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1.
Bull World Health Organ ; 97(8): 523-533A, 2019 Aug 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31384071

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the long-term impact of a community-led total sanitation campaign in rural India. METHODS: Local organizations in Odisha state, India worked with researchers to evaluate a community-led total sanitation campaign, which aimed to increase the demand for household latrines by raising awareness of the social costs of poor sanitation. The intervention ran from February to March 2006 in 20 randomly-selected villages and 20 control villages. Within sampled villages, we surveyed a random subset of households (around 28 households per village) at baseline in 2005 and over the subsequent 10-year period. We analysed changes in latrine ownership, latrine functionality and open defecation among approximately 1000 households. We estimated linear probability models that examined differences between households in intervention and control villages in 2006, 2010 and 2016. FINDINGS: In 2010, 4 years after the intervention, ownership of latrines was significantly higher (29.3 percentage points; 95% confidence interval, CI: 17.5 to 41.2) and open defecation was significantly lower (-6.8 percentage points; 95% CI: -13.1 to -1.0) among households in intervention villages, relative to controls. In 2016, intervention households continued to have higher rates of ever owning a latrine (26.3 percentage points; 95% CI: 20.9 to 31.8). However, latrine functionality and open defecation were no longer different across groups, due to both acquisition of latrines by control households and abandonment and deterioration of latrines in intervention homes. CONCLUSION: Future research should investigate how to maintain and rehabilitate latrines and how to sustain long-term behaviour change.


Assuntos
Participação da Comunidade/métodos , Promoção da Saúde/métodos , População Rural , Saneamento/métodos , Banheiros/estatística & dados numéricos , Defecação , Conhecimentos, Atitudes e Prática em Saúde , Humanos , Índia , Pobreza , Características de Residência
2.
Environ Sci Technol ; 53(8): 4355-4363, 2019 04 16.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30917279

RESUMO

Access to continuous water supply is key for improving health and economic outcomes in rural areas of low- and middle-income countries, but the factors associated with continuous water access in these areas have not been well-characterized. We surveyed 4786 households for evidence of technical, financial, institutional, social, and environmental predictors of rural water service continuity (WSC), defined as the percentage of the year that water is available from a source. Multiple imputed fractional logistic regression models that account for the survey design were used to assess operational risks to WSC for piped supply, tube wells, boreholes, springs, dug wells, and surface water for the rural populations of Bangladesh, Pakistan, Ethiopia, and Mozambique. Multivariable regressions indicate that households using multiple water sources were associated with lower WSC in Bangladesh, Pakistan, and Mozambique. However, the possibility must be considered that households may use more than one water source because services are intermittent. Water scarcity and drought were largely unassociated with WSC, suggesting that service interruptions may not be primarily due to physical water resource constraints. Consistent findings across countries may have broader relevance for meeting established targets for service availability as well as human health.


Assuntos
População Rural , Água , Bangladesh , Etiópia , Humanos , Moçambique , Paquistão , Abastecimento de Água
3.
Environ Sci Technol ; 52(9): 5319-5329, 2018 05 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29641184

RESUMO

Household-specific feedback on the microbiological safety of drinking water may result in changes to water management practices that reduce exposure risks. We conducted a randomized, controlled trial in India to determine if information on household drinking water quality could change behavior and improve microbiological quality as indicated by Escherichia coli counts. We randomly assigned 589 participating households to one of three arms: (1) a messaging-only arm receiving messaging on safe water management ( n = 237); (2) a standard testing arm receiving the same messaging plus laboratory E. coli testing results specific to that household's drinking water ( n = 173); and (3) a test kit arm receiving messaging plus low-cost E. coli tests that could be used at the household's discretion ( n = 179). Self-reported water treatment increased significantly in both the standard testing arm and the test kit arm between baseline and follow-up one month later. Mean log10 E. coli counts per 100 mL in household stored drinking water increased in the messaging-only arm from 1.42 to 1.87, while decreasing in the standard testing arm (1.38 to 0.89, 65% relative reduction) and the test kit arm (1.08 to 0.65, 76% relative reduction). Findings indicate that household-specific water quality information can improve both behaviors and drinking water quality.


