score in patients with hip and knee osteoarthritis, the absolute MCID is 7 U (95% CI, 4 to 10 U) and the percentage MCID is 14% (95% CI, 9% to 18%). Results: Among 549 participants (median age, 65.0 years; 379 female [69.0%]), 474 (86.3%) completed 2-year follow-up. Compared with placebo, the changes from baseline to 2 years in total femorotibial joint cartilage thickness were 0.05 mm (95% CI, 0.03 to 0.07 mm) for 100 µg of sprifermin administered every 6 months; 0.04 mm (95% CI, 0.02 to 0.06 mm) for 100 µg of sprifermin every 12 months; 0.02 mm (95% CI, -0.01 to 0.04 mm) for 30 µg of sprifermin every 6 months; and 0.01 mm (95% CI, -0.01 to 0.03 mm) for 30 µg of sprifermin every 12 months. Compared with placebo, there were no statistically significant differences in mean absolute change from baseline in total WOMAC scores for 100 µg of sprifermin administered every 6 months or every 12 months, or for 30 µg of sprifermin every 6 months or every 12 months. The most frequently reported treatment-emergent adverse event was arthralgia (placebo: n = 46 [43.0%]; 100 µg of sprifermin administered every 6 months: n = 45 [41.3%]; 100 µg of sprifermin every 12 months: n = 50 [45.0%]; 30 µg of sprifermin every 6 months: n = 40 [36.0%]; and 30 µg of sprifermin every 12 months: n = 48 [44.0%]). Conclusions and Relevance: Among participants with symptomatic radiographic knee osteoarthritis, the intra-articular administration of 100 µg of sprifermin every 6 or 12 months vs placebo resulted in an improvement in total femorotibial joint cartilage thickness after 2 years that was statistically significant, but of uncertain clinical importance; there was no significant difference for 30 µg of sprifermin every 6 or 12 months vs placebo. Durability of response also was uncertain. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT01919164.

Suppression of active, but not total MMP-3, is associated with treatment response in a phase III clinical study of rheumatoid arthritis.

OBJECTIVE: Biologics for rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients with moderate to severe disease may preserve joint function. Matrix metalloproteinase 3 (MMP-3), a key tissue degrading protease, is highly elevated in RA. MMP-3, which measures the total pool of circulating MMP-3 species (cMMP3), is a commonly measured biomarker in rheumatology. The aim was to investigate the association of activated MMP-3 (actMMP3) species with treatment response compared to cMMP-3. METHODS: The LITHE biomarker study (n=741) was a 1-year phase III, double-blind, placebo-controlled, parallel group study of TCZ in RA patients on stable methotrexate. cMMP-3 and actMMP-3 were assessed in fasting serum at baseline, week 4, 16, 24 and 52. Patients not achieving ACR20 remission at week 16 or 28 received rescue treatment (escapers). Spearman's correlation was analysed between biomarker baseline level or biomarker delta and clinical measures. Changes in biomarker levels were studied as a function of time and treatment. RESULTS: ActMMP-3 16-week change in treatment groups was predictive of 1-year radiographic progression; a small change in actMMP3 was equal to worsening radiographics. Baseline cMMP-3 was associated with 52-weeks' radiographic status and cMMP3 16-weeks' change was predictive of 1-year change in disease activity. ActMMP-3 was dose-dependently decreased by TCZ, and escapers decreased in actMMP-3 upon treatment. CONCLUSIONS: ActMMP-3 and cMMP-3 were found to be efficacy biomarkers of TCZ and actMMP-3 were able to differentiated doses. Moreover, the suppression of actMMP3, but not cMMP3 was associated with treatment response. This study illustrates that two biomarkers of the same protein may have different predictive capacities.

Type IV collagen metabolism is associated with disease activity, radiographic progression and response to tocilizumab in rheumatoid arthritis.

