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1.
BMC Health Serv Res ; 17(1): 74, 2017 01 23.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28114939

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Prior analyses beyond clinical trials are yet to evaluate the projected lifetime benefit of apixaban treatment compared to low-molecular-weight heparin (LMWH)/vitamin K antagonist (VKA) for treatment of venous thromboembolism (VTE) and prevention of recurrences. The objective of this study is to assess the cost-effectiveness of initial plus extended treatment with apixaban versus LMWH/VKA for either initial treatment only or initial plus extended treatment. METHODS: A Markov cohort model was developed to evaluate the lifetime clinical and economic impact of treatment of VTE and prevention of recurrences with apixaban (starting at 10 mg BID for 1 week, then 5 mg BID for 6 months, then 2.5 mg BID for an additional 12 months) versus LMWH/VKA for 6 months and either no further treatment or extended treatment with VKA for an additional 12 months. Clinical event rates to inform the model were taken from the AMPLIFY and AMPLIFY-EXT trials and a network meta-analysis. Background mortality rates, costs, and utilities were obtained from published sources. The analysis was conducted from the perspective of the United Kingdom National Health Service. The evaluated outcomes included the number of events avoided in a 1000-patient cohort, total costs, life-years, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), and cost per QALY gained. RESULTS: Initial plus extended treatment with apixaban was superior to both treatment durations of LMWH/VKA in reducing the number of bleeding events, and was superior to initial LMWH/VKA for 6 months followed by no therapy, in reducing VTE recurrences. Apixaban treatment was cost-effective compared to 6-month treatment with LMWH/VKA at an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of £6692 per QALY. When initial LMWH/VKA was followed by further VKA therapy for an additional 12 months (i.e., total treatment duration of 18 months), apixaban was cost-effective at an ICER of £8528 per QALY gained. Sensitivity analysis suggested these findings were robust over a wide range of inputs and scenarios for the model. CONCLUSIONS: In the UK, initial plus extended treatment with apixaban for treatment of VTE and prevention of recurrences appears to be economical and a clinically effective alternative to LMWH/VKA, whether used for initial or initial plus extended treatment.


Assuntos
Anticoagulantes/economia , Heparina de Baixo Peso Molecular/economia , Heparina de Baixo Peso Molecular/uso terapêutico , Pirazóis/economia , Pirazóis/uso terapêutico , Piridonas/economia , Piridonas/uso terapêutico , Tromboembolia Venosa/tratamento farmacológico , Tromboembolia Venosa/prevenção & controle , Vitamina K/antagonistas & inibidores , Anticoagulantes/uso terapêutico , Análise Custo-Benefício , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Recidiva , Prevenção Secundária , Medicina Estatal/economia , Resultado do Tratamento , Reino Unido , Tromboembolia Venosa/economia
2.
Eur Heart J ; 35(28): 1897-906, 2014 Jul 21.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24513791

RESUMO

AIMS: Warfarin, a vitamin K antagonist (VKA), has been the standard of care for stroke prevention in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Aspirin is recommended for low-risk patients and those unsuitable for warfarin. Apixaban is an oral anticoagulant that has demonstrated better efficacy than warfarin and aspirin in the ARISTOTLE and AVERROES studies, respectively, and causes less bleeding than warfarin. We evaluated the potential cost-effectiveness of apixaban against warfarin and aspirin from the perspective of the UK payer perspective. RESULTS AND METHODS: A lifetime Markov model was developed to evaluate the pharmacoeconomic impact of apixaban compared with warfarin and aspirin in VKA suitable and VKA unsuitable patients, respectively. Clinical events considered in the model include ischaemic stroke, haemorrhagic stroke, intracranial haemorrhage, other major bleed, clinically relevant non-major bleed, myocardial infarction, cardiovascular hospitalization and treatment discontinuations; data from the ARISTOTLE and AVERROES trials and published mortality rates and event-related utility rates were used in the model. Apixaban was projected to increase life expectancy and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) compared with warfarin and aspirin. These gains were expected to be achieved at a drug acquisition-related cost increase over lifetime. The estimated incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was £11 909 and £7196 per QALY gained with apixaban compared with warfarin and aspirin, respectively. Sensitivity analyses indicated that results were robust to a wide range of inputs. CONCLUSIONS: Based on randomized trial data, apixaban is a cost-effective alternative to warfarin and aspirin, in VKA suitable and VKA unsuitable patients with AF, respectively.


Assuntos
Anticoagulantes/economia , Fibrilação Atrial/complicações , Pirazóis/economia , Piridonas/economia , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/economia , Idoso , Anticoagulantes/uso terapêutico , Aspirina/economia , Aspirina/uso terapêutico , Análise Custo-Benefício , Custos de Medicamentos , Inibidores do Fator Xa/economia , Inibidores do Fator Xa/uso terapêutico , Feminino , Hemorragia/induzido quimicamente , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Masculino , Cadeias de Markov , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Multicêntricos como Assunto , Pirazóis/uso terapêutico , Piridonas/uso terapêutico , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Ensaios Clínicos Controlados Aleatórios como Assunto , Fatores de Risco , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/prevenção & controle , Vitamina K/antagonistas & inibidores , Varfarina/economia , Varfarina/uso terapêutico
3.
Am J Ther ; 19(1): 24-32, 2012 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20838204

