Clinical presentations and outcomes of HIV-1 and HIV-2 among infected children in Guinea-Bissau: a nationwide study.

OBJECTIVES: Disease progression, loss to follow-up, and mortality of HIV-2 compared with HIV-1 in children is not well understood. This is the first nationwide study reporting outcomes in children with the two HIV types in Guinea-Bissau. STUDY DESIGN: Nationwide retrospective follow-up study. METHODS: This is a retrospective follow-up study among HIV-infected children <15 years at nine ART centers from 2006 to 2021. Baseline parameters and disease outcomes for children with HIV-2 and HIV-1 were compared. RESULTS: The annual number of children diagnosed with HIV peaked in 2017. HIV-2 (n = 64) and HIV-1 (n = 1945) infected children were different concerning baseline median age (6.5 vs 3.1 years, P < 0.01), but had similar levels of severe immunodeficiency (P = 0.58) and severe anemia (P = 0.26). Within the first year of follow-up, 36.3% were lost, 5.9% died, 2.7% had transferred clinic, and 55.2% remained for follow-up. Mortality (HR = 1.05 95% CI: 0.53-2.08 for HIV-2) and attrition (HR = 0.86 95% CI: 0.62-1.19 for HIV-2) rates were similar for HIV types. CONCLUSIONS: The decline in children diagnosed per year since 2017 is possibly due to lower HIV prevalence, lack of HIV tests, and the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic. Children with HIV-2 were twice as old as HIV-1 infected when diagnosed, which suggests a slower disease progression. However, once they develop immunosuppression mortality is similar.

Discovering Subgroups of Children With High Mortality in Urban Guinea-Bissau: Exploratory and Validation Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: The decline in global child mortality is an important public health achievement, yet child mortality remains disproportionally high in many low-income countries like Guinea-Bissau. The persisting high mortality rates necessitate targeted research to identify vulnerable subgroups of children and formulate effective interventions. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to discover subgroups of children at an elevated risk of mortality in the urban setting of Bissau, Guinea-Bissau, West Africa. By identifying these groups, we intend to provide a foundation for developing targeted health interventions and inform public health policy. METHODS: We used data from the health and demographic surveillance site, Bandim Health Project, covering 2003 to 2019. We identified baseline variables recorded before children reached the age of 6 weeks. The focus was on determining factors consistently linked with increased mortality up to the age of 3 years. Our multifaceted methodological approach incorporated spatial analysis for visualizing geographical variations in mortality risk, causally adjusted regression analysis to single out specific risk factors, and machine learning techniques for identifying clusters of multifactorial risk factors. To ensure robustness and validity, we divided the data set temporally, assessing the persistence of identified subgroups over different periods. The reassessment of mortality risk used the targeted maximum likelihood estimation (TMLE) method to achieve more robust causal modeling. RESULTS: We analyzed data from 21,005 children. The mortality risk (6 weeks to 3 years of age) was 5.2% (95% CI 4.8%-5.6%) for children born between 2003 and 2011, and 2.9% (95% CI 2.5%-3.3%) for children born between 2012 and 2016. Our findings revealed 3 distinct high-risk subgroups with notably higher mortality rates, children residing in a specific urban area (adjusted mortality risk difference of 3.4%, 95% CI 0.3%-6.5%), children born to mothers with no prenatal consultations (adjusted mortality risk difference of 5.8%, 95% CI 2.6%-8.9%), and children from polygamous families born during the dry season (adjusted mortality risk difference of 1.7%, 95% CI 0.4%-2.9%). These subgroups, though small, showed a consistent pattern of higher mortality risk over time. Common social and economic factors were linked to a larger share of the total child deaths. CONCLUSIONS: The study's results underscore the need for targeted interventions to address the specific risks faced by these identified high-risk subgroups. These interventions should be designed to work to complement broader public health strategies, creating a comprehensive approach to reducing child mortality. We suggest future research that focuses on developing, testing, and comparing targeted intervention strategies unraveling the proposed hypotheses found in this study. The ultimate aim is to optimize health outcomes for all children in high-mortality settings, leveraging a strategic mix of targeted and general health interventions to address the varied needs of different child subgroups.

