Development and validation of clinical-radiomics analysis for preoperative prediction of IDH mutation status and WHO grade in diffuse gliomas: a consecutive L-[methyl-11C] methionine cohort study with two PET scanners.

PURPOSE: Determination of isocitrate dehydrogenase (IDH) genotype is crucial in the stratification of diagnosis and prognostication in diffuse gliomas. We sought to build and validate radiomics models and clinical features incorporated nomogram for preoperative prediction of IDH mutation status and WHO grade of diffuse gliomas with L-[methyl-11C] methionine ([11C]MET) PET/CT imaging according to the 2016 WHO classification of tumors of the central nervous system. METHODS: Consecutive 178 preoperative [11C]MET PET/CT images were retrospectively studied for radiomics analysis. One hundred six patients from PET scanner 1 were used as training dataset, and 72 patients from PET scanner 2 were used for validation dataset. [11C]MET PET and integrated CT radiomics features were extracted, respectively; three independent predictive models were built based on PET features, CT features, and combined PET/CT features, respectively. The SelectKBest method, Spearman correlation analysis, Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regression, and machine learning algorithms were applied for feature selection and model building. After filtering the satisfactory predictive model, key clinical features were incorporated for the nomogram establishment. RESULTS: The combined [11C]MET PET/CT radiomics model, which consisted of four PET features and eight integrated CT features, was significantly associated with IDH genotype (p < 0.0001 for both training and validation datasets). Nomogram based on the [11C]MET PET/CT radiomics score, patients' age, and dichotomous tumor location status showed satisfactory discrimination capacity, and the AUC was 0.880 (95% CI, 0.726-0.998) in the training dataset and 0.866 (95% CI, 0.777-0.956) in the validation dataset. In IDH stratified WHO grade prediction, the final radiomics model consists of four PET features and two CT features had reasonable and stable differential efficacy of WHO grade II and III patients from grade IV patients in IDH-wildtype patients, and the AUC was 0.820 (95% CI, 0.541-1.000) in the training dataset and 0.766 (95% CI, 0.612-0.921) in the validation dataset. CONCLUSION: [11C]MET PET radiomics features could benefit non-invasive IDH genotype prediction, and integrated CT radiomics features could enhance the efficacy. Radiomics and clinical features incorporation could establish satisfactory nomogram for clinical application. This non-invasive predictive investigation based on our consecutive cohort from two PET scanners could provide the perspective to observe the differential efficacy and the stability of radiomics-based investigation in untreated diffuse gliomas.

A smartwatch sphygmomanometer-based model for predicting short-term new-onset hypertension in individuals with high-normal blood pressure: a cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: The objective was to utilize a smartwatch sphygmomanometer to predict new-onset hypertension within a short-term follow-up among individuals with high-normal blood pressure (HNBP). METHODS: This study consisted of 3180 participants in the training set and 1000 participants in the validation set. Participants underwent both ambulatory blood pressure monitoring (ABPM) and home blood pressure monitoring (HBPM) using a smartwatch sphygmomanometer. Multivariable Cox regressions were used to analyze cumulative events. A nomogram was constructed to predict new-onset hypertension. Discrimination and calibration were assessed using the C-index and calibration curve, respectively. RESULTS: Among the 3180 individuals with HNBP in the training set, 693 (21.8%) developed new-onset hypertension within a 6-month period. The nomogram for predicting new-onset hypertension had a C-index of 0.854 (95% CI, 0.843-0.867). The calibration curve demonstrated good agreement between the nomogram's predicted probabilities and actual observations for short-term new-onset hypertension. In the validate dataset, during the 6-month follow-up, the nomogram had a good C-index of 0.917 (95% CI, 0.904-0.930) and a good calibration curve. As the score increased, the risk of new-onset hypertension significantly increased, with an HR of 8.415 (95% CI: 5.153-13.744, p = .000) for the middle-score vs. low-score groups and 86.824 (95% CI: 55.071-136.885, p = .000) for the high-score vs. low-score group. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides evidence for the use of smartwatch sphygmomanometer to monitor blood pressure in individuals at high risk of developing new-onset hypertension in the near future. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ChiCTR2200057354.

Use of Bevacizumab in recurrent glioblastoma: a scoping review and evidence map.

