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1.
Lancet ; 402(10415): 1857-1865, 2023 11 18.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37866371

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: High weight gain in pregnancy is associated with greater postpartum weight retention, yet long-term implications remain unknown. We aimed to assess whether gestational weight change was associated with mortality more than 50 years later. METHODS: The Collaborative Perinatal Project (CPP) was a prospective US pregnancy cohort (1959-65). The CPP Mortality Linkage Study linked CPP participants to the National Death Index and Social Security Death Master File for vital status to 2016. Adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% CIs estimated associations between gestational weight gain and loss according to the 2009 National Academy of Medicine recommendations and mortality by pre-pregnancy BMI. The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality. Secondary endpoints included cardiovascular and diabetes underlying causes of mortality. FINDINGS: Among 46 042 participants, 20 839 (45·3%) self-identified as Black and 21 287 (46·2%) as White. Median follow-up time was 52 years (IQR 45-54) and 17 901 (38·9%) participants died. For those who were underweight before pregnancy (BMI <18·5 kg/m2; 3809 [9·4%] of 40 689 before imputation for missing data]), weight change above recommendations was associated with increased cardiovascular mortality (HR 1·84 [95% CI 1·08-3·12]) but not all-cause mortality (1·14 [0·86-1·51]) or diabetes-related mortality (0·90 [0·13-6·35]). For those with a normal pre-pregnancy weight (BMI 18·5-24·9 kg/m2; 27 921 [68·6%]), weight change above recommendations was associated with increased all-cause (HR 1·09 [1·01-1·18]) and cardiovascular (1·20 [1·04-1·37]) mortality, but not diabetes-related mortality (0·95 [0·61-1·47]). For those who were overweight pre-pregnancy (BMI 25·0-29·9 kg/m2; 6251 [15·4%]), weight change above recommendations was associated with elevated all-cause (1·12 [1·01-1·24]) and diabetes-related (1·77 [1·23-2·54]) mortality, but not cardiovascular (1·12 [0·94-1·33]) mortality. For those with pre-pregnancy obesity (≥30·0 kg/m2; 2708 [6·7%]), all associations between gestational weight change and mortality had wide CIs and no meaningful relationships could be drawn. Weight change below recommended levels was associated only with a reduced diabetes-related mortality (0·62 [0·48-0·79]) in people with normal pre-pregnancy weight. INTERPRETATION: This study's novel findings support the importance of achieving healthy gestational weight gain within recommendations, adding that the implications might extend beyond the pregnancy window to long-term health, including cardiovascular and diabetes-related mortality. FUNDING: National Institutes of Health.


Assuntos
Diabetes Mellitus , Ganho de Peso na Gestação , Gravidez , Feminino , Humanos , Estudos Prospectivos , Índice de Massa Corporal , Obesidade/complicações , Sobrepeso/complicações
2.
J Pediatr ; 270: 114013, 2024 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38494089

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To define major congenital anomaly (CA) subgroups and assess outcome variability based on defined subgroups. STUDY DESIGN: This population-based cohort study used registries in Denmark for children born with a major CA between January 1997 and December 2016, with follow-up until December 2018. We performed a latent class analysis (LCA) using child and family clinical and sociodemographic characteristics present at birth, incorporating additional variables occurring until age of 24 months. Cox proportional hazards regression models estimated hazard ratios (HRs) of pediatric mortality and intensive care unit (ICU) admissions for identified LCA classes. RESULTS: The study included 27 192 children born with a major CA. Twelve variables led to a 4-class solution (entropy = 0.74): (1) children born with higher income and fewer comorbidities (55.4%), (2) children born to young mothers with lower income (24.8%), (3) children born prematurely (10.0%), and (4) children with multiorgan involvement and developmental disability (9.8%). Compared with those in Class 1, mortality and ICU admissions were highest in Class 4 (HR = 8.9, 95% CI = 6.4-12.6 and HR = 4.1, 95% CI = 3.6-4.7, respectively). More modest increases were observed among the other classes for mortality and ICU admissions (Class 2: HR = 1.7, 95% CI = 1.1-2.5 and HR = 1.3, 95% CI = 1.1-1.4, respectively; Class 3: HR = 2.5, 95% CI = 1.5-4.2 and HR = 1.5, 95% CI = 1.3-1.9, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Children with a major CA can be categorized into meaningful subgroups with good discriminative ability. These groupings may be useful for risk-stratification in outcome studies.


