Development and internal validation of a prognostic model for loss of balance and falls in mid- to late-stage Parkinson's disease.

BACKGROUND: Mid- to late-stage Parkinson's disease (PD) is often linked with worsened and significant impairment of motor activities, but existing prognostic markers do not adequately capture the risk of loss of balance in PD patients. This study aims to develop a risk prognostic model for mid- to late-stage PD and identify prognostic factors that are indicative of impending loss of balance and falls. METHODS: The study included 307 participants of which 75 were diagnosed with idiopathic PD and 232 were neurological or non-neurological controls. Among the PD group, 46 were early-stage (Hoehn and Yahr [H&Y] = 1,2) with no significant loss of balance while 29 were mid- to late-stage (H&Y = 3,4,5) which is characterized by loss of balance and falls. Multivariable logistic regression (MLR) was used to develop a prognostic model for mid- to late-stage PD. Model discrimination was assessed by ROC curves. The model was internally validated through bootstrapping and calibration plots. RESULTS: The relevant factors identified and included in the final MLR model were shortness of breath, age, swollen joints, heme oxygenase-1 (HO-1) protein, and total salivary protein. The model had an AUC of 0.82 (95% CI = 0.71-0.92) and was well calibrated (calibration slope = 0.77, intercept = 0.03). The likelihood of shortness of breath (OR = 7.91, 95% CI = 1.63-45.12) was significantly higher among mid- to late-stage PD than early-stage. Age and total salivary protein were also significantly higher among mid- to late-stage PD. CONCLUSION: The MLR prognostic model for mid- to late-stage PD may assist physicians in identifying patients at high risk for loss of balance and falls.

Improving radiographic diagnosis of pulpo-periodontal complications in primary molars by training: Application in education and clinical research.

INTRODUCTION: The objective of this study was to assess an original learning intervention to train students and paediatric dentistry teachers in radiographic diagnostic accuracy of pulpo-periodontal complications in primary molars. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The learning intervention was based on 250 different randomly ordered radiographs of primary molars within three quizzes (A, B and C) for 5 sessions (S): quiz A (50 X-rays), B and C (100 X-rays) were, respectively, completed in S1 to assess the extent of agreement with 5 experts' diagnoses, in S2 and S3 (B at days 8 and 23) and in S4 and S5 (C at days 90 and 105). During S1 and at the end of S3 and S5, the participants (48 students and 16 teachers) were informed of correct diagnoses. A satisfaction questionnaire was completed by all the students. Alongside the descriptive analyses, generalised linear mixed model (GLMM) analyses assessed the odds of participants' correct diagnosis over the study duration. RESULTS: At S1, the odds of diagnostic accuracy among students were significantly lower than those among the teachers. After receiving feedback at S1, GLMM analyses showed that among all the participants, accuracy improved over time with the odds of correct diagnoses higher in S2-5 than in S1; and there were similar increases across sessions between teachers and students, except in S3, where the improvement among teachers tended to be greater than that among the students. All students were satisfied though one-third reported that quizzes with 100 radiographs felt too long. CONCLUSION: The online case-based learning was a good training format for dental education.

Characterization and heme oxygenase-1 content of extracellular vesicles in human biofluids.

Heme oxygenase-1 (HO-1), a highly inducible stress protein that degrades heme to biliverdin, carbon monoxide, and free ferrous iron, is increased in blood and other biofluids of subjects with various systemic and neurological disorders. HO-1 does not contain an N-terminal signal peptide and the mechanism responsible for its secretion remains unknown. Extracellular vesicles (EVs) are membrane-bound inclusions that transport microRNAs, messenger RNAs, lipids, and proteins among diverse cellular and extracellular compartments. The objective of the current study was to determine whether EVs in human biofluids contain HO-1, and whether the latter may be transported in EVs from brain to periphery. Total, L1 cell adhesion molecule protein (L1CAM)-enriched (neuron-derived), and glutamate aspartate transporter 1 (GLAST)-enriched (astrocyte-derived) EVs were purified from five different human biofluids (saliva [n = 40], plasma [n = 14], serum [n = 10], urine [n = 10], and cerebrospinal fluid [n = 11]) using polymer precipitation and immuno-affinity-based capture methods. L1CAM-enriched, GLAST-enriched, and L1CAM/GLAST-depleted (LGD) EV, along with EV-depleted (EVD), fractions were validated by nanoparticle tracking analysis, enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA), and western blot. HO-1 was assayed in all fractions using ELISA and western blot. The majority of HO-1 protein was localized to LGD, L1CAM-enriched, and GLAST-enriched EVs of all human biofluids surveyed after adjusting for age and sex, with little HO-1 protein detected in EVD fractions. HO-1 protein in human biofluids is predominantly localized to EV compartments. A substantial proportion of EV HO-1 in peripheral human biofluids is derived from the central nervous system and may contribute to the systemic manifestations of various neurological conditions.

