Long-term performance of risk scores for venous thromboembolism in ambulatory cancer patients.

The long-term performance of prediction scores for venous thromboembolism (VTE) in cancer patients has been poorly investigated. We evaluated the discriminatory performance of the Khorana, PROTECHT, CONKO, and ONKOTEV scores for the first 3-6 months and for 12 months, and re-assessed scores after 3-6 months to determine the influence of variations in patients' risk classification on performance. Retrospective cohort of ambulatory patients with active cancer who were scheduled to receive first or new line of chemotherapy. The primary outcome was symptomatic or incidental VTE. A total of 776 patients were included of whom 540 (70%) had distant metastases. The time-dependent c-statistics of Khorana, PROTECHT, CONKO, and ONKOTEV scores at 6 months were 0.61 (95% CI 0.56 to 0.66), 0.61 (95% CI 0.55 to 0.66), 0.60 (95% CI 0.54 to 0.66), and 0.59 (0.52 to 0.66), respectively, with a tendency to decrease during follow-up. None of the scores discriminated between high and low risk patients at the conventional 3-point positivity threshold. The use of a 2-point positivity threshold improved performance of all scores and captured a higher proportion of VTE. The accuracy of risk scores re-assessed at 3-6 months was modest. The Khorana, PROTECHT, CONKO, and ONKOTEV scores are not sufficiently accurate when used at a conventional threshold of 3 points. Performance improves at positivity threshold of 2 points, as evaluated in recent randomized studies on VTE prophylaxis. Score accuracy tends to decrease over time suggesting the need of periodic re-evaluation to estimate possible variation of risk.

Safety and feasibility of a diagnostic algorithm combining clinical probability, d-dimer testing, and ultrasonography for suspected upper extremity deep venous thrombosis: a prospective management study.

BACKGROUND: Although well-established for suspected lower limb deep venous thrombosis, an algorithm combining a clinical decision score, d-dimer testing, and ultrasonography has not been evaluated for suspected upper extremity deep venous thrombosis (UEDVT). OBJECTIVE: To assess the safety and feasibility of a new diagnostic algorithm in patients with clinically suspected UEDVT. DESIGN: Diagnostic management study. (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT01324037) SETTING: 16 hospitals in Europe and the United States. PATIENTS: 406 inpatients and outpatients with suspected UEDVT. MEASUREMENTS: The algorithm consisted of the sequential application of a clinical decision score, d-dimer testing, and ultrasonography. Patients were first categorized as likely or unlikely to have UEDVT; in those with an unlikely score and normal d-dimer levels, UEDVT was excluded. All other patients had (repeated) compression ultrasonography. The primary outcome was the 3-month incidence of symptomatic UEDVT and pulmonary embolism in patients with a normal diagnostic work-up. RESULTS: The algorithm was feasible and completed in 390 of the 406 patients (96%). In 87 patients (21%), an unlikely score combined with normal d-dimer levels excluded UEDVT. Superficial venous thrombosis and UEDVT were diagnosed in 54 (13%) and 103 (25%) patients, respectively. All 249 patients with a normal diagnostic work-up, including those with protocol violations (n = 16), were followed for 3 months. One patient developed UEDVT during follow-up, for an overall failure rate of 0.4% (95% CI, 0.0% to 2.2%). LIMITATIONS: This study was not powered to show the safety of the substrategies. d-Dimer testing was done locally. CONCLUSION: The combination of a clinical decision score, d-dimer testing, and ultrasonography can safely and effectively exclude UEDVT. If confirmed by other studies, this algorithm has potential as a standard approach to suspected UEDVT. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: None.

Age- versus clinical pretest probability-adjusted D-dimer to rule out lower-extremity deep vein thrombosis in ambulatory patients with active cancer.

