Validating the Baveno Elastography Criteria of Advanced Liver Fibrosis in Two-Dimensional Shear Wave Elastography: A Prospective Pathology-Based Study.

INTRODUCTION: The Baveno criteria for assessing advanced liver fibrosis were mainly determined by transient elastography (TE), and its pathology-based validation studies in two-dimensional shear wave elastography (2D-SWE) remain limited. We aimed to validate the Baveno criteria through use of 2D-SWE. METHOD: Consecutive patients who underwent liver biopsies for various benign liver diseases were prospectively recruited. Liver stiffness measurement (LSM) was simultaneously evaluated by TE and 2D-SWE. The optimal cutoff value to predict advanced liver fibrosis was determined by the Youden Index, and the diagnostic performance was estimated using area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) analysis. RESULTS: A total of 101 patients were enrolled having a median age of 55.0 (IQR: 46.0-63.5) years, with 53 (52.48%) of them being male. Using <9 and >14 kPa as the optimal dual cutoffs, the AUROC values in TE and 2D-SWE were 0.92 (95% CI: 0.83-0.97) and 0.93 (95% CI: 0.84-0.98), respectively (p = 0.61). The sensitivity and specificity of LSM by TE/2D-SWE achieved rates of 94.44%/94.44% and 86.00%/88.00%, respectively. However, using the Baveno criteria, the AUROC values in TE and 2D-SWE could remain achieving 0.91 (95% CI: 0.82-0.97) and 0.93 (95% CI: 0.84-0.98), respectively (p = 0.36). The sensitivity and specificity in TE/2D-SWE were 88.24%/88.24% and 86.79%/90.57%, respectively. CONCLUSION: This study establishes the compatibility of the Baveno dual cutoff criteria with 2D-SWE, positioning it as an easily used criteria in clinical practice and research.

Risk Stratification for Hepatitis B Virus Reactivation in Kidney Transplant Recipients With Resolved HBV Infection.

The prophylaxis strategy for hepatitis B virus (HBV) reactivation in kidney transplant recipients (KTRs) with resolved HBV infection remains unclear. In this hospital-based retrospective cohort study, consecutive KTRs with resolved HBV infection were screened from the years 2000 through 2020. After excluding confounding conditions, 212 and 45 patients were respectively recruited into Anti-HBs positive and Anti-HBs negative groups. Cumulative incidences of, and subdistribution hazard ratios (SHRs) for HBV reactivation were analyzed after adjusting the competing risk. During a median 8.3 (mean 8.4 ± 4.9) years of follow-up, the 10-year cumulative incidence of HBV reactivation was significantly higher in Anti-HBs negative group when compared to that in Anti-HBs positive group (15.2%, 95% CI: 3.6-26.7 vs. 1.3%, 95% CI: 0.0-3.0; p < 0.001). In multivariable regression analysis, absence of anti-HBs (SHR 14.2, 95% CI: 3.09-65.2; p < 0.001) and use of high-dose steroids, i.e., steroid dose ≥20 mg/day of prednisolone equivalent over 4 weeks (SHR 8.96, 95% CI: 1.05-76.2; p = 0.045) were independent risk factors related to HBV reactivation. Accordingly, the 10-year cumulative incidence of HBV reactivation occurring in patients with two, one and zero risk factors was 42.7% (95% CI: 0.0-87.1), 7.9% (95% CI: 1.2-14.7) and 0%, respectively (p < 0.001). In conclusion, the strategy of HBV antiviral prophylaxis may be defined according to the risk stratification.

Grazoprevir/Elbasvir Treatment in Liver or Kidney Transplant Recipients with Genotype 1b Hepatitis C Virus Infection.

