Prevalence, distribution, and hepatic fibrosis burden of the different subtypes of steatotic liver disease in primary care settings.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: In relation to the new umbrella terminology for steatotic liver disease (SLD), we aimed to elucidate the prevalence, distribution, and clinical characteristics of the SLD subgroups in the primary care setting. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We retrospectively collected data from 2535 individuals who underwent magnetic resonance elastography and MRI proton density fat fraction during health checkups in 5 primary care health promotion clinics. We evaluated the presence of cardiometabolic risk factors according to predefined criteria and divided all the participants according to the new SLD classification. The prevalence of SLD was 39.13% in the total cohort, and 95.77% of the SLD cases had metabolic dysfunction (one or more cardiometabolic risk factors). The prevalence of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) was 29.51%, with those of metabolic dysfunction and alcohol associated steatotic liver disease (MetALD) and alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) at 7.89% and 0.39%, respectively. According to the old criteria, the prevalence of NAFLD was 29.11%, and 95.80% of the NAFLD cases fulfilled the new criteria for MASLD. The distribution of SLD subtypes was highest for MASLD, at 75.40%, followed by MetALD at 20.06%, cryptogenic SLD at 3.33%, and ALD at 1.01%. The MetALD group had a significantly higher mean magnetic resonance elastography than the MASLD or ALD group. CONCLUSION: Almost all the patients with NAFLD met the new criteria for MASLD. The fibrosis burden of the MetALD group was higher than those of the MASLD and ALD groups.

Diagnostic performance of non-invasive tests in patients with MetALD in a health check-up cohort.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Non-invasive tests (NITs) for liver fibrosis have been recognized for their clinical utility in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD). However, their diagnostic efficacy in detecting liver fibrosis is notably reduced in patients with alcohol-related liver disease. Therefore, ascertaining the reliability of NITs in patients with MASLD with moderate alcohol intake (MetALD) is essential. METHODS: In this cross-sectional study, we reviewed data from 7,918 health check-up participants who underwent both magnetic resonance elastography (MRE) and ultrasound for the diagnosis of hepatic steatosis. The participants were categorized into MASLD and MetALD groups, and the performance of fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4) and NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS) were assessed. Advanced hepatic fibrosis (F3) was defined as MRE ≥3.6 kPa. RESULTS: The prevalence of MetALD was 5.8% in this health check-up cohort, and 1.5% of these patients exhibited advanced hepatic fibrosis. Both MetALD and MASLD displayed similar metabolic profiles and hepatic fibrosis burdens. The diagnostic performance of FIB-4 and NFS for MRE ≥3.6 kPa showed no noticeable differences in the area under the receiver-operating characteristic values between the two groups (0.85 vs. 0.80 in FIB-4). Moreover, the sensitivity (71.4%), specificity (77.3%), and both positive (4.6%) and negative (99.4%) predictive values of NITs for MetALD closely mirrored those observed for MASLD. CONCLUSION: FIB-4 performed well for the initial screening of advanced hepatic fibrosis in MetALD, demonstrating reasonable sensitivity and negative predictive values. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: In this cross-sectional study, data from 7,918 participants who underwent MRE were analyzed to assess the performance of fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis scores in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) and MASLD with moderate alcohol intake (MetALD). We found that FIB-4 had high diagnostic accuracy in the newly identified MetALD group, similar to that in the MASLD population. These results highlight the potential of FIB-4 as a reliable screening tool for MetALD, even when specific subgroups are considered. Therefore, FIB-4 is a valuable screening tool for identifying advanced fibrosis in the MetALD population.

