A Comparison of Seven Oncology External Control Arm Case Studies: Critiques From Regulatory and Health Technology Assessment Agencies.

OBJECTIVES: The development of accelerated approval programs for high morbidity and unmet need conditions has driven the use of single-arm studies in drug development. Regulatory and health technology assessment (HTA) agencies are recognizing that high-quality external control arms (ECAs), built using real-world data, can reduce uncertainties arising from single-arm studies. This review compared 7 case studies of regulatory and HTA agencies' evaluations of oncology ECAs. METHODS: Food and Drug Administration multidisciplinary reviews for oncology submissions from 2014 to 2021 were screened to identify 7 cases (2 blinatumomab indications, avelumab, and erdafitinib, entrectinib, trastuzumab deruxtecan, and idecabtagene vicleucel) with ECAs to support efficacy claims. Regulatory (Food and Drug Administration, European Medicines Agency, Health Canada) and HTA (pan-Canadian Oncology Drug Review, National Institute for Health and Care Excellence, Federal Joint Committee, Haute Autorité de Santé, and Pharmaceutical Benefits Advisory Committee) submissions for these cases were reviewed. The decision makers' ECA critiques and the level of influence on the decision were analyzed and categorized. RESULTS: Across case studies, selection bias and confounding were the most common ECA critiques. Nevertheless, agreement in critiques between and among regulators and HTA bodies was low. ECA influence on agencies' decisions also varied. CONCLUSIONS: Evaluating the same ECA evidence, agencies focused on methodologic issues (ie, selection bias and confounding), but were often not aligned on their critiques. Further research is needed to fully characterize how agencies evaluate ECAs. This study is a first step in critically evaluating agencies' critiques of ECAs and highlights the need for future guidance development around ECA design and generation.

Initial treatment and survival in Danish patients diagnosed with non-small-cell lung cancer (2005-2015): SCAN-LEAF study.

Aim: To describe initial treatment patterns and survival of patients diagnosed with non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) in Denmark, before immune checkpoint inhibitor and later-generation tyrosine kinase inhibitor use. Patients & methods: Adults diagnosed with incident NSCLC (2005-2015; follow-up: 2016). Initial treatments and overall survival (OS) are reported. Results: 31,939 NSCLC patients (51.6% stage IV) were included. Increasing use of curative radiotherapy/chemoradiation for stage I, II/IIIA and IIIB NSCLC coincided with improved 2-year OS. Systemic anticancer therapy use increased for patients with stage IV non-squamous NSCLC (53.0-60.6%) but not squamous NSCLC (44.9-47.3%). 1-year OS improved in patients with stage IV non-squamous NSCLC (23-31%) but not squamous NSCLC (22-25%). Conclusion: Trends indicated improved OS as treatments evolved between 2005 and 2015, but the effect was limited to 1-year OS in stage IV disease.

Impact of variable look-back periods on the incidence rates of chronic diseases using real world data.

PURPOSE: Estimating disease incidence based on secondary data requires a look-back period to exclude patients with pre-existing disease from the incidence risk set. However, the optimal length of the look-back period and its impact on incidence rates are often unknown. We studied the impact of the length of the look-back period on incidence rates of 24 different chronic diseases. METHODS: Everyone residing in Sweden between January 1, 2005 and December 31, 2013 were identified from national registries and followed up to 2 years (through December 31, 2015). Outcome events were identified from inpatient and outpatient hospital contacts and incidence rates were calculated per 100 000 person-years. The length of the look-back period was varied with 6-month increments, starting at 6 months. The maximum look-back period of 9 years was used as reference period. RESULTS: There were 7 943 807 individuals with a look-back period of at least 9 years (mean age 46.5 years) and a mean follow-up time of 1.97 years. Incidence rates were higher across all diseases when restricting the look-back to 1 year compared to 9 years, with a magnitude of overestimation of the incidence rates between 13% (temporal arteritis) and 174% (type 1 diabetes). However, for most diseases the effect of extending the look-back period beyond 3-5 years appeared comparably small. CONCLUSIONS: This study illustrates how short look-back periods cause overestimation of the incidence rates of chronic diseases, suggesting that sensitivity analyses with respect to look-back period are considered, particularly using data sources with limited information on past medical history.

