Risk factors of severe hand, foot and mouth disease: a meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: In recent years, outbreaks of hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) have increased, and more and more severe cases have appeared. We conducted a meta-analysis to generate large-scale evidence on the risk factors of severe HFMD. METHODS: PubMed, Elsevier Science Direct, China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI), and Wanfang (Chinese) were searched to identify relevant articles. All analyses were performed using Stata 11.0. RESULTS: We conducted a meta-analysis of 19 separate studies. Duration of fever ≥ 3 days (odds ratio (OR) 10.09, 95% confidence interval (CI) 6.22-16.35), body temperature ≥ 37.5°C (OR 4.91, 95% CI 1.26-19.18), lethargy (OR 7.75, 95% CI 3.78-15.89), hyperglycemia (OR 2.77, 95% CI 2.06-3.71), vomiting (OR 8.83, 95% CI 1.05-74.57), increased neutrophil count (weighted mean difference (WMD) 0.61, 95% CI 0.52-0.70), enterovirus 71 (EV71) infection (OR 5.13, 95% CI 3.11- 8.46), young age (WMD - 0.44, 95% CI - 0.69 to -0.19), and home care (OR 1.65, 95% CI 1.26-2.17) were significantly related to the risk of severe HFMD. We also found that a confirmed diagnosis at first visit to hospital significantly decreased the risk of severe HFMD (OR 0.30, 95% CI 0.09-0.99). We did not find an association between oral rash (OR 1.07, 95% CI 0.82-1.39), increased leukocyte count (WMD 0.51, 95% CI - 0.05-1.06), male sex (OR 1.06, 95% CI 0.91-1.24), or living in a rural area (OR 1.39, 95% CI 0.95-2.02) and the risk of severe HFMD. CONCLUSIONS: Duration of fever ≥ 3 days, body temperature ≥ 37.5°C, lethargy, hyperglycemia, vomiting, increased neutrophil count, EV71 infection, and young age are risk factors for severe HFMD. A confirmed diagnosis at first visit to hospital can significantly decrease the risk of severe HFMD.

Outbreak of pulmonary tuberculosis in a Chinese high school, 2009-2010.

BACKGROUND: In February 2009, a high school student was diagnosed with sputum-smear positive pulmonary tuberculosis (TB). One year later, 2 other students in the same grade developed sputum-smear positive TB. METHODS: We used tuberculin skin testing (TST), chest radiography, sputum smear, and symptomatology for case identification. We defined latent TB infection (LTBI) as a TST induration of 15 mm or larger, probable TB as a chest radiograph indicative of TB plus productive cough/hemoptysis for at least 2 weeks or TST induration of 15 mm or larger, and confirmed TB as 2 or more positive sputum smears or 1 positive sputum smear plus a chest radiograph indicative of TB. RESULTS: Of students in the same grade as the primary case-student, 26% (122/476) had LTBI and 4.8% (23/476) had probable/confirmed TB. Of teachers, 43% (18/42) had LTBI and none had probable/confirmed TB. Sharing a classroom with the primary case-student increased risk for LTBI (rate ratio = 2.5; 95% CI: 1.9-3.4) and probable/confirmed TB (rate ratio = 17, 95% CI: 7.8-39). Of students with LTBI in February 2009 who refused prophylaxis, 50% (11/22) had probable/confirmed TB in April 2010. CONCLUSIONS: This TB outbreak was likely started by delayed diagnosis of TB in the case-student and was facilitated by lack of post-exposure chemoprophylaxis. Post-exposure prophylaxis is strongly recommended for all TST-positive students.

Predictors of suicidal ideation with sub-optimal health status and anxiety symptom among Chinese adolescents.

Evidences in respect to the predictors of suicide ideation are uncertain and most associations only have been identified in cross-sectional studies. More information is needed to identify whether these predictors are true risk factors and can predict the development of suicidal ideation independently. Using the data from a prospective, longitudinal study (n = 2348), we examined the predictors of suicide ideation with demographic variety and psychological well-being of adolescents. Positive items of sub-optimal health status and anxiety symptom at baseline could strongly predict the incidence of self-reported suicidal ideation on a 1-year follow-up study. These results have implications for programs aimed at identifying school students at risk for suicide.

[Study on the Stroop task test in adolescents with different degrees of obesity before and after mental workload].