Assuntos
Água Potável , Purificação da Água , Escherichia coli , Índia , Microbiologia da Água , Qualidade da Água , Abastecimento de Água
4.
J Health Commun ; 20 Suppl 1: 28-42, 2015.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25839201

RESUMO

Despite the potential of improved cookstoves to reduce the adverse environmental and health impacts of solid fuel use, their adoption and use remains low. Social marketing-with its focus on the marketing mix of promotion, product, price, and place-offers a useful way to understand household behaviors and design campaigns to change biomass fuel use. We report on a series of pilots across 3 Indian states that use different combinations of the marketing mix. We find sales varying from 0% to 60%. Behavior change promotion that combined door-to-door personalized demonstrations with information pamphlets was effective. When given a choice amongst products, households strongly preferred an electric stove over improved biomass-burning options. Among different stove attributes, reduced cooking time was considered most valuable by those adopting a new stove. Households clearly identified price as a significant barrier to adoption, while provision of discounts (e.g., rebates given if households used the stove) or payments in installments were related to higher purchase. Place-based factors such as remoteness and nongovernmental organization operations significantly affected the ability to supply and convince households to buy and use improved cookstoves. Collectively, these pilots point to the importance of continued and extensive testing of messages, pricing models, and different stove types before scale-up. Thus, we caution that a one-size-fits-all approach will not boost improved cookstove adoption.


Assuntos
Poluição do Ar em Ambientes Fechados/prevenção & controle , Culinária/instrumentação , Promoção da Saúde/métodos , Marketing Social , Culinária/economia , Desenho de Equipamento , Características da Família , Comportamentos Relacionados com a Saúde , Humanos , Índia , Projetos Piloto
5.
Bull World Health Organ ; 92(4): 283-9, 2014 Apr 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24700996

RESUMO

Existing and proposed metrics for household drinking-water services are intended to measure the availability, safety and accessibility of water sources. However, these attributes can be highly variable over time and space and this variation complicates the task of creating and implementing simple and scalable metrics. In this paper, we highlight those factors - especially those that relate to so-called improved water sources - that contribute to variability in water safety but may not be generally recognized as important by non-experts. Problems in the provision of water in adequate quantities and of adequate quality - interrelated problems that are often influenced by human behaviour - may contribute to an increased risk of poor health. Such risk may be masked by global water metrics that indicate that we are on the way to meeting the world's drinking-water needs. Given the complexity of the topic and current knowledge gaps, international metrics for access to drinking water should be interpreted with great caution. We need further targeted research on the health impacts associated with improvements in drinking-water supplies.


Les indicateurs existants et proposés pour la distribution de l'eau potable des ménages visent à mesurer la disponibilité, la salubrité et l'accessibilité des sources d'eau. Cependant, ces caractéristiques peuvent être très variables dans le temps et l'espace, et ces variations compliquent la tâche de création et de mise en œuvre d'indicateurs simples et extensibles. Dans le présent article, nous mettons l'accent sur ces facteurs ­ en particulier, sur ceux qui concernent les sources d'eau soi-disant améliorées ­ qui contribuent à la variabilité de la salubrité de l'eau, mais qui peuvent ne pas être perçus généralement comme importants par les non-spécialistes. Les problèmes d'approvisionnement en eau, en quantité suffisante et en qualité satisfaisante ­ ces problèmes interdépendants sont souvent influencés par le comportement des hommes ­ peuvent contribuer à un risque accru d'être en mauvaise santé. Ce risque peut être masqué par les indicateurs globaux de l'eau qui indiquent que nous sommes en bonne voie de répondre aux besoins en eau potable de la planète. Compte tenu de la complexité du sujet et des lacunes des connaissances actuelles, les indicateurs internationaux pour l'accès à l'eau portable doivent être interprétés avec une grande prudence. Nous avons besoin de recherches ciblées et plus approfondies sur les effets sanitaires des améliorations dans le domaine de l'approvisionnement en eau potable.


