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1.
Clin Endocrinol (Oxf) ; 90(2): 360-368, 2019 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30390407

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Thyroid cancers are threefold more frequent in women than in men. A role of reproductive or hormonal factors has been suggested but with contradictory results. We investigated potential associations between history of hysterectomy, with or without oophorectomy, and history of benign gynaecological disease (uterine fibroids, endometriosis) and the incidence of differentiated thyroid cancer, in a large French prospective cohort. METHODS: A total of 89 340 women from the E3N cohort were followed up between 1990 and 2012. Gynaecological diseases treated by surgery were self-reported. Thyroid cancers were validated by histological reports. Time-dependent covariates included smoking status, BMI and history of benign thyroid disease. Cox proportional hazard models with age as timescale were used to estimate Hazard Ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). RESULTS: A total of 412 cases of thyroid cancer were diagnosed during follow-up. A history of hysterectomy was associated with an increased risk of differentiated thyroid cancer (adjusted HR=2.05; 95%CI: 1.65-2.55). The association was not altered after further adjustment for reproductive factors. Endometriosis, uterine polyps, ovarian cysts and oophorectomy without hysterectomy were not associated with the risk of thyroid cancer. A history of fibroids was also significantly related to the risk of thyroid cancer over the follow-up period (adjusted HR=1.91; 95%CI: 1.50-2.44) and the increased risk persisted after adjustment for history of hysterectomy. CONCLUSIONS: Women who had either a history of fibroids or hysterectomy had an increased risk of differentiated thyroid cancer. These findings suggest shared biological mechanisms between fibroids and thyroid cancer, which deserve to be further dissected.


Assuntos
Histerectomia/efeitos adversos , Leiomioma/complicações , Ovariectomia , Neoplasias da Glândula Tireoide/etiologia , Adulto , Feminino , Seguimentos , França , Doenças dos Genitais Femininos , Humanos , Incidência , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Fatores de Risco
2.
J Epidemiol ; 28(1): 27-33, 2018 Jan 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29176271

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: While ultraviolet (UV) radiation exposure is a recognized risk factor for skin cancer, associations are complex and few studies have allowed a direct comparison of exposure profiles associated with cutaneous melanoma, basal-cell carcinoma (BCC), and squamous-cell carcinoma (SCC) within a single population. METHODS: We examined associations between UV exposures and skin cancer risk in a nested case-control study within E3N, a prospective cohort of 98,995 French women born in 1925-1950. In 2008, a lifetime UV exposure questionnaire was sent to all reported skin cancer cases and three controls per case, which were matched on age, county of birth, and education. Analyses were performed using conditional logistic regression and included 366 melanoma cases, 1,027 BCC cases, 165 SCC cases, and 3,647 controls. RESULTS: A history of severe sunburns <25 years was associated with increased risks of all skin cancers (melanoma: OR 2.7; BCC: OR 1.7; SCC: OR 2.0 for ≥6 sunburns vs. none), while sunburns ≥25 years were associated with BCC and SCC only. While high-sun protection factor sunscreen use before age 25 was associated with lower BCC risk (Ptrend = 0.02), use since age 25 and reapplication of sunscreen were associated with higher risks of all three types of skin cancer. There were positive linear associations between total UV score and risks of BCC (Ptrend = 0.01) and SCC (Ptrend = 0.09), but not melanoma. While recreational UV score was strongly associated with BCC, total and residential UV scores were more strongly associated with SCC. CONCLUSIONS: Melanoma, BCC, and SCC are associated with different sun exposure profiles in women.


Assuntos
Exposição Ambiental/efeitos adversos , Exposição Ambiental/estatística & dados numéricos , Neoplasias Cutâneas/epidemiologia , Raios Ultravioleta/efeitos adversos , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Carcinoma Basocelular/epidemiologia , Carcinoma de Células Escamosas/epidemiologia , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Feminino , França/epidemiologia , Humanos , Melanoma/epidemiologia , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Prospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Queimadura Solar/epidemiologia , Melanoma Maligno Cutâneo
3.
Age Ageing ; 47(4): 619-624, 2018 07 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29733342

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: epidemiological studies based on questionnaires can face difficulties when collecting data on functional ability of older people, and may thus use a proxy to obtain or confirm data. It is therefore of importance to compare data from older people and from their proxies, to establish to what extent proxies' answers can be used as a substitute or a complement in epidemiological studies on dependency. OBJECTIVE: we evaluated agreement in dependency assessment, and identified factors associated with discrepancy between older people and proxy reports, in a large postal epidemiological survey. METHODOLOGY: autonomy of 5,164 community-dwelling women from the French E3N cohort study aged 75-83 was self- and proxy-evaluated with the instrumental activities of daily living (IADL) scales. Agreement was assessed using Cohen's Kappa coefficients, and factors associated with discrepancy were determined using logistic regression models. RESULTS: there was agreement between self and proxy dependency assessment in 90.8% of the women, with satisfactory Cohen's kappa. Discrepancy was associated with older age, poor self-reported health, prior low level of physical activity and the proxy being the partner. DISCUSSION: we found that a proxy could be a reliable source of dependency assessment in large epidemiological surveys, and that some characteristics of the older person and of the proxy could modulate the agreement between proxy- and self-dependency assessments.


