[Predictive validity of Clinical Risk Groups in chronic patients in primary healthcare]. / Validez predictiva del Clinical Risk Groups en pacientes crónicos en el ambito de la atencion primaria.

OBJECTIVE: To analyse a prediction model for admissions and hospital emergencies based on Clinical Risk Groups, in a population of complex chronic patients demanding primary care. DESIGN: A multicentric retrospective observational study, of a cohort of chronic patients with comorbidity, from January until December 2013. PLACE: The study population was assigned to the Santa Pola and Raval health centres from the Health Department of Elche. PARTICIPANTS: Cohort of chronic patients with comorbidity, from January to December 2013. INTERVENTIONS: Data about the number of admissions, reasons and complexity level associated with the admission were collected by the review of medical records. MAIN MEASURES: To determine the level of complexity, the classification included in the chronicity strategy of the Valencian Community based on Clinical Risk Groups was used. RESULTS: Five hundred and four patients were recruited with a high complexity degree (N3) and 272 with moderate/low complexity (N1-N2). A higher comorbidity was observed in N3 patients with high complexity [Charlson 2.9 (DE 1.8) vs. 1.9 (DE 1.3); P<.001], and higher dependence degree for basic diary activities [Barthel 16.1 (n=81) vs. 7.3 (n=20); P<.001]. Association between the number of admissions [0.4 (DE 0.8) vs. 0.1 (DE 0.5); P<.001] and emergency visits [0.8 (DE 1.5) vs. 0.3 (DE 0.8), P<.001] was significatively higher in patients from N3 group than N1-N2 groups. CONCLUSIONS: The predictive capacity of CRG grouper showed high sensibility for the patient classification with a high degree of complexity. Its specificity and positive predictive value were lower for the association of the N3 complexity stratum.

Association of Visiting the Physiotherapist with Mortality in the Spanish General Population: A Population-Based Cohort Study.

Background and Objectives: The purpose of this retrospective population-based cohort study was to analyse the association between attendance of physiotherapy with mortality in the Spanish general population and describe the profile of people who do not visit a physiotherapist in Spain. Material and Methods: The data sources were the 2011/2012 National Health Survey (ENSE11) and the national database of death in Spain, and the participants were all adult respondents in the ENSE11. Results: Of 20,397 people, 1101 (5.4%) visited the physiotherapist the previous year, and the cumulative incidence of total mortality was 5.4% (n = 1107) at a mean follow-up of 6.2 years. Visiting the physiotherapist was associated with lower all-cause mortality in the population residing in Spain, quantified at 30.1% [RR = 0.699; 95% CI (0.528-0.927); p = 0.013]. The factors associated with not visiting a physiotherapist were the following: rating one's health as good (9.8%; n = 1017; p < 0.001), not having any hospital admission in the previous year (9.6%; n = 1788; p < 0.001), not having visited the general practitioner in the previous month (9.6%; n = 1408; p < 0.001), and not having attended a day hospital in the previous year (9.7%; n = 1836; p < 0.001). Conclusions: Visiting a physiotherapist was associated with a lower mortality from all causes in the population living in Spain.

[The Research Network on Preventive Activities and Health Promotion (redIAPP): a reference network and promoter of primary care research]. / La Red de Investigación en Actividades Preventivas y Promoción de la Salud (redIAPP): una red de referencia e impulsora de la investigación en atención primaria.

The Research Network on Preventive Activities and Health Promotion (redIAPP), a reference network and promoter of primary care research was created in 2003 thanks to the program Thematic Networks for Cooperative Research in Health (RETICS) of the Instituto de Salud Carlos III (ISCIII). Its creation has meant a radical change in the situation of research in primary care. Throughout its 19 years (2003-2021), different research groups and autonomous communities have participated, and different lines of research have been developed with numerous projects and publications. Despite the difficulties suffered, it has created a collaborative research experience between different autonomous communities with great vitality and with important results for primary care. The redIAPP, therefore, has been a great reference for research in primary care and for the deepening of its area of knowledge. Several lines of improvement are suggested for the future of primary care research.

