Personalizing age of gastric cancer screening based on comorbidity in China: Model estimates of benefits, affordability and cost-effectiveness optimization.

The benefits of gastric cancer screening are related to age and comorbidity status, but reliable estimates are lacking in China. This study aimed to estimate the benefits and affordability of the gastric cancer screening strategy by level of comorbidity to inform decisions to screening age. We assessed six current gastric cancer screening strategies in China using a microsimulation model with different starting and stopping ages and comorbidity profiles, for a total of 378 strategies. 1,000,000 individuals were simulated in the model and followed the alternative strategies. Primary outcomes included gastric cancer incidence, the number of endoscopy and complications, life-years, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios. Future costs and QALYs are discounted by 5% per year. Sensitivity analyses were used to evaluate model uncertainty. Strategies with longer screening durations were associated with higher benefits of life-year gained and gastric cancer deaths averted, but were also accompanied by a large number of endoscopy screening, and complication events. Using the threshold of US$18,575 per QALY gained, at the no, moderate, and severe comorbidity level, the leading cost-effectiveness strategies were the new gastric cancer screening scoring system strategy (NGCS) screening from age 40 years to 60 years (40-60), 40-55-NGCS, and 40-55-NGCS strategy, respectively. The results are robust in sensitivity analyses. Our study illustrates the importance of considering comorbidity conditions and age when determining the starting and stopping screening age for gastric cancer and informs the discussion on personalizing decisions. The trade-off between benefits and harms can also be referenced when necessary.

Estimated projection of incidence and mortality of alcohol-related liver disease in China from 2022 to 2040: a modeling study.

BACKGROUND: China has one of the highest numbers of liver disease cases in the world, including 6.4 million cirrhosis associated with alcohol-related liver disease (ALD) cases. However, there is still a lack of urgent awareness about the growth of alcohol consumption and the increased burden of ALD in China. Therefore, we aimed to project the potential impact of changes in alcohol consumption on the burden of ALD in China up to 2040 under different scenarios. METHODS: We developed a Markov model to simulate the natural history of ALD until 2040 in China. We estimated the incidence and mortality of alcohol-related cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma between 2022 and 2040 under four projected scenarios: status quo scenario and scenarios with a 2%, 4%, and 8% annual decrease in excessive alcohol consumption, respectively. RESULTS: Under the status quo scenario, the cumulative new cases of cirrhosis from 2022 to 2040 was projected to be 3.61 million (95% UI 3.03-4.44 million), resulting in a cumulative 1.96 million (1.66-2.32 million) deaths from alcohol-related cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma. However, a 2% annual reduction in excessive alcohol consumption was expected to avert 0.3 million deaths associated with ALD, and a 4% annual reduction was projected to prevent about 1.36 million new cases of cirrhosis and prevent 0.5 million ALD-related deaths. Moreover, an 8% annual reduction would prevent about 2 million new cases of cirrhosis and 0.82 million deaths. CONCLUSIONS: Without any substantial change in alcohol attitudes and policies to regulate excessive drinking, the disease burden of ALD in China will increase enormously. Strengthening the implementation of alcohol restriction interventions is critical and urgent to reduce the impact of ALD on the Chinese population.

Trametinib for patients with recurrent low-grade serous ovarian cancer: A cost-effectiveness analysis.

OBJECTIVE: The GOG 281/LOGS trial found that trametinib prolonged progression-free survival (PFS) in patients with recurrent low-grade serous ovarian cancer (LGSOC), compared with standard of care (SOC). The current study aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of trametinib versus standard of care for recurrent LGSOC from the US payer perspective. METHODS: A Markov model was adopted to compare the cost and effectiveness of trametinib and standard of care group in patients with recurrent LGSOC. Life years (LYs), quality-adjusted LYs (QALYs), lifetime costs, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were calculated. One-way, and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed to explore the model robustness. RESULT: Trametinib group provided an additional 0.58 QALYs (1.14 LYs) and an incremental cost of $248,214 compared with the SOC group. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was $424,097 per QALY. The results of one-way sensitivity analyses suggested that our model was sensitive to the hazard ratio of OS and PFS between trametinib and SOC group, utility of PFS and the cycle cost of trametinib. Probabilistic sensitivity analyses revealed that there was 6% probability of the trametinib group being cost-effective at a willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of $150,000 per QALY. CONCLUSIONS: From the US payer perspective, trametinib is not cost-effective for patients with recurrent LGSOC at the assumed WTP threshold of $150,000 per QALY. Based on the value standpoint, price reduction of trametinib is expected to improve the cost-effectiveness of trametinib in patients with recurrent LGSOC.