More options regarding the choice of direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) are helpful for avoiding individual limitations in treating hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. We aimed to assess the efficacy and tolerability of grazoprevir (GZR)/elbasvir (EBR) treatment in genotype-1b (GT-1b) HCV-infected liver or kidney transplant recipients. In this phase 4, single-arm, open-label, multicenter trial, patients received GZR 100 mg/EBR 50 mg daily for 12 weeks. Patients with any HCV infection other than GT-1b, liver decompensation, human immunodeficiency virus, or hepatitis B virus co-infection, a history of NS5A inhibitor exposure, or any severe drug-drug interactions (DDIs), was excluded. The primary endpoint was sustained virologic response at 12 weeks posttreatment (SVR12). Of the 14 patients (10 kidney and 4 liver transplant subjects) enrolled in this study, 9 (64%) were females; the median age was 64.0 (range: 43-73) years. The regularly used immunosuppressants were tacrolimus (93%), everolimus (29%), and sirolimus (7%), with patient blood levels easily managed and generally stable (all P > 0.05 in quantile regression analysis). The rate of SVR12 was 100% in intent-to-treat analysis. Only one patient discontinued GZR/EBR therapy at 6 weeks posttreatment, due to a treatment-unrelated adverse event (AE); however, this patient remained, achieving SVR12. Most AEs were mild in severity and deemed to be not treatment-related. No organ rejection episodes or deaths occurred during the study period. The single-tablet regimen of GZR/EBR for 12 weeks is highly effective and well tolerated in GT-1b HCV-infected liver or kidney transplant recipients, and its DDIs are generally easy to manage. (This study has been registered at ClinicalTrials.gov under identifier NCT03723824.).

Advances in the Era of Direct-Acting Antivirals for Hepatitis C in Patients with Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: In patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), the advances in direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapy for chronic hepatitis C remain unclear. We aimed to investigate the characteristics of DAA therapy, when compared to interferon (IFN) therapy. METHODS: In this hospital-based study, all HCC patients in Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage B or C, who received pegylated IFN or DAA, were retrospectively screened from 2009 to 2020. Patients without viremia, without HCC, or with HCC in BCLC stage 0, A, or D prior to antiviral therapy were excluded. Rates of and odds ratio (OR) for sustained virological response (SVR) achievement were analyzed. RESULTS: Nineteen and 78 patients were recruited into the IFN and DAA groups, respectively. The median age was significantly older in the DAA group (DAA vs. IFN: 69.5 [25-75% IQR: 62.8-77.3] vs. 64.0 [25-75% IQR: 61.0-68.0]; p < 0.05). The SVR rates were higher in the DAA group as per protocol (DAA vs. IFN: 94.5% vs. 76.5%; p < 0.05) and in BCLC stage B (DAA vs. IFN: 95.2% vs. 76.5%; p < 0.05). All patients in BCLC stage C received DAA therapy, with the SVR rate being 90.9%. In multivariable regression analysis, the 4-week virological response (OR 5.6, 95% CI: 1.3-25.4) and HCC within the up-to-7 criteria (OR 3.7, 95% CI: 1.1-12.9) were independent factors associated with SVR (all p < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Compared to IFN therapy, more elderly patients with unresectable HCCs were able to receive DAA therapy, while achieving a significantly higher SVR rate.

Clinical Profiles of Asians with NAFLD: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

INTRODUCTION: NAFLD is increasingly prevalent in Asia, where people suffer more metabolic comorbidities at a lower body mass index (BMI), suggesting potential differences in their clinical profile. Therefore, we attempted to characterize the clinical profile of Asians with NAFLD via a meta-analytic approach. METHODS: We searched PubMed, EMBASE, and Cochrane databases from January 1, 2000, to January 17, 2019. Two authors independently reviewed and selected 104 articles (2,247,754 persons) that identified NAFLD in Asians and reported relevant data, especially BMI and ALT, and excluded individuals with other liver disease and excessive alcohol consumption. Individual patient-level data were obtained from seven cohorts in Asia to complement meta-analyzed data. RESULTS: Overall, the mean age was 52.07 (95% CI: 51.28-52.85) years, with those from Southeast Asia (42.66, 95% CI: 32.23-53.11) being significantly younger. The mean BMI was 26.2 kg/m2, higher in moderate-severe versus mild hepatic steatosis (28.3 vs. 25.7) patients and NFS ≥ -1.455 versus <-1.455 (27.09 vs. 26.02), with 34% having nonobese NAFLD. The mean ALT was 31.74 U/L, higher in NFS < -1.455 versus ≥-1.455 (33.74 vs. 27.83), though no differences were found by obesity or steatosis severity. The majority of males (85.7%) and females (60.7%) had normal to minimally elevated ALT (1-1.5 × 95% ULN). Individual patient-level data analysis (N = 7,668) demonstrated similar results. CONCLUSION: About one-third of Asians with NAFLD were nonobese, and the majority did not have markedly elevated ALT. Therefore, abnormal ALT or BMI is not recommended as a criterion for NAFLD screening in this population. Additionally, there were significant differences in the clinical profiles of NAFLD among the different regions of Asia.