Can earlier BCG-Japan and OPV vaccination reduce early infant mortality? A cluster-randomised trial in Guinea-Bissau.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the effect of providing BCG and oral polio vaccine (OPV) at an early home visit after delivery. DESIGN: Cluster-randomised trial, randomising 92 geographically defined clusters 1:1 to intervention/control arms. SETTING: Bandim Health Project Health and Demographic Surveillance System, Guinea-Bissau. PARTICIPANTS: 2226 newborns enrolled between July 2016 and August 2019. INTERVENTIONS: In both arms, newborns received a home visit within 72 hours after birth. In intervention clusters (n=46), BCG and OPV were provided at the home visit. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Rates of non-accidental mortality were compared in Cox proportional hazards models from (last of) day 1 or enrolment, until (first of) day 60 or registration of non-trial vaccines. RESULTS: A total of 35 deaths (intervention: 7, control: 28) were registered during the trial. Providing BCG and OPV reduced non-accidental early infant mortality by 59% (8-82%). The intervention also reduced non-accidental hospital admissions. The intervention had little impact on growth and BCG scarring and tended to increase the risk of consultations. CONCLUSIONS: The trial was stopped early due to lower-than-expected enrolment and event rates when 33% of the planned number of newborns had been enrolled. Despite the small size of the trial, the results support that early BCG and OPV vaccinations are beneficial and reduce early child mortality and morbidity. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ClinicalTrials.gov Registry (NCT02504203).

Weight change in the first 30 days among infants born less than 2000 grams in Guinea-Bissau and Uganda.

Despite the high prevalence of low birth weight infants in sub-Saharan Africa and the associated poor outcomes, weight change during the newborn period has not been well characterized for this population. We prospectively assessed growth over the first 30 days among 120 infants born < 2000 g (g) in Guinea-Bissau and Uganda, and compared it to a similar cohort of 420 infants born ≥ 2000 g. Among those born < 2000 g, mean birth weight was 1747 ± 164 g, and initial weight loss was 8.25 ± 4.40% of birth weight prior to the initiation of weight gain at a median of 3 (interquartile range 2, 4) days of age. This initial weight loss was more pronounced (8.25 vs 6.06%; p < 0.001) and lasted longer (median 3 vs 2 days; p < 0.001) than for infants born ≥ 2000 g. The initial period of weight loss was an important predictor of growth at 30 days in both cohorts. Infants born < 2000 g on average grew proportionately to their size at birth but did not experience catch-up growth; their weights at 30 days remained much lower than that of infants born ≥ 2000 g and most remained severely underweight. Targeted interventions to optimize early growth should be investigated.

Cardiovascular Disease Epidemiology in Portuguese-Speaking Countries: data from the Global Burden of Disease, 1990 to 2016 / Epidemiologia das Doenças Cardiovasculares em Países de Língua Portuguesa: Dados do "Global Burden of Disease", 1990 a 2016

Abstract Background: Portuguese-speaking countries (PSC) share the influence of the Portuguese culture but have socioeconomic development patterns that differ from that of Portugal. Objective: To describe trends in cardiovascular disease (CVD) morbidity and mortality in the PSC between 1990 and 2016, stratified by sex, and their association with the respective sociodemographic indexes (SDI). Methods: This study used the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2016 data and methodology. Data collection followed international standards for death certification, through information systems on vital statistics and mortality surveillance, surveys, and hospital registries. Techniques were used to standardize causes of death by the direct method, as were corrections for underreporting of deaths and garbage codes. To determine the number of deaths due to each cause, the CODEm (Cause of Death Ensemble Model) algorithm was applied. Disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and SDI (income per capita, educational attainment and total fertility rate) were estimated for each country. A p-value <0.05 was considered significant. Results: There are large differences, mainly related to socioeconomic conditions, in the relative impact of CVD burden in PSC. Among CVD, ischemic heart disease was the leading cause of death in all PSC in 2016, except for Mozambique and Sao Tome and Principe, where cerebrovascular diseases have supplanted it. The most relevant attributable risk factors for CVD among all PSC are hypertension and dietary factors. Conclusion: Collaboration among PSC may allow successful experiences in combating CVD to be shared between those countries.