Benign prostatic hyperplasia burden comparison between China and United States based on the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.

PURPOSE: To determine the difference in the burden of benign prostatic hyperplasia (BPH) between China and the United States from 1990 to 2019. METHODS: The prevalence, incidence, Years Lived with Disability (YLD), and their age-standardized rates for BPH in China and USA from 1990 to 2019 were based on the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 (GBD 2019). The annual percentage changes (APC) of the age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and the age-standardized YLD rates (ASYR) were calculated using joinpoint regression analysis. The YLD numbers of six urinary tract diseases were also compared in both countries. RESULTS: The absolute burden of BPH increased continuously in both countries, but it was much higher in China than in the United States. The ASIR and ASYR of BPH decreased in China but remained stable or decreased slightly in the United States. BPH incidence and YLD rates decreased in all age groups in China from 1990 to 2019. In the USA, they varied by age group. BPH caused more YLD number than any other urinary tract disease in China. In the USA, prostate cancer (PCa) caused more YLDs than BPH. CONCLUSIONS: This research reveals marked BPH burden differences between China and the US (1990-2019). China's higher burden necessitates targeted interventions, while unique trends in both countries demand tailored strategies. These insights enhance understanding of BPH dynamics, informing effective interventions across diverse contexts.

Cost-effectiveness of immune checkpoint inhibition and targeted treatment in combination as adjuvant treatment of patient with BRAF-mutant advanced melanoma.

BACKGROUND: Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) and targeted treatments have improved the health outcomes of patients with advanced melanoma. However, due to the high cost of novel therapies, it is crucial to evaluate their value by considering both effectiveness and cost. To compare the cost-effectiveness of these novel agents (atezolizumab-vemurafenib-cobimetinib, vemurafenib-plus-cobimetinib, dabrafenib-plus-trametinib, and encorafenib-plus-binimetinib) for first-line treatment of metastatic melanoma with the BRAFV600 mutation. METHODS: A patient-level model was developed to project the health outcomes of 4 strategies for patients with advanced melanoma. We estimated transition probabilities from the IMspire150 (ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT02908672), COMBI-AD (NCT01682083), and COLUMBUS (NCT01909453) trials using a parametric survival model. All health outcomes, including direct cost, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER), were estimated from the US payer perspective. Lifetime cost, QALYs, life-years (LYs), and ICERs were calculated. Univariable and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed to test model robustness, along with multiple scenario analyses. RESULTS: Of the 4 competing strategies, atezolizumab-vemurafenib-cobimetinib produced the best health outcomes, and the vemurafenib-cobimetinib strategy was the least expensive option. Atezolizumab-vemurafenib-cobimetinib, dabrafenib-plus-trametinib, and vemurafenib-cobimetinib formed the cost-effective frontier, indicating that the ordered ICERs were $325,113/QALYs for dabrafenib-plus-trametinib vs. vemurafenib-cobimetinib strategies and $2,247,500/QALYs for atezolizumab-vemurafenib-cobimetinib vs. dabrafenib-plus-trametinib strategies. Encorafenib-plus-binimetinib was dominated by the other 3 competing strategies. The drug price and first-line utility significantly influenced the model utcomes. CONCLUSIONS: For BRAF-mutant advanced melanoma, the vemurafenib-cobimetinib strategy could be considered the most cost-effective treatment at the willingness-to-pay threshold of $150,000.

