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1.
Arch Intern Med ; 155(16): 1789-95, 1995 Sep 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-7654113

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The magnitude and timing of the impact of effects of smoking cessation on inpatient and outpatient health care use are uncertain. METHODS: Comparison of the use of outpatient and hospital services over time of 2440 persistent smokers and 244 biochemically verified quitters, all of whom were participants in two independent randomized trials of smoking cessation interventions. RESULTS: Continued smokers in both trials experienced a 7% to 15% increase in outpatient visits and a 30% to 45% increase in hospital admissions over 5 to 6 years of follow-up. The positive slopes approached or reached statistical significance for all use variables in both trial populations. Among quitters, all health care use rates significantly increased during the year in which they quit; after that, the rates declined progressively. By the fourth year after quitting, all use rates among quitters were lower than those for smokers. The increase in hospitalizations during the year of quitting was more often a cause rather than a consequence of successful smoking cessation. CONCLUSION: Successful smoking cessation appears to halt the progressive increase in the use of health services associated with continued smoking within a 4-year period.


Assuntos
Serviços de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Abandono do Hábito de Fumar , Fumar , Hospitalização , Humanos , Inquéritos e Questionários
2.
Arch Intern Med ; 154(12): 1333-9, 1994 Jun 27.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-8002685

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: While observational studies have suggested that unopposed estrogens reduce the incidence of coronary disease in postmenopausal women, there are few data on the effect of combined therapy with estrogens and progestins--a regimen adopted in recent years to minimize the risk of endometrial hyperplasia and cancer. In clinical trials, the addition of progestins has an adverse effect on serum lipid levels, and these lipid effects have raised the question of whether combined estrogen-progestin therapy increases the risk of coronary disease compared with the use of estrogen alone. METHODS: We conducted a population-based, case-control study among enrollees of Group Health Cooperative of Puget Sound. Cases were postmenopausal women who sustained an incident fatal or nonfatal myocardial infarction in 1986 through 1990. Controls were a stratified random sample of female Group Health Cooperative enrollees frequency matched to the cases by age and calendar year. We reviewed the medical records of the 502 cases and 1193 controls and conducted brief telephone interviews with consenting survivors. The health maintenance organization's computerized pharmacy database was used to ascertain the use of postmenopausal hormones. For the primary analysis of current use, we classified women into one of three groups: (1) nonusers of hormones; (2) users of estrogens alone; or (3) users of combined therapy including both estrogens and progestins. Each group of hormone users was compared with nonusers. RESULTS: After adjustment for potential confounding factors, the risk ratio of myocardial infarction associated with current use of estrogens alone was 0.69 (95% confidence interval, 0.47 to 1.02); and the risk ratio of myocardial infarction associated with current use of combined therapy was 0.68 (95% confidence interval, 0.38 to 1.22). Duration of combined-therapy use was relatively short, averaging less than 2 years in cases and controls. CONCLUSIONS: In this case-control study, the reduced risk of myocardial infarction associated with the use of estrogens alone was consistent with previous observational studies. Although the 95% confidence interval only excluded a risk above 1.22, the current use of combined therapy was not associated with an adverse effect on the incidence of myocardial infarction in postmenopausal women.


Assuntos
Estrogênios/uso terapêutico , Medroxiprogesterona/uso terapêutico , Infarto do Miocárdio/epidemiologia , Pós-Menopausa , Idoso , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Quimioterapia Combinada , Feminino , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Fatores de Risco
3.
Arch Intern Med ; 153(12): 1421-7, 1993 Jun 28.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-8512434

RESUMO

The purpose of this article was to review, with special attention to the hypothesized mechanisms of atherosclerosis and thrombosis, the literature on the association of estrogens and progestins with cardiovascular disease. The data sources included recent reviews and their citations as well as literature searches of Medline. For coronary heart disease, we relied on a recent meta-analysis; for the lipid effects of estrogens and progestins, we refer to recent reviews and studies; for stroke, we identified all cohort and case-control studies; and for the effects of hormones on coagulation factors, we identified all relevant studies. The lipid effects of estrogens in postmenopausal women probably prevent atherosclerosis, and we would expect long duration of use rather than current use to provide the greatest benefit. Few epidemiologic studies have, however, assessed duration of estrogen use. High doses of estrogens are likely to be thrombogenic during current use, and it is possible that even moderate doses may increase the risk of clotting among women who smoke or who have existing coronary atherosclerosis. Compared with the lipid effects of estrogens alone, the lipid effects of combined therapy with progestins may increase atherosclerosis. The effect of progestins on coagulation factors is largely unknown, and no epidemiologic study has assessed the risk of cardiovascular disease associated with the use of combined hormone therapy in postmenopausal women. Cardiovascular risk or benefit associated with the use of postmenopausal hormones may involve several competing mechanisms, including effects on prostaglandins and vascular tone as well as atherosclerosis and thrombosis.