Establishing the blood reference interval of pancreatic elastase-1: A prospective study.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Pancreatic elastase-1 (PE-1) has been investigated in pancreatic disorders. However, the reference interval (RI) of PE-1 in blood remains unconfirmed. We aimed to establish the blood RI of PE-1 in an adult population. METHODS: In this prospective cross-sectional study, we enrolled 400 adults who had received the whole-body physical check-up program between May 1, 2019 and November 20, 2019. The serum and plasma PE-1 levels were measured by latex turbidimetric immunoassay in different storage conditions (fresh, refrigerated, and frozen). The 95% and 99% RI of PE-1 were calculated according to the Clinical & Laboratory Standards Institute guidelines. The correlations between PE-1 and other parameters were analyzed using multivariable regression models. Ultimately, 38 patients with acute pancreatitis were prospectively recruited as the validation cohort. RESULTS: The PE-1 levels in fresh serum were highly correlated with those in refrigerated (R2  = 0.998) or frozen (R2  = 0.942) samples; however, plasma should not be suggested in frozen conditions (plasma vs serum: R2  = 0.185). In the RI study population (202 male & 198 female participants), the median age was 52.6 (25-75% interquartile range: 43.1-61.0). The 95% and 99% RIs of PE-1 were 30.0-221.0 and 22.0-359.0 ng/dL, respectively. Triglycerides (ß = 0.106, P = 0.033), lipase (ß = 0.154, P = 0.007), and CA19-9 (ß = 0.130, P = 0.008) were independent factors associated with PE-1. In the pancreatitis validation cohort, with a cut-off value of 359.0 ng/dL, the sensitivity and specificity were 100% and 99.8%, respectively. CONCLUSION: The RI of PE-1 established in this study can be used for further applications. Serum is the suggested form for frozen sample storage.

Accuracy of simultaneous measurement of serum biomarkers: Carbohydrate antigen 19-9, pancreatic elastase-1, amylase, and lipase for diagnosing pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Pancreatic cancer is difficult to diagnose early since tumor markers have low sensitivity and specificity. We simultaneously measured serum carbohydrate antigen (CA) 19-9, pancreatic elastase-1, lipase, and amylase, and evaluated the accuracy of a single marker or a combination of two, three, or four markers in the diagnosis of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). METHODS: Seventy-six patients with PDAC were included, and 75 patients with non-PDAC diseases were enrolled as the control group. Blood specimens were collected and analyzed for pancreatic elatase-1, CA19-9, amylase and lipase. Sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy for each individual marker and in combination were determined. RESULTS: In PDAC subjects, abnormal CA19-9 was seen most frequently at 80.3%, followed by pancreatic elastase-1 at 57.9%, lipase at 53.9%, and amylase at 51.3%. In non-PDAC subjects, the percentage of abnormal serum pancreatic elastase-1, CA19-9, lipase, and amylase were 50.7%, 41.3%, 40.0%, and 28.0%, respectively. The accuracy rate of amylase and CA19-9 results combined was 64.9% and was higher than the combination of other markers in the intersection set. In the union set, the group of amylase and CA19-9 combined and the group of lipase and CA19-9 combined had the highest accuracy at 66.2%. In the intersection and union set, the area under the curve of CA19-9 was the highest at 0.695. CONCLUSION: CA19-9 as a single marker is the most accurate in the clinical diagnosis of PDAC. Combination of lipase, amylase, or pancreatic elastase-1 results does not significantly increase the accuracy of PDAC diagnosis.

Evaluating the renal safety of tenofovir disoproxil fumarate in hepatitis B patients without chronic kidney disease.