Las mediciones existentes y propuestas para los servicios de agua potable de los hogares pretenden considerar la disponibilidad, seguridad y accesibilidad de las fuentes de agua. No obstante, estas características pueden variar mucho a lo largo del tiempo y del espacio, lo que complica la tarea de crear y poner en práctica mediciones sencillas y ampliables. En este documento destacamos los factores, en particular los relacionados con las llamadas fuentes de agua mejoradas, que contribuyen a la variabilidad de la seguridad del agua pero que, por lo general, los legos no identifican como importantes. Los problemas en el suministro de agua en cantidad y calidad suficientes, problemas interrelacionados en los que el comportamiento humano influye a menudo, pueden contribuir a un mayor riesgo de problemas sanitarios. Ese riesgo puede quedar oculto por mediciones de agua globales que indican que vamos camino de satisfacer las necesidades de agua potable en el mundo. Dada la complejidad del tema y las lagunas de conocimiento actuales, las mediciones internacionales sobre el acceso al agua potable deberían interpretarse con mucha cautela. Necesitamos más investigaciones específicas sobre el impacto sanitario asociado a las mejoras de los suministros de agua potable.


Assuntos
Água Potável/normas , Abastecimento de Água/normas , Saúde Global , Humanos , Saúde Pública , Risco , Segurança , Saneamento , Microbiologia da Água , Purificação da Água , Qualidade da Água
7.
J Water Health ; 11(3): 489-506, 2013 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23981877

RESUMO

This paper studies household demand for improved water quality in peri-urban Cambodia, with particular attention paid to the influence of water quality on willingness to pay (WTP). Utilizing data from 915 household surveys, we analyze responses to a contingent valuation scenario using multivariate logit regression techniques that account for subjective perceptions of water quality. We estimate a mean household WTP for improved water quality of US$3 (roughly 1.2% of mean income) per month for households in this sample. We also find that the majority of households believe that their in-house water after storage, handling, and treatment is safe to drink. Furthermore, beliefs about existing levels of water quality have a significant impact on WTP for improved water quality. However, while perceptions of quality (and thus WTP) are highly related to taste preferences, actual water quality is relatively uncorrelated with water quality perceptions. These findings suggest that interventions aiming to increase the adoption of water treatment should account for underlying perceptions of water quality.


Assuntos
Financiamento Pessoal/estatística & dados numéricos , Qualidade da Água , Abastecimento de Água/economia , Camboja , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Inquéritos e Questionários , Microbiologia da Água
8.
Neurotoxicol Teratol ; 100: 107293, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37690675

RESUMO

Fluoride (F) exposure in drinking water may lead to reduced cognitive function among children; however, findings largely remain inconclusive. In this pilot study, we examined associations between a range of chronic F exposures (low to high: 0.4 to 15.5 mg/L) in drinking water and cognition in school-aged children (5-14 years, n = 74) in rural Ethiopia. Fluoride exposure was determined from samples of community-based drinking water wells and urine. Cognitive performance was measured using: 1) assessments of ability to draw familiar objects (donkey, house, and person), and 2) a validated Cambridge Neuropsychological Test Automated Battery's (CANTAB) Paired Associate Learning (PAL), which examines memory and new learning and is closely associated with hippocampus function of the brain. Associations between F and cognitive outcomes were evaluated using regression analysis, adjusting for demographic, health status, and other covariates. The median (range) of water and urine F levels was 7.6 (0.4-15.5 mg/L) and 6.3 (0.5-15.7 mg/L), respectively; these measures were strongly correlated (r = 0.74), indicating that water is the primary source of F exposure. Fluoride in drinking water was negatively associated with cognitive function, measured by both drawing and CANTAB test performance. Inverse relationships were also found between F and drawing objects task scores, after adjusting for covariates (p < 0.05). Further analysis using CANTAB PAL tasks in the children confirmed that F level in drinking water was positively associated with the number of errors made by children (p < 0.01), also after adjusting for covariates (p < 0.05). This association between water F and total errors made became markedly stronger as PAL task difficulty increased. Fluoride exposure was also inversely associated with other PAL tasksthe number of patterns reached, first attempt memory score and mean errors to success. These findings provide supportive evidence that high F exposures may be associated with cognitive deficits in children. Additional well-designed studies are critically needed to establish the neurotoxicity of F in children and adults exposed to both low levels known to protect dental caries, as well as excess F levels in drinking water.