Assuntos
Doenças Cardiovasculares/prevenção & controle , Terapia de Reposição de Estrogênios , Estrogênios/uso terapêutico , Progestinas/uso terapêutico , Idoso , Doenças Cardiovasculares/induzido quimicamente , Doenças Cardiovasculares/epidemiologia , Estrogênios/efeitos adversos , Feminino , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade
4.
Diabetes Care ; 22(3): 382-7, 1999 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-10097914

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To determine the incidence of foot ulcers in a large cohort of patients with diabetes, the risk of developing serious complications after diagnosis, and the attributable cost of care compared with that in patients without foot ulcers. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Retrospective cohort study of patients with diabetes in a large staff-model health maintenance organization from 1993 to 1995. Patients with diabetes were identified by algorithm using administrative, laboratory, and pharmacy records. The data were used to calculate incidence of foot ulcers, risk of osteomyelitis, amputation, and death after diagnosis of foot ulcer, and attributable costs in foot ulcer patients compared with patients without foot ulcers. RESULTS: Among 8,905 patients identified with type 1 or type 2 diabetes, 514 developed a foot ulcer over 3 years of observation (cumulative incidence 5.8%). On or after the time of diagnosis, 77 (15%) patients developed osteomyelitis and 80 (15.6%) required amputation. Survival at 3 years was 72% for the foot ulcer patients versus 87% for a group of age- and sex-matched diabetic patients without foot ulcers (P < 0.001). The attributable cost for a 40- to 65-year-old male with a new foot ulcer was $27,987 for the 2 years after diagnosis. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of foot ulcers in this cohort of patients with diabetes was nearly 2.0% per year. For those who developed ulcers, morbidity, mortality, and excess care costs were substantial compared with those for patients without foot ulcers. The results appear to support the value of foot-ulcer prevention programs for patients with diabetes.


Assuntos
Complicações do Diabetes , Diabetes Mellitus/economia , Úlcera do Pé/economia , Úlcera do Pé/epidemiologia , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde , Idoso , Amputação Cirúrgica , Estudos de Coortes , Feminino , Úlcera do Pé/etiologia , Úlcera do Pé/cirurgia , Serviços de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Incidência , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Osteomielite/etiologia , Estudos Retrospectivos
5.
Diabetes Care ; 24(10): 1821-33, 2001 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11574449

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To review the effectiveness of interventions targeted at health care professionals and/or the structure of care in order to improve the management of diabetes in primary care, outpatient, and community settings. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: A systematic review of controlled trials evaluating the effectiveness of interventions targeted at health care professionals and aimed at improving the process of care or patient outcomes for patients with diabetes was performed. Standard search methods of the Cochrane Effective Practice and Organization of Care Group were used. RESULTS: A total of 41 studies met the inclusion criteria. The studies identified were heterogeneous in terms of interventions, participants, settings, and reported outcomes. In all studies, the interventions were multifaceted. The interventions were targeted at health care professionals only in 12 studies, at the organization of care only in 9 studies, and at both in 20 studies. Complex professional interventions improved the process of care, but the effect on patient outcomes remained less clear because such outcomes were rarely assessed. Organizational interventions that facilitated the structured and regular review of patients also showed a favorable effect on process measures. Complex interventions in which patient education was added and/or the role of a nurse was enhanced led to improvements in patient outcomes as well as the process of care. CONCLUSIONS: Multifaceted professional interventions and organizational interventions that facilitate structured and regular review of patients were effective in improving the process of care. The addition of patient education to these interventions and the enhancement of the role of nurses in diabetes care led to improvements in patient outcomes and the process of care.


