Impact of Sleep Apnea on Nocturnal Parasympathetic Activity in Atrial Fibrillation Patients After Catheter Ablation　- Implications for Heart Rate Variability Analysis.

BACKGROUND: The impact of sleep apnea (SA) on heart rate variability (HRV) in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients has not been investigated. METHODS AND RESULTS: Of 94 patients who underwent AF ablation between January 2021 and September 2022, 76 patients who had a nocturnal Holter electrocardiography and polysomnography conducted simultaneously were included in the analysis. A 15-min duration of HRV, as determined by an electrocardiogram during apnea and non-apnea time, were compared between patients with and without AF recurrence at 12 months' postoperatively. Patients had a mean age of 63.4±11.6 years, 14 were female, and 20 had AF recurrence at 12 months' follow-up. The root mean square of the difference between consecutive normal-to-normal intervals (RMSSD, ms) an indicator of a parasympathetic nervous system, was more highly increased in patients with AF recurrence than those without, during both apnea and non-apnea time (apnea time: 16.7±4.5 vs. 13.5±3.3, P=0.03; non-apnea time: 20.9±9.5 vs. 15.5±5.9, P<0.01). However, RMSSD during an apneic state was decreased more than that in a non-apneic state in both groups of patients with and without AF recurrence (AF recurrence group: 16.7±4.5 vs. 20.9±9.5, P<0.01; non-AF recurrence group; 13.5±3.3 vs. 15.5±5.9, P=0.03). Consequently, the effect of AF recurrence on parasympathetic activity was offset by SA. Similar trends were observed for other parasympathetic activity indices; high frequency (HF), logarithm of HF (lnHF) and the percentage of normal-to-normal intervals >50 ms (pNN50). CONCLUSIONS: Without considering the influence of SA, the results of nocturnal HRV analysis might be misinterpreted. Caution should be taken when using nocturnal HRV as a predictor of AF recurrence.

Outcome assessment for out-of-hospital cardiac arrest patients in Singapore and Japan with initial shockable rhythm.

BACKGROUND: Singapore and Osaka in Japan have comparable population sizes and prehospital management; however, the frequency of ECPR differs greatly for out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) patients with initial shockable rhythm. Given this disparity, we hypothesized that the outcomes among the OHCA patients with initial shockable rhythm in Singapore were different from those in Osaka. The aim of this study was to evaluate the outcomes of OHCA patients with initial shockable rhythm in Singapore compared to the expected outcomes derived from Osaka data using machine learning-based prediction models. METHODS: This was a secondary analysis of two OHCA databases: the Singapore PAROS database (SG-PAROS) and the Osaka-CRITICAL database from Osaka, Japan. This study included adult (18-74 years) OHCA patients with initial shockable rhythm. A machine learning-based prediction model was derived and validated using data from the Osaka-CRITICAL database (derivation data 2012-2017, validation data 2018-2019), and applied to the SG-PAROS database (2010-2016 data), to predict the risk-adjusted probability of favorable neurological outcomes. The observed and expected outcomes were compared using the observed-expected ratio (OE ratio) with 95% confidence intervals (CI). RESULTS: From the SG-PAROS database, 1,789 patients were included in the analysis. For OHCA patients who achieved return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) on hospital arrival, the observed favorable neurological outcome was at the same level as expected (OE ratio: 0.905 [95%CI: 0.784-1.036]). On the other hand, for those who had continued cardiac arrest on hospital arrival, the outcomes were lower than expected (shockable rhythm on hospital arrival, OE ratio: 0.369 [95%CI: 0.258-0.499], and nonshockable rhythm, OE ratio: 0.137 [95%CI: 0.065-0.235]). CONCLUSION: This observational study found that the outcomes for patients with initial shockable rhythm but who did not obtain ROSC on hospital arrival in Singapore were lower than expected from Osaka. We hypothesize this is mainly due to differences in the use of ECPR.

In-hospital extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation for patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest: an analysis by time-dependent propensity score matching using a nationwide database in Japan.