Assuntos
Anormalidades Congênitas , Análise de Classes Latentes , Sistema de Registros , Humanos , Feminino , Masculino , Lactente , Dinamarca/epidemiologia , Recém-Nascido , Anormalidades Congênitas/mortalidade , Pré-Escolar , Estudos de Coortes , Admissão do Paciente/estatística & dados numéricos , Unidades de Terapia Intensiva Pediátrica/estatística & dados numéricos , Unidades de Terapia Intensiva/estatística & dados numéricos , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Mortalidade da Criança , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais
3.
Hum Reprod ; 39(8): 1804-1815, 2024 Aug 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38890130

RESUMO

STUDY QUESTION: What is the association between reproductive health history (e.g. age at menarche, menopause, reproductive lifespan) with abdominal adiposity in postmenopausal women? SUMMARY ANSWER: Higher visceral adipose tissue (VAT) and subcutaneous adipose tissue (SAT) tissue levels were observed among women with earlier menarche, earlier menopause, and greater parity. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: Postmenopausal women are predisposed to accumulation of VAT and SAT. Reproductive health variables are known predictors of overall obesity status in women, defined by BMI. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: This study is a secondary analysis of data collected from the baseline visit of the Women's Health Initiative (WHI). The WHI is a large prospective study of postmenopausal women, including both a randomized trial and observational study. There were 10 184 women included in this analysis. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: Data were collected from a reproductive health history questionnaire, dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry scans, and anthropometric measures at WHI baseline. Reproductive history was measured via self-report, and included age at menarche, variables related to pregnancy, and age at menopause. Reproductive lifespan was calculated as age at menopause minus age at menarche. Statistical analyses included descriptive analyses and multivariable linear regression models to examine the association between reproductive history with VAT, SAT, total body fat, and BMI. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: Women who reported early menarche (<10 years) or early menopause (<40 years) had the highest levels of VAT. Adjusted multivariable linear regression results demonstrate women who experienced menarche >15 years had 23 cm2 less VAT (95% CI: -31.4, -14.4) and 47 cm2 less SAT (95% CI: -61.8, -33.4) than women who experienced menarche at age 10 years or earlier. A similar pattern was observed for age at menopause: compared to women who experienced menopause <40 years, menopause at 50-55 years was associated with 19.3 cm2 (95% CI: -25.4, -13.3) less VAT and 27.4 cm2 (-29.6, 10.3) less SAT. High parity (>3 pregnancies) was also associated with VAT and SAT. For example, adjusted beta coefficients for VAT were 8.36 (4.33, 12.4) and 17.9 (12.6, 23.2) comparing three to four pregnancies with the referent, one to two pregnancies. LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION: The WHI reproductive health history questionnaire may be subject to poor recall owing to a long look-back window. Residual confounding may be present given lack of data on early life characteristics, such as maternal and pre-menarche characteristics. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: This study contributes to our understanding of reproductive lifespan, including menarche and menopause, as an important predictor of late-life adiposity in women. Reproductive health has also been recognized as a sentinel marker for chronic disease in late life. Given established links between adiposity and cardiometabolic outcomes, this research has implications for future research, clinical practice, and public health policy that makes use of reproductive health history as an opportunity for chronic disease prevention. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S): HRB and AOO are supported by the National Institute of Health National Institute of Aging (R01AG055018-04). JWB reports royalties from 'ACSM'S Body Composition Assessment Book' and consulting fees from the WHI. The remaining authors have no competing interests to declare. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: N/A.