The nephrotoxicity of tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients without chronic kidney disease (CKD) remains controversial. We aimed to evaluate nephrotoxicity of TDF in this population. In this hospital-based cohort study, CHB patients who received either TDF or entecavir (ETV) therapy, and did not have underlying CKD, were retrospectively recruited from January, 2008 to January, 2019. After excluding those with confounding conditions, 257 TDF-treated patients were matched through propensity scores with 514 ETV-treated patients. Cumulative incidences of, and hazard ratios (HRs) for the CKD guideline-defined renal dysfunction, were analysed. The mean decline in glomerular filtration rate was similar over 60 months (TDF vs. ETV: 10.1 ml/min/1.73 m2 , 95% confidence interval [CI]: 7.4-12.7 vs. 8.0 ml/min/1.73 m2 , 95% CI: 6.4-9.6; p = .34). The 5-year cumulative incidence of renal dysfunction was not significantly different (TDF vs. ETV: 10.4%, 95% CI: 5.6-18.0 vs. 5.8%, 95% CI: 3.6-9.0; p = .18). However, in multivariable stratified analysis, TDF was associated with an increased risk of renal dysfunction in the elderly (age ≥60 years), when compared to ETV (HR 2.86, 95% CI: 1.02-8.01; p < .05). For confirming the effect of TDF amongst the elderly, 61 TDF-treated patients were further matched with 183 ETV-treated patients, with 5-year cumulative incidence of renal dysfunction being significantly higher in TDF users (TDF vs. ETV: 34.4%, 95% CI: 17.7-59.8 vs. 15.5%, 95% CI: 9.4-25.1; p < .05). TDF use was independently related to renal dysfunction (HR 2.71, 95% CI: 1.19-6.14; p < .05). Although TDF is generally safe for CHB patients without CKD, it is best to be avoided in the elderly.

Association of Daily Aspirin Therapy With Hepatocellular Carcinoma Risk in Patients With Chronic Hepatitis C Virus Infection.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Aspirin therapy has been associated with reduced risk of colon cancer, but there is only limited evidence for its effects on risk of hepatitis C virus (HCV)-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We aimed to investigate the association of daily aspirin therapy with HCV-related HCC risk. METHODS: In this cohort study, based on Taiwan's National Health Insurance Research Database, we screened 237,963 patients with chronic HCV infection for the period of 1997 through 2011. We excluded patients with confounding conditions and 2478 patients who continuously received daily aspirin therapy for 90 days or more (treated group) were randomly matched 1:2 with 4956 patients who had never received antiplatelet therapy (untreated group) by means of propensity scores. Cumulative incidence of, and hazard ratio (HR) for, HCC development were analyzed after we adjusted for patient mortality as a competing risk event. RESULTS: The cumulative incidence of HCC in the treated group was significantly lower than that in the untreated group over 5 years (4.67%; 95% CI, 3.74%-5.59% vs 7.32%; 95% CI, 6.33%-8.30%; P<.001). In the multivariable regression analysis, aspirin therapy was independently associated with a reduced HCC risk (HR, 0.78, 95% CI, 0.64-0.95; P = .011), after adjustment for age per year, male sex, cirrhosis, liver decompensation, hyperlipidemia, statin use, and interferon therapy. Sensitivity subgroup analyses also verified this association (all HRs<1.0). In addition, older age (HR, 1.03 per year; 95% CI, 1.02-1.04), male sex (HR, 1.46; 95% CI, 1.21-1.77), and cirrhosis (HR, 3.13; 95% CI, 2.55-3.84) were independently associated with an increased HCC risk. CONCLUSIONS: In a nationwide cohort study in Taiwan, we found aspirin therapy to be significantly associated with a reduced risk of HCV-related HCC.