PAGE-B incorporating moderate HBV DNA levels predicts risk of HCC among patients entering into HBeAg-positive chronic hepatitis B.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Recent studies reported that moderate HBV DNA levels are significantly associated with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk in hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-positive, non-cirrhotic patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). We aimed to develop and validate a new risk score to predict HCC development using baseline moderate HBV DNA levels in patients entering into HBeAg-positive CHB from chronic infection. METHODS: This multicenter cohort study recruited 3,585 HBeAg-positive, non-cirrhotic patients who started antiviral treatment with entecavir or tenofovir disoproxil fumarate at phase change into CHB from chronic infection in 23 tertiary university-affiliated hospitals of South Korea (2012-2020). A new HCC risk score (PAGED-B) was developed (training cohort, n = 2,367) based on multivariable Cox models. Internal validation using bootstrap sampling and external validation (validation cohort, n = 1,218) were performed. RESULTS: Sixty (1.7%) patients developed HCC (median follow-up, 5.4 years). In the training cohort, age, gender, platelets, diabetes and moderate HBV DNA levels (5.00-7.99 log10 IU/ml) were independently associated with HCC development; the PAGED-B score (based on these five predictors) showed a time-dependent AUROC of 0.81 for the prediction of HCC development at 5 years. In the validation cohort, the AUROC of PAGED-B was 0.85, significantly higher than for other risk scores (PAGE-B, mPAGE-B, CAMD, and REAL-B). When stratified by the PAGED-B score, the HCC risk was significantly higher in high-risk patients than in low-risk patients (sub-distribution hazard ratio = 8.43 in the training and 11.59 in the validation cohorts, all p <0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The newly established PAGED-B score may enable risk stratification for HCC at the time of transition into HBeAg-positive CHB. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: In this study, we developed and validated a new risk score to predict hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development in patients entering into hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-positive chronic hepatitis B (CHB) from chronic infection. The newly established PAGED-B score, which included baseline moderate HBV DNA levels (5-8 log10 IU/ml), improved on the predictive performance of prior risk scores. Based on a patient's age, gender, diabetic status, platelet count, and moderate DNA levels (5-8 log10 IU/ml) at the phase change into CHB from chronic infection, the PAGED-B score represents a reliable and easily available risk score to predict HCC development during the first 5 years of antiviral treatment in HBeAg-positive patients entering into CHB. With a scoring range from 0 to 12 points, the PAGED-B score significantly differentiated the 5-year HCC risk: low <7 points and high ≥7 points.

Sex Differences in Treatment Response to Nucleos(t)ide Therapy in Chronic Hepatitis B: A Multicenter Longitudinal Study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: It is unclear if there may be sex differences in response to nucleos(t)ide analogs including virologic response (VR), biochemical response (BR), complete response (CR), and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) incidence among hepatitis B patients. We compared nucleos(t)ide analog treatment outcomes by sex. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study of 3388 treatment-naïve adult hepatitis B patients (1250 female, 2138 male) from the Real-World Evidence from the Global Alliance for the Study of Hepatitis B Virus consortium who initiated therapy with either entecavir or tenofovir from 22 sites (Argentina, Korea, Japan, Taiwan, and the United States). We used propensity-score matching to balance background characteristics of the male and female groups and competing-risks analysis to estimate the incidence and subdistribution hazard ratios (SHRs) of VR, BR, CR, and HCC. RESULTS: Females (vs males) were older (52.0 vs 48.6 y); less likely to be overweight/obese (49.3% vs 65.7%), diabetic (9.9% vs 13.1%), or cirrhotic (27.9% vs 33.0%); and had a lower HBV DNA level (5.9 vs 6.0 log10 IU/mL) and alanine aminotransferase level (91 vs 102 IU/L) (all P < .01). However, after propensity-score matching, relevant background characteristics were balanced between the 2 groups. Females (vs males) had similar 5-year cumulative VR (91.3% vs 90.3%; P = .40) and HCC incidence rates (5.1% vs 4.4%; P = .64), but lower BR (84.0% vs 90.9%; P < .001) and CR (78.8% vs 83.4%; P = .016). Males were more likely to achieve BR (SHR, 1.31; 95% CI, 1.17-1.46; P < .001) and CR (SHR, 1.16; 95% CI, 1.03-1.31; P = .016), but VR and HCC risks were similar. CONCLUSIONS: Sex differences exist for treatment outcomes among hepatitis B patients. Male sex was associated with a 16% higher likelihood of clinical remission and a 31% higher likelihood of biochemical response than females, while virologic response and HCC incidence were similar between the 2 groups.

