Cardiopulmonary bypass management and acute kidney injury in cardiac surgery patients.

BACKGROUND: Cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) ensures tissue oxygenation during cardiac surgery. New technology allows continuous registration of CPB variables during the operation. The aim of the present investigation was to study the association between CPB management and the risk of postoperative acute kidney injury (AKI). METHODS: This observational study based on prospectively registered data included 2661 coronary artery bypass grafting and/or valve patients operated during 2016-2020. Individual patient characteristics and postoperative outcomes collected from the SWEDEHEART registry were merged with CPB variables automatically registered every 20 s during CPB. Associations between CPB variables and AKI were analyzed with multivariable logistic regression models adjusted for patient characteristics. RESULTS: In total, 387 patients (14.5%) developed postoperative AKI. After adjustments, longer time on CPB and aortic cross-clamp, periods of compromised blood flow during aortic cross-clamp time, and lower nadir hematocrit were associated with the risk of AKI, while mean blood flow, bladder temperature, central venous pressure, and mixed venous oxygen saturation were not. Patient characteristics independently associated with AKI were advanced age, higher body mass index, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, atrial fibrillation, lower left ventricular ejection fraction, estimated glomerular filtration rate <60 or >90 mL/min/m2 , and preoperative hemoglobin concentration below or above the normal sex-specific range. CONCLUSIONS: To reduce the risk of AKI after cardiac surgery, aortic clamp time and CPB time should be kept short, and low hematocrit and periods of compromised blood flow during aortic cross-clamp time should be avoided if possible.

Dyslipidemia, inflammation, calcification, and adiposity in aortic stenosis: a genome-wide study.

AIMS: Although highly heritable, the genetic etiology of calcific aortic stenosis (AS) remains incompletely understood. The aim of this study was to discover novel genetic contributors to AS and to integrate functional, expression, and cross-phenotype data to identify mechanisms of AS. METHODS AND RESULTS: A genome-wide meta-analysis of 11.6 million variants in 10 cohorts involving 653 867 European ancestry participants (13 765 cases) was performed. Seventeen loci were associated with AS at P ≤ 5 × 10-8, of which 15 replicated in an independent cohort of 90 828 participants (7111 cases), including CELSR2-SORT1, NLRP6, and SMC2. A genetic risk score comprised of the index variants was associated with AS [odds ratio (OR) per standard deviation, 1.31; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.26-1.35; P = 2.7 × 10-51] and aortic valve calcium (OR per standard deviation, 1.22; 95% CI, 1.08-1.37; P = 1.4 × 10-3), after adjustment for known risk factors. A phenome-wide association study indicated multiple associations with coronary artery disease, apolipoprotein B, and triglycerides. Mendelian randomization supported a causal role for apolipoprotein B-containing lipoprotein particles in AS (OR per g/L of apolipoprotein B, 3.85; 95% CI, 2.90-5.12; P = 2.1 × 10-20) and replicated previous findings of causality for lipoprotein(a) (OR per natural logarithm, 1.20; 95% CI, 1.17-1.23; P = 4.8 × 10-73) and body mass index (OR per kg/m2, 1.07; 95% CI, 1.05-1.9; P = 1.9 × 10-12). Colocalization analyses using the GTEx database identified a role for differential expression of the genes LPA, SORT1, ACTR2, NOTCH4, IL6R, and FADS. CONCLUSION: Dyslipidemia, inflammation, calcification, and adiposity play important roles in the etiology of AS, implicating novel treatments and prevention strategies.

Inter- and intra-observer variability in the echocardiographic evaluation of wall motion abnormality in patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction or takotsubo syndrome - A novel approach.