Human papillomavirus prevalence and type-distribution in cervical glandular neoplasias: Results from a European multinational epidemiological study.

Cervical glandular neoplasias (CGN) present a challenge for cervical cancer prevention due to their complex histopathology and difficulties in detecting preinvasive stages with current screening practices. Reports of human papillomavirus (HPV) prevalence and type-distribution in CGN vary, providing uncertain evidence to support prophylactic vaccination and HPV screening. This study [108288/108290] assessed HPV prevalence and type-distribution in women diagnosed with cervical adenocarcinoma in situ (AIS, N = 49), adenosquamous carcinoma (ASC, N = 104), and various adenocarcinoma subtypes (ADC, N = 461) from 17 European countries, using centralised pathology review and sensitive HPV testing. The highest HPV-positivity rates were observed in AIS (93.9%), ASC (85.6%), and usual-type ADC (90.4%), with much lower rates in rarer ADC subtypes (clear-cell: 27.6%; serous: 30.4%; endometrioid: 12.9%; gastric-type: 0%). The most common HPV types were restricted to HPV16/18/45, accounting for 98.3% of all HPV-positive ADC. There were variations in HPV prevalence and ADC type-distribution by country. Age at diagnosis differed by ADC subtype, with usual-type diagnosed in younger women (median: 43 years) compared to rarer subtypes (medians between 57 and 66 years). Moreover, HPV-positive ADC cases were younger than HPV-negative ADC. The six years difference in median age for women with AIS compared to those with usual-type ADC suggests that cytological screening for AIS may be suboptimal. Since the great majority of CGN are HPV16/18/45-positive, the incorporation of prophylactic vaccination and HPV testing in cervical cancer screening are important prevention strategies. Our results suggest that special attention should be given to certain rarer ADC subtypes as most appear to be unrelated to HPV.

Augmenting external control arms using Bayesian borrowing: a case study in first-line non-small cell lung cancer.

Aim: This study aimed to improve comparative effectiveness estimates and discuss challenges encountered through the application of Bayesian borrowing (BB) methods to augment an external control arm (ECA) constructed from real-world data (RWD) using historical clinical trial data in first-line non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Materials & methods: An ECA for a randomized controlled trial (RCT) in first-line NSCLC was constructed using ConcertAI Patient360™ to assess chemotherapy with or without cetuximab, in the bevacizumab-inappropriate subpopulation. Cardinality matching was used to match patient characteristics between the treatment arm (cetuximab + chemotherapy) and ECA. Overall survival (OS) was assessed as the primary outcome using Cox proportional hazards (PH). BB was conducted using a static power prior under a Weibull PH parameterization with borrowing weights from 0.0 to 1.0 and augmentation of the ECA from a historical control trial. Results: The constructed ECA yielded a higher overall survival (OS) hazard ratio (HR) (HR = 1.53; 95% CI: 1.21-1.93) than observed in the matched population of the RCT (HR = 0.91; 95% CI: 0.73-1.13). The OS HR decreased through the incorporation of BB (HR = 1.30; 95% CI: 1.08-1.54, borrowing weight = 1.0). BB was applied to augment the RCT control arm via a historical control which improved the precision of the observed HR estimate (1.03; 95% CI: 0.86-1.22, borrowing weight = 1.0), in comparison to the matched population of the RCT alone. Conclusion: In this study, the RWD ECA was unable to successfully replicate the OS estimates from the matched population of the selected RCT. The inability to replicate could be due to unmeasured confounding and variations in time-periods, follow-up and subsequent therapy. Despite these findings, we demonstrate how BB can improve precision of comparative effectiveness estimates, potentially aid as a bias assessment tool and mitigate challenges of traditional methods when appropriate external data sources are available.

Differences in human papillomavirus type distribution in high-grade cervical intraepithelial neoplasia and invasive cervical cancer in Europe.