Survival analysis under the Cox proportional hazards model with pooled covariates.

For a continuous time-to-event outcome and an expensive-to-measure exposure, we develop a pooling design and propose a likelihood-based approach to estimate the hazard ratios (HRs) of a Cox proportional hazards (PH) model. Our proposed approach fits a PH model based on pooled exposures with individually observed time-to-event outcomes. The design and estimation exploits the equivalence of the conditional logistic likelihood functions arising from a matched case-control study and the partial likelihood function of a riskset-matched, nested case-control (NCC) subset of a cohort study. To create the pools, we first focus on an NCC subcohort. Pools are formed at random while keeping the matching intact. Pool-level exposure and confounders are then evaluated and used in the likelihood to estimate the HR and the standard error of the estimates. The estimators are MLEs, provide consistent estimates of the individual-level HRs, and are asymptotically normal. Our simulation results indicate that the pooled estimates are comparable to the estimates obtained from the NCC subcohort. The units of analysis for the pooled design are the pools and not the individual participants. Hence the effective sample size is reduced. Therefore, the variance of the HR estimate increases with increasing poolsize. However, this variance inflation in small samples can be offset by including more matched controls per case within the NCC subcohort. An application is demonstrated with the Second Manifestations of ARTerial disease (SMART) study.

Salivary microR-153 and microR-223 Levels as Potential Diagnostic Biomarkers of Idiopathic Parkinson's Disease.

BACKGROUND: Parkinson's disease (PD) is the most common movement disorder among adults, affecting 2% of the world population older than 65 years of age. No diagnostic biomarker for routine use in clinical settings currently exists. Dysregulation of microRNAs (miRNAs) has been implicated in various neurodegenerative conditions, including PD. Distinct miRNAs have been demonstrated to be involved in the regulation of α-synuclein, a key player in PD pathogenesis; miR-153 and miR-223 are downregulated in the brain and serum of parkinsonian GFAP.HMOX1 transgenic mice where they directly regulate α-synuclein. OBJECTIVE: To ascertain whether salivary miR-153 and miR-223 are similarly downmodulated in, and may serve as diagnostic biomarkers of, idiopathic PD. METHODS: Using reverse transcriptase quantitative polymerase chain reaction, miR-153 and miR-223 levels were evaluated in the saliva of 77 non-neurological controls and 83 PD patients. Levels of heme oxygenase-1 and α-synuclein were measured using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Analyses were adjusted by age, sex, medication exposure, disease duration, and relevant comorbidities. RESULTS: Log-transformed expression levels of miR-153 and miR-223 were significantly decreased in the saliva of human PD patients in comparison with nonneurological controls. The miRNA expression levels did not change as a function of disease progression (Hoehn and Yahr staging). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve separating controls from PD patients was 79% (95% confidence interval, 61%-96%) for miR-153 and 77% (95% confidence interval, 59%-95%) for miR-223. The ratios of miRNAs to oligomeric α-synuclein, total α-synuclein, or heme oxygenase-1 protein did not improve accuracy of the test. CONCLUSION: Salivary miR-153 and miR-223 levels may serve as useful, noninvasive, and relatively inexpensive diagnostic biomarkers of idiopathic PD. © 2019 International Parkinson and Movement Disorder Society.

A Phase I Study of Ganetespib and Ziv-Aflibercept in Patients with Advanced Carcinomas and Sarcomas.