Assuntos
Menarca , Pós-Menopausa , História Reprodutiva , Humanos , Feminino , Pós-Menopausa/fisiologia , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Menarca/fisiologia , Idoso , Estudos Prospectivos , Saúde da Mulher , Gordura Abdominal , Gravidez , Índice de Massa Corporal , Paridade/fisiologia , Menopausa/fisiologia , Gordura Intra-Abdominal , Adiposidade/fisiologia
4.
Paediatr Perinat Epidemiol ; 38(2): 111-120, 2024 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37864500

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Adults with multiple chronic conditions (MCC) are a heterogeneous population with elevated risk of future adverse health outcomes. Yet, despite the increasing prevalence of MCC globally, data about MCC in pregnancy are scarce. OBJECTIVES: To estimate the population prevalence of MCC in pregnancy and determine whether certain types of chronic conditions cluster together among pregnant women with MCC. METHODS: We conducted a population-based cohort study in Ontario, Canada, of all 15-55-year-old women with a recognised pregnancy, from 2007 to 2020. MCC was assessed from a list of 22 conditions, identified using validated algorithms. We estimated the prevalence of MCC. Next, we used latent class analysis to identify classes of co-occurring chronic conditions in women with MCC, with model selection based on parsimony, clinical interpretability and statistical fit. RESULTS: Among 2,014,508 pregnancies, 324,735 had MCC (161.2 per 1000, 95% confidence interval [CI] 160.6, 161.8). Latent class analysis resulted in a five-class solution. In four classes, mood and anxiety disorders were prominent and clustered with one additional condition, as follows: Class 1 (22.4% of women with MCC), osteoarthritis; Class 2 (23.7%), obesity; Class 3 (15.8%), substance use disorders; and Class 4 (22.1%), asthma. In Class 5 (16.1%), four physical conditions clustered together: obesity, asthma, chronic hypertension and diabetes mellitus. CONCLUSIONS: MCC is common in pregnancy, with sub-types dominated by co-occurring mental and physical health conditions. These data show the importance of preconception and perinatal interventions, particularly integrated care strategies, to optimise treatment and stabilisation of chronic conditions in women with MCC.


Assuntos
Asma , Múltiplas Afecções Crônicas , Complicações na Gravidez , Adolescente , Adulto , Feminino , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Gravidez , Adulto Jovem , Asma/epidemiologia , Doença Crônica , Estudos de Coortes , Análise de Classes Latentes , Múltiplas Afecções Crônicas/epidemiologia , Obesidade , Ontário/epidemiologia , Complicações na Gravidez/epidemiologia
5.
Paediatr Perinat Epidemiol ; 38(3): 219-226, 2024 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37969031

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Multifetal gestation could be associated with higher long-term maternal mortality because it increases the risk of pregnancy complications such as preeclampsia and preterm birth, which are in turn linked to postpartum cardiovascular risk. OBJECTIVES: We examined whether spontaneously conceived multifetal versus singleton gestation was associated with long-term maternal mortality in a racially diverse U.S. METHODS: We ascertained vital status as of 2016 via linkage to the National Death Index and Social Security Death Master File of 44,174 mothers from the Collaborative Perinatal Project (CPP; 1959-1966). Cox proportional hazards models with maternal age as the time scale assessed associations between history of spontaneous multifetal gestation (in the last CPP observed pregnancy or prior pregnancy) and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, adjusted for demographics, smoking status, and preexisting medical conditions. We calculated hazard ratios (HR) for all-cause and cause-specific mortality over the study period and until age 50, 60, and 70 years (premature mortality). RESULTS: Of eligible participants, 1672 (3.8%) had a history of multifetal gestation. Participants with versus without a history of multifetal gestation were older, more likely to have a preexisting condition, and more likely to smoke. By 2016, 51% of participants with and 38% of participants without a history of multifetal gestation had died (unadjusted all-cause HR 1.14, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.07, 1.23). After adjustment for smoking and preexisting conditions, a history of multifetal gestation was not associated with all-cause (adjusted HR 1.00, 95% CI 0.93, 1.08) or cardiovascular mortality (adjusted HR 0.99, 95% CI 0.87, 1.11) over the study period. However, history of multifetal gestation was associated with an 11% lower risk of premature all-cause mortality (adjusted HR 0.89, 95% CI 0.82, 0.96). CONCLUSIONS: In a cohort with over 50 years of follow-up, history of multifetal gestation was not associated with all-cause mortality, but may be associated with a lower risk of premature mortality.