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES: Using existing transthoracic echocardiographic indices to quantify left ventricular wall motion abnormalities (WMAs) can be difficult due to the variations in the location of the abnormalities within the left ventricle, the quality of examinations, and the inter-/intra-observer variability of available indices. This study aimed to evaluate a new approach for measuring the extent of WMA by calculating the percentage of abnormal wall motion and comparing it to the wall motion score index (WMSI). The study also sought to assess inter- and intra-observer variability. METHODS: The study included 140 echocardiograms from 54 patients presenting with ST-elevation myocardial infarction or Takotsubo syndrome. All patients underwent an echocardiographic examination according to a standard protocol and the images were used to measure the extent of akinesia (proportion akinesia, PrA), akinesia and hypokinesia (proportion akinesia/hypokinesia, PrAH), and WMSI. The inter-observer variability between the two operators was analyzed. The intra-observer analysis was performed by one observer using the same images at least 1 month after the first measurement. The agreement was analyzed using the Pearson correlation coefficient and Bland-Altman plots. RESULTS: Inter- and intra-observer variability for PrA and PrAH were low and comparable to those for WMSI. CONCLUSION: PrA and PrAH are reliable and reproducible echocardiographic methods for the evaluation of left ventricular wall motion.

Genetically determined NLRP3 inflammasome activation associates with systemic inflammation and cardiovascular mortality.

AIMS: Inflammation plays an important role in cardiovascular disease (CVD) development. The NOD-like receptor protein-3 (NLRP3) inflammasome contributes to the development of atherosclerosis in animal models. Components of the NLRP3 inflammasome pathway such as interleukin-1ß can therapeutically be targeted. Associations of genetically determined inflammasome-mediated systemic inflammation with CVD and mortality in humans are unknown. METHODS AND RESULTS: We explored the association of genetic NLRP3 variants with prevalent CVD and cardiovascular mortality in 538 167 subjects on the individual participant level in an explorative gene-centric approach without performing multiple testing. Functional relevance of single-nucleotide polymorphisms on NLRP3 inflammasome activation has been evaluated in monocyte-enriched peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs). Genetic analyses identified the highly prevalent (minor allele frequency 39.9%) intronic NLRP3 variant rs10754555 to affect NLRP3 gene expression. rs10754555 carriers showed significantly higher C-reactive protein and serum amyloid A plasma levels. Carriers of the G allele showed higher NLRP3 inflammasome activation in isolated human PBMCs. In carriers of the rs10754555 variant, the prevalence of coronary artery disease was significantly higher as compared to non-carriers with a significant interaction between rs10754555 and age. Importantly, rs10754555 carriers had significantly higher risk for cardiovascular mortality during follow-up. Inflammasome inducers (e.g. urate, triglycerides, apolipoprotein C3) modulated the association between rs10754555 and mortality. CONCLUSION: The NLRP3 intronic variant rs10754555 is associated with increased systemic inflammation, inflammasome activation, prevalent coronary artery disease, and mortality. This study provides evidence for a substantial role of genetically driven systemic inflammation in CVD and highlights the NLRP3 inflammasome as a therapeutic target.

Lung recruitment in the prone position after cardiac surgery: a randomised controlled study.

BACKGROUND: Atelectasis after cardiac surgery is common and promotes ventilation/perfusion mismatch, infection, and delayed discharge from critical care. Recruitment manoeuvres are often performed to reduce atelectasis. In severe respiratory failure, recruitment manoeuvres in the prone position may increase oxygenation, survival, or both. We compared the effects of recruitment manoeuvres in the prone vs supine position on lung aeration and oxygenation in cardiac surgical patients. METHODS: Subjects were randomised to recruitment manoeuvres (40 cm H2O peak inspiratory pressure and 20 cm H2O PEEP for 30 s) in either the prone or supine position after uncomplicated cardiac surgery. The co-primary endpoints were lung aeration (end-expiratory lung volume measured by electrical impedance tomography (arbitrary units [a.u.]) and lung oxygenation (ratio of arterial oxygen partial pressure to fractional inspired oxygen [Pao2/FiO2 ratio]). Secondary outcomes included postoperative oxygen requirement and adverse events. RESULTS: Thirty subjects (27% female; age, 48-81 yr) were recruited. Dorsal lung tidal volume was higher after prone recruitment manoeuvres (363 a.u.; 95% confidence intervals [CI], 283-443; n=15) after extubation, compared with supine recruitment manoeuvres (212 a.u.; 95% CI, 170-254; n=15; P<0.001). Prone recruitment manoeuvres increased dorsal end-expiratory lung volume by 724 a.u. (95% CI, 456-992) after extubation, compared with 163 a.u. decrease (95% CI, 73-252) after supine recruitment manoeuvres (P<0.001). The Pao2/FiO2 ratio after extubation was higher after prone recruitment manoeuvres (46.6; 95% CI, 40.7-53.0) compared with supine recruitment manoeuvres (39.3; 95% CI, 34.8-43.8; P=0.04). Oxygen therapy after extubation was shorter after prone (33 h [13]) vs supine recruitment manoeuvres (52 h [22]; P=0.01). No adverse events occurred. CONCLUSIONS: Recruitment manoeuvres in the prone position after cardiac surgery improve lung aeration and oxygenation. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT03009331.