Development of a scoring system to predict hepatocellular carcinoma in Asians on antivirals for chronic hepatitis B.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) during antiviral therapy in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) is inadequately predicted by the scores built from untreated patients. We aimed at developing and validating a risk score to predict HCC in patients with CHB on entecavir or tenofovir treatment. METHODS: This study analysed population-wide data from the healthcare databases in Taiwan and Hong Kong to identify patients with CHB continuously receiving entecavir or tenofovir. The development cohort included 23,851 patients from Taiwan; 596 (2.50%) of them developed HCC with a three-year cumulative incidence of 3.56% (95% CI 3.26-3.86%). The multivariable Cox proportional hazards model found that cirrhosis, age (cirrhosis and age interacted with each other), male sex, and diabetes mellitus were the risk determinants. These variables were weighted to develop the cirrhosis, age, male sex, and diabetes mellitus (CAMD) score ranging from 0 to 19 points. The score was externally validated in 19,321 patients from Hong Kong. RESULTS: The c indices for HCC in the development cohort were 0.83 (95% CI 0.81-0.84), 0.82 (95% CI 0.81-0.84), and 0.82 (95% CI 0.80-0.83) at the first, second, and third years of therapy, respectively. In the validation cohort, the c indices were 0.74 (95% CI 0.71-0.77), 0.75 (95% CI 0.73-0.78), and 0.75 (95% CI 0.72-0.77) during the first three years, and 0.76 (95% CI 0.74-0.78) and 0.76 (95% CI 0.74-0.77) in the extrapolated fourth and fifth years, respectively. The predicted and observed probabilities of HCC were calibrated in both cohorts. A score <8 and >13 points identified patients at distinctly low and high risks. CONCLUSIONS: The easily calculable CAMD score can predict HCC and may inform surveillance policy in patients with CHB during oral antiviral therapy. LAY SUMMARY: This study analyses population-wide data from the healthcare systems in Taiwan and Hong Kong to develop and validate a risk score that predicts hepatocellular carcinoma during oral antiviral therapy in patients with chronic hepatitis B. The easily calculable CAMD score requires only simple information (i.e. cirrhosis, age, male sex, and diabetes mellitus) at the baseline of treatment initiation. With a scoring range from 0 to 19 points, the CAMD score discriminates the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma with a concordance rate of around 75-80% during the first three years on therapy. The risk prediction can be extrapolated to five years on treatment with similar accuracy. Patients with a score <8 and >13 points were exposed to distinctly lower and higher risks, respectively.

Effect of Nucleos(t)ide Analogue Therapy on Risk of Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma in Patients With Chronic Hepatitis B.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Chronic infection with hepatitis B virus (HBV) increases risk of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC), but it is not clear whether antiviral therapy reduces risk. We investigated the association between nucleos(t)ide analogue therapy and ICC risk. METHODS: We performed a nationwide long-term cohort study using Taiwan's National Health Insurance Research Database to obtain data on 185,843 patients with chronic HBV infection from October 1, 2003 through December 31, 2012. We excluded patients with confounding disorders such as infection with hepatitis C virus, HIV, or other hepatitis-associated viruses; liver flukes; biliary stone diseases; cholangitis; congenital biliary anomalies; biliary tract surgeries; or cancer. We identified 10,062 patients who received nucleos(t)ide analogue therapy (the treated group), and used propensity scores to match them (1:1) with patients who received hepatoprotectants (the untreated group). Cumulative incidences of and hazard ratios (HRs) for ICC development were analyzed. RESULTS: The cumulative incidence of ICC was significantly lower in the treated group after 3 years of therapy (1.28%; 95% CI, 0.56-2.01) than in the untreated group (3.14%; 95% CI, 2.02-4.27) and after 5 years of therapy (1.53%; 95% CI, 0.73-2.33 vs 4.32% in untreated group; 95% CI, 2.96-5.6869). In multivariable regression analysis, nucleos(t)ide analogue therapy was independently associated with a reduced risk of ICC (HR, 0.44; 95% CI, 0.25-0.78; P = .005). Older age (HR 1.05 per year; 95% CI, 1.03-1.07) and cirrhosis (HR, 2.80; 95% CI, 1.52-5.1415) were independently associated with an increased risk of ICC. Sensitivity analyses verified the association between nucleos(t)ide analogue therapy and a reduced ICC risk. CONCLUSION: A nationwide long-term cohort study in Taiwan showed that nucleos(t)ide analogue therapy for chronic HBV infection is significantly associated with a reduced ICC risk.