Assuntos
Doenças Cardiovasculares , Complicações na Gravidez , Nascimento Prematuro , Gravidez , Feminino , Recém-Nascido , Humanos , Mortalidade Materna , Idade Materna
6.
BMC Pediatr ; 24(1): 490, 2024 Aug 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39090558

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: As the fetus relies on maternal thyroid hormones in early pregnancy, maternal hypothyroidism plays an important role in fetal development. However, the association between maternal hypothyroidism and metabolic disease in offspring is unclear. OBJECTIVE: To examine the association between maternal hypothyroidism in pregnancy and metabolic outcomes (obesity, hypertension, type 2 diabetes mellitus, and dyslipidemia) in children < 18 years. METHODS: We systematically searched 5 databases from inception to May 2023. Eligible studies included cohort, case-control, and randomized controlled trials involving children born to mothers with or without hypothyroidism in pregnancy. Data were pooled across studies using random-effects models for outcomes reported in at least three studies. Quality assessment was performed using the ROBINS-E tool for observational studies and the Cochrane Risk of Bias tool for trials. RESULTS: The search identified 3221 articles, of which 7 studies were included (1 trial, 6 observational). All studies were conducted outside of North America and ranged in size from 250 to > 1 million children. The follow-up time ranged from 6 to 20 years. Included studies support an increased risk of hypertension and glucose dysregulation in offspring exposed to maternal hypothyroidism (hypertension: OR 1.08, 95% CI 0.75, 1.57 and HR 1.81, 95% CI 1.21, 2.69; diabetes: RR 2.7, 95% CI 0.7, 10). In the pooled analysis, maternal hypothyroidism was not associated with obesity in offspring (OR 1.04, 95% CI 0.64, 1.70). CONCLUSION: This study found inconsistent evidence on the association between maternal hypothyroidism in pregnancy and metabolic outcomes in offspring, though associations with hypertension and glucose dysregulation are possible.


Assuntos
Hipotireoidismo , Complicações na Gravidez , Efeitos Tardios da Exposição Pré-Natal , Humanos , Gravidez , Hipotireoidismo/complicações , Feminino , Criança , Efeitos Tardios da Exposição Pré-Natal/etiologia , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/etiologia , Hipertensão/etiologia , Dislipidemias/epidemiologia , Adolescente
7.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37587742

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Low-dose aspirin prophylaxis is recommended for women at risk of preeclampsia. Capturing aspirin prophylaxis within administrative databases can be challenging since it is an over-the-counter medication. The Better Outcome Registry and Network (BORN) database, a perinatal health registry in Ontario, Canada, includes a formal variable that captures aspirin prophylaxis for preeclampsia. This variable has not been formally validated. OBJECTIVES: To assess the accuracy of the aspirin prophylaxis variable in the BORN database against an electronic medical record (EMR). METHODS: This validation study comprised 200 randomly selected women who had a livebirth at St. Michael's Hospital (SMH) in Toronto, Ontario, from January 2018 to July 2022. Recorded aspirin prophylaxis in pregnancy and maternal sociodemographic characteristics were independently extracted by two abstractors. Accuracy of aspirin prophylaxis use in the BORN database was compared to that in the SMH EMR, expressed as sensitivity, specificity, positive (PPV) and negative predictive values (NPV), Cohen's kappa (κ), and overall percent agreement, with 95% confidence intervals (CI). Sensitivity analyses were performed to account for missing or unclear aspirin prophylaxis use. RESULTS: Among 200 women, 24 (12.0%) received aspirin prophylaxis - 12.5% within the SMH EMR and 8.0% in the BORN database. Women using aspirin were older (37.0 vs 33.0 years) and had higher median gravidity (3 vs. 2). Sensitivity and specificity of the BORN aspirin prophylaxis variable were 62.5% (95% CI 40.6, 81.2) and 100.0% (95% CI 97.3, 100.0), respectively. The corresponding positive and negative predictive values were 100.0% (95% CI 78.2, 100.0), and 93.8% (95% CI 88.6, 97.1), respectively. Cohen's κ was 0.74 (95% CI 0.58, 0.90), and overall percent agreement was 94.4% (95% CI 87.1, 100.0). CONCLUSIONS: Aspirin use within the BORN database, based on a standard variable field, appears accurate enough for the potential use in epidemiological studies of aspirin prophylaxis for preeclampsia or as a covariate in related studies.