BACKGROUND: Extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation (ECPR) has been proposed as a rescue therapy for patients with refractory cardiac arrest. This study aimed to evaluate the association between ECPR and clinical outcomes among patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) using risk-set matching with a time-dependent propensity score. METHODS: This was a secondary analysis of the JAAM-OHCA registry data, a nationwide multicenter prospective study of patients with OHCA, from June 2014 and December 2019, that included adults (≥ 18 years) with OHCA. Initial cardiac rhythm was classified as shockable and non-shockable. Patients who received ECPR were sequentially matched with the control, within the same time (minutes) based on time-dependent propensity scores calculated from potential confounders. The odds ratios with 95% confidence intervals (CI) for 30-day survival and 30-day favorable neurological outcomes were estimated for ECPR cases using a conditional logistic model. RESULTS: Of 57,754 patients in the JAAM-OHCA registry, we selected 1826 patients with an initial shockable rhythm (treated with ECPR, n = 913 and control, n = 913) and a cohort of 740 patients with an initial non-shockable rhythm (treated with ECPR, n = 370 and control, n = 370). In these matched cohorts, the odds ratio for 30-day survival in the ECPR group was 1.76 [95%CI 1.38-2.25] for shockable rhythm and 5.37 [95%CI 2.53-11.43] for non-shockable rhythm, compared to controls. For favorable neurological outcomes, the odds ratio in the ECPR group was 1.11 [95%CI 0.82-1.49] for shockable rhythm and 4.25 [95%CI 1.43-12.63] for non-shockable rhythm, compared to controls. CONCLUSION: ECPR was associated with increased 30-day survival in patients with OHCA with initial shockable and even non-shockable rhythms. Further research is warranted to investigate the reproducibility of the results and who is the best candidate for ECPR.

Comparison of maximum-sized visually guided laser balloon and cryoballoon ablation.

Balloon ablation therapy has recently been used for atrial fibrillation (AF) ablation. Laser balloons possess the property in which the balloon size can be changed. Standard laser balloon ablation (Standard LBA) was followed by additional ablation using a maximally extended balloon (Extended LBA) and its lesion characteristics were compared to cryoballoon ablation (CBA), another balloon technology. From June 2020 to July 2021, patients with paroxysmal AF who underwent an initial pulmonary vein (PV) isolation were enrolled. Sixty-five patients with paroxysmal AF were included, 32 in the LBA and 33 in the CBA group. To measure the isolated surface area after the ablation procedures, left atrial voltage mapping was performed after Standard LBA, Extended LBA, and CBA. The baseline patient characteristics did not differ between LBA and CBA. Extended LBA could successfully increase the isolated area more than Standard LBA for all four PVs. Compared to CBA, the isolated area of both superior PVs was significantly greater with Extended LBA (left superior PV: 8.5 ± 2.1 vs 7.3 ± 2.4, p = 0.04, right superior PV: 11.4 ± 3.7 vs 8.7 ± 2.7, p < 0.01), and thus the non-isolated posterior wall (PW) was smaller (8.5 ± 3.4 vs 12.4 ± 3.3, p < 0.01). Nevertheless, changes in the cardiac injury markers were significantly lower with LBA than CBA. There was no significant correlation between the cardiac injury level and isolated area in both groups. In conclusion, Extended LBA exhibited a significantly greater isolation of both superior PVs and resulted in a smaller non-isolated PW, but the cardiac injury markers were significantly suppressed as compared to CBA.

Clinical Phenotyping of Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest Patients With Shockable Rhythm　- Machine Learning-Based Unsupervised Cluster Analysis.