Secondary prevention medications after coronary artery bypass grafting and long-term survival: a population-based longitudinal study from the SWEDEHEART registry.

AIMS: To evaluate the long-term use of secondary prevention medications [statins, ß-blockers, renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system (RAAS) inhibitors, and platelet inhibitors] after coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) and the association between medication use and mortality. METHODS AND RESULTS: All patients who underwent isolated CABG in Sweden from 2006 to 2015 and survived at least 6 months after discharge were included (n = 28 812). Individual patient data from SWEDEHEART and other mandatory nationwide registries were merged. Multivariable Cox regression models using time-updated data on dispensed prescriptions were used to assess associations between medication use and long-term mortality. Statins were dispensed to 93.9% of the patients 6 months after discharge and to 77.3% 8 years later. Corresponding figures for ß-blockers were 91.0% and 76.4%, for RAAS inhibitors 72.9% and 65.9%, and for platelet inhibitors 93.0% and 79.8%. All medications were dispensed less often to patients ≥75 years. Treatment with statins [hazard ratio (HR) 0.56, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) 0.52-0.60], RAAS inhibitors (HR 0.78, 95% CI 0.73-0.84), and platelet inhibitors (HR 0.74, 95% CI 0.69-0.81) were individually associated with lower mortality risk after adjustment for age, gender, comorbidities, and use of other secondary preventive drugs (all P < 0.001). There was no association between ß-blockers and mortality risk (HR 0.97, 95% CI 0.90-1.06; P = 0.54). CONCLUSION: The use of secondary prevention medications after CABG was high early after surgery but decreased significantly over time. The results of this observational study, with inherent risk of selection bias, suggest that treatment with statins, RAAS inhibitors, and platelet inhibitors is essential after CABG whereas the routine use of ß-blockers may be questioned.

Incidence of Ischemic Stroke in Individuals With and Without Aortic Valve Stenosis: A Danish Retrospective Cohort Study.

Background and Purpose- Aortic valve stenosis may lead to atrial and ventricular remodeling, predisposes to atrial fibrillation, and may also be an independent risk factor of ischemic stroke. However, information on stroke rates among persons with aortic valve stenosis are sparse. We aimed to determine the incidence rates and relative risks of ischemic stroke in individuals with diagnosed aortic valve stenosis compared with age- and sex-matched controls. Methods- All patients with incident aortic valve stenosis aged >18 years (n=79 310) and age- and sex-matched controls were identified using the Danish nationwide registries (1997-2017). Incidence rates per 1000 person-years (PY) and multivariable adjusted hazard ratios with 95% CIs were reported. Results- In total, 873 373 individuals (median age 77 years, 51.5% men, 9.1% with aortic valve stenosis) were included. Ischemic stroke occurred in 70 205 (8.0%) individuals during 4 880 862 PY of follow-up. Incidence rates of ischemic stroke were 13.3/1000 PY among the controls compared with 30.4/1000 PY in patients with aortic valve stenosis, corresponding to a hazard ratio of 1.31 (95% CI, 1.28-1.34). In all age-groups, the incidence rates and relative risks were significantly increased in patients with aortic valve stenosis compared with controls, but the relative risk was greater for younger individuals (eg, age group, 18-45 years: hazard ratio, 5.94 [95% CI, 4.10-8.36]). In patients with aortic valve stenosis above 65 years of age, the risk of ischemic stroke was markedly lower after aortic valve replacement (30.3 versus 19.6/1000 PY before and after valve replacement). Among people with atrial fibrillation the incidence rate of ischemic stroke was 1.5 times higher when aortic valve stenosis was present (33.0/1000 PY versus 49.9/1000 PY). Conclusions- People with aortic valve stenosis have a significantly increased risk of ischemic stroke compared with age- and sex-matched controls. Future studies are warranted to explore whether antithrombotic therapy may be beneficial in some individuals.