OBJECTIVE: To observe the differences of Stroop task among adolescents with different BMIs before and after mental workload, and try to explore the change of cognition function after mental workload in students with different degrees of obesity and the relationships between cognition function and body mass index (BMI). METHODS: A total 254 adolescents were selected by convenience sampling method and were classified into different groups according to BMI. The subjects were manipulated by mental workload with the IV edition of Wechsler Intelligence Scale for Children (WISC-IV) for 60 to 70 minutes. The minutes of time for reading card A, B and C were separately recorded before and after mental workload. RESULTS: The minutes spent for reading card C were significantly longer in overweight and obese groups than those in the normal bodyweight group before mental workload (P < 0.05). After mental workload, the minutes for reading cards A and B were significantly longer in the obese group than those in the normal group (P < 0.05), and with the increase of BMI Z scores, the minutes for reading three cards were significantly longer. CONCLUSION: Overweight/obesity have significant effect on cognitive process reflected by Stroop task, and the higher BMI Z scores the more obvious impairment of cognitive process.

Eleven routine clinical features predict COVID-19 severity uncovered by machine learning of longitudinal measurements.

Severity prediction of COVID-19 remains one of the major clinical challenges for the ongoing pandemic. Here, we have recruited a 144 COVID-19 patient cohort, resulting in a data matrix containing 3,065 readings for 124 types of measurements over 52 days. A machine learning model was established to predict the disease progression based on the cohort consisting of training, validation, and internal test sets. A panel of eleven routine clinical factors constructed a classifier for COVID-19 severity prediction, achieving accuracy of over 98% in the discovery set. Validation of the model in an independent cohort containing 25 patients achieved accuracy of 80%. The overall sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) were 0.70, 0.99, 0.93, and 0.93, respectively. Our model captured predictive dynamics of lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) and creatine kinase (CK) while their levels were in the normal range. This model is accessible at https://www.guomics.com/covidAI/ for research purpose.

Application of the analytic hierarchy process to a risk assessment of emerging infectious diseases in Shaoxing city in southern China.

This study aimed to assess the likelihood of an outbreak or epidemic of emerging infectious diseases (EIDs) in Shaoxing city, China, and its resulting impact to provide decision makers with quantitative, directive results. Factors related to the risk of EIDs were selected through meeting with experts and were arranged in a hierarchical structure. These evaluation factors were also weighted to allow the use of a point system for evaluation. As a result, 14 evaluation factors comprising a 3-layer hierarchy were generated. The riskiest top 10 EIDs were HIV/AIDS (consistency index [CI] = 3.206), cholera (CI = 3.103), SARS (CI = 2.804), acute schistosomiasis (CI = 2.784), malaria (CI = 2.777), legionellosis (CI = 2.743), avian influenza A/H5N1 (CI = 2.734), dengue fever (CI = 2.702), Escherichia coli O157:H7 enteritis (CI = 2.593), and plague (CI = 2.553). The risk assessment was specifically intended to support local and national government agencies in the management of high risk EIDs in their efforts to (i) make resource allocation decisions, (ii) make high-level planning decisions, and (iii) raise public awareness of the EID risk. The results showed that the EID risk in Shaoxing could be effectively assessed through an analytic hierarchy process.

A novel method for the analysis of drug-resistant phenotypes of hepatitis B virus.

Chronic hepatitis B virus (CHB) infection is a major cause of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma. Nucleoside analogs (NAs) are popularly used to treat chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infections; however, the anti-HBV effect is attenuated by drug-resistant viral mutations selected during long-term antiviral therapy. The timely analysis of drug-resistance mutations is essential in order to adjust treatment regimes. In this study, a T1699C substitution was introduced into the x gene of pHBV1.3 to generate an additional XhoI site, termed pHBV1.3­XhoI, which is a nonsense mutation and does not influence protein expression, HBV replication ability, or NA susceptibility. Based on co-transfection with weak or non-replicative HBV plasmids and pHBV1.3-XhoI or pHBV1.3 and -XhoI-P-null plasmids into hepatocellular carcinoma cells, PCR was used to amplify 1176­bp segments of T/C1699 using the isolated HBV encapsulated DNA as a template, modified by XhoI digestion and subjected to agarose gel electrophoresis. Different bands composed of different virions were used to distinguish the replication capacities of the plasmids. Our results demonstrated no significant effects when different virions co-existed. A novel resistance test method was developed by co-transfection with pHBV1.3-XhoI and -rtL180M/M204V and treatment with various NA concentrations. Different bands composed of pHBV1.3-XhoI or -rtL180M/M204V were used to distinguish NA susceptibility. The bands composed of pHBV1.3 were more sharply reduced by lamivudine (LMV) than -rtL180M/M204V. The data demonstrate that the method established in our study may be used for the analysis of drug-resistant phenotypes at the cellular level.