Assuntos
Cárie Dentária , Água Potável , Humanos , Criança , Fluoretos/análise , Fluoretos/urina , Água Potável/efeitos adversos , Água Potável/análise , Projetos Piloto , Cognição
9.
J Trace Elem Med Biol ; 77: 127137, 2023 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36773555

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Selenium (Se) plays an important role in human health, yet Se overexposure or deficiency can lead to deleterious health effects. This study aims to determine the concentration of Se in drinking water and staple cereal grain (maize, wheat, and teff) samples from the Main Ethiopian Rift (MER) Valley, and correspondingly, assesses Se biomarkers and their status as measured in the urine and fingernails of 230 individuals living in 25 MER communities. METHOD: The concentration of Se in drinking water and cereal grain (maize, wheat, and teff) samples, and urine and fingernail samples were measured using Inductively Coupled Plasma Mass Spectrometry (ICP-MS). Demographic, anthropometric, and elemental concentrations were described by their quartiles and mean ± standard deviations. The 5th and 95th percentiles were used to describe the concentrations Se biomarkers ranges. The Se biomarker distributions in different study communities were further characterized according to Se levels found in drinking water, sex, and age using ANOVA, and multivariate regression. We conducted a correlation analysis (with Pearson correlation coefficient) and fitted a regression to evaluate the associations between these variables. RESULTS: The mean concentration of Se in the drinking water samples was 0.66 (range: 0.015-2.64 µg/L; n = 25), and all samples were below the threshold value of 10 µg/L for Se in drinking water set by the World Health Organiation (WHO). In Ethiopia, most rural communities rely on locally produced cereal grains. We found mean Se concentrations (µg/kg) of 357 ± 190 (n = 14), 289 ± 123 (n = 14), and 145 ± 100 (n = 14) in wheat, teff, and maize, respectively. Furthermore, Se concentrations in drinking water showed no significant correlation with biomarker measures, indicating that the primary source of dietary Se is likely from local foods including staple grains. The mean±SD (5th-95th percentiles) of Se concentrations in fingernails and urine among study subjects were 1022 ± 320 (624-1551 µg/kg), and 38 ± 30 (1.9-100 µg/L), respectively. CONCLUSION: A sizeable share of study participants (31%) fell below the lower limits of what is considered the currently accepted Se range of 20-90 µg/L in urine, though relatively few (only 4%) had similarly low fingernail levels. On the other hand, none of the samples reached Se toxicity levels, and the biomarker levels in this study are comparable to results from other studies that find adequate Se. Our results show that Se toxicity or deficiency is unlikely in the study population.


Assuntos
Água Potável , Selênio , Humanos , Água Potável/análise , Grão Comestível/química , Unhas/química , Biomarcadores/análise
10.
Commun Med (Lond) ; 3(1): 193, 2023 Dec 21.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38129511

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Public perception of the seriousness of the COVID-19 pandemic compared to six other major public health problems (alcoholism and drug use, HIV/AIDS, malaria, tuberculosis, lung cancer and respiratory diseases caused by air pollution and smoking, and water-borne diseases like diarrhea) is unclear. We designed a survey to examine this issue using YouGov's internet panels in seven middle-income countries in Africa, Asia, and Latin America in early 2022. METHODS: Respondents rank ordered the seriousness of the seven health problems using a repeated best-worst question format. Rank-ordered logit models allow comparisons within and across countries and assessment of covariates. RESULTS: In six of the seven countries, respondents perceived other respiratory illnesses to be a more serious problem than COVID-19. Only in Vietnam was COVID-19 ranked above other respiratory illnesses. Alcoholism and drug use was ranked the second most serious problem in the African countries. HIV/AIDS ranked relatively high in all countries. Covariates, particularly a COVID-19 knowledge scale, explained differences within countries; statistics about the pandemic were highly correlated with differences in COVID-19's perceived seriousness. CONCLUSIONS: People in the seven middle-income countries perceived COVID-19 to be serious (on par with HIV/AIDS) but not as serious as other respiratory illnesses. In the African countries, respondents perceived alcoholism and drug use as more serious than COVID-19. Our survey-based approach can be used to quickly understand how the threat of a newly emergent disease, like COVID-19, fits into the larger context of public perceptions of the seriousness of health problems.


