Immunological dysfunction persists for 8 months following initial mild-to-moderate SARS-CoV-2 infection.

A proportion of patients surviving acute coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) infection develop post-acute COVID syndrome (long COVID (LC)) lasting longer than 12 weeks. Here, we studied individuals with LC compared to age- and gender-matched recovered individuals without LC, unexposed donors and individuals infected with other coronaviruses. Patients with LC had highly activated innate immune cells, lacked naive T and B cells and showed elevated expression of type I IFN (IFN-ß) and type III IFN (IFN-λ1) that remained persistently high at 8 months after infection. Using a log-linear classification model, we defined an optimal set of analytes that had the strongest association with LC among the 28 analytes measured. Combinations of the inflammatory mediators IFN-ß, PTX3, IFN-γ, IFN-λ2/3 and IL-6 associated with LC with 78.5-81.6% accuracy. This work defines immunological parameters associated with LC and suggests future opportunities for prevention and treatment.

A multinational Delphi consensus to end the COVID-19 public health threat.

Despite notable scientific and medical advances, broader political, socioeconomic and behavioural factors continue to undercut the response to the COVID-19 pandemic1,2. Here we convened, as part of this Delphi study, a diverse, multidisciplinary panel of 386 academic, health, non-governmental organization, government and other experts in COVID-19 response from 112 countries and territories to recommend specific actions to end this persistent global threat to public health. The panel developed a set of 41 consensus statements and 57 recommendations to governments, health systems, industry and other key stakeholders across six domains: communication; health systems; vaccination; prevention; treatment and care; and inequities. In the wake of nearly three years of fragmented global and national responses, it is instructive to note that three of the highest-ranked recommendations call for the adoption of whole-of-society and whole-of-government approaches1, while maintaining proven prevention measures using a vaccines-plus approach2 that employs a range of public health and financial support measures to complement vaccination. Other recommendations with at least 99% combined agreement advise governments and other stakeholders to improve communication, rebuild public trust and engage communities3 in the management of pandemic responses. The findings of the study, which have been further endorsed by 184 organizations globally, include points of unanimous agreement, as well as six recommendations with >5% disagreement, that provide health and social policy actions to address inadequacies in the pandemic response and help to bring this public health threat to an end.

Hepatitis C.

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) is a hepatotropic RNA virus that can cause acute and chronic hepatitis, with progressive liver damage resulting in cirrhosis, decompensated liver disease, and hepatocellular carcinoma. In 2016, WHO called for the elimination of HCV infection as a public health threat by 2030. Despite some progress, an estimated 57 million people were living with HCV infection in 2020, and 300 000 HCV-related deaths occur per year. The development of direct-acting antiviral therapy has revolutionised clinical care and generated impetus for elimination, but simplified and broadened HCV screening, enhanced linkage to care, and higher coverage of treatment and primary prevention strategies are urgently required.

Incidence of hepatitis C virus infection in the prison setting: The SToP-C study.

People in prison are at high risk of HCV given high injecting drug use prevalence. This study evaluated HCV incidence and associated injecting drug use characteristics in prison. The SToP-C study enrolled people incarcerated in four Australian prisons. Participants were tested for HCV at enrolment and then every 3-6 months (October-2014 to November-2019). Participants eligible for this analysis included those at-risk of HCV primary infection (anti-HCV negative) or re-infection (anti-HCV positive, HCV RNA negative) with follow-up assessment. A total of 1643 eligible participants were included in analyses (82% male; median age 33 years; 30% injected drugs in prison; 1818 person-years of follow-up). Overall HCV incidence was 6.11/100 person-years (95%CI: 5.07-7.35), with higher rate of re-infection (9.34/100 person-years; 95%CI: 7.15-12.19) than primary infection (4.60/100 person-years; 95%CI: 3.56-5.96). In total population (n = 1643), HCV risk was significantly higher among participants injecting drugs in prison [vs. no injecting; adjusted hazard ratio (aHR): 10.55, 95%CI: 5.88-18.92), and those who were released and re-incarcerated during follow-up (vs. remained incarcerated; aHR: 1.60, 95%CI: 1.03-2.49). Among participants who injected recently (during past month, n = 321), HCV risk was reduced among those receiving high-dosage opioid agonist therapy (OAT), i.e. methadone ≥60 mg/day or buprenorphine ≥16 mg/day, (vs. no OAT, aHR: 0.11, 95%CI: 0.02-0.80) and increased among those sharing needles/syringes without consistent use of disinfectant to clean injecting equipment (vs. no sharing, HR: 4.60, 95%CI: 1.35-15.66). This study demonstrated high HCV transmission risk in prison, particularly among people injecting drugs. High-dosage OAT was protective, but improved OAT coverage and needle/syringe programmes to reduce sharing injecting equipment are required.

