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BACKGROUND: Advances in emergency and critical care have improved outcomes, but gaps in communication and decision-making persist, especially in the emergency department (ED), prompting the development of a checklist to aid in serious illness conversations (SIC) in China. METHODS: This was a single-centre prospective interventional study on the quality improvement of SIC for life-sustaining treatment (LST). The study recruited patients consecutively for both its observational baseline and interventional stages until its conclusion. Eligible participants were adults over 18 years old admitted to the Emergency Intensive Care Unit (EICU) of a tertiary teaching hospital, possessing full decisional capacity or having a legal proxy. Exclusions were made for pregnant women, patients deceased upon arrival, those who refused participation, and individuals with incomplete data for analysis. First, a two-round Delphi process was organized to identify major elements and generate a standard process through a checklist. Subsequently, the efficacy of SIC in adult patients admitted to the EICU was compared using the Decisional Conflict Scale (DCS) score before (baseline group) and after (intervention group) implementing the checklist. RESULTS: The study participants presented with the most common comorbidities, such as diabetes, myocardial infarction, cerebrovascular disease, moderate-to-severe renal disease, congestive heart failure, and chronic pulmonary disease. The median Charlson Index did not differ between the baseline and intervention cohorts. The median length of hospital stay was 11.0 days, and 82.9% of patients survived until hospital discharge. The total DCS score was lower in the intervention group than in the baseline group. Three subscales, including the informed, values clarity, and support subscales, demonstrated significant differences between the intervention and baseline groups. Fewer intervention group patients agreed with and changed their minds about cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) compared to the baseline group. CONCLUSION: The use of a SIC checklist in the EICU reduced the DCS score by increasing medical information disclosure, patient value awareness, and decision-making support.
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Lista de Checagem , Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência , Humanos , Projetos Piloto , Feminino , Masculino , Estudos Prospectivos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , China , Idoso , Adulto , Comunicação , Técnica Delphi , Melhoria de Qualidade , Tomada de Decisões , Estado Terminal/terapia , Unidades de Terapia Intensiva , Cuidados para Prolongar a VidaRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: To investigate the clinical effects of modified dachengqi tang (DCQT) on promoting gastrointestinal motility in post-operative esophageal cancer patients. METHODS: Sixty postoperative esophageal cancer patients were enrolled and randomly assigned to the modified treatment group or the control group (30 patients in each group). Patients in the treatment group were given DCQT made from decocted herbs and administered via nasojejunal tube at a dosage of 150 mL. Gastrointestinal motility was assessed by recording time for recovery of bowel sounds, flatus, defecation, and the total amount of gastric drainage during the first three postoperative days. Plasma motilin (MTL) and vasoactive intestinal peptide (VIP) were measured one hour before and three days after surgery. RESULTS: Compared with the control group, the times to first bowel sound, flatus, and defecation were significantly shorter and there was less gastric drainage in the treatment group (P < 0.01, P < 0.01, P < 0.01, and P < 0.05, respectively). In the treatment group, postoperative plasma MTL was significantly higher (P < 0.01) and VIP was significantly lower than those in the control group (P < 0.05). There was no difference found in either MTL or VIP from before to after operation in the treatment group (P > 0.05). MTL was significantly lower and VIP was higher postoperatively in the control group, compared to before surgery (P < 0.01). CONCLUSION: Modified DCQT effectively improved decreased gastrointestinal motility in postoperative esophageal cancer patients by increasing MTL and reducing VIP.