Mortality prediction models after radical cystectomy for bladder tumour: A systematic review and critical appraisal.

INTRODUCTION: To identify risk-predictive models for bladder-specific cancer mortality in patients undergoing radical cystectomy and assess their clinical utility and risk of bias. METHODS: Systematic review (CRD42021224626:PROSPERO) in Medline and EMBASE (from their creation until 31/10/2021) was screened to include articles focused on the development and internal validation of a predictive model of specific cancer mortality in patients undergoing radical cystectomy. CHecklist for critical Appraisal and data extraction for systematic Reviews of prediction Modelling Studies (CHARMS) and Prediction model Risk Of Bias ASsessment Tool (PROBAST) were applied. RESULTS: Nineteen observational studies were included. The main predictors were sociodemographic variables, such as age (18 studies, 94.7%) and sex (17, 89.5% studies), tumour characteristics (TNM stage (18 studies, 94.7%), histological subtype/grade (15 studies, 78.9%), lymphovascular invasion (10 studies, 52.6%) and treatment with chemotherapy (13 studies, 68.4%). C-index values were presented in 14 studies. The overall risk of bias assessed using PROBAST led to 100% of studies being classified as high risk (the analysis domain was rated to be at high risk of bias in all the studies), and 52.6% showed low applicability. Only 5 studies (26.3%) included an external validation and 2 (10.5%) included a prospective study design. CONCLUSIONS: Using clinical predictors to assess the risk of bladder-specific cancer mortality is a feasibility alternative. However, the studies showed a high risk of bias and their applicability is uncertain. Studies should improve the conducting and reporting, and subsequent external validation studies should be developed.

[Cardiovascular preventive recommendations. PAPPS 2022 thematic updates. Working groups of the PAPPS]. / Recomendaciones preventivas cardiovasculares. Actualización PAPPS 2022.

The recommendations of the semFYC's Program for Preventive Activities and Health Promotion (PAPPS) for the prevention of cardiovascular diseases (CVD) are presented. The following sections are included: epidemiological review, where the current morbidity and mortality of CVD in Spain and its evolution as well as the main risk factors are described; cardiovascular (CV) risk and recommendations for the calculation of CV risk; main risk factors such as arterial hypertension, dyslipidemia and diabetes mellitus, describing the method for their diagnosis, therapeutic objectives and recommendations for lifestyle measures and pharmacological treatment; indications for antiplatelet therapy, and recommendations for screening of atrial fibrillation, and recommendations for management of chronic conditions. The quality of testing and the strength of the recommendation are included in the main recommendations.

Effect of rowing on mobility, functionality, and quality of life in women with and without breast cancer: a 4-month intervention.

PURPOSE: Of the different modalities of rowing, dragon boat training is the most analyzed in breast cancer (BC). However, other types of boats, such as the felucca, use different biomechanical techniques, which have not been studied in the scientific literature. Consequently, in this study, we sought to determine the benefits of felucca rowing on the physical, psychological, and emotional well-being of patients with BC and healthy persons. METHODS: A pre- and post-intervention, single-arm study without a control group with a 4-month intervention was carried out in Spain in 2019. The study sample included six women with BC and 15 healthy women. The following questionnaires were administered before and after the intervention: Disabilities of the Arm, Shoulder, and Hand (DASH), Constant-Murley score (CMS), and the European Quality of Life 5 Dimensions (EQ-5D, rate your health today). Differences were determined before and after the intervention using the paired t test. RESULTS: Significant differences (p < 0.05) were found in the results of all the questionnaires for the women with BC and for the healthy women: DASH (- 13.8 BC and - 6.7 healthy), CMS (+ 12.0 BC and 9.2 healthy), and EQ-5D (+ 8.5 BC and 10.5 healthy). CONCLUSION: Felucca rowing showed benefits in health and quality of life in both women with BC and healthy women. In future studies with controlled design, values regarding clinical relevance, such as effect sizes/confidence intervals, are needed to corroborate our results.

