Association between longitudinal biomarkers and major adverse liver outcomes in patients with non-cirrhotic metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease.

BACKGROUND AIMS: Non-invasive biomarkers provide prognostic information for the development of major adverse liver outcomes (MALO) in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), but the predictive value of longitudinal biomarker measurements has not been evaluated. We assessed whether changes in biomarkers could predict incident MALO in MASLD. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We analyzed a cohort of 1,260 patients (71.7% on biopsy) with non-cirrhotic MASLD between 1974 and 2019. Data at baseline and follow-up visits were obtained from medical charts. MALO was determined through medical charts and linkage to national registers until the end of 2020. A joint modeling approach was used to quantify the associations between the trajectory of biomarkers with the risk of MALO. MASLD was diagnosed at median age of 52 years (IQR: 39-60), and 59% were male. During a median follow-up of 12.2 years, 111 (8.8%) patients developed MALO. The joint modeling showed that an elevated FIB-4 (HR 2.60, 95% CI 1.89-3.50), AST (HR 2.69, 95% CI 2.57-3.05), and lower platelet count (HR 0.93, 95% CI 0.90-0.97) at any time point were associated with an increased risk of MALO, whereas the rate of change in these biomarkers had no association with this risk. CONCLUSIONS: In addition to baseline measurements of non-invasive biomarkers such as FIB-4 and AST, and platelets taken at MASLD diagnosis, monitoring their values over time is important, as the latest value of these biomarkers is closely associated with the risk of future MALO. The rate of change may not be as important.

Serum ferritin levels can predict long-term outcomes in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease.

OBJECTIVE: Hyperferritinaemia is associated with liver fibrosis severity in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), but the longitudinal implications have not been thoroughly investigated. We assessed the role of serum ferritin in predicting long-term outcomes or death. DESIGN: We evaluated the relationship between baseline serum ferritin and longitudinal events in a multicentre cohort of 1342 patients. Four survival models considering ferritin with confounders or non-invasive scoring systems were applied with repeated five-fold cross-validation schema. Prediction performance was evaluated in terms of Harrell's C-index and its improvement by including ferritin as a covariate. RESULTS: Median follow-up time was 96 months. Liver-related events occurred in 7.7%, hepatocellular carcinoma in 1.9%, cardiovascular events in 10.9%, extrahepatic cancers in 8.3% and all-cause mortality in 5.8%. Hyperferritinaemia was associated with a 50% increased risk of liver-related events and 27% of all-cause mortality. A stepwise increase in baseline ferritin thresholds was associated with a statistical increase in C-index, ranging between 0.02 (lasso-penalised Cox regression) and 0.03 (ridge-penalised Cox regression); the risk of developing liver-related events mainly increased from threshold 215.5 µg/L (median HR=1.71 and C-index=0.71) and the risk of overall mortality from threshold 272 µg/L (median HR=1.49 and C-index=0.70). The inclusion of serum ferritin thresholds (215.5 µg/L and 272 µg/L) in predictive models increased the performance of Fibrosis-4 and Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Fibrosis Score in the longitudinal risk assessment of liver-related events (C-indices>0.71) and overall mortality (C-indices>0.65). CONCLUSIONS: This study supports the potential use of serum ferritin values for predicting the long-term prognosis of patients with MASLD.

Elevation of S2-bound α1-acid glycoprotein is associated with chronic hepatitis C virus infection and hepatocellular carcinoma.

There is an urgent need for new high-quality markers for the early detection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Åström et al. suggested that S2-bound α1-acid glycoprotein (AGP) might be a promising marker. Consequently, we evaluated the predictive advantage of S2-bound AGP in the early detection of HCC. In a retrospective case-control study of patients chronically infected with hepatitis C virus (HCV) and treated with direct-acting antiviral agents (n = 93), we measured S2-bound AGP using the HepaCheC® ELISA kit (Glycobond AB, Linköping, SE) at the start of treatment, end of treatment and follow-up (maximum: 78 months). Patients were retrospectively propensity score matched (1:2). Thirty-one patients chronically infected with HCV developed HCC after a sustained virological response, while 62 did not. In addition, samples of patients with chronic hepatitis B virus infection, metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease and HCC of different etiologies were analysed. S2-bound AGP elevation in HCC patients was confirmed. However, we did not observe a predictive advantage of S2-bound AGP for the early detection of HCC during treatment and follow-up. Interestingly, S2-bound AGP levels correlated with aspartate aminotransferase (ρ = .56, p = 9.5×10-15) and liver elastography (ρ = .67, p = 2.2×10-16). Of note, S2-bound AGP decreased in patients chronically infected with HCV after treatment-induced HCV clearance. Fucosylated S2-bound AGP levels were elevated in patients with chronic HCV and HCC. The potential role of S2-bound AGP as a novel tumour marker requires further investigation.

