Body Mass Index, Adverse Pregnancy Outcomes, and Cardiovascular Disease Risk.

BACKGROUND: Obesity is a well-established risk factor for both adverse pregnancy outcomes (APOs) and cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, it is not known whether APOs are mediators or markers of the obesity-CVD relationship. This study examined the association between body mass index, APOs, and postpartum CVD risk factors. METHODS: The sample included adults from the nuMoM2b (Nulliparous Pregnancy Outcomes Study: Monitoring Mothers-To-Be) Heart Health Study who were enrolled in their first trimester (6 weeks-13 weeks 6 days gestation) from 8 United States sites. Participants had a follow-up visit at 3.7 years postpartum. APOs, which included hypertensive disorders of pregnancy, preterm birth, small-for-gestational-age birth, and gestational diabetes, were centrally adjudicated. Mediation analyses estimated the association between early pregnancy body mass index and postpartum CVD risk factors (hypertension, hyperlipidemia, and diabetes) and the proportion mediated by each APO adjusted for demographics and baseline health behaviors, psychosocial stressors, and CVD risk factor levels. RESULTS: Among 4216 participants enrolled, mean±SD maternal age was 27±6 years. Early pregnancy prevalence of overweight was 25%, and obesity was 22%. Hypertensive disorders of pregnancy occurred in 15%, preterm birth in 8%, small-for-gestational-age birth in 11%, and gestational diabetes in 4%. Early pregnancy obesity, compared with normal body mass index, was associated with significantly higher incidence of postpartum hypertension (adjusted odds ratio, 1.14 [95% CI, 1.10-1.18]), hyperlipidemia (1.11 [95% CI, 1.08-1.14]), and diabetes (1.03 [95% CI, 1.01-1.04]) even after adjustment for baseline CVD risk factor levels. APOs were associated with higher incidence of postpartum hypertension (1.97 [95% CI, 1.61-2.40]) and hyperlipidemia (1.31 [95% CI, 1.03-1.67]). Hypertensive disorders of pregnancy mediated a small proportion of the association between obesity and incident hypertension (13% [11%-15%]) and did not mediate associations with incident hyperlipidemia or diabetes. There was no significant mediation by preterm birth or small-for-gestational-age birth. CONCLUSIONS: There was heterogeneity across APO subtypes in their association with postpartum CVD risk factors and mediation of the association between early pregnancy obesity and postpartum CVD risk factors. However, only a small or nonsignificant proportion of the association between obesity and CVD risk factors was mediated by any of the APOs, suggesting APOs are a marker of prepregnancy CVD risk and not a predominant cause of postpartum CVD risk.

Air quality and cancer risk in the All of Us Research Program.

INTRODUCTION: The NIH All of Us Research Program has enrolled over 544,000 participants across the US with unprecedented racial/ethnic diversity, offering opportunities to investigate myriad exposures and diseases. This paper aims to investigate the association between PM2.5 exposure and cancer risks. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This work was performed on data from 409,876 All of Us Research Program participants using the All of Us Researcher Workbench. Cancer case ascertainment was performed using data from electronic health records and the self-reported Personal Medical History questionnaire. PM2.5 exposure was retrieved from NASA's Earth Observing System Data and Information Center and assigned using participants' 3-digit zip code prefixes. Multivariate logistic regression was used to estimate the odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI). Generalized additive models (GAMs) were used to investigate non-linear relationships. RESULTS: A total of 33,387 participants and 46,176 prevalent cancer cases were ascertained from participant EHR data, while 20,297 cases were ascertained from self-reported survey data from 18,133 participants; 9,502 cancer cases were captured in both the EHR and survey data. Average PM2.5 level from 2007 to 2016 was 8.90 µg/m3 (min 2.56, max 15.05). In analysis of cancer cases from EHR, an increased odds for breast cancer (OR 1.17, 95% CI 1.09-1.25), endometrial cancer (OR 1.33, 95% CI 1.09-1.62) and ovarian cancer (OR 1.20, 95% CI 1.01-1.42) in the 4th quartile of exposure compared to the 1st. In GAM, higher PM2.5 concentration was associated with increased odds for blood cancer, bone cancer, brain cancer, breast cancer, colon and rectum cancer, endocrine system cancer, lung cancer, pancreatic cancer, prostate cancer, and thyroid cancer. CONCLUSIONS: We found evidence of an association of PM2.5 with breast, ovarian, and endometrial cancers. There is little to no prior evidence in the literature on the impact of PM2.5 on risk of these cancers, warranting further investigation.