First-line atezolizumab in addition to bevacizumab plus chemotherapy for metastatic, nonsquamous non-small cell lung cancer: A United States-based cost-effectiveness analysis.

BACKGROUND: The IMpower150 trial found that adding atezolizumab to the combination of bevacizumab and chemotherapy improved survival for patients with metastatic, nonsquamous non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). However, considering the high cost of immunotherapy, there is a need to assess its value by considering both efficacy and cost. The current study evaluated the cost-effectiveness of atezolizumab in the first-line setting for the treatment of patients with metastatic NSCLC from the US payer perspective. METHODS: A Markov model was developed to compare the lifetime cost and effectiveness of the combination of atezolizumab, bevacizumab, carboplatin, and paclitaxel (ABCP) with the combination of bevacizumab, carboplatin, and paclitaxel (BCP) and carboplatin and paclitaxel (CP) in the first-line treatment of patients with metastatic NSCLC. Life-years (LYs), quality-adjusted LYs (QALYs), and lifetime costs were estimated. One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed to evaluate the model uncertainty. Additional subgroup analyses were performed. RESULTS: ABCP provided an additional 0.413 QALYs (0.460 LYs) and 0.738 QALYs (0.956 LYs), respectively, compared with BCP and CP. The corresponding incremental costs were $234,998 and $381,116, respectively. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio for ABCP was $568,967 per QALY compared with BCP and $516,114 per QALY compared with CP. The subgroup analysis demonstrated that PD-L1 expression of ≥50% on tumor cells (TC3) or ≥10% on immune cells (IC3) decreased the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio to $464,703 per QALY. CONCLUSIONS: From the perspective of the US payer, ABCP is estimated to not be cost-effective compared with BCP or CP in the first-line setting for patients with metastatic, nonsquamous NSCLC at a willingness-to-pay threshold of $100,000 per QALY.

NNN Pincer Ru(II)-Complex-Catalyzed α-Alkylation of Ketones with Alcohols.

A series of novel ruthenium(II) complexes supported by a symmetrical NNN ligand were prepared and fully characterized. These complexes exhibited good performance in transfer hydrogenation to form new C-C bonds using alcohols as the alkylating agents, generating water as the only byproduct. A broad range of substrates, including (hetero)aryl- or alkyl-ketones and alcohols, were well tolerated under the optimized conditions. Notably, α-substituted methylene ketones were also investigated, which afforded α-branched steric hindrance products. A potential application of α-alkylation of methylene acetone to synthesize donepezil was demonstrated, which provided the desired product in 83% yield. Finally, this catalytic system could be applied to a one-pot double alkylation procedure with sequential addition of two different alcohols. The current protocol is featured with several characteristics, including a broad substrate scope, low catalyst (0.50 mol %) loadings, and environmental benignity.

Ordering kinetics of lamella-forming block copolymers under the guidance of various external fields studied by dynamic self-consistent field theory.

Self-consistent field theory with a dynamic extension is exploited to investigate the kinetics of the lamellar formation of symmetric block copolymers under the direction of external fields. In particular, three types of directed self-assembly methods - a permanent field for chemo-epitaxy, a dynamic field for zone annealing and an integrated permanent/dynamic field - are examined. For the chemo-epitaxy involving sparsely prepatterned substrates or zone annealing, the block copolymers generally develop into polycrystalline nanostructures with multiple orientations due to the lack of strong driving forces for eliminating the long-lived imperfections in a limited time. As the integrated chemo-epitaxy and zone annealing method is applied to the block copolymer systems, single-crystalline nanostructures with precisely registered orientations are achieved in a short annealing time owing to the mutual acceleration of defect annihilations, which cannot be produced by the conventional techniques alone. Furthermore, the integrated method allows the rapid fabrication of well-ordered nanostructures on the extremely sparse prepatterned substrates. Our theoretical work may serve to rationalize the faster modern nanolithographic fabrication of smaller microelectronic components using lower-spatial-frequency templates.

Cost-effectiveness of atezolizumab plus bevacizumab as first-line therapy for metastatic renal cell carcinoma.