RESUMO

Long-term adherence to statins is poor. We assessed the relationship between cardiovascular (CV) risk and atorvastatin adherence in primary- and secondary-prevention patients, adjusting for healthy-adherer bias by incorporating preventive service use into the model. Medical and pharmacy claims from employee-based plans from 2002 to 2008 were analyzed for patients who initiated atorvastatin in 2003-2004. Adherent patients were defined as having ≥60% of days covered in the year after atorvastatin initiation and were required to have pill coverage in months 10-12. CV events were identified as hospitalizations with a primary CV diagnosis and assessed from month 13 after atorvastatin initiation until the end of follow-up (≤36 months). Cox proportional hazards models were used to examine the association between atorvastatin adherence and CV event risk, adjusting for covariates including preventive service use. The study included 94,287 atorvastatin users (79,010 primary- and 15,277 secondary-prevention patients). In both populations, nearly one-half of the patients discontinued atorvastatin after 1 year. During follow-up, ~2% of primary-prevention and ~9% of secondary-prevention patients experienced CV events. After adjusting for covariates, adherent patients in the primary-prevention population had a significantly lower risk of CV events compared with nonadherent patients (hazard ratio, 0.82; 95% confidence interval, 0.74-0.91). In the secondary-prevention population, adherence to atorvastatin was also associated with lower CV risk (hazard ratio, 0.74; 95% confidence interval, 0.66-0.82). Atorvastatin discontinuation rates were high 1 year after treatment initiation. Patients who adhered to atorvastatin treatment were at lower CV risk. Quality-of-care interventions should target improvements to therapy persistence.


Assuntos
Doenças Cardiovasculares/prevenção & controle , Ácidos Heptanoicos/uso terapêutico , Inibidores de Hidroximetilglutaril-CoA Redutases/uso terapêutico , Adesão à Medicação , Pirróis/uso terapêutico , Atorvastatina , Doenças Cardiovasculares/epidemiologia , Estudos de Coortes , Feminino , Seguimentos , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prevenção Primária , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Estudos Retrospectivos , Prevenção Secundária , Fatores de Tempo , Resultado do Tratamento
4.
Oncol Res Treat ; 41(6): 399-405, 2018.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29734184

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Surprisingly little is known about the burden of oral mucositis (OM). We provide a systematic review of studies on the burden of OM (incidence, economic impact, health-related quality of life (HRQoL)). METHODS: Systematic literature searches were made in BIOSIS, EMBASE, and MEDLINE. Inclusion criteria were studies on OM in hematology/oncology patients of ≥ 18 years, journal articles, English language, and published between 2000 and 2016; OM treatment studies were excluded. Quality assessment was performed using the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) approach. RESULTS: We screened 4,996 hits, and identified 68 studies of which 13 were without transparency on OM grading. The evidence level of 65 studies was rated 'low' or 'very low' in 58.5%, 'moderate' in 20% and 'high' in 21.5%. Mean value of incidence (7 studies) was 83.5% for all grades of OM with hematopoietic stem cell transplantation. OM incidence for all grades in head and neck cancer patients was 59.4-100%. Considering the economic impact, 16 studies showed highly variable numbers. HRQoL was measured in 16 studies using 13 different instruments. Statistically significant changes in HRQoL scores were demonstrated. CONCLUSION: OM is common, burdensome, costly and imposes major reductions in HRQoL. However, from a quality standpoint, the level of current evidence in OM is disappointing. The field needs continued attention to address methodological challenges.


Assuntos
Efeitos Psicossociais da Doença , Neoplasias de Cabeça e Pescoço/complicações , Transplante de Células-Tronco Hematopoéticas/métodos , Estomatite/terapia , Pesquisa Biomédica/métodos , Pesquisa Biomédica/tendências , Previsões , Humanos , Qualidade de Vida , Estomatite/complicações , Estomatite/economia
5.
BMC Gastroenterol ; 7: 25, 2007 Jul 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17610716

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Previous evaluations of the cost-effectiveness of the cyclooxygenase-2 selective inhibitor celecoxib (Celebrex, Pfizer Inc, USA) have produced conflicting results. The recent controversy over the cardiovascular (CV) risks of rofecoxib and other coxibs has renewed interest in the economic profile of celecoxib, the only coxib now available in the United States. The objective of our study was to evaluate the long-term cost-effectiveness of celecoxib compared with nonselective nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (nsNSAIDs) in a population of 60-year-old osteoarthritis (OA) patients with average risks of upper gastrointestinal (UGI) complications who require chronic daily NSAID therapy. METHODS: We used decision analysis based on data from the literature to evaluate cost-effectiveness from a modified societal perspective over patients' lifetimes, with outcomes expressed as incremental costs per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained. Sensitivity tests were performed to evaluate the impacts of advancing age, CV thromboembolic event risk, different analytic horizons and alternate treatment strategies after UGI adverse events. RESULTS: Our main findings were: 1) the base model incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) for celecoxib versus nsNSAIDs was $31,097 per QALY; 2) the ICER per QALY was $19,309 for a model in which UGI ulcer and ulcer complication event risks increased with advancing age; 3) the ICER per QALY was $17,120 in sensitivity analyses combining serious CV thromboembolic event (myocardial infarction, stroke, CV death) risks with base model assumptions. CONCLUSION: Our model suggests that chronic celecoxib is cost-effective versus nsNSAIDs in a population of 60-year-old OA patients with average risks of UGI events.