8.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37921423

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: While the benefits of levothyroxine are well-established for overt hypothyroidism, they are unclear for subclinical hypothyroidism (SCH) among pregnant women. OBJECTIVE: To estimate the effect of initiation of levothyroxine on pregnancy loss among women with SCH with an emulated target trial using observational data. METHODS: We emulated a target trial using the United Kingdom's Clinical Practice Research Datalink to account for the staggered timing of diagnosis and treatment of SCH and the time of entry of women into prenatal care. We emulated multiple nested trials (at each gestational week) and used an intention-to-treat approach to define levothyroxine use (≥1 prescription in the 7 days prior to trial entry), with eligible users matched to non-users (1:4) on time of diagnosis, gestational week of the first eligible trial and high-dimensional propensity score. Pregnancy losses included spontaneous abortion and stillbirth. A pooled logistic regression model with bootstrap resampling was used to estimate the hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). RESULTS: Based on 159,177 eligible person-trials (5781 women), the matched cohort included 181 initiators and 640 non-initiators of levothyroxine, with 57 pregnancy losses occurring during follow-up. Overall, the mean age of women was 32.2 years (SD 5.4), 25% were obese, 8% had type 2 diabetes and about 50% were nulliparous. After matching, women who initiated levothyroxine versus not had higher thyroid-stimulating levels during pregnancy and were more likely to have a history of hypothyroidism. The cumulative incidence of pregnancy loss was lower in initiators versus non-initiators of levothyroxine. The adjusted HR for pregnancy loss was 0.87 (95% CI 0.22, 1.56). CONCLUSIONS: Although our assessment of the effect of initiation of levothyroxine for SCH in pregnancy precludes any definitive conclusions due to wide confidence intervals, this study illustrates the feasibility of using the target trial emulation framework to examine the effectiveness of medication use in pregnancy.

9.
Paediatr Perinat Epidemiol ; 37(3): 229-238, 2023 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36602298

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Maternal adaptations may vary by foetal sex. Whether male infants influence long-term mortality in mothers remains uncertain. OBJECTIVE: The objective of the study was to examine whether male infants increase the risk of maternal mortality. METHODS: This study included pregnant women enrolled at 12 US sites from 1959 to 1966 in the Collaborative Perinatal Project (CPP). Collaborative Perinatal Project records were linked to the National Death Index and the Social Security Master Death File to ascertain deaths until 2016. Foetal sex was determined by infant sex at birth, defined as the total number of male or female infants in pregnancies prior to or during enrolment in the CPP. In secondary analyses, exposure was defined as infant sex at the last CPP delivery. Outcomes included all-cause and underlying causes of mortality. We used Cox proportional hazards models weighted by the number of prior live births and stratified our models by parity and race/ethnicity. RESULTS: Among 48,188 women, 50.8% had a male infant at their last registered CPP pregnancy and 39.0% had a recorded death after a mean follow-up of 47.8 years (SD 10.5 years). No linear association was found between the number of liveborn males and all-cause mortality (primipara women: HR 1.02, 95% CI 0.95, 1.09, multipara women, 1 prior live birth: HR 0.96, 95% CI 0.89, 1.03, multipara women, ≥2 prior live births: HR 0.97, 95% CI 0.85, 1.11). A similar trend was noted for cardiovascular- and cancer-related mortality. At the last delivery, women with a male infant did not have an increased risk of all-cause or cause-specific mortality compared to women with a female infant. These findings were consistent across racial/ethnic groups. CONCLUSIONS: Women who give birth to male infants, regardless of number, are not at increased risk of all-cause and cause-specific mortality. These findings suggest that giving birth to male infants may not independently influence the long-term health of women.