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Medicamentos de Ervas Chinesas/administração & dosagem , Neoplasias Esofágicas/cirurgia , Motilidade Gastrointestinal/efeitos dos fármacos , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/tratamento farmacológico , Adulto , Idoso , Defecação/efeitos dos fármacos , Neoplasias Esofágicas/fisiopatologia , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/etiologia , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/fisiopatologia , Período Pós-OperatórioRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Cardiac arrest (CA) can activate the coagulation system. Some coagulation-related indicators are associated with clinical outcomes. Early evaluation of patients with cardiac arrest-associated coagulopathy (CAAC) not only predicts clinical outcomes, but also allows for timely clinical intervention to prevent disseminated intravascular coagulation. OBJECTIVE: To assess whether CAAC predicts 30-day cumulative mortality. METHODS: From the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV) database, we conducted a retrospective cohort study from 2008 to 2019. Based on international normalized ratio (INR) value and platelet count, we diagnosed CAAC cases and made the following stratification of severity: mild CAAC was defined as 1.4 > INRâ§1.2 and 100,000/µL < platelet countâ¦150,000/µL; moderate CAAC was defined with either 1.6 > INRâ§1.4 or 80,000/µL < platelet countâ¦100,000/µL; severe CAAC was defined as an INRâ§1.6 and platelet countâ¦80,000/µL. RESULTS: A total of 1485 patients were included. Crude survival analysis showed that patients with CAAC had higher mortality risk than those without CAAC (33.0% vs 52.0%, P < 0.001). Unadjusted survival analysis showed an incremental increase in the risk of mortality as the severity of CAAC increased. After adjusting confounders (prehospital characteristics and hospitalization characteristics), CAAC was independently associated with 30-day mortality (hazard rate [HR] 1.77, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.41-2.25; P < 0.001); moderate CAAC (HR 1.48, 95% CI 1.09-2.10; P = 0.027) and severe CAAC (HR 2.22, 95% CI 1.64-2.97; P < 0.001) were independently associated with 30-day mortality. CONCLUSION: The presence of CAAC identifies a group of CA at higher risk for mortality, and there is an incremental increase in risk of mortality as the severity of CAAC increases. However, the results of this study should be further verified by multicenter study.
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Coagulação Sanguínea , Parada Cardíaca , Humanos , Plaquetas , Cuidados Críticos , Estudos RetrospectivosRESUMO
Aim: To investigate (1) the association between pre-hospital emergency medical resources and pre-hospital emergency medical system (EMS) response time among patients with Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA); (2) whether the association differs between urban and suburbs. Methods: Densities of ambulances and physicians were independent variables, respectively. Pre-hospital emergency medical system response time was dependent variable. Multivariate linear regression was used to investigate the roles of ambulance density and physician density in pre-hospital EMS response time. Qualitative data were collected and analyzed to explore reasons for the disparities in pre-hospital resources between urban areas and suburbs. Results: Ambulance density and physician density were both negatively associated with call to ambulance dispatch time, with odds ratios (ORs) 0.98 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.96-0.99; P = 0.001) and 0.97 (95% CI; 0.93-0.99; P < 0.001), respectively. ORs of ambulance density and physician density in association with total response time were 0.99 (95% CI: 0.97-0.99; P = 0.013) and 0.90 (95% CI: 0.86-0.99; P = 0.048). The effect of ambulance density on call to ambulance dispatch time in urban areas was 14% smaller than that in suburb areas and that on total response time in urban areas was 3% smaller than the effect in suburbs. Similar effects were identified for physician density on urban-suburb disparities in call to ambulance dispatch time and total response time. The main reasons summarized from stakeholders for a lack of physicians and ambulances in suburbs included low income, poor personal incentive mechanisms, and inequality in financial distribution of the healthcare system. Conclusion: Improving pre-hospital emergency medical resources allocation can reduce system delay and narrow urban-suburb disparity in EMS response time for OHCA patients.
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Serviços Médicos de Emergência , Parada Cardíaca Extra-Hospitalar , Humanos , Estudos Transversais , Parada Cardíaca Extra-Hospitalar/epidemiologia , Parada Cardíaca Extra-Hospitalar/terapia , Tempo de Reação , HospitaisRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Shared decision-making (SDM) has broad application in emergencies. Most published studies have focused on SDM for a certain disease or expert opinions on future research gaps without revealing the full picture or detailed guidance for clinical practice. This study is to investigate the optimal application of SDM to guide life-sustaining treatment (LST) in emergencies. METHODS: This study was a prospective two-round Delphi consensus-seeking survey among multiple stakeholders at the China Consortium of Elite Teaching Hospitals for Residency Education. Participants were identified based on their expertise in medicine, law, administration, medical education, or patient advocacy. All individual items and questions in the questionnaire were scored using a 5-point Likert scale, with responses ranging from "very unimportant" (a score of 1) to "extremely important" (a score of 5). The percentages of the responses that had scores of 4-5 on the 5-point Likert scale were calculated. A Kendall's W coefficient was calculated to evaluate the consensus of experts. RESULTS: A two-level framework consisting of 4 domains and 22 items as well as a ready-to-use checklist for the informed consent process for LST was established. An acceptable Kendall's W coefficient was achieved. CONCLUSION: A consensus-based framework supporting SDM during LST in an emergency department can inform the implementation of guidelines for clinical interventions, research studies, medical education, and policy initiatives.