OBJECTIVES: Recently, the IMmotion151 trial evaluated the safety and efficacy of atezolizumab plus bevacizumab in metastatic renal cell carcinoma (mRCC) and found that this combination led to longer progression-free survival. However, no studies have evaluated the cost-effectiveness of atezolizumab plus bevacizumab. METHODS: We constructed a Markov model to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of atezolizumab plus bevacizumab, using costs and utilities from the published studies. We set the willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold at $150,000. One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed to ensure that our results were robust. We performed a threshold analysis to explore a more appropriate price for atezolizumab. RESULTS: Our results found that although atezolizumab plus bevacizumab provided more quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), its incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was $1,640,532/QALY, well above the WTP threshold. One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analysis results confirmed the robust of this conclusion. Based on the threshold analysis, for atezolizumab plus bevacizumab to be cost-effective, the price of them would need to be reduced by 46.3% or more. CONCLUSIONS: From the perspective of US payers, atezolizumab plus bevacizumab is not cost-effective for mRCC patients. To make this combination cost-effective in the future, the price of atezolizumab and bevacizumab needs to be reduced.

Effects and Costs of Hepatitis C Virus Elimination for the Whole Population in China: A Modelling Study.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: China has the highest number of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infections in the world. However, it is unclear what levels of screening and treatment are needed to achieve the WHO 2030 hepatitis C elimination targets. We aimed to evaluate the impact of scaling up interventions on the hepatitis C epidemic and determine how and at what cost these elimination targets could be achieved for the whole population in China. METHODS: We developed a compartmental model incorporating HCV transmission, disease progression, and care cascade for the whole population in China, calibrated with data on demographics, injecting drug use, HCV prevalence, and treatments. Five different scenarios were evaluated for effects and costs for 2022-2030. All costs were converted to 2021 US dollar (USD) and discounted at an annual rate of 5%. One-way sensitivity analyses were conducted to assess the robustness of the model. RESULTS: Under the status quo scenario, the incidence of hepatitis C is projected to increase from 60.39 (57.60-63.45) per 100,000 person-years in 2022 to 68.72 (65.3-73.97) per 100,000 person-years in 2030, and 2.52 million (1.94-3.07 million) infected patients are projected to die between 2022 and 2030, of which 0.76 (0.61-1.08) million will die due to hepatitis C. By increasing primary screening to 10%, conducting regular rescreening (annually for PWID and every 5 years for the general population) and treating 90% of patients diagnosed, the incidence would be reduced by 88.15% (86.61-89.45%) and hepatitis C-related mortality by 60.5% (52.62-65.54%) by 2030, compared with 2015 levels. This strategy would cost USD 52.78 (USD 43.93-58.53) billion. CONCLUSIONS: Without changes in HCV prevention and control policy, the disease burden of HCV in China will increase dramatically. To achieve the hepatitis C elimination targets, China needs to sufficiently scale up screening and treatment.

Dynamic zero-COVID strategy in controlling COVID-19 in Shanghai, China: A cost-effectiveness analysis.

BACKGROUND: The sustainability and generalizability of China's dynamic zero-COVID strategy on eliminating SARS-CoV-2 transmission has casted doubt globally, mainly because it has exacted high social and economic cost. This study aimed to estimate the disease burden during the first wave of Omicron in China and compared the cost-effectiveness of implementing a Real-world strategy (adjusted dynamic zero-COVID strategy) with two simulated strategies (routine and stricter dynamic zero-COVID strategy) to inform appropriate strategies for COVID-19 pandemic control. METHODS: A dynamic state-transition simulation model was developed to compare the health and cost outcomes between different dynamic zero-COVID strategies. Omicron-related healthcare costs were estimated from the societal perspective. Epidemiological parameter values were derived from data of real-world or generated by model calibration; costs and effectiveness parameter values were informed either by local data or published literature. The primary outcomes were total social cost, disability adjusted life-years (DALYs) and net monetary benefit (NMB). Deterministic sensitivity analyses (DSA) and scenario analyses were performed to assess the model robustness. RESULTS: The first wave of Omicron in Shanghai resulted in 47,646 DALYs lost and 415 billion RMB losses. At a willingness-to-pay threshold of 173,630 RMB (the GDP per capita of Shanghai in 2021) per DALY saved, the Real-world strategy was considered as the most cost-effective strategy due to its highest NMB (-407 billion). Results from DSA confirmed the robustness of our findings. CONCLUSION: Our finding supported the Real-world strategy taken by the Shanghai Municipal Government between March 1 and May 21, 2022 to control the first wave of Omicron outbreak. Moreover, our results indicated that whether the Stricter dynamic zero-COVID strategy is worth implementing at the beginning of the COVID-19 outbreak mainly depended on the infection rate of COVID-19 among primary contacts. Our analysis provides important evidence to inform policy makers to make appropriate decisions regarding COVID-19 pandemic management.