Assuntos
Assistência Ambulatorial/normas , Serviços de Saúde Comunitária/normas , Diabetes Mellitus/terapia , Atenção Primária à Saúde/normas , Qualidade da Assistência à Saúde , Ensaios Clínicos Controlados como Assunto , Humanos , Educação de Pacientes como Assunto , Resultado do Tratamento
6.
Diabetes Care ; 24(4): 695-700, 2001 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11315833

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the impact of primary care group visits (chronic care clinics) on the process and outcome of care for diabetic patients. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: We evaluated the intervention in primary care practices randomized to intervention and control groups in a large-staff model health maintenance organization (HMO). Patients included diabetic patients > or = 30 years of age in each participating primary care practice, selected at random from an automated diabetes registry. Primary care practices were randomized within clinics to either a chronic care clinic (intervention) group or a usual care (control) group. The intervention group conducted periodic one-half day chronic care clinics for groups of approximately 8 diabetic patients in their respective doctor's practice. Chronic care clinics consisted of standardized assessments; visits with the primary care physician, nurse, and clinical pharmacist; and a group education/peer support meeting. We collected self-report questionnaires from patients and data from administrative systems. The questionnaires were mailed, and telephoned interviews were conducted for nonrespondents, at baseline and at 12 and 24 months; we queried the process of care received, the satisfaction with care, and the health status of each patient. Serum cholesterol and HbA1c levels and health care use and cost data was collected from HMO administrative systems. RESULTS: In an intention-to-treat analysis at 24 months, the intervention group had received significantly more recommended preventive procedures and helpful patient education. Of five primary health status indicators examined, two (SF-36 general health and bed disability days) were significantly better in the intervention group. Compared with control patients, intervention patients had slightly more primary care visits, but significantly fewer specialty and emergency room visits. Among intervention participants, we found consistently positive associations between the number of chronic care clinics attended and a number of outcomes, including patient satisfaction and HbA1c levels. CONCLUSIONS: Periodic primary care sessions organized to meet the complex needs of diabetic patients imrproved the process of diabetes care and were associated with better outcomes.


Assuntos
Diabetes Mellitus/terapia , Sistemas Pré-Pagos de Saúde , Atenção Primária à Saúde/organização & administração , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Adulto , Custos e Análise de Custo , Diabetes Mellitus/economia , Diabetes Mellitus/fisiopatologia , Escolaridade , Feminino , Seguimentos , Sistemas Pré-Pagos de Saúde/economia , Nível de Saúde , Humanos , Renda , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Educação de Pacientes como Assunto , Seleção de Pacientes , Medicina Preventiva , Atenção Primária à Saúde/economia , Fatores de Tempo , Washington
7.
Diabetes Care ; 21(12): 2062-8, 1998 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-9839095

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To develop a diabetes surveillance system that estimates the prevalence of diabetes and characterizes service use in diverse managed care organizations (MCOs). RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Computerized inpatient, pharmacy, outpatient, and laboratory records were used to develop an algorithm to identify diabetes patients and to develop surveillance indicators common to the three participating MCOs. Using 1993 data, the availability, specifications, and limitations of various surveillance indicators were determined. RESULTS: An extensive set of diabetes surveillance indicators was identified from the four sources of data. Consistent data specifications across MCOs needed to consider variation in the type of data collected, a lack of documentation on level of coverage, differences in coding data, and different models of health care delivery. A total of 16,363 diabetes patients were identified. The age-adjusted prevalence of diabetes ranged from 24 to 29 per 1,000 enrollees. Approximately one-third of patients with diabetes (32-34%) were taking insulin. The majority had one or more visits to a primary care physician during the year (72-94%). Visits to specialists were less frequent. Ophthalmologists and optometrists were the most commonly used specialists: 29-60% of the patients with diabetes at the three MCOs had visited an ophthalmologist or optometrist. About one-fifth had an overnight hospital stay during the year. CONCLUSIONS: This diabetes surveillance system is a useful tool for MCOs to track trends in prevalence of diabetes, use of health services, and delivery of preventive care to individuals with diabetes. This system may also be useful for health care planning and for assessing use changes after new developments in diabetes care or new quality management initiatives.


