Routine transthoracic echocardiography in ischaemic stroke or transient ischaemic attack of undetermined cause: a prospective multicentre study.

BACKGROUND: Guidelines recommend routine transthoracic echocardiography (TTE) after ischaemic stroke or transient ischaemic attack of undetermined cause; yet, only limited scientific evidence exists. Therefore, we aimed to determine in these patients the prevalence of TTE-detected major cardiac sources of embolism (CSE), which are abnormalities leading to therapeutic changes. METHODS: Six Dutch hospitals conducted a prospective observational study that enrolled patients with ischaemic stroke or transient ischaemic attack of undetermined cause. Patients underwent TTE after comprehensive diagnostic evaluation on stroke units, including blood chemistry, 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG), ≥ 24 h continuous ECG monitoring, brain imaging and cervical artery imaging. Primary outcome measure was the proportion of patients with TTE-detected major CSE. RESULTS: From March 2018 to October 2020, 1084 patients, aged 66.6 ± 12.5 years, were enrolled; 456 (42.1%) patients were female and 869 (80.2%) had ischaemic stroke. TTE detected major CSE in only 11 (1.0%) patients. Ten (90.9%) of these patients also had major ECG abnormalities (previous infarction, major repolarisation abnormalities, or previously unknown left bundle branch block) that would have warranted TTE assessment regardless of stroke evaluation. Such ECG abnormalities were present in 11.1% of the total study population. A single patient (0.1%) showed a major CSE despite having no ECG abnormality. CONCLUSIONS: This multicentre cross-sectional study in patients who-after workup on contemporary stroke units-were diagnosed with ischaemic stroke or transient ischaemic attack of undetermined cause found TTE-detected major CSE in only 1% of all patients. Most of these patients also had major ECG abnormalities. These findings question the value of routine TTE assessment in this clinical setting.

A simple risk chart for initial risk assessment of 30-day mortality in patients with cardiogenic shock from ST-elevation myocardial infarction.

AIMS: Early risk stratification is important in patients with cardiogenic shock from ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). We aimed to develop a simple risk chart that includes clinical parameters that are readily available at time of hospital admission to assess risk of 30-day mortality. METHODS AND RESULTS: A series of 544 STEMI patients admitted to undergo primary percutaneous coronary intervention and presenting with cardiogenic shock were included between 2000 and 2012. Overall 30-day mortality was 38.4% and did not change over the years (p-trend=0.64). Baseline variables that were available at time of hospital admission were entered into a logistic regression model in a forward stepwise manner. Only age (odds ratio (OR) per year 1.05, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.04-1.07, p<0.001), initial serum lactate level (OR per mmol/l 1.17, 95% CI 1.11-1.24, p<0.001) and initial creatinine level above the upper limit of normal (OR 2.89, 95% CI 1.90-4.37, p<0.001) remained independent predictors, and were subsequently used to develop a risk chart that stratifies risk of 30-day mortality into categories ranging from 0-20% to 80-100%. The calibration plot showed a close relationship between expected and observed mortality. The risk chart had a higher discriminative accuracy than the GRACE score (c-index 0.75 vs. 0.66, p=0.009). Adding variables that were obtained from coronary angiography and during clinical course did not significantly improve discriminative accuracy of risk chart (c-index 0.77, p=0.48). CONCLUSION: Mortality of patients with cardiogenic shock from STEMI undergoing primary percutaneous coronary intervention can be well predicted already at time of hospital admission by a risk chart that uses only three variables, namely, age, initial serum lactate and creatinine level.