BACKGROUND: Glioblastoma (GBM) is the most malignant primary tumor in the brain, with poor prognosis and limited effective therapies. Although Bevacizumab (BEV) has shown promise in extending progression-free survival (PFS) treating GBM, there is no evidence for its ability to prolong overall survival (OS). Given the uncertainty surrounding BEV treatment strategies, we aimed to provide an evidence map associated with BEV therapy for recurrent GBM (rGBM). METHODS: PubMed, Embase, and the Cochrane Library were searched for the period from January 1, 1970, to March 1, 2022, for studies reporting the prognoses of patients with rGBM receiving BEV. The primary endpoints were overall survival (OS) and quality of life (QoL). The secondary endpoints were PFS, steroid use reduction, and risk of adverse effects. A scoping review and an evidence map were conducted to explore the optimal BEV treatment (including combination regimen, dosage, and window of opportunity). RESULTS: Patients with rGBM could gain benefits in PFS, palliative, and cognitive advantages from BEV treatment, although the OS benefits could not be verified with high-quality evidence. Furthermore, BEV combined therapy (especially with lomustine and radiotherapy) showed higher efficacy than BEV monotherapy in the survival of patients with rGBM. Specific molecular alterations (IDH mutation status) and clinical features (large tumor burden and double-positive sign) could predict better responses to BEV administration. A low dosage of BEV showed equal efficacy to the recommended dose, but the optimal opportunity window for BEV administration remains unclear. CONCLUSIONS: Although OS benefits from BEV-containing regimens could not be verified in this scoping review, the PFS benefits and side effects control supported BEV application in rGBM. Combining BEV with novel treatments like tumor-treating field (TTF) and administration at first recurrence may optimize the therapeutic efficacy. rGBM with a low apparent diffusion coefficient (ADCL), large tumor burden, or IDH mutation is more likely to benefit from BEV treatment. High-quality studies are warranted to explore the combination modality and identify BEV-response subpopulations to maximize benefits.

Can Virtual Reality-Assisted Therapy Offer Additional Benefits to Patients With Vestibular Disorders Compared With Conventional Vestibular Physical Therapy? A Meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether virtual reality-assisted therapy (VRAT) significantly improves the treatment of peripheral or central vestibular disorders when compared with conventional vestibular physical therapy (CVPT) alone. Indicators of vestibular symptoms are used to determine this. DATA SOURCES: Two reviewers independently searched PubMed, EMBASE, ClinicalTrials.gov, Web of Science, and the Cochrane Collaboration database from January 2010 to January 2022 for studies reporting on VRAT in vestibular disorders. STUDY SELECTION: Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) were included that mainly focused on the following measures: the Dizziness Handicap Inventory (DHI), Simulator Sickness Questionnaire, visual analog scale, and balance measures such as the Activities-specific Balance Confidence Scale (ABC), timed Up and Go test, sensory organization test, and center of pressure. The primary outcome was assessment of symptomatic changes before and after VRAT. DATA EXTRACTION: Two authors independently conducted the literature search and selection. After screening, meta-analysis was performed on the RCTs using RevMan 5.3 software. DATA SYNTHESIS: The results showed that VRAT produced significantly greater improvement than CVPT alone in scores of DHI-Total (standardized mean difference [SMD]: -7.09, 95% confidence interval [CI]: [-12.17, -2.00], P=.006), DHI-Functional (SMD=-3.66, 95% CI: [-6.34, -0.98], P=.007), DHI-Physical (SMD=-3.14, 95% CI: [-5.46, -0.83], P=.008), and DHI-Emotional (SMD=-3.10, 95% CI: [-5.13, -1.08], P=.003). ABC scores did not show improvement (SMD: 0.58, 95% CI: [-3.69, 4.85], P=.79). Subgroup analysis showed that DHI-Total between-group differences were insignificant for central vestibular disorders (SMD=-1.47, 95% CI: [-8.71, -5.78], P=.69), although peripheral disorders showed significant improvements (SMD=-9.58, 95% CI: [-13.92, -5.25], P<.0001). However, the included studies showed high heterogeneity (I2>75%). CONCLUSIONS: VRAT may offer additional benefits for rehabilitation from vestibular diseases, especially peripheral disorders, when compared with CVPT alone. However, because of high heterogeneity and limited data, additional studies with a larger sample size and more sensitive and specific measurements are required to conclusively determine the evidence-based utility of virtual reality.

Increased serum IL-2, IL-4, IL-5 and IL-12p70 levels in AChR subtype generalized myasthenia gravis.