LESSONS LEARNED: The combination of the antiangiogenic agent ziv-aflibercept and the heat shock protein 90 inhibitor ganetespib was associated with several serious and unexpected adverse events and was not tolerable on the dosing schedule tested.Studies such as these emphasize the importance of considering overlapping toxicities when designing novel treatment combination regimens. BACKGROUND: Although inhibition of angiogenesis is an effective strategy for cancer treatment, acquired resistance to antiangiogenic therapy is common. Heat shock protein 90 (Hsp90) is a molecular chaperone that regulates various oncogenic signaling pathways involved in acquired resistance and has been shown to play a role in angiogenesis. Combining an antiangiogenic agent with an Hsp90 inhibitor has therefore been proposed as a strategy for preventing resistance and improving antitumor activity. We conducted a single-arm phase I study evaluating the combination of ziv-aflibercept, an antiangiogenic drug, with the Hsp90 inhibitor ganetespib. METHODS: Adult patients were eligible if they had recurrent or metastatic gastrointestinal carcinomas, nonsquamous non-small cell lung carcinomas, urothelial carcinomas, or sarcomas that had progressed after at least one line of standard therapy. Ziv-aflibercept was administered intravenously on days 1 and 15, and ganetespib was administered intravenously on days 1, 8, and 15, of each 28-day cycle. RESULTS: Five patients were treated with the combination. Although three patients achieved stable disease, study treatment was associated with several serious and unexpected adverse events. CONCLUSION: The dose escalation phase of this study was not completed, but the limited data obtained suggest that this combination may be too toxic when administered on this dosing schedule.

First-in-human study of the epichaperome inhibitor PU-H71: clinical results and metabolic profile.

Background Molecular chaperone targeting has shown promise as a therapeutic approach in human cancers of various histologies and genetic backgrounds. The purine-scaffold inhibitor PU-H71 (NSC 750424), selective for Hsp90 in epichaperome networks, has demonstrated antitumor activity in multiple preclinical cancer models. The present study was a first in-human trial of PU-H71 aimed at establishing its safety and tolerability and characterizing its pharmacokinetic (PK) profile on a weekly administration schedule in human subjects with solid tumors refractory to standard treatments. Methods PU-H71 was administered intravenously over 1 h on days 1 and 8 of 21-day cycles in patients with refractory solid tumors. Dose escalation followed a modified accelerated design. Blood and urine were collected during cycles 1 and 2 for pharmacokinetics analysis. Results Seventeen patients were enrolled in this trial. Grade 2 and 3 adverse events were observed but no dose limiting toxicities occurred, thus the human maximum tolerated dose was not determined. The mean terminal half-life (T1/2) was 8.4 ± 3.6 h, with no dependency to dose level. A pathway for the metabolic disposal of PU-H71 in humans was derived from microsome studies. Fourteen patients were also evaluable for clinical response; 6 (35%) achieved a best response of stable disease for >2 cycles, with 2 patients remaining on study for 6 cycles. The study closed prematurely due to discontinuation of drug supply. Conclusions PU-H71 was well tolerated at the doses administered during this study (10 to 470 mg/m2/day), with no dose limiting toxicities.

An evaluation of synthetic data augmentation for mitigating covariate bias in health data.

Data bias is a major concern in biomedical research, especially when evaluating large-scale observational datasets. It leads to imprecise predictions and inconsistent estimates in standard regression models. We compare the performance of commonly used bias-mitigating approaches (resampling, algorithmic, and post hoc approaches) against a synthetic data-augmentation method that utilizes sequential boosted decision trees to synthesize under-represented groups. The approach is called synthetic minority augmentation (SMA). Through simulations and analysis of real health datasets on a logistic regression workload, the approaches are evaluated across various bias scenarios (types and severity levels). Performance was assessed based on area under the curve, calibration (Brier score), precision of parameter estimates, confidence interval overlap, and fairness. Overall, SMA produces the closest results to the ground truth in low to medium bias (50% or less missing proportion). In high bias (80% or more missing proportion), the advantage of SMA is not obvious, with no specific method consistently outperforming others.

Privacy-preserving analysis of time-to-event data under nested case-control sampling.