Assuntos
Diabetes Mellitus/terapia , Sistemas Pré-Pagos de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Adolescente , Adulto , Fatores Etários , Idoso , Algoritmos , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Atenção à Saúde , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiologia , Documentação , Feminino , Humanos , Lactente , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prevalência , Fatores Sexuais , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
8.
Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev ; 6(8): 625-31, 1997 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-9264276

RESUMO

The purpose of this study was to assess mammography diffusion in a population offered an organized breast cancer screening program, using intervals of 1-3 years, and to evaluate its effect on the late-stage cancer (tumors > or = 3 cm2) rates compared to rates in the surrounding community. We measured "ever-use" of mammography (1986-1992) among women enrollees of a consumer-controlled health care organization (n > or = 60,000/year; ages > or = 40), Group Health Cooperative of Puget Sound (GHC). Among these same women and the surrounding community (n = > or = 745,000/year), we measured late-stage cancer rates. Using unconditional logistic regression, we compared annual rates of ever-use among GHC women ages 40-49 and > or = 50 (1986-1992) and late-stage breast cancer (1983/84-1991/92) among all women. Among all GHC women ages 40 to 49, and 50 years of age and older, 67.4 and 82.8%, respectively, ever-used mammography by 1992. By 1992, approximately one-third of the mammograms among GHC women occurred in each of the three previous years. The rate of late-stage tumors declined significantly in the GHC and non-GHC populations among women 50 years of age and older (P < 0.001) but not among women ages 40 to 49. In conclusion, implementing a system of automated reminders was not sufficient to maximize mammography use in a population. Reductions in late-stage disease occurred among women ages > or = 50, even when regular" was not synonymous with "annual."


Assuntos
Neoplasias da Mama/epidemiologia , Mamografia/estatística & dados numéricos , Programas de Rastreamento/estatística & dados numéricos , Aceitação pelo Paciente de Cuidados de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto , Idoso , Neoplasias da Mama/patologia , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estadiamento de Neoplasias , Avaliação de Processos e Resultados em Cuidados de Saúde , Fatores de Risco , Washington/epidemiologia
9.
Am J Med ; 102(1): 38-47, 1997 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-9209199

RESUMO

PURPOSE: Cardiovascular disease is a major cause of morbidity and death in non-insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus (NIDDM). While hyperglycemia is clearly related to diabetic microvascular complications, it contribution to large-vessel atherosclerosis is controversial. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We performed an analysis of the association between glycemic control and prevalent cardiovascular disease in 1,539 participants in the NIDDM Patient Outcomes Research Team study who were under usual care in a health maintenance organization. Prevalent cardiovascular disease and its risk factors were identified by self-administered questionnaire. Cardiovascular disease was defined by the presence of coronary heart disease, peripheral vascular disease, and/or cerebrovascular disease. Glycohemoglobin and lipid levels were obtained from a computerized laboratory database. RESULTS: The mean age of participants was 63 years (range 31 to 91); 51% were women. The mean duration of NIDDM was 9 years (range < 1 to 50), 35% took insulin, and 48% took sulfonylureas. Mean glycohemoglobin was 10.6%. Sixty percent had hypertension, 16% currently smoked cigarettes, and the mean total high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol ratio was 5.7. Fifty-one percent had cardiovascular disease. Cardiovascular disease prevalence remained constant across increasing quartiles of glycohemoglobin for both men and women. In contrast, prevalent cardiovascular disease was associated with established cardiovascular disease risk factors including age (67 versus 59 years, P < 0.0001), hypertension (66% versus 54%, P < 0.0001), current cigarette smoking (17% versus 13%, P < 0.005), and total/HDL cholesterol ratio (5.9 versus 5.6, P < 0.005). Cardiovascular disease was also associated with duration of NIDDM (11 versus 8 years, P < 0.0001). In multiple logistic regression analysis controlling for established cardiovascular disease risk factors and diabetes duration and therapy, glycohemoglobin remained unassociated with cardiovascular disease. CONCLUSIONS: Glycemic control is not associated with prevalent cardiovascular disease in this large population of individuals with NIDDM. Conventional cardiovascular disease risk factors are independently associated with cardiovascular disease and be a more promising focus for clinical intervention to reduce atherosclerotic complications in NIDDM.