Assuntos
Atividades Cotidianas , Envelhecimento/psicologia , Dependência Psicológica , Procurador , Autorrelato , Cônjuges/psicologia , Fatores Etários , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Exercício Físico , Feminino , França , Nível de Saúde , Humanos , Estudos Prospectivos , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Fatores Sexuais
4.
Ann Intern Med ; 167(4): 236-247, 2017 Aug 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28693038

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The relationship between coffee consumption and mortality in diverse European populations with variable coffee preparation methods is unclear. OBJECTIVE: To examine whether coffee consumption is associated with all-cause and cause-specific mortality. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: 10 European countries. PARTICIPANTS: 521 330 persons enrolled in EPIC (European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition). MEASUREMENTS: Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs estimated using multivariable Cox proportional hazards models. The association of coffee consumption with serum biomarkers of liver function, inflammation, and metabolic health was evaluated in the EPIC Biomarkers subcohort (n = 14 800). RESULTS: During a mean follow-up of 16.4 years, 41 693 deaths occurred. Compared with nonconsumers, participants in the highest quartile of coffee consumption had statistically significantly lower all-cause mortality (men: HR, 0.88 [95% CI, 0.82 to 0.95]; P for trend < 0.001; women: HR, 0.93 [CI, 0.87 to 0.98]; P for trend = 0.009). Inverse associations were also observed for digestive disease mortality for men (HR, 0.41 [CI, 0.32 to 0.54]; P for trend < 0.001) and women (HR, 0.60 [CI, 0.46 to 0.78]; P for trend < 0.001). Among women, there was a statistically significant inverse association of coffee drinking with circulatory disease mortality (HR, 0.78 [CI, 0.68 to 0.90]; P for trend < 0.001) and cerebrovascular disease mortality (HR, 0.70 [CI, 0.55 to 0.90]; P for trend = 0.002) and a positive association with ovarian cancer mortality (HR, 1.31 [CI, 1.07 to 1.61]; P for trend = 0.015). In the EPIC Biomarkers subcohort, higher coffee consumption was associated with lower serum alkaline phosphatase; alanine aminotransferase; aspartate aminotransferase; γ-glutamyltransferase; and, in women, C-reactive protein, lipoprotein(a), and glycated hemoglobin levels. LIMITATIONS: Reverse causality may have biased the findings; however, results did not differ after exclusion of participants who died within 8 years of baseline. Coffee-drinking habits were assessed only once. CONCLUSION: Coffee drinking was associated with reduced risk for death from various causes. This relationship did not vary by country. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: European Commission Directorate-General for Health and Consumers and International Agency for Research on Cancer.


Assuntos
Café , Ingestão de Líquidos/etnologia , Mortalidade , Adulto , Biomarcadores/sangue , Doenças Cardiovasculares/mortalidade , Causas de Morte , Transtornos Cerebrovasculares/mortalidade , Doenças do Sistema Digestório/mortalidade , Europa (Continente)/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Inflamação/sangue , Testes de Função Hepática , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Neoplasias Ovarianas/mortalidade , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Estudos Prospectivos , Fatores de Risco
5.
Cancer Causes Control ; 28(10): 1011-1019, 2017 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28799019

RESUMO

PURPOSE: Endometriosis has been associated with an increased risk of skin melanoma. However, associations with other skin cancer types and how they compare with melanoma are unclear. Our objective was to prospectively investigate the relationships between endometriosis and risk of non-melanoma and melanoma skin cancers. METHODS: E3N is a prospective cohort of 98,995 French women aged 40-65 years in 1990. Data on surgically confirmed endometriosis and skin cancer diagnoses were collected every 2-3 years through self-report, with skin cancer cases confirmed through pathology reports. Hazard Ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated using Cox regression models. RESULTS: Between 1990 and 2008, 535 melanoma, 247 squamous-cell carcinoma (SCC), and 1,712 basal-cell carcinoma (BCC) cases were ascertained. Endometriosis was associated with an increased overall risk of skin cancer (HR 1.28, 95% CI 1.05-1.55). When considering skin cancer type, endometriosis was associated with melanoma risk (HR 1.64, 95% CI 1.15-2.35), but not with SCC (HR 1.21, 95% CI 0.62-2.36) or BCC (HR 1.16, 95% CI 0.91-1.48) (non-melanoma skin cancers combined: HR 1.17, 95% CI 0.93-1.46), although no heterogeneity was detected across skin cancer types (Phomogeneity = 0.13). CONCLUSION: These data support an association between a personal history of endometriosis and the risk of skin cancer and suggest that the association is strongest for melanoma.