First-line systemic treatment strategies for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma: A cost-effectiveness analysis.

BACKGROUND: Oral multikinase inhibitors and immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) are effective for treating advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (aHCC) but may increase cost. This study compared the cost-effectiveness of oral multikinase inhibitors and ICIs in the first-line treatment of patients with aHCC. METHODS: A three-state Markov model was established to study the cost-effectiveness of drug treatment from the perspective of Chinese payers. The key outcomes in this study were total cost, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). RESULTS: The total costs and QALYs of sorafenib, sunitinib, donafenib, lenvatinib, sorafenib plus erlotinib, linifanib, brivanib, sintilimab plus IBI305, and atezolizumab plus bevacizumab were $9070 and 0.25, $9362 and 0.78, $33,814 and 0.45, $49,120 and 0.83, $63,064 and 0.81, $74,814 and 0.82, $81,995 and 0.82, $74083 and 0.85, and $104,188 and 0.84, respectively. The drug regimen with the lowest ICER was sunitinib ($551 per QALY), followed by lenvatinib ($68,869 per QALY). For oral multikinase inhibitors, the ICER of lenvatinib, sorafenib plus erlotinib, linifanib and brivanib compared with sunitinib was $779576, $1534,347, $1768,971, and $1963,064, respectively. For ICIs, sintilimab plus IBI305 is more cost effective than atezolizumab plus bevacizumab. The model was most sensitive to the price of sorafenib, the utility of PD, and the price of second-line drugs. CONCLUSION: For oral multikinase inhibitors, the order of possible treatment options is sunitinib > lenvatinib > sorafenib plus erlotinib > linifanib > brivanib > donafenib. For ICIs, the order of possible treatment options is sintilimab plus IBI305 > atezolizumab plus bevacizumab.

Cost-effectiveness of Trastuzumab Deruxtecan for HER2-low Advanced Breast Cancer in the United States.

PURPOSE: Trastuzumab deruxtecan has been shown to be effective for advanced breast cancer with low levels of human epidermal growth factor receptor 2. To optimize the allocation of limited health care resources, this study evaluated the cost-effectiveness of trastuzumab deruxtecan from the US payer perspective. METHODS: A partitioned survival model was developed to project the disease course of advanced breast cancer. Clinical efficacy, treatment utilization, safety, and cost data were gathered from the DESTINY-Breast04 (Trastuzumab Deruxtecan in Previously Treated HER2-Low Advanced Breast Cancer) trial and the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services. Transition probabilities were obtained from the reported survival probabilities per DESTINY-Breast04 group. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER), the incremental monetary benefit, and the incremental net health benefit were measured. One-way sensitivity analysis, probabilistic sensitivity analysis, and subgroup analysis were performed to explore the uncertainty of the model. FINDINGS: Trastuzumab deruxtecan had an ICER of $307,751 per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained, with an incremental net health benefit of -0.317 QALY and an incremental monetary benefit of -$63,313 compared with the physician's choice of alternative chemotherapy agents. Subgroup analysis indicated that trastuzumab deruxtecan had an ICER of $383,776 per QALY gained for the hormone receptor-positive subgroup and an ICER of $194,424 per QALY for the hormone receptor-negative subgroup. One-way sensitivity analysis showed that the cost of trastuzumab deruxtecan had the most impact on model outcomes. The cost-effectiveness acceptability curve projected that the probability of trastuzumab deruxtecan being cost-effective was 5% in the overall population, 2% in the hormone receptor-positive subgroup, and 56% in the hormone receptor-negative subgroup at the willingness-to-pay threshold of $200,000 per QALY. IMPLICATIONS: Trastuzumab deruxtecan may be a cost-effective option for hormone receptor-negative patients with advanced breast cancer with low levels of human epidermal growth factor receptor 2.

Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Hepatic Arterial Infusion Chemotherapy of Infusional Fluorouracil, Leucovorin, and Oxaliplatin Versus Transarterial Chemoembolization in Patients With Large Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

Purpose: The purpose of this study was to evaluate a cost-effectiveness analysis of hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy with infusional fluorouracil, leucovorin, and oxaliplatin (FOLFOX-HAIC) as the first-line treatment for patients with large unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) compared with transarterial chemoembolization (TACE). Methods: A Markov model was constructed to simulate the first-line treatment, disease recurrence, and survival of patients with large unresectable HCC. Transition probabilities were based on clinical trial data. The costs and health utilities were derived from the public literature. The outputs were total cost, quality-adjusted life year (QALY), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICER). One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed to examine model uncertainty. We also performed subgroup analyses. Results: The results of the base case analysis found that FOLFOX-HAIC increased overall costs by $9,381 and improved effectiveness by 1.01 QALYs compared with TACE. The one-way sensitivity analysis showed that the hazard ratio of progression-free survival and overall survival for FOLFOX-HAIC relative to TACE had the greatest impact on the ICER. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis found that the probability of FOLFOX-HAIC treatment being cost-effective was 99.54% at the willingness-to-pay threshold of $30,552/QALY. Patients in most subgroups favored FOLFOX-HAIC treatment because it had a more than 50% probability of being cost-effective than TACE, except for patients with negative hepatitis B infection. Conclusion: In conclusion, our study found that the FOLFOX-HAIC was a cost-effective option compared to TACE for patients with large unresectable HCC in China.

Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Trastuzumab Deruxtecan versus Trastuzumab Emtansine in Human Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor 2-Positive Metastatic Breast Cancer in the USA.

INTRODUCTION: Based on data from the DESTINY-Breast03 trial, we performed a cost-effectiveness analysis of trastuzumab deruxtecan (T-DXd) in patients with human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-positive metastatic breast cancer who had been previously treated with trastuzumab and a taxane from the US payer perspective. METHODS: We conducted a Markov model to assess the cost-effectiveness of T-DXd versus trastuzumab emtansine (T-DM1). The simulation time horizon for this model was the lifetime of patients. Transition probabilities were based on data from the DESTINY-Breast03 trial. Health utility data were derived from published studies. Outcome measures were costs (in 2022 US$), quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses assessed the uncertainty of key model parameters and their joint impact on the base-case results. RESULTS: The base-case results found that T-DXd provided an improvement of 3.90 QALYs compared with T-DM1, and the ICER was $220,533 per QALY. The one-way sensitivity analysis demonstrated that the utility value of progression-free survival, hazard ratios of T-Dxd versus T-DM1, and cost of T-Dxd contributed substantial uncertainty to the model. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis predicted T-DXd being cost-effective compared to T-DM1 was 0, 1, 16, and 46% at willingness-to-pay of $50,000, $100,000, $150,000, and 200,000 per QALY, respectively. CONCLUSION: T-DXd was unlikely to offer a reasonable value for the money spent compared to T-DM1 in a US payer setting.

Alpha emitter radium-223 in patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer: A cost-utility analysis.