Association between dietary fiber intake and risk of incident aortic stenosis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Although aortic stenosis is the most common valvular heart disease requiring intervention in Europe, the role that diet plays in development of the disease is largely unknown. The pathophysiology of aortic stenosis is however similar to other cardiovascular diseases that fiber intake has been associated with. The aim of this study was consequently to investigate the association between dietary fiber intake as well as the main food sources of fiber, i.e. fruit and vegetables and whole grains, and risk of incident aortic stenosis. METHODS AND RESULTS: The Malmö Diet and Cancer Study is a Swedish prospective population-based cohort study with baseline data collection performed between year 1991-1996. Dietary habits were recorded through seven-day food diaries, 168-item diet questionnaires, and interviews, and data on incident aortic stenosis was collected through national registers. Among the 26,063 participants, 672 cases were ascertained during a mean follow-up period of 20 years. Cox regression was used to estimate the association between dietary intakes and incident aortic stenosis. No associations were found between incident aortic stenosis and intake of dietary fiber (HR for the highest vs lowest quintile: 0.93; 95% CI: 0.72-1.24), fruit and vegetables (HR: 0.98; 95% CI: 0.76-1.28), or whole grains (HR: 1.00; 95% CI: 0.79-1.26) in the main model. CONCLUSION: The findings of this study do not indicate that consumption of dietary fiber or fiber rich foods are associated with incident aortic stenosis.

Longitudinal evaluation of ventricular ejection fraction and NT-proBNP across heart failure subgroups.

OBJECTIVES: Left ventricular ejection fraction (EF) and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) are important surrogate markers of cardiac function and wall stress. Randomized trials of heart failure (HF) have shown improvements in survival in patients with reduced EF (<40%, HFrEF) but not with preserved EF (≥50%, HFpEF) or mid-range EF (40-49%, HFmrEF). Limited information is available on the trajectory of EF in contemporary heart failure management programs (HFMPs). DESIGN: 201 HF patients consecutively enrolled 2010-2011 in the outpatient-based HFMP of Skåne University Hospital in Lund were included in the study. Probable etiology, EF, NT-proBNP and medications were assessed at baseline and 1 year after enrollment. RESULTS: HFrEF was the most common heart failure subgroup (78.1% of patients) in this HFMP, followed by HFmrEF (14.9%) and HFpEF (7.0%). The most common etiology was ischemic heart disease (IHD, 40.8%). Complete recovery of EF (>50%) was rare (14.1% of patients with HFrEF and 26.7% with HFmrEF), some degree of improvement was observed in 57.7% and 46.7% of patients. LVEF improved on average 9.1% in patients with HFrEF (p < .001) and NT-proBNP decreased from 4,202 to 2,030 pg/ml (p < .001). A similar trend was noticed for the HFmrEF group but was not statistically significant. The improvement in LVEF was consistent across subgroups with HF attributable to IHD (6.2%), idiopathic dilated cardiomyopathy (7.1%) and tachycardia-induced HF (17.5%). CONCLUSIONS: This study provides estimates of the improvement in LVEF and NT-proBNP that can be expected with contemporary management across subgroups of HF and different etiologies in a contemporary HFMP.

Temporal trends in the incidence and prognosis of aortic stenosis: a nationwide study of the Swedish population.