MicroRNAs as Plasma Biomarkers of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Patients with Liver Cirrhosis-A Cross-Sectional Study.

Ultrasound screening for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with liver cirrhosis has a poor sensitivity for small tumors. Circulating microRNAs (miRNAs) have been explored as HCC biomarkers, but results are diverging. Here, we evaluate if miRNAs up-regulated in HCC tissue can be detected in plasma and used as screening biomarkers for HCC. In this cross-sectional study, plasma, HCC tissue and surrounding non-tumorous liver tissue were collected from liver resections. Tissue miRNAs were identified and quantitated by RNA-sequencing analysis, and the fold-changes between HCC and surrounding liver tissue were calculated. The miRNAs up-regulated in HCCs were then re-analyzed in plasma from the same patients, and the miRNAs with the highest plasma levels were subsequently measured in plasma from an independent cohort of patients with cirrhosis or HCC. In tissues from 84 resected patients, RNA-sequencing detected 197 differentially expressed miRNAs, 40 of which had a raw count above 200 and were analyzed in plasma from the same cohort. Thirty-one miRNAs were selected for further analysis in 200 patients with HCC or cirrhosis. Of these, eleven miRNAs were significantly increased in HCC as compared to cirrhosis patients. Only miR-93-5p and miR-151a-3p were significantly associated with HCC, with an AUC of 0.662. In comparison, alpha-fetoprotein and des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin yielded an AUC of 0.816, which increased to 0.832 if miR-93-5p and miR-151a-3p were added. When including sex and age, the addition of miR-93-5p and miR-151a-3p did not further improve the AUC (from 0.910 to 0.911). In conclusion, micro-RNAs up-regulated in HCCs are detectable in plasma but have a poor performance as screening biomarkers of HCC.

Desmin gene expression is not ubiquitous in all upper airway myofibers and the pattern differs between healthy and sleep apnea subjects.

BACKGROUND: Desmin is a major cytoskeletal protein considered ubiquitous in mature muscle fibers. However, we earlier reported that a subgroup of muscle fibers in the soft palate of healthy subjects and obstructive sleep apnea patients (OSA) lacked immunoexpression for desmin. This raised the question of whether these fibers also lack messenger ribonucleic acid (mRNA) for desmin and can be considered a novel fiber phenotype. Moreover, some fibers in the OSA patients had an abnormal distribution and aggregates of desmin. Thus, the aim of the study was to investigate if these desmin protein abnormalities are also reflected in the expression of desmin mRNA in an upper airway muscle of healthy subjects and OSA patients. METHODS: Muscle biopsies from the musculus uvulae in the soft palate were obtained from ten healthy male subjects and six male patients with OSA. Overnight sleep apnea registrations were done for all participants. Immunohistochemistry, in-situ hybridization, and reverse transcription-quantitative polymerase chain reaction (RT-qPCR) techniques were used to evaluate the presence of desmin protein and its mRNA. RESULTS: Our findings demonstrated that a group of muscle fibers lacked expression for desmin mRNA and desmin protein in healthy individuals and OSA patients (12.0 ± 5.6% vs. 23.1 ± 10.8%, p = 0.03). A subpopulation of these fibers displayed a weak subsarcolemmal rim of desmin accompanied by a few scattered mRNA dots in the cytoplasm. The muscles of OSA patients also differed from healthy subjects by exhibiting muscle fibers with reorganized or accumulated aggregates of desmin protein (14.5 ± 6.5%). In these abnormal fibers, the density of mRNA was generally low or concentrated in specific regions. The overall quantification of desmin mRNA by RT-qPCR was significantly upregulated in OSA patients compared to healthy subjects (p = 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Our study shows evidence that muscle fibers in the human soft palate lack both mRNA and protein for desmin. This indicates a novel cytoskeletal structure and challenges the ubiquity of desmin in muscle fibers. Moreover, the observation of reorganized or accumulated aggregates of desmin mRNA and desmin protein in OSA patients suggests a disturbance in the transcription and translation process in the fibers of the patients.