BACKGROUND: The hypothesis of this study is that latent class analysis could identify the subphenotypes of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) patients associated with the outcomes and allow us to explore heterogeneity in the effects of extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation (ECPR).Methods and Results:This study was a retrospective analysis of a multicenter prospective observational study (CRITICAL study) of OHCA patients. It included adult OHCA patients with initial shockable rhythm. Patients from 2012 to 2016 (development dataset) were included in the latent class analysis, and those from 2017 (validation dataset) were included for evaluation. The association between subphenotypes and outcomes was investigated. Further, the heterogeneity of the association between ECPR implementation and outcomes was explored. In the study results, a total of 920 patients were included for latent class analysis. Three subphenotypes (Groups 1, 2, and 3) were identified, mainly characterized by the distribution of partial pressure of O2(PO2), partial pressure of CO2(PCO2) value of blood gas assessment, cardiac rhythm on hospital arrival, and estimated glomerular filtration rate. The 30-day survival outcomes were varied across the groups: 15.7% in Group 1; 30.7% in Group 2; and 85.9% in Group 3. Further, the association between ECPR and 30-day survival outcomes by subphenotype groups in the development dataset was as varied. These results were validated using the validation dataset. CONCLUSIONS: The latent class analysis identified 3 subphenotypes with different survival outcomes and potential heterogeneity in the effects of ECPR.

Early prognostic impact of serum sodium level among out-of-hospital cardiac arrest patients: a nationwide multicentre observational study in Japan (the JAAM-OHCA registry).

Dysnatremia is an electrolytic disorder commonly associated with mortality in various diseases. However, little is known about dysnatremia in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) cases. Here, we investigated the association between serum sodium level on hospital arrival and neurological outcomes after OHCA. This nationwide hospital-based observational study (The Japanese Association for Acute Medicine Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest registry) enrolled patients with OHCA between 2014 and 2017. We included adult patients aged ≥ 18 years with non-traumatic OHCA who achieved return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) and whose serum sodium level on hospital arrival was available. Based on the serum sodium level, patients were divided into three levels: hyponatremia (Na < 135 mEq/L), normal sodium level (Na ≥ 135 or ≤ 145 mEq/L), and hypernatremia (Na > 145 mEq/L). The primary outcome was 1-month survival with favourable neurological outcomes. Altogether, 34 754 patients with OHCA were documented, and 5160 patients with non-traumatic OHCA and who achieved ROSC were eligible for our analyses. The proportion of favourable neurological outcomes was highest in patients with normal sodium levels at 17.6% (677/3854), followed by patients with hyponatremia at 8.2% (57/696) and patients with hypernatremia at 5.7% (35/610). Moreover, hyponatremia and hypernatremia were associated with a decreased probability of favourable neurological outcomes compared with normal sodium level (vs. hyponatremia, adjusted odds ratio [AOR] 0.97, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.95-0.99; vs. hypernatremia, AOR 0.96, 95% CI 0.94-0.98). Hypo- and hypernatremia on hospital arrival were associated with a decreased probability of favourable neurological outcomes in patients with non-traumatic OHCA who achieved ROSC.

Association between initial body temperature on hospital arrival and neurological outcome among patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest: a multicenter cohort study (the CRITICAL study in Osaka, Japan).

BACKGROUND: The association between spontaneous initial body temperature on hospital arrival and neurological outcomes has not been sufficiently studied in patients after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). METHODS: From the prospective database of the Comprehensive Registry of Intensive Care for OHCA Survival (CRITICAL) study in Osaka, Japan, we enrolled all patients with OHCA of medical origin aged > 18 years for whom resuscitation was attempted and who were transported to participating hospitals between 2012 and 2019. We excluded patients who were not witnessed by bystanders and treated by a doctor car or helicopter, which is a car/helicopter with a physician. The patients were categorized into three groups according to their temperature on hospital arrival: ≤35.9 °C, 36.0-36.9 °C (normothermia), and ≥ 37.0 °C. The primary outcome was 1-month survival, with a cerebral performance category of 1 or 2. Multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed to evaluate the association between temperature and outcomes (normothermia was used as the reference). We also assessed this association using cubic spline regression analysis. RESULTS: Of the 18,379 patients in our database, 5014 witnessed adult OHCA patients of medical origin from 16 hospitals were included. When analyzing 3318 patients, OHCA patients with an initial body temperature of ≥37.0 °C upon hospital arrival were associated with decreased favorable neurological outcomes (6.6% [19/286] odds ratio, 0.51; 95% confidence interval, 0.27-0.95) compared to patients with normothermia (16.4% [180/1100]), whereas those with an initial body temperature of ≤35.9 °C were not associated with decreased favorable neurological outcomes (11.1% [214/1932]; odds ratio, 0.78; 95% confidence interval, 0.56-1.07). The cubic regression splines demonstrated that a higher body temperature on arrival was associated with decreased favorable neurological outcomes, and a lower body temperature was not associated with decreased favorable neurological outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: In adult patients with OHCA of medical origin, a higher body temperature on arrival was associated with decreased favorable neurologic outcomes.