BACKGROUND: The aging of Western populations is expected to result in increasing occurrence of aortic stenosis (AS), but data are limited. Recent studies have reported declining incidence and mortality for other major heart diseases. We aimed to study temporal trends in the incidence and prognosis for AS in Sweden. METHODS AND RESULTS: With the use of nationwide registers, all adult patients in the Swedish population with a first diagnosis of AS, heart failure, acute myocardial infarction, and aortic valve replacement for AS between 1989 and 2009 were identified and followed up until the end of 2010 for all-cause and cardiovascular-related mortality. The age-adjusted incidence of AS in Sweden declined from 15.0 to 11.4 in men and 9.8 to 7.1 in women per 100 000 between 1989 to 1991 and 2007 to 2009, and the median age at diagnosis increased by 4 years for both men and women. The age- and sex-adjusted relative risk of 1- and 3-year mortality in 2007 to 2009 was 0.58 (95% confidence interval, 0.53-0.63) and 0.60 (95% confidence interval, 0.56-0.65), respectively, compared with 1989 to 1991. Similar improvements were observed for heart failure and acute myocardial infarction. Findings were broadly consistent across subgroups. Postoperative mortality at 30 days declined despite increased median age at diagnosis. CONCLUSIONS: Incidence and mortality rates in AS in Sweden declined between 1989 and 2009 to an extent similar to that observed for heart failure and acute myocardial infarction. These findings could suggest that improved risk factor control and cardiovascular therapy, combined with increased use of aortic valve replacement in the elderly and reduced perioperative mortality in aortic valve replacement, have translated into favorable effects for AS.

Carotid plaque, intima-media thickness, and incident aortic stenosis: a prospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: Aortic stenosis (AS) shares risk factors with atherosclerotic vascular disease. Carotid intima-media thickness (IMT) and plaque may reflect the cumulative damage from exposure to different atherosclerotic risk factors. We examined the relationship of carotid IMT and plaque with incident AS in a prospective population-based study. APPROACH AND RESULTS: A random sample of participants (age, 45-68 years) in the population-based Malmö Diet and Cancer Study underwent B-mode ultrasound with measurements of IMT and the presence of plaque in the common carotid artery (n=5079). Potential risk factors for incident AS were studied in age- and sex-adjusted and expanded multivariable-adjusted Cox regression models. A total of 69 (1.4%) participants developed AS during up to 20 years of follow-up. Significant risk factors for AS in age- and sex-adjusted analyses were (P<0.05) body mass index, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, smoking, C-reactive protein, plaque, and IMT. In contrast, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, triglycerides, height, and leukocyte count were not significantly associated with AS (P>0.05). After adjustments, IMT, plaque, age, smoking, C-reactive protein, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and diabetes mellitus remained significantly associated with incident AS. IMT was no longer significantly associated with AS after adjustments for plaque and systolic blood pressure, but plaque remained significantly associated with incident AS. CONCLUSIONS: Traditional cardiovascular risk factors were individually associated with incident AS, and in multivariable models low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, smoking, age, presence of plaque, C-reactive protein, and diabetes mellitus remained significant predictors of incident AS. AS represents a vascular disorder related to carotid plaque, with potential implications for the pathophysiology and prevention of this disease.

Anemia in the general population: prevalence, clinical correlates and prognostic impact.

Low hemoglobin concentration is associated with increased mortality, but there is disagreement with regard to the clinical definition of anemia. We aimed to evaluate the prevalence, clinical correlates and association with total and cause-specific long-term mortality across the hemoglobin distribution and for previously proposed definitions of anemia. Blood hemoglobin concentration and mean corpuscular volume was measured in participants of the Malmö diet and cancer study-a prospective cohort study, and related to baseline characteristics and outcomes during follow-up. Primary endpoints were all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality and cancer-related mortality. A U-shaped association of hemoglobin with total mortality was observed in spline regression analyses, with nadir at hemoglobin 150 g/L among men and 130 g/L among women. Mortality increased steeply with more strict definitions of anemia, hazard ratio: 1.36, 1.94 and 2.16 for hemoglobin <140/130 (men/women), 132/122 and 130/120 g/L, respectively. Similar trends were seen for both cancer- and cardiovascular mortality. The incidence of coronary disease and cancer did not differ across groups. Erythrocyte volume was an independent predictor of mortality, with the highest mortality observed for macrocytic anemia, which was less prevalent than microcytic and normocytic anemia. Dietary intake of iron and vitamin B12 were significantly lower and use of antithrombotic medications was significantly higher in subjects with anemia. The World Health Organisation definition of anemia was associated with increased mortality (hazard ratio 2.16) but excess mortality was also observed at higher hemoglobin levels. Of morphological subtypes, anemia with macrocytosis was rare but associated with the highest mortality.