Cost-effectiveness study of FIB-4 followed by transient elastography screening strategy for advanced hepatic fibrosis in a NAFLD at-risk population.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The cost-effectiveness to screen hepatic fibrosis in at-risk population as recommended by several professional societies has been limited. This study aimed to investigate the cost-effectiveness of this screening strategy in the expanded at-risk population recently proposed by several societies. METHODS: A combined model of the decision tree and Markov models was developed to compare expected costs, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) between screening and no screening groups. The model included liver disease-related health states and cardiovascular disease (CVD) states as a base-case analysis. Screening strategy consisted of fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4) followed by vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) and intensive lifestyle intervention (ILI) as a treatment for diagnosed patients. RESULTS: Cost-effectiveness analysis showed that screening the at-risk population entailed $298 incremental costs and an additional 0.0199 QALY per patient compared to no screening (ICER $14 949/QALY). Screening was cost-effective based on the implicit ICER threshold of $25 000/QALY in Korea. When the effects of ILI on CVD and extrahepatic malignancy were incorporated into the cost-effectiveness model, the ICER decreased by 0.85 times from the base-case analysis (ICER $12 749/QALY). In contrast, when only the effects of liver disease were considered in the model, excluding cardiovascular disease effects, ICER increased from the baseline case analysis to $16 305. Even when replacing with medical costs in Japan and U.S., it remained cost-effective with the estimate below the countries' ICER threshold. CONCLUSIONS: Our study provides compelling evidence supporting the cost-effectiveness of FIB-4-based screening the at-risk population for advanced hepatic fibrosis.

Diagnostic performances of Fibrosis-4 index and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis score in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease in Asian primary care clinics.

AIMS: We aimed to explore the extent to which individuals previously diagnosed with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) meet the criteria fulfilled with the new nomenclature, metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), within an Asian primary clinic cohort. Additionally, we assessed the reliability of the diagnostic performance of FIB-4 and NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS) for MASLD within the primary clinic cohort. METHODS: This retrospective cross-sectional study included participants who underwent magnetic resonance elastography and abdominal ultrasonography during their health checkups at nationwide health promotion centers (n = 6740). RESULTS: The prevalence rates of NAFLD and MASLD diagnosed based on ultrasonography results were 36.7% and 38.0%, respectively. Notably, 96.8% of patients in the NAFLD cohort fulfilled the new criteria for MASLD. A small proportion of patients with NAFLD (n = 80, 3.2%) did not meet the MASLD criteria. Additionally, 168 patients (6.6%) were newly added to the MASLD group. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves for diagnosing advanced hepatic fibrosis for FIB-4 (0.824 in NAFLD vs. 0.818 in MASLD, p = 0.891) and NFS (0.803 in NAFLD vs. 0.781 in MASLD, p = 0.618) were comparable between the MASLD and NAFLD groups. Furthermore, the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value of FIB-4 and NFS for advanced fibrosis in MASLD were also comparable to those in NAFLD. CONCLUSIONS: Most patients (96.8%) previously diagnosed with NAFLD fulfilled the new criteria for MASLD in an Asian primary clinic cohort. Diagnostic performance of FIB-4 in the MASLD cohort demonstrated satisfactory results.

Validation of MELD 3.0 in patients with alcoholic liver cirrhosis using prospective KACLiF cohort.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: The Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) is a reliable prognostic tool for short-term outcome prediction in patients with end-stage liver disease. MELD 3.0 was introduced to enhance the predictive accuracy. This study assessed the performance of MELD 3.0, in comparison to MELD and MELD-Na, in patients with alcoholic liver cirrhosis. METHODS: This multicenter prospective cohort study comprised patients with alcoholic cirrhosis admitted for acute deterioration of liver function in the Republic of Korea between 2015 and 2019. This study compared the predictive abilities of MELD, MELD-Na, and MELD 3.0, for 30-day and 90-day outcomes, specifically death or liver transplantation, and explored the factors influencing these outcomes. RESULTS: A total of 1096 patients were included in the study, with a mean age of 53.3 ± 10.4 years, and 82.0% were male. The mean scores for MELD, MELD-Na, and MELD 3.0 at the time of admission were 18.7 ± 7.2, 20.6 ± 7.7, and 21.0 ± 7.8, respectively. At 30 and 90 days, 7.2% and 14.1% of patients experienced mortality or liver transplantation. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves for MELD, MELD-Na, and MELD 3.0 at 30 days were 0.823, 0.820, and 0.828; and at 90 days were 0.765, 0.772, and 0.776, respectively. Factors associated with the 90-day outcome included concomitant chronic viral hepatitis, prolonged prothrombin time, elevated levels of aspartate transaminase, bilirubin, and creatinine, and low albumin levels. CONCLUSION: MELD 3.0 demonstrated improved performance compared to previous models, although the differences were not statistically significant.