Trends in In-Hospital Advanced Management and Survival of Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest Among Adults From 2013 to 2017　- A Multicenter, Prospective Registry in Osaka, Japan.

BACKGROUND: The aim of our study was to investigate in detail the temporal trends in in-hospital characteristics, actual management, and survival, including neurological status, among adult out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) patients in recent years.Methods and Results:From the prospective database of the Comprehensive Registry of Intensive Care for OHCA Survival (CRITICAL) study in Osaka, Japan, we enrolled all OHCA patients aged ≥18 years for whom resuscitation was attempted, and who were transported to participating hospitals between the years 2013 and 2017. The primary outcome measure was 1-month survival with favorable neurological outcome after OHCA. Temporal trends in in-hospital management and favorable neurological outcome among adult OHCA patients were assessed. Of the 11,924 patients in the database, we included a total of 10,228 adult patients from 16 hospitals. As for in-hospital advanced treatments, extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation (ECPR) use increased from 2.4% in 2013 to 4.3% in 2017 (P for trend <0.001). However, the proportion of adult OHCA patients with favorable neurological outcome did not change during the study period (from 5.7% in 2013 to 4.4% in 2017, adjusted odds ratio (OR) for 1-year increment: 0.98 (95% confidence interval: 0.94-1.23)). CONCLUSIONS: In this target population, in-hospital management such as ECPR increased slightly between 2013 and 2017, but 1-month survival with favorable neurological outcome after adult OHCA did not improve significantly.

COVID-19-associated pulmonary aspergillosis in a Japanese man: A case report.

CAPA (COVID-19 associated pulmonary aspergillosis) is an important complication of COVID-19. It has been reported that the incidence of CAPA is as high as 19%-33% worldwide. However, its onset has not been reported in Japan. A 72-year-old Japanese man was diagnosed with COVID-19 and was transferred to our hospital due to deterioration of respiratory condition. Treatment with remdesivir, dexamethasone (DEXA), and antibiotics was performed under mechanical ventilation. Although the condition improved temporarily, a new shadow appeared in the lung, and Aspergillus fumigatus was cultured from sputum. The patient was clinically diagnosed with CAPA and treated with voriconazole. However, his progress deteriorated and he died. High-risk COVID-19 patients should be tested for Aspergillus to ensure early diagnosis of CAPA.

The impact of early administration of vasopressor agents for the resuscitation of severe hemorrhagic shock following blunt trauma.