Assuntos
Doenças Cardiovasculares/sangue , Doenças Cardiovasculares/complicações , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/sangue , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/complicações , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Doenças Cardiovasculares/etiologia , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Hemoglobinas Glicadas/metabolismo , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prevalência , Fatores de Risco , Fatores de Tempo
10.
Pediatrics ; 85(5): 796-800, 1990 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-2330242

RESUMO

To determine the effect of eligibility criteria on phototherapy program size and cost, 786 births in a large Health Maintenance Organization were prospectively studied. Four sets of criteria were compared, including those of the American Academy of Pediatrics and the health maintenance organization's own criteria. With all criteria sets, hospital-based phototherapy treatment was indicated for 13 (1.7%) infants and no phototherapy was indicated for 687 (87.4%) infants. Treatment varied substantially according to criteria set for the remaining 86 (10.9%) infants. From 14% to 100% of these infants would have received treatment, depending on the criteria applied; of those potentially treated, from 30% to 80% would have received home treatment. Estimated annual discretionary phototherapy costs (1985 dollars) ranged from $15,168 with the health maintenance organization criteria to almost five to six times this amount ($70,232 to $90,800) with the other criteria. Differences in costs were due mainly to the number of infants treated. This study illustrates the way in which modest variation in standards of care can potentially have a relatively large effect on medical care costs. As a case study of how health maintenance organizations reduce costs, the study shows that although the health maintenance organization anticipated costs savings due to substituting outpatient care for hospital care, most savings occurred because of a reduction in the number of infants treated.


Assuntos
Fototerapia/estatística & dados numéricos , Academias e Institutos , Custos e Análise de Custo/economia , Custos e Análise de Custo/estatística & dados numéricos , Sistemas Pré-Pagos de Saúde/economia , Sistemas Pré-Pagos de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Serviços de Assistência Domiciliar/economia , Serviços de Assistência Domiciliar/estatística & dados numéricos , Hospitalização/economia , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Recém-Nascido , Pediatria , Fototerapia/economia , Estudos Prospectivos , Estados Unidos , Washington
11.
Am J Cardiol ; 66(16): 12G-14G, 1990 Nov 06.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-1978545

RESUMO

A population-based, case-control study was conducted to determine whether beta blockers, used for the treatment of high blood pressure, prevent first events of coronary heart disease. All study subjects were health-maintenance organization enrollees with pharmacologically treated hypertension. Patients presented in 1982 to 1984 with new coronary heart disease, and control subjects were a probability sample of eligible hypertensive enrollees free of coronary heart disease. With the investigators blind to case-control status, the subjects' medical records were reviewed for other coronary risk factors, and the health-maintenance organization's computerized pharmacy database was used to ascertain the use of beta blockers. A larger proportion of controls than cases were using beta blockers. This difference was confined to the subgroup with nonfatal myocardial infarctions. For current use, the estimated relative risk for nonfatal myocardial infarction was 0.62 (95% confidence interval, 0.39 to 0.99). Among current users of beta blockers, higher doses conferred greater protection. Past use and total lifetime intake of beta blockers were only weakly associated with case-control status. The current use of beta blockers may prevent first events of nonfatal myocardial infarction in patients with high blood pressure.


Assuntos
Antagonistas Adrenérgicos beta/uso terapêutico , Hipertensão/tratamento farmacológico , Infarto do Miocárdio/prevenção & controle , Adulto , Idoso , Angina Pectoris/etiologia , Angina Pectoris/prevenção & controle , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Feminino , Humanos , Hipertensão/complicações , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Infarto do Miocárdio/etiologia
12.
J Clin Epidemiol ; 45(2): 197-203, 1992 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-1573438

RESUMO

Using population-based automated pharmacy data, patterns of use of selected prescription medications during a 1 year time period identified by a consensus judgement process were used to construct a measure of chronic disease status (Chronic Disease Score). This score was evaluated in terms of its stability over time and its association with other health status measures. In a pilot test sample of high utilizers of ambulatory health care well known to their physicians (n = 219), Chronic Disease Score (CDS) was correlated with physician ratings of physical disease severity (r = 0.57). In a second random sample of patients (n = 722), its correlation with physician-rated disease severity was 0.46. In a total population analysis (n = 122,911), it was found to predict hospitalization and mortality in the following year after controlling for age, gender and health care visits. In a population sample (n = 790), CDS showed high year to year stability (r = 0.74). Based on health survey data, CDS showed a moderate association with self rated health status and self reported disability. Unlike self-rated health status and health care utilization, CDS was not associated with depression or anxiety. We conclude that scoring automated pharmacy data can provide a stable measure of chronic disease status that, after controlling for health care utilization, is associated with physician-rated disease severity, patient-rated health status, and predicts subsequent mortality and hospitalization rates. Specific methods of scoring automated pharmacy data to measure global chronic disease status may require adaptation to local prescribing practices. Scoring might be improved by empirical estimation of weighting factors to optimize prediction of mortality and other health status measures.