Mortality in patients with chronic hepatitis B treated with tenofovir or entecavir: A multinational study.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: The benefits of entecavir (ETV) versus tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) in reducing the development of chronic hepatitis B (CHB)-related hepatocellular carcinoma remain controversial. Whether mortality rates differ between patients with CHB treated with ETV and those treated with TDF is unclear. METHODS: A total of 2542 patients with CHB treated with either ETV or TDF were recruited from a multinational cohort. A 1:1 propensity score matching was performed to balance the differences in baseline characteristics between the two patient groups. We aimed to compare the all-cause, liver-related, and non-liver-related mortality between patients receiving ETV and those receiving TDF. RESULTS: The annual incidence of all-cause mortality in the entire cohort was 1.0/100 person-years (follow-up, 15 757.5 person-years). Patients who received TDF were younger and had a higher body mass index, platelet count, hepatitis B virus deoxyribonucleic acid levels, and proportion of hepatitis B e-antigen seropositivity than those who received ETV. The factors associated with all-cause mortality were fibrosis-4 index > 6.5 (hazard ratio [HR]/confidence interval [CI]: 3.13/2.15-4.54, P < 0.001), age per year increase (HR/CI: 1.05/1.04-1.07, P < 0.001), alanine aminotransferase level per U/L increase (HR/CI: 0.997/0.996-0.999, P = 0.003), and γ-glutamyl transferase level per U/L increase (HR/CI: 1.002/1.001-1.003, P < 0.001). No significant difference in all-cause mortality was observed between the ETV and TDF groups (log-rank test, P = 0.69). After propensity score matching, no significant differences in all-cause, liver-related, or non-liver-related mortality were observed between the two groups. CONCLUSIONS: Long-term outcomes of all-cause mortality and liver-related and non-liver-related mortality did not differ between patients treated with ETV and those receiving TDF.

Deletion of Mixed Lineage Kinase Domain Like Pseudokinase Aggravates Chronic Alcohol-Induced Liver Injury via Increasing Apoptosis.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: he mixed lineage kinase domain like pseudokinase (MLKL) is known to play a protective role in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) via inhibition of necroptosis pathway. However, the role of MLKL in alcoholic liver disease (ALD) is not yet clear. METHOD: C57BL/6N wild-type (WT) and MLKL-knockout (KO) mice (8-10 weeks old) were randomly divided into eight groups. To establish ALD model of different durations, ethanol (EtOH) was fed to WT and MLKL KO for 10 days, 4 weeks, and 8 weeks. The control group was fed with Lieber-DeCarli control diet for 8 weeks. Mortality, degree of hepatic inflammation, and steatosis were compared among the groups. Bulk mRNA transcriptome analysis was performed. Abundance of transcript and gene expressions were calculated based on read count or Transcript by Million (TPM) value. RESULTS: Survival rate of MLKL KO mice compared to WT was similar until 4 weeks, but the survival of MLKL KO mice significantly decreased after 8 weeks in ALD model. There was no difference in degree of inflammation, steatosis, and NAS scores between EtOH-fed MLKL KO and EtOH-fed WT mice at 10 days. However, at 4 weeks and 8 weeks, the degree of hepatic steatosis, NAS, and inflammation were increased in MLKL KO mice. RNA transcriptome data showed that fatty acid synthesis, and lipogenesis, mitochondria, and apoptosis-related pathways were upregulated in EtOH-fed MLKL KO mice compared to EtOH-fed WT mice. Although hepatocyte apoptosis (BAX/BCL2 ratio, caspase-3, and TUNEL staining) increased after EtOH intake; however, apoptosis was more significantly increased in EtOH-fed MLKL KO mice compared to the WT group. At the same time, hepatic cFLIP was decreased in EtOH-fed MLKL KO mice compared to the WT group. CONCLUSION: MLKL deletion did not prevent chronic alcohol-induced liver damage independently of necroptosis and exacerbated hepatic steatosis by increasing hepatocyte apoptosis.