Analyses of distributed data networks of rare diseases are constrained by legitimate privacy and ethical concerns. Analytical centers (e.g. research institutions) are thus confronted with the challenging task of obtaining data from recruiting sites that are often unable or unwilling to share personal records of participants. For time-to-event data, recently popularized disclosure techniques with privacy guarantees (e.g., Differentially Private Generative Adversarial Networks) are generally computationally expensive or inaccessible to applied researchers. To perform the widely used Cox proportional hazards regression, we propose an easy-to-implement privacy-preserving data analysis technique by pooling (i.e. aggregating) individual records of covariates at recruiting sites under the nested case-control sampling framework before sharing the pooled nested case-control subcohort. We show that the pooled hazard ratio estimators, under the pooled nested case-control subsamples from the contributing sites, are maximum likelihood estimators and provide consistent estimates of the individual level full cohort HRs. Furthermore, a sampling technique for generating pseudo-event times for individual subjects that constitute the pooled nested case-control subsamples is proposed. Our method is demonstrated using extensive simulations and analysis of the National Lung Screening Trial data. The utility of our proposed approach is compared to the gold standard (full cohort) and synthetic data generated using classification and regression trees. The proposed pooling technique performs to near-optimal levels comparable to full cohort analysis or synthetic data; the efficiency improves in rare event settings when more controls are matched on during nested case-control subcohort sampling.

Pharmacodynamic effects of the PARP inhibitor talazoparib (MDV3800, BMN 673) in patients with BRCA-mutated advanced solid tumors.

PURPOSE: Talazoparib is an inhibitor of the poly (ADP-ribose) polymerase (PARP) family of enzymes and is FDA-approved for patients with (suspected) deleterious germline BRCA1/2-mutated, HER2­negative, locally advanced or metastatic breast cancer. Because knowledge of the pharmacodynamic (PD) effects of talazoparib in patients has been limited to studies of PARP enzymatic activity (PARylation) in peripheral blood mononuclear cells, we developed a study to assess tumoral PD response to talazoparib treatment (NCT01989546). METHODS: We administered single-agent talazoparib (1 mg/day) orally in 28-day cycles to adult patients with advanced solid tumors harboring (suspected) deleterious BRCA1 or BRCA2 mutations. The primary objective was to examine the PD effects of talazoparib; the secondary objective was to determine overall response rate (ORR). Tumor biopsies were mandatory at baseline and post-treatment on day 8 (optional at disease progression). Biopsies were analyzed for PARylation, DNA damage response (γH2AX), and epithelial‒mesenchymal transition. RESULTS: Nine patients enrolled in this trial. Four of six patients (67%) evaluable for the primary PD endpoint exhibited a nuclear γH2AX response on day 8 of treatment, and five of six (83%) also exhibited strong suppression of PARylation. A transition towards a more mesenchymal phenotype was seen in 4 of 6 carcinoma patients, but this biological change did not affect γH2AX or PAR responses. The ORR was 55% with the five partial responses lasting a median of six cycles. CONCLUSION: Intra-tumoral DNA damage response and inhibition of PARP enzymatic activity were confirmed in patients with advanced solid tumors harboring BRCA1/2 mutations after 8 days of talazoparib treatment.

Randomized Phase II Trial of Sunitinib or Cediranib in Alveolar Soft Part Sarcoma.

PURPOSE: Alveolar soft part sarcoma (ASPS) is a rare, highly vascular tumor with few treatment options. We designed a phase II randomized trial to determine the activity and tolerability of single-agent cediranib or sunitinib in patients with advanced metastatic ASPS. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Patients 16 years of age and older were randomized to receive cediranib (30 mg) or sunitinib (37.5 mg) in 28-day cycles. Patients could cross over to the other treatment arm at disease progression. The primary endpoint was to measure the objective response rate (ORR) for each agent. Median progression-free survival (mPFS) for the two arms was also determined. RESULTS: Twenty-nine of 34 enrolled patients were evaluable for response. One patient on each of the initial two treatment arms had a partial response (ORR: 6.7% and 7.1% for cediranib and sunitinib, respectively). Twenty-four patients had a best response of stable disease (86.7% and 78.6% for cediranib and sunitinib, respectively). There were no significant differences in mPFS for the two treatment arms. Clinical benefit (i.e., objective response or stable disease for a minimum of four or six cycles of therapy) on the first-line tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI) therapy did not predict benefit on the second-line TKI. Both drugs were well tolerated. As of August 2021, 1 patient (unevaluable for ORR) remains on study. CONCLUSIONS: The study did not meet its endpoints for ORR. Although both TKIs provided clinical benefit, the outcomes may have been attenuated in patients who had progressed ≤6 months before enrollment, potentially accounting for the low response rates. See related commentary by Wilky and Maleddu, p. 1163.