BACKGROUND: Myasthenia gravis (MG) is an autoimmune disorder affecting neuromuscular junctions. Cytokines play important roles in facilitating the immune response and augmenting the pathogenic antibody production. The current study aims to sensitively characterize the serum levels of cytokines with very low concentration in generalized MG (gMG). METHODS: Using ultrasensitive single-molecule arrays (SIMOA), we measured serum IL-2, IL-4, IL-5 and IL-12p70 in 228 participants including 152 immunotherapy-naïve anti-acetylcholine receptor (AChR) subtype gMG from Huashan MG registry and 76 age-matched healthy controls. Subgroup analysis was then performed by stratifying patients according to the onset ages, MGFA classification, disease duration at baseline. RESULTS: Serum IL-2, IL-4, IL-5 and IL-12p70 levels were significantly elevated in gMG compared to controls (0.179 pg/mL versus 0.011 pg/mL, P < 0.0001; 0.029 pg/mL versus 0.018 pg/mL, P = 0.0259; 0.215 pg/mL versus 0.143 pg/mL, P = 0.0007; 0.132 pg/mL versus 0.118 pg/mL, P = 0.0401). Subgroup analysis revealed that IL-2 levels were slightly elevated in gMG with MGFA II compared to MGFA III/IV (0.195 pg/mL versus 0.160 pg/mL, P = 0.022), as well as elevated levels of IL-2 (0.220 pg/mL versus 0.159 pg/mL, P = 0.0002) and IL-5 (0.251 pg/mL versus 0.181 pg/mL, P = 0.004) in late-onset gMG compared with the early-onset gMG. gMG patients with a long duration had a significant increased serum IL-12p70 than those with a short duration (0.163 pg/mL versus 0.120 pg/mL, P = 0.011). CONCLUSION: Serum IL-2, IL-4, IL-5 and IL-12p70 levels were increased in AChR subtype gMG using ultrasensitive measurement. Serum cytokines with very low concentrations may provide as potential biomarkers in stratifying gMG patients in future prospective cohort studies.

Plasma exchange versus intravenous immunoglobulin in AChR subtype myasthenic crisis: A prospective cohort study.

Myasthenic crisis (MC) is a life-threatening state with respiratory failure in patients with myasthenia gravis (MG). The fast-acting immunomodulatory therapies for treating MC included plasma exchange (PE) and intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG). However, the efficacy and the impact on antibody changes remained unknown. We prospectively followed 40 anti-acetylcholine receptors (AChR) antibody-positive MC patients who received either PE (n = 12) or IVIG (n = 28) at crisis. PE was associated with a reduced ICU stay length (p = 0.018) and an early response by the average changes in MGFA-QMG (p = 0.003), MMT (p = 0.020), and ADL (p = 0.011) at one-week off-ventilation. However, the clinical efficacy was equally comparable in both groups after 1 month. Post-treatment hemoglobin drop was significant in both groups, while IVIG was associated with a significant reduction in anti-AChR antibody titers (p < 0.001). This analysis provides real-world evidence in supporting the use of PE as a fast-acting therapy for shortening the ICU stay in AChR-associated MC.

Nomogram for short-term outcome assessment in AChR subtype generalized myasthenia gravis.

BACKGROUND: An accurate prediction for prognosis can help in guiding the therapeutic options and optimizing the trial design for generalized myasthenia gravis (gMG). We aimed to develop and validate a predictive nomogram to assess the short-term outcome in patients with the anti-acetylcholine receptor (AChR) subtype gMG. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed 165 patients with AChR subtype gMG who were immunotherapy naïve at the first visit from five tertiary centers in China. The short-term clinical outcome is defined as the achievement of minimal symptom expression (MSE) at 12 months. Of them, 120 gMG patients from Huashan Hospital were enrolled to form a derivation cohort (n = 96) and a temporal validation cohort (n = 24) for the nomogram. Then, this nomogram was externally validated using 45 immunotherapy naïve AChR subtype gMG from the other four hospitals. Multivariate logistic regression was used to screen independent factors and construct the nomogram. RESULTS: MSE was achieved in 70 (72.9%), 20 (83.3%), and 33 (73.3%) patients in the training, temporal validation, and external validation cohort, respectively. The duration ≤ 12 months (p = 0.021), ocular score ≤ 2 (p = 0.006), QMG score > 13 (p = 0.008), and gross motor score ≤ 9 (p = 0.006) were statistically associated with MSE in AChR subtype gMG. The nomogram has good performance in predicting MSE as the concordance indexes are 0.81 (95% CI, 0.72-0.90) in the development cohort, 0.944 (95% CI, 0.83-1.00) in the temporal validation cohort, and 0.773 (95% CI, 0.63-0.92) in the external validation cohort. CONCLUSION: The nomogram achieved an optimal prediction of MSE in AChR subtype gMG patients using the baseline clinical characters.