Assuntos
Mortalidade Materna , Mães , Fatores Sexuais , Humanos , Feminino , Gravidez , Recém-Nascido , Lactente , Adulto , Paridade
10.
BMC Infect Dis ; 23(1): 797, 2023 Nov 14.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37964217

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Persons with non-O and Rh-positive blood types are purported to be more susceptible to infection, including SARS-CoV-2, but there remains uncertainty about the degree to which this is so for both non-viral and viral infections. METHODS: We systematically reviewed Embase and PubMed from January 1st 1960 to May 31st 2022. English-language publications were selected that separately investigated the relation between ABO and/or Rh blood group and risk of SARS-CoV-2 and non-SARS-CoV-2 infection. Pooled odds ratios (ORp) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were then generated for each. RESULTS: Non-O blood groups had a higher ORp for SARS-CoV-2 than O blood groups, both within 22 case-control studies (2.13, 95% CI 1.49- 3.04) and 15 cohort studies (1.89, 95% CI 1.56- 2.29). For non-SARS-CoV-2 viral infections, the respective ORp were 1.98 (95% CI 1.49-2.65; 4 case-control studies) and 1.87 (95% CI 1.53-2.29; 12 cohort studies). For non-viral infections, the ORp were 1.56 (95% CI 0.98-2.46; 13 case-control studies) and 2.11 (95% CI 1.67-6.67; 4 cohort studies). Rh-positive status had a higher ORp for SARS-CoV-2 infection within 6 case-control studies (13.83, 95% CI 6.18-30.96) and 6 cohort studies (19.04, 95% CI 11.63-31.17), compared to Rh-negative persons. For Rh status, non-SARS-CoV-2 infections, the ORp were 23.45 (95% CI 16.28-33.76) among 7 case-control studies, and 9.25 (95% CI 2.72-31.48) within 4 cohort studies. High measures of heterogeneity were notably observed for all analyses. CONCLUSIONS: Non-O and Rh-positive blood status are each associated with a higher risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection, in addition to other viral and non-viral infections.


Assuntos
Antígenos de Grupos Sanguíneos , COVID-19 , Humanos , SARS-CoV-2 , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Suscetibilidade a Doenças
11.
Am J Epidemiol ; 191(5): 787-799, 2022 03 24.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35136903

RESUMO

Pregnancy loss is a common reproductive complication, but its association with long-term mortality and whether this varies by maternal race/ethnicity is not well understood. Data from a racially diverse cohort of pregnant women enrolled in the Collaborative Perinatal Project (CPP) from 1959 to 1966 were used for this study. CPP records were linked to the National Death Index and the Social Security Death Master File to identify deaths and underlying cause (until 2016). Pregnancy loss comprised self-reported losses, including abortions, stillbirths, and ectopic pregnancies. Among 48,188 women (46.0% White, 45.8% Black, 8.2% other race/ethnicity), 25.6% reported at least 1 pregnancy loss and 39% died. Pregnancy loss was associated with a higher absolute risk of all-cause mortality (risk difference, 4.0 per 100 women, 95% confidence interval: 1.4, 6.5) and cardiovascular mortality (risk difference, 2.2 per 100 women, 95% confidence interval: 0.8, 3.5). Stratified by race/ethnicity, a higher risk of mortality persisted in White, but not Black, women. Women with recurrent losses are at increased risk of death, both overall and across all race/ethnicity groups. Pregnancy loss is associated with death; however, it does not confer an excess risk above the observed baseline risk in Black women. These findings support the need to assess reproductive history as part of routine screening in women.