Progression of Coronary Artery Calcification and Risk of Clinical Events in CKD: The Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort Study.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Coronary artery calcification (CAC) progresses rapidly in people with chronic kidney disease (CKD) compared with the general population. We studied the association between CAC progression and higher risks of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (CVD), congestive heart failure, and all-cause mortality among adults with CKD. STUDY DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: & Participants: 1,310 participants in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study who had at least one CAC scan with no prior history of CVD and with observed or imputed data on changes in CAC over time. EXPOSURE: Observed or imputed CAC progression, categorized as incident CAC among participants with zero CAC on the baseline scan, or progressive CAC when the baseline scan demonstrated CAC and there was an increase in CAC ≥50 Agatston units per year. OUTCOMES: Atherosclerotic CVD (myocardial infarction or stroke), congestive heart failure, and all-cause mortality. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Cause-specific Cox proportional hazards regression, stratified by presence of CAC at baseline. RESULTS: A total of 545 participants without and 765 with prevalent CAC at baseline were included. During a mean 3.3 years between CAC assessments, 177 (32.5%) participants without baseline CAC developed incident CAC while 270 participants (35.3%) with baseline CAC developed a ≥50 Agatston units per year increase in CAC. After multivariable adjustment, incident CAC was associated with 2.42-fold higher rate of atherosclerotic CVD (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.23-4.79) and 1.82-fold higher rate of all-cause mortality (95% CI: 1.03-3.22). Progressive CAC (≥50 units per year) was not associated with atherosclerotic CVD (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.42; 95% CI: 0.85-2.35) but was associated with a 1.73-fold higher rate of all-cause mortality (95% CI: 1.31-2.28). Progressive CAC was not associated with incident heart failure. LIMITATIONS: Residual confounding and limited statistical power for some outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Among adults with CKD stages 2-4, CAC progression over a mean 3.3 years was associated with higher risk of atherosclerotic CVD and all-cause mortality. The associations were strongest among participants without CAC at baseline.

Discordance of patient-reported outcome measures with objectively assessed walking decline in peripheral artery disease.

OBJECTIVE: Among people with peripheral artery disease (PAD), perceived change in walking difficulty over time, compared with people without PAD, is unclear. Among people reporting no change in walking difficulty over time, differences in objectively measured change in walking performance between people with and without PAD are unknown. METHODS: A total of 1289 participants were included. Eight hundred seventy-four participants with PAD (aged 71.1 ± 9.1 years) were identified from noninvasive vascular laboratories and 415 without PAD (aged 69.9 ± 7.6 years) were identified from people with normal vascular laboratory testing or general medical practices in Chicago. The Walking Impairment Questionnaire and 6-minute walk were completed at baseline and 1-year follow-up. The Walking Impairment Questionnaire assessed perceived difficulty walking due to symptoms in the calves or buttocks on a Likert scale (range, 0-4). Symptom change was determined by comparing difficulty reported at 1-year follow-up to difficulty reported at baseline. RESULTS: At 1-year follow-up, 31.9% of participants with and 20.6% of participants without PAD reported walking difficulty that was improved (P < .01), whereas 41.2% vs 55%, respectively, reported walking difficulty that was unchanged (P < .01). Among all reporting no change in walking difficulty, participants with PAD declined in 6-minute walk, whereas participants without PAD improved (-10 vs +15 meters; mean difference, -25; 95% confidence interval, -38 to -13; P < .01). CONCLUSIONS: Most people with PAD reported improvement or no change in walking difficulty from calf or buttock symptoms at one-year follow-up. Among all participants who perceived stable walking ability, those with PAD had significant greater declines in objectively measured walking performance, compared with people without PAD.

MRI Investigation of the Association of Left Atrial and Left Atrial Appendage Hemodynamics with Silent Brain Infarction.

BACKGROUND: Left atrial (LA) myopathy is thought to be associated with silent brain infarctions (SBI) through changes in blood flow hemodynamics leading to thrombogenesis. 4D-flow MRI enables in-vivo hemodynamic quantification in the left atrium (LA) and LA appendage (LAA). PURPOSE: To determine whether LA and LAA hemodynamic and volumetric parameters are associated with SBI. STUDY TYPE: Prospective observational study. POPULATION: A single-site cohort of 125 Participants of the multiethnic study of atherosclerosis (MESA), mean age: 72.3 ± 7.2 years, 56 men. FIELD STRENGTH/SEQUENCE: 1.5T. Cardiac MRI: Cine balanced steady state free precession (bSSFP) and 4D-flow sequences. Brain MRI: T1- and T2-weighted SE and FLAIR. ASSESSMENT: Presence of SBI was determined from brain MRI by neuroradiologists according to routine diagnostic criteria in all participants without a history of stroke based on the MESA database. Minimum and maximum LA volumes and ejection fraction were calculated from bSSFP data. Blood stasis (% of voxels <10 cm/sec) and peak velocity (cm/sec) in the LA and LAA were assessed by a radiologist using an established 4D-flow workflow. STATISTICAL TESTS: Student's t test, Mann-Whitney U test, one-way ANOVA, chi-square test. Multivariable stepwise logistic regression with automatic forward and backward selection. Significance level P < 0.05. RESULTS: 26 (20.8%) had at least one SBI. After Bonferroni correction, participants with SBI were significantly older and had significantly lower peak velocities in the LAA. In multivariable analyses, age (per 10-years) (odds ratio (OR) = 1.99 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.30-3.04)) and LAA peak velocity (per cm/sec) (OR = 0.87 (95% CI: 0.81-0.93)) were significantly associated with SBI. CONCLUSION: Older age and lower LAA peak velocity were associated with SBI in multivariable analyses whereas volumetric-based measures from cardiac MRI or cardiovascular risk factors were not. Cardiac 4D-flow MRI showed potential to serve as a novel imaging marker for SBI. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: 3 TECHNICAL EFFICACY: Stage 2.