OBJECTIVES: The expanding spectrum of targeted therapies for rheumatoid arthritis (RA) implies a need for development of precision tools for disease assessment reflecting pathobiologic processes. Type IV collagen is an abundant protein of basement membranes, but is also present in the intercellular matrix of the synovial lining layer. We aimed to investigate the association of type IV collagen turnover with RA disease activity, response to IL-6 inhibition and radiographic progression. METHODS: C4M, a serologic marker of type IV collagen metabolism, was measured at baseline and at follow-up in serum samples of RA patients participating in the phase III studies LITHE (n=687) and RADIATE (n=217). Both were double-blinded, placebo-controlled clinical trials testing the safety and efficacy of 4 and 8 mg/kg tocilizumab (TCZ) in combination with methotrexate (MTX) vs. MTX plus placebo. Associations with disease activity, radiographic severity and ACR response were investigated. RESULTS: Baseline C4M correlated significantly with clinical disease parameters in both study populations, including DAS28, HAQ score and VASpain (all p<0.00001). C4M at baseline correlated significantly with change in JSN (p=0.001) and Sharp score (p=0.00002) at 52 weeks. TCZ lowered C4M by 11-40% in a dose dependent manner. The likelihood of achieving an ACR20 response by week 16 was associated with C4M suppression exceeding the median decrease at week 4 (p<0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: Type IV collagen remodelling was associated with disease activity and radiographic progression in RA and was persistently and dose-dependently suppressed by TCZ. These findings indicate that C4M may serve as a plausible biologic marker of destructive synovitis growth in RA.

Identification of pain categories associated with change in pain in patients receiving placebo: data from two phase 3 randomized clinical trials in symptomatic knee osteoarthritis.

BACKGROUND: Pain is the principal clinical symptom of osteoarthritis (OA), and development of safe and effective analgesics for OA pain is needed. Drug development of new analgesics for OA pain is impaired by substantial change in pain in patients receiving placebo, and more data describing clinical characteristics and pain categories particularly associated with this phenomenon is needed. The purpose of this post-hoc analysis was to investigate clinical characteristics and pain categories and their association with radiographic progression and placebo pain reduction (PPR) in OA patients as measured the Western Ontario and McMasters Arthritis (WOMAC). METHODS: Pooled data from the placebo groups of two phase III randomized clinical trials in patients with knee OA followed for 2 years were analyzed. Differences between individual sub-scores and pain categories of weight-bearing and non-weight bearing pain over time were assessed. Selected patient baseline characteristics were assessed for association with PPR. Association between pain categories and radiographic progression was analyzed. RESULTS: The reduction of pain in placebo-treated patients was significantly higher in the composite of questions related to weight-bearing pain compared to non-weight-bearing pain of the target knee. Baseline BMI, age and JSW were not associated with pain change. Pain reduction was higher in the Target knee, compared to the Non-Target knee at all corresponding time-points. A very weak correlation was found between weight-bearing pain and progression in the non-target knee. CONCLUSIONS: These results indicate that the reduction in pain in patients treated with placebo is significantly different between pain categories, as weight-bearing pain was significantly more reduced compared to non-weight-bearing pain. Further research in pain categories in OA is warranted. TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT00486434 (trial 1) and NCT00704847 (trial 2).

Serum endotrophin identifies optimal responders to PPARγ agonists in type 2 diabetes.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: The treatment of type 2 diabetes with full peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor gamma (PPARγ) agonists improves insulin sensitivity, but is associated with weight gain, heart failure, peripheral oedema and bone loss. Endotrophin, the C-terminal fragment of the α3 chain of procollagen type VI (also called Pro-C6), is involved in both adipose tissue matrix remodelling and metabolic control. We established a serum assay for endotrophin to assess if this novel adipokine could identify type 2 diabetic patients who respond optimally to PPARγ agonists, improving the risk-to-benefit ratio. METHODS: The BALLET trial (NCT00515632) compared the glucose-lowering effects and safety of the partial PPARγ agonist balaglitazone with those of pioglitazone in individuals with type 2 diabetes on stable insulin therapy. The per protocol population (n = 297) was stratified into tertiles based on baseline endotrophin levels. Participants were followed-up after 26 weeks, after which correlational analysis was carried out between endotrophin levels and measures of glucose control. This is a secondary post hoc analysis. RESULTS: Endotrophin was significantly associated with therapeutic response to balaglitazone and pioglitazone. At week 26, only individuals in the upper two tertiles showed significant reductions in HbA1c and fasting serum glucose compared with baseline. The OR for a 1% and a 0.5% reduction in HbA1c for individuals in the upper two tertiles were 3.83 (95% CI 1.62, 9.04) p < 0.01, and 3.85 (95% CI 1.94, 7.61) p < 0.001, respectively. Endotrophin levels correlated with adipose tissue mass, insulin resistance and fatty liver index. Notably, PPARγ-associated adverse effects, such as moderate-to-severe lower extremity oedema, only occurred in the lower tertile. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Elevated endotrophin serum levels predict response to two insulin sensitisers and reduce the risk of associated adverse effects, thereby, identifying patients with type 2 diabetes who may profit from PPARγ agonist treatment.