BACKGROUND: In patients with suspected deep vein thrombosis (DVT), D-dimer thresholds adjusted to age or clinical pretest probability (CPTP) increase the proportion of patients in whom DVT can be safely excluded compared to a standard approach using a fixed D-dimer threshold. Performance of these diagnostic strategies among cancer patients is uncertain. AIM: To compare the performance of age- and CPTP-adjusted D-dimer approaches among cancer outpatients with clinically suspected DVT, and derive a cancer-specific CPTP rule. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Consecutive ambulatory patients with active cancer and clinically suspected DVT of the lower extremity underwent CPTP assessment using the Wells rule, D-dimer testing, and whole-leg compression ultrasonography. Patients with normal ultrasonography were followed-up for 3 months for the occurrence of symptomatic venous thromboembolism. RESULTS: Upon referral, DVT was diagnosed in 48 of 239 (20.1 %) patients. The age-adjusted approach showed higher specificity and efficiency than the standard approach. Compared to the standard and age-adjusted strategies, the CPTP-adjusted approach had 35 % and 21 % higher specificity, and 34 % and 21 % higher efficiency, respectively. Failure rate, sensitivity, and predictive values were similar across strategies. A simplified CPTP score derived from the Wells rule reduced unnecessary imaging with similar accuracy and efficiency, but higher failure rate. CONCLUSIONS: In this prospective cohort of ambulatory cancer patients with clinically suspected DVT, the CPTP-adjusted D-dimer approach held the highest specificity and efficiency, potentially safely reducing unnecessary ultrasonography examinations compared to other approaches. Additional studies are warranted to evaluate the use of a simplified clinical prediction rule in this setting.

Frailty phenotype as a predictor of bleeding and mortality in ambulatory patients receiving direct oral anticoagulants.

BACKGROUND: Limited prospective data exist about the clinical relevance of frailty in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) or venous thromboembolism (VTE) receiving direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs). The aim of this study was to evaluate whether frailty phenotype identifies DOAC-treated patients at higher risk of adverse clinical outcomes. METHODS: Consecutive, adult outpatients treated with DOACs for AF or VTE were prospectively enrolled. Patients were classified as frail, pre-frail, or non-frail according to frailty phenotype. Study outcomes were clinically relevant bleeding, including major and clinically relevant non-major bleeding, arterial and venous thromboembolism, and all-cause mortality. RESULTS: 236 patients (median age 78 years, 44% females) were included, of whom 156 (66%) had AF and 80 (34%) VTE. Ninety-eight (41%) patients were frail, 115 (49%) pre-frail, and 23 (10%) non-frail. Inappropriately high or low dose DOAC was used in 33% of frail and in 20% of non-frail or pre-frail patients. Over a median follow-up of 304 days, the incidence of clinically relevant bleeding, thromboembolism, and mortality were 20%, 4%, 9% in frail, and 10%, 3%, and 2% in pre-frail, respectively, while no study outcome occurred among non-frail patients. Risk ratios (95% confidence intervals) for these outcomes in frail versus pre-frail and non-frail patients were respectively 2.5 (1.8, 3.7), 1.9 (0.9, 4.0), and 6.3 (2.9, 13.6). CONCLUSION: In a prospective cohort of ambulatory patients receiving DOAC treatment for AF or VTE, frailty phenotype identified patients at higher risk of bleeding and all-cause mortality. Frailty assessment could be valuable to guide targeted interventions potentially improving patient prognosis.

Effects of multiple inherited and acquired thrombophilia on outcomes of in-vitro fertilization.