A pharmacodynamic comparison of 5 anti-platelet protocols in patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction undergoing primary PCI.

BACKGROUND: Despite advances in anti-platelet treatments, there still exists an early increase in both ischemic as well as bleeding events following primary PCI in patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). Platelet inhibition data of different anti-platelet treatments in the acute phase of a myocardial infarction might offer some insight into these problems. The aim of this study was to evaluate the pharmacodynamic profile of 5 different anti-platelet treatments in the acute phase of STEMI in patients undergoing primary PCI. METHODS: A total of 223 STEMI patients undergoing primary PCI were prospectively included. Patients received either pre-hospital clopidogrel only, pre-hospital clopidogrel followed by prasugrel switch in the cath lab, prasugrel treatment only, pre-hospital clopidogrel followed by ticagrelor switch in the cath lab or pre-hospital ticagrelor only. Platelet reactivity was measured serially using vasodilator-stimulated phosphoprotein (VASP). RESULTS: Patients receiving pre-hospital clopidogrel followed by prasugrel switch showed similar platelet inhibition data as patients receiving prasugrel only, with more than 90% being good responders the day after PCI. Average time from prasugrel administration to a VASP value of <50% was 1.5 hours. In patients receiving pre-hospital ticagrelor, 50% were good responders at completion of PCI and average time to a VASP-value of <50% was 2.3 hours. Only 32% of patients receiving clopidogrel only were responders the day after PCI. CONCLUSIONS: Switching from an upstream bolus dose of clopidogrel to prasugrel at the time of PCI, appeared as a safe and feasible option with no tendency for overshoot or attenuation of platelet inhibition. Pre-hospital administration of ticagrelor was associated with a 50% good responder rate at completion of PCI.

Renin-angiotensin system inhibition after surgical aortic valve replacement for aortic stenosis.

OBJECTIVE: The optimal medical therapy after surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR) for aortic stenosis remains unknown. Renin-angiotensin system (RAS) inhibitors could potentially improve cardiac remodelling and clinical outcomes after SAVR. METHODS: All patients undergoing SAVR due to aortic stenosis in Sweden 2006-2020 and surviving 6 months after surgery were included. The primary outcome was major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs; all-cause mortality, stroke or myocardial infarction). Secondary endpoints included the individual components of MACE and cardiovascular mortality. Time-updated adjusted Cox regression models were used to compare patients with and without RAS inhibitors. Subgroup analyses were performed, as well as a comparison between angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitors and angiotensin II receptor blockers (ARBs). RESULTS: A total of 11 894 patients (mean age, 69.5 years, 40.4% women) were included. Median follow-up time was 5.4 (2.7-8.5) years. At baseline, 53.6% of patients were dispensed RAS inhibitors, this proportion remained stable during follow-up. RAS inhibition was associated with a lower risk of MACE (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 0.87 (95% CI 0.81 to 0.93), p<0.001), mainly driven by a lower risk of all-cause death (aHR 0.79 (0.73 to 0.86), p<0.001). The lower MACE risk was consistent in all subgroups except for those with mechanical prostheses (aHR 1.07 (0.84 to 1.37), p for interaction=0.040). Both treatment with ACE inhibitors (aHR 0.89 (95% CI 0.82 to 0.97)) and ARBs (0.87 (0.81 to 0.93)) were associated with lower risk of MACE. CONCLUSION: The results of this study suggest that medical therapy with an RAS inhibitor after SAVR is associated with a 13% lower risk of MACE and a 21% lower risk of all-cause death.

Recurrence of Atrial Fibrillation in Patients With New-Onset Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation After Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting.