Assuntos
Carcinoma Basocelular/epidemiologia , Carcinoma de Células Escamosas/epidemiologia , Endometriose/epidemiologia , Melanoma/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Cutâneas/epidemiologia , Adulto , Idoso , Feminino , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Estudos Prospectivos , Risco
6.
Cancer Causes Control ; 28(1): 77-88, 2017 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27864712

RESUMO

PURPOSE: Several mechanistic studies support a role of cholesterol or its metabolites in breast cancer etiology, but associations have been inconsistent in epidemiological studies. In observational studies, possible reverse causation must be accounted for using a prospective design. We investigated prospective associations between pre-diagnostic serum lipid concentrations [total cholesterol (TC), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, triglycerides], and both breast cancer risk and survival in the E3N cohort study. METHODS: Analyses were performed on 583 cases from the E3N prospective cohort diagnosed between 1994 and 2005, and 1,043 controls matched on date, age, recruitment center and menopausal status at blood collection. Odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals were estimated using conditional logistic regression. Risks of recurrence were estimated among cases using Cox proportional hazards model. Models were adjusted for lifestyle risk factors and mutually adjusted for lipid concentrations. Survival analyses were additionally adjusted for tumor characteristics. RESULTS: Overall, there was no association between any serum lipid and breast cancer risk or survival. In stratified analyses, statistically significant interaction was observed between TC and menopausal status (P interaction = 0.05) and between TC and waist circumference (P interaction = 0.03), although the ORs did not reach statistical significance in any of the strata. There was no statistically significant effect modification by BMI, time between blood donation and diagnosis or ER status. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that serum lipids are not associated with breast cancer risk overall, but that menopausal status and waist circumference should be considered in further studies.


Assuntos
Neoplasias da Mama/sangue , Neoplasias da Mama/epidemiologia , Lipídeos/sangue , Recidiva Local de Neoplasia/sangue , Recidiva Local de Neoplasia/epidemiologia , Adulto , Idoso , Neoplasias da Mama/mortalidade , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Estilo de Vida , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Recidiva Local de Neoplasia/mortalidade , Estudos Prospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Taxa de Sobrevida , Circunferência da Cintura
7.
BMC Med Res Methodol ; 17(1): 10, 2017 01 23.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28114895

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The attributable risk (AR) measures the proportion of disease cases that can be attributed to an exposure in the population. Several definitions and estimation methods have been proposed for survival data. METHODS: Using simulations, we compared four methods for estimating AR defined in terms of survival functions: two nonparametric methods based on Kaplan-Meier's estimator, one semiparametric based on Cox's model, and one parametric based on the piecewise constant hazards model, as well as one simpler method based on estimated exposure prevalence at baseline and Cox's model hazard ratio. We considered a fixed binary exposure with varying exposure probabilities and strengths of association, and generated event times from a proportional hazards model with constant or monotonic (decreasing or increasing) Weibull baseline hazard, as well as from a nonproportional hazards model. We simulated 1,000 independent samples of size 1,000 or 10,000. The methods were compared in terms of mean bias, mean estimated standard error, empirical standard deviation and 95% confidence interval coverage probability at four equally spaced time points. RESULTS: Under proportional hazards, all five methods yielded unbiased results regardless of sample size. Nonparametric methods displayed greater variability than other approaches. All methods showed satisfactory coverage except for nonparametric methods at the end of follow-up for a sample size of 1,000 especially. With nonproportional hazards, nonparametric methods yielded similar results to those under proportional hazards, whereas semiparametric and parametric approaches that both relied on the proportional hazards assumption performed poorly. These methods were applied to estimate the AR of breast cancer due to menopausal hormone therapy in 38,359 women of the E3N cohort. CONCLUSION: In practice, our study suggests to use the semiparametric or parametric approaches to estimate AR as a function of time in cohort studies if the proportional hazards assumption appears appropriate.


Assuntos
Algoritmos , Modelos Teóricos , Medição de Risco/métodos , Medição de Risco/estatística & dados numéricos , Neoplasias da Mama/induzido quimicamente , Estudos de Coortes , Simulação por Computador , Feminino , Seguimentos , Terapia de Reposição Hormonal/efeitos adversos , Humanos , Estimativa de Kaplan-Meier , Pós-Menopausa , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Fatores de Risco , Inquéritos e Questionários , Análise de Sobrevida
8.
Eur J Nutr ; 56(3): 1233-1243, 2017 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26887577