A nomogram for individualized prediction of overall survival in patients with newly diagnosed glioblastoma: a real-world retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to identify the most valuable predictors of prognosis in glioblastoma (GBM) patients and develop and validate a nomogram to estimate individualized survival probability. METHODS: We conducted a real-world retrospective cohort study of 987 GBM patients diagnosed between September 2010 and December 2018. Computer generated random numbers were used to assign patients into a training cohort (694 patients) and internal validation cohort (293 patients). A least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO)-Cox model was used to select candidate variables for the prediction model. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to estimate overall survival. Models were internally validated using the bootstrap method and generated individualized predicted survival probabilities at 6, 12, and 24 months, which were compared with actual survival. RESULTS: The final nomogram was developed using the Cox proportional hazards model, which was the model with best fit and calibration. Gender, age at surgery, extent of tumor resection, radiotherapy, chemotherapy, and IDH1 mutation status were used as variables. The concordance indices for 6-, 12-, 18-, and 24-month survival probabilities were 0.776, 0.677, 0.643, and 0.629 in the training set, and 0.725, 0.695, 0.652, and 0.634 in the validation set, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Our nomogram that assesses individualized survival probabilities (6-, 12-, and 24-month) in newly diagnosed GBM patients can assist healthcare providers in optimizing treatment and counseling patients. TRIAL REGISTRATION: retrospectively registered.

The Impact of Radiotherapy on Reoperation Rates in Patients Undergoing Mastectomy and Breast Reconstruction.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to determine the impact of postmastectomy radiotherapy (PMRT) on reoperation rates in women with breast cancer undergoing mastectomy and breast reconstruction. METHODS: Between June 2001 and December 2015, 832 breast cancer patients treated with mastectomy and breast reconstruction with (n = 159) or without (n = 673) PMRT were analyzed retrospectively. Reoperations following breast reconstruction were categorized into the following three types: anticipated, unanticipated, and others. Multivariable logistic regression models were used to evaluate the impact of PMRT on overall and unanticipated reoperations according to different breast reconstruction types after adjusting for relevant covariates. RESULTS: With a median follow-up of 58.5 months, a total of 1298 operations were performed in 832 breast cancer patients. The rates of overall and unanticipated reoperations were 46.2% and 7.7%, respectively. Multivariable analysis showed that PMRT was not associated with overall reoperations in either implant-based reconstruction patients (odds ratio [OR] 1.00, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.43-2.37, p = 0.995) or autologous reconstruction patients (OR 0.85, 95% CI 0.52-1.40, p = 0.533); however, the impact of PMRT on unanticipated reoperations differed by reconstruction type. In patients who received implant-based reconstructions, PMRT was associated with a 3.05-fold (95% CI 1.20-7.75, p = 0.019) higher odds of unanticipated reoperations, while there was no difference in patients who underwent autologous reconstruction (OR 1.17, 95% CI 0.51-2.66, p = 0.713). Delayed reconstruction or delayed-immediate reconstructions were associated with an increased risk of both overall and unanticipated reoperations in both reconstruction cohorts. CONCLUSIONS: PMRT appears to be associated with an increased risk of unanticipated reoperations among patients receiving implant-based reconstruction, but not among those receiving autologous reconstruction. The risk of reoperation should be taken into consideration when selecting the appropriate breast reconstruction type when PMRT is planned.

Genetic epidemiology of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Genetic studies have shown that C9orf72, SOD1, TARDBP and FUS are the most common mutated genes in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS). Here, we performed a meta-analysis to determine the mutation frequencies of these major ALS-related genes in patients with ALS. METHODS: We performed an extensive literature research to identify all original articles reporting frequencies of C9orf72, SOD1, TARDBP and FUS mutations in ALS. The mutation frequency and effect size of each study were combined. Possible sources of heterogeneity across studies were determined by meta-regression, sensitivity analysis and subgroup analysis. RESULTS: 111 studies were included in the meta-analysis. The overall pooled mutation frequencies of these major ALS-related genes were 47.7% in familial amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (FALS) and 5.2% in sporadic ALS (SALS). A significant difference was identified regarding the frequencies of mutations in major ALS genes between European and Asian patients. In European populations, the most common mutations were the C9orf72 repeat expansions (FALS 33.7%, SALS 5.1%), followed by SOD1 (FALS 14.8%, SALS 1.2%), TARDBP (FALS 4.2%, SALS 0.8%) and FUS mutations (FALS 2.8%, SALS 0.3%), while in Asian populations the most common mutations were SOD1 mutations (FALS 30.0%, SALS 1.5%), followed by FUS (FALS 6.4%, SALS 0.9%), C9orf72 (FALS 2.3%, SALS 0.3%) and TARDBP (FALS 1.5%, SALS 0.2%) mutations. CONCLUSIONS: These findings demonstrated that the genetic architecture of ALS in Asian populations is distinct from that in European populations, which need to be given appropriate consideration when performing genetic testing of patients with ALS.

