A prognostic nomogram for the cancer-specific survival of patients with upper-tract urothelial carcinoma based on the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Database.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to establish a comprehensive nomogram for the cancer-specific survival (CSS) of patients with upper-tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC) and compare it with the traditional American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system in order to determine its reliability. METHODS: This study analyzed 9505 patients with UTUC in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. R software was used to randomly divided the patients in a 7-to-3 ratio to form a training cohort (n = 6653) and a validation cohort (n = 2852). Multivariable Cox regression was used to identify predictive variables. The new survival model was compared with the AJCC prognosis model using the concordance index (C-index), the area under the time-dependent receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC), the net reclassification improvement (NRI), the integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), calibration plotting, and decision-curve analysis (DCA). RESULTS: We have established a nomogram for determining the 3-, 5-, and 8-year CSS probabilities of UTUC patients. The nomogram indicates that the AJCC stage has the greatest influence on CSS in UTUC, followed by the age at diagnosis, surgery status, tumor size, radiotherapy status, histological grade, marital status, chemotherapy status, race, and finally sex. The C-index was higher for the nomogram than the AJCC staging system in both the training cohort (0.785 versus 0.747) and the validation cohort (0.779 versus 0.739). Calibration plotting demonstrated that the model has good calibration ability. The AUC, NRI, IDI, and DCA of the nomogram showed that it performs better than the AJCC staging system alone. CONCLUSIONS: This study is the first to establish a comprehensive UTUC nomogram based on the SEER database and evaluate it using a series of indicators. Our novel nomogram can help clinical staff to predict the 3-, 5-, and 8-year CSS probabilities of UTUC patients more accurately than using the AJCC staging system.

Incidence of and sociological risk factors for suicide death in patients with leukemia: A population-based study.

OBJECTIVES: Suicide is closely related to sociological factors, but sociological analyses of suicide risk in leukemia are lacking. This study is the first to use the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program (SEER) database to analyze sociological risk factors for suicide death in leukemia patients. METHODS: A retrospective search of the SEER database was conducted. Logistic regression was used to identify independent risk factors for suicide death. Variables significant in the univariate logistic regression models were subsequently analyzed using multivariate regression. RESULTS: The death rate was highest in California (1.73%). Suicide mortality was more common during the 1970s and 1980s, after which it trended downward. Young age at diagnosis (18-34 vs. >64 years: odds ratio [OR] = 1.537, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.007-2.347; 35-64 vs. >64 years: OR = 1.610, 95% CI = 1.309-1.979), being male (OR = 1.518, 95% CI = 1.230-1.873), and living where a high proportion of people have at least a bachelor's degree (>50% vs. <20%: OR = 8.115, 95% CI = 5.053-13.034) significantly increased suicide death risk. CONCLUSION: Our findings could increase clinician awareness of and appropriate support for leukemia patients at risk of death by suicide.

Prognostic factors in patients with gallbladder adenocarcinoma identified using competing-risks analysis: A study of cases in the SEER database.

A competing-risks model was developed in this study to identify the significant prognostic factors and evaluate the cumulative incidence of cause-specific death in gallbladder adenocarcinoma (GBAC), with the aim of providing guidance on effective clinical treatments.All patients with GBAC in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database during 1973 to 2015 were identified. The potential prognostic factors were identified using competing-risks analyses implemented using the R and SAS statistical software packages. We calculated the cumulative incidence function (CIF) for cause-specific death and death from other causes at each time point. The Fine-Gray proportional-subdistribution-hazards model was then applied in univariate and multivariate analyses to test the differences in CIF between different groups and identify independent prognostic factors.This study included 3836 eligible patients who had been enrolled from 2004 to 2015 in the SEER database. The univariate analysis indicated that age, race, AJCC stage, RS, tumor size, SEER historic stage, grade, surgery, radiotherapy, chemotherapy and adjuvant therapy (RCT, SRT, SCT and SRCT) were significant factors affecting the probability of death due to GBAC. The multivariate analysis indicated that age, race, AJCC stage, RS status, tumor size, grade and SRT were independent prognostic factors affecting GBAC cancer-specific death. A nomogram model was constructed based on multivariate models for death related to GBAC.We have constructed the first competing-risks nomogram for GBAC. The model was found to perform well. This novel validated prognostic model may facilitate the choosing of beneficial treatment strategies and help when predicting survival.

A nomogram for determining the disease-specific survival in invasive lobular carcinoma of the breast: A population study.

We aimed to establish and validate a nomogram for predicting the disease-specific survival of invasive lobular carcinoma (ILC) patients.The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program database was used to identify ILC from 2010 to 2015, in which the data was extracted from 18 registries in the US. Multivariate Cox regression analysis was performed to identify independent prognostic factors and a nomogram was constructed to predict the 3-year and 5-year survival rates of ILC patients based on Cox regression. Predictive values were compared between the new model and the American Joint Committee on Cancer staging system using the concordance index, calibration plots, integrated discrimination improvement, net reclassification improvement, and decision-curve analyses.In total, 4155 patients were identified. After multivariate Cox regression analysis, nomogram was established based on a new model containing the predictive variables of age, the primary tumor site, histology grade, American Joint Committee on Cancer TNM (tumor node metastasis) stages II, III, and IV, breast cancer subtype, therapy modality (surgery and chemotherapy). The concordance index for the training and validation cohorts were higher for the new model (0.781 and 0.832, respectively) than for the old model (0.733 and 0.779). The new model had good performance in the calibration plots. Net reclassification improvement and integrated discrimination improvement were also improved. Finally, decision-curve analyses demonstrated that the nomogram was clinically useful.We have developed a reliable nomogram for determining the prognosis and treatment outcomes of ILC. The new model facilitates the choosing of superior medical examinations and the optimizing of therapeutic regimens with cooperation among oncologists.