We were curious what people in different countries thought about the seriousness of COVID-19 compared to other health problems. We designed a survey, and hired YouGov, a survey research firm, to administer it in seven countries in Africa, Asia, and Latin America in early 2022. Respondents answered the questions on their computer, tablets, or smart phones. Their answers revealed that in most countries respiratory illnesses were perceived to be a more serious problem than COVID-19. In Africa people felt that alcoholism and drug use were also more serious than COVID-19. These findings are important because they show that people still care about the health problems they were facing before the pandemic, which is useful information for healthcare providers.

11.
PLoS One ; 16(1): e0245729, 2021.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33481916

RESUMO

Cooking with polluting and inefficient fuels and technologies is responsible for a large set of global harms, ranging from health and time losses among the billions of people who are energy poor, to environmental degradation at a regional and global scale. This paper presents a new decision-support model-the BAR-HAP Tool-that is aimed at guiding planning of policy interventions to accelerate transitions towards cleaner cooking fuels and technologies. The conceptual model behind BAR-HAP lies in a framework of costs and benefits that is holistic and comprehensive, allows consideration of multiple policy interventions (subsidies, financing, bans, and behavior change communication), and realistically accounts for partial adoption and use of improved cooking technology. It incorporates evidence from recent efforts to characterize the relevant set of parameters that determine those costs and benefits, including those related to intervention effectiveness. Practical aspects of the tool were modified based on feedback from a pilot testing workshop with multisectoral users in Nepal. To demonstrate the functionality of the BAR-HAP tool, we present illustrative calculations related to several cooking transitions in the context of Nepal. In accounting for the multifaceted nature of the issue of household air pollution, the BAR-HAP model is expected to facilitate cross-sector dialogue and problem-solving to address this major health, environment and development challenge.


Assuntos
Poluição do Ar em Ambientes Fechados/prevenção & controle , Culinária , Tomada de Decisões , Características da Família , Modelos Teóricos , Humanos , Nepal
12.
Antioxidants (Basel) ; 10(12)2021 Dec 20.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34943129

RESUMO

Blood biomarkers of oxidative stress and inflammation have been associated with increased risk of hypertension development; yet their application in sub-Saharan Africa has been limited due to the lack of blood collection facilities. In this study, we evaluated the usefulness of dried blood spots (DBS), a more feasible alternative to venous blood, in rural sub-Saharan residents. We recruited 342 women with incident hypertension from rural Senegal, and measured C-reactive protein (CRP) and malondialdehyde (MDA) in DBS and concurrent blood pressure (BP) at baseline and 1-year follow-up. Associations of DBS biomarkers with current levels of and 1-year changes in BP were examined after adjusting for demographic, medical, and socioeconomic covariates. DBS concentrations of MDA were significantly associated with concurrent systolic BP (SBP) (p < 0.05), while DBS baseline concentrations of CRP were associated with longitudinal changes in SBP between baseline and follow-up. Compared to participants with baseline CRP < 1 mg/L, those with CRP of 1-3 mg/L and 3-10 mg/L had 2.11 mmHg (95%CI: -2.79 to 7.02 mmHg) and 4.68 mmHg (95%CI: 0.01 to 9.36 mmHg) increases in SBP at follow-up, respectively. The results support the use of DBS biomarkers for hypertension prevention and control, especially in settings with limited clinical resources.

13.
Environ Sci Technol Lett ; 8(8): 606-615, 2021 Aug 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34373838

RESUMO

Food, energy, and water (FEW) sectors are inextricably linked, making one sector vulnerable to disruptions in another. Interactions between FEW systems, viral pandemics, and human health have not been widely studied. We mined scientific and news/media articles for causal relations among FEW and COVID-19 variables and qualitatively characterized system dynamics. Food systems promoted the emergence and spread of COVID-19, leading to illness and death. Major supply-side breakdowns were avoided (likely due to low morbidity/mortality among working-age people). However, COVID-19 and physical distancing disrupted labor and capital inputs and stressed supply chains, while creating economic insecurity among the already vulnerable poor. This led to demand-side FEW insecurities, in turn increasing susceptibility to COVID-19 among people with many comorbidities. COVID-19 revealed trade-offs such as allocation of water to hygiene versus to food production and disease burden avoided by physical distancing versus disease burden from increased FEW insecurities. News/media articles suggest great public interest in FEW insecurities triggered by COVID-19 interventions among individuals with low COVID-19 case-fatality rates. There is virtually no quantitative analysis of any of these trade-offs or feedbacks. Enhanced quantitative FEW and health models are urgently needed as future pandemics are likely and may have greater morbidity and mortality than COVID-19.