Narrow-band imaging in the diagnosis of deep submucosal colorectal cancers: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Background and aims Magnifying endoscopy with narrow-band imaging (M-NBI) has been widely used in the differential diagnosis of deep submucosal colorectal cancers (dSMCs) from superficial submucosal cancers (sSMCs) and intramucosal neoplasms. We aimed to pool the diagnostic efficacy of M-NBI and compare it with that of magnifying chromoendoscopy (M-CE) in diagnosing colorectal dSMC. Methods PubMed, EMBASE, and the Cochrane Library were searched to identify eligible studies. Meeting abstracts were also searched. A bivariate mixed-effects binary regression model was used in the meta-analysis to calculate the pooled diagnostic efficacy of M-NBI and compare it with that of M-CE in the diagnosis of dSMC. Subgroup analyses and meta-regression were conducted to explore sources of heterogeneity. Results We included 17 studies: 14 full texts and 3 meeting abstracts. The pooled sensitivity, specificity, and area under the summary receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) with 95 % confidence intervals (CIs) in diagnosing dSMC were 74 % (66 % - 81 %; I2 = 84.6 %), 98 % (94 % - 99 %; I2 = 94.4 %), and 0.91 (0.88 - 0.93), respectively, for M-NBI. The pooled sensitivity, specificity and AUC (95 %CI) were 84 % (76 % - 89 %; I2 = 76.9 %), 97 % (94 % - 99 %; I2 = 90.2 %), and 0.97 (0.95 - 0.98), respectively, for M-CE. M-NBI had lower sensitivity (P < 0.01) than M-CE with similar specificity (P = 0.32). Subgroup analyses and meta-regression indicated that endoscopic diagnostic criteria, study type, endoscope type, risk of index test bias, and histopathological diagnostic criteria might be the sources of heterogeneity. Conclusions M-NBI and M-CE had comparable specificities in diagnosing dSMC, but the sensitivity of M-NBI was slightly lower than that of M-CE.

The Chk1 inhibitor MK-8776 increases the radiosensitivity of human triple-negative breast cancer by inhibiting autophagy.

MK-8776 is a recently described inhibitor that is highly selective for checkpoint kinase 1 (Chk1), which can weaken the DNA repair capacity in cancer cells to achieve chemo-sensitization. A number of studies show that MK-8776 enhances the cytotoxicity of hydroxyurea and gemcitabine without increasing normal tissue toxicities. Thus far, there is no evidence that MK-8776 can be used as a radiotherapy sensitization agent. In this study, we investigated the effects of MK-8776 on the radiosensitivity of 3 human triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) cell lines MDA-MB-231, BT-549 and CAL-51. MK-8776 dose-dependently inhibited the proliferation of MDA-MB-231, BT-549 and CAL-51 cells with IC50 values of 9.4, 17.6 and 2.1 µmol/L, respectively. Compared with irradiation-alone treatment, pretreatment with a low dose of MK-8776 (100-400 nmol/L) significantly increased irradiation-induced γH2A.X foci in the 3 TNBC cell lines, suggesting enhanced DNA damage by MK-8776, inhibited the cell proliferation and increased the radiosensitivity of the 3 TNBC cell lines. Similar results were obtained in MDA-MB-231 xenograft tumors in nude mice that received MK-8776 (15 or 40 mg/kg, ip) 26 d after irradiation. To explore the mechanisms underlying the radio-sensitization by MK-8776, we used TEM and found that irradiation significantly increased the numbers of autophagosomes in the 3 TNBC cell lines. Moreover, irradiation markedly elevated the levels of Atg5, and promoted the transformation of LC3-I to LC3-II in the cells. Pretreatment with the low dose of MK-8776 suppressed these effects. The above results suggest that MK-8776 increases human TNBC radiosensitivity by inhibiting irradiation-induced autophagy and that MK-8776 may be a potential agent in the radiosensitization of human TNBC.

Estrogen Receptor Mediates the Radiosensitivity of Triple-Negative Breast Cancer Cells.