Nomenclature Dilemma of Metabolic Associated Fatty Liver Disease (MAFLD): Considerable Proportions of MAFLD Are Metabolic Healthy.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The purpose of this study was to investigate the proportion of subjects with metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) and to assess the degree of hepatic fibrosis and cardiovascular risk in metabolically healthy MAFLD subjects. METHODS: A total of 6740 subjects who underwent both magnetic resonance elastography and abdominal ultrasound were included in this study. Significant (≥3.0 kPa) and advanced (≥3.6 kPa) hepatic fibrosis were evaluated by magnetic resonance elastography. The metabolic unhealthy status among subjects with MAFLD was defined as the presence of diabetes or 2 or more metabolic risk abnormalities. RESULTS: The prevalence of MAFLD among the health examination cohort was 44.5% (3002 of 6740). A total of 26.6% (800 of 3002) of MAFLD subjects were metabolically healthy (≤1 risk factors and no diabetes), and 56.3% of MAFLD subjects (1691 of 3002) did not have metabolic syndrome. Hepatic fibrosis burden and cardiovascular risk were significantly higher in the metabolic unhealthy MAFLD group than in the healthy control group. However, the prevalence of significant (5.8% vs 4.3%; P = .099) and advanced hepatic fibrosis (0.8% vs 0.7%; P = .934) did not differ between the metabolically healthy MAFLD and healthy control groups. The prevalence of carotid artery plaque in the metabolically healthy MAFLD (32.7% vs 30.7%; P = .453) group was not different from that in the healthy control group. CONCLUSIONS: Contrary to the definition of MAFLD, a non-negligible number of metabolically healthy individuals are included in the MAFLD group. The metabolic healthy MAFLD group showed a comparable fibrosis burden and prevalence of carotid artery plaque compared with the healthy control group.

Poor Diagnostic Efficacy of Noninvasive Tests for Advanced Fibrosis in Obese or Younger Than 60 Diabetic NAFLD patients.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Serum-based noninvasive tests (NITs) have been widely used to assess liver fibrosis in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). However, the diagnostic efficacy of NITs across ranges of age, body mass index (BMI), and presence of type 2 diabetes (T2DM) may vary and have not been well-characterized. METHODS: We analyzed 1489 patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD from 6 centers in Japan, Taiwan, and Korea. Using histology as the gold standard, we compared the areas under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROCs) of Fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4), NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS), and the new Hepamet fibrosis score (HFS), with a focus on performance in subgroups as stratified by age, BMI, and the presence of T2DM. RESULTS: By histology, 44.0% of the overall cohort (655/1489) had F2-4, and 20.6% (307/1489) had F3-4 fibrosis. FIB-4 had the highest AUROCs for both F2-4 (0.701 vs NFS 0.676 and HFS 0.682, P = .001) and F3-4 (0.767 vs NFS 0.736 and HFS 0.752, P = .002). However, for F3-4 fibrosis, the AUROCs of all 3 NITs were generally higher in older (>60 years), nonobese (BMI <25 kg/m2), and non-diabetic patients, although overall the best performance was observed with FIB-4 among nonobese (BMI<25) diabetic patients (AUROC, 0.92). The worst performance was observed in younger patients with T2DM for all NITs including FIB-4 (AUROC, 0.63-0.66). CONCLUSIONS: FIB-4 had higher diagnostic efficacy for F3-4 than NFS or HFS, but this varied greatly by age, BMI, and T2DM, with better performance in older, nonobese, and nondiabetic patients. However, all NITs including FIB-4 had unacceptably poor performance in young or obese diabetic patients.

A Reappraisal of the Diagnostic Performance of B-Mode Ultrasonography for Mild Liver Steatosis.

INTRODUCTION: Previous studies have shown that ultrasonography has high specificity (80%-100%) but low sensitivity (50%-70%) in diagnosing fatty liver; sensitivity is especially low for mild steatosis. In this study, we aimed to reappraise the diagnostic performance of B-mode ultrasonography (B-USG) for fatty liver disease. METHODS: We performed a retrospective, multinational, multicenter, cross-sectional, observational study (6 referral centers from 3 nations). We included 5,056 participants who underwent both B-USG and magnetic resonance proton density fat fraction (MRI-PDFF) within a 6-month period. The diagnostic performance of B-USG was compared with that of MRI-PDFF as a reference standard for fatty liver diagnosis, using sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values, diagnostic accuracy, and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). RESULTS: B-USG showed a sensitivity of 83.4%, specificity of 81.0%, and AUC of 0.822 in diagnosing mild liver steatosis (6.5% ≤MRI-PDFF ≤14%). The sensitivity, specificity, and AUC in diagnosing the presence of fatty liver disease (MRI-PDFF ≥6.5%) were 83.4%, 81.0%, and 0.822, respectively. The mean PDFF of B-USG-diagnosed nonfatty liver differed significantly from that of diagnosed mild liver steatosis (3.5% ± 2.8% vs 8.5% ± 5.0%, P < 0.001). The interinstitutional variability of B-USG in diagnosing fatty liver was similar in diagnostic accuracy among the 6 centers (range, 82.8%-88.6%, P = 0.416). DISCUSSION: B-USG was an effective, objective method to detect mild liver steatosis using MRI-PDFF as comparison, regardless of the etiologies and comorbidities.