Biomarkers of collagen turnover are related to annual change in FEV1 in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease within the ECLIPSE study.

BACKGROUND: Change in forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV1) is important for defining severity of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). Serological neoepitope markers of collagen turnover may predict rate of change in FEV1. METHODS: One thousand COPD subjects from the observational, multicentre, three-year ECLIPSE (Evaluation of COPD Longitudinally to Identify Predictive Surrogate Endpoints) study (NCT00292552, trial registration in February 2006) were included. Matrix metalloproteinase (MMP)-generated fragments of collagen type I, and type VI (C1M and C6M) were assessed in month six serum samples. A random-coefficient model with both a random intercept and a random slope was used to test the ability of the markers to predict post-dose bronchodilator FEV1 (PD-FEV1) change over two years adjusting for sex, age, BMI, smoking, bronchodilator reversibility, prior exacerbations, emphysema and chronic bronchitis status at baseline. RESULTS: Annual change of PD-FEV1 was estimated from a linear model for the two-year study period. Serum C1M and C6M were independent predictors of lung function change (p = 0.007/0.005). Smoking, bronchodilator reversibility, plasma hsCRP and emphysema were also significant predictors. The effect estimate between annual change in PD-FEV1 per one standard deviation (1SD) increase of C1M and C6M was +10.4 mL/yr. and +8.6 mL/yr. C1M, and C6M, had a significant association with baseline FEV1. CONCLUSION: We demonstrated that markers of tissue turnover were significantly associated with lung function change. These markers may function as prognostic biomarkers and possibly as efficacy biomarkers in clinical trials focusing on lung function change in COPD. TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT00292552 , Retrospectively registered, trial registration in February 2006.

Fibrogenesis assessed by serological type III collagen formation identifies patients with progressive liver fibrosis and responders to a potential antifibrotic therapy.

There are no approved treatments for liver fibrosis. To aid development of antifibrotic therapies, noninvasive biomarkers that can identify patients with progressive fibrosis and that permit monitoring of the response to antifibrotic therapy are much needed. Samples from a phase II antifibrotic trial of the glitazone farglitazar in patients with advanced hepatitis C, with matched follow-up liver biopsies, and from a phase III study of balaglitazone in patients with late-stage Type 2 diabetes (BALLET study) were analyzed for serological Pro-C3 levels in conjunction with other disease parameters. In the farglitazar study, a predefined cutoff value for Pro-C3 as a selection criterion led to the identification of subjects who 1) progressed by histological scores and 2) responded to therapy, as documented by attenuated fibrosis in liver biopsies. In the BALLET trial, subjects with the highest tertile of Pro-C3 levels responded to balaglitazone with reductions in levels of alanine aminotransferase and Pro-C3, as well as improved insulin sensitivity and lipid profile. Elevated Pro-C3 levels are indicative of active fibrogenesis and structural progression of fibrosis, and it can potentially identify patients most likely to benefit from antimetabolic and antifibrotic treatments. Serum Pro-C3 may facilitate patient selection and could help to speed up antifibrotic drug development and validation.

High levels of biomarkers of collagen remodeling are associated with increased mortality in COPD - results from the ECLIPSE study.