Outcomes and Factors Associated with Completion of Radium-223 Therapy.

Purpose: Radium-223 has been demonstrated in clinical trials to improve survival in castration-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC) patients with bone metastases. However, its performance in routine use remains to be fully characterized. This study aims to describe patient outcomes in the real world as well as identify factors associated with completion of the 6-dose regimen and alkaline phosphatase (ALP) response. Methods: Thirty-six patients who received at least one dose of radium-223 at the Jewish General Hospital in Montréal, Canada, were analysed in a retrospective manner. Using logistic regression, the primary analysis aimed to identify factors associated with treatment completion, and the secondary analysis aimed to identify factors associated with ALP response. Results: Twenty-one out of 36 patients received all 6 doses of radium-223. Fifteen patients had an ALP response, defined as a 30% decrease in ALP from baseline values. On primary analysis, baseline ALP > 120 U/L and prostate-specific antigen (PSA) > 50 µg/L were significantly associated with lower therapy completion rates (OR = 0.10, p = 0.004; OR = 0.18, p = 0.022 respectively). On adjustment for confounders, only ALP remained significant (OR = 0.14, p = 0.021). Clinical disease progression was the most common reason for treatment non-completion, and it was also associated with elevated baseline ALP (OR = 6.00, p = 0.044). On secondary analysis, previous chemotherapy for CRPC was a negative predictor of ALP response (OR = 0.15, p = 0.034). Conclusion: Elevated baseline ALP and PSA were associated with a lower rate of radium-223 regimen completion; receiving chemotherapy for CRPC prior to radium-223 was associated with a lower rate of ALP response. Supplementary Information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s13139-022-00760-8.

Clinical Activity of Single-Agent Cabozantinib (XL184), a Multi-receptor Tyrosine Kinase Inhibitor, in Patients with Refractory Soft-Tissue Sarcomas.

PURPOSE: Soft-tissue sarcomas (STS) are a rare, heterogeneous group of mesenchymal tumors. For decades the mainstay of treatment for advanced, unresectable STS has been palliative chemotherapy. High levels of activated MET receptor have been reported in various sarcoma cell lines, together with elevated vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) levels in patients with STS, suggesting that dual targeting of the VEGF and MET pathways with the multi-receptor tyrosine kinase inhibitor cabozantinib would result in clinical benefit in this population. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We performed an open-label, multi-institution, single-arm phase II trial of single-agent cabozantinib in adult patients with advanced STS and progressive disease after at least 1 standard line of systemic therapy. Patients received 60 mg oral cabozantinib once daily in 28-day cycles, and dual primary endpoints of overall response rate and 6-month progression-free survival (PFS) were assessed. Changes in several circulating biomarkers were assessed as secondary endpoints. RESULTS: Six (11.1%; 95% CI, 4.2%-22.6%) of the 54 evaluable patients enrolled experienced objective responses (all partial responses). Six-month PFS was 49.3% (95% CI, 36.2%-67.3%), with a median time on study of 4 cycles (range, 1-99). The most common grade 3/4 adverse events were hypertension (7.4%) and neutropenia (16.7%). Patients' levels of circulating hepatocyte growth factor (HGF), soluble MET, and VEGF-A generally increased after a cycle of therapy, while soluble VEGFR2 levels decreased, regardless of clinical outcome. CONCLUSIONS: Cabozantinib single-agent antitumor activity was observed in patients with selected STS histologic subtypes (alveolar soft-part sarcoma, undifferentiated pleomorphic sarcoma, extraskeletal myxoid chondrosarcoma, and leiomyosarcoma) highlighting the biomolecular diversity of STS.

Salivary Heme Oxygenase-1: A Potential Biomarker for Central Neurodegeneration.