Knowledge of differences in human papillomavirus (HPV)-type prevalence between high-grade cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (HG-CIN) and invasive cervical cancer (ICC) is crucial for understanding the natural history of HPV-infected cervical lesions and the potential impact of HPV vaccination on cervical cancer prevention. More than 6,000 women diagnosed with HG-CIN or ICC from 17 European countries were enrolled in two parallel cross-sectional studies (108288/108290). Centralised histopathology review and standardised HPV-DNA typing were applied to formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded cervical specimens dated 2001-2008. The pooled prevalence of individual HPV types was estimated using meta-analytic methods. A total of 3,103 women were diagnosed with HG-CIN and a total of 3,162 with ICC (median ages: 34 and 49 years, respectively), of which 98.5 and 91.8% were HPV-positive, respectively. The most common HPV types in women with HG-CIN were HPV16/33/31 (59.9/10.5/9.0%) and in ICC were HPV16/18/45 (63.3/15.2/5.3%). In squamous cell carcinomas, HPV16/18/33 were most frequent (66.2/10.8/5.3%), and in adenocarcinomas, HPV16/18/45 (54.2/40.4/8.3%). The prevalence of HPV16/18/45 was 1.1/3.5/2.5 times higher in ICC than in HG-CIN. The difference in age at diagnosis between CIN3 and squamous cervical cancer for HPV18 (9 years) was significantly less compared to HPV31/33/'other' (23/20/17 years), and for HPV45 (1 year) than HPV16/31/33/'other' (15/23/20/17 years). In Europe, HPV16 predominates in both HG-CIN and ICC, whereas HPV18/45 are associated with a low median age of ICC. HPV18/45 are more frequent in ICC than HG-CIN and associated with a high median age of HG-CIN, with a narrow age interval between HG-CIN and ICC detection. These findings support the need for primary prevention of HPV16/18/45-related cervical lesions.

HPV-genotypes in high-grade intraepithelial cervical lesions in Danish women.

OBJECTIVE: A study was undertaken to assess the distribution of high-risk HPV-genotypes in high-grade cervical intraepithelial neoplastic lesions in Danish women. DESIGN: Observational, cross-sectional. SETTING: Danish data from a multi-centre study undertaken in 13 European countries. POPULATION: 290 archived fixed biopsies with high-grade cervical lesions from the Departments of Pathology at the University Hospitals in Hvidovre and Odense, Denmark. METHODS: Relevant histological samples were anonymized and shipped to a central laboratory for histopathology review and PCR-testing for HPV-DNA. A standardised HPV-test methodology was utilised to enable comparison of HPV-genotype distribution. RESULTS: Of 290 Danish cervical samples, 276 were evaluated as histologically adequate and all of these were HPV-positive (HPV⁺). Of the HPV⁺ samples 77.9% were diagnosed with a single HPV-type, with cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN)3 diagnosed in 82.3% and CIN2, CIN2/3, adenocarcinoma in situ (AIS) and AIS⁺ other high-grade lesion diagnosed in the remaining 17.7%. The most prevalent HPV-types were: HPV16 (54.0%), HPV33 (13.5%), HPV31 (10.7%), HPV18 (7.9%) and HPV52 (4.7%). Of the HPV⁺ samples, 21.4% were diagnosed with multiple HPV-types, with CIN3 diagnosed in 79.6% and CIN2, CIN2/3, AIS and AIS⁺ other high-grade lesion diagnosed in the remaining 20.4%. The most prevalent HPV-types were: HPV16 (49.2%), HPV31 (30.5%), HPV52 (27.1%), HPV51 (20.3%), HPV18 (16.9%), HPV33 (13.6%), HPV45 (11.9%), with 0.7% unknown types. CONCLUSIONS: HPV16 and HPV18 were detected in approximately 75% of high-grade intraepithelial cervical lesions in a Danish population (single or multiple infections); these two genotypes are considered causative in at least 61.9% of the high-grade intraepithelial lesions (single infection).

HPV genotypes in invasive cervical cancer in Danish women.