Health-Related Quality of Life of People Who Inject Drugs: The Enhancing Treatment of Hepatitis C in Opioid Substitution Settings Engage Study.

OBJECTIVES: There is limited research on health-related quality of life (HRQoL) among people who inject drugs (PWID). We evaluated the HRQoL and associated factors among a cohort of PWID in Australia. METHODS: Participants were enrolled in an observational cohort study (the Enhancing Treatment of Hepatitis C in Opioid Substitution Settings Engage Study) from May 2018 to September 2019 (wave 1) and November 2019 to June 2021 (wave 2). Participants completed the EQ-5D-5L survey at enrolment. Two-part models were used to assess the association of clinical and socioeconomic characteristics with EQ-5D-5L scores. RESULTS: Among 2395 participants (median age, 43 years; 66% male), 65% reported injecting drug use in the past month, 20% had current hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection, and 68% had no/mild liver fibrosis (F0/F1). Overall, the mean EQ-5D-5L and EQ-visual analog scale scores were 0.78 and 57, respectively. In adjusted analysis, factors associated with significantly lower EQ-5D-5L scores include older ages, female (marginal effect = -0.03, P = .014), being homeless (marginal effect = -0.04, P = .040), and polysubstance use (marginal effect = -0.05, P < .001). Factors associated with significantly higher EQ-5D-5L scores were being Aboriginal/Torres Strait Islander (marginal effect = 0.03, P = .021) and recent injecting drug use in the past 12 months. Current HCV infection and liver fibrosis stage were not associated with reduced HRQoL among the study participants. CONCLUSIONS: PWID experienced a lower HRQoL compared with the general population. Further research is needed to understand HRQoL in this population to facilitate the development of multifaceted care models for PWID beyond HCV cure and inform health economic analyses for identifying optimal health strategies for PWID.

Necroptosis microenvironment directs lineage commitment in liver cancer.

Primary liver cancer represents a major health problem. It comprises hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC), which differ markedly with regards to their morphology, metastatic potential and responses to therapy. However, the regulatory molecules and tissue context that commit transformed hepatic cells towards HCC or ICC are largely unknown. Here we show that the hepatic microenvironment epigenetically shapes lineage commitment in mosaic mouse models of liver tumorigenesis. Whereas a necroptosis-associated hepatic cytokine microenvironment determines ICC outgrowth from oncogenically transformed hepatocytes, hepatocytes containing identical oncogenic drivers give rise to HCC if they are surrounded by apoptotic hepatocytes. Epigenome and transcriptome profiling of mouse HCC and ICC singled out Tbx3 and Prdm5 as major microenvironment-dependent and epigenetically regulated lineage-commitment factors, a function that is conserved in humans. Together, our results provide insight into lineage commitment in liver tumorigenesis, and explain molecularly why common liver-damaging risk factors can lead to either HCC or ICC.

Author Correction: Necroptosis microenvironment directs lineage commitment in liver cancer.

In this Article, the pCaMIN construct consisted of 'mouse MYC and mouse NrasG12V' instead of 'mouse Myc and human NRASG12V; and the pCAMIA construct consisted of 'mouse Myc and human AKT1' instead of 'mouse Myc and Akt1' this has been corrected online.

Temporal change in aetiology and clinical characteristics of hepatocellular carcinoma in a large cohort of patients in New South Wales, Australia.