Assuntos
Anti-Inflamatórios não Esteroides/economia , Osteoartrite/tratamento farmacológico , Osteoartrite/economia , Pirazóis/economia , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Sulfonamidas/economia , Fatores Etários , Análise de Variância , Anti-Inflamatórios não Esteroides/uso terapêutico , Celecoxib , Análise Custo-Benefício , Diclofenaco/economia , Diclofenaco/uso terapêutico , Relação Dose-Resposta a Droga , Esquema de Medicação , Quimioterapia Combinada , Feminino , Humanos , Assistência de Longa Duração , Masculino , Dose Máxima Tolerável , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Modelos Econômicos , Naproxeno/economia , Naproxeno/uso terapêutico , Osteoartrite/diagnóstico , Probabilidade , Pirazóis/uso terapêutico , Fatores de Risco , Sensibilidade e Especificidade , Índice de Gravidade de Doença , Sulfonamidas/uso terapêutico
6.
Ann Pharmacother ; 41(6): 937-43, 2007 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17488830

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The use of nonsteroidal antiinflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) has been associated with increased blood pressure and hypertension. However, less is known about how the risk of hypertension is associated with cyclooxygenase 2 selective inhibitors (coxibs), especially celecoxib, the only coxib remaining on the market. OBJECTIVE: To compare the risk of incident hypertension associated with the use of celecoxib and nonselective (NS) NSAIDs. METHODS: A cohort study was conducted using secondary data from the GE Centricity Electronic Medical Record database, which contains millions of patient records seen by thousands of physicians across the US. The index date was defined as the date of the first NSNSAID or celecoxib prescription between January 1, 1999, and June 30, 2004. Patients were included if they were aged 18 years or older and were enrolled for at least 365 days prior to the index date. Excluded were patients who had any prior diagnosis of hypertension or pregnancy-related hypertension during the pre- or postindex date period. Also excluded were patients who had any prior prescription for antihypertensive drugs, coxibs, or NSNSAIDs. After applying inclusion/exclusion criteria, each celecoxib user was matched to 2 NSNSAID users by sex, age (+/-5 y), propensity score (within 0.2 SD), and number of unique drugs (+/-20%). Descriptive and survival analyses were conducted. RESULTS: The final sample consisted of 51,444 patients, of whom 17,148 were on celecoxib and 34,296 were on NSNSAIDs. Relative to NSNSAID users, patients on celecoxib had a similar rate of postexposure hypertension incidence (HR 1.013; 95% CI 0.862 to 1.190). CONCLUSIONS: Results from a population-based cohort analysis of electronic medical records did not show any difference in the hazard rates of incident hypertension between celecoxib and NSNSAID users.


Assuntos
Anti-Inflamatórios não Esteroides/efeitos adversos , Hipertensão/induzido quimicamente , Pirazóis/efeitos adversos , Sulfonamidas/efeitos adversos , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Celecoxib , Estudos de Coortes , Inibidores de Ciclo-Oxigenase/efeitos adversos , Feminino , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Risco
7.
Ann Pharmacother ; 41(3): 400-6, 2007 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17341537

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Opioid analgesics remain a mainstay in the treatment of pain associated with surgical procedures. Such use is associated with adverse drug events (ADEs). OBJECTIVE: To investigate the impact of opioid-related ADEs on total hospital costs and length of stay (LOS) in adult surgical patients. METHODS: This was a retrospective matched cohort study using data from computerized medical records. ADE cases were prospectively detected using computerized surveillance and verified by pharmacists. Surgical patients treated at LDS Hospital in Salt Lake City from January 1, 1998, to December 31, 2003, were included. The primary outcomes were costs and hospital LOS associated with opioid-related ADEs and the relationship of opioid dose to ADE events. RESULTS: Patients experiencing opioid-related ADEs had significantly increased median total hospital costs (7.4% increase; 95% CI 3.83 to 10.96; p < 0.001) and increased median LOS (10.3% increase; 95% CI 6.5 to 14.2; p < 0.001) compared with matched non-ADE controls. The increased costs attributable to ADEs, by surgery type, were general surgery ($676.51; 95% CI 351.50 to 1001.50), orthopedics ($861.50; 95% CI 448.20 to 1274.80), and obstetrics/gynecology ($540.90; 95% CI 281.40 to 800.40). Similarly, increased LOS attributable to ADEs, by surgery type, were general surgery (0.64 days; 95% CI 0.40 to 0.88), orthopedics (0.52 days; 95% CI 0.33 to 0.71), and obstetrics/gynecology (0.53 days; 95% CI 0.33 to 0.72). Higher doses of opioids were associated with increased risk of experiencing ADEs (OR 1.3; 95% CI 1.07 to 1.60; p = 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Opioid-related ADEs following surgery were associated with significantly increased LOS and hospitalization costs. These ADEs occurred more frequently in patients receiving higher doses of opioids.