Temporal trend and risk determinants of hepatocellular carcinoma in chronic hepatitis B patients on entecavir or tenofovir.

This study aimed to elucidate the temporal change and determinants for the risk of HCC in patients with chronic hepatitis B continuously receiving NUC. Through analysis of the national healthcare database in Taiwan, we screened a total of 65 426 infected patients receiving entecavir or tenofovir for at least 3 months and excluded those with lamivudine, adefovir or telbivudine exposure, malignancy, end-stage renal failure or a diagnosis of HCC within 3 months of starting treatment. Eligible patients (N = 27 820) were followed until HCC occurrence, completion of the allowed 3-year regimen or 31 December 2013. During a median follow-up of 25.1 (12.1-35.6) months, 802 patients developed HCC, with 1-, 2- and 3-year cumulative incidence of 1.82% (95% CI, 1.66-1.99%), 3.05% (95% CI, 2.82-3.28%) and 4.06% (95% CI, 3.77-4.36%), respectively. HCC annual incidence decreased with an adjusted IRR of 0.73 (95% CI, 0.66-0.80) per yearly interval and was associated with cirrhosis (IRR, 10.07; 95% CI, 6.00-16.90 in age <40 years; 4.69; 95% CI, 3.94-5.59 in age ≧40 years), age (IRR, 3.38; 95% CI, 2.10-5.47 for 40-50 years; 6.92; 95% CI, 4.27-11.21 for 50-60 years; 12.50; 95% CI, 7.71-20.25 for ≧60 years; <40 years as reference), male sex (IRR, 1.71; 95% CI, 1.44-2.04), HCV coinfection (IRR, 1.27; 95% CI, 1.02-1.58) and diabetes (IRR, 1.24; 95% CI, 1.05-1.45). In conclusion, the risk of HCC in patients with chronic hepatitis B receiving entecavir or tenofovir declines over time and is determined by cirrhosis, age, male sex, HCV coinfection and diabetes.

Risk factors and metabolic abnormality of patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease: Either non-obese or obese Chinese population.

BACKGROUND: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) occurs not only in obese individuals but also in non-obese ones. The aim of this study was to focus on the association between NAFLD and metabolic events in a non-obese or obese Chinese population. METHODS: Data collected from subjects registered at Taichung Veterans General Hospital from January to December 2009 were analyzed. The exclusion criteria were alcoholics, chronic hepatitis B or C. Patients included in analyses were assigned to four groups according to sonography of their liver (normal or NAFLD), and body mass index (BMI) levels (non-obese if BMI < 25 kg/m2 or obese if BMI ≥ 25 kg/m2). RESULTS: There were 745, 208, 770 and 285 patients enrolled in four groups labeled non-obese normal liver (group A), non-obese NAFLD (group B), obese normal liver (group C) and obese NAFLD (group D), respectively. The highest ratio of metabolic syndrome existed in the group B (26.9%), followed by group A (11.7%), group D (10.9%) and finally the group C (5.2%). The positive association with NAFLD in non-obese individuals was significant in triglyceride (OR = 1.01; 95% CI: 1.01-1.02) and glucose (OR = 1.02; 95% CI: 1.01-1.03), while the positive association with NAFLD in obese subjects was only significant in triglyceride (OR = 1.01; 95% CI: 1.01-1.02). The positive association was most significant in all cases (adjusted OR = 2.41; 95% CI: 1.78-3.24), especially in non-obese individuals (OR = 2.81; 95% CI: 1.92-4.12). CONCLUSIONS: Non-obese NAFLD subjects displayed a higher proportion of metabolic abnormality. Hyperlipidemia and hyperglycemia had the most positive strength association with NAFLD.

The occurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma in different risk stratifications of clinically noncirrhotic nonalcoholic fatty liver disease.