Assuntos
Aborto Induzido , Aborto Espontâneo , População Negra , Etnicidade , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Gravidez , Grupos Raciais
12.
Epidemiology ; 32(4): 560-568, 2021 07 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33767113

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: In perinatal epidemiology, the development of risk prediction models is complicated by parity; how repeat pregnancies influence the predictive accuracy of models that include obstetrical history is unclear. METHODS: To assess the influence of repeat pregnancies on the association between predictors and the outcomes, as well as the influence of ignoring the nonindependence between pregnancies, we created four analytical cohorts using the Clinical Practice Research Datalink. The cohorts included (1) first deliveries, (2) a random sample of one delivery per woman, (3) all eligible deliveries per woman, and (4) all eligible deliveries and censoring of follow-up at subsequent pregnancies. Using Plasmode simulations, we varied the predictor-outcome association across cohorts. RESULTS: We found minimal differences in the relative contribution of predictors to the overall predictions and the discriminative accuracy of models in the cohort of randomly sampled deliveries versus the all deliveries cohort (C-statistic: 0.62 vs. 0.63; Nagelkerke's R2: 0.03 for both). Accounting for clustering and censoring upon subsequent pregnancies also had negligible influence on model performance. We found important differences in model performance between the models developed in the cohort of first deliveries and the random sample of deliveries. CONCLUSIONS: In our study, a model including first deliveries had the best predictive accuracy but was not generalizable to women of varying parities. Moreover, including repeat pregnancies did not improve the predictive accuracy of the models. Multiple models may be needed to improve the transportability and accuracy of prediction models when the outcome of interest is influenced by parity.


Assuntos
Paridade , Feminino , Humanos , Gravidez
13.
Circulation ; 139(8): 1069-1079, 2019 02 19.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30779636

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Women with a history of certain pregnancy complications are at higher risk for cardiovascular (CVD) disease. However, most clinical guidelines only recommend postpartum follow-up of those with a history of preeclampsia, gestational diabetes mellitus, or preterm birth. This systematic review was undertaken to determine if there is an association between a broader array of pregnancy complications and the future risk of CVD. METHODS: We systematically searched PubMed, MEDLINE and EMBASE (via Ovid), CINAHL, and the Cochrane Library from inception to September 22, 2017, for observational studies of the association between the hypertensive disorders of pregnancy, placental abruption, preterm birth, gestational diabetes mellitus, low birth weight, small-for-gestational-age birth, stillbirth, and miscarriage and subsequent CVD. Likelihood ratio meta-analyses were performed to generate pooled odds ratios (OR) and 95% intrinsic confidence intervals (ICI). RESULTS: Our systematic review included 84 studies (28 993 438 patients). Sample sizes varied from 250 to 2 000 000, with a median follow-up of 7.5 years postpartum. The risk of CVD was highest in women with gestational hypertension (OR 1.7; 95% ICI, 1.3-2.2), preeclampsia (OR 2.7; 95% ICI, 2.5-3.0), placental abruption (OR 1.8; 95% ICI, 1.4-2.3), preterm birth (OR 1.6; 95% ICI, 1.4-1.9), gestational diabetes mellitus (OR 1.7; 95% ICI, 1.1-2.5), and stillbirth (OR 1.5; 95% ICI, 1.1-2.1). A consistent trend was seen for low birth weight and small-for-gestational-age birth weight but not for miscarriage. CONCLUSIONS: Women with a broader array of pregnancy complications, including placental abruption and stillbirth, are at increased risk of future CVD. The findings support the need for assessment and risk factor management beyond the postpartum period.


Assuntos
Doenças Cardiovasculares/epidemiologia , Complicações na Gravidez/epidemiologia , Adulto , Idoso , Doenças Cardiovasculares/diagnóstico , Doenças Cardiovasculares/mortalidade , Causas de Morte , Feminino , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Gravidez , Complicações na Gravidez/diagnóstico , Complicações na Gravidez/mortalidade , Prognóstico , Medição de Risco , Fatores de Risco , Fatores de Tempo , Adulto Jovem
17.
Paediatr Perinat Epidemiol ; 31(5): 412-421, 2017 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28816365