BACKGROUND: Parkinson disease (PD) is the second most common neurodegenerative disease, affecting 2% of the population over 65 years of age. PD diagnosis is based on clinical examination and can only be confirmed during autopsy. In 2018, we reported that heme oxygenase-1 (HO-1), an inducible stress response protein important for heme catabolism and implicated in PD pathology, was higher in PD saliva relative to healthy controls, suggesting that salivary HO-1 may serve as a potential biomarker of PD. OBJECTIVES: To ascertain whether HO-1 protein levels are elevated in PD saliva relative to degenerative neurological, non-degenerative neurological and healthy controls. METHODOLOGY: The study included 307 participants comprising 75 participants with idiopathic PD and 3 control groups: 162 non-neurological, 37 non-PD degenerative neurological, and 33 non-degenerative neurological participants. Salivary HO-1 and total protein concentrations were measured using ELISA and BCA assay, respectively. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to estimate model discrimination. Analyses were adjusted by age, sex, total protein, and relevant comorbidities. RESULTS: Elevated HO-1 concentrations were observed in the PD group and other neurodegenerative conditions compared to subjects with no neurological or non-degenerative neurological conditions. ROC curves using HO-1 levels and covariates yielded areas under the curve above 85% in models for PD or neurodegenerative conditions versus controls. CONCLUSIONS: Salivary HO-1 concentrations in combination with covariates may provide a biomarker signature that distinguishes patients with neurodegenerative conditions from persons without. CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE: This study provides Class III evidence that salivary HO-1 multivariable models can distinguish neurodegenerative conditions.

Safety, Antitumor Activity, and Biomarker Analysis in a Phase I Trial of the Once-daily Wee1 Inhibitor Adavosertib (AZD1775) in Patients with Advanced Solid Tumors.

PURPOSE: The Wee1 kinase inhibitor adavosertib abrogates cell-cycle arrest, leading to cell death. Prior testing of twice-daily adavosertib in patients with advanced solid tumors determined the recommended phase II dose (RPh2D). Here, we report results for once-daily adavosertib. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A 3 + 3 dose-escalation design was used, with adavosertib given once daily on days 1 to 5 and 8 to 12 in 21-day cycles. Molecular biomarkers of Wee1 activity, including tyrosine 15-phosphorylated Cdk1/2 (pY15-Cdk), were assessed in paired tumor biopsies. Whole-exome sequencing and RNA sequencing of remaining tumor tissue identified potential predictive biomarkers. RESULTS: Among the 42 patients enrolled, the most common toxicities were gastrointestinal and hematologic; dose-limiting toxicities were grade 4 hematologic toxicity and grade 3 fatigue. The once-daily RPh2D was 300 mg. Six patients (14%) had confirmed partial responses: four ovarian, two endometrial. Adavosertib plasma exposures were similar to those from twice-daily dosing. On cycle 1 day 8 (pre-dose), tumor pY15-Cdk levels were higher than baseline in four of eight patients, suggesting target rebound during the day 5 to 8 dosing break. One patient who progressed rapidly had a tumor WEE1 mutation and potentially compensatory PKMYT1 overexpression. Baseline CCNE1 overexpression occurred in both of two responding patients, only one of whom had CCNE1 amplification, and in zero of three nonresponding patients. CONCLUSIONS: We determined the once-daily adavosertib RPh2D and observed activity in patients with ovarian or endometrial carcinoma, including two with baseline CCNE1 mRNA overexpression. Future studies will determine whether CCNE1 overexpression is a predictive biomarker for adavosertib.

Phase 1 study of Z-endoxifen in patients with advanced gynecologic, desmoid, and hormone receptor-positive solid tumors.

BACKGROUND: Differential responses to tamoxifen may be due to inter-patient variability in tamoxifen metabolism into pharmacologically active Z-endoxifen. Z-endoxifen administration was anticipated to bypass these variations, increasing active drug levels, and potentially benefitting patients responding sub-optimally to tamoxifen. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Patients with treatment-refractory gynecologic malignancies, desmoid tumors, or hormone receptor-positive solid tumors took oral Z-endoxifen daily with a 3+3 phase 1 dose escalation format over 8 dose levels (DLs). Safety, pharmacokinetics/pharmacodynamics, and clinical outcomes were evaluated. RESULTS: Thirty-four of 40 patients were evaluable. No maximum tolerated dose was established. DL8, 360 mg/day, was used for the expansion phase and is higher than doses administered in any previous study; it also yielded higher plasma Z-endoxifen concentrations. Three patients had partial responses and 8 had prolonged stable disease (≥ 6 cycles); 44.4% (8/18) of patients at dose levels 6-8 achieved one of these outcomes. Six patients who progressed after tamoxifen therapy experienced partial response or stable disease for ≥ 6 cycles with Z-endoxifen; one with desmoid tumor remains on study after 62 cycles (nearly 5 years). CONCLUSIONS: Evidence of antitumor activity and prolonged stable disease are achieved with Z-endoxifen despite prior tamoxifen therapy, supporting further study of Z-endoxifen, particularly in patients with desmoid tumors.