Personalized Antiviral Drug Selection in Patients With Chronic Hepatitis B Using a Machine Learning Model: A Multinational Study.

INTRODUCTION: Tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) is reportedly superior or at least comparable to entecavir (ETV) for the prevention of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with chronic hepatitis B; however, it has distinct long-term renal and bone toxicities. This study aimed to develop and validate a machine learning model (designated as Prediction of Liver cancer using Artificial intelligence-driven model for Network-antiviral Selection for hepatitis B [PLAN-S]) to predict an individualized risk of HCC during ETV or TDF therapy. METHODS: This multinational study included 13,970 patients with chronic hepatitis B. The derivation (n = 6,790), Korean validation (n = 4,543), and Hong Kong-Taiwan validation cohorts (n = 2,637) were established. Patients were classified as the TDF-superior group when a PLAN-S-predicted HCC risk under ETV treatment is greater than under TDF treatment, and the others were defined as the TDF-nonsuperior group. RESULTS: The PLAN-S model was derived using 8 variables and generated a c-index between 0.67 and 0.78 for each cohort. The TDF-superior group included a higher proportion of male patients and patients with cirrhosis than the TDF-nonsuperior group. In the derivation, Korean validation, and Hong Kong-Taiwan validation cohorts, 65.3%, 63.5%, and 76.4% of patients were classified as the TDF-superior group, respectively. In the TDF-superior group of each cohort, TDF was associated with a significantly lower risk of HCC than ETV (hazard ratio = 0.60-0.73, all P < 0.05). In the TDF-nonsuperior group, however, there was no significant difference between the 2 drugs (hazard ratio = 1.16-1.29, all P > 0.1). DISCUSSION: Considering the individual HCC risk predicted by PLAN-S and the potential TDF-related toxicities, TDF and ETV treatment may be recommended for the TDF-superior and TDF-nonsuperior groups, respectively.

Current and future treatment for alcoholic-related liver diseases.

The socioeconomic burden of alcohol-related liver disease has been increasing worldwide. Its prevalence is underestimated, and patients with alcohol-related liver disease are rarely diagnosed in the earlier phase of the disease spectrum. Alcoholic hepatitis is a distinct syndrome with life-threatening signs of systemic inflammation. In severe alcoholic hepatitis, prednisolone is indicated as the first-line treatment even with the possibility of various complications. Early liver transplantation can be another option for highly selected patients with a null response to prednisolone. Most importantly, abstinence is the mainstay of long-term care, but relapse is frequent among patients. Recent findings on the pathogenesis of alcoholic hepatitis have enabled us to discover new therapeutic targets. Preventing hepatic inflammation, reducing oxidative stress, improving gut dysbiosis, and enhancing liver regeneration are the main targets of emerging therapies. Herein, we review the pathogenesis, current treatment, and barriers to successful clinical trials of alcoholic hepatitis. Additionally, clinical trials for alcoholic hepatitis, either ongoing or recently completed, will be briefly introduced.

Hepatic stellate cells activate and avoid death under necroptosis stimuli: Hepatic fibrosis during necroptosis.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Necroptosis is an emerging cell death pathway that allows cells to undergo "cellular suicide" in a caspase-independent manner. We investigated the fate of hepatic stellate cells (HSCs) under necroptotic stimuli. METHODS AND RESULTS: The RNA level of mixed lineage kinase domain-like protein (MLKL) is higher in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease than in healthy controls. Hepatic fibrosis was significantly lower in MLKL-KO bile duct ligation (KO-BDL) mice than in wild-type-BDL mice. Necroptotic stimuli caused the death of HT-29 and U937 cells. However, necroptotic stimuli activate HSCs instead of inducing cell death. MLKL inhibitors attenuated fibrogenic changes in HSCs during necroptosis. Unlike HT-29 and U937 cells, MLKL phosphorylation and oligomerization were not observed during necroptosis in HSCs. RNA sequencing showed that NF-κB signaling-related genes were upregulated in HSCs following necroptotic stimulation. Necroptotic stimuli in HSCs increased the nuclear expression of NF-κB, which decreased after MLKL inhibitor treatment. Induction of necroptosis in HSCs led to autophagosome activation and formation, which were attenuated by MLKL inhibitor treatment. CONCLUSION: HSCs avoid necroptosis due to the absence of MLKL phosphorylation and oligomerization and are activated through autophagosome and NF-κB pathways.