OBJECTIVE: Human papillomavirus (HPV) genotype distribution in invasive cervical cancers may differ by geographic region. The primary objective of this study was to estimate HPV-genotype distribution in Danish women with a diagnosis of invasive cervical cancer. DESIGN: Observational, cross-sectional. POPULATION: Danish data from a multi-center study undertaken in 12 European countries. METHODS: A total of 342 archived fixed tissue samples with diagnosis of invasive cervical cancer from the Departments of Pathology in the University Hospitals in Hvidovre and Odense, Denmark, were anonymized and shipped to a central laboratory for histopathology review and PCR testing for HPV DNA. A standardized HPV-test methodology was used to enable comparison of HPV-type distribution. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Occurrence of HPV genotypes in Danish women with cervical cancer. RESULTS: There were 261 samples evaluated as histologically adequate and 251 (96%) of these were HPV-positive (HPV+). The most frequent diagnosis was squamous cell carcinoma (78.9% of histological adequate and 79.3% of HPV+). Adenocarcinoma, adenosquamous carcinoma and other types were found in 14.9, 3.4 and 2.7% of the histologically adequate group and 14.7, 3.6 and 2.4% of the HPV+ group, respectively. In 92.8% of HPV+ women only a single HPV type was diagnosed. HPV-type distribution in the latter population was as follows: HPV-16: 62.2%; HPV-18: 14.6%; HPV-33: 6.9%; HPV-45: 6.4% and HPV-31: 3.4%. Of the HPV+ women, 6.4% were diagnosed with multiple HPV types and 0.8% had unknown HPV types. CONCLUSION: HPV-16 and -18 are detected in 74.3% of Danish women with diagnosis of invasive cervical cancer, while HPV-16, -18, -31, -33, -45 and 58 are detected in 90.0% of women with invasive cervical disease.

The burden of rotavirus gastroenteritis and hospital-acquired rotavirus gastroenteritis among children aged less than 6 years in Japan: a retrospective, multicenter epidemiological survey.

BACKGROUND: Rotavirus is a leading worldwide cause of acute gastroenteritis in young children. This retrospective hospital-based study assessed the burden of rotavirus gastroenteritis in children younger than 6 years in Japan. METHODS: Children admitted to eight hospitals for acute gastroenteritis between 2008 and 2009 were identified from hospital admission databases. Diagnosis of acute gastroenteritis/rotavirus gastroenteritis and hospital-acquired rotavirus gastroenteritis was confirmed based on either the International Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems 10th revision (ICD10) codes (intestinal infectious diseases [AA00-AA09] and rotavirus gastroenteritis [A08.0]) or from rapid rotavirus diagnostic test results. RESULTS: Of 13,767 hospitalized children, 11.9% (1,644), 4.8% (665) and 0.6% (81) were diagnosed with acute gastroenteritis, rotavirus gastroenteritis and hospital-acquired rotavirus gastroenteritis, respectively. Among acute gastroenteritis hospitalizations, 40.5% (665/1,644; ICD10 and rapid test) and 57.7% (645/1,118; rapid test only) were confirmed as rotavirus positive. Of 1,563 children with community-acquired acute gastroenteritis, 584 (37.4%) cases were confirmed as rotavirus positive. The median durations of hospitalization for all and community-acquired rotavirus gastroenteritis were 5.0 days (range: 2.0-133.0 days) and 5.0 days (range: 2.0-34.0 days), respectively. Among rotavirus gastroenteritis hospitalizations, 12.2% (81/665) of cases were hospital-acquired and the median duration of hospitalization was 10.0 days (range: 2.0-133.0 days). The median duration of additional hospitalization due to hospital-acquired rotavirus gastroenteritis was 3.0 days (range: 0-14 days). The overall incidence rate of hospital-acquired rotavirus gastroenteritis was 1.0 per 1,000 children hospital-days. The number of rotavirus gastroenteritis cases peaked between February and May in both 2008 and 2009, and the highest number of cases was reported in March 2008 (21.8%; 145/665). The highest number of rotavirus gastroenteritis hospitalizations (24.1%; 160/665) was observed in children aged 12-18 months. The proportion of hospital-acquired rotavirus gastroenteritis was higher in children aged below 18 months as compared to children at least 18 months of age (0.94 [95% CI: 0.71-1.21] vs. 0.39 [95% CI: 0.25-0.58]) and for children hospitalized for at least 5 days compared to those hospitalized for less than 5 days (0.91 [95% CI: 0.72-1.14] vs. 0.15 [95% CI: 0.05-0.32]). CONCLUSIONS: Both community- and hospital-acquired rotavirus gastroenteritis are significant public health problems in Japan. Data from this study justify the need for the introduction and implementation of rotavirus vaccination in the Japanese national immunization program. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT01202201.

