RESUMO
An Amendment to this paper has been published and can be accessed via a link at the top of the paper.
RESUMO
Wildfires are a global crisis, but current fire models fail to capture vegetation response to changing climate. With drought and elevated temperature increasing the importance of vegetation dynamics to fire behavior, and the advent of next generation models capable of capturing increasingly complex physical processes, we provide a renewed focus on representation of woody vegetation in fire models. Currently, the most advanced representations of fire behavior and biophysical fire effects are found in distinct classes of fine-scale models and do not capture variation in live fuel (i.e. living plant) properties. We demonstrate that plant water and carbon dynamics, which influence combustion and heat transfer into the plant and often dictate plant survival, provide the mechanistic linkage between fire behavior and effects. Our conceptual framework linking remotely sensed estimates of plant water and carbon to fine-scale models of fire behavior and effects could be a critical first step toward improving the fidelity of the coarse scale models that are now relied upon for global fire forecasting. This process-based approach will be essential to capturing the influence of physiological responses to drought and warming on live fuel conditions, strengthening the science needed to guide fire managers in an uncertain future.
Assuntos
Incêndios , Incêndios Florestais , Plantas , Fenômenos Fisiológicos Vegetais , Água , Carbono , EcossistemaRESUMO
Dietary deficiencies of zinc and iron are a substantial global public health problem. An estimated two billion people suffer these deficiencies, causing a loss of 63 million life-years annually. Most of these people depend on C3 grains and legumes as their primary dietary source of zinc and iron. Here we report that C3 grains and legumes have lower concentrations of zinc and iron when grown under field conditions at the elevated atmospheric CO2 concentration predicted for the middle of this century. C3 crops other than legumes also have lower concentrations of protein, whereas C4 crops seem to be less affected. Differences between cultivars of a single crop suggest that breeding for decreased sensitivity to atmospheric CO2 concentration could partly address these new challenges to global health.
Assuntos
Dióxido de Carbono/farmacologia , Produtos Agrícolas/química , Produtos Agrícolas/efeitos dos fármacos , Estado Nutricional , Valor Nutritivo/efeitos dos fármacos , Saúde Pública/tendências , Ar/análise , Atmosfera/química , Austrália , Cruzamento , Dióxido de Carbono/análise , Produtos Agrícolas/metabolismo , Dieta , Grão Comestível/química , Grão Comestível/efeitos dos fármacos , Grão Comestível/metabolismo , Fabaceae/química , Fabaceae/efeitos dos fármacos , Fabaceae/metabolismo , Saúde Global/tendências , Humanos , Ferro/análise , Ferro/metabolismo , Deficiências de Ferro , Japão , Fotossíntese/efeitos dos fármacos , Ácido Fítico/análise , Ácido Fítico/metabolismo , Estados Unidos , Zinco/análise , Zinco/deficiência , Zinco/metabolismoRESUMO
One of the many ways that climate change may affect human health is by altering the nutrient content of food crops. However, previous attempts to study the effects of increased atmospheric CO2 on crop nutrition have been limited by small sample sizes and/or artificial growing conditions. Here we present data from a meta-analysis of the nutritional contents of the edible portions of 41 cultivars of six major crop species grown using free-air CO2 enrichment (FACE) technology to expose crops to ambient and elevated CO2 concentrations in otherwise normal field cultivation conditions. This data, collected across three continents, represents over ten times more data on the nutrient content of crops grown in FACE experiments than was previously available. We expect it to be deeply useful to future studies, such as efforts to understand the impacts of elevated atmospheric CO2 on crop macro- and micronutrient concentrations, or attempts to alleviate harmful effects of these changes for the billions of people who depend on these crops for essential nutrients.