Proteomic analysis of cardiorespiratory fitness for prediction of mortality and multisystem disease risks.

Despite the wide effects of cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF) on metabolic, cardiovascular, pulmonary and neurological health, challenges in the feasibility and reproducibility of CRF measurements have impeded its use for clinical decision-making. Here we link proteomic profiles to CRF in 14,145 individuals across four international cohorts with diverse CRF ascertainment methods to establish, validate and characterize a proteomic CRF score. In a cohort of around 22,000 individuals in the UK Biobank, a proteomic CRF score was associated with a reduced risk of all-cause mortality (unadjusted hazard ratio 0.50 (95% confidence interval 0.48-0.52) per 1 s.d. increase). The proteomic CRF score was also associated with multisystem disease risk and provided risk reclassification and discrimination beyond clinical risk factors, as well as modulating high polygenic risk of certain diseases. Finally, we observed dynamicity of the proteomic CRF score in individuals who undertook a 20-week exercise training program and an association of the score with the degree of the effect of training on CRF, suggesting potential use of the score for personalization of exercise recommendations. These results indicate that population-based proteomics provides biologically relevant molecular readouts of CRF that are additive to genetic risk, potentially modifiable and clinically translatable.

Plasma Proteomics of Exercise Blood Pressure and Incident Hypertension.

Importance: Blood pressure response during acute exercise (exercise blood pressure [EBP]) is associated with the future risk of hypertension and cardiovascular disease (CVD). Biochemical characterization of EBP could inform disease biology and identify novel biomarkers of future hypertension. Objective: To identify protein markers associated with EBP and test their association with incident hypertension. Design, Setting, and Participants: This study assayed 4977 plasma proteins in 681 healthy participants (from 763 assessed) of the Health, Risk Factors, Exercise Training and Genetics (HERITAGE; data collection from January 1993 to December 1997 and plasma proteomics from January 2019 to January 2020) Family Study at rest who underwent 2 cardiopulmonary exercise tests. Individuals were free of CVD at the time of recruitment. Individuals with resting SBP ≥160 mm Hg or DBP ≥100 mm Hg or taking antihypertensive drug therapy were excluded from the study. The association between resting plasma protein levels to both resting BP and EBP was evaluated. Proteins associated with EBP were analyzed for their association with incident hypertension in the Framingham Heart Study (FHS; n = 1177) and validated in the Jackson Heart Study (JHS; n = 772) and Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA; n = 1367). Proteins associated with incident hypertension were tested for putative causal links in approximately 700 000 individuals using cis-protein quantitative loci mendelian randomization (cis-MR). Data were analyzed from January 2023 to January 2024. Exposures: Plasma proteins. Main Outcomes and Measures: EBP was defined as the BP response during a fixed workload (50 W) on a cycle ergometer. Hypertension was defined as BP ≥140/90 mm Hg or taking antihypertensive medication. Results: Among the 681 participants in the HERITAGE Family Study, the mean (SD) age was 34 (13) years; 366 participants (54%) were female; 238 (35%) were self-reported Black and 443 (65%) were self-reported White. Proteomic profiling of EBP revealed 34 proteins that would not have otherwise been identified through profiling of resting BP alone. Transforming growth factor ß receptor 3 (TGFBR3) and prostaglandin D2 synthase (PTGDS) had the strongest association with exercise systolic BP (SBP) and diastolic BP (DBP), respectively (TGFBR3: exercise SBP, ß estimate, -3.39; 95% CI, -4.79 to -2.00; P = 2.33 × 10-6; PTGDS: exercise DBP ß estimate, -2.50; 95% CI, -3.29 to -1.70; P = 1.18 × 10-9). In fully adjusted models, TGFBR3 was inversely associated with incident hypertension in FHS, JHS, and MESA (hazard ratio [HR]: FHS, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.75-0.97; P = .01; JHS, 0.87; 95% CI, 0.77-0.97; P = .02; MESA, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.71-0.98; P = .03; pooled cohort, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.79-0.92; P = 6 × 10-5). Using cis-MR, genetically predicted levels of TGFBR3 were associated with SBP, hypertension, and CVD events (SBP: ß, -0.38; 95% CI, -0.64 to -0.11; P = .006; hypertension: odds ratio [OR], 0.99; 95% CI, 0.98-0.99; P < .001; heart failure with hypertension: OR, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.77-0.97; P = .01; CVD: OR, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.77-0.92; P = 8 × 10-5; cerebrovascular events: OR, 0.77; 95% CI, 0.70-0.85; P = 5 × 10-7). Conclusions and Relevance: Plasma proteomic profiling of EBP identified a novel protein, TGFBR3, which may protect against elevated BP and long-term CVD outcomes.