Genome-wide DNA methylation association study of recent and cumulative marijuana use in middle aged adults.

Marijuana is a widely used psychoactive substance in the US and medical and recreational legalization has risen over the past decade. Despite the growing number of individuals using marijuana, studies investigating the association between epigenetic factors and recent and cumulative marijuana use remain limited. We therefore investigated the association between recent and cumulative marijuana use and DNA methylation levels. Participants from the Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults Study with whole blood collected at examination years (Y) 15 and Y20 were randomly selected to undergo DNA methylation profiling at both timepoints using the Illumina MethylationEPIC BeadChip. Recent use of marijuana was queried at each examination and used to estimate cumulative marijuana use from Y0 to Y15 and Y20. At Y15 (n = 1023), we observed 22 and 31 methylation markers associated (FDR P ≤ 0.05) with recent and cumulative marijuana use and 132 and 16 methylation markers at Y20 (n = 883), respectively. We replicated 8 previously reported methylation markers associated with marijuana use. We further identified 640 cis-meQTLs and 198 DMRs associated with recent and cumulative use at Y15 and Y20. Differentially methylated genes were statistically overrepresented in pathways relating to cellular proliferation, hormone signaling, and infections as well as schizophrenia, bipolar disorder, and substance-related disorders. We identified numerous methylation markers, pathways, and diseases associated with recent and cumulative marijuana use in middle-aged adults, providing additional insight into the association between marijuana use and the epigenome. These results provide novel insights into the role marijuana has on the epigenome and related health conditions.

Prediction of metabolic syndrome following a first pregnancy.

BACKGROUND: The prevalence of metabolic syndrome is rapidly increasing in the United States. We hypothesized that prediction models using data obtained during pregnancy can accurately predict the future development of metabolic syndrome. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to develop machine learning models to predict the development of metabolic syndrome using factors ascertained in nulliparous pregnant individuals. STUDY DESIGN: This was a secondary analysis of a prospective cohort study (Nulliparous Pregnancy Outcomes Study: Monitoring Mothers-to-Be Heart Health Study [nuMoM2b-HHS]). Data were collected from October 2010 to October 2020, and analyzed from July 2023 to October 2023. Participants had in-person visits 2 to 7 years after their first delivery. The primary outcome was metabolic syndrome, defined by the National Cholesterol Education Program Adult Treatment Panel III criteria, which was measured within 2 to 7 years after delivery. A total of 127 variables that were obtained during pregnancy were evaluated. The data set was randomly split into a training set (70%) and a test set (30%). We developed a random forest model and a lasso regression model using variables obtained during pregnancy. We compared the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for both models. Using the model with the better area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, we developed models that included fewer variables based on SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) values and compared them with the original model. The final model chosen would have fewer variables and noninferior areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve. RESULTS: A total of 4225 individuals met the inclusion criteria; the mean (standard deviation) age was 27.0 (5.6) years. Of these, 754 (17.8%) developed metabolic syndrome. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the random forest model was 0.878 (95% confidence interval, 0.846-0.909), which was higher than the 0.850 of the lasso model (95% confidence interval, 0.811-0.888; P<.001). Therefore, random forest models using fewer variables were developed. The random forest model with the top 3 variables (high-density lipoprotein, insulin, and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein) was chosen as the final model because it had the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.867 (95% confidence interval, 0.839-0.895), which was not inferior to the original model (P=.08). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the final model in the test set was 0.847 (95% confidence interval, 0.821-0.873). An online application of the final model was developed (https://kawakita.shinyapps.io/metabolic/). CONCLUSION: We developed a model that can accurately predict the development of metabolic syndrome in 2 to 7 years after delivery.

Socioeconomic disadvantage in pregnancy and postpartum risk of cardiovascular disease.