BACKGROUND This study aimed to evaluate differences in the radiosensitivities of triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) and luminal-type breast cancer cells and to investigate the effects of estrogen receptor (ER) expression on the biological behaviors of the cells. MATERIAL AND METHODS Colony-forming assays were performed to detect differences in radiosensitivities in breast cancer cell lines. Gene transfection technology was used to introduce the expression of ERα in TNBC cells to compare the difference in radiosensitivity between the TNBC cells and ERα transfected cells. CCK-8 assays were used to observe changes in the proliferation of TNBC cells after ERα transfection. Immunofluorescence was used to detect the number of γH2AX foci in nuclei. Flow cytometry was used to detect changes in cell cycle distribution and apoptosis. Western blotting was used to detect changes in autophagy-associated proteins. RESULTS The radioresistance of the TNBC cell line MDA-MB-231 (231 cells) was greater than that of ERα-positive luminal-type breast cancer cell line MCF-7. Moreover, 231 cell proliferation and radioresistance decreased after ERα transfection. Interestingly, ERα-transfected 231 cells showed increased double-stranded breaks and delayed repair compared with 231 cells, and ERα-transfected 231 cells showed increased G2/M phase arrest and apoptosis after irradiation compared with those in 231 cells. ERα transfection in 231 cells reduced autophagy-related protein expression, suggesting that autophagy activity decreased in 231 ER-positive cells after irradiation. CONCLUSIONS TNBC cells were more resistant to radiation than luminal-type breast cancer cells. ERα expression may have major roles in modulating breast cancer cell radiosensitivity.

Is single-operator peroral cholangioscopy a useful tool for the diagnosis of indeterminate biliary lesion? A systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Differentiating between malignant and benign biliary lesions is critical in clinical practice but is difficult. OBJECTIVE: To systematically evaluate the diagnostic performance of single-operator peroral cholangioscopy on indeterminate biliary lesions. DESIGN: A systematic review and meta-analysis. PATIENTS: Patients with indeterminate biliary lesions or equivocal ERCP findings. MAIN OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS: The diagnostic performance of single-operator peroral cholangioscopy on indeterminate biliary lesions. The area under the summary receiver-operating characteristic curve was used as the main indicator for the overall diagnostic performance of single-operator peroral cholangioscopy visual impression (VI) and SpyBite biopsy (SB). The sensitivity, specificity, positive likelihood ratio, and negative likelihood ratio were also synthesized. RESULTS: A total of 8 studies met the inclusion criteria, involving 335 patients who had data on VI and 337 who had data on SB. The area under the curve values on the summary receiver-operating characteristic curve of single-operator peroral cholangioscopy VI and SB were 0.94 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.92-0.96) and 0.93 (95% CI, 0.90-0.95) respectively. The combined sensitivity, specificity, positive likelihood ratio, and negative likelihood ratio were 90% (95% CI, 73%-97%), 87% (95% CI, 76%-94%), 7.1 (95% CI, 3.8-13.3), 0.12 (95% CI, 0.04-0.33) for VI and 69% (95% CI, 57%-79%), 98% (95% CI, 92%-99%), 30.1 (95% CI, 8.5-106.9), and 0.32 (95% CI, 0.23-0.44) for SB, respectively. LIMITATIONS: Small number of included studies; comparison with ERCP could not be made. CONCLUSION: Single-operator peroral cholangioscopy is a good tool for differentiating malignant and benign biliary lesions. VI is useful for detecting malignant lesion, whereas SB is better at confirming a malignant diagnosis, but VI is not perfect in excluding biliary cancer, nor is SB, and their negative results should be interpreted with caution.

Prognostic Factors for Recurrent Glioma: A Population-Based Analysis.