A critical appraisal of the prognostic predictive models for patients with sepsis: Which model can be applied in clinical practice?

BACKGROUND: Sepsis is associated with high mortality and predictive models can help in clinical decision-making. The objective of this study was to carry out a systematic review of these models. METHODS: In 2019, we conducted a systematic review in MEDLINE and EMBASE (CDR42018111121:PROSPERO) of articles that developed predictive models for mortality in septic patients (inclusion criteria). We followed the CHARMS recommendations (Critical Appraisal and Data Extraction for Systematic Reviews of Prediction Modelling Studies), extracting the information from its 11 domains (Source of data, Participants, etc). We determined the risk of bias and applicability (participants, outcome, predictors and analysis) through PROBAST (Prediction model Risk Of Bias ASsessment Tool). RESULTS: A total of 14 studies were included. In the CHARMS extraction, the models found showed great variability in its 11 domains. Regarding the PROBAST checklist, only one article had an unclear risk of bias as it did not indicate how missing data were handled while the others all had a high risk of bias. This was mainly due to the statistical analysis (inadequate sample size, handling of continuous predictors, missing data and selection of predictors), since 13 studies had a high risk of bias. Applicability was satisfactory in six articles. Most of the models integrate predictors from routine clinical practice. Discrimination and calibration were assessed for almost all the models, with the area under the ROC curve ranging from 0.59 to 0.955 and no lack of calibration. Only three models were externally validated and their maximum discrimination values in the derivation were from 0.712 and 0.84. One of them (Osborn) had undergone multiple validation studies. DISCUSSION: Despite most of the studies showing a high risk of bias, we very cautiously recommend applying the Osborn model, as this has been externally validated various times.

A modified Delphi consensus study to identify improvement proposals for COPD management amongst clinicians and administrators in Spain.

AIMS: To identify the obstacles hindering the appropriate management of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) in Spain based on consensus amongst clinicians and administrators. METHODS: A two-round modified Delphi questionnaire was sent to clinicians (pulmonologists and GPs) and administrators, all experts in COPD. The scientific committee developed the statements and selected the participating experts. Four areas were explored: diagnosis, training, treatment, and clinical management. Panellists' agreement was assessed using a 9-point Likert scale, with scores of 1 to 3 indicating disagreement and 7 to 9, agreement. Consensus was considered to exist when 70% of the participants agreed or disagreed with the statement. RESULTS: Respective response rates for the first and second round were 68% and 91% for clinicians, and 60% and 100% for administrators. The statements attracting the highest degree of consensus were: "Not enough nursing resources (time, staff, duties) are allocated for performing spirometry" (85.3% clinicians; 75% administrators); "Nurses need specific training in COPD" (84.8% clinicians; 100% administrators); "Rehabilitation programs are necessary for treating patients with COPD" (94.1% clinicians; 91.7% administrators); and "Integrated care processes facilitate the deployment of educational programs on COPD" (79.4% clinicians; 83.3% administrators). CONCLUSIONS: This document can inform the development and implementation of specific initiatives addressing the existing obstacles in COPD management. WHAT'S KNOWN: COPD is a prevalent and underdiagnosed disease that causes substantial morbidity and mortality. The National COPD Strategy established objectives and work programmes to apply in Spain. There are barriers impeding the application of interventions contemplated in the COPD strategy. WHAT'S NEW: Different agents involved in COPD management agree that the main challenges to improve COPD management are resource shortages in primary care nursing and lack of training in the use of COPD clinical guidelines. Clinicians and administrators involved in COPD management support the implementation of urgent measures to tackle the underdiagnosis of COPD, especially in primary care, along with the routine inclusion of respiratory rehabilitation programmes for COPD.