BACKGROUND: Pregnancy is an educable and actionable life stage to address social determinants of health (SDOH) and lifelong cardiovascular disease (CVD) prevention. However, the link between a risk score that combines multiple neighborhood-level social determinants in pregnancy and the risk of long-term CVD remains to be evaluated. OBJECTIVE: To examine whether neighborhood-level socioeconomic disadvantage measured by the Area Deprivation Index (ADI) in early pregnancy is associated with a higher 30-year predicted risk of CVD postpartum, as measured by the Framingham Risk Score. STUDY DESIGN: An analysis of data from the prospective Nulliparous Pregnancy Outcomes Study-Monitoring Mothers-to-Be Heart Health Study longitudinal cohort. Participant home addresses during early pregnancy were geocoded at the Census-block level. The exposure was neighborhood-level socioeconomic disadvantage using the 2015 ADI by tertile (least deprived [T1], reference; most deprived [T3]) measured in the first trimester. Outcomes were the predicted 30-year risks of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD, composite of fatal and nonfatal coronary heart disease and stroke) and total CVD (composite of ASCVD plus coronary insufficiency, angina pectoris, transient ischemic attack, intermittent claudication, and heart failure) using the Framingham Risk Score measured 2 to 7 years after delivery. These outcomes were assessed as continuous measures of absolute estimated risk in increments of 1%, and, secondarily, as categorical measures with high-risk defined as an estimated probability of CVD ≥10%. Multivariable linear regression and modified Poisson regression models adjusted for baseline age and individual-level social determinants, including health insurance, educational attainment, and household poverty. RESULTS: Among 4309 nulliparous individuals at baseline, the median age was 27 years (interquartile range [IQR]: 23-31) and the median ADI was 43 (IQR: 22-74). At 2 to 7 years postpartum (median: 3.1 years, IQR: 2.5, 3.7), the median 30-year risk of ASCVD was 2.3% (IQR: 1.5, 3.5) and of total CVD was 5.5% (IQR: 3.7, 7.9); 2.2% and 14.3% of individuals had predicted 30-year risk ≥10%, respectively. Individuals living in the highest ADI tertile had a higher predicted risk of 30-year ASCVD % (adjusted ß: 0.41; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.19, 0.63) compared with those in the lowest tertile; and those living in the top 2 ADI tertiles had higher absolute risks of 30-year total CVD % (T2: adj. ß: 0.37; 95% CI: 0.03, 0.72; T3: adj. ß: 0.74; 95% CI: 0.36, 1.13). Similarly, individuals living in neighborhoods in the highest ADI tertile were more likely to have a high 30-year predicted risk of ASCVD (adjusted risk ratio [aRR]: 2.21; 95% CI: 1.21, 4.02) and total CVD ≥10% (aRR: 1.35; 95% CI: 1.08, 1.69). CONCLUSION: Neighborhood-level socioeconomic disadvantage in early pregnancy was associated with a higher estimated long-term risk of CVD postpartum. Incorporating aggregated SDOH into existing clinical workflows and future research in pregnancy could reduce disparities in maternal cardiovascular health across the lifespan, and requires further study.

Metabolomic Profiling of Cholesterol Efflux Capacity in a Multiethnic Population: Insights From MESA.

BACKGROUND: Impaired cholesterol efflux capacity (CEC) is a novel lipid metabolism trait associated with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. Mechanisms underlying CEC variation are unknown. We evaluated associations of circulating metabolites with CEC to advance understanding of metabolic pathways involved in cholesterol efflux regulation. METHODS: Participants enrolled in the MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis) who underwent nuclear magnetic resonance metabolome profiling and CEC measurement (N=3543) at baseline were included. Metabolite associations with CEC were evaluated using standard linear regression analyses. Repeated ElasticNet and multilayer perceptron regression were used to assess metabolite profile predictive performance for CEC. Features important for CEC prediction were identified using Shapley Additive Explanations values. RESULTS: Greater CEC was significantly associated with metabolite clusters composed of the largest-sized particle subclasses of VLDL (very-low-density lipoprotein) and HDL (high-density lipoprotein), as well as their constituent apo A1, apo A2, phospholipid, and cholesterol components (ß=0.072-0.081; P<0.001). Metabolite profiles had poor accuracy for predicting in vitro CEC in linear and nonlinear analyses (R2<0.02; Spearman ρ<0.18). The most important feature for CEC prediction was race, with Black participants having significantly lower CEC compared with other races. CONCLUSIONS: We identified independent associations among CEC, the largest-sized particle subclasses of VLDL and HDL, and their constituent apolipoproteins and lipids. A large proportion of variation in CEC remained unexplained by metabolites and traditional clinical risk factors, supporting further investigation into genomic, proteomic, and phospholipidomic determinants of CEC.

Trends in patient characteristics and mortality among Medicare patients diagnosed with peripheral artery disease.

INTRODUCTION: Peripheral artery disease (PAD) is a well-described risk factor for mortality, but few studies have examined secular trends in mortality over time for patients with PAD. We characterized trends in mortality in patients with PAD in recent years among Medicare patients. METHODS: We used Medicare claims to identify patients with a new diagnosis code for PAD between January 1, 2006 and December 31, 2018 using International Classification of Diseases (ICD) diagnosis codes. The primary outcome of interest was the 1-year all-cause age-adjusted mortality rate. Our secondary outcome was the 5-year all-cause mortality rate. Multivariable regression was used to identify factors which predict mortality at 1 year. RESULTS: We identified 4,373,644 patients with a new diagnosis code for PAD during the study period. Between 2006 and 2018, 1-year all-cause age-adjusted mortality declined from 12.6% to 9.9% (p < 0.001). One-year crude all-cause mortality also declined from 14.6% to 9.5% (p < 0.001). Similar results were observed for 5-year age-adjusted mortality rates (40.9% to 35.2%, p < 0.001). Factors associated with increased risk of death at 1 year included age ⩾ 85 years (hazard ratio [HR] 3.030; 95% CI 3.008-3.053) and congestive heart failure (HR 1.86; 95% CI 1.85-1.88). Patients who were regularly dispensed statins, ace-inhibitors, beta-blockers, antithrombotic agents, and anticoagulants all had lower mortality (range OR 0.36; CI 0.35-0.37 for statins to OR 0.60; CI 0.59-0.61 for anticoagulants; all p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Among US Medicare patients diagnosed with PAD between 2006 and 2019, 1-year age-adjusted mortality declined by 2.7%. This decline in mortality among PAD patients occurred in the context of a younger mean age of diagnosis of PAD and improved cardiovascular prevention therapy.

