Nomogram for predicting the prognosis of tumor patients with sepsis after gastrointestinal surgery.

BACKGROUND: There were few studies on the prognosis of tumor patients with sepsis after gastrointestinal surgery and there was no relevant nomogram for predicting the prognosis of these patients. AIM: To establish a nomogram for predicting the prognosis of tumor patients with sepsis after gastrointestinal surgery in the intensive care unit (ICU). METHODS: A total of 303 septic patients after gastrointestinal tumor surgery admitted to the ICU at Peking University Cancer Hospital from January 1, 2013 to December 31, 2020 were analysed retrospectively. The model for predicting the prognosis of septic patients was established by the R software package. RESULTS: The most common infection site of sepsis after gastrointestinal surgery in the ICU was abdominal infection. The 90-d all-cause mortality rate was 10.2% in our study group. In multiple analyses, we found that there were statistically significant differences in tumor type, septic shock, the number of lymphocytes after ICU admission, serum creatinine and total operation times among tumor patients with sepsis after gastrointestinal surgery (P < 0.05). These five variables could be used to establish a nomogram for predicting the prognosis of these septic patients. The nomogram was verified, and the initial C-index was 0.861. After 1000 internal validations of the model, the C-index was 0.876, and the discrimination was good. The correction curve indicated that the actual value was in good agreement with the predicted value. CONCLUSION: The nomogram based on these five factors (tumor type, septic shock, number of lymphocytes, serum creatinine, and total operation times) could accurately predict the prognosis of tumor patients with sepsis after gastrointestinal surgery.

The significance of time interval between perioperative SOX/XELOX chemotherapy and clinical decision model in gastric cancer.

Introduction: To investigate the influences of time interval between multimodality therapies on survival for locally advanced gastric cancer (LAGC) patients, 627 patients were included in a retrospective study, and 350 who received neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) based on SOX (S-1 plus Oxaliplatin)/XELOX (Capecitabine plus Oxaliplatin) treatment, radical surgery, and adjuvant chemotherapy (AC) from 2005.01 to 2018.06 were eligible for analyses. Methods: Three factors were used to assess influences, including time interval from NACT accomplishment to AC initiation (PECTI), time to surgery after NACT accomplishment (TTS), and time to adjuvant chemotherapy after surgery (TAC). Results: Concerning PECTIs, 99 (28.29%) experienced it within 9 weeks, 188 (53.71%) within 9-13 weeks, 63 (18.00%) over 13 weeks. Patients' 5-year overall survival (OS) significantly decreased as trichotomous PECTI increased (78.6% vs 66.7% vs 55.7%, P = .02). Analogously, there was a significant decrease for dichotomous TTS (within vs over 5 weeks) in OS (P = .03) and progression free survival (PFS) (P = .01) but not for dichotomous TAC (within vs over 6 weeks) in OS and PFS (P = .40). Through multivariate Cox analyses, patients with PECTI over 13 weeks had significantly worse OS (P = .03) and PFS (P = .02). Furthermore, extended TTS had significantly worse OS and PFS but insignificantly worse OS and PFS than extended TAC. Therefore, gastric patients receiving perioperative SOX/XELOX chemotherapy and surgery with extended PECTI over 9 weeks or TTS over 5 weeks would have a negative correlation with PFS and OS, and worse when PECTI over 13 weeks. Nomograms (including PECTI, ypT, ypN, Area Under Curve (AUC) = 0.81) could predict patient survival probability and guide intervention with net benefit. Discussion: In control of PECTI, TTS could be extended appropriately, and shortened TAC might make a remedy, and delayed TAC might be allowed when TTS was shortened.

Prognostic predictors in patients with sepsis after gastrointestinal tumor surgery: A retrospective study.

BACKGROUND: There have been different reports on mortality of sepsis; however, few focus on the prognosis of patients with sepsis after surgery. AIM: To study the clinical features and prognostic predictors in patients with sepsis after gastrointestinal tumor surgery in intensive care unit (ICU). METHODS: We retrospectively screened patients who underwent gastrointestinal tumor surgery at Peking University Cancer Hospital from January 2015 to December 2019. Among them, 181 patients who were diagnosed with sepsis in ICU were included in our study. Survival was analysed by the Kaplan-Meier method. Univariate and multivariate adjusted analyses were performed to identify predictors of prognosis. RESULTS: The 90-d all-cause mortality rate was 11.1% in our study. Univariate analysis showed that body mass index (BMI), shock within 48 h after ICU admission, leukocyte count, lymphocyte to neutrophil ratio, international normalized ratio, creatinine, procalcitonin, lactic acid, oxygenation index, and sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score within 24 h after ICU admission might be all significantly associated with the prognosis of sepsis after gastrointestinal tumor surgery. In multiple analysis, we found that BMI ≤ 20 kg/m2, lactic acid after ICU admission, and SOFA score within 24 h after ICU admission might be independent risk predictors of the prognosis of sepsis after gastrointestinal tumor surgery. Compared with SOFA score, SOFA score combined with BMI and lactic acid might have higher predictive ability (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.859; 95% confidence interval, 0.789-0.929). CONCLUSION: Lactic acid and SOFA score within 24 h after ICU admission are independent risk predictors of the prognosis of sepsis after gastrointestinal tumor surgery. SOFA score combined with BMI and lactic acid might have good predictive value.

Health economic evaluation of patients with sepsis after gastrointestinal tumor surgery-a cost consequences analysis in China.