Analysis of LDL and HDL size and number by nuclear magnetic resonance in a healthy working population: The LipoLab Study.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Atherosclerosis is the underlying process in cardiovascular disease (CVD), the first cause of death in developed countries. We aimed to identify people with no known CVD and normal values of LDL-C and HDL-C, but with alterations in the number and size of lipoprotein particles (as measured by nuclear magnetic resonance [NMR]) and to analyse their sociodemographic, clinical and biochemical characteristics. METHODS: Cross-sectional study in occupational risks prevention centre in Castellón (Spain) in 2017 and 2018, in consecutively recruited adults (18-65 years) with no known CVD. Sociodemographic, clinical and biochemical variables were collected. Lipid profiles were analysed (Liposcale test), along with the concentration, size and number of the main types of lipoprotein particles, determined by 2D diffusion-ordered NMR spectroscopy. Using contingency tables, we analysed the characteristics of people with normal LDL and HDL cholesterol but abnormal levels of LDL and HDL particles. The magnitude of association between explanatory variables and abnormal levels of each kind of lipoprotein was assessed with multivariable logistic regression models. RESULTS: Of the 400 total participants (31.3% women; age 46.4 ± 4.3 years), 169 had normal LDL and HDL cholesterol. Abnormal lipoprotein particle values depended on the subtype: prevalence of abnormal LDL levels ranged from 8.3% to 36.7%; and of HDL, from 28.4% to 42.6%. High systolic blood pressure and total cholesterol were significantly associated with abnormal LDL levels. Male sex and high systolic blood pressure were associated with abnormalities in HDL. CONCLUSIONS: An extended lipids profile, obtained by NMR, enables the identification of people with normal HDL-C and LDL-C levels who present abnormal levels of LDL-P and/or HDL-P. Higher total cholesterol, systolic blood pressure, BMI and male sex were significantly associated with these abnormal values.

The Victorian Institute of Sport Assessment Scale for Patellar Tendinopathy (VISA-P): A Reliability Generalization Meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVE: The Victorian Institute of Sport Assessment-Patella (VISA-P) is a questionnaire to assess the severity of patellar tendinopathies. Its use requires good reliability indicators: internal consistency, test-retest and parallel forms. Several studies have been published examining this question, but to date the reliability of this questionnaire (meta-analysis) has not been generalized. The aim of this study was to perform a meta-analysis to generalize the reliability of the VISA-P. DATA SOURCES: MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Scopus. STUDY SELECTION: Studies included were those examining the reliability coefficients of the VISA-P: Cronbach alpha, intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC), and parallel-forms (correlation coefficients compared with other scales). DATA EXTRACTION: All coefficients were extracted and the mean reliability was obtained using fixed- or random-effects models. Sensitivity (leave-one-out analysis) was analyzed. Quality assessment was performed using the COnsensus-based Standards for the selection of health Measurement INstruments (COSMIN) checklist. DATA SYNTHESIS: Of 364 scientific articles, 12 fulfilled meta-analysis criteria. The summary statistic was 0.86 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.78-0.92] for Cronbach alpha and 0.94 (95% CI: 0.89-0.97) for the ICC. Parallel forms depended on the comparative test used, ranging from -0.83 to 0.68. The sensitivity analysis found an influential study for the parallel-forms reliability in the Blazina score. We were unable to analyze the asymmetry of funnel plots and meta-regression models because of the number of studies. CONCLUSIONS: The reliability of VISA-P for assessing the severity of patellar tendinopathies requires greater evaluation with more scientific evidence before it can be implemented in clinical practice.

Validation and psychometric properties of the 8-item Morisky Medication Adherence Scale (MMAS-8) in type 2 diabetes patients in Spain.