The ankle-brachial index, gastrocnemius mitochondrial respirometry, and walking performance in people with and without peripheral artery disease.

Background: Mitochondrial abnormalities exist in lower-extremity peripheral artery disease (PAD), yet the association of the ankle-brachial index (ABI) with mitochondrial respiration in gastrocnemius muscle is unknown. The association of gastrocnemius mitochondrial respiration with 6-minute walk distance in PAD is unknown. Objective: To describe associations of the ABI with mitochondrial respiratory function in gastrocnemius muscle biopsies and associations of gastrocnemius mitochondrial respirometry with 6-minute walk distance in people with and without PAD. Methods: People with (ABI ⩽ 0.90) and without (ABI 1.00-1.40) PAD were enrolled. ABI and 6-minute walk distance were measured. Mitochondrial function of permeabilized myofibers from gastrocnemius biopsies was measured with high-resolution respirometry. Results: A total of 30 people with PAD (71.7 years, mean ABI: 0.64) and 68 without PAD (71.8 years, ABI: 1.17) participated. In non-PAD participants, higher ABI values were associated significantly with better mitochondrial respiration (Pearson correlation for maximal oxidative phosphorylation PCI+II: +0.29, p = 0.016). In PAD, the ABI correlated negatively and not significantly with mitochondrial respiration (Pearson correlation for PCI+II: -0.17, p = 0.38). In people without PAD, better mitochondrial respiration was associated with better 6-minute walk distance (Pearson correlation: +0.51, p < 0.001), but this association was not present in PAD (Pearson correlation: +0.10, p = 0.59). Conclusions: Major differences exist between people with and without PAD in the association of gastrocnemius mitochondrial respiration with ABI and 6-minute walk distance. Among people without PAD, ABI and walking performance were positively associated with mitochondrial respiratory function. These associations were not observed in PAD.

Predictive Utility of a Validated Polygenic Risk Score for Long-Term Risk of Coronary Heart Disease in Young and Middle-Aged Adults.

BACKGROUND: Understanding the predictive utility of previously derived polygenic risk scores (PRSs) for long-term risk of coronary heart disease (CHD) and its additive value beyond traditional risk factors can inform prevention strategies. METHODS: Data from adults 20 to 59 years of age who were free of CHD from the FOS (Framingham Offspring Study) and the ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) study were analyzed. Because the PRS was derived from samples of predominantly European ancestry, individuals who self-reported White race were included. The sample was stratified by age and cohort: young (FOS, 20-39 years [median, 30 years] of age), early midlife (FOS, 40-59 years [median, 43] years of age), and late midlife (ARIC, 45-59 years [median, 52 years] of age). Two previously derived and validated prediction tools were applied: (1) a 30-year traditional risk factor score and (2) a genome-wide PRS comprising >6 million genetic variants. Hazard ratios for the association between each risk estimate and incident CHD were calculated. Predicted and observed rates of CHD were compared to assess discrimination for each model individually and together with the optimism-corrected C index (95% CI). RESULTS: Among 9757 participants, both the traditional risk factor score (hazard ratio per 1 SD, 2.60 [95% CI, 2.08-3.27], 2.09 [95% CI, 1.83-2.40], and 2.11 [95% CI, 1.96-2.28]) and the PRS (hazard ratio, 1.98 [95% CI, 1.70-2.30], 1.64 [95% CI, 1.47-1.84], and 1.22 [95% CI, 1.15-1.30]) were significantly associated with incident CHD in young, early midlife, and late midlife, respectively. Discrimination was similar or better for the traditional risk factor score (C index, 0.74 [95% CI, 0.70-0.78], 0.70 [95% CI, 0.67-0.72], and 0.72 [95% CI, 0.70-0.73]) compared with an age- and sex-adjusted PRS (0.73 [95% CI, 0.69-0.78], 0.66 [95% CI, 0.62-0.69], and 0.66 [95% CI, 0.64-0.67]) in young, early-midlife, and late-midlife participants, respectively. The ΔC index when PRS was added to the traditional risk factor score was 0.03 (95% CI, 0.001-0.05), 0.02 (95% CI, -0.002 to 0.037), and 0.002 (95% CI, -0.002 to 0.006) in young, early-midlife, and late-midlife participants, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Despite a statistically significant association between PRS and 30-year risk of CHD, the C statistic improved only marginally with the addition of PRS to the traditional risk factor model among young adults and did not improve among midlife adults. PRS, an immutable factor that cannot be directly intervened on, has minimal clinical utility for long-term CHD prediction when added to a traditional risk factor model.