An artificial intelligence model to predict hepatocellular carcinoma risk in Korean and Caucasian patients with chronic hepatitis B.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Several models have recently been developed to predict risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). Our aims were to develop and validate an artificial intelligence-assisted prediction model of HCC risk. METHODS: Using a gradient-boosting machine (GBM) algorithm, a model was developed using 6,051 patients with CHB who received entecavir or tenofovir therapy from 4 hospitals in Korea. Two external validation cohorts were independently established: Korean (5,817 patients from 14 Korean centers) and Caucasian (1,640 from 11 Western centers) PAGE-B cohorts. The primary outcome was HCC development. RESULTS: In the derivation cohort and the 2 validation cohorts, cirrhosis was present in 26.9%-50.2% of patients at baseline. A model using 10 parameters at baseline was derived and showed good predictive performance (c-index 0.79). This model showed significantly better discrimination than previous models (PAGE-B, modified PAGE-B, REACH-B, and CU-HCC) in both the Korean (c-index 0.79 vs. 0.64-0.74; all p <0.001) and Caucasian validation cohorts (c-index 0.81 vs. 0.57-0.79; all p <0.05 except modified PAGE-B, p = 0.42). A calibration plot showed a satisfactory calibration function. When the patients were grouped into 4 risk groups, the minimal-risk group (11.2% of the Korean cohort and 8.8% of the Caucasian cohort) had a less than 0.5% risk of HCC during 8 years of follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: This GBM-based model provides the best predictive power for HCC risk in Korean and Caucasian patients with CHB treated with entecavir or tenofovir. LAY SUMMARY: Risk scores have been developed to predict the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with chronic hepatitis B. We developed and validated a new risk prediction model using machine learning algorithms in 13,508 antiviral-treated patients with chronic hepatitis B. Our new model, based on 10 common baseline characteristics, demonstrated superior performance in risk stratification compared with previous risk scores. This model also identified a group of patients at minimal risk of developing HCC, who could be indicated for less intensive HCC surveillance.

Switching from Tenofovir-Based Combination Therapy to Tenofovir Monotherapy in Multidrug-Experienced Chronic Hepatitis B Patients: a 5-Year Experience at Two Centers.

Patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) who were administered tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF)-based combination therapy after receiving multiple drugs are frequently switched to TDF monotherapy in South Korea. We evaluated the efficacy and safety of switching to TDF monotherapy from TDF-based combination therapy over 5 years. This was a retrospective study of multidrug-experienced CHB patients who switched from TDF-based combination therapy to TDF monotherapy after achieving a virologic response (VR; <20 IU/mL) at Konkuk University Hospital and Sanggye Paik Hospital. The biochemical response was defined as a normalized serum ALT level during follow-up. Each patient was assessed from the date of switching to TDF monotherapy to the date of the last follow-up over 5 years. A total of 39 patients who received at least one antiviral therapy before TDF-based combination therapy were analyzed. The median duration of VR before switching to TDF monotherapy was 18 months and the median duration of TDF monotherapy was 55 months. In this study, except for one patient who had poor compliance, all patients maintained a VR. Three patients had a temporarily increased HBV DNA level and 91.2% of the patients showed a biochemical response. Switching multidrug-experienced patients to TDF monotherapy is generally safe and effective.