AIMS: To validate a translated and culturally adapted version of the Morisky Medication Adherence Scale for use in Spanish population, and to examine the psychometric properties of this scale in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus in Spain. DESIGN: This cross-sectional study was conducted in a single university hospital in Spain. Patients diagnosed with type 2 diabetes mellitus at least 1 year before inclusion, being treated with anti-diabetic medication were included. INTERVENTION: We used the Spanish version of the scale to measure treatment adherence. PRINCIPAL MEASUREMENTS: three level categorical scale is broken down into low adherence (score of <6), medium adherence (score of 6 to <8) and high adherence (score of 8). To validate the questionnaire, we measured internal consistency through Cronbach's α, confirmed construct validity through an exploratory principal component analysis and assessed test-retest reliability. RESULTS: 232 patients met the inclusion criteria. The Cronbach's α coefficient was 0.40 (95% CI 0.28-0.52). The exploratory principal component analysis showed three components. The intraclass correlation coefficient was 0.718 (95% CI 0.564-0.823). CONCLUSIONS: the Spanish version of the Morisky Medication Adherence scale showed low internal consistency, the exploratory factor analysis identified three dimensions, and the test-retest reliability was acceptable, therefore, psychometric properties of MMAS-8 are not suitable for measuring medication adherence in type 2 diabetes mellitus patients from Spain.

A general presentation on how to carry out a CHARMS analysis for prognostic multivariate models.

The CHARMS (critical appraisal and data extraction for systematic reviews of prediction modelling studies) checklist was created to provide methodological appraisals of predictive models, based on the best available scientific evidence and through systematic reviews. Our purpose is to give a general presentation on how to carry out a CHARMS analysis for prognostic multivariate models, making clear what the steps are and how they are applied individually to the studies included in the systematic review. This tutorial is aimed at providing such a resource. In addition to this explanation, we will apply the method to a real case: predictive models of atrial fibrillation in the community. This methodology could be applied to other predictive models using the steps provided in our review so as to have complete information for each included model and determine whether it can be implemented in daily clinical practice.

Randomized clinical trial to determine the effectiveness of CO-oximetry and anti-smoking brief advice in a cohort of kidney transplant patients who smoke.

Background: measure the efficacy of exhaled carbon monoxide (CO) measurement plus brief advisory sessions to reduce smoking exposure and smoking behaviour in kidney transplant recipients. Methods: Randomized, controlled, open-label clinical trial at a Spanish hospital.Smoking kidney transplant recipients giving their consent to participate were randomized to control (brief advice, n=63) or intervention group (brief advisory session plus measuring exhaled CO, n=59). Measurements: Sociodemographic characteristics, cardiovascular risk factors, treatment, rejection episodes, infections, self-reported smoking, drug use, level of dependence and motivation to stop smoking (Fagerström's and Richmond's test) and stage of change (Prochaska and DiClemente's Stages). Efficacy was assessed at 3, 6, 9 and 12 months as: cotinine test, CO levels in exhaled air, nicotine dependence, motivational stages of change, motivation to stop smoking, pattern of tobacco use and smoking cessation rates. Logistic regression models were computed. Results: At 12 months of follow-up, differences were found in exhaled CO between the intervention and control group(6.1±6.8vs.10.2±9.7ppm;p=0.028). Carboxyhemoglobin levels were lower in the intervention group as well as the positive cotinine test (1.2±1.2%vs.2.0±2.4%;p=0.039),(53.4%vs.74.2%). At 12 months, intervention reduces the probability of a positive urine test by 28%. Conclusions: Co-oximetry is a clinically relevant intervention for reduction of tobacco exposure in kidney transplant recipients.

Clusters of Cardiovascular Risk Factors and Their Impact on the 20-Year Cardiovascular Risk in a General Population.