Importance: New-onset postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) occurs in approximately 30% of patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG). It is unknown whether early recurrence is associated with worse outcomes. Objective: To test the hypothesis that early AF recurrence in patients with POAF after CABG is associated with worse outcomes. Design, Setting, and Participants: This Swedish nationwide cohort study used prospectively collected data from the SWEDEHEART (Swedish Web System for Enhancement and Development of Evidence-Based Care in Heart Disease Evaluated According to Recommended Therapies) registry and 3 other mandatory national registries. The study included patients who underwent isolated first-time CABG between January 1, 2007, and December 31, 2020, and developed POAF. Data analysis was performed between March 6 and September 16, 2023. Exposure: Early AF recurrence defined as an episode of AF leading to hospital care within 3 months after discharge. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was all-cause mortality. Secondary outcomes included ischemic stroke, any thromboembolism, heart failure hospitalization, and major bleeding within 2 years after discharge. The groups were compared with multivariable Cox regression models, with early AF recurrence as a time-dependent covariate. The hypothesis tested was formulated after data collection. Results: Of the 35 329 patients identified, 10 609 (30.0%) developed POAF after CABG and were included in this study. Their median age was 71 (IQR, 66-76) years. The median follow-up was 7.1 (IQR, 2.9-9.0) years, and most patients (81.6%) were men. Early AF recurrence occurred in 6.7% of patients. Event rates (95% CIs) per 100 patient-years with vs without early AF recurrence were 2.21 (1.49-3.24) vs 2.03 (1.83-2.25) for all-cause mortality, 3.94 (2.92-5.28) vs 2.79 (2.56-3.05) for heart failure hospitalization, and 3.97 (2.95-5.30) vs 2.74 (2.51-2.99) for major bleeding. No association between early AF recurrence and all-cause mortality was observed (adjusted hazard ratio [AHR], 1.17 [95% CI, 0.80-1.74]; P = .41). In exploratory analyses, there was an association with heart failure hospitalization (AHR, 1.80 [95% CI, 1.32-2.45]; P = .001) and major bleeding (AHR, 1.92 [1.42-2.61]; P < .001). Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study of early AF recurrence after POAF in patients who underwent CABG, no association was found between early AF recurrence and all-cause mortality. Exploratory analyses showed associations between AF recurrence and heart failure hospitalization, oral anticoagulation, and major bleeding.

Postdischarge major bleeding, myocardial infarction, and mortality risk after coronary artery bypass grafting.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the incidence and mortality risk associated with postdischarge major bleeding after coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG), and relate this to the incidence of, and mortality risk from, postdischarge myocardial infarction. METHODS: All patients undergoing first-time isolated CABG in Sweden in 2006-2017 and surviving 14 days after hospital discharge were included in a cohort study. Individual patient data from the SWEDEHEART Registry and five other mandatory nationwide registries were merged. Piecewise Cox proportional hazards models were used to investigate associations between major bleeding, defined as hospitalisation for bleeding, with subsequent mortality risk. Similar Cox proportional hazards models were used to investigate the association between postdischarge myocardial infarction and mortality risk. RESULTS: Among 36 633 patients, 2429 (6.6%) had a major bleeding event and 2231 (6.1%) had a myocardial infarction. Median follow-up was 6.0 (range 0-11) years. Major bleeding was associated with higher mortality risk <30 days (adjusted HR (aHR)=20.2 (95% CI 17.3 to 23.5)), 30-365 days (aHR=3.8 (95% CI 3.4 to 4.3)) and >365 days (aHR=1.8 (95% CI 1.7 to 2.0)) after the event. Myocardial infarction was associated with higher mortality risk <30 days (aHR=20.0 (95% CI 16.7 to 23.8)), 30-365 days (aHR=4.1 (95% CI 3.6 to 4.8)) and >365 days (aHR=1.8 (95% CI 1.7 to 2.0)) after the event. CONCLUSIONS: The increase in mortality risk associated with a postdischarge major bleeding after CABG is substantial and is similar to the mortality risk associated with a postdischarge myocardial infarction.