BACKGROUND: Viral hepatitis, alcohol-related liver disease (ARLD) and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) are the main risk factors for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in many countries. In Australia, given the access to hepatitis C virus (HCV) direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapy since 2016, a temporal change in HCC aetiology was hypothesized. This study evaluated the temporal change in the aetiology and characteristics of HCC in New South Wales (NSW). METHODS: Patients diagnosed with HCC, admitted to three public hospitals in NSW between 2008 and 2021, were included in the analyses. We assessed the annual frequency of each HCC aetiology and the distribution of HCC characteristics in participants. RESULTS: Among 1370 patients, the most common HCC etiologies were HCV (n = 483, 35%), ARLD (n = 452, 33%), NAFLD (n = 347, 25%) and hepatitis B virus (n = 301, 22%). The proportion of HCV-related HCC was the highest in 2011-2016 (41%) and significantly declined to 30% in 2017-2021 (odds ratio [OR], 0.53 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.35-0.79]; P = 0.002). The proportion of HCC diagnosed at an early stage (Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage O/A) increased from 41% in 2008-2009 to 56% in 2020-2021 (OR per annum, 1.05 [95% CI, 1.02-1.08]; P = 0.002), and the proportion of patients receiving potentially curative HCC management increased from 29% in 2008-2009 to 41% in 2020-2021 (OR per annum, 1.06 [95% CI, 1.03-1.10]; P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: The contribution of HCV to HCC burden has been decreasing in the DAA era, suggesting the role of HCV elimination in decreasing HCC risk. Increasing frequency of less advanced HCC at diagnosis over time suggests improved HCC surveillance.

Controlled Human Infection Model for Hepatitis C Virus Vaccine Development: Trial Design Considerations.

The design of a clinical trial for a controlled human infection model (CHIM) to accelerate hepatitis C virus (HCV) vaccine development requires careful consideration. The design of a potential approach to HCV CHIM is outlined, involving initial sentinel cohorts to establish the safety and curability of the viral inoculum followed by larger cohorts to establish the spontaneous clearance rate for each inoculum. The primary endpoint would be HCV clearance by 24 weeks post-inoculation, recognizing that the prevention of chronic infection would be the primary goal of HCV vaccine candidates. Additional considerations are discussed, including the populations to be enrolled, the required monitoring approach, indications for antiviral therapy, and the required sample size for different CHIM approaches. Finally, safety considerations for CHIM participants are discussed.

National trends in retreatment of HCV due to reinfection or treatment failure in Australia.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Population-level uptake of direct-acting antiviral (DAA) treatment for hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection, including retreatment, can be estimated through administrative pharmaceutical dispensation data. However, the reasons for retreatment are not captured in these data. We developed a machine learning model to classify retreatments as reinfection or treatment failure at a national level. METHODS: Retreatment data from the REACH-C cohort (n = 10,843 treated with DAAs; n = 320 retreatments with known reason), were used to train a random forest model. Nested cross validation was undertaken to assess model performance and to optimise hyperparameters. The model was applied to data on DAA retreatment dispensed during 2016-2021 in Australia, to identify the reason for retreatment (treatment failure or reinfection). RESULTS: Average predictive accuracy, precision, sensitivity, specificity and F1-score for the model were 96.3%, 96.5%, 96.3%, 96.3% and 96.3%, respectively. Nationally, 95,272 individuals initiated DAAs, with treatment uptake declining from 32,454 in 2016 to 6,566 in 2021. Of those treated, 6,980 (7%) were retreated. Our model classified 51.8% (95% CI 46.7-53.6%; n = 3,614) of cases as reinfection and 48.2% (95% CI 46.4-53.3%; n = 3,366) as treatment failure. Retreatment for reinfection increased steadily over the study period from 14 in 2016 to 1,092 in 2020, stabilising in 2021. Retreatment for treatment failure increased from 73 in 2016 to 1,077 in 2019, then declined to 515 in 2021. Among individuals retreated for treatment failure, 50% had discontinued initial treatment. CONCLUSIONS: We used a novel methodology with high classification accuracy to evaluate DAA retreatment patterns at a national level. Increases in retreatment uptake for treatment failure corresponded to the availability of pangenotypic and salvage regimens. Increasing retreatment uptake for reinfection likely reflects increasing reinfection incidence. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: This study used machine learning methodologies to analyse national administrative data and characterise trends in HCV retreatment due to reinfection and treatment failure. Retreatment for reinfection increased over time, reflecting increasing numbers of people at risk for reinfection following HCV cure. Increased retreatment for treatment failure corresponded to the availability of pangenotypic and salvage DAA regimens. The findings of this study can be used by public health agencies and policy makers to guide and assess HCV elimination strategies, while the novel methodology for monitoring trends in HCV retreatment has the potential to be used in other settings, and health conditions.