BACKGROUND: Clustering of cardiovascular risk factors (CVRFs) is extraordinarily common and is associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, the particular impact of the sum of CVRFs on cardiovascular morbidity and mortality has not been sufficiently explored in Europe. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to analyze the differences in survival-free probability of CVD in relation to the number of CVRFs in a Spanish population. METHODS: A prospective cohort study was conducted from 1992 to 2016 in a Spanish population that included 1144 subjects with no history of CVD (mean age, 46.7 years) drawn from the general population. We calculated the number of CVRFs for each subject (male sex, smoking, diabetes, hypertension, dyslipidemia, obesity, and left ventricular hypertrophy). Cardiovascular morbidity and mortality records were collected, and survival analysis was applied (competing risk models). RESULTS: There were 196 cardiovascular events (17.1%). The differences in total survival-free probability of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality of the different values of the sum of CVRFs were significant, increasing the risk of CVD (hazard ratio, 1.30; 95% confidence interval, 1.13-1.50) per each additional risk factor. CONCLUSION: Differences in survival-free probability of CVD in relation to the number of CVRFs present were statistically significant. Further studies are needed to corroborate our results.

[Cardiovascular preventive recommendations. PAPPS 2020 update]. / Recomendaciones preventivas cardiovasculares. Actualización PAPPS 2020.

The recommendations of the semFYC's Program for Preventive Activities and Health Promotion (PAPPS) for the prevention of cardiovascular diseases (CVD) are presented. The following sections are included: Epidemiological review, where the current morbidity and mortality of CVD in Spain and its evolution as well as the main risk factors are described; Cardiovascular (CV) risk tables and recommendations for the calculation of CV risk; Main risk factors such as arterial hypertension, dyslipidemia and diabetes mellitus, describing the method for their diagnosis, therapeutic objectives and recommendations for lifestyle measures and pharmacological treatment; Indications for antiplatelet therapy, and recommendations for screening of atrial fibrillation. The quality of testing and the strength of the recommendation are included in the main recommendations.

Plantar pressure improvement in moderate hallux valgus with modified chevron osteotomy: Clinical and radiographic outcomes.

BACKGROUND: Hallux valgus (HV) is widely treated by Chevron osteotomy (CO); however, a modified CO may improve patient outcomes and recovery. METHODS: A prospective study was designed to analyze plantar pressure measurements and clinical and radiographic outcomes of a modified CO for HV. Recruitment was between February 2016 and February 2017. INCLUSION CRITERIA: diagnosis of moderate HV; an indication for surgical correction due to discomfort, pain or difficulty with shoe wear; and age over 18 years. Clinical and radiographic outcomes were evaluated using the American Orthopedic Foot and Ankle Society (AOFAS) guidelines and a visual analog scale (VAS). RESULTS: Forty-four patients met inclusion criteria. After surgery, the highest percentage in mean pressure was in the first and fifth metatarsal heads. At 12 months' follow-up, the AOFAS score improved, but differences in VAS scale were only significant at baseline. CONCLUSIONS: Modified CO is a good option for people with HV, improving foot activity compared to preoperative levels while limiting the time needed for recovery.

Risk of Dependency: A Challenge for Health and Social Care Planning-Observational Stroke Cohort.

BACKGROUND: After a stroke, families require the coordinated assistance of health and social care. Currently there is a lack of comprehensive evaluation and assessment tools to identify discharge needs, and there is separate management of health and social resources, and access to these services is variable between regions. OBJECTIVE: The main objective of this study was to assess the factors associated with risk of dependency after stroke and propose a suitable instrument for identifying patients at higher risk. METHODS: This was a 2-year prospective and community study of a stroke cohort. The primary outcome was recognized dependency. The potential predictors were considered in a multivariate regression and area under curve (AUC) to evaluate its discriminative capacity. RESULTS: Overall, 233 stroke survivors were recruited, 49.8% of whom were women, and the average age was 78.1 ± 11.6 years. The total rate of dependency was 31.5 (95% confidence interval [CI] 26.1-37.7) cases/100 person-years. The independent factors associated with dependency outcome were age >80 years (hazard ratio [HR] 2.03, 95% CI 1.32-3.12, P = .001), Pfeiffer score ≥4 (HR 1.82, 95% CI 1.25-1.2.66, P = .002), Barthel score <60 (HR 1.79, 95% CI 1.21-2.66, P = .003), and Charlson score ≥3 (HR 1.49, 95% CI 1.02-2.16, P = .039). The AUC was 0.84 (95% CI 0.79-0.89; P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: Stroke has serious effects on the dependency outcomes. The patient's age, cognitive or physical impairment, and comorbidities as measured on the Pfeiffer score, Barthel Index, and Charlson score identified people at high risk and may ease the integrated role of social and health services.