BACKGROUND: When resuscitating patients with hemorrhagic shock following trauma, fluid volume restriction and permissive hypotension prior to bleeding control are emphasized along with the good outcome especially for penetrating trauma patients. However, evidence that these concepts apply well to the management of blunt trauma is lacking, and their use in blunt trauma remains controversial. This study aimed to assess the impact of vasopressor use in patients with blunt trauma in severe hemorrhagic shock. METHODS: In this single-center retrospective study, we reviewed records of blunt trauma patients with hemorrhagic shock and included patients with a probability of survival < 0.6. Vital signs on arrival, characteristics, examinations, concomitant injuries and severity, vasopressor use and dose, and volumes of crystalloids and blood infused were compared between survivors and non-survivors. Data are described as median (25-75% interquartile range) or number. RESULTS: Forty patients admitted from April 2014 to September 2019 were included. Median Injury Severity Score in survivors vs non-survivors was 41 (36-48) vs 45 (34-51) (p = 0.48), with no significant difference in probability of survival between the two groups (0.22 [0.12-0.48] vs 0.21 [0.08-0.46]; p = 0.93). Despite no significant difference in patient characteristics and injury severity, non-survivors were administered vasopressors significantly earlier after admission and at significantly higher doses. Total blood transfusion amount administered within 24 h after admission was significantly higher in survivors (8430 [5680-9320] vs 6540 [4550-7880] mL; p = 0.03). Max catecholamine index was significantly higher in non-survivors (2 [0-4] vs 14 [10-18]; p = 0.008), and administered vasopressors were terminated significantly earlier (12 [4-26] vs 34 [10-74] hours; p = 0.026) in survivors. Although the variables of severity of the patients had no significant differences, vasopressor use (Odds ratio [OR] = 21.32, 95% confident interval [CI]: 3.71-121.6; p = 0.0001) and its early administration (OR = 10.56, 95%CI: 1.90-58.5; p = 0.005) indicated significant higher risk of death in this study. CONCLUSION: Vasopressor administration and high-dose use for resuscitation of hemorrhagic shock following severe blunt trauma are potentially associated with increased mortality. Although the transfused volume of blood products tends to be increased when resuscitating these patients, early termination of vasopressor had better to be considered.

Poor Long-Term Survival of Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest in Children.

The effect of post-cardiac arrest care in children with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) has not been adequately established, and the long-term outcome after pediatric OHCA has not been sufficiently investigated. We describe here detailed in-hospital characteristics, actual management, and survival, including neurological status, 90 days after OHCA occurrence in children with OHCA transported to critical care medical centers (CCMCs).We analyzed the database of the Comprehensive Registry of Intensive Care for OHCA Survival (CRITICAL) study, which is a multicenter, prospective observational data registry designed to accumulate both pre- and in-hospital data on OHCA treatments. We enrolled all consecutive pediatric patients aged <18 years who had an OHCA and for whom resuscitation was attempted and who were transported to CCMCs between 2012 and 2016.A total of 263 pediatric patients with OHCA were enrolled. The average age of the patients was 6.3 years, 38.0% were aged < 1 year, and 60.8% were male. After hospital arrival, 4.9% of these pediatric patients received defibrillation; 1.9%, extracorporeal life support; 6.5%, target temperature management; and 88.2% adrenaline administration. The proportions of patients with 90-day survival and a pediatric cerebral performance category (PCPC) score of 1 or 2 were 6.1% and 1.9%, respectively. The proportion of patients with a PCPC score of 1 or 2 at 90 days after OHCA occurrence did not significantly improve during the study period.The proportion of pediatric patients with a 90-day PCPC score of 1 or 2 transported to CCMCs was extremely low, and no significant improvements were observed during the study period.

Bifurcation Intervention in Single Coronary Artery.

A 77-year-old man was referred to our hospital for angina on effort. Coronary angiography and computed tomography demonstrated a single coronary artery arising from the right sinus of Valsalva. The left circumflex coronary artery (LCx) anomalously deriving near from the ostium of right coronary artery exhibited severe stenosis in the bifurcation of the obtuse marginal branch. Although the bifurcation lesion still remains a therapeutic challenge for guide extension catheter (GEC)-based percutaneous coronary intervention, under the guidance of intravascular ultrasound imaging, we successfully implanted an everolimus-eluting stent at the bifurcated LCx lesion and performed kissing balloon inflation using 0.014- and 0.010-inch systems through GECs.

Evaluation of a new patient safety educational programme to reduce adverse events by encouraging staff to speak up: application of the trigger tool methodology.