BACKGROUND: There is a need to identify individuals with COPD at risk for disease progression and mortality. Lung tissue remodeling is associated with the release of extracellular matrix (ECM) fragments into the peripheral circulation. We hypothesized that ECM remodeling was associated with mortality in COPD and measured neo-epitopes originating from ECM proteins associated with lung tissue remodeling. METHODS: Biomarkers of ECM remodeling were assessed in a subpopulation (n = 1000) of the Evaluation of COPD Longitudinally to Identify Predictive Surrogate End-points (ECLIPSE) cohort. Validated immunoassays measuring serological neo-epitopes produced by proteolytic cleavage associated with degradation of collagen type I, III, IV, and VI, elastin, and biglycan, and formation of collagen type VI as well as fibrinogen and C-reactive protein were used. Multivariate models were used to assess the prognostic value of these biomarkers. RESULTS: Thirty subjects (3.0 %) died during follow-up. Non-survivors were older, had reduced exercise capacity, increased dyspnea score, and included fewer current smokers. All collagen biomarkers were significantly elevated in non-survivors compared to survivors. Mortality risk was significantly increased for subjects with collagen remodeling biomarkers in the upper quartile, especially for the degradation fragment of collagen type IV C6M (hazard ratio 6.6 [95 % confidence interval 2.9-15.2], P < 0.0001) after adjusting for relevant confounders. CONCLUSIONS: Serological biomarkers of collagen remodeling were strongly associated with mortality in subjects with COPD indicating that assessment of tissue turnover in the parenchyma and small airways may be useful in the prognosis of COPD. TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT00292552 , GSK Study No. SCO104960.

Impact of source data verification on data quality in clinical trials: an empirical post hoc analysis of three phase 3 randomized clinical trials.

AIM: The aim of this project was to perform an empirical evaluation of the impact of on site source data verification (SDV) on the data quality in a clinical trial database to guide an informed decision on selection of the monitoring approach. METHODS: We used data from three randomized phase III trials monitored with a combination of complete SDV or partial SDV. After database lock, individual subject data were extracted from the clinical database and subjected to post hoc complete SDV. Error rates were calculated with focus on the degree of on study monitoring and relevance and analyzed for potential impact on end points. RESULTS: Data from a total of 2566 subjects including more than 3 million data fields were 100% source data verified post hoc. An overall error rate of 0.45% was found. No sites had 0% errors. 100% SDV yielded an error rate of 0.27% as compared with partial SDV having an error rate of 0.53% (P < 0.0001). Comparing partly and fully monitored subjects, minor differences were identified between variables of major importance to efficacy or safety. CONCLUSIONS: The findings challenge the notion that a 0% error rate is obtainable with on site monitoring. Data indicate consistently low error rates across the three trials analyzed. The use of complete vs. partial SDV offers a marginal absolute error rate reduction of 0.26%, i.e. a need to perform complete SDV of about 370 data points to avoid one unspecified error and does not support complete SDV as a means of providing meaningful improvements in data accuracy.

Protein fingerprinting of the extracellular matrix remodelling in a rat model of liver fibrosis--a serological evaluation.

BACKGROUND/AIM: We investigated nine novel biomarkers of extracellular matrix (ECM) remodelling in a rat model of liver fibrosis. METHODS: Liver fibrosis was induced in 52 male Wistar rats by inhalation of carbon tetrachloride and the level of hepatic fibrosis was assessed by Sirius red staining compared with controls. The novel serum biochemical markers assessed in the model were type I-(C1M), type III-(C3M), type IV-(C4M) and type VI-(C6M) collagen, citrullinated vimentin (VICM) and biglycan (BGM) all protein fragments generated by matrix metalloproteinases; and formation markers of type III-(P3NP), type VI (P4NP 7S) and type V (P5CP) collagen; hepatic mRNA type I collagen alpha-1 chain levels, serum potassium, sodium, osmolarity, alanine aminotransferase, lactate dehydrogenase, albumin and creatinine. RESULTS: Stratification of the CCl(4) -treated rats according to total hepatic collagen showed that the degradation markers were significantly elevated in mild to severe fibrosis except for C6M which was also elevated in early fibrosis (P < 0.05). The highest Z-scores in early and moderate fibrosis were provided by P4NP 7S and alanine aminotransferase. All nine markers of ECM remodelling were highly related to the extent of liver fibrosis induced by CCl(4) . The novel collagen formation marker, P4NP 7S, was reliable for the detection of early fibrosis, while the combination of the two markers, C6M and P5CP provided the best correlation with hepatic fibrosis in all fibrosis levels. CONCLUSION: As the markers can be used for translational science, these markers may provide valuable information for the evaluation of liver fibrosis in clinical settings.