Identifying predictive factors for neuropathic pain after breast cancer surgery using machine learning.

INTRODUCTION: Neuropathic pain (NP) remains a major debilitating condition affecting more than 26% of breast cancer survivors worldwide. NP is diagnosed using a validated 10-items Douleur Neuropathique - 4 screening questionnaire which is administered 3 months after surgery and requires patient-doctor interaction. To develop an effective prognosis model admissible soon after surgery, without the need for patient-doctor interaction, we sought to [1] identify specific pain characteristics that can help determine which patients may be susceptible to NP after BC surgery, and 2) assess the utility of machine learning models developed in objective [1] as a knowledge discovery tool for downstream analysis. METHODS: The dataset is from a prospective cohort study of female patients scheduled to undergo breast cancer surgery for the first time at the Jewish General Hospital, Montreal, Canada between November 2014 and March 2019. NP was assessed at 3 months after surgery using Douleur Neuropathique - 4 interview scores (in short, DN4-interview; range: 0-7). For the primary analysis, we constructed six ML algorithms (least square, ridge, elastic net, random forest, gradient boosting, and neural net) to identify the most relevant predictors for DN4-interview score; and compared model performance based on root mean square error (RMSE). For the secondary analysis, we built a logistic classification model for neuropathic pain (DN4-interview score ≥ 3 versus DN4-interview score < 3) using the relevant-consensus-predictors from the primary analysis. RESULTS: Anxiety, type of surgery, preoperative baseline pain and acute pain on movement were identified as the most relevant predictors for DN4 - interview score. The least square regression model (RMSE = 1.43) is comparable in performance with random forest (RMSE = 1.39) and neural network model (RMSE = 1.50). The Gradient boosting model (RMSE = 1.16) outperformed the models compared including the penalized regression models (ridge regressions, RMSE = 1.28; and elastic net, RMSE = 1.31). In the secondary analysis, the preferred logistic regression classier for NP had an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.68 (95% CI = 0.57 to 0.79). Anxiety was significantly associated with the likelihood of NP (odds ratio = 2.18; 95% CI = 1.05-4.49). In comparison to their counterparts, the odds of NP were higher in participants with acute pain on movement or with present preoperative baseline pain or participants who performed total mastectomy surgery, but the differences were not statistically significant. CONCLUSIONS: Modern machine learning models show improvements over traditional least square regression in predicting of DN4-interview score. Penalized regression methods and the Gradient boosting model out-perform other models. As a predictor discovery tool, machine learning algorithms identify relevant predictors for DN4-interview score that remain statistically significant indicators of neuropathic pain in the classification model. Anxiety, type of surgery and acute pain on movement remain the most useful predictors for neuropathic pain.

Phase I trial of TRC102 (methoxyamine HCl) in combination with temozolomide in patients with relapsed solid tumors and lymphomas.

BACKGROUND: TRC102 inhibits base excision repair by binding abasic sites and preventing AP endonuclease processing; it potentiates the activity of alkylating agents, including temozolomide, in murine models. In published xenograft studies, TRC102 enhanced the antitumor effect of temozolomide regardless of cell line genetic characteristics, e.g., O6-methylguanine DNA methyltransferase (MGMT), mismatch repair (MMR), or p53 status. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We conducted a phase 1 trial of TRC102 with temozolomide given orally on days 1-5 of 28-day cycles in adult patients with refractory solid tumors that had progressed on standard therapy. Tumor induction of nuclear biomarkers of DNA damage response (DDR) γH2AX, pNBs1, and Rad51 was assessed in the context of MGMT and MMR protein expression for expansion cohort patients. RESULTS: Fifty-two patients were enrolled (37 escalation, 15 expansion) with 51 evaluable for response. The recommended phase 2 dose was 125 mg TRC102, 150 mg/m2 temozolomide QDx5. Common adverse events (grade 3/4) included anemia (19%), lymphopenia (12%), and neutropenia (10%). Four patients achieved partial responses (1 non-small cell lung cancer, 2 granulosa cell ovarian cancer, and 1 colon cancer) and 13 patients had a best response of stable disease. Retrospective analysis of 15 expansion cohort patients did not demonstrate a correlation between low tumor MGMT expression and patient response, but treatment induced nuclear Rad51 responses in 6 of 12 patients. CONCLUSIONS: The combination of TRC 102 with temozolomide is active, with 4 of 51 patients experiencing a partial response and 13 of 51 experiencing stable disease, and the side effect profile is manageable.