Real-world data of HER2-low metastatic breast cancer: A population based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: With the introduction of investigational human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) targeting treatments, thorough understanding of breast cancer with different HER2 expression levels is critical. The aim of this study was to compare clinicopathologic characteristics and survival of patients with metastatic breast cancer according to the level of HER2 expression. METHODS: Women with distant metastatic breast cancer during 2008-2016 were selected from PALGA, the Dutch Pathology Registry, and linked to the PHARMO Database Network. Breast cancer samples were categorised as HER2 immunohistochemistry score 0 (IHC0), HER2-low or HER2+. RESULTS: Among women with hormone receptor (HR) positive metastatic breast cancer (n = 989), 373 (38%) cancers were HER2 IHC0, 472 (48%) were HER2-low and 144 (15%) were HER2+. Among HR negative patients (n = 272), the proportion of HER2 IHC0, HER2-low and HER2+ was 110 (40%), 104 (38%) and 58 (21%) respectively. Within the HR + cohort, patients with HER2 IHC0 or HER2-low cancer were significantly older compared to HER2+ patients. This age difference was not seen in the HR-cohort. The localisation of distant metastases differed significantly between HER2 IHC0 or HER2-low versus HER2+ cases. Survival rates did not differ markedly by subtypes. CONCLUSION: Substantial proportion of patients had a HER2-low breast cancer. No clear differences in survival were found when comparing HER2 and HR status. Getting more granular insights in the level of HER2 expression and addressing HER2-low as a separate category could help to assess the impact of emerging treatment strategies. Therefore, more detailed information on HER2 expression should be routinely reported.

Epidemiology and Survival Outcomes for Patients With NSCLC in Scandinavia in the Preimmunotherapy Era: A SCAN-LEAF Retrospective Analysis From the I-O Optimise Initiative.

INTRODUCTION: SCAN-LEAF, part of the I-O Optimise initiative, is a retrospective, longitudinal study investigating the epidemiology, clinical care, and outcomes for patients with NSCLC in Scandinavia. We report overall survival (OS) trends for patients diagnosed with NSCLC in Sweden and Denmark between 2005 and 2015. METHODS: Swedish and Danish cohorts were established by linking national registries. Data on all adults diagnosed with incident NSCLC from January 1, 2005, to December 31, 2015, were included. For temporal analyses of OS trends, patients were stratified by TNM stage and histology. RESULTS: Between 2005 and 2015, a total of 30,067 and 31,939 patients from Sweden and Denmark, respectively, were diagnosed with NSCLC; the most common histological subtype was nonsquamous cell carcinoma (56.9% and 53.0%) and 48.4% and 51.6% were diagnosed at stage IV. Over the study period, significant improvements in short-term survival (1 y) were observed for patients with nonsquamous cell carcinoma in both countries, regardless of disease stage at diagnosis; however, improvements in longer-term survival (5 y) were limited to patients with stage I and II disease only. Conversely, among patients with squamous cell histology, improvements in short-term survival were only observed for stage I disease in Sweden and stage IIIA disease in Denmark, while significant improvements in longer-term survival were seen only for stage IIIA NSCLC in both countries. CONCLUSIONS: Despite some survival improvements between 2005 and 2015, an unmet need remains for patients with advanced NSCLC, particularly those with squamous cell histology. Future analyses will evaluate the impact of newer treatments on OS in NSCLC.

Natural language processing and machine learning to enable automatic extraction and classification of patients' smoking status from electronic medical records.

BACKGROUND: The electronic medical record (EMR) offers unique possibilities for clinical research, but some important patient attributes are not readily available due to its unstructured properties. We applied text mining using machine learning to enable automatic classification of unstructured information on smoking status from Swedish EMR data. METHODS: Data on patients' smoking status from EMRs were used to develop 32 different predictive models that were trained using Weka, changing sentence frequency, classifier type, tokenization, and attribute selection in a database of 85,000 classified sentences. The models were evaluated using F-score and accuracy based on out-of-sample test data including 8500 sentences. The error weight matrix was used to select the best model, assigning a weight to each type of misclassification and applying it to the model confusion matrices. The best performing model was then compared to a rule-based method. RESULTS: The best performing model was based on the Support Vector Machine (SVM) Sequential Minimal Optimization (SMO) classifier using a combination of unigrams and bigrams as tokens. Sentence frequency and attributes selection did not improve model performance. SMO achieved 98.14% accuracy and 0.981 F-score versus 79.32% and 0.756 for the rule-based model. CONCLUSION: A model using machine-learning algorithms to automatically classify patients' smoking status was successfully developed. Such algorithms may enable automatic assessment of smoking status and other unstructured data directly from EMRs without manual classification of complete case notes.