Clinical evaluation of a matrix metalloproteinase-12 cleaved fragment of titin as a cardiovascular serological biomarker.

BACKGROUND: Titin is a muscle-specific protein found in cardiac and skeletal muscles which is responsible for restoring passive tension. Levels and functioning of titin have been shown to be affected by cardiac damage. Due to the inherent difficulty of measuring titin levels in vivo in a clinical setting, we aimed to develop an assay that could reliably measure fragments of degraded titin in serum and potentially be used in the assessment of cardiac muscle damage. METHODS: A competitive ELISA was developed to specifically measure levels of the titin sequence 12670' NVTVEARLIK 12679', derived by the degradation of titin by matrix metalloproteinase (MMP)-12. Serum samples from 90 individuals were divided into 3 equally sized groups. One group had been diagnosed with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) while the remaining two were asymptomatic individuals either with CT-scan signs of coronary calcium (CT-plusCa) or without coronary calcium (CT-noCa). RESULTS: Mean geometric levels of the titin fragment in the CT-noCa group were 506.5 ng/ml (± 43.88). The CT-plusCa group showed 50.6% higher levels of the marker [763 ng/ml (± 90.14)] (P < 0.05). AMI patients showed 56.3% higher levels [792 ng/ml (± 149)] (P < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: The titin-12670 fragment is present in both individuals with undiagnosed and diagnosed CVD. The statistically significant increase in level of the marker in the AMI group is indicative that this neoepitope biomarker may be a useful serological marker in AMI.

Efficacy and safety of the PPARγ partial agonist balaglitazone compared with pioglitazone and placebo: a phase III, randomized, parallel-group study in patients with type 2 diabetes on stable insulin therapy.

BACKGROUND: Treatment of patients with perioxisome proliferator-activated receptor-γ full agonists are associated with weight gain, heart failure, peripheral oedema, and bone loss. However, the safety of partial perioxisome proliferator-activated receptor-γ agonists has not been established in a clinical trial. The BALaglitazone glucose Lowering Efficacy Trial aimed to establish the glucose-lowering effects and safety parameters of the perioxisome proliferator-activated receptor-γ partial agonist balaglitazone in diabetic patients on stable insulin therapy. METHODS: Four hundred and nine subjects from three countries with type 2 diabetes on stable insulin therapy were randomized to 26 weeks of double-blind treatment with once daily doses of 10 or 20 mg balaglitazone, 45 mg pioglitazone, or matching placebo (n ≥ 99 in each group). The primary endpoint was the efficacy of balaglitazone 10 and 20 mg versus placebo on the absolute change in haemoglobin A(1c) . Secondary endpoints included levels of fasting serum glucose, and changes in body composition and bone mineral density as measured by dual energy X-ray absorptiometry, in comparison to pioglitazone 45 mg. This study is registered with Clinicaltrials.gov identifier: NCT00515632. RESULTS: In the 10- and 20-mg balaglitazone groups, and in the 45-mg pioglitazone group, significant reductions in haemoglobin A(1c) levels were observed (−0.99, −1.11, and −1.22%, respectively; p < 0.0001) versus placebo. Fasting serum glucose was similarly reduced in all treatment arms. Dual energy X-ray absorptiometry analyses showed that, while balaglitazone at 10 mg caused weight gain and fluid retention compared to placebo, the magnitude of these effects was significantly smaller than that of pioglitazone 45 mg and balaglitazone 20mg. Balaglitazone at either dose did not appear to reduce bone mineral density, while Pioglitazone showed a trend towards a reduction. CONCLUSION: Patients treated with balaglitazone at 10 mg and 20 mg and pioglitazone at 45 mg showed clinically meaningful improvements in glucose levels and HbA(1c) . With the 10 mg dose, the benefits (glucose & HgA(1c) lowering) and untoward effects (fluid and fat accumulation) were less, results that encourage further studies of this drug candidate.