Assuntos
Analgésicos Opioides/efeitos adversos , Custos Hospitalares/estatística & dados numéricos , Tempo de Internação/estatística & dados numéricos , Dor Pós-Operatória/tratamento farmacológico , Adulto , Sistemas de Notificação de Reações Adversas a Medicamentos , Idoso , Estudos de Coortes , Feminino , Hospitalização/economia , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Tempo de Internação/economia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade
8.
Eur J Pain ; 10(4): 353-61, 2006 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16051509

RESUMO

The Brief Pain Inventory short form (BPI-sf) is a validated, widely used, self-administered questionnaire developed to assess the severity of pain and the impact of pain on daily functions. A modified version was used daily in randomised control trials of patients with arthritis undergoing treatment with cyclooxygenase-2 specific inhibitors and non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs. Results indicate that the modified BPI-sf, much like the original scale, was internally reliable, consistent over time, and had good construct, as well as convergent and predictive validity in assessment of patients suffering from conditions of chronic pain. Each scale and individual pain intensity item refers to changes in osteoarthritis pain associated with medication use. The modified BPI-sf, like the parent scale, is a valid and reliable tool for situations in which pain is assessed daily and minimises the burden placed on patients to record information necessary for scientific investigations.


Assuntos
Osteoartrite/complicações , Medição da Dor/métodos , Medição da Dor/psicologia , Dor/diagnóstico , Dor/psicologia , Inquéritos e Questionários/normas , Adulto , Idoso , Anti-Inflamatórios não Esteroides/uso terapêutico , Doença Crônica/tratamento farmacológico , Doença Crônica/psicologia , Inibidores de Ciclo-Oxigenase 2/uso terapêutico , Interpretação Estatística de Dados , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Osteoartrite/psicologia , Dor/tratamento farmacológico , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Resultado do Tratamento
9.
Am J Manag Care ; 12 Spec no.: SP11-9, 2006 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17173486

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To examine the effects of statin cost-sharing (ie, copayments, coinsurance) on adherence to statin medications and the impact of adherence on healthcare utilization and spending. STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective, observational study of statin users receiving health benefits or supplemental coverage from employer-sponsored health plans. METHODS: Medical and pharmacy claims were selected from the Medstat MarketScan database for patients who were continuously enrolled from 2000 through 2003. Two-stage residual inclusion models were estimated. The first stage modeled adherence to statins, which was derived from the medication possession ratio, and represented the percentage of days on therapy in an 18-month time frame, July 2001 through December 2002. In the second stage, generalized linear models were used to estimate 2003 utilization and expenditures. Separate estimates were produced for new statin users (n = 24 113) and continuing statin users (n = 93 253). RESULTS: Lower statin copayments were associated with higher levels of statin adherence. In percentage terms, when holding all other variables at their mean value, a $10 increase in copayment resulted in a 1.8 percentage point reduction in the probability of adherence for new users and a 3 percentage point reduction in the probability of adherence for continuing users. For continuing users adherent to statins, total costs did not change, but fewer negative events (emergency department visits, hospitalizations, and coronary heart disease-related hospitalizations) occurred. CONCLUSIONS: Policy makers and plan managers should consider interventions that improve adherence to statins, such as lower copayments.


Assuntos
Custo Compartilhado de Seguro , Serviços de Saúde/economia , Serviços de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Inibidores de Hidroximetilglutaril-CoA Redutases/uso terapêutico , Cooperação do Paciente , Idoso , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Observação , Estudos Retrospectivos , Estados Unidos
10.
BMC Musculoskelet Disord ; 7: 72, 2006 Sep 18.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16982001

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Existing studies have examined the high prevalence of LBP along with the high treatment costs of patients with low back pain (LBP). Various factors have been shown to be correlated or predictive of chronic or episodic LBP including the characteristics of the initial episode, pain, comorbid conditions, psychosocial issues, and opiate use. This study replicates and extends earlier studies by examining the association of patient characteristics including baseline comorbidities with patterns of healthcare service use and cost. METHODS: This is a retrospective analysis of measures of comorbidities, healthcare use, and cost for patients identified with LBP, stratified by the number of LBP episodes. Administrative data associated with outpatient and hospital based care for the years 1996 through 2001, were used to identify adult patients with LBP. LBP patients continuously enrolled for 12 months prior and 24 months after their initial LBP event were included in the study. A LBP episode was identified as the number of 30-day periods where a patient had one or more healthcare events with a diagnosis consistent with LBP. Chi-square and multivariate regression analyses were employed to estimate the variation in utilization and costs. RESULTS: Of 16,567 patients enrolled, 67% were identified with only one LBP episode and 4.5% had > or =6. The prevalence of comorbidities, analgesic use, and healthcare service use, varied by the number of back pain episodes. Diabetes, rheumatoid arthritis, anxiety, psychotic illness, depression, use of opiates and NSAIDs were associated with significant incremental increases in costs (P < .003). CONCLUSION: Physical and mental health co-morbidities and measures of analgesic use were associated with chronicity, healthcare utilization and costs. Given the association of comorbidities and cost for patients with LBP, management approaches that are effective across chronic illnesses may prove to be beneficial for high cost patients identified with LBP.