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Hypertensive disorders in pregnancy (HDP) have been shown to predict later risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, previous studies have not accounted for subsequent pregnancies and their complications, which are potential confounders and intermediates of this association. METHODS: A cohort of 146 748 women with a first pregnancy was constructed using the Clinical Practice Research Datalink. HDP was defined using diagnostic codes, elevated blood pressure readings, or new use of an anti-hypertensive drug between 18 weeks' gestation and 6 weeks post-partum. The study outcomes were incident CVD and hypertension. Marginal structural Cox models (MSM) were used to account for time-varying confounders and intermediates. Time-fixed exposure defined at the first pregnancy was used in secondary analyses. RESULTS: A total of 997 women were diagnosed with incident CVD, and 6812 women were diagnosed with hypertension or received a new anti-hypertensive medication during the follow-up period. Compared with women without HDP, those with HDP had a substantially higher rate of CVD (hazard ratio (HR) 2.2, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.7, 2.7). In women with HDP, the rate of hypertension was five times that of women without a HDP (HR 5.6, 95% CI 5.1, 6.3). With overlapping 95% CIs, the time-fixed analysis and the MSM produced consistent results for both outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Women with HDP are at increased risk of developing subsequent CVD and hypertension. Similar estimates obtained with the MSM and the time-fixed analysis suggests that subsequent pregnancies do not confound a first episode of HDP and later CVD.


Assuntos
Doenças Cardiovasculares/epidemiologia , Hipertensão Induzida pela Gravidez/epidemiologia , Complicações Cardiovasculares na Gravidez/epidemiologia , Adolescente , Adulto , Doenças Cardiovasculares/etiologia , Doenças Cardiovasculares/fisiopatologia , Feminino , Seguimentos , Humanos , Hipertensão Induzida pela Gravidez/fisiopatologia , Gravidez , Complicações Cardiovasculares na Gravidez/fisiopatologia , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Medição de Risco , Reino Unido/epidemiologia , Adulto Jovem
18.
Am Heart J ; 173: 35-40, 2016 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26920594

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Previous trials examining the use of bupropion for smoking cessation therapy after myocardial infarction (MI) have been inconclusive. To understand better the observed lack of effectiveness of bupropion in this population, we examined abstinence rates by level of adherence across treatment groups. METHODS: We used data from a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial of bupropion in smokers (n = 388) hospitalized with MI to study the association of interest. Patients were classified as being fully adherent if they reported taking 2 pills/d; partially adherent if they reported 0, 1, and/or 2 pills/d; and nonadherent if they reported 0 and/or 1 pill/d throughout the 9-week treatment period. Abstinence was assessed by 7-day biochemically validated self-report at 4 and 9 weeks and 6 and 12 months. RESULTS: A total of 156 patients were fully adherent to the study medication (66 bupropion and 90 placebo), 149 were partially adherent (76 and 73, respectively), and 83 were nonadherent (46 and 37, respectively). Regardless of treatment group, patients who were fully or partially adherent reported greater abstinence than did nonadherent patients. Among partially adherent patients, bupropion conferred an important benefit at 12 months (% difference 13.3, 95% CI 1.3-25.3). At 12 months, patients who were fully adherent were more likely to be abstinent compared with those who were nonadherent (adjusted odds ratio 7.6, 95% CI 3.2-17.6). CONCLUSIONS: Adherence to study medication, regardless of assigned treatment, is associated with a substantial increase in abstinence. Patients who are motivated to quit smoking should be targeted for smoking cessation treatment after MI.


Assuntos
Bupropiona/administração & dosagem , Adesão à Medicação , Infarto do Miocárdio/complicações , Cooperação do Paciente , Abandono do Hábito de Fumar/métodos , Fumar/efeitos adversos , Transtornos Relacionados ao Uso de Substâncias/complicações , Antidepressivos de Segunda Geração/administração & dosagem , Relação Dose-Resposta a Droga , Método Duplo-Cego , Feminino , Seguimentos , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Transtornos Relacionados ao Uso de Substâncias/tratamento farmacológico , Fatores de Tempo , Resultado do Tratamento
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