RESUMO

PURPOSE: The cellular oxidative stress (balance between pro-oxidant and antioxidant) may be a major risk factor for chronic diseases. Antioxidant capacity of human diet can be globally assessed through the dietary non-enzymatic antioxidant capacity (NEAC). Our aim was to investigate the relationship between the NEAC and all-cause and cause-specific mortality, and to test potential interactions with smoking status, a well-known pro-oxidant factor. METHODS: Among the French women of the E3N prospective cohort study initiated in 1990, including 4619 deaths among 1,199,011 persons-years of follow-up. A validated dietary history questionnaire assessed usual food intake; NEAC intake was estimated using a food composition table from two different methods: ferric ion reducing antioxidant power (FRAP) and total radical-trapping antioxidant parameter (TRAP). Hazard ratio (HR) estimates and 95 % confidence intervals (CI) were derived from Cox proportional hazards regression models. RESULTS: In multivariate analyses, FRAP dietary equivalent intake was inversely associated with mortality from all-causes (HR for the fourth vs. the first quartile: HR4 = 0.75, 95 % CI 0.67, 0.83, p trend < 0.0001), cancer, and cardiovascular diseases. Similar results were obtained with TRAP. There was an interaction between NEAC dietary equivalent intake and smoking status for all-cause and cardiovascular disease mortality, but not cancer mortality (respectively, for FRAP, p inter = 0.002; 0.013; 0.113, results were similar with TRAP), and the association was the strongest among current smokers. CONCLUSION: This prospective cohort study highlights the importance of antioxidant consumption for mortality prevention, especially among current smokers.


Assuntos
Antioxidantes/administração & dosagem , Doenças Cardiovasculares/mortalidade , Dieta , Neoplasias/mortalidade , Doenças Cardiovasculares/prevenção & controle , Estudos de Coortes , Feminino , Seguimentos , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Análise Multivariada , Neoplasias/prevenção & controle , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Estudos Prospectivos , Espécies Reativas de Oxigênio/metabolismo , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Fatores de Risco , Fumar , Inquéritos e Questionários
9.
Int J Cancer ; 138(10): 2415-27, 2016 May 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26756677

RESUMO

Breast cancer is the most frequently diagnosed cancer among women worldwide. Breast cancer risk factors have been widely explored individually; however, little is known about their combined impact. We included 67,634 women from the French E3N prospective cohort, aged 42-72 at baseline. During a 15-year follow-up period, 497 premenopausal and 3,138 postmenopausal invasive breast cancer cases were diagnosed. Population-attributable fractions (PAFs) were used to estimate cases proportions attributable to risk factors under hypothetical scenarios of lowest exposure. We examined overall premenopausal and postmenopausal invasive breast cancers and tumour subtypes (ER status and HER2 expression). Premenopausal breast cancer was not significantly attributable to non-behavioral (61.2%, -15.5 to 91.88%) nor to behavioral (39.9%, -71.0 to 93.9%) factors, contrary to postmenopausal breast cancer (41.9%, 4.5 to 68.7% and 53.5%, 12.8 to 78.7%, respectively). Individually, the highest statistically significant PAFs were obtained in premenopause for birth weight (33.6%, 5.7 to 56.6%) and age at menarche (19.8%, 5.2 to 33.6%) for non-behavioral factors and in postmenopause for history of benign breast diseases (14.9%, 11.6 to 18.0%) and age at menarche (9.7%, 3.9 to 15.5%) for non-behavioral factors and for body shape at menarche (17.1%, 9.7 to 24.3%), use of hormone replacement therapy (14.5%, 9.2 to 19.6%), dietary pattern (10.1%, 2.6 to 17.4%) and alcohol consumption (5.6%, 1.9 to 9.3%) for behavioral factors. These proportions were higher for ER+, HER2- and ER+/HER2- postmenopausal breast cancers. Our data support the hypothesis that in postmenopause, never starting unhealthy behaviors can reduce the number of diagnosed breast cancers.


Assuntos
Neoplasias da Mama/epidemiologia , Pós-Menopausa , Pré-Menopausa , Adulto , Idoso , Biomarcadores Tumorais , Neoplasias da Mama/metabolismo , Estudos de Coortes , Feminino , Seguimentos , França/epidemiologia , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Vigilância da População , Estudos Prospectivos , Receptor ErbB-2/metabolismo , Receptores de Estrogênio/metabolismo , Receptores de Progesterona/metabolismo , Fatores de Risco
10.
BMC Med ; 14: 87, 2016 Jun 14.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27296932

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Life expectancy is increasing in Europe, yet a substantial proportion of adults still die prematurely before the age of 70 years. We sought to estimate the joint and relative contributions of tobacco smoking, hypertension, obesity, physical inactivity, alcohol and poor diet towards risk of premature death. METHODS: We analysed data from 264,906 European adults from the EPIC prospective cohort study, aged between 40 and 70 years at the time of recruitment. Flexible parametric survival models were used to model risk of death conditional on risk factors, and survival functions and attributable fractions (AF) for deaths prior to age 70 years were calculated based on the fitted models. RESULTS: We identified 11,930 deaths which occurred before the age of 70. The AF for premature mortality for smoking was 31 % (95 % confidence interval (CI), 31-32 %) and 14 % (95 % CI, 12-16 %) for poor diet. Important contributions were also observed for overweight and obesity measured by waist-hip ratio (10 %; 95 % CI, 8-12 %) and high blood pressure (9 %; 95 % CI, 7-11 %). AFs for physical inactivity and excessive alcohol intake were 7 % and 4 %, respectively. Collectively, the AF for all six risk factors was 57 % (95 % CI, 55-59 %), being 35 % (95 % CI, 32-37 %) among never smokers and 74 % (95 % CI, 73-75 %) among current smokers. CONCLUSIONS: While smoking remains the predominant risk factor for premature death in Europe, poor diet, overweight and obesity, hypertension, physical inactivity, and excessive alcohol consumption also contribute substantially. Any attempt to minimise premature deaths will ultimately require all six factors to be addressed.


