The effect of age on fever response among nursing home residents with SARS-COV-2 infection.

Over 15,000 veterans in 135 VA nursing homes were systematically tested for SARS-CoV-2 and had daily temperatures assessed from March to August, 2020. Lower baseline temperatures, and in SARS-CoV-2+ , lower maximum temperatures were observed with advancing age. Clinicians should be aware of the potential diminished fever response in the elderly with SARS-CoV-2.

Wandering Behavior and SARS-CoV-2 Infection in Veterans Affairs Community Living Center Residents.

OBJECTIVE: Wandering behavior in nursing home (NH) residents could increase risk of infection. The objective of this study was to assess the association of wandering behavior with SARS-CoV-2 infection in Veterans Affairs (VA) Community Living Center (CLC) residents. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: Veterans residing in 133 VA CLCs. METHODS: We included residents with SARS-CoV-2 test from March 1, 2020 to December 31, 2020 from VA electronic medical records. We identified CLC residents with wandering on Minimum Data Set 3.0 assessments and compared them with residents without wandering. The outcome was SARS-CoV-2 infection, as tested for surveillance testing, in those with and without wandering. Generalized linear model with Poisson link adjusted for relevant covariates was used. RESULTS: Residents (n = 9995) were included in the analytic cohort mean, (SD) age 73.4 (10.7); 388 (3.9%) women. The mean (SD) activities of daily living score in the overall cohort was 13.6 (8.25). Wandering was noted in 379 (3.8%) (n = 379) of the cohort. The exposure groups differed in prior dementia (92.6% vs 62.1%, standardized mean difference [SMD] = 0.8) and psychoses (41.4% vs 28.1%, SMD = 0.3). Overall, 12.5% (n = 1248) tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 and more residents among the wandering group were SARS-CoV-2 positive as compared with those in the group without wandering (19% [n = 72] vs 12.2% [n = 1176], SMD = 0.19). Adjusting for covariates, residents with wandering had 34% higher relative risk for SARS-CoV-2 infection (adjusted relative risk, 1.34; 95% CI, 1.04-1.69). CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS: CLC residents with wandering had a higher risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection. This may inform implementation of infection control and isolation policies as NHs attempt to balance ethical concepts of resident autonomy, proportionality, equity, and utilitarianism.

Can we use temperature measurements to identify pre-symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection in nursing home residents?

BACKGROUND: COVID-19 has had a severe impact on morbidity and mortality among nursing home (NH) residents. Earlier detection of SARS-CoV-2 may position us to better mitigate the risk of spread. Both asymptomatic and pre-symptomatic transmission are common in outbreaks, and threshold temperatures, such as 38C, for screening for infection could miss timely detection in the majority of residents. We hypothesized that in long-term care residents, temperature trends with SARS-CoV-2 infection could identify infection in pre-symptomatic individuals earlier than standard screening. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study using electronic health records in 6176 residents of the VA NHs who underwent SARS-CoV-2 testing triggered by symptoms. We collected information about age and other demographics, baseline temperature, and specific comorbidities. We created standardized definitions, and a hypothetical model to test measures of temperature variation and compare outcomes to the VA standard of care. RESULTS: We showed that a change from baseline of 0.4C identified 47% of NH residents who became SARS-CoV-2 positive, earlier than standard testing by an average of 42.2 h. Temperature variability of 0.5C over 3 days when paired with a 37.2C temperature cutoff identified 55% of NH residents who became SARS-CoV-2 positive earlier than the standard of care testing by an average of 44.4 h. A change from baseline temperature of 0.4C when combined with temperature variability of 0.7C over 3 days identified 52% of NH residents who became SARS-CoV-2 positive, earlier than standard testing by an average of 40 h, and by more than 3 days in 22% of the residents. This earlier detection comes at the expense of triggering 57,793 tests, as compared to the number of trigger tests ordered in the VA system of 40,691. CONCLUSIONS: Our model suggests that early temperature trends with SARS-CoV-2 infection may identify infection in pre-symptomatic long-term care residents.

Can we clinically identify pre-symptomatic and asymptomatic COVID-19?

OBJECTIVES: COVID-19 has had a severe impact on morbidity and mortality among nursing home (NH) residents. Earlier detection of SARS-CoV-2 may position us to better mitigate risk of spread. Both asymptomatic or pre-symptomatic transmission are common in outbreaks, and threshold temperatures, such as 38C, for screening for infection could miss timely detection in the majority. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study using electronic health records. METHODS: We hypothesized that in long-term care residents, temperature trends with SARS-CoV-2 infection could identify infection in pre-symptomatic and asymptomatic individuals earlier. We collected information about age and other demographics, baseline temperature, and specific comorbidities. We created standardized definitions, and an alternative hypothetical model to test measures of temperature variation and compare outcomes to the VA reality. SETTINGS AND PARTICIPANTS: Our subjects were 6,176 residents of the VA NHs who underwent SARS-CoV-2 trigger testing. RESULTS: We showed that a change from baseline of >0.4C identifies 47% of the SARS-CoV-2 positive NH residents early, and achieves earlier detection by 42.2 hours. Range improves early detection to 55% when paired with a 37.2C cutoff, and achieves earlier detection by 44.4 hours. Temperature elevation >0.4C from baseline, when combined with a 0.7C range, would detect 52% early, leading to earlier detection by more than 3 days in 22% of the residents. This earlier detection comes at the expense of triggering 57,793 tests, as compared to the number of trigger tests ordered in the VA system of 40,691. CONCLUSION AND IMPLICATIONS: Our model suggests that current clinical screening for SARS-CoV-2 in NHs can be substantially improved upon by triggering testing using a patient-derived baseline temperature with a 0.4C degree relative elevation or temperature variability of 0.7C trigger threshold for SARS-CoV2 testing. Such triggers could be automated in facilities that track temperatures in their electronic records.