14.
J Thorac Dis ; 13(6): 3731-3740, 2021 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34277064

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: There are few oxidative biomarkers that can be used in resource-limited settings (e.g., rural Africa) where blood collection facilities are lacking. This study aims to evaluate the potential of malondialdehyde (MDA) in dried blood spots (DBS) as a useful biomarker to monitor cardiopulmonary health. METHODS: We first conducted a cross-validation comparison of matched capillary DBS, plasma, and whole venous blood collected from nine healthy volunteers for the measurement of total MDA (free + conjugated) and C-reactive protein (CRP), a well-established biomarker of systemic inflammation. Then a field study was conducted in a rural Senegal with a population of 441 women routinely exposed to severe household air pollution, examining associations of MDA and CRP levels in 882 DBS with self-reported cardiopulmonary symptoms. RESULTS: In the cross-validation study, CRP levels were strongly correlated across DBS, plasma, and whole blood. MDA levels were correlated between DBS and whole blood and were 1-2 orders of magnitude lower in plasma, suggesting that DBS MDA may reflect total oxidation levels in intracellular and extracellular compartments. In the field study, we observed significantly higher MDA levels in women with secondhand smoke exposure. An interquartile range increase in MDA concentration was associated with 27.0% (95% CI: 3.1-56.5%) and 21.1% (95% CI: -3.5% to 52.0%) increases in the incidence of chest tightness and breath difficulty, respectively. In contrast, CRP levels were not associated with worse outcomes or risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: These results support the use of DBS as a convenient alternative to venous blood when MDA is measured as a biomarker for cardiopulmonary health risk.

15.
PLoS One ; 15(3): e0227611, 2020.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32196493

RESUMO

This paper presents country-level estimates of water, sanitation and hygiene (WASH)-related mortality and the economic losses associated with poor access to water and sanitation infrastructure in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) from 1990 to 2050. We examine the extent to which the changes that accompany economic growth will "solve" water and sanitation problems in SSA and, if so, how long it will take. Our simulations suggest that WASH-related mortality will continue to differ markedly across countries in sub-Saharan Africa. In many countries, expected economic growth alone will not be sufficient to eliminate WASH-related mortality or eliminate the economic losses associated with poor access to water and sanitation infrastructure by 2050. In other countries, WASH-related mortality will sharply decline, although the economic losses associated with the time spent collecting water are forecast to persist. Overall, our findings suggest that in a subset of countries in sub-Saharan Africa (e.g., Angola, Niger, Sierra Leone, Chad and several others), WASH-related investments will remain a priority for decades and require a long-term, sustained effort from both the international community and national governments.


Assuntos
Desenvolvimento Econômico/tendências , Higiene/normas , Mortalidade/tendências , Saneamento/normas , Qualidade da Água/normas , África Subsaariana/epidemiologia , Previsões , Humanos , Higiene/economia , Saneamento/economia , Desenvolvimento Sustentável/economia , Desenvolvimento Sustentável/tendências , Abastecimento de Água/economia , Abastecimento de Água/normas
16.
Nat Commun ; 11(1): 5222, 2020 10 16.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33067462

RESUMO

When construction of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) is completed, the Nile will have two of the world's largest dams-the High Aswan Dam (HAD) and the GERD-in two different countries (Egypt and Ethiopia). There is not yet agreement on how these dams will operate to manage scarce water resources. We elucidate the potential risks and opportunities to Egypt, Sudan and Ethiopia by simulating the filling period of the reservoir; a new normal period after the reservoir fills; and a severe multi-year drought after the filling. Our analysis illustrates how during filling the HAD reservoir could fall to levels not seen in recent decades, although the risk of water shortage in Egypt is relatively low. The new normal will benefit Ethiopia and Sudan without significantly affecting water users in Egypt. Management of multi-year droughts will require careful coordination if risks of harmful impacts are to be minimized.