Assuntos
Expectativa de Vida , Mortalidade Prematura , Adulto , Idoso , Consumo de Bebidas Alcoólicas/efeitos adversos , Consumo de Bebidas Alcoólicas/mortalidade , Estudos de Coortes , Europa (Continente)/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Hipertensão/complicações , Hipertensão/mortalidade , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Atividade Motora , Obesidade/complicações , Obesidade/mortalidade , Estudos Prospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Fumar/efeitos adversos , Fumar/mortalidade
11.
Int J Cancer ; 136(11): 2640-8, 2015 Jun 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25379993

RESUMO

Breast cancer is the most common cancer among women and prevention strategies are needed to reduce incidence worldwide. A healthy lifestyle index score (HLIS) was generated to investigate the joint effect of modifiable lifestyle factors on postmenopausal breast cancer risk. The study included 242,918 postmenopausal women from the multinational European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC) cohort, with detailed information on diet and lifestyle assessed at baseline. The HLIS was constructed from five factors (diet, physical activity, smoking, alcohol consumption and anthropometry) by assigning scores of 0-4 to categories of each component, for which higher values indicate healthier behaviours. Hazard ratios (HR) were estimated by Cox proportional regression models. During 10.9 years of median follow-up, 7,756 incident breast cancer cases were identified. There was a 3% lower risk of breast cancer per point increase of the HLIS. Breast cancer risk was inversely associated with a high HLIS when fourth versus second (reference) categories were compared [adjusted HR = 0.74; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.66-0.83]. The fourth versus the second category of the HLIS was associated with a lower risk for hormone receptor double positive (adjusted HR = 0.81, 95% CI: 0.67-0.98) and hormone receptor double negative breast cancer (adjusted HR = 0.60, 95% CI: 0.40-0.90). Findings suggest having a high score on an index of combined healthy behaviours reduces the risk of developing breast cancer among postmenopausal women. Programmes which engage women in long term health behaviours should be supported.


Assuntos
Neoplasias da Mama/epidemiologia , Pós-Menopausa/psicologia , População Branca/psicologia , Saúde da Mulher , Consumo de Bebidas Alcoólicas/psicologia , Antropometria , Neoplasias da Mama/diagnóstico , Dieta/psicologia , Exercício Físico/psicologia , Feminino , Nível de Saúde , Humanos , Estilo de Vida , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Prospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Comportamento de Redução do Risco
12.
Breast Cancer Res Treat ; 150(2): 415-26, 2015 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25744293

RESUMO

Breast cancer remains a global health concern with a lack of high discriminating prediction models. The k-nearest-neighbor algorithm (kNN) estimates individual risks using an intuitive tool. This study compares the performances of this approach with the Cox and the Gail models for the 5-year breast cancer risk prediction. The study included 64,995 women from the French E3N prospective cohort. The sample was divided into a learning (N = 51,821) series to learn the models using fivefold cross-validation and a validation (N = 13,174) series to evaluate them. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and the expected over observed number of cases (E/O) ratio were estimated. In the two series, 393 and 78 premenopausal and 537 and 98 postmenopausal breast cancers were diagnosed. The discrimination values of the best combinations of predictors obtained from cross-validation ranged from 0.59 to 0.60. In the validation series, the AUC values in premenopausal and postmenopausal women were 0.583 [0.520; 0.646] and 0.621 [0.563; 0.679] using the kNN and 0.565 [0.500; 0.631] and 0.617 [0.561; 0.673] using the Cox model. The E/O ratios were 1.26 and 1.28 in premenopausal women and 1.44 and 1.40 in postmenopausal women. The applied Gail model provided AUC values of 0.614 [0.554; 0.675] and 0.549 [0.495; 0.604] and E/O ratios of 0.78 and 1.12. This study shows that the prediction performances differed according to menopausal status when using parametric statistical tools. The k-nearest-neighbor approach performed well, and discrimination was improved in postmenopausal women compared with the Gail model.