Association of Cardiovascular Health Through Young Adulthood With Genome-Wide DNA Methylation Patterns in Midlife: The CARDIA Study.

BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular health (CVH) from young adulthood is strongly associated with an individual's future risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and total mortality. Defining epigenomic biomarkers of lifelong CVH exposure and understanding their roles in CVD development may help develop preventive and therapeutic strategies for CVD. METHODS: In 1085 CARDIA study (Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults) participants, we defined a clinical cumulative CVH score that combines body mass index, blood pressure, total cholesterol, and fasting glucose measured longitudinally from young adulthood through middle age over 20 years (mean age, 25-45). Blood DNA methylation at >840 000 methylation markers was measured twice over 5 years (mean age, 40 and 45). Epigenome-wide association analyses on the cumulative CVH score were performed in CARDIA and compared in the FHS (Framingham Heart Study). We used penalized regression to build a methylation-based risk score to evaluate the risk of incident coronary artery calcification and clinical CVD events. RESULTS: We identified 45 methylation markers associated with cumulative CVH at false discovery rate <0.01 (P=4.7E-7-5.8E-17) in CARDIA and replicated in FHS. These associations were more pronounced with methylation measured at an older age. CPT1A, ABCG1, and SREBF1 appeared as the most prominent genes. The 45 methylation markers were mostly located in transcriptionally active chromatin and involved lipid metabolism, insulin secretion, and cytokine production pathways. Three methylation markers located in genes SARS1, SOCS3, and LINC-PINT statistically mediated 20.4% of the total effect between CVH and risk of incident coronary artery calcification. The methylation risk score added information and significantly (P=0.004) improved the discrimination capacity of coronary artery calcification status versus CVH score alone and showed association with risk of incident coronary artery calcification 5 to 10 years later independent of cumulative CVH score (odds ratio, 1.87; P=9.66E-09). The methylation risk score was also associated with incident clinical CVD in FHS (hazard ratio, 1.28; P=1.22E-05). CONCLUSIONS: Cumulative CVH from young adulthood contributes to midlife epigenetic programming over time. Our findings demonstrate the role of epigenetic markers in response to CVH changes and highlight the potential of epigenomic markers for precision CVD prevention, and earlier detection of subclinical CVD, as well.

Determinants of Incident Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Events Among Those With Absent Coronary Artery Calcium: Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis.

BACKGROUND: The 2018 American Heart Association/American College of Cardiology/Multisociety cholesterol guideline states that statin therapy may be withheld or delayed among intermediate-risk individuals in the absence of coronary artery calcium (CAC=0). We evaluated whether traditional cardiovascular risk factors are associated with incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) events among individuals with CAC=0 over long-term follow-up. METHODS: We included participants with CAC=0 at baseline from the MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis), a prospective cohort study of individuals free of clinical ASCVD at baseline. We used multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards models to study the association between cardiovascular risk factors (cigarette smoking, diabetes, hypertension, preventive medication use [aspirin and statin], family history of premature ASCVD, chronic kidney disease, waist circumference, lipid and inflammatory markers) and adjudicated incident ASCVD outcomes. RESULTS: We studied 3416 individuals (mean [SD] age 58 [9] years; 63% were female, 33% White, 31% Black, 12% Chinese American, and 24% Hispanic). Over a median follow-up of 16 years, there were 189 ASCVD events (composite of coronary heart disease and stroke) of which 91 were coronary heart disease, 88 were stroke, and 10 were both coronary heart disease and stroke events. The unadjusted event rates of ASCVD were ≤5 per 1000 person-years among individuals with CAC=0 for most risk factors with the exception of current cigarette smoking (7.3), diabetes (8.9), hypertension (5.4), and chronic kidney disease (6.8). After multivariable adjustment, risk factors that were significantly associated with ASCVD included current cigarette smoking: hazard ratio, 2.12 (95% CI, 1.32-3.42); diabetes: hazard ratio, 1.68 (95% CI, 1.01-2.80); and hypertension: hazard ratio, 1.57 (95% CI, 1.06-2.33). CONCLUSIONS: Current cigarette smoking, diabetes, and hypertension are independently associated with incident ASCVD over a 16-year follow-up among those with CAC=0.

Barriers to participation in supervised exercise therapy reported by people with peripheral artery disease.