17.
Bone Rep ; 12: 100235, 2020 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31890757

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Various studies, mostly with animals, have provided evidence of adverse impacts of fluoride (F-) on bone density, collagen and microstructure, yet its effects on overall bone quality (strength) has not been clearly or extensively characterized in human populations. OBJECTIVE: In this observational study, we assessed variation in an integrated measures of bone quality in a population exposed to wide-ranging F- levels (0.3 to 15.5 mg/L) in drinking water, using a novel application of non-ionizing ultrasonic method. METHOD: We collected 871 speed of sound (SOS) measurements from 341 subjects residing in 25 communities, aged 10-70 years (188 males and 153 females). All subjects received scans of the cortical radius and tibia, and adults over the age of 19 received an additional scan of the phalanx. Associations between F- in drinking water and 24-h urine samples, and SOS as a measure of bone quality, were evaluated in bivariate and multivariable regressions adjusting for age, sex, BMI, smoking, and toothpaste use. RESULTS: We found negative associations between F- exposure and bone quality at all three bones. Adult tibial SOS showed the strongest inverse association with F- exposure, which accounted for 20% of the variance in SOS measures (r = 0.45; n = 199; p < 0.0001). In adjusted analysis, a 1 mg/L increase in F- in drinking water was related to a reduction of 15.8 m/s (95% CI: -21.3 to -10.3), whereas a 1 mg/L increase in 24-h urinary F- (range: 0.04-39.5 mg/L) was linked to a reduction of 8.4 m/s (95% CI: -12.7, -4.12) of adult tibial SOS. Among adolescents, in contrast, weaker and non-significant inverse associations between F- exposure and SOS were found, while age, gender, and BMI were more significant predictors than in adults. CONCLUSIONS: These results are indicative of a fluoride-induced deterioration of bone quality in humans, likely reflecting a combination of factors related to SOS: net bone loss, abnormal mineralization and collagen formation, or altered microarchitecture. The portable and low-cost ultrasound technique appears potentially useful for assessment of bone quality, and should be tested in other locations and for other bone-related disorders, to assess the feasibility of its more extensive diagnostic use in hard-to-reach rural regions.

18.
Value Health ; 12(6): 899-908, 2009 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19824189

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: We evaluated the cost-effectiveness of a low-cost cholera vaccine licensed and used in Vietnam, using recently collected data from four developing countries where cholera is endemic. Our analysis incorporated new findings on vaccine herd protective effects. METHODS: Using data from Matlab, Bangladesh, Kolkata, India, North Jakarta, Indonesia, and Beira, Mozambique, we calculated the net public cost per disability-adjusted life year avoided for three immunization strategies: 1) school-based vaccination of children 5 to 14 years of age; 2) school-based vaccination of school children plus use of the schools to vaccinate children aged 1 to 4 years; and 3) community-based vaccination of persons aged 1 year and older. RESULTS: We determined cost-effectiveness when vaccine herd protection was or was not considered, and compared this with commonly accepted cutoffs of gross domestic product (GDP) per person to classify interventions as cost-effective or very-cost effective. Without including herd protective effects, deployment of this vaccine would be cost-effective only in school-based programs in Kolkata and Beira. In contrast, after considering vaccine herd protection, all three programs were judged very cost-effective in Kolkata and Beira. Because these cost-effectiveness calculations include herd protection, the results are dependent on assumed vaccination coverage rates. CONCLUSIONS: Ignoring the indirect effects of cholera vaccination has led to underestimation of the cost-effectiveness of vaccination programs with oral cholera vaccines. Once these effects are included, use of the oral killed whole cell vaccine in programs to control endemic cholera meets the per capita GDP criterion in several developing country settings.


Assuntos
Vacinas contra Cólera/economia , Cólera/economia , Cólera/prevenção & controle , Programas de Imunização/economia , Administração Oral , Adolescente , Ásia Ocidental/epidemiologia , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Cólera/epidemiologia , Vacinas contra Cólera/administração & dosagem , Serviços de Saúde Comunitária , Análise Custo-Benefício , Países em Desenvolvimento , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde , Humanos , Imunidade Coletiva , Programas de Imunização/métodos , Indonésia/epidemiologia , Lactente , Moçambique/epidemiologia , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Instituições Acadêmicas
19.
Int J Hyg Environ Health ; 222(3): 410-418, 2019 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30612877