A 'one-stop-shop' point-of-care hepatitis C RNA testing intervention to enhance treatment uptake in a reception prison: The PIVOT study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Prisons are key venues for scaling-up hepatitis C virus (HCV) testing and treatment. Complex clinical pathways and frequent movements of people in prison remain barriers to HCV care. This study evaluated the impact of a 'one-stop-shop' point-of-care HCV RNA testing intervention on treatment uptake compared with standard of care among people recently incarcerated in Australia. METHODS: PIVOT was a prospective, non-concurrent, controlled study comparing HCV treatment uptake during 'standard of care' (n = 239; November 2019-May 2020) and a 'one-stop-shop' intervention (n = 301; June 2020-April 2021) in one reception prison in Australia. The primary endpoint was uptake of direct-acting antiviral treatment at 12 weeks from enrolment. Secondary outcomes included the time taken from enrolment to each stage in the care cascade. RESULTS: A total of 540 male participants were enrolled. Median age (29 vs. 28 years) and history of injecting drug use (48% vs. 42%) were similar between standard of care and intervention phases. Among people diagnosed with current HCV infection (n = 18/63 in the standard of care phase vs. n = 30/298 in the intervention phase), the proportion initiating direct-acting antiviral treatment within 12 weeks from enrolment in the intervention phase was higher (93% [95% CI 0.78-0.99] vs. 22% [95% CI 0.64-0.48]; p <0.001), and the median time to treatment initiation was shorter (6 days [IQR 5-7] vs. 99 days [IQR 57-127]; p <0.001) compared to standard of care. CONCLUSIONS: The 'one-stop-shop' intervention enhanced treatment uptake and reduced time to treatment initiation among people recently incarcerated in Australia, thereby overcoming key barriers to treatment scale-up in the prison sector. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: This study provides important insights for policymakers regarding optimal HCV testing and treatment pathways for people newly incarcerated in prisons. The findings will improve health outcomes in people in prison with chronic HCV infection by increasing testing and treatment, thereby reducing infections, liver-related morbidity/mortality, and comorbidities. The findings will change clinical practice, clinical guidelines, and international guidance, and will inform future research and national and regional strategies, in particular regarding point-of-care testing, which is being rapidly scaled-up in various settings globally. The economic impact will likely include health budget savings resulting from reduced negative health outcomes relating to HCV, and health system efficiencies resulting from the introduction of simplified models of care. CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION: This study is registered at Clinicaltrials.gov (NCT04809246).

Liver-related mortality among people with hepatitis B and C: Evaluation of definitions based on linked healthcare administrative datasets.

Routinely collected and linked healthcare administrative datasets could be used to monitor mortality among people with hepatitis B (HBV) and C (HCV). This study aimed to evaluate the concordance in records of liver-related mortality among people with an HBV or HCV notification, between data on hospitalization for end-stage liver disease (ESLD) and death certificates. In New South Wales, Australia, HBV and HCV notifications (1993-2017) were linked to hospital admissions (2001-2018), all-cause mortality (1993-2018) and cause-specific mortality (1993-2016) datasets. Hospitalization for ESLD was defined as a first-time hospital admission due to decompensated cirrhosis (DC) or hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Consistency of liver death definition of mortality following hospitalization for ESLD was compared with two death certificate-based definitions of liver deaths coded among primary and secondary cause-specific mortality data, including ESLD-related (deaths due to DC and HCC) and all-liver deaths (ESLD-related and other liver-related causes). Of 63,292 and 107,430 individuals with an HBV and HCV notification, there were 4478 (2.6%) post-ESLD hospitalization deaths, 5572 (3.3%) death certificate liver disease deaths and 2910 (1.7%) death certificate ESLD deaths. Between 2001 and 2016, among HBV post-ESLD hospitalization deaths (n = 891), 63% (562) had death certificate ESLD recorded, and 83% (741) had death certificate liver disease recorded. Between 2001 and 2016, among HCV post-ESLD hospitalization deaths (n = 3587), 58% (2082) had death certificate ESLD recorded, and 87% (3135) had death certificate liver disease recorded. At least one-third of death certificates with DC and HCC as cause of death had no mention of HBV, HCV or viral hepatitis. Our study identified limitations in estimating and tracking HBV and HCV liver disease mortality using death certificate-based data only. The optimum data for this purpose is either ESLD hospitalisations with vital status information or a combination of these with cause-specific death certificate data.

Cascade of care among people with hepatitis B in New South Wales, Australia.