Patterns of Lisdexamfetamine Dimesylate Use in Children, Adolescents, and Adults with Attention-Deficit/Hyperactivity Disorder in Europe.

Objectives: Lisdexamfetamine dimesylate (LDX) is approved in some European countries for the second-line treatment of attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) in children and adolescents when response to previous methylphenidate (MPH) treatment is considered clinically inadequate, and as a first-line treatment in adults. Limited evidence exists on the real-world use of LDX across Europe. This retrospective study evaluated LDX drug utilization patterns from eight European countries for up to 5 years. Methods: Data were collected from national registries (Denmark, Finland, Norway, Sweden), electronic medical records (Germany, Spain, United Kingdom), and prescription databases (Switzerland) in eight European countries. Patients were included if they were prescribed LDX at least once since the LDX launch date in each country. Demographic and clinical characteristics, and LDX prescription data included patient age and gender, a recorded diagnosis of ADHD, the number of prescriptions per participant, previous MPH prescription recorded, average daily dose, treatment persistence, discontinuation, and switching of medications. Results: Overall, information for 59,292 patients (437,272 LDX prescriptions) was analyzed. Most patients were male (58.1%-84.3%) and fewer than 1% were under 6 years of age. Extensive use of LDX in adults was observed in four countries (Denmark, Finland, Norway, and Sweden), including countries where LDX was not approved for this age group. Most patients had a recorded diagnosis of ADHD (61.9%-95.4%). The mean number of prescriptions per patient ranged from 5.4 to 10.0. At least 79.6% of patients with ADHD had a recorded previous MPH prescription. Mean duration of LDX exposure ranged from 233.1 to 410.8 days. The average daily dose of LDX was ≤70 mg/day for most patients (79.4%-99.7%). The 5-year discontinuation rate ranged from 22.8% to 70.6% and was below 40% for most countries. The proportion of patients switching from LDX to other medications was ≤33.8. Conclusions: This study provides the first long-term, real-world information related to LDX use by children, adolescents, and adults in Europe in the 5 years since its first launch in the region. Most LDX prescriptions fulfilled label requirements regarding a recorded diagnosis of ADHD before treatment initiation, previous MPH use, and an average daily dose of ≤70 mg/day. LDX was largely prescribed within the indicated age range, although adult use of LDX was high in some countries where LDX is not approved for this population.

Infections in patients with multiple sclerosis: A national cohort study in Sweden.

BACKGROUND: Multiple sclerosis (MS) patients have an increased risk of infections, but few population-based studies have reported infections occurring in MS in the years immediately after diagnosis. OBJECTIVE: To explore incident infections in MS, stratified by age and sex. METHODS: In a Swedish population-based cohort study 6602 incident MS patients (aged ≥18 years), matched at diagnosis with 61,828 matched MS-free individuals were identified between 1st January 2008 and 31st December 2016, using national registers. Incidence rates (IR) and incidence rate ratios (IRR) with 95% CI were calculated for each outcome. RESULTS: The IRRs were 2.54 (95% CI 2.28-2.83) for first serious infection and 1.61 (1.52-1.71) for first non-serious infection. Compared with MS-free individuals, MS patients had higher IRs for skin, respiratory/throat infections, pneumonia/influenza, bacterial, viral, and fungal infections, with the highest IRR observed for urinary tract/kidney infections (2.44; 2.24-2.66). The cumulative incidence for most of these infections was higher among MS patients than MS-free individuals, both 0 to <5 and 5 to <9 years after index date. CONCLUSION: The burden of infections around the time of MS diagnosis and subsequent infection risk, underscore the need for careful considerations regarding the risk-benefit across different disease-modifying therapies.

Non-infectious comorbidity in patients with multiple sclerosis: A national cohort study in Sweden.