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Toxic epidermal necrolysis (TEN) and Stevens-Johnson syndrome (SJS) are potentially fatal mucocutaneous diseases characterized by extensive necrosis and exfoliation of the epidermis. TEN and SJS are most often caused by various kinds of drugs. Other risk factors for SJS/TEN include pneumonia infection, HIV infection, genetic factors, underlying immune diseases, and tumors. SJS and TEN were first identified in 1922, but at present, a widely recognized view is that SJS and TEN represent phases in the continuous progress of the same disease. SJS/TEN has a very high mortality, but is rare, and cases of SJS/TEN combined with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) are even less common. Occasionally, acute cutaneous manifestations of SLE and SJS/TEN can be phenotypically similar, both causing extensive epidermal necrosis. In this paper, we present a recent case of a 32-year-old female SLE patient with a drug-induced (the health product, astaxanthin) TEN/SJS. To provide context to this case, we have reviewed relevant case studies published in English, accessed via PubMed databases. The search covers all published case studies from 1988 to 2019. We collected a total of 30 cases in the literature, and analyzed their characteristics from the aspects of gender, suspicious medication history, and treatment in order to expand clinicians' approach to diagnosis and treatment.
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Infecções por HIV , Lúpus Eritematoso Sistêmico , Síndrome de Stevens-Johnson , Adulto , Feminino , Infecções por HIV/complicações , Humanos , Lúpus Eritematoso Sistêmico/complicações , Necrose , Síndrome de Stevens-Johnson/diagnóstico , Síndrome de Stevens-Johnson/etiologia , Síndrome de Stevens-Johnson/patologiaRESUMO
The growing burden of eye disease worldwide has aroused increasing concern upon its environmental etiology. This study aims to evaluate the associations of air pollutants with emergency room visits for eye diseases and the effect modification by temperature. Based on 24,389 cases from a general hospital during 2014-2019 in Beijing, China, this study used generalized additive models to examine the associations of air pollutants and emergency room visits for total eye diseases (ICD10: H00-H59) and conjunctivitis (ICD10: H10). Short-term exposures to PM2.5, PM10, CO, and NO2 were associated with increased visits for total eye diseases and conjunctivitis, and stronger effect estimates were observed in high (>75th) temperature group for PM2.5, PM10, CO, and NO2 and low (<75th) temperature group for CO and NO2. For instance, a 10 µg/m3 increase in PM2.5 at lag0-1 were associated with a 0.73% (95% CI: 0.23%, 1.24%) increase in total eye disease visits and a 1.34% (95% CI: 0.55%, 2.13%) increase in conjunctivitis visits, respectively. Meanwhile, a 10 µg/m3 increase in PM2.5 was associated with a 1.57% (95% CI: 0.49%, 2.64%) change in high temperature group and a 0.48% (95% CI: -0.24%, 1.19%) change in medium temperature group (P for interaction = 0.04) in total eye disease visits. Our study emphasizes the importance of controlling the potential hazards of air pollutants on eyes, especially on days with relatively higher or colder temperature.