Objective: To assess the cost effectiveness of radium-223 dichloride for patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) in China. Materials and methods: A Markov model was developed to estimate the long-term health and economic outcomes of radium-223 plus best standard care (BSC) treatment and BSC only for bone mCRPC patients over a lifetime horizon. The patients and interventions were modeled according to the ALSYMPCA trial. Costs were collected from a Chinese health system perspective. Utility values were derived from the published literature. The base-case model results were quality-adjusted life year (QALY), total cost, and incremental cost-utility ratio (ICUR). Uncertainty analyses were performed to assess the robustness of our conclusions. Results: Compared with the BSC arm, radium-223 achieved an excess 0.344 QALYs with an incremental cost of $29,459, resulting in an ICUR of $85,647 per QALY. The probability of Ra-223 being cost effective for the patients with bone mCRPC was sharply low (<0.5%) at a willingness-to-pay threshold of $38,136/QALY. Uncertainty analyses revealed that the model is robust to all the input parameters. Conclusion: Radium-223 is unlikely to be cost effective in patients with bone mCRPC at the current WTP threshold, from a Chinese health system perspective. In affluent areas with a high per-capita GDP, radium-223 therapy may be cost effective.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of tislelizumab, nivolumab and docetaxel as second- and third-line for advanced or metastatic non-small cell lung cancer in China.

Objective: Domestic PD-1inhibitor tislelizumab has emerged as a promising treatment for Chinese patients with driver-negative advanced or metastatic non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). The purpose of our study to evaluate whether tislelizumab is cost-effective as a second- or third-line treatment for this population compared with docetaxel (conventional chemotherapy) and nivolumab (imported PD-1inhibitor), from the perspective of the Chinese healthcare system. Material and Methods: A Markov model with a 3-week Markov cycle and a 30-year time horizon was built to compare the cost-effectiveness of second- or third-line tislelizumab versus docetaxel and nivolumab. Transition probabilities, including disease progression, survival, and adverse events (AEs)-related treatment discontinuation event, were estimated from the clinical trials. Costs and health utilities were collected from local hospitals, public database and published literature. Results: Compared with docetaxel, tislelizumab provided an additional 0.33 quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) (1.37 vs. 1.04 QALYs) at an incremental cost of $9,286 ($23,646 vs. $14,360) for Chinese patients with driver-negative advanced or metastatic NSCLC, resulting in an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of $27,959/QALY under the WTP threshold of $35,663/QALY used in the model. Compared with nivolumab, tislelizumab was associated with a lower cost ($23,646 vs. $59,447) and higher QALYs (1.37 vs. 1.20 QALYs), resulting in its dominance of nivolumab. Conclusion: From the perspective of the Chinese healthcare system, domestic PD-1inhibitor tislelizumab immunotherapy represents a cost-effective treatment strategy compared with conventional docetaxel chemotherapy and imported PD-1inhibitor nivolumab immunotherapy in the treatment of driver-negative advanced or metastatic NSCLC beyond the first-line setting. In the era of "Universal Medical Insurance System", the rational use of domestic anticancer drugs guided by cost-benefit evidence would be an effective means to balance the limited expenditure of medical insurance fund and the growing demand for cancer treatments.

Economic Evaluation of Dapagliflozin in the Treatment of Patients With Heart Failure: A Systematic Review.

Objective: The objective of this study is to systematically review the economic evaluations of dapagliflozin in the treatment of patients with heart failure (HF) and describe their general and methodological features. Methods: This systematic review followed the PRISMA guidelines. MEDLINE/PubMed, Website Of Science, Embase, The Cochrane Library, ScienceDirect, CNKI, and Wanfang databases were searched to collect relevant studies, and the retrieval time ended on 31 October 2021. Articles on the economic evaluation of dapagliflozin in the treatment of heart failure were included. Secondary studies, incomplete economic indicators, and non-English-language and non-Chinese-language studies were excluded. Standard drug treatment was selected as the comparison. Basic characteristics, methods, and main results were extracted and analyzed systematically. Result: A total of eight studies were identified, and the overall quality was accepted, which were performed in nine developed countries (Austria, United States, Korea, Japan, Singapore, Spanish, Germany, and United Kingdom) and three developing countries (the Philippines, Thailand, and China). With the exception of the Philippines, the remaining countries considered that dapagliflozin was cost effective. In the analyses of all included studies, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratios were most sensitive to the cost of dapagliflozin, cardiovascular mortality, the duration of dapagliflozin effectiveness, and the probability of HF hospitalization. Conclusion: Dapagliflozin in the treatment of patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction was considered cost effective. Further studies are needed to evaluate the comprehensive value of dapagliflozin on HF.