Assuntos
Custos de Cuidados de Saúde , Serviços de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Dor Lombar/epidemiologia , Dor Lombar/terapia , Adulto , Distribuição por Idade , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Analgésicos/administração & dosagem , Analgésicos/uso terapêutico , Doença Crônica , Comorbidade , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prevalência , Estudos Retrospectivos , Distribuição por Sexo
11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16687350

RESUMO

Data from the U.S. Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services' Medicaid database were analyzed to define recent trends in the use and cost of opioid medications United States as a whole and in seven states between 1998 and 2003. Over this time period, total Medicaid prescriptions for opioids have nearly doubled and, in nominal terms, expenditures have nearly tripled. The morphine derivatives account for the largest share of these increases. By 2003, opioids represented about a four percent share of all Medicaid prescription drugs. Variations among the states in per-enrollee spending on opioids are substantial. The appropriateness of these variations is unknown.


Assuntos
Analgésicos Opioides/economia , Custos de Medicamentos/tendências , Medicaid/economia , Medicaid/tendências , Uso de Medicamentos , Humanos , Pacientes Ambulatoriais , Estudos Retrospectivos , Estados Unidos
12.
Clin Ther ; 38(3): 478-93.e1-16, 2016 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26922297

RESUMO

PURPOSE: To assess the cost-effectiveness of apixaban versus rivaroxaban, low-molecular-weight heparin (LMWH)/dabigatran, and LMWH/vitamin K antagonist (VKA) for the initial treatment and prevention of recurrent thromboembolic events in patients with venous thromboembolism (VTE). METHODS: A Markov model was developed to evaluate the pharmacoeconomic effect of 6 months of treatment with apixaban versus other anticoagulants over a lifetime horizon. Network meta-analyses were conducted using the results of the Apixaban after the Initial Management of Pulmonary Embolism and Deep Vein Thrombosis with First-Line Therapy (AMPLIFY), EINSTEIN-pooled, and RE-COVER I and II trials for the following end points: recurrent VTE, major bleeds, clinically relevant non-major bleeds, and treatment discontinuations. The analysis was conducted from the perspective of the United Kingdom National Health Service. The outcomes evaluated were the number of events avoided in a 1000-patient cohort, total costs, life years, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), and cost per QALY gained over a patient's lifetime. FINDINGS: Treatment for 6 months with apixaban was projected to result in fewer recurrent VTE and bleeding events in comparison to rivaroxaban, LMWH/dabigatran, and LMWH/VKA. Apixaban was cost-effective compared with LMWH/VKA at an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of £2520 per QALY gained and was a dominant (ie, lower costs and higher QALYs) alternative to either rivaroxaban or LMWH/dabigatran. Sensitivity analysis indicated that results were robust over a wide range of inputs. IMPLICATIONS: The assessment of the effects and costs of apixaban in this study predicted that apixaban is a dominant alternative to rivaroxaban and LMWH/dabigatran and a cost-effective alternative to LMWH/VKA for 6 months of treatment of VTE and the prevention of recurrence.


Assuntos
Anticoagulantes/economia , Dabigatrana/economia , Heparina de Baixo Peso Molecular/economia , Pirazóis/economia , Piridonas/economia , Rivaroxabana/economia , Tromboembolia Venosa/tratamento farmacológico , Anticoagulantes/uso terapêutico , Análise Custo-Benefício , Dabigatrana/uso terapêutico , Feminino , Hemorragia/induzido quimicamente , Heparina de Baixo Peso Molecular/uso terapêutico , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Pirazóis/uso terapêutico , Piridonas/uso terapêutico , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Ensaios Clínicos Controlados Aleatórios como Assunto , Recidiva , Rivaroxabana/uso terapêutico , Prevenção Secundária/economia , Reino Unido , Tromboembolia Venosa/prevenção & controle
13.
J Diabetes Sci Technol ; 10(1): 6-18, 2015 Dec 20.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26685993

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Application of novel machine learning approaches to electronic health record (EHR) data could provide valuable insights into disease processes. We utilized this approach to build predictive models for progression to prediabetes and type 2 diabetes (T2D). METHODS: Using a novel analytical platform (Reverse Engineering and Forward Simulation [REFS]), we built prediction model ensembles for progression to prediabetes or T2D from an aggregated EHR data sample. REFS relies on a Bayesian scoring algorithm to explore a wide model space, and outputs a distribution of risk estimates from an ensemble of prediction models. We retrospectively followed 24 331 adults for transitions to prediabetes or T2D, 2007-2012. Accuracy of prediction models was assessed using an area under the curve (AUC) statistic, and validated in an independent data set. RESULTS: Our primary ensemble of models accurately predicted progression to T2D (AUC = 0.76), and was validated out of sample (AUC = 0.78). Models of progression to T2D consisted primarily of established risk factors (blood glucose, blood pressure, triglycerides, hypertension, lipid disorders, socioeconomic factors), whereas models of progression to prediabetes included novel factors (high-density lipoprotein, alanine aminotransferase, C-reactive protein, body temperature; AUC = 0.70). CONCLUSIONS: We constructed accurate prediction models from EHR data using a hypothesis-free machine learning approach. Identification of established risk factors for T2D serves as proof of concept for this analytical approach, while novel factors selected by REFS represent emerging areas of T2D research. This methodology has potentially valuable downstream applications to personalized medicine and clinical research.