Hepatitis B virus (HBV) care cascade characterisation is important for monitoring HBV elimination progress. This study evaluated care cascade and factors associated with HBV DNA testing and treatment in New South Wales, Australia. HBV care cascade were determined through linkage of HBV notifications (1993-2017) to Medicare and pharmaceutical benefits schemes (2010-2018). Timely HBV DNA testing was within 4 weeks of HBV notification. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression evaluated factors associated with HBV DNA testing and treatment. Among 15,202 people with HBV notification, 10,479 (69%) were tested for HBV DNA. A total of 3179 (21%) initiated HBV treatment. HBV DNA testing was more likely among age ≥45 years (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.07, 95% CI: 1.02, 1.12), hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) (aHR 1.23, 95% CI: 1.01, 1.50), coinfection (aHR 1.61, 95% CI: 1.23, 2.09), later notification (2014-2017) (aHR 1.21, 95% CI: 1.16, 1.26) and less likely among females (aHR 0.95, 95% CI: 0.91, 0.99), history of alcohol use disorder (AUD) (aHR 0.77, 95% CI: 0.66, 0.89), HCV coinfection (aHR .62, 95% CI: 0.55, 0.70) and Indigenous peoples (aHR 0.84, 95% CI: 0.71, 0.98). HBV treatment was associated with age ≥45 years (aHR 1.35, 95% CI: 1.24, 1.48), decompensated cirrhosis (aHR 2.07, 95% CI: 1.62, 2.65), HCC (aHR 2.96, 95% CI: 2.35, 3.74), HIV coinfection (aHR 4.27, 95% CI: 3.43, 5.31) and later notification (2014-2017) (aHR 1.37, 95% CI: 1.26, 1.47). HBV treatment was less likely among females (aHR 0.68, 95% CI: 0.63, 0.73) and Indigenous peoples (aHR 0.58, 95% CI: 0.42, 0.80). HBV DNA testing and treatment coverage have increased, but remain sub-optimal among some key populations.

Hepatitis C care cascade before and during the direct-acting antiviral eras in New South Wales, Australia: A population-based linkage study.

The hepatitis C virus (HCV) care cascade characterization is important for monitoring progress towards HCV elimination. This study evaluated HCV care cascade and factors associated with treatment during pre-DAA (2011-2012 and 2013-2015) and DAA (2016-2018) eras in New South Wales (NSW), Australia. We conducted a cohort study of people with an HCV notification (1993 to 2017) through end 2018, linked to administrative datasets, including HCV treatment and non-hospital services. Those aged <18 years, died within first 6 months of study period or notification, and who had successful HCV treatment in period before were excluded. Sex-specific spontaneous viral clearance was incorporated to estimate treatment-eligible population. The study population in each period were cumulative and brought forward from one period to the next. Among 115,667 people with HCV notification, 87,063 fulfilled eligibility criteria. During 2011 to 2012, 2013 to 2015, and 2016 to 2018, cumulative HCV notifications were 71,677, 77,969, and 80,017; 52,016, 56,793, and 57,467 were eligible for treatment; 29%, 48%, and 64% confirmed HCV RNA positive; and 0.6%, 5%, and 38% initiated HCV treatment, respectively. Birth cohort 1945 to 1964 (vs. ≥1965), males, non-Aboriginal ethnicity, regional/rural area of residence, and HCV/HIV co-infection were associated with higher treatment uptake. Incarceration and drug dependence were associated with higher treatment uptake during the DAA era. In Australia, many marginalized populations including those incarcerated and those with drug dependence have equitable treatment uptake in the DAA era. Targeted strategies are required to enhance treatment uptake for females and Aboriginal populations.

Hepatitis C virus-specific immune responses following direct-acting antivirals administered during recent hepatitis C virus infection.

Individuals who spontaneously clear hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection have demonstrated evidence of partial protective immunity, whereas treatment-induced clearance provides little or no protection against reinfection. We aimed to investigate whether treatment of acute HCV infection with direct-acting antivirals (DAA) prevents establishment of, or reverses, T-cell exhaustion, leading to a virus-specific T-cell immune profile more similar to that seen in spontaneous clearance. The magnitude and breadth of HCV-specific T-cell responses before and after DAA or interferon-based therapy in acute or chronic HCV were compared to those of participants with spontaneous clearance of infection, using Enzyme-linked Immunospot (ELISPOT). PBMCs were available for 55 patients comprising 4 groups: spontaneous clearance (n = 17), acute interferon (n = 14), acute DAA (n = 13) and chronic DAA (n = 11). After controlling for sex, the magnitude of post-treatment HCV-specific responses after acute DAA treatment was greater than after chronic DAA or acute IFN treatment and similar to those found in spontaneous clearers. However, spontaneous clearers responded to more HCV peptide pools indicating greater breadth of response. In conclusion, early treatment with DAAs may prevent or reverse some degree of immune exhaustion and result in stronger HCV-specific responses post-treatment. However, individuals with spontaneous clearance had broader HCV-specific responses.