INTRODUCTION: The effects of multiple inherited and acquired thrombophilic defects on the outcome of in-vitro fertilization (IVF) remain unexplored. The aim of this study was to evaluate the association between multiple thrombophilia and clinical outcomes in a large prospective cohort of women undergoing IVF. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Consecutive women scheduled for IVF were eligible. The primary study outcome was live birth. Secondary outcomes included spontaneous abortion, clinical pregnancy, and symptomatic venous thromboembolism. RESULTS: 687 women with a mean age of 34.6 (±3.2) years were included. Overall, 22 women (3.2%) had two or more thrombophilic defects. The probability of live birth was not statistically significantly different between women with ≥2 thrombophilia (odds ratio [OR] 0.62; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.18 to 2.11) or ≥1 thrombophilia (OR 0.67;95% CI, 0.41 to 1.09) and women without any thrombophilia. None of the individual inherited thrombophilia nor positivity to antiphospholipid antibodies or lupus anticoagulant were associated with live birth. Single positivity for lupus anticoagulant carried a more than threefold higher risk of abortion (OR 3.74; 95% CI, 1.30 to 10.75). There were no statistically significant associations between individual or multiple thrombophilic defects and clinical pregnancy or pregnancy test results. No woman had a history of venous thromboembolism and none developed a thrombotic event during the study. CONCLUSIONS: In women undergoing IVF, the presence of two or more thrombophilic defects was rare and showed no statistically significant associations with IVF outcomes.

Effects of toll-like receptor-4 gene polymorphisms on soluble P-selectin and von Willebrand factor levels in hypercholesterolemic patients.

Toll-like receptor-4 (TLR-4) gene polymorphisms have been associated with a lower risk of atherosclerosis. High levels of soluble P-selectin (sP-selectin) and von Willebrand factor predict an increased risk for cardiovascular events and correlate to atherosclerotic risk factors. The relationship between these markers and TLR-4 gene polymorphisms was evaluated in a cohort of consecutive hypercholesterolemic outpatients. TLR-4 gene polymorphisms were detected in 48 out of 330 (14%) patients with hypercholesterolemia. Lipid and inflammatory markers, sP-selectin and von Willebrand were evaluated in carriers and in 96 (ratio 2:1 to cases) age- and sex-matched TLR-4 wild-type patients randomly selected from the same population. A cohort of normocholesterolemic outpatients (n = 262) served as the control group. sP-selectin was sensibly lower in carriers of TLR-4 variants as compared to wild-types and controls (89 ng/ml vs. 162 ng/ml and 163 ng/dl, respectively, p = 0.0001). Similarly, carriers showed lower von Willebrand factor values (683 mU/ml) than wild-types (910 mU/ml; p = 0.001). In multivariate analysis, TLR-4 gene polymorphisms were positively associated with sP-selectin, whereas the relationship with von Willebrand factor was no longer significant. HMG-CoA reductase inhibitors reduced sP-selectin and von Willebrand factor levels independently of TLR-4 gene variants. Plasma concentrations of these markers, however, remained lower in carriers of TLR-4 gene polymorphisms even after cholesterol lowering. In conclusion, carriership of Asp299 and Thr399Ile TLR-4 gene polymorphisms is associated with lower levels of sP-selectin and von Willebrand factor among hypercholesterolemic patients. While the underlying mechanisms remain to be investigated, such an association may indicate a protective effect of TLR-4 variants for atherosclerosis.

Circulating leptin is associated with oxidized LDL in postmenopausal women.

Recently, leptin has been suggested as a possible cause of atherosclerotic disease. In the present study, we have investigated in postmenopausal women (n = 60; age: 52 +/- 13) the relationship between circulating levels of leptin, oxidized LDL (Ox-LDL) and other biochemical and anthropometric variables of atherosclerotic risk. In addition, we have evaluated soluble thrombomodulin (sTM) as a marker of endothelial damage. An additional study was conducted in a subgroup of obese subjects to determine the short-term effects of weight loss on selected variables. Ox-LDL showed a positive correlation with leptin circulating levels (r = 0.65, P < 0.0001). A significant association was also found between Ox-LDL and body mass index (r = 0.69, P < 0.0001), waist-to-hip ratio (r = 0.50, P < 0.0001), insulin levels (r = 0.65, P < 0.0001), HOMA index (r = 0.55, p < 0.0001) and sTM (r = 0.74, P < 0.0001) levels. After multivariate regression analysis leptin was still related to Ox-LDL levels (P = 0.007). In obese women who completed the program of weight reduction, leptin changes persisted as a significant predictor of plasma changes in Ox-LDL levels. These findings suggested a novel link between leptin and Ox-LDL, possibly involved in atherosclerotic disease.