Early rigorous control interventions can largely reduce dengue outbreak magnitude: experience from Chaozhou, China.

BACKGROUND: Dengue fever is a severe public heath challenge in south China. A dengue outbreak was reported in Chaozhou city, China in 2015. Intensified interventions were implemented by the government to control the epidemic. However, it is still unknown the degree to which intensified control measures reduced the size of the epidemics, and when should such measures be initiated to reduce the risk of large dengue outbreaks developing? METHODS: We selected Xiangqiao district as study setting because the majority of the indigenous cases (90.6%) in Chaozhou city were from this district. The numbers of daily indigenous dengue cases in 2015 were collected through the national infectious diseases and vectors surveillance system, and daily Breteau Index (BI) data were reported by local public health department. We used a compartmental dynamic SEIR (Susceptible, Exposed, Infected and Removed) model to assess the effectiveness of control interventions, and evaluate the control effect of intervention timing on dengue epidemic. RESULTS: A total of 1250 indigenous dengue cases was reported from Xiangqiao district. The results of SEIR modeling using BI as an indicator of actual control interventions showed a total of 1255 dengue cases, which is close to the reported number (n = 1250). The size and duration of the outbreak were highly sensitive to the intensity and timing of interventions. The more rigorous and earlier the control interventions implemented, the more effective it yielded. Even if the interventions were initiated several weeks after the onset of the dengue outbreak, the interventions were shown to greatly impact the prevalence and duration of dengue outbreak. CONCLUSIONS: This study suggests that early implementation of rigorous dengue interventions can effectively reduce the epidemic size and shorten the epidemic duration.

The association of cooking fuels with cataract among adults aged 50 years and older in low- and middle-income countries: Results from the WHO Study on global AGEing and adult health (SAGE).

Reducing household air pollution and protecting eye health are essential to achieve the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). There is contradictory evidence about the association between cooking fuels and cataract among adults aged 50 years and older. WHO Study on global AGEing and adult health (SAGE) was conducted in six low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). We used propensity-score method (inverse probability of weighting) and logistic regression to examine the association between cooking fuels and self-reported cataract. Odds ratio (OR) estimates and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated. Overall, use of unclean fuels was associated with an adjusted OR of cataract of 1.42 (95%CIs, 1.29-1.56). In subgroup analysis, unclean cooking fuels increased 1.71 (95%CI, 1.46-2.01) and 1.53 (95%CI, 1.30-1.79) times the risk of cataract in India and China, respectively, whereas no association was found in other countries. In gender-stratified analyses, unclean fuel use was associated with a 1.27 (95%CI, 1.13-1.44) times risk for males and 1.67 (95%CI, 1.44-1.94) times risk for females. Higher cataract risk attributed to unclean fuels was observed among those aged over 60 (1.45; 95%CI, 1.28-1.64) than people aged under 60 (1.39; 95%CI, 1.20-1.62). OR was higher in rural area (1.74; 95%CI, 1.51-2.00) than urban area (1.24; 95%CI, 1.09-1.41). Our results indicate that unclean fuels may be associated with self-reported cataract, but it varied among different LMICs. Higher risk was found in females, people older than 60 years old and those who live in rural areas. The result of this study provides useful information to support transition to clean household energy and eye health promotion in LMICs. Greater efforts should be taken to protect vulnerable populations.