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) may be a cause of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), but its high prevalence challenges current surveillance strategies. We aimed to evaluate HCC incidences in different risk stratifications for noncirrhotic NAFLD. Using Taiwan's National Health Insurance Research Database, we located 31,571 patients with NAFLD between the years 1998 and 2012. After excluding other causes of hepatitis, underlying cirrhosis or malignancy, 18,080 patients were recruited for final analysis. Cumulative incidences of HCC were analyzed after adjusting for competing mortality. With a median follow-up duration of 6.32 years in the study cohort, the 10-year cumulative incidence of HCC was 2.73% [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.69-3.76%]. Hepatoprotectant was used as a surrogate marker for elevated serum alanine transaminase (ALT). After adjusting for age, gender, hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, diabetes mellitus, gout, statin use, metformin use and aspirin use, elevated ALT was independently associated with an increased HCC risk [hazard ratio (HR) 6.80, 95% CI: 3.00-15.42; p < 0.001]. Multivariate stratified analysis verified this association in all subgroups (HR> 1.0). Moreover, increased age (HR 1.08 per year, 95% CI: 1.05-1.11) and statin use (HR 0.29, 95% CI: 0.12-0.68) were also identified as independent risk factors. The 10-year cumulative HCC incidence was highest in older (age >55 years) patients with ALT elevation (12.41%, 95% CI: 5.99-18.83%), but lowest in younger patients without ALT elevation (0.36%, 95% CI: 0-1.08%). The incidence of HCC was relatively low in patients with clinically noncirrhotic NAFLD, however, HCC risk was significantly increased in older patients experiencing an elevated serum ALT.

Association between nucleos(t)ide analog and tumor recurrence in hepatitis B virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma after radiofrequency ablation.

UNLABELLED: Radiofrequency ablation (RFA) is the best choice for curative treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) cases not suitable for surgical intervention, but efforts should be made to reduce the risk of tumor recurrence. We aimed to investigate the association between nucleos(t)ide analog (NA) therapy for hepatitis B virus (HBV) and the risk of HCC recurrence post-RFA. Using the Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database between July 1, 2004 and December 31, 2012, we screened 48,807 patients with newly diagnosed HBV-related HCC. We identified 850 patients (200 patients who used NAs for more than 90 days and 650 who never used NA post-RFA) who received RFA as a potentially curative treatment for HCC. Patients in the NA-treated cohort were randomly matched 1:2 with patients in the untreated cohort by age, sex, cirrhosis, and the time period between RFA and initiation of NA therapy. Finally, 133 patients were recruited in the NA-treated group and 266 in the untreated group for analysis. Cumulative incidences of and hazard ratios (HRs) for HCC recurrence were analyzed after adjusting for competing mortality. The HCC recurrence rate of the NA-treated group was significantly lower than that of the untreated group (2-year recurrence rate: 41.8%; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 32.9-50.6 vs. 54.3%; 95% CI: 48.0-60.6; modified log-rank test: P < 0.05). In modified Cox's regression analysis, NA therapy was independently associated with a decreased risk of HCC recurrence (HR, 0.69; 95% CI: 0.50-0.95; P < 0.05). Multivariate stratified analyses verified the association of NA therapy and decreased HCC recurrence in almost all patient subgroups. CONCLUSION: NA therapy was associated with a decreased risk of HCC recurrence among patients with HBV-related HCC post-RFA.

The association of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and metabolic syndrome in a Chinese population.

BACKGROUND: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is associated with features of metabolic syndrome. The aim of this study was to investigate the association between NAFLD and metabolic syndrome in a Chinese population. METHODS: Data from subjects were retrospectively collected from 2006 to 2009. The exclusion criteria included significant consumption of alcohol and chronic hepatitis B and C. The patients were assigned to two groups according to ultrasound findings: normal group and fatty liver group. The liver function of patients was determined by assessing serum alanine aminotransferase (ALT). Metabolic syndrome was diagnosed based on the 2005 International Diabetes Federation criteria. RESULTS: A total of 7568 subjects were enrolled and 5736 (75.8%) and 1832 (24.2%) patients were assigned to the normal and fatty liver groups, respectively. The fatty liver group had significant male predominance (69.7% vs 56.0%), higher body mass index (mean, 26.67 vs 23.55 kg/m2) compared with the normal group. There were 441 (7.7%) and 377 (20.6%) cases with metabolic syndrome in the normal and fatty liver groups, respectively, with significant difference (P=0.001), and the subgroup of 385 cases with fatty liver and elevated ALT had higher prevalence (28.8%) of metabolic syndrome. The strongest association of an individual component of metabolic syndrome with NAFLD was hyperlipidemia (adjusted OR=2.55, 95% CI: 2.22-2.94). CONCLUSION: The individuals with NAFLD had a higher ratio of metabolic syndrome. Hyperlipidemia had the strongest positive association with NAFLD.