Assuntos
Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Progressão da Doença , Registros Eletrônicos de Saúde , Aprendizado de Máquina , Estado Pré-Diabético , Adulto , Área Sob a Curva , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Informática Médica/métodos , Curva ROC , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Risco
14.
Pharmacoeconomics ; 31(9): 767-80, 2013 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23821436

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Most existing models of smoking cessation treatments have considered a single quit attempt when modelling long-term outcomes. OBJECTIVE: To develop a model to simulate smokers over their lifetimes accounting for multiple quit attempts and relapses which will allow for prediction of the long-term health and economic impact of smoking cessation strategies. METHODS: A discrete event simulation (DES) that models individuals' life course of smoking behaviours, attempts to quit, and the cumulative impact on health and economic outcomes was developed. Each individual is assigned one of the available strategies used to support each quit attempt; the outcome of each attempt, time to relapses if abstinence is achieved, and time between quit attempts is tracked. Based on each individual's smoking or abstinence patterns, the risk of developing diseases associated with smoking (chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, lung cancer, myocardial infarction and stroke) is determined and the corresponding costs, changes to mortality, and quality of life assigned. Direct costs are assessed from the perspective of a comprehensive US healthcare payer ($US, 2012 values). Quit attempt strategies that can be evaluated in the current simulation include unassisted quit attempts, brief counselling, behavioural modification therapy, nicotine replacement therapy, bupropion, and varenicline, with the selection of strategies and time between quit attempts based on equations derived from survey data. Equations predicting the success of quit attempts as well as the short-term probability of relapse were derived from five varenicline clinical trials. RESULTS: Concordance between the five trials and predictions from the simulation on abstinence at 12 months was high, indicating that the equations predicting success and relapse in the first year following a quit attempt were reliable. Predictions allowing for only a single quit attempt versus unrestricted attempts demonstrate important differences, with the single quit attempt simulation predicting 19 % more smoking-related diseases and 10 % higher costs associated with smoking-related diseases. Differences are most prominent in predictions of the time that individuals abstain from smoking: 13.2 years on average over a lifetime allowing for multiple quit attempts, versus only 1.2 years with single quit attempts. Differences in abstinence time estimates become substantial only 5 years into the simulation. In the multiple quit attempt simulations, younger individuals survived longer, yet had lower lifetime smoking-related disease and total costs, while the opposite was true for those with high levels of nicotine dependence. CONCLUSION: By allowing for multiple quit attempts over the course of individuals' lives, the simulation can provide more reliable estimates on the health and economic impact of interventions designed to increase abstinence from smoking. Furthermore, the individual nature of the simulation allows for evaluation of outcomes in populations with different baseline profiles. DES provides a framework for comprehensive and appropriate predictions when applied to smoking cessation over smoker lifetimes.


Assuntos
Custos de Cuidados de Saúde , Abandono do Hábito de Fumar/economia , Abandono do Hábito de Fumar/métodos , Tabagismo/tratamento farmacológico , Tabagismo/economia , Resultado do Tratamento , Adulto , Benzazepinas/economia , Benzazepinas/uso terapêutico , Bupropiona/economia , Bupropiona/uso terapêutico , Ensaios Clínicos como Assunto , Simulação por Computador , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Modelos Econômicos , Qualidade de Vida , Quinoxalinas/economia , Quinoxalinas/uso terapêutico , Recidiva , Tabagismo/complicações , Tabagismo/prevenção & controle , Vareniclina
15.
Postgrad Med ; 124(1): 41-9, 2012 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22314113

RESUMO

UNLABELLED: This study assesses the use of new anticoagulants for the prevention of venous thromboembolism (VTE) in patients undergoing elective orthopedic surgery using traditional cost-effectiveness analysis and efficiency frontier methodology. RATIONALE: Efficiency frontier methodology has the potential to systematically improve the information used in policy and decision making, though it is still relatively uncommon in health economics. Anticoagulation in elective orthopedic surgery provides a fitting and timely case study for examining the influence of choosing one methodology over another. METHODS: An economic model was developed to capture the relative benefits and consequences of choosing one anticoagulation strategy over another in the context of orthopedic surgery. Three novel oral anticoagulants (apixaban, rivaroxaban, dabigatran) are compared with enoxaparin 40 mg daily from the UK National Health Service perspective using traditional cost-effectiveness estimates (cost/quality-adjusted life years, cost/life years gained) and the efficiency frontier. The latter explicitly includes embolic and bleeding events as outcomes. A 5-year time horizon was adopted. RESULTS: Total discounted costs ranged from about £200 000 to £431 000 over 5 years per 1000 patients undergoing elective total hip arthroplasty, and from £243 000 to £463 000 per 1000 patients for elective total knee arthroplasty. Analysis of the efficiency frontier demonstrates that apixaban and rivaroxaban are the preferred choices, depending on the outcome examined and the type of surgery. In terms of safety, apixaban is associated with more bleeding events avoided; yet, rivaroxaban demonstrated better VTE outcomes. CONCLUSION: Traditional cost-effectiveness analysis systematically excludes information related to the safety profiles of these anticoagulants. The efficiency frontier approach presented in this study provides critical information, without substantial effort, to permit a fully informed decision by taking into account all relevant outcomes as they relate to the costs associated with treatment choice.