Effectiveness of direct-acting antiviral therapy among Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples with HCV infection in Australia: A national real-world cohort (REACH-C).

Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples experience a disproportionate burden of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. This study assessed the effectiveness of direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapy among Aboriginal peoples in the three years following universal access in Australia. REACH-C, a national multicentre prospective cohort study, evaluated HCV treatment outcomes from sequential DAA initiations across 33 health services between March 2016 and June 2019. DAA effectiveness was assessed by sustained virological response (SVR) in the total (full analysis set) and effectiveness (modified analysis set excluding those lost to follow-up) populations. Overall, 915 (10%) Aboriginal and 8095 (90%) non-Indigenous people commenced DAA therapy, of whom 30% and 16% reported current injecting drug use and 73% and 42% were treated in primary care, respectively. SVR in the total and effectiveness populations was 74% and 94% among Aboriginal people and 82% and 94% among non-Indigenous people, with loss to follow-up contributing to lower SVR in the total population analysis (22% Aboriginal, 13% non-Indigenous). Among Aboriginal people, returning for follow-up was positively associated with older age (aOR 1.20; 95% CI 1.04, 1.39) and SVR was negatively associated with cirrhosis (aOR 0.39; 95% CI 0.19, 0.80) and prior DAA treatment (aOR 0.14; 95% CI 0.04, 0.49). Factors reflecting higher vulnerability or inequity were not associated with returning for testing or SVR. DAA therapy was highly effective among Aboriginal peoples with HCV treated through primary and tertiary services. Tailored community-led interventions are necessary to optimize follow-up and engagement. Sustained DAA uptake and equitable access to care, treatment and prevention are required for HCV elimination.

HCC incidence after hepatitis C cure among patients with advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis: A meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: HCV cure reduces but does not eliminate the risk of HCC. HCC surveillance is recommended in populations where the incidence exceeds 1.5% per year. In cirrhosis, HCC surveillance should continue after HCV cure, although it is uncertain if this should be indefinite. For patients with advanced fibrosis (F3), guidelines are inconsistent in their recommendations. We evaluated the incidence of HCC after HCV cure among patients with F3 fibrosis or cirrhosis. APPROACH AND RESULTS: This systematic review and meta-analysis identified 44 studies (107,548 person-years of follow-up) assessing the incidence of HCC after HCV cure among patients with F3 fibrosis or cirrhosis. The incidence of HCC was 2.1 per 100 person-years (95% CI, 1.9-2.4) among patients with cirrhosis and 0.5 per 100 person-years (95% CI, 0.3-0.7) among patients with F3 fibrosis. In a meta-regression analysis among patients with cirrhosis, older age (adjusted rate ratio [aRR] per 10-year increase in mean/median age, 1.32; 95% CI, 1.00-1.73) and prior decompensation (aRR per 10% increase in the proportion of patients with prior decompensation, 1.06; 95% CI, 1.01-1.12) were associated with an increased incidence of HCC. Longer follow-up after HCV cure was associated with a decreased incidence of HCC (aRR per year increase in mean/median follow-up, 0.87; 95% CI, 0.79-0.96). CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with cirrhosis, the incidence of HCC decreases over time after HCV cure and is lowest in patients with younger age and compensated cirrhosis. The substantially lower incidence in F3 fibrosis is below the recommended threshold for cost-effective screening. The results should encourage the development of validated predictive models that better identify at-risk individuals, especially among patients with F3 fibrosis.