Assuntos
Doença Crônica/mortalidade , Sistemas de Informação em Farmácia Clínica/estatística & dados numéricos , Prescrições de Medicamentos/estatística & dados numéricos , Indicadores Básicos de Saúde , Índice de Gravidade de Doença , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Estudos de Avaliação como Assunto , Feminino , Sistemas Pré-Pagos de Saúde , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Mortalidade , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Prognóstico , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Washington/epidemiologia
13.
J Clin Epidemiol ; 48(12): 1461-72, 1995 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-8543960

RESUMO

Community intervention evaluations that measure changes over time may conduct repeated cross-sectional surveys, follow a cohort of residents over time, or (often) use both designs. Each survey design has implications for precision and cost. To explore these issues, we assume that two waves of surveys are conducted, and that the goal is to estimate change in behavior for people who reside in the community at both times. Cohort designs are shown to provide more accurate estimates (in the sense of lower mean squared error) than cross-sectional estimates if (1) there is strong correlation over time in an individual's behavior at time 0 and time 1, (2) relatively few subjects are lost to followup, (3) the bias is relatively small, and (4) the available sample size is not too large. Otherwise, a repeated cross-sectional design is more efficient. We developed methods for choosing between the two designs, and applied them to actual survey data. Owing to drop-outs and losses to followup, the cohort estimates were usually more biased than the cross-sectional estimates. The correlations over time for most of the variables studied were also high. In many instances the cohort estimate, although biased, is preferred to the relatively unbiased cross-sectional estimate because the mean squared error was smaller for the cohort than for the cross-sectional estimate. If these results are replicated in other data, they may result in guidelines for choosing a more efficient study design.


Assuntos
Estudos de Coortes , Estudos Transversais , Inquéritos Epidemiológicos , Projetos de Pesquisa , Serviços de Saúde Comunitária , Métodos Epidemiológicos , Feminino , Comportamentos Relacionados com a Saúde , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prevalência , Fumar/epidemiologia , Washington/epidemiologia
14.
J Clin Epidemiol ; 52(3): 199-207, 1999 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-10210237

RESUMO

We evaluated the accuracy of administrative data for identifying complications and comorbidities of diabetes using International Classification of Diseases, 9th edition, Clinical Modification and Current Procedural Terminology codes. The records of 471 randomly selected diabetic patients were reviewed for complications from January 1, 1993 to December 31, 1995; chart data served to validate automated data. The complications with the highest sensitivity determined by a diagnosis in the medical records identified within +/-60 days of the database date were myocardial infarction (95.2%); amputation (94.4%); ischemic heart disease (90.3%); stroke (91.2%); osteomyelitis (79.2%); and retinal detachment, vitreous hemorrhage, and vitrectomy (73.5%). With the exception of amputation (82.9%), positive predictive value was low when based on a diagnosis identified within +/-60 days of the database date but increased with relaxation of the time constraints to include confirmation of the condition at any time during 1993-1995: ulcers (88.5%); amputation (85.4%); and retinal detachment, vitreous hemorrhage and vitrectomy (79.8%). Automated data are useful for ascertaining potential cases of some diabetic complications but require confirmatory evidence when they are to be used for research purposes.


Assuntos
Complicações do Diabetes , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiologia , Sistemas Computadorizados de Registros Médicos/normas , Avaliação de Resultados em Cuidados de Saúde/normas , Adolescente , Adulto , Distribuição por Idade , Idoso , Algoritmos , Estudos de Coortes , Comorbidade , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Prontuários Médicos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Sensibilidade e Especificidade , Distribuição por Sexo , Washington/epidemiologia
15.
J Clin Epidemiol ; 44(7): 701-13, 1991.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-2066748

RESUMO

The growing interest in community-based approaches to health promotion and disease prevention (HP/DP) has been accompanied by a growing need to evaluate the effectiveness of such programs. Special issues that arise in these evaluation studies include (1) entire communities are assigned to intervention and control groups, (2) only a small number of communities can usually be studied, (3) the time course of changes in behavior and other outcomes is often of interest, and (4) surveys to measure such changes over time can be conducted with either repeated cross-sectional samples or with longitudinal samples. This paper shows how these issues can be addressed under a mixed-model analysis of variance approach. This approach serves to unify several ideas in the literature on evaluation of community studies, including use of time-series regression and the question of whether the individual or the community should be the unit of analysis. We also describe how the method can be used to estimate sample size requirements, statistical power, or minimum detectable program effect.