Intervention to increase condom use and HIV testing among men who have sex with men in China: a meta-analysis.

Behavioral interventions have been shown to both promote and change many health-related behaviors and issues. This meta-analysis was performed to assess whether behavioral interventions have the potential to increase condom use and HIV testing uptake among men who have sex with men (MSM) in China. PubMed, Elsevier Science Direct, Chinese Biomedical Literature Database (CBM), China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI), and Wanfang (Chinese) were searched to June 2011 to identify relevant articles. Data of eligible citations were extracted by two reviewers. Sixteen studies were identified. Aggregated findings indicated that interventions were associated with a significant increase in condom use between MSM and male sex partners in the last anal sex act (RR=1.17, 95% CI=1.05-1.29) and consistent condom use between MSM and male sex partners in the past 6 months (RR=1.36, 95% CI=1.15-1.60) and HIV testing (RR=2.22, 95% CI=1.72-2.88). However, no significant increase was detected in condom use over the course of the intervention among MSM engaging in sex with women. In the subgroup analyses, the positive effects were not detected in some subgroups such as anal sex with casual partners and intervention interval less than or equal to 6 months. The sensitivity analysis showed that these estimates were unchanged after removal of the study that had the biggest sample or the studies that had the most rigorous study design. This meta-analysis can inform future intervention design and implementation in terms of sample size, target populations, settings, goals for process measures, and intervention interval.

A modified murine model based on hydrodynamic injection for the analysis of chronic human hepatitis B virus infection.

Hepatitis B virus (HBV) is a persistent pathogen that causes acute and chronic necroinflammatory liver disease and is attributable to ~1 million deaths per year. In the present study, a conventional murine model was introduced based on the hydrodynamic injection of engineered replication­competent HBV DNA into the tail veins of C57BL/6 mice. In a previous study, nine in­frame ATG (start) codons in the S open reading frame (S1­S9) were analyzed. The highly conserved ATG S5 was mutated to ACG by T378C, which led to the substitution sM75T and inhibition of the production and secretion of the hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg), and subsequent inhibition of HBV replication. In the present study, T378C was introduced into the pAAV­HBV1.3 plasmid and was confirmed to affect HBsAg production and secretion, and HBV replication in vivo, which was in agreement with the previous in vitro results. Furthermore, the murine model was improved by co­injection of the replication­competent HBV plasmid DNA with Lipofectamine 2000 (LP). In this model, LP not only significantly enhanced HBV replication in mice, but also upregulated the expression of HBsAg and the hepatitis B core antigen. The current modified murine model was superior to the conventional murine HBV model based on HBV challenge by hydrodynamic injection.

Substitution rtq267h of hepatitis B virus increases the weight of replication and Lamivudine resistance.

BACKGROUND: Nucleus(t)ide analogs (NAs), containing Lamivudine (LMV), adefovir dipivoxil (ADV), endeavor (ETV), telbivudine (LdT), and tenofovir (TDF) are widely used for the treatment of chronic hepatitis B (CHB), but long term anti-Hepatitis B virus (HBV) therapy with NAs may give rise to the emergence of drug-resistant viral mutants. OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to find and identify some new resistance mutations of HBV from the patients accepted anti-HBV therapy. PATIENTS AND METHODS: The reverse transcriptase (RT) coding region of HBV was PCR-amplified using HBV DNA extracted from patients' blood samples and sequenced. RESULTS: Nineteen substitution mutations were detected. Among them, rtQ267H was often observed in patients receiving LMV administration. This LMV therapy-related mutation was introduced into HBV replication-competent plasmids. The in vitro susceptibility of both wild-type (WT) and mutant-type (MT) HBV to NAs was analyzed by Southern blot, and/or quantitative real-time PCR (qRT-PCR). The rtQ267H substitution enhanced HBV replication not merely in single-site mutation, but also in multisite mutations. The in vitro susceptibility analysis showed that the existence of rtQ267H in WT and LMV-resistant (LMVr) HBV were responsible for the reduced susceptibility to LMV to varying degrees, and enhanced HBV replication capacity. However, HBV harbored this substitution retained normal susceptibility to ADV, LdT, ETV, and TDF. CONCLUSIONS: The result suggested that rtQ267H is a potential adaptive mutation of HBV to LMV.

