Global Disability Trajectories Over the First Decade Following Combat Concussion.

OBJECTIVE: To examine global disability trajectories in US military with and without traumatic brain injury (TBI) over the first decade following deployment to identify risk profiles for better intervention stratification, hopefully reducing long-term cost. SETTING: Patients and participants were enrolled in combat or directly following medical evacuation at the time of injury and followed up every 6 months for 10 years. PARTICIPANTS: There are 4 main groups (n = 475), 2 primary and 2 exploratory: (1) combat-deployed controls without a history of blast exposure "non-blast- control" (n = 143), (2) concussive blast TBI "'blast-TBI" (n = 236) (primary), (3) combat-deployed controls with a history of blast exposure "blast-control" (n = 54), and (4) patients sustaining a combat concussion not from blast "non-blast-TBI" (n = 42) (exploratory). DESIGN: Prospective, observational, longitudinal study. MAIN MEASURES: Combat concussion, blast exposure, and subsequent head injury exposure over the first decade post-deployment. Global disability measured by the Glasgow Outcome Scale Extended (GOSE). RESULTS: Latent class growth analysis identified 4 main trajectories of global outcome, with service members sustaining combat concussion 37 to 49 times more likely to be in the worse disability trajectories than non-blast-controls (blast-TBI: odds ratio [OR] = 49.33; CI, 19.77-123.11; P < .001; non-blast-TBI: OR = 37.50; CI, 10.01-140.50; P < .001). Even blast-exposed-controls were 5 times more likely to be in these worse disability categories compared with non-blast-controls (OR = 5.00; CI, 1.59-15.99; P = .007). Adjustment for demographic factors and subsequent head injury exposure did not substantially alter these odds ratios. CONCLUSIONS: Very high odds of poor long-term outcome trajectory were identified for those who sustained a concussion in combat, were younger at the time of injury, had lower education, and enlisted in the Army above the risk of deployment alone. These findings help identify a risk profile that could be used to target early intervention and screen for poor long-term outcome to aid in reducing the high public health cost and enhance the long-term quality of life for these service members following deployment.

Comparison of Clinical Outcomes 1 and 5 Years Post-Injury Following Combat Concussion.

OBJECTIVE: To compare 1-year and 5-year clinical outcomes in 2 groups of combat-deployed service members without brain injury to those of 2 groups with combat-related concussion to better understand long-term clinical outcome trajectories. METHODS: This prospective, observational, longitudinal multicohort study examined 4 combat-deployed groups: controls without head injury with or without blast exposure and patients with combat concussion arising from blast or blunt trauma. One-year and 5-year clinical evaluations included identical batteries for neurobehavioral, psychiatric, and cognitive outcomes. A total of 347 participants completed both time points of evaluation. Cross-sectional and longitudinal comparisons were assessed. Overall group effect was modeled as a 4-category variable with rank regression adjusting for demographic factors using a 2-sided significance threshold of 0.05, with post hoc Tukey p values calculated for the pairwise comparisons. RESULTS: Significant group differences in both combat concussion groups were identified cross-sectionally at 5-year follow-up compared to controls in neurobehavioral (Neurobehavioral Rating Scale-Revised [NRS]; Cohen d, -1.10 to -1.40, confidence intervals [CIs] [-0.82, -1.32] to [-0.97, -1.83] by group) and psychiatric domains (Clinician-Administered PTSD Scale for DSM-IV [CAPS]; Cohen d, -0.91 to -1.19, CIs [-0.63, -1.19] to [-0.76, -1.62] by group) symptoms with minimal differences in cognitive performance. Both combat concussion groups also showed clinically significant decline from 1- to 5-year evaluation (66%-76% neurobehavioral NRS; 41%-54% psychiatric CAPS by group). Both control groups fared better but a subset also had clinically significant decline (37%-50% neurobehavioral NRS; 9%-25% psychiatric CAPS by group). CONCLUSIONS: There was an evolution, not resolution, of symptoms from 1- to 5-year evaluation, challenging the assumption that chronic stages of concussive injury are relatively stable. Even some of the combat-deployed controls worsened. The evidence supports new considerations for chronic trajectories of concussion outcome in combat-deployed service members.

Association Between 5-Year Clinical Outcome in Patients With Nonmedically Evacuated Mild Blast Traumatic Brain Injury and Clinical Measures Collected Within 7 Days Postinjury in Combat.

Importance: Although previous work has examined clinical outcomes in combat-deployed veterans, questions remain regarding how symptoms evolve or resolve following mild blast traumatic brain injury (TBI) treated in theater and their association with long-term outcomes. Objective: To characterize 5-year outcome in patients with nonmedically evacuated blast concussion compared with combat-deployed controls and understand what clinical measures collected acutely in theater are associated with 5-year outcome. Design, Setting, and Participants: A prospective, longitudinal cohort study including 45 service members with mild blast TBI within 7 days of injury (mean 4 days) and 45 combat deployed nonconcussed controls was carried out. Enrollment occurred in Afghanistan at the point of injury with evaluation of 5-year outcome in the United States. The enrollment occurred from March to September 2012 with 5-year follow up completed from April 2017 to May 2018. Data analysis was completed from June to July 2018. Exposures: Concussive blast TBI. All patients were treated in theater, and none required medical evacuation. Main Outcomes and Measures: Clinical measures collected in theater included measures for concussion symptoms, posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) symptoms, depression symptoms, balance performance, combat exposure intensity, cognitive performance, and demographics. Five-year outcome evaluation included measures for global disability, neurobehavioral impairment, PTSD symptoms, depression symptoms, and 10 domains of cognitive function. Forward selection multivariate regression was used to determine predictors of 5-year outcome for global disability, neurobehavior impairment, PTSD, and cognitive function. Results: Nonmedically evacuated patients with concussive blast injury (n = 45; 44 men, mean [SD] age, 31 [5] years) fared poorly at 5-year follow-up compared with combat-deployed controls (n = 45; 35 men; mean [SD] age, 34 [7] years) on global disability, neurobehavioral impairment, and psychiatric symptoms, whereas cognitive changes were unremarkable. Acute predictors of 5-year outcome consistently identified TBI diagnosis with contribution from acute concussion and mental health symptoms and select measures of cognitive performance depending on the model for 5-year global disability (area under the curve following bootstrap validation [AUCBV] = 0.79), neurobehavioral impairment (correlation following bootstrap validation [RBV] = 0.60), PTSD severity (RBV = 0.36), or cognitive performance (RBV = 0.34). Conclusions and Relevance: Service members with concussive blast injuries fared poorly at 5-year outcome. The results support a more focused acute screening of mental health following TBI diagnosis as strong indicators of poor long-term outcome. This extends prior work examining outcome in patients with concussive blast injury to the larger nonmedically evacuated population.