BACKGROUND: Comorbidity is of significant concern in multiple sclerosis (MS). Few population-based studies have reported conditions occurring in MS after diagnosis, especially in contemporary cohorts. OBJECTIVE: To explore incident comorbidity, mortality and hospitalizations in MS, stratified by age and sex. METHODS: In a Swedish population-based cohort study 6602 incident MS patients (aged ≥18 years) and 61,828 matched MS-free individuals were identified between 1 January 2008 and 31 December 2016, using national registers. Incidence rates (IRs) and incidence rate ratios (IRRs) with 95% CI were calculated for each outcome. RESULTS: IRs of cardiovascular disease (CVD) were higher among MS patients than MS-free individuals, (major adverse CVD: IRR 1.42; 95% CI 1.12-1.82; hemorrhagic/ischemic stroke: 1.46; 1.05-2.02; transient ischemic attack: 1.65; 1.09-2.50; heart failure: 1.55; 1.15-2.10); venous thromboembolism: 1.42; 1.14-1.77). MS patients also had higher risks of several non-CVDs such as autoimmune conditions (IRR 3.83; 3.01-4.87), bowel dysfunction (2.16; 1.86-2.50), depression (2.38; 2.11-2.68), and fractures (1.32; 1.19-1.47), as well as being hospitalized and to suffer from CVD-related deaths ((1.91; 1.00-3.65), particularly in females (3.57; 1.58-8.06)). CONCLUSION: MS-patients experience a notable comorbidity burden which emphasizes the need for integrated disease management in order to improve patient care and long-term outcomes of MS.

Traffic-generated air pollution and myocardial infarction.

BACKGROUND: Although long-term air pollution exposure has been linked to cardiovascular mortality, data on incidence and nonfatal coronary disease are limited and inconclusive. The aim of this study was to investigate the association between long-term residential exposure to air pollution from traffic and the risk of nonfatal and fatal myocardial infarction. METHODS: The records of all individuals aged 15 to 79 with a first event of myocardial infarction in Stockholm County during 1985 to 1996 were retrieved from a registry. Population controls were randomly selected from the study base stratified by age, sex, and calendar year. Individual socioeconomic data and home addresses were obtained from population censuses 1970 to 1995. Annual air pollution exposure was assessed by dispersion modeling at the home addresses of 24,347 cases and 276,926 controls. RESULTS: Five-year average traffic-generated air pollution exposure corresponding to a difference in nitrogen dioxide from the fifth to the 95th percentile (31 microg/m) was associated with an odds ratio for fatal myocardial infarction adjusted for age, sex, calendar year, and socioeconomic status of 1.23 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.15-1.32). The corresponding odds ratio was 2.54 (1.96-3.29) among those with least expected misclassification of true individual exposure (those who did not move between censuses). Different time-windows and analyses of other pollutants including carbon monoxide and particles less than 10 mum in diameter (PM10) produced weaker associations. There was no increased risk for nonfatal myocardial infarction (ORs 0.94-0.98). CONCLUSIONS: Long-term exposure to traffic-generated air pollution is associated with fatal myocardial infarction but not with nonfatal infarction.

Long-term exposure to road traffic noise and myocardial infarction.

BACKGROUND: An association has been reported between long-term exposure to road traffic noise and the risk of myocardial infarction (MI), but the evidence is limited and inconclusive. No previous study has simultaneously analyzed the role of exposure to noise and air pollution from road traffic in the risk of MI. METHODS: A population-based case-control study on MI was conducted 1992-1994 in Stockholm County. Participants answered a questionnaire and underwent a physical examination. Residential exposure to noise and air pollution from road traffic between 1970 and 1992-1994 was assessed for 3666 participants (1571 cases of MI and 2095 controls), based on residential history combined with information on traffic intensity and distance to nearby roads. Information was also obtained on factors potentially affecting the relationship between noise exposure and MI, such as noise annoyance. RESULTS: The correlation between long-term individual exposure to noise and air pollution from traffic was high (r = 0.6). The adjusted odds ratio for MI associated with long-term road traffic noise exposure of 50 dBA or higher was 1.12 (95% confidence interval = 0.95-1.33). In a subsample, defined by excluding persons with hearing loss or exposure to noise from other sources, the corresponding odds ratio was 1.38 (1.11-1.71), with a positive exposure-response trend. No strong effect modification was apparent by sex or cardiovascular risk factors, including air pollution from road traffic. CONCLUSIONS: The results lend some support to the hypothesis that long-term exposure to road traffic noise increases the risk for MI.