RESUMO

Biomonitoring of chemical concentrations in humans is important for detecting, monitoring, and addressing a wide range of health threats. However, it is virtually absent across many African nations, including Ethiopia. This study aims to determine urinary concentrations for metals and trace elements in populations living in the central Ethiopian Rift Valley. The region is unindustralized, rural, and characterized by unique geologic rifting and volcanic activities that have produced vast pyroclastic materials, forming its aquifer and fertile agricultural soils. Millions of people in the region rely on wells for drinking water and are engaged in cereal-based subsistence agriculture. We enrolled a total of 386 residents aged 10-50 years old (201 females and 185 males). The levels of 23 elements except F─ were quantified in water and urine samples by ICP-MS. Mean concentrations of B, F─, Ca, and Mg were measured in mg/L levels, while concentrations of Mo, Zn, Sr, Rb, and Li ranged between 100 and 700 µg/L. Mean concentrations between 5 and 15 µg/L were found for Ni, Cu, and Mn, while Ag, Be, Cd, Co, Pb, Sb, Th, TI, and U were all below 5 µg/L. Arsenic and Al had mean concentrations between 30 and 50 µg/L. Mean urinary concentrations of Ca, Cu, Mg, Pb, Sr, and Zn were significantly higher in males than females, whereas Co and Mn were higher in females. Finally, younger individuals (10-30 years) had significantly higher mean concentrations of B, Cd, Co, Mg, Mo, and Pb than those between 31 and 50 years, whereas only Ca was higher in the older age group. The concentration ranges of B, Mo, Mn, TI, Li, Zn, and in particular F─ (0.44-44.6 mg/L) and As (2.2-164 µg/L) in urine were higher than the reference ranges reported in healthy unexposed North American and European populations, while those for the remaining 16 elements were comparable to published reference ranges from such settings. The established concentration ranges are important to monitor future changes in exposure, and risk factors for disease, that might stem from the economic growth and industrialization that is currently underway in the region.


Assuntos
Poluentes Ambientais/urina , Fluoretos/urina , Metaloides/urina , Metais/urina , Adolescente , Adulto , Monitoramento Biológico , Criança , Água Potável/análise , Poluentes Ambientais/análise , Etiópia , Feminino , Fluoretos/análise , Humanos , Masculino , Metaloides/análise , Metais/análise , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Poços de Água , Adulto Jovem
20.
PLoS One ; 13(11): e0207339, 2018.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30444899

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Low levels of household access to basic environmental health assets (EHAs)-including technologies such as clean cookstoves and bed nets or infrastructure such as piped water and electricity-in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) are known to contribute significantly to the global burden of disease. This low access persists despite decades of promotion of many low-cost, life-saving technologies, and is particularly pronounced among poor households. This study aims to characterize variation in access to EHAs among LMIC households as a function of wealth, as defined by ownership of various assets. METHODS: Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) data from 41 low- and middle-income countries were used to assess household-level access to the following EHAs: 1) improved water supply; 2) piped water supply; 3) improved sanitation; 4) modern cooking fuels; 5) electricity; and 6) bed nets. For comparison, we included access to mobile phones, which is considered a highly successful technology in terms of its penetration into poor households within LMICs. Ownership levels were compared across country-specific wealth quintiles constructed from household assets using bivariate analysis and multivariable linear regression models. RESULTS: Access to EHAs was low among the households in the bottom three quintiles of wealth. Access to piped water, modern cooking fuels, electricity and improved sanitation, for example, were all below 50% for households in the bottom three wealth quintiles. Access to certain EHAs such as improved water supply and bed nets increased only slowly with concomitant increases in wealth, while gaps in access to other EHAs varied to a greater degree by wealth quintile. For example, disparities in access between the richest and poorest quintiles were greatest for electricity and improved sanitation. Rural households in all wealth quintiles had much lower levels of access to EHAs, except for bed nets, relative to urban households. CONCLUSIONS: The findings of this study provide a basis for understanding how EHAs are distributed among poor households in LMICs, elucidate where inequalities in access are particularly pronounced, and point to a need for strategies that better reach the poor, if the global environmental burden of disease is to be reduced.


Assuntos
Meio Ambiente , Características da Família , Nível de Saúde , Renda , Pobreza , Adulto , Países em Desenvolvimento , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade
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