The association of early postoperative desaturation in the operating theatre with hospital discharge to a skilled nursing or long-term care facility.

It is unclear which criteria should be used to define readiness for tracheal extubation in the operating theatre. We studied the effects of desaturation in the operating theatre immediately after tracheal extubation on long-term outcomes. Performing a pre-specified, retrospective analysis of 71,025 cases involving previously independent adults undergoing non-cardiac surgery, we evaluated the association between desaturation events (oxygen saturation < 90%) within 10 min of tracheal extubation and adverse discharge (to a skilled nursing facility or long-term care facility). A total of 404 (12.3%) cases with, and 5035 (7.4%) cases without, early postoperative desaturation had an adverse discharge. Early postoperative desaturation was associated with higher odds of being discharged to a nursing facility (adjusted odds ratio 1.36 (95%CI 1.20-1.54); p < 0.001). Increased duration of desaturation augmented the effect (p for trend < 0.001). Desaturation was associated with a higher risk of respiratory, renal and cardiovascular complications as well as increased duration of hospital stay, postoperative intensive care unit admission frequency and cost. Several modifiable factors were associated with desaturation including: high intra-operative long-acting opioid administration; high neostigmine dose; high intra-operative inspired oxygen concentration; and low oxygen delivery immediately before tracheal extubation. There was substantial provider variability between anaesthetists in the incidence of postoperative desaturation unexplained by patient- and procedure-related factors. Early postoperative desaturation is a potentially preventable complication associated with a higher risk of adverse discharge disposition. Anaesthetists may consider developing guidelines to define tracheal extubation readiness that contain postoperative desaturation as an adverse outcome after tracheal extubation.

The development and validation of the Score for the Prediction of Postoperative Respiratory Complications (SPORC-2) to predict the requirement for early postoperative tracheal re-intubation: a hospital registry study.

Postoperative pulmonary complications are associated with an increase in mortality, morbidity and healthcare utilisation. The Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality recommends risk assessment for postoperative respiratory complications in patients undergoing surgery. In this hospital registry study of adult patients undergoing non-cardiac surgery between 2005 and 2017 at two independent healthcare networks, a prediction instrument for early postoperative tracheal re-intubation was developed and externally validated. This was based on the development of the Score for Prediction Of Postoperative Respiratory Complications. For predictor selection, stepwise backward logistic regression and bootstrap resampling were applied. Development and validation cohorts were represented by 90,893 patients at Partners Healthcare and 67,046 patients at Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, of whom 699 (0.8%) and 587 (0.9%) patients, respectively, had their tracheas re-intubated. In addition to five pre-operative predictors identified in the Score for Prediction Of Postoperative Respiratory Complications, the final model included seven additional intra-operative predictors: early post-tracheal intubation desaturation; prolonged duration of surgery; high fraction of inspired oxygen; high vasopressor dose; blood transfusion; the absence of volatile anaesthetic use; and the absence of lung-protective ventilation. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for the new score was significantly greater than that of the original Score for Prediction Of Postoperative Respiratory Complications (0.84 [95%CI 0.82-0.85] vs. 0.76 [95%CI 0.75-0.78], respectively; p < 0.001). This may allow clinicians to develop and implement strategies to decrease the risk of early postoperative tracheal re-intubation.

The association of postoperative pulmonary complications in 109,360 patients with pressure-controlled or volume-controlled ventilation.

We thought that the rate of postoperative pulmonary complications might be higher after pressure-controlled ventilation than after volume-controlled ventilation. We analysed peri-operative data recorded for 109,360 adults, whose lungs were mechanically ventilated during surgery at three hospitals in Massachusetts, USA. We used multivariable regression and propensity score matching. Postoperative pulmonary complications were more common after pressure-controlled ventilation, odds ratio (95%CI) 1.29 (1.21-1.37), p < 0.001. Tidal volumes and driving pressures were more varied with pressure-controlled ventilation compared with volume-controlled ventilation: mean (SD) variance from the median 1.61 (1.36) ml.kg-1 vs. 1.23 (1.11) ml.kg-1 , p < 0.001; and 3.91 (3.47) cmH2 O vs. 3.40 (2.69) cmH2 O, p < 0.001. The odds ratio (95%CI) of pulmonary complications after pressure-controlled ventilation compared with volume-controlled ventilation at positive end-expiratory pressures < 5 cmH2 O was 1.40 (1.26-1.55) and 1.20 (1.11-1.31) when ≥ 5 cmH2 O, both p < 0.001, a relative risk ratio of 1.17 (1.03-1.33), p = 0.023. The odds ratio (95%CI) of pulmonary complications after pressure-controlled ventilation compared with volume-controlled ventilation at driving pressures of < 19 cmH2 O was 1.37 (1.27-1.48), p < 0.001, and 1.16 (1.04-1.30) when ≥ 19 cmH2 O, p = 0.011, a relative risk ratio of 1.18 (1.07-1.30), p = 0.016. Our data support volume-controlled ventilation during surgery, particularly for patients more likely to suffer postoperative pulmonary complications.

Comparison of P-POSSUM risk-adjusted mortality rates after surgery between patients in the USA and the UK.

BACKGROUND: The Physiological and Operative Severity Score for the enUmeration of Mortality and morbidity (POSSUM) criteria have been used to assess surgical risk in patients in the UK. The aim was to determine how applicable these criteria are to patients undergoing surgery in the USA. METHODS: Two cohorts of patients undergoing major non-cardiac surgery were followed prospectively in the USA (n = 1056) and the UK (n = 1539). Each patient was assigned a risk score for preoperative physiological status and operative severity using the established POSSUM criteria. Death in hospital was the primary outcome measure. For each patient a predicted risk of death was calculated from Portsmouth POSSUM (P-POSSUM) methodology using an established equation. The relationships between predicted and observed mortality rates in each cohort were investigated by means of multivariate logistic regression. RESULTS: Within each cohort, an increase in risk estimated by P-POSSUM predicted an increase in observed mortality rate (P < 0.001). For any given risk level, however, mortality rates were significantly higher in the UK cohort than in the US cohort (odds ratio 4.50 (95 per cent confidence interval 2.81 to 7.19); Z = 6.25, P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: An increase in predicted risk, based on the P-POSSUM methodology, was associated with a higher mortality rate in patients from both countries. However, risk-adjusted mortality rates following major surgery were four times higher in the UK cohort. These marked differences warrant validation in a larger number of centres.