OBJECTIVE: This study identified barriers to participation in supervised exercise therapy covered by the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS), reported by people with lower extremity peripheral artery disease (PAD). METHODS: People with PAD participating in research studies of walking impairment due to PAD in the Chicagoland area were asked to complete a questionnaire between March 15, 2019, and July 12, 2022, assessing their experience and attitudes about supervised exercise therapy. Participants were identified using mailed postcards to people aged 50 and older in Chicagoland, from medical centers in Chicago, and using bus and train advertisements. The questionnaire was developed based on focus group feedback from people with PAD. RESULTS: Of 516 participants with PAD approached, 489 (94.8%) completed the questionnaire (mean age: 71.0 years [standard deviation: 8.7], mean ankle-brachial index: 0.71 [standard deviation: 0.25]; 204 [41.7%] women and 261 [53.4%] Black). Of the 489 participants, 416 (85.1%) reported that their physician had never prescribed or recommended supervised exercise therapy. Overall, 357 (73.2%) reported willingness to travel three times weekly to the medical center for supervised exercise participation. However, of these, 214 (59.9%) reported that they were unwilling or unable to pay the $11 per exercise session copay required for supervised exercise covered by CMS. Of 51 people with PAD who reported prior participation in supervised exercise, only 5 (9.8%) completed the 12 weeks of supervised exercise therapy covered by CMS and 29 (56.9%) completed 6 or fewer weeks. Of 131 (26.8%) unwilling to travel three times weekly to a center for supervised exercise, the most common reasons for unwillingness to participate were "too time-consuming" (55.0%), "too inconvenient" (45.8%), and "lack of interest in treadmill exercise" (28.2%). CONCLUSIONS: Approximately 2 to 4 years after CMS began covering supervised exercise for PAD, most people with PAD in this study from a large urban area had not participated in supervised exercise therapy. Of those who participated, most completed fewer than half of the sessions covered by CMS. The required CMS copayment was a common barrier to supervised exercise participation by people with PAD.

Metabolomic Profile of the Healthy Eating Index-2015 in the Multiethnic Study of Atherosclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Poor diet quality is a risk factor for type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease. However, knowledge of metabolites marking adherence to Dietary Guidelines for Americans (2015 version) are limited. OBJECTIVES: The goal was to determine a pattern of metabolites associated with the Healthy Eating Index (HEI)-2015, which measures adherence to the Dietary Guidelines for Americans. METHODS: The analysis examined 3557 adult men and women from the longitudinal cohort Multiethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA), without known cardiovascular disease and with complete dietary data. Fasting serum specimens and diet and demographic questionnaires were assessed at baseline. Untargeted 1H 1-dimensional nuclei magnetic resonance spectroscopy (600 MHz) was used to generate metabolomics and lipidomics. A metabolome-wide association study specified each spectral feature as outcomes, HEI-2015 score as predictor, adjusting for age, sex, race, and study site in linear regression analyses. Subsequently, hierarchical clustering defined the discrete groups of correlated nuclei magnetic resonance features associated with named metabolites, and the linear regression analysis assessed for associations with HEI-2015 total and component scores. RESULTS: The sample included 50% women with an mean age of 63 years, with 40% identifying as White, 23% as Black, 24% as Hispanic, and 13% as Chinese American. The mean HEI-2015 score was 66. The metabolome-wide association study identified 179 spectral features significantly associated with HEI-2015 score. The cluster analysis identified 7 clusters representing 4 metabolites; HEI-2015 score was significantly associated with all. HEI-2015 score was associated with proline betaine [ß = 0.12 (SE = 0.02); P = 4.70 × 10-13] and was inversely related to proline [ß = -0.13 (SE = 0.02); P = 4.45 × 10-14], 1,5 anhydrosorbitol [ß = -0.08 (SE = 0.02); P = 4.37 × 10-7] and unsaturated fatty acyl chains [ß = 0.08 (SE = 0.02); P = 8.98 × 10-7]. Intake of total fruit, whole grains, and seafood and plant proteins was associated with proline betaine. CONCLUSIONS: Diet quality is significantly associated with unsaturated fatty acyl chains, proline betaine, and proline. Further analysis may clarify the link between diet quality, metabolites, and pathogenesis of cardiometabolic disease.

Associations between Metabolomic Biomarkers of Avocado Intake and Glycemia in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Avocado consumption is linked to better glucose homeostasis, but small associations suggest potential population heterogeneity. Metabolomic data capture the effects of food intake after digestion and metabolism, thus accounting for individual differences in these processes. OBJECTIVES: To identify metabolomic biomarkers of avocado intake and to examine their associations with glycemia. METHODS: Baseline data from 6224 multi-ethnic older adults (62% female) included self-reported avocado intake, fasting glucose and insulin, and untargeted plasma proton nuclear magnetic resonance metabolomic features (metabolomic data were available for a randomly selected subset; N = 3438). Subsequently, incident type 2 diabetes (T2D) was assessed over an ∼18 y follow-up period. A metabolome-wide association study of avocado consumption status (consumer compared with nonconsumer) was conducted, and the relationship of these features with glycemia via cross-sectional associations with fasting insulin and glucose and longitudinal associations with incident T2D was examined. RESULTS: Three highly-correlated spectral features were associated with avocado intake at metabolome-wide significance levels (P < 5.3 ∗ 10-7) and combined into a single biomarker. We did not find evidence that these features were additionally associated with overall dietary quality, nor with any of 47 other food groups (all P > 0.001), supporting their suitability as a biomarker of avocado intake. Avocado intake showed a modest association only with lower fasting insulin (ß = -0.07 +/- 0.03, P = 0.03), an association that was attenuated to nonsignificance when additionally controlling for body mass index (kg/m2). However, our biomarker of avocado intake was strongly associated with lower fasting glucose (ß = -0.22 +/- 0.02, P < 2.0 ∗ 10-16), lower fasting insulin (ß = -0.17 +/- 0.02, P < 2.0 ∗ 10-16), and a lower incidence of T2D (hazard ratio: 0.68; 0.63-074, P < 2.0 ∗ 10-16), even when adjusting for BMI. CONCLUSIONS: Highly significant associations between glycemia and avocado-related metabolomic features, which serve as biomarkers of the physiological impact of dietary intake after digestion and absorption, compared to modest relationships between glycemia and avocado consumption, highlights the importance of considering individual differences in metabolism when considering diet-health relationships.