A systematic review of predictive models for recurrence and mortality in patients with tongue cancer.

INTRODUCTION: Predictive models must meet clinical/methodological standards to be used in clinical practice. However, no critique of those models relating to mortality/recurrence in tongue cancer has been done bearing in mind the accepted standards. METHODS: We conducted a systematic review evaluating the methodology and clinical applicability of predictive models for mortality/recurrence in tongue cancer published in MEDLINE and Scopus. For each model, we analysed (domains of CHARMS, Critical Appraisal and Data Extraction for Systematic Reviews of Prediction Modelling Studies) the following: source of data, participants, outcome to be predicted, candidate predictors, sample size, missing data, model development, model performance, model evaluation, results and interpretation and discussion. RESULTS: We found two papers that included eight prediction models, neither of which adhered to the CHARMS recommendations. CONCLUSION: Given the quality of tongue cancer models, new studies following current consensus are needed to develop predictive tools applicable in clinical practice.

Machine learning to predict cardiovascular risk.

AIMS: To analyse the predictive capacity of 15 machine learning methods for estimating cardiovascular risk in a cohort and to compare them with other risk scales. METHODS: We calculated cardiovascular risk by means of 15 machine-learning methods and using the SCORE and REGICOR scales and in 38 527 patients in the Spanish ESCARVAL RISK cohort, with 5-year follow-up. We considered patients to be at high risk when the risk of a cardiovascular event was over 5% (according to SCORE and machine learning methods) or over 10% (using REGICOR). The area under the receiver operating curve (AUC) and the C-index were calculated, as well as the diagnostic accuracy rate, error rate, sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values, positive likelihood ratio, and number needed to treat to prevent a harmful outcome. RESULTS: The method with the greatest predictive capacity was quadratic discriminant analysis, with an AUC of 0.7086, followed by Naive Bayes and neural networks, with AUCs of 0.7084 and 0.7042, respectively. REGICOR and SCORE ranked 11th and 12th, respectively, in predictive capacity, with AUCs of 0.63. Seven machine learning methods showed a 7% higher predictive capacity (AUC) as well as higher sensitivity and specificity than the REGICOR and SCORE scales. CONCLUSIONS: Ten of the 15 machine learning methods tested have a better predictive capacity for cardiovascular events and better classification indicators than the SCORE and REGICOR risk assessment scales commonly used in clinical practice in Spain. Machine learning methods should be considered in the development of future cardiovascular risk scales.

Clinical inertia in hypertension: a new holistic and practical concept within the cardiovascular continuum and clinical care process.

Purpose: Recognition of clinical inertia is essential to improve the control of chronic diseases. Although it is very intuitive, a better interpretation of the concept of clinical inertia is lacking, likely due to its high complexity. Materials and Methods: After a review of the published articles, we propose a practical vision of inertia, contextualized within the clinical process of hypertension care. Results: This new vision enables the integration of previous terms and definitions of clinical inertia, as well as proposing specific strategies for its reduction. Conclusion: Although some concepts should be considered as 'justified inertia' or 'investigator inertia', the idea that inertia may be present throughout the continuum of care gives physicians a holistic view of the problem that is easily applicable to their clinical practice. Measures to overcome inertia are complicated because of the intrinsic complexity of the concept.