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Poluentes Atmosféricos , Poluição do Ar , Oftalmopatias , Poluentes Atmosféricos/análise , Poluição do Ar/análise , Pequim , China , Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência , Oftalmopatias/epidemiologia , Humanos , Material Particulado/análise , TemperaturaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: A low survival rate in patients with cardiac arrest is associated with failure to recognize the condition in its initial stage. Therefore, recognizing the warning symptoms of cardiac arrest in the early stage may play an important role in survival. AIM: To investigate the warning symptoms of cardiac arrest and to determine the correlation between the symptoms and outcomes. METHODS: We included all adult patients with all-cause cardiac arrest who visited Peking University Third Hospital or Beijing Friendship Hospital between January 2012 and December 2014. Data on population, symptoms, resuscitation parameters, and outcomes were analysed. RESULTS: Of the 1021 patients in the study, 65.9% had symptoms that presented before cardiac arrest, 25.2% achieved restoration of spontaneous circulation (ROSC), and 7.2% survived to discharge. The patients with symptoms had higher rates of an initial shockable rhythm (12.2% vs 7.5%, P = 0.020), ROSC (29.1% vs 17.5%, P = 0.001) and survival (9.2% vs 2.6%, P = 0.001) than patients without symptoms. Compared with the out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) without symptoms subgroup, the OHCA with symptoms subgroup had a higher rate of calls before arrest (81.6% vs 0.0%, P < 0.001), health care provider-witnessed arrest (13.0% vs 1.4%, P = 0.001) and bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation (15.5% vs 4.9%, P = 0.002); a shorter no flow time (11.7% vs 2.8%, P = 0.002); and a higher ROSC rate (23.8% vs 13.2%, P = 0.011). Compared to the in-hospital cardiac arrest (IHCA) without symptoms subgroup, the IHCA with symptoms subgroup had a higher mean age (66.2 ± 15.2 vs 62.5 ± 16.3 years, P = 0.005), ROSC (32.0% vs 20.6%, P = 0.003), and survival rates (10.6% vs 2.5%, P < 0.001). The top five warning symptoms were dyspnea (48.7%), chest pain (18.3%), unconsciousness (15.2%), paralysis (4.3%), and vomiting (4.0%). Chest pain (20.9% vs 12.7%, P = 0.011), cardiac etiology (44.3% vs 1.5%, P < 0.001) and survival (33.9% vs 16.7%, P = 0.001) were more common in males, whereas dyspnea (54.9% vs 45.9%, P = 0.029) and a non-cardiac etiology (53.3% vs 41.7%, P = 0.003) were more common in females. CONCLUSION: Most patients had warning symptoms before cardiac arrest. Dyspnea, chest pain, and unconsciousness were the most common symptoms. Immediately recognizing these symptoms and activating the emergency medical system prevents resuscitation delay and improves the survival rate of OHCA patients in China.
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Purpose: At present, not enough is known about the symptoms before cardiac arrest. The purpose of this study is to describe the precursor symptoms of cardiac arrest, focusing on the relationship between symptoms and cardiac arrest, and to establish a quick scoring model of symptoms for predicting cardiac arrest. Patients and Methods. A retrospective case-control study was carried out on cardiac arrest patients who visited the emergency department of Peking University Third Hospital from January 2018 to June 2019. Symptoms that occurred or were obviously aggravated within the 14 days before CA were defined as warning symptoms. Results: More than half the cardiac arrest patients experienced warning symptoms within 14 days before cardiac arrest. Dyspnea (p < 0.001) was found to be associated with cardiac arrest; syncope and cold sweat are other symptoms that may have particular clinical significance. Gender (p < 0.001), age (p < 0.001), history of heart failure (p=0.006), chronic kidney disease (p=0.011), and hyperlipidemia (p=0.004) were other factors contributing to our model. Conclusions: Warning symptoms during the 14 days prior to cardiac arrest are common for CA patients. The Quick Scoring Model for Cardiac Arrest (QSM-CA) was developed to help emergency physicians and emergency medical services (EMS) personnel quickly identify patients with a high risk of cardiac arrest.
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OBJECTIVE: To observe the clinical effect of unblocking the interior and purgation method on improving decreased gastrointestinal motility of post-operative esophageal cancer patients, and to study its mechanisms. METHODS: 60 patients with post-operative esophageal cancer were randomly assigned to two groups, the treatment group and the control group, 30 in each group. Routine therapies were given to the two groups. Chinese drugs with unblocking the interior and purgation action was infused by enteral nutrition tube to patients in the treatment group, while normal saline was infused to those in the control group. The first flatus time, the first defecation time, the bowel tones recovery time after operation, and the total amount of the gastric juice draining between the first day and the third day after operation of all patients were recorded. Plasma motilin (MTL) and vasoactive intestinal peptide (VIP) contents were detected before operation and the fourth day after operation. RESULTS: The first flatus time, the first defecation time, the bowel tones recovery time after operation, and the total amount of the gastric juice draining were less in the treatment group than in the control group, showing statistical difference (P<0.05, P<0.01). The post-operative MTL contents were higher and VIP contents lower in the treatment group than in the control group, showing statistical difference (P<0.05, P<0.01). There was no significant difference in plasmal MTL and VIP contents of the treatment group between before and after treatment (P>0.05). But there was significant difference in plasmal MTL and VIP contents of the control group between before and after treatment (P<0.01). CONCLUSION: Unblocking the interior and purgation method could significantly promote the gastrointestinal motility recovery of post-operative esophageal cancer patients, showing good clinical effect.