Association between ultrasonography screening and mortality in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma: a nationwide cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: Current guidelines recommend screening for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in high-risk populations. However, the effectiveness of screening in reducing mortality has been challenged. In addition, it is unclear which subgroups benefit most from HCC screening. DESIGN: This nationwide cohort study identified a total of 52,823 newly diagnosed HCC patients between 1 January 2002 and 31 December 2007. These HCC patients were classified into the following cohorts according to the time intervals in which they received ultrasonography screening: 0-6 months (6M), 7-12 months (12M), 13-24 months (24M), 25-36 months (36M) and not screened within 3 years (never screened). The chance to receive curative therapy and 5-year cumulative mortalities were calculated after adjusting for lead-time bias. RESULTS: Chances to receive curative therapy among the 6M, 12M, 24M, 36M and never screened cohorts were 24.3% (95% CI 23.7% to -24.9%), 26.9% (95% CI 25.7% to 28.2%), 22.9% (95% CI 21.8% to 24.1%), 21.3% (95% CI 19.9% to 22.8%) and 18.3% (95% CI 17.8% to 18.8%), respectively. Compared with the 6M cohort, adjusted HRs of mortality for the 12M, 24M, 36M and never screened cohorts were 1.11 (95% CI 1.07 to 1.15), 1.23 (95% CI 1.19 to 1.28), 1.31 (95% CI 1.26 to 1.37) and 1.47 (95% CI 1.43 to 1.51) (all p<0.001), respectively. On multivariable subgroup analyses, the associations between shorter screening intervals and better survival were observed in nearly all subgroups, especially in younger patients, patients without diabetes and patients with hepatitis B infection. CONCLUSIONS: Shorter ultrasonography screening intervals are associated with reduced overall mortality in HCC patients in a dose-dependent manner.

The Incidence of Gastric Adenocarcinoma Among Patients With Gastric Intestinal Metaplasia: A Long-term Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Gastric intestinal metaplasia (IM) has been known as a premalignant condition, but estimates of its cancer risk vary widely. We aimed to analyze cancer risk of gastric IM by a long-term cohort study. METHODS: We conducted a hospital-based study that included all patients with gastric IM between 1992 and 2010, and the development of gastric adenocarcinoma was evaluated until July 2011. Patients developing gastric cancer ≤180 days after the index diagnosis of IM were excluded. The incidence rate, the cumulative incidence, and the standardized incidence ratio (SIR) of gastric cancer were determined, and hazard ratios (HRs) of risk factors were calculated. RESULTS: We identified 7059 patients with a median follow-up duration of 5.1 years, and 81 patients developed gastric adenocarcinoma during the study period. The 5-, 10-, and 15-year cumulative incidences of gastric cancer were 0.9% [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.6-1.1), 2.0% (95% CI, 1.5-2.6), and 3.0% (95% CI, 2.0-4.0), respectively. On multivariate analysis, older age (eg, 75 y and above; HR=7.4; 95% CI, 2.8-19.6), low-grade dysplasia (HR=4.0; 95% CI, 2.1-7.9), and high-grade dysplasia (HR=18.8; 95% CI, 9.0-39.5) were independent risk factors. As compared with the risk in the general population, the SIR of gastric cancer among patients with gastric IM was 2.5 (95% CI, 2.0-3.1). However, the SIR was only 2.0 (95% CI, 1.5-2.6) in the nondysplasia subgroup, but was up to 35.2 (95% CI, 15.2-69.4) in the high-grade dysplasia subgroup. CONCLUSIONS: Gastric IM is an important risk factor for gastric cancer, but surveillance should be arranged only for those at an especially high risk.