Meta-analysis of drug treatment for scrub typhus in Asia.

OBJECTIVE: Scrub typhus is an important febrile disease in Asia, and antibiotics have been used to treat this disease. The purpose of this study was to generate large-scale evidence of the efficacy of different antibiotic regimens for treating scrub typhus using a meta-analysis. METHODS: PubMed, Elsevier ScienceDirect, Chinese Biomedical Literature Database (CBM), China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI), and Wanfang (Chinese) were searched to identify relevant articles. The data from eligible citations were extracted by two reviewers. All analyses were performed using the Cochrane Collaboration Review Manager 4.2 and Stata 10.0 software programs. RESULTS: We conducted a meta-analysis of 17 separate studies that evaluated the efficacy of treatment with the different antibiotic regimens for scrub typhus. The median time (h) to clearance of fever in the azithromycin-treated group was longer than that in the chloramphenicol-treated group (weighted mean difference [WMD] = 12.66, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.26,23.06). Adverse events were 2.95 (95%CI: 1.32, 6.61) times more likely to occur in the azithromycin-treated group than in the chloramphenicol-treated group. The clearance time (days) for the main symptoms (including fever, headache, rash and lymphadenectasis) in the doxycycline-treated group was shorter than that in the chloramphenicol-treated group (WMD = -0.4, 95%CI: -0.53, -0.26) in five trials. Adverse drug events occurred significantly less frequently in the azithromycin-treated group than in the doxycycline-treated group (relative risk [RR] = 0.47, 95%CI: 0.31,0.71). CONCLUSION: Doxycycline was found to act more quickly, but more adverse drug events occur when using this regimen compared to azithromycin and chloramphenicol.

[A field epidemiological study on the risk factors of injury caused by typhoon].

OBJECTIVE: To determine the risk factors involved in the typhoon episodes and to put forward and evaluate the intervention measures. METHODS: We defined a confirmed injury case as: 'a person with fall,scalpel and stab, collision, drowning, injuries and trauma due to flying debris and building collapse, asphyxiation due to entrapment in collapsed buildings by typhoon from 0 am,August 12 to 6 pm, August 14 2004' and a death case as: 'a person with fall, scalpel and stab, collision, drowning, injuries and trauma due to flying debris and building collapse, asphyxiation due to entrapment in collapsed buildings by typhoon from 0 am, August 12 to 12 am, August 18 2004'. We investigated all hospitalized injured cases in ten hospitals and telephoned to those who were not hospitalized and the cases of death. We did case-control study with 1 pair versus 2 cases. 74 cases were selected in ten hospitals. The controls were neighbors of the controls matched by occupation, sex, village, and within 5 years of age without injury in this typhoon. We asked the cases and the controls on their alertness regarding typhoon and what actions taken when typhoon arrived. RESULTS: There were 392 injury cases in all ten hospitals and 50 death cases. The attack rate of injury was 27.3 per 100 000. The fatal rate was 11.3% with the death rate 3.1 per 100 000. We investigated 209 injury cases and 31 death cases. The number of cases who were injured from 1 to 6 hours before typhoon landing accounted for 64.6% (155) of all cases. The peak of epidemic curve was 4 hours before the landing of typhoon. Data on the analysis of 74 cases and 148 controls revealed that 42% (31) of the cases were outside their homes before and during typhoon compared to 15% (22) of the controls (OR = 3.9, 95% CI: 1.9-7.7). Compared with 20% (30) control persons (OR = 17,95% CI: 4.2-68). 28% (21) cases did not receive the alert of typhoon before it arrived compared with 18% (27) control persons (OR = 3.3, 95% CI:1.3-8.6). 53% (39) of the cases did not pay attention to the alert of typhoon before typhoon arrived. CONCLUSION: Staying outdoor, not receiving or did not take seriously about the alert of typhoon seemed to be the risk factors of injury by the typhoon episode, suggesting that the government should increase the emergency preparedness and to raise the awareness on risks associated with typhoon.