Atrial fibrillation post central retinal artery occlusion: Role of implantable loop recorders.

OBJECTIVE: This study evaluated the risk of subclinical atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients with central retinal artery occlusion (CRAO) compared to those with cryptogenic stroke using implantable loop recorders (ILR). METHODS: We conducted a retrospective analysis of 273 consecutive patients who had ILRs inserted at our institution for either cryptogenic stroke (n = 227) or CRAO (n = 46). Our primary endpoint was a time to event analysis for the new diagnosis of AF by ILR. Univariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazard models were used to determine the predictors of time-to-AF. RESULTS: A total of 64 patients were found to have newly diagnosed AF by remote monitoring of the ILR. AF was detected in 57 of 227 (25%) cryptogenic stroke patients by the end of a maximum 5.1 years follow-up and in seven of 46 (15%) CRAO patients by the end of a maximum 3.6 years follow-up (P = .215, log-rank test). The Kaplan-Meier estimates for freedom from AF was 59.4% for CRAO and 66.6% for cryptogenic stroke (P = NS, log-rank test). Baseline variables predicting AF included older patients, higher CHADS2 VASC score, longer PR interval on initial EKG evaluation, and mitral annular calcification on transthoracic echocardiogram. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with CRAO are at risk for subclinical AF, similar to those with cryptogenic stroke. Long-term monitoring to detect AF may lead to changes in pharmacotherapy to reduce the risk for subsequent stroke.

Use of advanced statistical techniques to predict all-cause mortality in the Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial.

BACKGROUND: The Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial (SPRINT) was conducted in patients with hypertension and additional risk for cardiovascular disease who were randomized to the intensive blood pressure group targeting systolic blood pressure (SBP) less than 120 mm Hg and to the standard group where the target was less than 140 mm Hg. Analyses were done in the matched group of participants with the same gender, same age (±2 years) and same SBP (±3 mm Hg) at three months of treatment regardless of initial randomization to intensive or standard group (shaded area in Figure 1). METHODS AND RESULTS: During 3.26 years of follow-up, intensive group participants had 14.8 mm Hg lower SBP and received on average one more (2.8 vs. 1.8) blood pressure lowering medications. This was associated with lower all-cause mortality in the intensive treatment group (hazard ratio, 0.73; 95% CI, 0.60 to 0.90, p = 0.003). The effect on SBP was achieved at 3 months and remained unchanged thereafter. This paper addresses two questions with respect to all-cause mortality in SPRINT in the matched set. 1) What is the effect of receiving more than one drug on all-cause mortality. Conditional logistic regression for all-cause mortality with respect to number of drugs indicated that during the 3.26 years of follow-up persons who received more than one drug were more likely to die (coefficient = 0.5039, OR = 1.6552, p = 0.0322) than patients who received one drug. 2) Was there a U curve relationship between on treatment SBP and all-cause mortality? A U curve fitting a quadratic equation (parabola) of SBP and all-cause death was observed. This was seen in the patients randomized to the standard target group in unadjusted analyses as well as in analyses adjusted for demographics or all covariates (p < 0.001 for all). The U curves in the combined group and the intensive treatment group were less pronounced. CONCLUSION: SPRINT participants who were matched for gender, age, and SBP at 3 months, and received more than one drug had higher all-cause mortality during the 3.26 years of follow-up. Those who were randomized to standard treatment target had a U curve relationship between SBP at three months and all-cause mortality. The U curves in the combined group and the intensive treatment group were less pronounced.

Risk Factors and Trends in Incidence of Heart Failure Following Acute Myocardial Infarction.

Patients who develop heart failure (HF) after an acute myocardial infarction (AMI) are at higher risk of adverse fatal and nonfatal outcomes. Published studies on the incidence and associations of HF after infarction have been contradictory, with some reporting increasing and others decreasing incidence. Between 2000 and 2015, 109,717 patients admitted for a first AMI in New Jersey were discharged alive. In the 15 years from 2000 to 2015, the rates of admission for HF in AMI patients who were discharged alive decreased by 60%, from 3.48% to 1.4%, at 1-year follow-up. At 5 years of follow-up, the decline was more pronounced, from 7.21% to 1.4%, an 80% decline. All-cause death, and the combined end point of admission for HF or death, showed decreasing trends. Cox regression indicated a decrease in the risk of admission for HF over time (hazard ratio [HR] 0.955, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.949 to 0.961). Younger age, male gender, and commercial insurance were associated with lower HRs for HF (p <0.001), whereas history of hypertension, diabetes, kidney, or lung disease were associated with higher HRs (p <0.001). There was no significant difference in the rate of HF between subendocardial and transmural AMI (adjusted OR was 0.96, CI 0.90 to 1.03, p = 0.241). Revascularization was associated with a marked decrease in HF admissions (adjusted OR 0.22, 95% CI 0.19 to 0.25, p <0.001 for percutaneous coronary intervention and OR 0.44, 95% CI 0.38 to 0.51, p <0.001 for CABG). In conclusion, the rate of admission for HF after discharge for a first myocardial infarction as well as all-cause death decreased markedly from 2000 to 2015.