Cost-Effectiveness of Pembrolizumab Plus Chemotherapy as First-Line Therapy for Advanced Oesophageal Cancer.

Objective: Pembrolizumab plus chemotherapy is recommended as the first-line treatment for advanced oesophageal cancer. The objective of this study is to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of pembrolizumab plus chemotherapy as first-line therapy for advanced oesophageal cancer from the healthcare system perspective in China. Methods: Based on the KEYNOTE-590 trial, a Markov model was constructed to estimate the cost and effectiveness of pembrolizumab plus chemotherapy and placebo plus chemotherapy, respectively. Total costs, life years (LYs), quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were calculated. One-way, probabilistic sensitivity analyses (PSA), and subgroup analyses were adapted to test the model robustness. Result: Compared with the placebo group, pembrolizumab group obtained an additional 1.05 QALY, but the cost was also increased by $121,478.76. The ICER was $115,391.84 per QALY gained, which was higher than the willingness-to-pay (WTP) of $31,304.31. The results of One-way sensitivity analyses showed that the ICER was sensitive to the hazard ratio of PFS and per cycle cost of pembrolizumab. At a WTP threshold of $31,304.31, the probability of pembrolizumab plus chemotherapy being cost-effective was 0%. Conclusion: From the perspective of China healthcare system, pembrolizumab plus chemotherapy as first-line treatment is not cost-effective for patients with advanced oesophageal cancer compared with placebo plus chemotherapy.

Cost-Effectiveness of Bevacizumab Biosimilar LY01008 Combined With Chemotherapy as First-Line Treatment for Chinese Patients With Advanced or Recurrent Nonsquamous Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer.

Objective: To investigate whether LY01008, a locally developed bevacizumab biosimilar agent, is appropriate for widespread use among Chinese advanced or recurrent nonsquamous non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients, our current study was designed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of first-line LY01008 combined with platinum-doublet chemotherapy versus chemotherapy alone from the perspective of the Chinese healthcare system. Material and Methods: This economic evaluation designed a Markov model to compare the healthcare cost and quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) of first-line LY01008 combined with chemotherapy versus first-line chemotherapy. Transition probabilities, including disease progression, survival, and adverse event (AE)-related discontinuation of first-line treatment, were estimated using data from the clinical trials. Costs and health utilities were derived from local databases, hospitals, and published literature. Our base case analysis and scenario analysis focused on the cost-effectiveness of chemotherapy combined with a clinical trial dosage (15 mg/kg every 3-week cycle) and a real-world dosage (7.5 mg/kg every 3-week cycle) of LY01008, respectively. Results: In the base case analysis, first-line LY01008 combined with chemotherapy was associated with an increase of 0.48 QALYs in effectiveness and an increase of CNY 189,988 (US$ 26,240) in healthcare costs compared with first-line chemotherapy, resulting an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of CNY 375,425 (US$ 54,430)/QALY. In the scenario analysis, first-line LY01008 combined with chemotherapy was associated with a mean healthcare cost of CNY 265,060 (US$ 38,429), resulting an ICER of CNY 221,579 (US$ 32,125/QALY) between first-line LY01008 combined with chemotherapy versus first-line chemotherapy. The parameters that determine the cost of LY01008 have the greatest impact on the cost-effectiveness results. Conclusion: From the perspective of the Chinese healthcare system, first-line LY01008 at a real-world dosage combined with chemotherapy is likely to represent a cost-effective strategy compared with first-line chemotherapy alone for Chinese advanced or recurrent nonsquamous NSCLC patients.