Evolutionary Insights from Association Rule Mining of Co-Occurring Mutations in Influenza Hemagglutinin and Neuraminidase.

Seasonal influenza viruses continuously evolve via antigenic drift. This leads to recurring epidemics, globally significant mortality rates, and the need for annually updated vaccines. Co-occurring mutations in hemagglutinin (HA) and neuraminidase (NA) are suggested to have synergistic interactions where mutations can increase the chances of immune escape and viral fitness. Association rule mining was used to identify temporal relationships of co-occurring HA-NA mutations of influenza virus A/H3N2 and its role in antigenic evolution. A total of 64 clusters were found. These included well-known mutations responsible for antigenic drift, as well as previously undiscovered groups. A majority (41/64) were associated with known antigenic sites, and 38/64 involved mutations across both HA and NA. The emergence and disappearance of N-glycosylation sites in the pattern of N-X-[S/T] were also identified, which are crucial post-translational processes to maintain protein stability and functional balance (e.g., emergence of NA:339ASP and disappearance of HA:187ASP). Our study offers an alternative approach to the existing mutual-information and phylogenetic methods used to identify co-occurring mutations, enabling faster processing of large amounts of data. Our approach can facilitate the prediction of critical mutations given their occurrence in a previous season, facilitating vaccine development for the next flu season and leading to better preparation for future pandemics.

Reported antibiotic use among patients in the multicenter ANDEMIA infectious diseases surveillance study in sub-saharan Africa.

BACKGROUND: Exposure to antibiotics has been shown to be one of the drivers of antimicrobial resistance (AMR) and is critical to address when planning and implementing strategies for combatting AMR. However, data on antibiotic use in sub-Saharan Africa are still limited. Using hospital-based surveillance data from the African Network for Improved Diagnostics, Epidemiology and Management of Common Infectious Agents (ANDEMIA), we assessed self-reported antibiotic use in multiple sub-Saharan African countries. METHODS: ANDEMIA included 12 urban and rural health facilities in Côte d'Ivoire, Burkina Faso, Democratic Republic of the Congo, and Republic of South Africa. Patients with acute respiratory infection (RTI), acute gastrointestinal infection (GI) and acute febrile disease of unknown cause (AFDUC) were routinely enrolled, and clinical, demographic, socio-economic and behavioral data were collected using standardized questionnaires. An analysis of ANDEMIA data from February 2018 to May 2022 was conducted. Reported antibiotic use in the ten days prior to study enrolment were described by substance and by the WHO AWaRe classification ("Access", "Watch", "Reserve", and "Not recommended" antibiotics). Frequency of antibiotic use was stratified by location, disease syndrome and individual patient factors. RESULTS: Among 19,700 ANDEMIA patients, 7,258 (36.8%) reported antibiotic use. A total of 9,695 antibiotics were reported, including 54.7% (n = 5,299) from the WHO Access antibiotic group and 44.7% (n = 4,330) from the WHO Watch antibiotic group. The Watch antibiotic ceftriaxone was the most commonly reported antibiotic (n = 3,071, 31.7%). Watch antibiotic use ranged from 17.4% (56/322) among RTI patients in Côte d'Ivoire urban facilities to 73.7% (630/855) among AFDUC patients in Burkina Faso urban facilities. Reported antibiotic use included WHO Not recommended antibiotics but no Reserve antibiotics. CONCLUSIONS: Reported antibiotic use data from this multicenter study in sub-Saharan Africa revealed a high proportion of WHO Watch antibiotics. Differences in Watch antibiotic use were found by disease syndrome, country and health facility location, which calls for a more differentiated approach to antibiotic use interventions including further evaluation of accessibility and affordability of patient treatment.