Assuntos
Neoplasias da Mama/epidemiologia , Carcinoma Ductal de Mama/epidemiologia , Adulto , Idoso , Feminino , França , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Estudos Prospectivos , Curva ROC , Medição de Risco , Fatores de Risco
13.
BMC Med ; 13: 252, 2015 Oct 30.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26515238

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Reproductive events are associated with important physiologic changes, yet little is known about how reproductive factors influence long-term health in women. Our objective was to assess the relation of reproductive characteristics with all-cause and cause-specific mortality risk. METHODS: The analysis was performed within the European Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition prospective cohort study, which enrolled >500,000 women and men from 1992 to 2000, who were residing in a given town/geographic area in 10 European countries. The current analysis included 322,972 eligible women aged 25-70 years with 99 % complete follow-up for vital status. We assessed reproductive characteristics reported at the study baseline including parity, age at the first birth, breastfeeding, infertility, oral contraceptive use, age at menarche and menopause, total ovulatory years, and history of oophorectomy/hysterectomy. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95 % confidence intervals (CIs) for mortality were determined using Cox proportional hazards regression models adjusted for menopausal status, body mass index, physical activity, education level, and smoking status/intensity and duration. RESULTS: During a mean follow-up of 12.9 years, 14,383 deaths occurred. The HR (95 % CI) for risk of all-cause mortality was lower in parous versus nulliparous women (0.80; 0.76-0.84), in women who had ever versus never breastfed (0.92; 0.87-0.97), in ever versus never users of oral contraceptives (among non-smokers; 0.90; 0.86-0.95), and in women reporting a later age at menarche (≥15 years versus <12; 0.90; 0.85-0.96; P for trend = 0.038). CONCLUSIONS: Childbirth, breastfeeding, oral contraceptive use, and a later age at menarche were associated with better health outcomes. These findings may contribute to the development of improved strategies to promote better long-term health in women.


Assuntos
Estado Nutricional/fisiologia , Adulto , Fatores Etários , Idoso , Estudos de Coortes , Anticoncepcionais Orais , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Menarca , Menopausa , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Neoplasias/mortalidade , Paridade , Gravidez , Estudos Prospectivos , História Reprodutiva , População Branca
14.
BMC Med ; 13: 107, 2015 May 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25948112

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Cancer survivors are advised to follow lifestyle recommendations on diet, physical activity, and body fatness proposed by the World Cancer Research Fund/American Institute of Cancer Research (WCRF/AICR) for cancer prevention. Previous studies have demonstrated that higher concordance with these recommendations measured using an index score (the WCRF/AICR score) was associated with lower cancer incidence and mortality. The aim of this study was to evaluate the association between pre-diagnostic concordance with WCRF/AICR recommendations and mortality in colorectal cancer (CRC) patients. METHODS: The association between the WCRF/AICR score (score range 0-6 in men and 0-7 in women; higher scores indicate greater concordance) assessed on average 6.4 years before diagnosis and CRC-specific (n = 872) and overall mortality (n = 1,113) was prospectively examined among 3,292 participants diagnosed with CRC in the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC) cohort (mean follow-up time after diagnosis 4.2 years). Multivariable Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for mortality. RESULTS: The HRs (95% CIs) for CRC-specific mortality among participants in the second (score range in men/women: 2.25-2.75/3.25-3.75), third (3-3.75/4-4.75), and fourth (4-6/5-7) categories of the score were 0.87 (0.72-1.06), 0.74 (0.61-0.90), and 0.70 (0.56-0.89), respectively (P for trend <0.0001), compared to participants with the lowest concordance with the recommendations (category 1 of the score: 0-2/0-3). Similar HRs for overall mortality were observed (P for trend 0.004). Meeting the recommendations on body fatness and plant food consumption were associated with improved survival among CRC cases in mutually adjusted models. CONCLUSIONS: Greater concordance with the WCRF/AICR recommendations on diet, physical activity, and body fatness prior to CRC diagnosis is associated with improved survival among CRC patients.


Assuntos
Neoplasias Colorretais/mortalidade , Estilo de Vida , Cooperação do Paciente/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Estudos de Coortes , Dieta , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Estudos Prospectivos , População Branca
15.
Eur J Epidemiol ; 30(1): 57-70, 2015 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25377533

RESUMO

Fish is a source of important nutrients and may play a role in preventing heart diseases and other health outcomes. However, studies of overall mortality and cause-specific mortality related to fish consumption are inconclusive. We examined the rate of overall mortality, as well as mortality from ischaemic heart disease and cancer in relation to the intake of total fish, lean fish, and fatty fish in a large prospective cohort including ten European countries. More than 500,000 men and women completed a dietary questionnaire in 1992-1999 and were followed up for mortality until the end of 2010. 32,587 persons were reported dead since enrolment. Hazard ratios and their 99% confidence interval were estimated using Cox proportional hazard regression models. Fish consumption was examined using quintiles based on reported consumption, using moderate fish consumption (third quintile) as reference, and as continuous variables, using increments of 10 g/day. All analyses were adjusted for possible confounders. No association was seen for fish consumption and overall or cause-specific mortality for both the categorical and the continuous analyses, but there seemed to be a U-shaped trend (p < 0.000) with fatty fish consumption and total mortality and with total fish consumption and cancer mortality (p = 0.046).