BACKGROUND: Poor communication contributes to adverse events (AEs). In our hospital, following an experience of a fatal incident in 2014, we developed an educational programme aimed at improving communication for better teamwork that led to a reduction in AEs. METHODS: We developed and implemented an intervention bundle comprising external investigation committee reviews, the establishment of a working group (WG), standards and emergency response guidelines, as well as educational programmes and tools. To determine the effectiveness of the educational programmes, we measured communication abilities among doctors and nurses by administering psychological scales focused on their confidence in speaking up. Furthermore, we applied the trigger tool methodology in a retrospective study to determine if our interventions had reduced AEs. RESULTS: The nurses' scores for 'perceived barriers to speaking up' and 'negative attitude toward voicing opinions in the healthcare team' decreased significantly after the training from 3.20 to 3.00 and from 2.47 to 2.29 points, respectively. The junior doctors' scores for the same items also decreased significantly after the training from 3.34 to 2.51 and from 2.42 to 2.11 points, respectively. The number of AEs was 32.1 (median) before the WG, 39.9 (median) before the general training, 22.2 (median) after the general training and 18.4 (median) after implementing the leadership educational programmes. During the intervention period the hospital's incident reports per employee kept increasing. CONCLUSION: Our new educational programmes improved junior doctors and nurses' perceptions of speaking up. We speculated that our intervention may have improved staff communication, which in turn may have led to a reduction in AEs and a sustained increase in incident reports per employee.

Pitfalls and tips for lumenless lead extraction inserted deep within the ventricular septum.

Key Clinical Message: This case highlights the pitfalls and provides tips for the extraction of deeply implanted lumenless leads, and encourages careful lead selection in the current era of widespread left bundle branch area pacing. Abstract: The extraction of cardiovascular implantable electronic device leads is sometimes complicated. We describe a case with difficult but successful extraction of SelectSecure, a lumenless permanent pacemaker lead, implanted deep in the ventricular septum, highlighting its pitfalls and tips in the current era of left bundle branch area pacing.

Non-linear association between the time required to reaching temperature targets and the neurological outcome in patients undergoing targeted temperature management after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest: Observational multicentre cohort study.

Purpose: We evaluated associations between outcomes and time to achieving temperature targets during targeted temperature management of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest. Methods: Using Comprehensive Registry of Intensive Care for out-of-hospital cardiac arrest Survival (CRITICAL) study, we enrolled all patients transported to participating hospitals from 1 July 2012 through 31 December 2017 aged ≥ 18 years with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest of cardiac aetiology and who received targeted temperature management in Osaka, Japan. Primary outcome was Cerebral Performance Category scale of 1 or 2 one month after cardiac arrest, designated as "one-month favourable neurological outcome". Non-linear multivariable logistic regression analyses assessed the primary outcome based on time to reaching temperature targets. In patients subdivided into quintiles based on time to achieving temperature targets, multivariable logistic regression calculated adjusted odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals. Results: We analysed 473 patients. In non-linear multivariable logistic regression analysis, p value for non-linearity was < 0.01. In the first quintile (< 26.7 minutes), second quintile (26.8-89.9 minutes), third quintile (90.0-175.1 minutes), fourth quintile (175.2-352.1 minutes), and fifth quintile (≥ 352.2 minutes), one-month favourable neurological outcome was 32.6% (31/95), 40.0% (36/90), 53.5% (53/99), 57.4% (54/94), and 37.9% (36/95), respectively. Adjusted odds ratios with 95% confidence intervals for one-month favourable neurological outcome in the first, second, third, and fifth quintiles compared with the fourth quintile were 0.38 (0.20 to 0.72), 0.43 (0.23 to 0.81), 0.77 (0.41 to 1.44), and 0.46 (0.25 to 0.87), respectively. Conclusion: Non-linear multivariable logistic regression analysis could clearly describe the association between neurological outcome in patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest and the time from the introduction of targeted temperature management to reaching the temperature targets.

External Validation of Updated Prediction Models for Neurological Outcomes at 90 Days in Patients With Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest.