BACKGROUND: The purpose of this study was to evaluate the health economics of patients with sepsis after gastrointestinal tumor operation in ICU. METHODS: This case-control study used 1:1 propensity-score (PS) matched method and patients were matched according to tumor type, age and gender. The study group was composed of 181 patients with sepsis after operation of gastrointestinal tumor in ICU, while the control group was composed of 181 patients without sepsis after operation of gastrointestinal tumor. The medical expenses and length of stay in the hospital of these patients were analyzed. RESULTS: The median of the total hospitalization cost for the study group was $26,038, which was 1.7 times of the control group (P<0.001). The costs of drugs, laboratory test, examination, treatment, operation, anesthesia, materials, ward and other costs in the study group were higher than those in the control group (P<0.001). The median length of stay in the hospital in the study group was 26 days, which were 12 days longer than that of the control group (P<0.001). However, there was no significant difference in daily average cost between the two groups (P=0.103). CONCLUSIONS: In ICU, patients with sepsis after operation of gastrointestinal tumor increased the cost of hospitalization and prolonged the length of stay in the hospital than those without sepsis.

Effect of low molecular weight heparin on venous thromboembolism disease in thoracotomy patients with cancer.

BACKGROUND: Much attention has been given to venous thromboembolism (VTE) disease, and many guidelines for prophylaxis have been published. However, there are few published data on patients who underwent thoracotomy. This study is to compare the effect of low molecular weight heparin (LMWH) combined mechanical approaches with mechanical approaches alone in prevention of VTE in the post thoracotomy cancer patients. METHODS: This study used a prospective, randomized-controlled design. Patients with cancer who were scheduled for thoracotomy were divided into two groups: group A and group B. In group A, patients were given intermittent pneumatic compression (IPC) and elastic stockings (ES) postoperatively. Additionally, at 24 hours post-operation, patients were subcutaneously injected with LMWH calcium (nadroparin calcium; GlaxoSmithKline, China) for 7 days. In group B, patients were only given postoperative IPC and ES. The primary end points were incidence of pulmonary embolism (PE), deep vein thrombosis (DVT), and the PE severity index (PESI) of PE patients. The secondary end points were hemoglobin (HGB), platelet (PLT), D-dimer, the PO2/FiO2 ratio (P/F) at postoperative day (POD) 7, the chest drainage time (CDT) and the length of stay (LOS) in hospital after operation. RESULTS: A total of 90 patients were included in the final data analysis (40 patients in group A and 50 patients in group B). At POD7, the incidence of PE, DVT and PESI was 17.50%, 5.00% and 102.14±9.87, respectively, in group A. And 8.00%, 8.00% and 97.00±4.24, respectively, in group B. There were no significant differences between two groups (all P values were >0.05). There were no significant differences of HGB, PLT, D-dimer and P/F between two groups at the 7th day post operation (all P value >0.05). CONCLUSIONS: LMWH combined mechanical prophylaxis did not significant reduced the rate of VTE in thoracotomy cancer patients.

Definition of colorectal anastomotic leakage: A consensus survey among Dutch and Chinese colorectal surgeons.

AIM: To determine the level of consensus on the definition of colorectal anastomotic leakage (CAL) among Dutch and Chinese colorectal surgeons. METHODS: Dutch and Chinese colorectal surgeons were asked to partake in an online questionnaire. Consensus in the online questionnaire was defined as > 80% agreement between respondents on various statements regarding a general definition of CAL, and regarding clinical and radiological diagnosis of the complication. RESULTS: Fifty-nine Dutch and 202 Chinese dedicated colorectal surgeons participated in the online survey. Consensus was found on only one of the proposed elements of a general definition of CAL in both countries: 'extravasation of contrast medium after rectal enema on a CT scan'. Another two were found relevant according to Dutch surgeons: 'necrosis of the anastomosis found during reoperation', and 'a radiological collection treated with percutaneous drainage'. No consensus was found for all other proposed elements that may be included in a general definition. CONCLUSION: There is no universally accepted definition of CAL in the Netherlands and China. Diagnosis of CAL based on clinical manifestations remains a point of discussion in both countries. Dutch surgeons are more likely to report 'subclinical' leaks as CAL, which partly explains the higher reported Dutch CAL rates.

Integrated approach to colorectal anastomotic leakage: Communication, infection and healing disturbances.

Colorectal anastomotic leakage (CAL) remains a major complication after colorectal surgery. Despite all efforts during the last decades, the incidence of CAL has not decreased. In this review, we summarize the available strategies regarding prevention, prediction and intervention of CAL and categorize them into three categories: communication, infection and healing disturbances. These three major factors actively interact during the onset of CAL. We aim to provide an integrated approach to CAL based on its etiology. The intraoperative air leak test, intraoperative endoscopy, radiological examinations and stoma construction mainly aim to detect and to prevent communication between the intra- and extra-luminal content. Other strategies including postoperative drainage, antibiotics, and infectious-parameter evaluation are intended to detect and prevent anastomotic or peritoneal infection. Most currently available interventions for CAL focus on the control of communication and infection, while strategies targeting the healing disturbances such as lifestyle changes, oxygen therapy and evaluation of metabolic biomarkers still lack wide clinical application. This simplified categorization may contribute to an integrated understanding of CAL. We strongly believe that this integrated approach should be taken into consideration during clinical practice. An integrated approach to CAL could contribute to a better understanding of the etiology of CAL and eventually better patient outcome.