Healthcare Resource Use, Cost, and Sick Leave Following Kidney Transplantation in Sweden: A Population-Based, 5-Year, Retrospective Study of Outcomes: COIN.

BACKGROUND Improved understanding of the impact of kidney transplantation on healthcare resource use/costs and loss of productivity could aid decision making about funding allocation and resources needed for the treatment of chronic kidney disease in stage 5. MATERIAL AND METHODS This was a retrospective study utilizing data from Swedish national health registers of patients undergoing kidney transplantation. Primary outcomes were renal disease-related healthcare resource utilization and costs during the 5 years after transplantation. Secondary outcomes included total costs and loss of productivity. Regression analysis identified factors that influenced resource use, costs, and loss of productivity. RESULTS During the first year after transplantation, patients (N=3120) spent a mean of 25.7 days in hospital and made 21.6 outpatient visits; mean renal disease-related total cost was €66,014. During the next 4 years, resource use was approximately 70% (outpatient) to 80% (inpatient) lower, and costs were 75% lower. Before transplantation, 62.8% were on long-term sick leave, compared with 47.4% 2 years later. Higher resource use and costs were associated with age <10 years, female sex, graft from a deceased donor, prior hemodialysis, receipt of a previous transplant, and presence of comorbidities. Higher levels of sick leave were associated with female sex, history of hemodialysis, and type 1 diabetes. Overall 5-year graft survival was 86.7% (95% CI 85.3-88.2%). CONCLUSIONS After the first year following transplantation, resource use and related costs decreased, remaining stable for the next 4 years. Demographic and clinical factors, including age <10 years, female sex, and type 1 diabetes were associated with higher costs and resource use.

Road traffic noise and hypertension.

BACKGROUND: It has been suggested that noise exposure increases the risk of hypertension. Road traffic is the dominant source of community noise exposure. OBJECTIVE: To study the association between exposure to residential road traffic noise and hypertension in an urban municipality. METHODS: The study population comprised randomly selected subjects aged 19-80 years. A postal questionnaire provided information on individual characteristics, including diagnosis of hypertension. The response rate was 77%, resulting in a study population of 667 subjects. The outdoor equivalent traffic noise level (Leq 24 h) at the residence of each individual was determined using noise-dispersion models and manual noise assessments. The individual noise exposure was classified in units of 5 dB(A), from <45 dB(A) to >65 dB(A). RESULTS: The odds ratio (OR) for hypertension adjusted for age, smoking, occupational status and house type was 1.38 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.06 to 1.80) per 5 dB(A) increase in noise exposure. The association seemed stronger among women (OR 1.71; 95% CI 1.17 to 2.50) and among those who had lived at the address for >10 years (OR 1.93; 95% CI 1.29 to 2.83). Analyses of categorical exposure variables suggested an exposure-response relationship. The strongest association between exposure to traffic noise and hypertension was found among those with the least expected misclassification of true individual exposure, as indicated by not having triple-glazed windows, living in an old house and having the bedroom window facing a street (OR 2.47; 95% CI 1.38 to 4.43). CONCLUSION: The results of our study suggest an association between exposure to residential road traffic noise and hypertension.

Cost of Dementia and Its Correlation With Dependence.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the cost of dementia care and its relation to dependence. METHOD: Disease severity and health care resource utilization was retrieved from the Swedish National Study on Aging and Care. Informal care was assessed with the Resource Utilization in Dementia instrument. A path model investigates the relationship between annual cost of care and dependence, cognitive ability, functioning, neuropsychiatric symptoms, and comorbidities. RESULTS: Average annual cost among patients diagnosed with dementia was €43,259, primarily incurred by accommodation. Resource use, that is, institutional care, community care, and accommodation, and corresponding costs increased significantly by increasing dependency. Path analysis showed that cognitive ability, functioning, and neuropsychiatric symptoms were significantly correlated with dependence, which in turn had a strong impact on annual cost. DISCUSSION: This study confirms that cost of dementia care increases with dependence and that the impact of other disease indicators is mainly mediated by dependence.