Statin treatment after surgical aortic valve replacement for aortic stenosis is associated with better long-term outcome.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to evaluate the association between statin use after surgical aortic valve replacement for aortic stenosis and long-term risk for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) in a large population-based, nationwide cohort. METHODS: All patients who underwent isolated surgical aortic valve replacement due to aortic stenosis in Sweden 2006-2020 and survived 6 months after discharge were included. Individual patient data from 5 nationwide registries were merged. Primary outcome is MACE (defined as all-cause mortality, myocardial infarction or stroke). Multivariable Cox regression model adjusted for age, sex, comorbidities, valve type, operation year and secondary prevention medications is used to evaluate the association between time-updated dispense of statins and long-term outcome in the entire study population and in subgroups based on age, sex and comorbidities. RESULTS: A total of 11 894 patients were included. Statins were dispensed to 49.8% (5918/11894) of patients at baseline, and 51.0% (874/1713) after 10 years. At baseline, 3.6% of patients were dispensed low dose, 69.4% medium dose and 27.0% high-dose statins. After adjustments, ongoing statin treatment was associated with a reduced risk for MACE [adjusted hazard ratio 0.77 (95% confidence interval 0.71-0.83). P < 0.001], mainly driven by a reduction in all-cause mortality [adjusted hazard ratio, 0.70 (0.64-0.76)], P < 0.001. The results were consistent in all subgroups. CONCLUSIONS: The results suggest that statin therapy might be beneficial for patients undergoing surgical aortic valve replacement for aortic stenosis. Randomized controlled trials are warranted to establish causality between statin treatment and improved outcome.

Early ICD implantation following out-of-hospital cardiac arrest: a retrospective cohort study from the Swedish Registry for Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation.

BACKGROUND: It is unclear whether an implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) is generally beneficial in survivors of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). OBJECTIVE: We studied the association between ICD implantation prior to discharge and survival in patients with cardiac aetiology or initial shockable rhythm in OHCA. DESIGN: We conducted a retrospective cohort study in the Swedish Registry for Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation. Treatment associations were estimated using propensity scores. We used gradient boosting, Bayesian additive regression trees, neural networks, extreme gradient boosting and logistic regression to generate multiple propensity scores. We selected the model yielding maximum covariate balance to obtain weights, which were used in a Cox regression to calculate HRs for death or recurrent cardiac arrest. PARTICIPANTS: All cases discharged alive during 2010 to 2020 with a cardiac aetiology or initial shockable rhythm were included. A total of 959 individuals were discharged with an ICD, and 2046 were discharged without one. RESULTS: Among those experiencing events, 25% did so within 90 days in the ICD group, compared with 52% in the other group. All HRs favoured ICD implantation. The overall HR (95% CI) for ICD versus no ICD was 0.38 (0.26 to 0.56). The HR was 0.42 (0.28 to 0.63) in cases with initial shockable rhythm; 0.18 (0.06 to 0.58) in non-shockable rhythm; 0.32 (0.20 to 0.53) in cases with a history of coronary artery disease; 0.36 (0.22 to 0.61) in heart failure and 0.30 (0.13 to 0.69) in those with diabetes. Similar associations were noted in all subgroups. CONCLUSION: Among survivors of OHCA, those discharged with an ICD had approximately 60% lower risk of death or recurrent cardiac arrest. A randomised trial is warranted to study this further.

Prediction of survival in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest: the updated Swedish cardiac arrest risk score (SCARS) model.

Aims: Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) is a major health concern worldwide. Although one-third of all patients achieve a return of spontaneous circulation and may undergo a difficult period in the intensive care unit, only 1 in 10 survive. This study aims to improve our previously developed machine learning model for early prognostication of survival in OHCA. Methods and results: We studied all cases registered in the Swedish Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation Registry during 2010 and 2020 (n = 55 615). We compared the predictive performance of extreme gradient boosting (XGB), light gradient boosting machine (LightGBM), logistic regression, CatBoost, random forest, and TabNet. For each framework, we developed models that optimized (i) a weighted F1 score to penalize models that yielded more false negatives and (ii) a precision-recall area under the curve (PR AUC). LightGBM assigned higher importance values to a larger set of variables, while XGB made predictions using fewer predictors. The area under the curve receiver operating characteristic (AUC ROC) scores for LightGBM were 0.958 (optimized for weighted F1) and 0.961 (optimized for a PR AUC), while for XGB, the scores were 0.958 and 0.960, respectively. The calibration plots showed a subtle underestimation of survival for LightGBM, contrasting with a mild overestimation for XGB models. In the crucial range of 0-10% likelihood of survival, the XGB model, optimized with the PR AUC, emerged as a clinically safe model. Conclusion: We improved our previous prediction model by creating a parsimonious model with an AUC ROC at 0.96, with excellent calibration and no apparent risk of underestimating survival in the critical probability range (0-10%). The model is available at www.gocares.se.