Assuntos
Anticoagulantes/uso terapêutico , Artroplastia de Substituição , Modelos Econômicos , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/prevenção & controle , Tromboembolia Venosa/prevenção & controle , Idoso , Anticoagulantes/economia , Benzimidazóis/economia , Benzimidazóis/uso terapêutico , Análise Custo-Benefício , Dabigatrana , Árvores de Decisões , Custos de Medicamentos , Procedimentos Cirúrgicos Eletivos , Enoxaparina/economia , Enoxaparina/uso terapêutico , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Cadeias de Markov , Morfolinas/economia , Morfolinas/uso terapêutico , Pirazóis/economia , Pirazóis/uso terapêutico , Piridonas/economia , Piridonas/uso terapêutico , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Rivaroxabana , Medicina Estatal , Tiofenos/economia , Tiofenos/uso terapêutico , Reino Unido , beta-Alanina/análogos & derivados , beta-Alanina/economia , beta-Alanina/uso terapêutico
16.
Clin Appl Thromb Hemost ; 18(6): 611-27, 2012 Nov.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22387582

RESUMO

The present systematic review was conducted to assess the efficacy and safety of apixaban versus other anticoagulants, for the prevention of venous thromboembolism (VTE) following total hip replacement (THR) and total knee replacement (TKR) surgery. Electronic databases were interrogated to identify relevant randomized controlled trials. A series of direct/indirect comparisons and a network meta-analysis were conducted. Indirect comparisons found that the odds ratio of "all VTE and all-cause death" were significantly higher for dabigatran than for apixaban in patients with THR (odds ratio [OR], 2.51; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.50-4.21) and TKR (OR, 1.72; 95% CI, 1.22-2.42). Rivaroxaban showed similar efficacy to apixaban in patients with THR and TKR (OR, 0.69; 95% CI, 0.38-1.25 and OR, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.57-1.19, respectively). No significant differences were observed in bleeding outcomes between treatments. The novel anticoagulants apixaban, rivaroxaban, and dabigatran demonstrated similar or improved efficacy and similar safety compared with current therapies in this indication.


Assuntos
Antitrombinas/uso terapêutico , Artroplastia de Quadril/efeitos adversos , Artroplastia do Joelho/efeitos adversos , Benzimidazóis/uso terapêutico , Morfolinas/uso terapêutico , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/prevenção & controle , Pirazóis/uso terapêutico , Piridonas/uso terapêutico , Tiofenos/uso terapêutico , Tromboembolia Venosa/prevenção & controle , beta-Alanina/análogos & derivados , Antitrombinas/efeitos adversos , Benzimidazóis/efeitos adversos , Dabigatrana , Feminino , Hemorragia/induzido quimicamente , Hemorragia/mortalidade , Humanos , Masculino , Morfolinas/efeitos adversos , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/etiologia , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/mortalidade , Pirazóis/efeitos adversos , Piridonas/efeitos adversos , Rivaroxabana , Tiofenos/efeitos adversos , Tromboembolia Venosa/etiologia , Tromboembolia Venosa/mortalidade , beta-Alanina/efeitos adversos , beta-Alanina/uso terapêutico
17.
Postgrad Med ; 122(2): 16-24, 2010 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20203452

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: As clinical trials have shown the benefits of more intensive cholesterol control, treatment targets for low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) have decreased progressively. At the same time, physicians have been encouraged to contain costs by prescribing cheaper, generic statins for cholesterol management. To determine how these possibly conflicting goals are managed in clinical practice, we examined LDL-C control in patients switched from a potent, branded statin (atorvastatin) to a less potent, generic statin (simvastatin). METHODS: Patients who switched from atorvastatin to simvastatin between July 2006 and January 2008 were retrospectively identified from a US medical and pharmacy claims database, and matched with controls remaining on atorvastatin. Outcomes measured were the number of switched patients receiving a simvastatin milligram dose>or=2 times their previous atorvastatin dose, changes in LDL-C levels, and percentage of patients achieving recommended LDL-C targets. All study variables were analyzed descriptively. RESULTS: After applying exclusion and inclusion criteria, 1048 patients who switched from atorvastatin to simvastatin and 1048 matched controls who remained on atorvastatin were included. Among the switchers, 379 (36%) received an inappropriately low dose of simvastatin (<2 times atorvastatin dose). In patients remaining on atorvastatin, mean LDL-C decreased from 105.7 mg/dL to 102.3 mg/dL after 44 weeks, whereas in switched patients, LDL-C remained similar, at 105.9 mg/dL on atorvastatin and 105.8 mg/dL on simvastatin. Before switching, when all patients were receiving atorvastatin, 67.4% of switchers and 69.9% of controls achieved recommended LDL-C targets. After switching, significantly fewer switchers than controls met LDL-C targets (69.1% vs 74.6%; P=0.005). However, among patients who switched to an equivalent dose of simvastatin (>or=2 times prior atorvastatin dose), similar proportions met LDL-C targets (72.8% vs 74.6% of controls; P=0.402), whereas among patients who switched to inappropriate non-equivalent dose of simvastatin, a significantly lower proportion met LDL-C targets (62.5% vs 74.6% of controls; P=0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Continuing atorvastatin was associated with lower LDL-C levels and better LDL-C target attainment compared with switching to simvastatin. Patients switched to an equivalent simvastatin dose had lower LDL-C levels and were more likely to achieve LDL-C targets than patients switched to a non-equivalent dose, suggesting physicians must consider dosage equivalence when switching statins, and should measure LDL-C and titrate statins as necessary to achieve LDL-C control.