Resumo Fundamento: Os países de língua portuguesa (PLP) partilham a influência da cultura portuguesa com desenvolvimento socioeconômico diverso de Portugal. Objetivo: Descrever as tendências de morbidade e mortalidade por doenças cardiovasculares (DCV) nos PLP, entre 1990 e 2016, estratificadas por sexo, e sua associação com os respectivos índices sociodemográficos (SDI). Métodos: O estudo utilizou dados e metodologia do Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2016. As informações seguiram padrões internacionais de certificação de óbito, através de sistemas de informação sobre estatísticas vitais e vigilância da mortalidade, pesquisas e registros hospitalares. Empregaram-se técnicas para padronização das causas de morte pelo método direto, e correções para sub-registro dos óbitos e garbage codes. Para determinar o número de mortes por cada causa, aplicou-se o algoritmo CODEm (Modelagem Agrupada de Causas de Morte). Estimaram-se os anos saudáveis de vida perdidos (DALYs) e o SDI (renda per capita, nível de escolaridade e taxa de fertilidade total) para cada país. Resultados: Existem grandes diferenças na importância relativa da carga de DCV nos PLP relacionadas principalmente às condições socioeconômicas. Entre as DCV, a doença isquêmica do coração foi a principal causa de morte nos PLP em 2016, com exceção de Moçambique e São Tomé e Príncipe, onde as doenças cerebrovasculares a suplantaram. Os fatores de risco atribuíveis mais relevantes para as DCV entre os PLP foram a hipertensão arterial e os fatores dietéticos. Um valor de p < 0,05 foi considerado significativo. Conclusão: A colaboração entre os PLP poderá permitir que experiências exitosas no combate às DCV sejam compartilhadas entre esses países.

A situação epidemiológica da tuberculose na República da Guiné-Bissau, 2000 - 2005 / The epidemiological situation of tuberculosis in the Republic of Guinea-Bissau, 2000-2005

INTRODUÇÃO: A tuberculose na República da Guiné-Bissau não apresenta bons indicadores de saúde, assim como na maioria dos países em vias de desenvolvimento. OBJETIVO: Estudar na República da Guiné-Bissau e nas suas Províncias, a situação epidemiológica da doença no período de 2000 a 2005. MÉTODO: Realizou-se levantamento de dados secundários junto ao Programa Nacional de Luta Contra Lepra e Tuberculose, no período de 2000 a 2005, e análise de relatórios anuais da Capital e das Províncias da Guiné-Bissau, para o cálculo de coeficientes e taxas dos indicadores. RESULTADOS: O número de casos de tuberculose manteve-se estável no período de 2000 (1.959 casos) a 2005 (1.888 casos). O percentual de casos pulmonares variou de 96,0 a 98,8 por cento, dos quais 55 por cento eram bacilíferos. Em 2005 o coeficiente de prevalência foi de 142,4/100.000, o de incidência 131,3/100.000 e o de mortalidade, 16,8/100.000 habitantes. A maior concentração de casos ocorreu na região da Capital. A taxa de cura variou entre 46,5 por cento em 2000 e 69,6 por cento em 2005, e a de abandono de tratamento de 29,8 por cento em 2000 para 12,1 por cento em 2005. CONCLUSÃO: Os indicadores do Plano Estratégico Nacional devem ser melhorados, sobretudo no que diz respeito à busca ativa de casos, à descentralização do atendimento aos doentes, à implantação da estratégia DOTS e à necessidade de um sistema de informação e notificação eficientes.

INTRODUCTION: Tuberculosis does not present good health indicators in the Republic of the Guinea-Bissau, like most other developing countries. OBJECTIVE: To study the epidemiological status of the illness in the 2000-2005 period in the Republic of the Guinea-Bissau and its Provinces. METHOD: Secondary data were collected from the National Fight Against Leprosy and Tuberculosis Program, in the period from 2000 to 2005, and annual reports of the Capital and the Provinces were analyzed to calculate coefficients and indicators. RESULTS: The number of tuberculosis cases remained stable in the period from 2000 (1,959 cases) to 2005 (1,888 cases). The percentage of pulmonary cases ranged from 96.0 to 98.8 percent, of which 55 percent had positive smears. The coefficients of prevalence, incidence and mortality, in 2005 were 142.4/100,000, 131.3/100,000 and 16.8/100,000 inhabitants, respectively. The main concentration of cases occurred in the region of the Capital. Cure rates varied between 46.5 percent in 2000 and 69.6 percent in 2005 and treatment interruption rates were 29.8 percent in 2000 and 12.1 percent in 2005. CONCLUSION: The indicators of the National Strategic Plan must improve, particularly with regard to active case search, decentralization of patient care, implementation of the DOTS strategy, and the need for an efficient information and reporting system.