Intravenous 5-fluoro-2'-deoxycytidine administered with tetrahydrouridine increases the proportion of p16-expressing circulating tumor cells in patients with advanced solid tumors.

PURPOSE: Following promising responses to the DNA methyltransferase (DNMT) inhibitor 5-fluoro-2'-deoxycytidine (FdCyd) combined with tetrahydrouridine (THU) in phase 1 testing, we initiated a non-randomized phase 2 study to assess response to this combination in patients with advanced solid tumor types for which tumor suppressor gene methylation is potentially prognostic. To obtain pharmacodynamic evidence for DNMT inhibition by FdCyd, we developed a novel method for detecting expression of tumor suppressor protein p16/INK4A in circulating tumor cells (CTCs). METHODS: Patients in histology-specific strata (breast, head and neck [H&N], or non-small cell lung cancers [NSCLC] or urothelial transitional cell carcinoma) were administered FdCyd (100 mg/m2) and THU (350 mg/m2) intravenously 5 days/week for 2 weeks, in 28-day cycles, and progression-free survival (PFS) rate and objective response rate (ORR) were evaluated. Blood specimens were collected for CTC analysis. RESULTS: Ninety-three eligible patients were enrolled (29 breast, 21 H&N, 25 NSCLC, and 18 urothelial). There were three partial responses. All strata were terminated early due to insufficient responses (H&N, NSCLC) or slow accrual (breast, urothelial). However, the preliminary 4-month PFS rate (42%) in the urothelial stratum exceeded the predefined goal-though the ORR (5.6%) did not. An increase in the proportion of p16-expressing cytokeratin-positive CTCs was detected in 69% of patients evaluable for clinical and CTC response, but was not significantly associated with clinical response. CONCLUSION: Further study of FdCyd + THU is potentially warranted in urothelial carcinoma but not NSCLC or breast or H&N cancer. Increase in the proportion of p16-expressing cytokeratin-positive CTCs is a pharmacodynamic marker of FdCyd target engagement.

Clinical Activity of the γ-Secretase Inhibitor PF-03084014 in Adults With Desmoid Tumors (Aggressive Fibromatosis).

Purpose Desmoid tumors (aggressive fibromatosis) arise from connective tissue cells or fibroblasts. In general, they are slow growing and do not metastasize; however, locally aggressive desmoid tumors can cause severe morbidity and loss of function. Disease recurrence after surgery and/or radiation and diagnosis of multifocal desmoid tumors highlight the need to develop effective systemic treatments for this disease. In this study, we evaluate objective response rate after therapy with the γ-secretase inhibitor PF-03084014 in patients with recurrent, refractory, progressive desmoid tumors. Patients and Methods Seventeen patients with desmoid tumors received PF-03084014 150 mg orally twice a day in 3-week cycles. Response to treatment was evaluated at cycle 1 and every six cycles, that is, 18 weeks, by RECIST (Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors) version 1.1. Patient-reported outcomes were measured at baseline and at every restaging visit by using the MD Anderson Symptoms Inventory. Archival tumor and blood samples were genotyped for somatic and germline mutations in APC and CTNNB1. Results Of 17 patients accrued to the study, 15 had mutations in APC or CTNNB1 genes. Sixteen patients (94%) were evaluable for response; five (29%) experienced a confirmed partial response and have been on study for more than 2 years. Another five patients with prolonged stable disease as their best response remain on study. Patient-reported outcomes confirmed clinician reporting that the investigational agent was well tolerated and, in subgroup analyses, participants who demonstrated partial response also experienced clinically meaningful and statistically significant improvements in symptom burden. Conclusion PF-03084014 was well tolerated and demonstrated promising clinical benefit in patients with refractory, progressive desmoid tumors who receive long-term treatment.