Assuntos
Promoção da Saúde/normas , Modelos Estatísticos , Avaliação de Programas e Projetos de Saúde , Estudos de Amostragem , Análise de Variância , Serviços de Saúde Comunitária/normas , Humanos , Serviços Preventivos de Saúde/normas
16.
J Clin Epidemiol ; 52(12): 1197-200, 1999 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-10580782

RESUMO

Meta-analyses of early primary prevention trials of lipid-lowering therapies suggested increased risk of injury deaths among treated persons. Our population-based case-control study examined the association of lipid-lowering medication use with fatal and nonfatal injuries in 298 cases and 332 controls. No increased injury risk was observed among current (OR = 0.46, 95% CI 0.18-1.21) or past users (OR = .92, 95% CI 0.44-1.95), after adjustment for behavioral disorders, medical conditions, and health status. Stratified analyses did not reveal sub-groups at significantly increased risk. These results, consistent with recent clinical trials and meta-analyses, suggest no increased injury risk associated with lipid-lowering medications.


Assuntos
Hiperlipidemias/tratamento farmacológico , Hipolipemiantes/efeitos adversos , Medição de Risco , Ferimentos e Lesões/epidemiologia , Acidentes Domésticos/mortalidade , Acidentes de Trânsito/mortalidade , Adulto , Causas de Morte , Doença das Coronárias/sangue , Doença das Coronárias/prevenção & controle , Feminino , Nível de Saúde , Humanos , Hiperlipidemias/sangue , Incidência , Lipídeos/sangue , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Razão de Chances , Estudos Retrospectivos , Taxa de Sobrevida , Washington/epidemiologia , Ferimentos e Lesões/etiologia
17.
J Clin Epidemiol ; 43(9): 961-70, 1990.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-2213084

RESUMO

This article reviews the nature of the effects of hypertension, smoking and cholesterol on the incidence of cardiovascular disease and emphasizes how these effects vary by age. In the Methods section, we discuss briefly the concepts of additive and multiplicative statistical models as tools for summarizing data. In the results section, we summarize available data on the association between incident stroke and coronary heart disease in the elderly and each of these major risk factors. The traditional multiplicative model parsimoniously characterizes the individual and joint effects of age and high blood pressure in terms of risk ratios; but, for smoking and cholesterol, an additive model appears to be the most parsimonious. We discuss the consequences of these observations for the study and prevention of cardiovascular disease in the elderly.


Assuntos
Doenças Cardiovasculares/epidemiologia , Modelos Estatísticos , Adulto , Idoso , Doenças Cardiovasculares/etiologia , Interpretação Estatística de Dados , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Razão de Chances , Fatores de Risco
18.
J Clin Epidemiol ; 44(7): 685-99, 1991.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-2066747

RESUMO

The Kaiser Family Foundation's Community Health Promotion Grant Program (CHPGP) provides funding and technical assistance in support of community-based efforts to prevent major health problems. The first phase of the program was implemented in 11 communities in the western United States. This paper describes the evaluation design of the CHPGP in the West, the methods of data collection, and the baseline comparability of intervention and control communities. Major features of the evaluation design include: (1) the randomization of qualified communities making application into funded and unfunded comparison groups; (2) a second set of matched control communities for some intervention sites; (3) data gathering through repeated surveys of community residents (probability samples of adults and adolescents) and institutions (health-related organizations and randomly sampled grocery stores and restaurants); and (4) the use of secondary data to monitor health events. Selected baseline data show that intervention and control communities differ in racial/ethnic composition, but relevant health behaviors and ratings of community activation for health promotion appear comparable.