Assuntos
Dieta/estatística & dados numéricos , Isquemia Miocárdica/mortalidade , Isquemia Miocárdica/prevenção & controle , Neoplasias/mortalidade , Neoplasias/prevenção & controle , Alimentos Marinhos , Adulto , Idoso , Animais , Europa (Continente)/epidemiologia , Ácidos Graxos Ômega-3 , Feminino , Peixes , Humanos , Incidência , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Isquemia Miocárdica/etiologia , Neoplasias/etiologia , Estado Nutricional , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Estudos Prospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Inquéritos e Questionários
16.
BMC Med ; 12: 168, 2014 Oct 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25319089

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Excess body weight, physical activity, smoking, alcohol consumption and certain dietary factors are individually related to colorectal cancer (CRC) risk; however, little is known about their joint effects. The aim of this study was to develop a healthy lifestyle index (HLI) composed of five potentially modifiable lifestyle factors--healthy weight, physical activity, non-smoking, limited alcohol consumption and a healthy diet, and to explore the association of this index with CRC incidence using data collected within the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC) cohort. METHODS: In the EPIC cohort, a total of 347,237 men and women, 25- to 70-years old, provided dietary and lifestyle information at study baseline (1992 to 2000). Over a median follow-up time of 12 years, 3,759 incident CRC cases were identified. The association between a HLI and CRC risk was evaluated using Cox proportional hazards regression models and population attributable risks (PARs) have been calculated. RESULTS: After accounting for study centre, age, sex and education, compared with 0 or 1 healthy lifestyle factors, the hazard ratio (HR) for CRC was 0.87 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.44 to 0.77) for two factors, 0.79 (95% CI: 0.70 to 0.89) for three factors, 0.66 (95% CI: 0.58 to 0.75) for four factors and 0.63 (95% CI: 0.54 to 0.74) for five factors; P-trend<0.0001. The associations were present for both colon and rectal cancers, HRs, 0.61 (95% CI: 0.50 to 0.74; P for trend<0.0001) for colon cancer and 0.68 (95% CI: 0.53 to 0.88; P-trend<0.0001) for rectal cancer, respectively (P-difference by cancer sub-site=0.10). Overall, 16% of the new CRC cases (22% in men and 11% in women) were attributable to not adhering to a combination of all five healthy lifestyle behaviours included in the index. CONCLUSIONS: Combined lifestyle factors are associated with a lower incidence of CRC in European populations characterized by western lifestyles. Prevention strategies considering complex targeting of multiple lifestyle factors may provide practical means for improved CRC prevention.


Assuntos
Neoplasias Colorretais/psicologia , Comportamentos Relacionados com a Saúde , Estilo de Vida , Adulto , Idoso , Consumo de Bebidas Alcoólicas , Estudos de Coortes , Dieta , Europa (Continente)/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Estudos Prospectivos , Fatores de Risco , População Branca
17.
Eur J Epidemiol ; 29(9): 639-52, 2014 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25154553

RESUMO

Consumption of fruits and vegetables is associated with a lower overall mortality. The aim of this study was to identify causes of death through which this association is established. More than 450,000 participants from the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition study were included, of which 25,682 were reported deceased after 13 years of follow-up. Information on lifestyle, diet and vital status was collected through questionnaires and population registries. Hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) for death from specific causes were calculated from Cox regression models, adjusted for potential confounders. Participants reporting consumption of more than 569 g/day of fruits and vegetables had lower risks of death from diseases of the circulatory (HR for upper fourth 0.85, 95% CI 0.77-0.93), respiratory (HR for upper fourth 0.73, 95% CI 0.59-0.91) and digestive system (HR for upper fourth 0.60, 95% CI 0.46-0.79) when compared with participants consuming less than 249 g/day. In contrast, a positive association with death from diseases of the nervous system was observed. Inverse associations were generally observed for vegetable, but not for fruit consumption. Associations were more pronounced for raw vegetable consumption, when compared with cooked vegetable consumption. Raw vegetable consumption was additionally inversely associated with death from neoplasms and mental and behavioral disorders. The lower risk of death associated with a higher consumption of fruits and vegetables may be derived from inverse associations with diseases of the circulatory, respiratory and digestive system, and may depend on the preparation of vegetables and lifestyle factors.


Assuntos
Causas de Morte , Inquéritos sobre Dietas/estatística & dados numéricos , Comportamento Alimentar , Frutas , Verduras , Adulto , Idoso , Doenças Cardiovasculares/mortalidade , Dieta , Europa (Continente)/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Estilo de Vida , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Neoplasias/mortalidade , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Estudos Prospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Inquéritos e Questionários
18.
J Diabetes ; 11(3): 242-253, 2019 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30098121