BACKGROUND: Few prediction models for individuals with early-stage out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) have undergone external validation. This study aimed to externally validate updated prediction models for OHCA outcomes using a large nationwide dataset. METHODS AND RESULTS: We performed a secondary analysis of the JAAM-OHCA (Comprehensive Registry of In-Hospital Intensive Care for Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest Survival and the Japanese Association for Acute Medicine Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest) registry. Previously developed prediction models for patients with cardiac arrest who achieved the return of spontaneous circulation were updated. External validation was conducted using data from 56 institutions from the JAAM-OHCA registry. The primary outcome was a dichotomized 90-day cerebral performance category score. Two models were updated using the derivation set (n=3337). Model 1 included patient demographics, prehospital information, and the initial rhythm upon hospital admission; Model 2 included information obtained in the hospital immediately after the return of spontaneous circulation. In the validation set (n=4250), Models 1 and 2 exhibited a C-statistic of 0.945 (95% CI, 0.935-0.955) and 0.958 (95% CI, 0.951-0.960), respectively. Both models were well-calibrated to the observed outcomes. The decision curve analysis showed that Model 2 demonstrated higher net benefits at all risk thresholds than Model 1. A web-based calculator was developed to estimate the probability of poor outcomes (https://pcas-prediction.shinyapps.io/90d_lasso/). CONCLUSIONS: The updated models offer valuable information to medical professionals in the prediction of long-term neurological outcomes for patients with OHCA, potentially playing a vital role in clinical decision-making processes.

Demand-supply balance of disaster medical care in Osaka City based on damage estimation for a Nankai Trough megathrust earthquake: A geographic information system-based analysis.

Aim: Studies have not fully examined whether the medical care system would be able to manage the high number of casualties due to a Nankai Trough earthquake, whose probability of recurrence in the next 30 years is ~70%. This study assessed the demand-supply balance of the disaster medical care system in Osaka city by integrating the data on damage estimation and disaster coping hospitals using a geographic information system. Methods: We obtained data on the distribution of casualties in two cases, high and low rates of evacuation from the tsunami, and available beds in Osaka city calculated from operating data of each disaster coping hospital. We expanded these data on a geographic information system and investigated the balance of medical care. Results: The total number of available beds in the disaster medical care facilities was 5,559, and the shortage with evacuation rates being either low or high, would be 47,631 and 1,487, respectively. With a low evacuation rate, bed shortage is a common occurrence in coastal areas. With a high evacuation rate, bed shortage decreases, and problems with medical care arise in the eastern area of Osaka city. Discussion: In the case of a low evacuation rate, greater bed shortage was found along the coast of Osaka Bay where the probabilities of flooding are high. In the case of a high evacuation rate, however, the number of casualties was much lower. A shortage of medical care did not occur along the coast, but in the eastern part of Osaka city.

Factors associated with the outcome of patients with COVID-19 requiring mechanical ventilation: A single-center observational study in Japan.

Aim: Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) spread worldwide, and was declared as a pandemic by the World Health Organization. Despite numerous studies in the last few years, the factors associated with the outcomes of patients with COVID-19 requiring mechanical ventilation remain unclear. The prediction of ventilator weaning and mortality using the data obtained at the time of intubation could be beneficial for establishing appropriate treatment strategies and obtaining informed consent. In this study, we aimed to clarify the association between patient information at the time of intubation and the outcomes of intubated COVID-19 patients. Methods: This retrospective observational study used single-center data from patients with COVID-19. Patients with COVID-19 who were admitted to Osaka Metropolitan University Hospital from April 1, 2020, to March 31, 2022, and under mechanical ventilation were included. The main outcome was defined as the factors related to ventilator weaning; a multivariate analysis was carried out to evaluate the association between patient information at the time of intubation and the outcome. Results: In total, 146 patients were included in this study. The factors significantly associated with ventilator weaning were age (65-74 years old, adjusted odds ratio [OR], 0.168; 75 years and older, adjusted OR, 0.121), vaccination history (adjusted OR, 5.655), and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) respiration score (adjusted OR, 0.007) at the time of intubation. Conclusion: Age, SOFA respiration score, and COVID-19 vaccination history at the time of intubation could be associated with outcomes in patients with COVID-19 requiring mechanical ventilation.