Hepatocellular carcinoma in cirrhotic versus non-cirrhotic liver: Treatment and survival differences in a nationwide cohort.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Numerous studies have reported superior outcome for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in non-cirrhotic compared to cirrhotic livers. This cohort study aims to describe the clinical presentation, disease course, treatment approaches, and survival differences in a population-based setting. METHODS: Data on patients diagnosed with HCC in Sweden between 2008 and 2018 were identified and extracted from the Swedish Liver registry (SweLiv). Descriptive and survival statistics were applied. RESULTS: Among the 4259 identified patients, 34% had HCC in a non-cirrhotic liver. Cirrhotic patients presented at a younger age (median = 64 vs 74 years, p < 0.001) and with a poorer performance status (Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) = 0-1: 64% vs 69%, p = 0.024). Underlying liver disease was more prevalent among cirrhotic patients (81% vs 19%, p < 0.001). Tumors in non-cirrhotic livers were diagnosed at a more advanced stage (T3-T4: 46% vs 31%) and more frequently with metastatic disease at diagnosis (22% vs 10%, p < 0.001). Tumors were significantly larger in non-cirrhotic livers (median size of largest tumor 7.5 cm) compared to cirrhotic livers (3.5 cm) (p < 0.001). Curative interventions were more commonly intended (45% vs 37%, p < 0.001) and performed (40% vs 31%, p < 0.001) in the cirrhotic vs non-cirrhotic patients. Median survival was 19 months (95% confidence interval (CI) = 18-21 months), in patients with cirrhosis as compared to 13 months in non-cirrhotic patients (95% CI = 11-15) (p < 0.001). In the multivariable Cox regression model, cirrhosis was not an independent predictor of survival, neither among curatively nor palliatively treated patients. CONCLUSION: These population-based data show that patients with HCC in a cirrhotic liver receive curative treatment to a greater extent and benefit from superior survival compared to those with HCC in a non-cirrhotic liver. The differences in survival are more attributable to patient and tumor characteristics rather than the cirrhotic status itself. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: not applicable. Patient confidentially: not applicable.

Long-term major adverse liver outcomes in 1,260 patients with non-cirrhotic NAFLD.

Background & Aims: Long-term studies of the prognosis of NAFLD are scarce. Here, we investigated the risk of major adverse liver outcomes (MALO) in a large cohort of patients with NAFLD. Methods: We conducted a cohort study with data from Swedish university hospitals. Patients (n = 1,260) with NAFLD without cirrhosis were diagnosed through biopsy or radiology, and had fibrosis estimated through vibration-controlled transient elastography, biopsy, or FIB-4 score between 1974 and 2020 and followed up through 2020. Each patient was matched on age, sex, and municipality with up to 10 reference individuals from the general population (n = 12,529). MALO were ascertained from Swedish national registers. The rate of events was estimated by Cox regression. Results: MALO occurred in 111 (8.8%, incidence rate = 5.9/1,000 person-years) patients with NAFLD and 197 (1.6%, incidence rate = 1.0/1,000 person-years) reference individuals during a median follow up of 13 years. The rate of MALO was higher in patients with NAFLD (hazard ratio = 6.6; 95% CI = 5.2-8.5). The risk of MALO was highly associated with the stage of fibrosis at diagnosis. In the biopsy subcohort (72% of total sample), there was no difference in risk between patients with and without non-alcoholic steatohepatitis. The 20-year cumulative incidences of MALO were 2% for the reference population, 3% for patients with F0, and 35% for F3. Prognostic information from biopsy was comparable to FIB-4 (C-indices around 0.73 vs. 0.72 at 10 years). Conclusions: This study provides updated information on the natural history of NAFLD, showing a high rate of progression to cirrhosis in F3 and a similar prognostic capacity of non-invasive tests to liver biopsy. Impact and implications: Several implications for clinical care and future research may be noted based on these results. First, the risk estimates for cirrhosis development are important when communicating risk to patients and deciding on clinical monitoring and treatment. Estimates can also be used in updated health-economic evaluations, and for regulatory agencies. Second, our results again highlight the low predictive information obtained from ascertaining NASHstatus by histology and call for more objective means by which to define NASH. Such methods may include artificial intelligence-supported digital pathology. We highlight that NASH is most likely the causal factor for fibrosis progression in NAFLD, but the subjective definition makes the prognostic value of a histological NASH diagnosis of limited value. Third, the finding that prognostic information from biopsy and the very simple Fibrosis-4 score were comparable is important as it may lead to fewer biopsies and further move the field towards non-invasive means by which to define fibrosis and, importantly, use non-invasive tests as outcomes in clinical trials. However, all modalities had modest discriminatory capacity and new risk stratification systems are needed in NAFLD. Repeated measures of non-invasive scores may be a potential solution.