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Gastroenteropatias/prevenção & controle , Motilidade Gastrointestinal , Fitoterapia , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/prevenção & controle , Adulto , Idoso , Neoplasias Esofágicas/cirurgia , Feminino , Gastroenteropatias/tratamento farmacológico , Gastroenteropatias/fisiopatologia , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/tratamento farmacológicoRESUMO
Background: Malignant ventricular arrhythmias caused by thyroid storm, such as ventricular tachycardia (VT) or ventricular fibrillation (VF), which are life-threatening, are rare. We report the case of a patient who suffered from cardiac arrest caused by thyroid storm and the rare VF; the patient showed a favorable neurologic outcome after receiving targeted temperature management (TTM) treatment by intravascular cooling measures. Case presentation: A 24-year-old woman who had lost 20 kg in the preceding 2 months presented to the emergency department with diarrhea, vomiting, fever, and tachycardia. Thyroid function testing showed increased free triiodothyronine (FT3) and free thyroxine (FT4), decreased thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH), and positive TSH-receptor antibody (TRAB). She was diagnosed with hyperthyroidism and had experienced sudden cardiac arrest (SCA) due to ventricular fibrillation (VF) caused by thyroid storm. The patient was performed with targeted temperature management (TTM) by intravascular cooling measures. Regular follow-up in the endocrinology department showed a good outcome. Conclusions: Our case not only suggests a new method of cooling treatment for thyroid storm, but also provides evidence for the success of TTM on patients resuscitated from in-hospital cardiac arrest (IHCA) who remain comatose after return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC).
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Background: Both the American Heart Association (AHA) and European Resuscitation Council (ERC) have strongly recommended targeted temperature management (TTM) for patients who remain in coma after return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC). However, the role of TTM, especially hypothermia, in cardiac arrest patients after TTM2 trials has become much uncertain. Methods: We searched four online databases (PubMed, Embase, CENTRAL, and Web of Science) and conducted a Bayesian network meta-analysis. Based on the time of collapse to ROSC and whether the patient received TTM or not, we divided this analysis into eight groups (<20 min + TTM, <20 min, 20-39 min + TTM, 20-39 min, 40-59 min + TTM, 40-59 min, ≥60 min + TTM and ≥60 min) to compare their 30-day and at-discharge survival and neurologic outcomes. Results: From an initial search of 3,023 articles, a total of 9,005 patients from 42 trials were eligible and were included in this network meta-analysis. Compared with other groups, patients in the <20 min + TTM group were more likely to have better survival and good neurologic outcomes (probability = 46.1 and 52.5%, respectively). In comparing the same time groups with and without TTM, only the survival and neurologic outcome of the 20-39 min + TTM group was significantly better than that of the 20-39 min group [odds ratio = 1.41, 95% confidence interval (1.04-1.91); OR = 1.46, 95% CI (1.07-2.00) respectively]. Applying TTM with <20 min or more than 40 min of collapse to ROSC did not improve survival or neurologic outcome [ <20 min vs. <20 min + TTM: OR = 1.02, 95% CI (0.61-1.71)/OR = 1.03, 95% CI (0.61-1.75); 40-59 min vs. 40-59 min + TTM: OR = 1.50, 95% CI (0.97-2.32)/OR = 1.40, 95% CI (0.81-2.44); â§60 min vs. â§60 min + TTM: OR = 2.09, 95% CI (0.70-6.24)/OR = 4.14, 95% CI (0.91-18.74), respectively]. Both survival and good neurologic outcome were closely related to the time from collapse to ROSC. Conclusion: Survival and good neurologic outcome are closely associated with the time of collapse to ROSC. These findings supported that 20-40 min of collapse to ROSC should be a more suitable indication for TTM for cardiac arrest patients. Moreover, the future trials should pay more attention to these patients who suffer from moderate injury. Systematic Review Registration: [https://inplasy.com/?s=202180027], identifier [INPLASY202180027].