Assessment of Beat-To-Beat Variability in Left Atrial Hemodynamics Using Real Time Phase Contrast MRI in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation.

BACKGROUND: Hemodynamic assessment of left atrial (LA) flow using phase contrast MRI provides insight into thromboembolic risk in atrial fibrillation (AF). However, conventional flow imaging techniques are averaged over many heartbeats. PURPOSE: To evaluate beat-to-beat variability and LA hemodynamics in patients with AF using real time phase contrast (RTPC) MRI. STUDY TYPE: Prospective. SUBJECTS: Thirty-five patients with history of AF (68 ± 10 years, nine female), 10 healthy controls (57 ± 19 years, four female). FIELD STRENGTH/SEQUENCE: 5T, 2D RTPC with through-plane velocity-encoded gradient echo sequence and 4D flow MRI with three-directional velocity-encoded gradient echo sequence. ASSESSMENT: RTPC was continuously acquired for a mid-LA slice in all subjects. 4D flow data were interpolated at the RTPC location and normally projected for comparison with RTPC. RR intervals extracted from RTPC were used to calculate heart rate variability (HRV = interquartile range over median × 100%). Patients were classified into low (<9.7%) and high (>9.7%) HRV groups. LA peak/mean velocity and stasis (%velocities < 5.8 cm/sec) were calculated from segmented 2D images. Variability in RTPC flow metrics was quantified by coefficient of variation (CV) over all cycles. STATISTICAL TESTS: Pearson's correlation coefficient (r), Bland-Altman analysis, Kruskal-Wallis test. A P value < 0.05 was considered statistically significant. RESULTS: RTPC and 4D flow measurements were strongly/significantly correlated for all hemodynamic parameters (R2  = 0.75-0.83) in controls. Twenty-four patients had low HRV (mean = 4 ± 2%) and 11 patients had high HRV (27 ± 9%). In patients, increased HRV was significantly correlated with CV of peak velocity (r = 0.67), mean velocity (r = 0.51), and stasis (r = 0.41). A stepwise decrease in peak/mean velocity and increase in stasis was observed when comparing controls vs. low HRV vs. high HRV groups. Mean velocity and stasis differences were significant for control vs. high HRV groups. CONCLUSIONS: RTPC may be suitable for assessing the impact of HRV on hemodynamics and provide insight for AF management in highly arrhythmic patients. EVIDENCE LEVEL: 1 TECHNICAL EFFICACY: Stage 2.

Epigenetic Age Acceleration Reflects Long-Term Cardiovascular Health.

[Figure: see text].

Cigarette smoking and mitochondrial dysfunction in peripheral artery disease.

BACKGROUND: This study evaluated the association of smoking with mitochondrial function in gastrocnemius muscle of people with peripheral artery disease (PAD). METHODS: Participants were enrolled from Chicago, Illinois and consented to gastrocnemius biopsy. Mitochondrial oxidative capacity was measured in muscle with respirometry. Abundance of voltage-dependent anion channel (VDAC) (mitochondrial membrane abundance), peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor-γ coactivator (PGC-1α) (mitochondrial biogenesis), and electron transport chain complexes I-V were measured with Western blot. RESULTS: Fourteen of 31 people with PAD (age 72.1 years, ABI 0.64) smoked cigarettes currently. Overall, there were no significant differences in mitochondrial oxidative capacity between PAD participants who currently smoked and those not currently smoking (complex I+II-mediated oxidative phosphorylation: 86.6 vs 78.3 pmolO2/s/mg, respectively [p = 0.39]). Among participants with PAD, those who currently smoked had a higher abundance of PGC-1α (p < 0.01), VDAC (p = 0.022), complex I (p = 0.021), and complex III (p = 0.021) proteins compared to those not currently smoking. People with PAD who currently smoked had lower oxidative capacity per VDAC unit (complex I+II-mediated oxidative phosphorylation [137.4 vs 231.8 arbitrary units, p = 0.030]) compared to people with PAD not currently smoking. Among people without PAD, there were no significant differences in any mitochondrial measures between currently smoking (n = 5) and those not currently smoking (n = 63). CONCLUSIONS: Among people with PAD, cigarette smoking may stimulate mitochondrial biogenesis to compensate for reduced oxidative capacity per unit of mitochondrial membrane, resulting in no difference in overall mitochondrial oxidative capacity according to current smoking status among people with PAD. However, these results were cross-sectional and a longitudinal study is needed.