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Although many type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) risk factors have been identified, little is known regarding their contributions to the diabetes burden at the population level. METHODS: The study included 72 655 French women from the Etude Epidemiologique de Femmes de la Mutuelle Générale de l'Education Nationale (E3N) prospective cohort followed between 1993 and 2011. Cox multivariable models including the main T2DM risk factors (metabolic, dietary, clinical, socioeconomic and hormonal) and a healthy lifestyle index combining five characteristics (smoking, body mass index [BMI], alcohol consumption, fruit and vegetable consumption, and physical activity) were used to estimate hazard ratios and population attributable fractions (PAFs) for T2DM. RESULTS: In multivariate models, factors with the strongest effect on T2DM risk were, in decreasing order, BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2 (PAF = 43%; 95% confidence interval [CI] 37-47), high adherence to a Western dietary pattern (PAF = 30%; 95% CI 20-40), hypertension (PAF = 26%; 95% CI 20-32), an acidogenic diet (PAF = 24%; 95% CI 16-32), a family history of diabetes (PAF = 20%; 95% CI 17-22), and, with a negative correlation, moderate alcohol consumption (PAF-19%; 95% CI -34, -4). The PAF for an unhealthy lifestyle was 57% (95% CI 50-63). CONCLUSIONS: We have been able to sort out and quantify the effect of various dietary and biological T2DM risk factors simultaneously in a single population, and to highlight the importance of a healthy lifestyle for primary prevention: more than half the T2DM cases could have been prevented through a healthier lifestyle.


Assuntos
Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiologia , Dieta , Estilo de Vida , Medição de Risco/métodos , Adulto , Exercício Físico , Feminino , França/epidemiologia , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Prospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Fumar , Saúde da Mulher
19.
J Diabetes ; 10(8): 665-674, 2018 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29457678

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Micronutrients play a key role in type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), but methodological difficulties arise from their collinearity and interdependencies with foods. The aim of the present study was to identify micronutrient dietary patterns in the E3N-EPIC (Etude Epidémiologique auprès de femmes de l'Education Nationale) cohort and to investigate their association with risk of T2DM. METHODS: Principal component analysis was used to identify micronutrient patterns among 71 270 women from the E3N-EPIC cohort. Associations between micronutrient patterns and risk of T2DM were quantified by hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) from Cox proportional hazards regression models, adjusted for potential confounders. RESULTS: Six micronutrient patterns were identified explaining 78% of the total variance in micronutrient intake. A positive association was found between T2DM and a pattern highly correlated with intake of vitamins B2 and B5 (HR 1.34; 95% CI 1.16-1.56). Similarly, a positive association was found with a pattern characterized by high intakes of vitamin B12 and retinol, and a low intake of vitamin C (HR 1.30; 95% CI 1.15-1.48). An inverse association was observed between T2DM and another two patterns: one correlated with magnesium and vitamin B3 (HR 0.75; 95% CI 0.66-0.86), and the other correlated with manganese intake (HR 0.82; 95% CI 0.72-0.94). CONCLUSIONS: The findings of the present study identify micronutrients that have an effect on the risk of T2DM, and enable better understanding of the complexity of the diet when investigating the association between micronutrients and T2DM.


Assuntos
Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiologia , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/metabolismo , Dieta , Micronutrientes/metabolismo , Inquéritos e Questionários , Estudos de Coortes , Feminino , França/epidemiologia , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Análise de Componente Principal , Fatores de Risco
20.
Cancer Epidemiol ; 49: 156-160, 2017 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28697417

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Mammographic density is a known heritable risk factor for breast cancer, but reports how tumor characteristics and family history may modify this association are inconsistent. METHODS: Dense and total breast areas were assessed using Cumulus™ from pre-diagnostic mammograms for 820 invasive breast cancer cases and 820 matched controls nested within the French E3N cohort study. To allow comparisons across models, percent mammographic density (PMD) was standardized to the distribution of the controls. Odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) of breast cancer risk for mammographic density were estimated by conditional logistic regression while adjusting for age and body mass index. Heterogeneity according to tumor characteristic and family history was assessed using stratified analyses. RESULTS: Overall, the OR per 1 SD for PMD was 1.50 (95% CI, 1.33-1.69). No evidence for significant heterogeneity by tumor size, lymph node status, grade, and hormone receptor status (estrogen, progesterone, and HER2) was detected. However, the association of PMD was stronger for women reporting a family history of breast cancer (OR1SD=2.25; 95% CI, 1.67-3.04) than in women reporting none (OR1SD=1.41; 95% CI, 1.24-1.60; pheterogeneity=0.002). Similarly, effect modification by FHBC was observed using categories of PMD (pheterogeneity=0.02) with respective ORs of 15.16 (95% CI, 4.23-54.28) vs. 3.14 (95% CI, 1.89-5.22) for ≥50% vs. <10% PMD. CONCLUSIONS: The stronger association between mammographic density and breast cancer risk with a family history supports the hypothesis of shared genetic factors responsible for familial aggregation of breast cancer and the heritable component of mammographic density.


Assuntos
Densidade da Mama , Neoplasias da Mama/diagnóstico por imagem , Neoplasias da Mama/epidemiologia , Idoso , Mama/diagnóstico por imagem , Mama/patologia , Neoplasias da Mama/genética , Neoplasias da Mama/patologia , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Estudos de Coortes , Saúde da Família/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , França/epidemiologia , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Mamografia/estatística & dados numéricos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Razão de Chances , Fatores de Risco
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