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BACKGROUND: Computed tomography (CT) findings of COVID-19 patients were demonstrated by cases series and descriptive studies, but quantitative analysis performed by clinical doctors and studies on its predictive value were rarely seen. The aim of the study is to analyze CT score in COVID-19 patients and explore its predictive value. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study among confirmed COVID -19 patients with available CT images between February 8, 2020 and March 7, 2020. The lung was divided into six zones by the level of tracheal carina and the level of inferior pulmonary vein bilaterally on CT. Ground-glass opacity (GGO), consolidation, crazy-paving pattern and overall lung involvement were rated by Likert scale of 0-4 or binary as 0 or 1. Global severity score for each targeted pattern was calculated as total score of six zones. RESULTS: There were 53 patients and 137 CT scans included in the study. There were 18(34%) of the patients classified as moderate cases while 35(66%) patients were severe/critical cases. Severe/critical patients had higher CT scores in several types of abnormalities than moderate patients from the second week to the fourth week post symptom onset. Overall lung involvement score in the second week demonstrated predictive value for severity with a sensitivity of 81.0% and specificity of 69.2%. CONCLUSIONS: Our modified semi-quantitative CT scoring system for COVID-19 patients demonstrated feasibility. Overall lung involvement score on the second week had predictive value for clinical severity and could be indicator for further treatment.
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COVID-19/diagnóstico por imagem , Pulmão/diagnóstico por imagem , Tomografia Computadorizada por Raios X , Adulto , Idoso , COVID-19/complicações , COVID-19/terapia , China , Feminino , Hospitalização , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Curva ROC , Estudos Retrospectivos , Índice de Gravidade de DoençaRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: This retrospective multicentre observational study was performed to assess the predictors of acute kidney injury (AKI) in patients with acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF) in emergency departments in China. METHODS: In total, 1743 consecutive patients with ADHF were recruited from August 2017 to January 2018. Clinical characteristics and outcomes were compared between patients with and without AKI. Predictors of AKI occurrence and underdiagnosis were assessed in multivariate regression analyses. RESULTS: Of the 1743 patients, 593 (34.0%) had AKI. AKI was partly associated with short-term all-cause mortality and cost. Cardiovascular comorbidities such as coronary heart disease, diabetes mellitus, and hypertension remained significant predictors of AKI in the univariate analysis. AKI was significantly more likely to occur in patients with a lower arterial pH, lower albumin concentration, higher creatinine concentration, and higher N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) concentration. Patients treated with inotropic agents were significantly more likely to develop AKI during their hospital stay. CONCLUSION: This study suggests that cardiovascular comorbidities, arterial pH, the albumin concentration, the creatinine concentration, the NT-proBNP concentration, and use of inotropic agents are predictors of AKI in patients with ADHF.
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Injúria Renal Aguda , Insuficiência Cardíaca , Doença Aguda , Injúria Renal Aguda/diagnóstico , Biomarcadores , Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência , Insuficiência Cardíaca/complicações , Insuficiência Cardíaca/diagnóstico , Insuficiência Cardíaca/epidemiologia , Humanos , Peptídeo Natriurético Encefálico , Fragmentos de Peptídeos , Prognóstico , Estudos RetrospectivosRESUMO
The number of critically ill patients has increased globally along with the rise in emergency visits. Mortality prediction for critical patients is vital for emergency care, which affects the distribution of emergency resources. Traditional scoring systems are designed for all emergency patients using a classic mathematical method, but risk factors in critically ill patients have complex interactions, so traditional scoring cannot as readily apply to them. As an accurate model for predicting the mortality of emergency department critically ill patients is lacking, this study's objective was to develop a scoring system using machine learning optimized for the unique case of critical patients in emergency departments. We conducted a retrospective cohort study in a tertiary medical center in Beijing, China. Patients over 16 years old were included if they were alive when they entered the emergency department intensive care unit system from February 2015 and December 2015. Mortality up to 7 days after admission into the emergency department was considered as the primary outcome, and 1624 cases were included to derive the models. Prospective factors included previous diseases, physiologic parameters, and laboratory results. Several machine learning tools were built for 7-day mortality using these factors, for which their predictive accuracy (sensitivity and specificity) was evaluated by area under the curve (AUC). The AUCs were 0.794, 0.840, 0.849 and 0.822 respectively, for the SVM, GBDT, XGBoost and logistic regression model. In comparison with the SAPS 3 model (AUC = 0.826), the discriminatory capability of the newer machine learning methods, XGBoost in particular, is demonstrated to be more reliable for predicting outcomes for emergency department intensive care unit patients.