Background: The overall survival (OS) for patients with recurrent glioma is meager. Also, the effect of radionecrosis and prognostic factors for recurrent glioma remains controversial. In this regard, developing effective predictive models and guiding clinical care is crucial for these patients. Methods: We screened patients with recurrent glioma after radiotherapy and those who received surgery between August 1, 2013, and December 31, 2020. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses determined the independent prognostic factors affecting the prognosis of recurrent glioma. Moreover, nomograms were constructed to predict recurrent glioma risk and prognosis. Statistical methods were used to determine the prediction accuracy and discriminability of the nomogram prediction model based on the area under the curve (AUC), the C-index, the decision curve analysis (DCA), and the calibration curve. In order to distinguish high-risk and low-risk groups for OS, the X-Tile and Kaplan-Meier (K-M) survival curves were employed, and the nomogram prediction model was further validated by the X-Tile and K-M survival curves. Results: According to a Cox regression analysis, independent prognostic factors of recurrent glioma after radiotherapy with radionecrosis were World Health Organization (WHO) grade and gliosis percentage. We utilized a nomogram prediction model to analyze results visually. The C-index was 0.682 (95% CI: 0.616-0.748). According to receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, calibration plots, and DCA, the nomogram prediction model was found to have a high-performance ability, and all patients were divided into low-risk and high-risk groups based on OS (P < .001). Conclusion: WHO grade and gliosis percentage are prognostic factors for recurrent glioma with radionecrosis, and a nomogram prediction model was established based on these two variables. Patients could be divided into high- and low-risk groups with different OS by this model, and it will provide individualized clinical decisions for future treatment.

Development and Validation of Prognostic Models for Bleeding and Ischemia in Elderly Patients With Comorbid Acute Coronary Syndrome and Atrial Fibrillation.

BACKGROUND: Acute coronary syndrome and atrial fibrillation are common cardiovascular diseases in elderly individuals. Patients with comorbidities face increased risks of bleeding and ischemia; however, there is a lack of prognostic models for quantifying these risks in this special population. METHODS AND RESULTS: In this retrospective cohort study, 1851 patients (≥65 years old) with acute coronary syndrome and atrial fibrillation from 2 hospitals in China were included in the development cohort (1252 individuals) and 2 external validation cohorts (284 and 315 individuals). During 1-year follow-up, 96 Bleeding Academic Research Consortium type 3 or 5 bleeding events and 245 thromboembolic events were observed. In the development cohort, the concordance indexes for bleeding at 3, 6, and 12 mo ranged from 0.737 to 0.845 and for ischemia ranged from 0.723 to 0.777. The calibration curve and decision curve analysis indicated adequate calibration and clinical practicability. The concordance indexes varied from 0.679 to 0.809 in the validation cohorts. Subgroup analyses focusing on anticoagulant drugs and antithrombotic therapy were conducted, revealing similar discrimination and calibration. Kaplan-Meier curves demonstrated significant differences (log-rank P<0.001). Additionally, the models outperformed conventional models in concordance indexes, integrated discrimination improvement, and net reclassification improvement. CONCLUSIONS: Our study provides 2 robust prognostic models with easily available clinical factors for predicting bleeding and ischemia in elderly patients with acute coronary syndrome and atrial fibrillation. Furthermore, we provide online calculators to facilitate individualized risk evaluation and clinical decision-making. REGISTRATION: URL: www.chictr.org.cn/. Unique Identifier: ChiCTR2200067185.

A Prognostic Model Based on Nutritional Indexes for Patients With Pan-Cancer: A Real-World Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: The aim was to identify the nutritional indexes, construct a prognostic model, and develop a nomogram for predicting individual survival probability in pan-cancers. METHODS: Nutritional indicators, clinicopathological characteristics, and previous major treatment details of the patients were collected. The enrolled patients were randomly divided into training and validation cohorts. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (Lasso) regression cross-validation was used to determine the variables to include in the cox regression model. The training cohort was used to build the prediction model, and the validation cohort was used to further verify the discrimination, calibration, and clinical effectiveness of the model. RESULTS: A total of 2020 patients were included. The median OS was 56.50 months (95% CI, 50.36-62.65 months). In the training cohort of 1425 patients, through Lasso regression cross-validation, 13 characteristics were included in the model. Cox proportional hazards model was developed and visualized as a nomogram. The C-indexes of the model for predicting 1-, 3-, 5-, and 10-year OS were 0.848, 0.826, 0.814, and 0.799 in the training cohort and 0.851, 0.819, 0.814, and 0.801 in the validation cohort. The model showed great calibration in the two cohorts. Patients with a score of less than 274.29 had a better prognosis (training cohort: HR, 6.932; 95% CI, 5.723-8.397; log-rank p < 0.001; validation cohort: HR, 8.429; 95% CI, 6.180-11.497; log-rank p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: The prognostic model based on the nutritional indexes of pan-cancer can divide patients into different survival risk groups and performed well in the validation cohort.