Assuntos
Serviços de Saúde Comunitária/economia , Organização do Financiamento , Fundações , Promoção da Saúde/economia , Avaliação de Programas e Projetos de Saúde , Adolescente , Adulto , Estudos de Coortes , Estudos Transversais , Coleta de Dados , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Vigilância da População , Serviços Preventivos de Saúde/economia , Projetos de Pesquisa , Estados Unidos , Washington
19.
J Am Geriatr Soc ; 44(10): 1251-7, 1996 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-8856007

RESUMO

In summary, the promise of HMOs in caring for older adults far exceeds their performance to date. Until recently they had neither the motivation nor the knowledge to revamp their delivery systems to better needs of older, chronically ill patients. Market pressures and skyrocketing costs have provided the motivation. Physicians and researchers trained in epidemiology and health services research from programs such as that at UCLA are providing the knowledge. Based on the literature and experience described above, HMOs with the characteristics supportive of population-based care can put into place an approach to geriatric care likely to improve outcomes if they heed their patients and professionals rather than their accountants. These organizations will give highest priority to preserving function and will be guided by explicit clinical guidelines. Care will be rendered by organized primary care teams supported by systematic self-management approaches, standardized interventions for key risk factors, clinically useful computer systems, and available geriatric expertise. It will require a small revolution as old approaches, roles, and relationships will not go quietly. We are in the early phases of this revolution, and it's not too late to join us on the barricades.


Assuntos
Sistemas Pré-Pagos de Saúde/organização & administração , Sistemas Pré-Pagos de Saúde/tendências , Serviços de Saúde para Idosos/tendências , Guias como Assunto , Serviços de Saúde para Idosos/organização & administração , Humanos , Modelos Organizacionais , Avaliação de Resultados em Cuidados de Saúde
20.
J Am Geriatr Soc ; 47(7): 775-83, 1999 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-10404919

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether a new model of primary care, Chronic Care Clinics, can improve outcomes of common geriatric syndromes (urinary incontinence, falls, depressive symptoms, high risk medications, functional impairment) in frail older adults. DESIGN: Randomized controlled trial with 24 months of follow-up. Physician practices were randomized either to the Chronic Care Clinics intervention or to usual care. SETTING: Nine primary care physician practices that comprise an ambulatory clinic in a large staff-model HMO in western Washington State. PARTICIPANTS: Those patients aged 65 and older in each practice with the highest risk for being hospitalized or experiencing functional decline. INTERVENTION: Intervention practices (5 physicians, 96 patients) held half-day Chronic Care Clinics every 3 to 4 months. These clinics included an extended visit with the physician and nurse dedicated to planning chronic disease management; a pharmacist visit that emphasized reduction of polypharmacy and high-risk medications; and a patient self-management/support group. Control practices (4 physicians, 73 patients) received usual care. MEASUREMENTS: Changes in self-reported urinary incontinence, frequency of falls, depressive symptoms, physical function, and satisfaction were analyzed using an intention-to-treat analysis adjusted for baseline differences, covariates, and practice-level variation. Prescriptions for high-risk medications and cost/utilization data obtained from administrative data were similarly analyzed. RESULTS: After 24 months, no significant improvements in frequency of incontinence, proportion with falls, depression scores, physical function scores, or prescriptions for high risk medications were demonstrated. Costs of medical care including frequency of hospitalization, hospital days, emergency and ambulatory visits, and total costs of care were not significantly different between intervention and control groups. A higher proportion of intervention patients rated the overall quality of their medical care as excellent compared with control patients (40.0% vs 25.3%, P = .10). CONCLUSIONS: Although intervention patients expressed high levels of satisfaction with Chronic Care Clinics, improved outcomes for selected geriatric syndromes were not demonstrated. These findings suggest the need for developing greater system-wide support for managing geriatric syndromes in primary care and illustrate the challenges of conducting practice improvement research in a rapidly changing delivery system.


Assuntos
Instituições de Assistência Ambulatorial/organização & administração , Doença Crônica/terapia , Gerenciamento Clínico , Idoso Fragilizado , Sistemas Pré-Pagos de Saúde/organização & administração , Atenção Primária à Saúde/organização & administração , Idoso , Doença Crônica/psicologia , Feminino , Seguimentos , Idoso Fragilizado/psicologia , Avaliação Geriátrica , Pesquisa sobre Serviços de Saúde , Humanos , Masculino , Modelos Organizacionais , Avaliação das Necessidades , Satisfação do Paciente , Resultado do Tratamento , Washington
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