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Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência , Unidades de Terapia Intensiva , Aprendizado de Máquina , Idoso , Área Sob a Curva , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Modelos Biológicos , Curva ROC , Resultado do TratamentoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Prognosis in cardiac arrest (CA) patients has been challenging. We sought to investigate prognostic value combining serial disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC) score and neuron-specific enolase (NSE) in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) patients. METHODS: Sixty-one consecutive patients successfully resuscitated after CA were included in the analysis. DIC score and NSE levels were serially analyzed after return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC). The outcome measure was death before hospital discharge. Prognostication performance was assessed as the area under the receiver-operating characteristics curve (AUC). Hosmer-Lemeshow test was used for internal validation of predictive models. Calibration curves were drawn to visualize the results of tests. RESULTS: The NSE levels continued to increase in the first 72 h in non-survivors. In survivors, the NSE levels decreased after 48 h. Both DIC score at 48 h and NSE level at 48 h were good predictors of outcome. The AUC for predictive mortality in OHCA patients was 0.869 (95% CI, 0.781-0.956) for DIC score at 48 h combining NSE at 24 h, 0.878 (95% CI, 0.791-0.965) for DIC score at 48 h combining NSE at 48 h and 0.882 (95% CI, 0.792-0.972) for DIC score at 48 h combining NSE at 72 h, respectively. Significance of Hosmer-Lemeshow test was 0.488, 0.324, 0.011 for each combination. CONCLUSIONS: Serial DIC score combined with measurement of NSE levels is a useful and accessible tool for prognostication following OHCA.
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BACKGROUND: Mushroom exposure is a global health issue. The manifestations of mushroom poisoning (MP) may vary. Some species have been reported as rhabdomyolytic, hallucinogenic, or gastrointestinal poisons. Critical or even fatal MPs are mostly attributable to Amanita phalloides, with the development of severe liver or renal failure. Myocardial injury and even cases mimicking ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) have been previously reported, while cardiac arrhythmia or cardiac arrest is not commonly seen. CASE SUMMARY: We report a 68-year-old woman with MP who suffered from delirium, seizure, long QT syndrome on electrocardiogram (ECG), severe cardiac arrhythmias of multiple origins, and cardiac arrest. She was intubated and put on blood perfusion. Her kidney and liver functions were intact; creatine kinase-MB was mildly elevated, and then fell within normal range during her hospital stay. We sent the mushrooms she left for translation elongation factor subunit 1α, ribosomal RNA gene sequence, and internal transcribed spacer sequence analyses. There were four kinds of mushrooms identified, two of which were found to be toxic. CONCLUSION: This is the first time that we found cardiac toxicity caused by Panaeolus subbalteatus and Conocybe lactea, which were believed to be toxic to the liver, kidney, and brain. We suggest that intensive monitoring and ECG follow-up are essential to diagnose prolonged QT interval and different forms of tachycardia in MP patients, even without the development of severe liver or renal failure. The mechanisms need to be further investigated and clarified based on animal experiments and molecular signal pathways.
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OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the impact of body mass index (BMI) on survival of a Chinese cohort of medical patients with sepsis. DESIGN: A single-centre prospective cohort study conducted from May 2015 to April 2017. SETTING: A tertiary care university hospital in China. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 178 patients with sepsis admitted to the medical intensive care unit (ICU) were included. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary outcome was 90-day mortality while the secondary outcomes were in-hospital mortality, length of ICU stay and length of hospital stay. RESULTS: The median age (IQR) was 78 (66-84) years old, and 77.0% patients were older than 65 years. The 90-day mortality was 47.2%. The in-hospital mortality was 41.6%, and the length of ICU stay and hospital stay were 12 (5-22) and 15 (9-28) days, respectively. Cox proportional hazard regression analysis identified that Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score (HR=1.229, p<0.001), Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II score (HR=1.050, p<0.001) and BMI (HR=0.940, p=0.029) were all independently associated with the 90-day mortality. Patients were divided into four groups based on BMI (underweight 33 (18.5%), normal 98 (55.1%), overweight 36 (20.2%) and obese 11 (6.2%)). The 90-day mortality (66.7%, 48.0%, 36.1% and 18.2%, p=0.015) and in-hospital mortality (60.6%, 41.8%, 30.6% and 18.2%, p=0.027) were statistically different among the four groups. Differences in survival among the four groups were demonstrated by Kaplan-Meier survival analysis (p=0.008), with the underweight patients showing a lower survival rate. CONCLUSIONS: BMI was an independent factor associated with 90-day survival in a Chinese cohort of medical patients with sepsis, with patients having a lower BMI at a higher risk of death.