Assuntos
LDL-Colesterol/efeitos dos fármacos , Ácidos Heptanoicos/uso terapêutico , Inibidores de Hidroximetilglutaril-CoA Redutases/uso terapêutico , Hiperlipidemias/tratamento farmacológico , Pirróis/uso terapêutico , Sinvastatina/uso terapêutico , Adulto , Idoso , Atorvastatina , Estudos de Casos e Controles , LDL-Colesterol/sangue , Estudos de Coortes , Bases de Dados Factuais , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Análise Multivariada , Estudos Retrospectivos , Medição de Risco , Fatores de Risco
18.
Am J Gastroenterol ; 100(5): 1043-50, 2005 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-15842577

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: Dyspepsia and related gastrointestinal (GI) symptoms are commonly reported by patients taking nonspecific nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) and significantly impact treatment effectiveness, cost, and quality of life. This study sought to evaluate dyspepsia-related health in osteoarthritis (OA) and rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients taking valdecoxib compared with patients taking nonspecific NSAIDs. METHODS: Analysis of two separate, double-blind, placebo-controlled studies: one in RA patients randomized to placebo, valdecoxib (10 and 20 mg once daily [o.d.]) and naproxen (500 mg twice daily [b.i.d.]); one in OA patients randomized to placebo, valdecoxib (10 and 20 mg o.d.), diclofenac (75 mg b.i.d.), or ibuprofen (800 mg three times daily [t.i.d.]). Study population comprised patients with RA in flare or clinically documented OA who required chronic symptomatic treatment with NSAIDs/analgesics. Dyspepsia-related health was evaluated at baseline and weeks 2, 6, and 12 (or early termination) using the validated Severity of Dyspepsia Assessment (SODA) questionnaire. This patient self-report tool consists of scales for evaluating dyspepsia pain intensity, nonpain symptoms, and satisfaction. Analysis was based on the intent-to-treat population with the last observation carried forward. RESULTS: Valdecoxib was significantly better at endpoint than standard doses of naproxen, diclofenac, and ibuprofen for pain intensity scores (p < 0.05), and provided significantly improved nonpain symptom and satisfaction scores compared with naproxen for patients with RA (p < 0.05). For RA patients, the difference between valdecoxib and naproxen pain intensity scores were clinically meaningful; at all the time points, significantly fewer patients receiving valdecoxib reported severe dyspepsia pain intensity increases (>/=10 points) than those receiving naproxen. At 12 wk, fewer patients receiving valdecoxib reported severe dyspepsia pain intensity increases versus those receiving ibuprofen and diclofenac. CONCLUSIONS: The GI tolerability of valdecoxib is superior to that of nonspecific NSAIDs, and therefore can potentially have a favorable impact on patient quality of life.


Assuntos
Anti-Inflamatórios não Esteroides/uso terapêutico , Artrite Reumatoide/tratamento farmacológico , Inibidores de Ciclo-Oxigenase/uso terapêutico , Dispepsia/prevenção & controle , Isoxazóis/uso terapêutico , Osteoartrite/tratamento farmacológico , Sulfonamidas/uso terapêutico , Anti-Inflamatórios não Esteroides/efeitos adversos , Diclofenaco/efeitos adversos , Diclofenaco/uso terapêutico , Método Duplo-Cego , Dispepsia/induzido quimicamente , Feminino , Humanos , Ibuprofeno/efeitos adversos , Ibuprofeno/uso terapêutico , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Naproxeno/efeitos adversos , Naproxeno/uso terapêutico , Medição da Dor , Satisfação do Paciente , Placebos , Qualidade de Vida , Resultado do Tratamento , Trato Gastrointestinal Superior/efeitos dos fármacos
19.
Crit Care ; 6(4): 349-56, 2002 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-12225612

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Treatment of sepsis is aimed at increasing both the duration and quality of survival. A long-term focus on quality of life (QoL) in clinical trial evaluations of sepsis care should be a priority. METHOD: QoL data were used to evaluate the effects of intravenous antithrombin III treatment for severe sepsis measured for up to 90 days during the follow-up phase of the KyberSept phase III clinical trial. A visual analog scale and a Karnofsky scale were used to measure physical, psychologic, and social QoL at regular intervals. Changes from baseline between placebo and antithrombin III groups were assessed using Wilcoxon statistical tests, with additional analyses by severity of illness and admitting diagnosis. RESULTS: Among all sepsis survivors in the trial, there was a significant advantage on some attributes of QoL in the antithrombin III subgroup of patients who did not receive heparin as compared with the corresponding placebo group. DISCUSSION: The present study represents the first attempt to evaluate patient QoL over a relatively long period in a large, randomized, placebo-controlled sepsis trial. Over a 90-day period, survivors of severe sepsis receiving antithrombin III experienced significant improvements as compared with placebo on several attributes of QoL. In conclusion, the present study demonstrated that clinical improvements over an extended time period with antithrombin III were complemented by improvements in QoL, particularly in social and psychologic functioning, in many patients.


Assuntos
Antitrombina III/uso terapêutico , Qualidade de Vida , Sepse/tratamento farmacológico , Inibidores de Serina Proteinase/uso terapêutico , Resultado do Tratamento , APACHE , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Multicêntricos como Assunto , Ensaios Clínicos Controlados Aleatórios como Assunto , Sepse/classificação , Sepse/mortalidade
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