Prison-based interventions are key to achieving HCV elimination among people who inject drugs in New South Wales, Australia: A modelling study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: People who inject drugs (PWID) experience high incarceration rates which are associated with increased hepatitis C virus (HCV) transmission risk. We assess the importance of prison-based interventions for achieving HCV elimination among PWID in New South Wales (NSW), Australia. METHODS: A model of incarceration and HCV transmission among PWID was calibrated in a Bayesian framework to epidemiological and incarceration data from NSW, incorporating elevated HCV acquisition risk among recently released PWID. We projected the contribution of differences in transmission risk during/following incarceration to HCV transmission over 2020-2029. We estimated the past and potential future impact of prison-based opioid agonist therapy (OAT; ~33% coverage) and HCV treatment (1500 treatments in 2019 with 32.9%-83.3% among PWID) on HCV transmission. We estimated the time until HCV incidence reduces by 80% (WHO elimination target) compared to 2016 levels with or without prison-based interventions. RESULTS: Over 2020-2029, incarceration will contribute 23.0% (17.9-30.5) of new HCV infections. If prison-based interventions had not been implemented since 2010, HCV incidence in 2020 would have been 29.7% (95% credibility interval: 22.4-36.1) higher. If current prison and community HCV treatment rates continue, there is an 98.8% probability that elimination targets will be achieved by 2030, with this decreasing to 10.1% without current prison-based interventions. CONCLUSIONS: Existing prison-based interventions in NSW are critical components of strategies to reduce HCV incidence among PWID. Prison-based interventions are likely to be pivotal for achieving HCV elimination targets among PWID by 2030.

Patient-Reported Outcomes During and After Hepatitis C Virus Direct-Acting Antiviral Treatment Among People Who Inject Drugs.

OBJECTIVES: People who inject drugs (PWID) are at a high risk of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. HCV cure is associated with improved patient-reported outcomes (PROs), but there are little data among PWID. This study aimed to assess the change in PROs during and after HCV direct-acting antiviral (DAA) treatment. METHODS: This analysis used data from 2 clinical trials of DAA treatment in PWID. PROs assessed included health-related quality of life, social functioning, psychological distress, housing, and employment. Generalized estimating equations and group-based trajectory modeling were used to assess changes in PROs over time. RESULTS: No significant changes in the 3-level version of EQ-5D scores, EQ visual analogue scale scores, social functioning, psychological distress, and housing were observed over the 108-week study period. There was a significant increase in the proportion of participants employed (18% [95% confidence interval (CI) 12%-23%] at baseline to 28% [95% CI 19%-36%] at the end of the study). Participants were more likely to be employed at 24 weeks and 108 weeks after commencing treatment. Having stable housing increased the odds of being employed (odds ratio 1.70; 95% CI 1.00-2.90). The group-based trajectory modeling demonstrated that most outcomes remained stable during and after DAA treatment. CONCLUSIONS: Although no significant improvement was identified in health-related quality of life after HCV DAA treatment, there was a modest but significant increase in employment during study follow-up. The study findings support the need for multifaceted models of HCV care for PWID addressing a range of issues beyond HCV treatment to improve quality of life.

Health-related quality of life among people who inject drugs in Australia.

PURPOSE: There is limited research on health-related quality of life (HRQoL) among people who inject drugs (PWID). We aimed to evaluate factors associated with HRQoL among a cohort of PWID in Australia. METHODS: Participants were enrolled in an observational cohort study (the LiveRLife Study) between 2014 and 2018 at 15 sites in Australia. They provided fingerstick whole-blood samples for point-of-care HCV RNA testing and underwent transient elastography to assess liver disease. Participants completed the EQ-5D-3L survey at enrolment. Regression models were used to assess the impact of clinical and socioeconomic characteristics on the EQ-5D-3L scores. RESULTS: Among 751 participants (median age, 43 years; 67% male), 63% reported injection drug use in the past month, 43% had current HCV infection, and 68% had no/mild liver fibrosis (F0/F1). The mean EQ-5D-3L and EQ-VAS scores were 0.67 and 62, respectively, for the overall study population. There was no significant difference in the EQ-5D-3L scores among people with and without recent injecting drug use (mean: 0.66 vs. 0.68, median: 0.73 vs. 0.78, P = 0.405), and among people receiving and not receiving opioid agonist therapy (mean: 0.66 vs. 0.68, median: 0.73 vs. 0.76, P = 0.215). Participants who were employed were found to have the highest mean EQ-5D-3L (0.83) and EQ-VAS scores (77). The presence of current HCV infection, liver fibrosis stage, and high-risk alcohol consumption had little impact on HRQoL. CONCLUSIONS: The study findings provide important HRQoL data for economic evaluations, useful for guiding the allocation of resources for HCV elimination strategies and interventions among PWID.