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Índice de Massa Corporal , Obesidade/epidemiologia , Sepse/mortalidade , Magreza/epidemiologia , APACHE , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , China/epidemiologia , Feminino , Mortalidade Hospitalar , Hospitais Universitários , Humanos , Unidades de Terapia Intensiva , Estimativa de Kaplan-Meier , Tempo de Internação , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Escores de Disfunção Orgânica , Sobrepeso/epidemiologia , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Estudos Prospectivos , Taxa de SobrevidaRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: A number of observations suggest that cytokines may be important modulators in the ventricular remodeling process. It is unclear whether carvedilol modulates myocardial pro-inflammatory and anti-inflammatory cytokines expression. We hypothesized that carvedilol could improve ventricular remodeling partly through the modulation of cytokines. The goal of this study was to evaluate the effects of carvedilol on cardiac cytokines expression as well as on myocardial and extracellular matrix remodeling in rats with acute myocardial infarction. METHODS: Rats with AMI induced by left anterior descending branch ligation were randomized to carvedilol and control group which were further compared to sham-operated group. We studied the effects of 4-weeks therapy with carvedilol starting 24 h after infarction on 1) hemodynamics, 2) tissue weights, 3) myocardial cytokines (TNF-alpha, IL-1beta, IL-6, IL-10 and TGF-beta1) expression by semi-quantitative RT-PCR and immunoblotting, 4) matrix metalloproteinases activity by gelatin zymography, 5) collagen expression by immunohistochemistry, 6) myocardium fetal gene (alpha and beta myosin heavy chain) expression. RESULTS: Treatment with carvedilol 1) reduced the pro-inflammatory cytokines and fibrogenic cytokine TGF-beta1 levels in myocardium and was associated with the amelioration of the elevated left ventricular diastolic pressure. 2) increased anti-inflammatory cytokine, IL-10 protein expression. 3) reduced matrix metalloproteinases-2 and matrix metalloproteinases-9 activity 4) reduced myocardial collagens 5) did not modify fetal gene re-expression. CONCLUSION: Pro-inflammatory, anti-inflammatory and fibrogenic cytokines are all involved in the process of post-infarction myocardial remodeling. One mechanism underlying the beneficial effects of carvedilol on post-infarction myocardial remodeling may be modulation of the balance between pro- and anti-inflammatory cytokines as well as fibrogenic cytokines and extracellular matrix (ECM) remodeling.
Assuntos
Carbazóis/farmacologia , Citocinas/sangue , Infarto do Miocárdio/sangue , Propanolaminas/farmacologia , Vasodilatadores/farmacologia , Animais , Carvedilol , Modelos Animais de Doenças , Coração/efeitos dos fármacos , Coração/fisiopatologia , Interleucina-10/sangue , Interleucina-1beta/sangue , Interleucina-6/sangue , Masculino , Ratos , Ratos Wistar , Fator de Crescimento Transformador beta/sangue , Fator de Necrose Tumoral alfa/sangueRESUMO
To observe the dynamic changes of the TGF-beta1 expressed in the infarct and non-infarcted region of rat heart during the ventricular remodeling (day 3, 7, 28, 180), myocardial infarction rat model was made and relationship between the cytokine and indicator of myocardial remodeling was analyzed. After the detection of hemodynamic parameter was performed by the Powerlab devices, the size of myocardial infarction and the morphology change was detected by TTC and HE, respectively. The relative levels of mRNA of TGF- beta1, collagen type I, III, and fetal gene beta-MHC were detected by RT-PCR. The distribution of TGF- beta1 protein in the myocardium was detected by immunohistochemistry. The results showed that the size of infarction was higher than that of the sham operated groups in the infarcted group (44.5 +/- 0.5 vs 0). The difference in hemodynamic parameters between the infarcted group and sham operated group was significant (P < 0.01). HE staining showed that inflammatory cells were accumulated in the infarcted region at the beginning of the 3rd day, which lasted 4 weeks. Then, it decreased gradually. beta-MHC in the non-infarcted region rose from the 3rd day, reaching its peak at the 4th week, and it decreased gradually. The ratio of the collagen type I/III showed similar changes as compared with the sham operated groups (P < 0.01). And the relative mRNA levels in the non-infarcted group were significantly higher than that in the infarcted and sham operated group (P < 0.01) at day 180. Linear regression analysis indicated that the TGF-beta1 was positively correlated with the ventricular remodeling. It was concluded that the cytokine TGF-beta1 participates in the process of the myocardial remodeling, which could be a strategy in the interference of myocardial remodeling.