Impact of HBeAg on Hepatocellular Carcinoma Risk During Oral Antiviral Treatment in Patients With Chronic Hepatitis B.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Antiviral treatment from hepatitis B envelope antigen (HBeAg)-positive status may attenuate the integration of hepatitis B virus DNA into the host genome causing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We investigated the impact of HBeAg status at the onset of antiviral treatment on the risk of HCC. METHODS: The incidence of HCC was evaluated in Korean patients with chronic hepatitis B who started entecavir or tenofovir in either HBeAg-positive or HBeAg-negative phase. The results in the Korean cohort were validated in a Caucasian PAGE-B cohort. RESULTS: A total of 9143 Korean patients (mean age, 49.2 years) were included: 49.1% were HBeAg-positive and 49.2% had cirrhosis. During follow-up (median, 5.1 years), 916 patients (10.0%) developed HCC. Baseline HBeAg positivity was not associated with the risk of HCC in the entire cohort or cirrhotic subcohort. However, in the non-cirrhotic subcohort, HBeAg positivity was independently associated with a lower risk of HCC in multivariable (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.41; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.26-0.66), propensity score-matching (aHR, 0.46; 95% CI, 0.28-0.76), and inverse probability weighting analyses (aHR, 0.44; 95% CI, 0.28-0.70). In the Caucasian cohort (n = 719; mean age, 51.8 years; HBeAg-positive, 20.3%; cirrhosis, 34.8%), HBeAg-positivity was not associated with the risk of HCC either in the entire cohort or cirrhotic subcohort. In the non-cirrhotic subcohort, none of the HBeAg-positive group developed HCC, although the difference failed to reach statistical significance (aHR, 0.21; 95% CI, 0.00-1.67). CONCLUSIONS: This multinational cohort study implies that HBeAg positivity at the onset of antiviral treatment seems to be an independent factor associated with a lower risk of HCC in patients with chronic hepatitis B without cirrhosis, but not in those with cirrhosis.

Progression Rates by Age, Sex, Treatment, and Disease Activity by AASLD and EASL Criteria: Data for Precision Medicine.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Antiviral treatment criteria are based on disease progression risk, and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance recommendations for patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) without cirrhosis is based on an annual incidence threshold of 0.2%. However, accurate and precise disease progression estimate data are limited. Thus, we aimed to determine rates of cirrhosis and HCC development stratified by age, sex, treatment status, and disease activity based on the 2018 American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases and 2017 European Association for the Study of the Liver guidelines. METHODS: We analyzed 18,338 patients (8914 treated, 9424 untreated) from 6 centers from the United States and 27 centers from Asia-Pacific countries. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to estimate annual progression rates to cirrhosis or HCC in person-years. RESULTS: The cohort was 63% male, with a mean age of 46.19 years, with baseline cirrhosis of 14.3% and median follow up of 9.60 years. By American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases criteria, depending on age, sex, and disease activity, annual incidence rates ranged from 0.07% to 3.94% for cirrhosis, from 0.04% to 2.19% for HCC in patients without cirrhosis, and from 0.40% to 8.83% for HCC in patients with cirrhosis. Several subgroups of patients without cirrhosis including males younger than 40 years of age and females younger than 50 years of age had annual HCC risk near or exceeding 0.2%. Similar results were found using European Association for the Study of the Liver criteria. CONCLUSION: There is great variability in CHB disease progression rates even among "lower-risk" populations. Future CHB modeling studies, public health planning, and HCC surveillance recommendation should be based on more precise disease progression rates based on sex, age, and disease activity, plus treatment status.

Prevalence of advanced hepatic fibrosis and comorbidity in metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease in Korea.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: There are several reports on the prevalence of metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD). However, the prevalence of advanced hepatic fibrosis in MAFLD is largely unknown. We aimed to evaluate the prevalence of advanced fibrosis in MAFLD. METHODS: A total of 6775 subjects from nationwide 13 health check-up centres were included in this cross-sectional study. Fatty liver was evaluated using ultrasonography. Significant (≥F2) and advanced (≥F3) hepatic fibrosis were defined by MRE thresholds of 3.0 kPa (range: 2.99-3.65 kPa) and 3.6 kPa (range: 3.4-3.9 kPa) respectively. The sex- and age-standardized prevalence of MAFLD and hepatic fibrosis was estimated. RESULTS: The sex- and age-standardized prevalence of MAFLD was 33.9%. The prevalence of obesity (BMI ≥25 kg/m2 ) in MAFLD was 71.1%, and 79.0% of obese subjects had MAFLD. The prevalence of diabetes in MAFLD was 13.3%, and 73.6% of subjects with diabetes had MAFLD. The sex- and age-standardized prevalence of significant (≥F2) and advanced hepatic fibrosis (≥F3) amongst MAFLD was 9.7% (range: 3.0-9.8%) and 3.0% (range: 2.6-4.6%) respectively. The prevalence of advanced hepatic fibrosis in overweight/obese (group I), lean (group II) and diabetic (group III) MAFLD was 2.3%, 3.1% and 9.5% respectively. CONCLUSION: The sex- and age-standardized prevalence of advanced fibrosis was 3.0% (range: 2.6-4.6%) in subjects with MAFLD.