Antiseizure medications for idiopathic generalized epilepsies: a systematic review and network meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVES: To compare the efficacy and safety of antiseizure medications (ASMs), both as monotherapies and adjunctive therapies, for idiopathic generalized epilepsies (IGEs) and related entities. METHODS: Two reviewers independently searched PubMed, Embase, and the Cochrane Library for relevant randomized controlled trials from December 2022 to February 2023. Studies on the efficacy and safety of ASM monotherapies or adjunctive therapies for IGEs and related entities-including juvenile myoclonic epilepsy, childhood absence epilepsy (CAE), juvenile absence epilepsy, or generalized tonic-clonic seizures alone (GTCA)-were included. Efficacy outcomes were the proportions of patients remaining seizure free for 1, 3, 6, and 12 months; safety outcomes were the proportions of any treatment-emergent adverse event (TEAE) and TEAEs leading to discontinuation. Network meta-analyses were performed in a random-effects model to obtain odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals. Rankings of ASMs were based on the surface under the cumulative ranking curve (SUCRA). This study is registered with PROSPERO (No. CRD42022372358). RESULTS: Twenty-eight randomized controlled trials containing 4282 patients were included. As monotherapies, all ASMs were more effective than placebo, and valproate and ethosuximide were significantly better than lamotrigine. According to the SUCRA for efficacy, ethosuximide ranked first for CAE, whereas valproate ranked first for other types of IGEs. As adjunctive therapies, topiramate ranked best for GTCA as well as overall for IGEs, while levetiracetam ranked best for myoclonic seizures. For safety, perampanel ranked best (measured by any TEAE). CONCLUSIONS: All of the studied ASMs were more effective than placebo. Valproate monotherapy ranked best overall for IGEs, whereas ethosuximide ranked best for CAE. Adjunctive topiramate and levetiracetam were most effective for GTCA and myoclonic seizures, respectively. Furthermore, perampanel had the best tolerability.

Prognostic Factors of Gliosarcoma in the Real World: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

Purpose: Gliosarcoma is a histopathological variant of glioblastoma, which is characterized by a biphasic growth pattern consisting of glial and sarcoma components. Owing to its scarcity, data regarding the impact of available treatments on the clinical outcomes of gliosarcoma are inadequate. The purpose of this retrospective cohort study was to analyze the prognostic factors of gliosarcoma. Methods: By screening the clinical database of neurosurgical cases at a single center, patients with gliosarcoma diagnosed histologically from 2013 to 2021 were identified. Clinical, pathological, and molecular data were gathered founded on medical records and follow-up interviews. Prognostic factors were derived using the Cox proportional hazards model with backward stepwise regression analysis. Results: Forty-five GSM patients were included. Median overall survival was 25.6 months (95% CI 8.0-43.1), and median relapse-free survival was 15.2 months (95% CI 9.7-20.8). In multivariable analysis, total resection (p = 0.023, HR = 0.192, 95% CI 0.046-0.797) indicated an improved prognosis. And low expression of Ki-67 (p = 0.059, HR = 2.803, 95% CI 0.963-8.162) would be likely to show statistical significance. However, there might be no statistically significant survival benefit from radiotherapy with concurrent temozolomide (n = 33, 73.3%, log-rank p = 0.99) or adjuvant temozolomide (n = 32, 71.1%, log-rank p = 0.74). Conclusion: This single-center retrospective study with a limited cohort size has demonstrated the treatment of gross total resection and low expression of Ki-67 which are beneficial for patients with GSM, while radiotherapy or temozolomide is not.

Causal relationships between mood instability and autoimmune diseases: A mendelian randomization analysis.

OBJECTIVES: The interrelationship between mental health and autoimmunity gains more and more attention in recent years. However, the causality between personality traits and autoimmune diseases remained largely unknown. METHODS: We first conducted two-sample mendelian randomization (MR) analysis on the relationships between mood instability, which is a common personality trait in the general population, and 10 autoimmune diseases. The results were further validated in secondary analyses of sensitivity where different MR methods, ethnicities, genders, and ascertainment methods were compared. RESULTS: In the primary analyses, three autoimmune diseases showed genetical predisposition to mood instability: asthma (OR [95%CI] = 3.45 [2.48, 4.78], P = 1.33E- 13), hypothyroidism (OR [95%CI] = 1.02 [1.00, 1.03], P = 1.71E-02), and systemic lupus erythematosus (OR [95%CI] = 5.25 [1.21, 22.76], P = 2.67E-02). The results were consistent in subsequent secondary analyses. Three diseases remained significantly correlated with mood instability by different MR methods with asthma remaining significant in Finnish and mixed populations, and in females from the UK biobank, while hypothyroidism remained significant in both genders from the UK biobank. CONCLUSION: Mood instability is a modifiable risk factor for three autoimmune diseases including asthma, hypothyroidism and systemic lupus erythematosus.