Evidence lost to treatment of critically-ill patients?

Treatment strategies for critically-ill patients can and should never be excluded from grading processes that classify the evidence and provide decision support for health care workers involved in the care of these patients. Along with grading the available evidence, implementing new therapies and strategies in daily practice is another important but frequently forgotten step in improving care for critically-ill patients. Explanations for why some trials show benefit while other trials do not or even show harm include differences in the timing and the dose of the studied interventions, differences and heterogeneity of study populations and differences in trial protocols. Potential factors that may hamper the implementation of new therapies and strategies include translational problems, potentially biased expert opinions, concerns about side-effects and costs and problems with the recognition of critically-ill patients who might actually benefit from a new therapy or strategy. We discuss difficulties with grading the evidence for and the implementation of lung protective mechanical ventilation in acute respiratory distress syndrome, glucocorticosteroid therapy in refractory septic shock, glucocorticosteroid therapy in acute respiratory distress syndrome, goal directed fluid therapy in shock, activated protein C in severe sepsis and intensive insulin therapy in critical illness.

Progression of organ failure in patients approaching brain stem death.

We performed a retrospective cohort study to document the progression of organ dysfunction in 182 critically ill adult patients who subsequently met criteria for brain stem death (BSD). Patients were admitted to intensive care units (ICUs) of Mayo Medical Center, Rochester, MN, between January 1996 and December 2006. Daily sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) scores were used to assess the degree of organ dysfunction. Serial SOFA scores were analyzed using analysis of variance (ANOVA). Mean (standard deviation, SD) SOFA score on the first ICU day was 8.9 (3.2). SOFA scores did not significantly change over the course of ICU stay. 67.6% of patients donated one or more organs after BSD was declared. The median time from ICU admission to declaration of BSD was 18.8 h (interquartile range 10.3-45.0), and in those who donated organs, the time from declaration of BSD to organ retrieval was 11.8 h (9.5-17.6). The fact that mean SOFA scores did not change significantly over time, even after BSD occurred, has implications for the timing of retrieval of organs for transplantation.

Intraoperative ventilator settings and acute lung injury after elective surgery: a nested case control study.

BACKGROUND: While acute lung injury (ALI) is among the most serious postoperative pulmonary complications, its incidence, risk factors and outcome have not been prospectively studied. OBJECTIVE: To determine the incidence and survival of ALI associated postoperative respiratory failure and its association with intraoperative ventilator settings, specifically tidal volume. DESIGN: Prospective, nested, case control study. SETTING: Single tertiary referral centre. PATIENTS: 4420 consecutive patients without ALI undergoing high risk elective surgeries for postoperative pulmonary complications. MEASUREMENTS: Incidence of ALI, survival and 2:1 matched case control comparison of intraoperative exposures. RESULTS: 238 (5.4%) patients developed postoperative respiratory failure. Causes included ALI in 83 (35%), hydrostatic pulmonary oedema in 74 (31%), shock in 27 (11.3%), pneumonia in nine (4%), carbon dioxide retention in eight (3.4%) and miscellaneous in 37 (15%). Compared with match controls (n = 166), ALI cases had lower 60 day and 1 year survival (99% vs 73% and 92% vs 56%; p<0.001). Cases were more likely to have a history of smoking, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and diabetes, and to be exposed to longer duration of surgery, intraoperative hypotension and larger amount of fluid and transfusions. After adjustment for non-ventilator parameters, mean first hour peak airway pressure (OR 1.07; 95% CI 1.02 to 1.15 cm H(2)O) but not tidal volume (OR 1.03; 95% CI 0.84 to 1.26 ml/kg), positive end expiratory pressure (OR 0.89; 95% CI 0.77 to 1.04 cm H(2)O) or fraction of inspired oxygen (OR 1.0; 95% CI 0.98 to 1.03) were associated with ALI. CONCLUSION: ALI is the most common cause of postoperative respiratory failure and is associated with markedly lower postoperative survival. Intraoperative tidal volume was not associated with an increased risk for early postoperative ALI.

Designing and testing computer based screening engine for severe sepsis/septic shock.

This study addresses the role of a sepsis "sniffer", an automatic screening tool for the timely identification of patients with severe sepsis/septic shock, based electronic medical records. During the two months prospective implementation in a medical intensive care unit, 37 of 320 consecutive patients developed severe sepsis/septic shock. The sniffer demonstrated a sensitivity of 48% and specificity of 86%, and positive predictive value 32%. Further improvements are needed prior to the implementation of sepsis sniffer in clinical practice and research.

Ethical dilemmas in a randomized trial of asthma treatment: can Bayesian statistical analysis explain the results?

OBJECTIVES: The original objective was to determine whether the use of bilevel positive airway pressure (BiPAP) ventilation would reduce the need for endotracheal intubation, the length of hospital stay, and hospital charges in patients with status asthmaticus. The development of physician treatment bias made patient enrollment difficult. The article subsequently describes the use of Bayesian statistics to explain study results when this bias occurs. METHODS: This study was a prospective, randomized controlled clinical trial conducted over a 34.5-month period at an urban university hospital with an emergency department census of 94,000 annual visits. Patients remaining in status asthmaticus after initial standard treatment with inhaled beta-agonists and steroids were randomized to receive BiPAP ventilation plus standard treatment versus standard treatment alone (non-BiPAP), with intubation for either group as needed. Patients with concurrent cardiac or other pulmonary diseases were excluded. The primary outcome measures were endotracheal intubation rate and length of hospital stay. Secondary outcome measures included vital signs (respiratory rate, pulse rate, blood pressure), changes in expiratory peak flow, changes in pulse oximetry values, and hospital charges. Data were analyzed using Fisher's exact test, Mann-Whitney tests, and Bayesian statistics. For patients enrolled in the study more than once, data analysis was performed on the first enrollment only. RESULTS: Nineteen patients were enrolled in the BiPAP group and 16 patients in the non-BiPAP group. Patients were frequently enrolled more than once and the data from the subsequent enrollments were excluded from the analysis. A marked decrease in enrollment, due to physician treatment bias, led to a premature termination of the study. Demographics showed that the groups were similar in age, sex, initial peak flow rate, and arterial blood gas measurements. There was a 7.3% increase (95% CI = -22 to +45) in the intubation rate in the non-BiPAP group (n = 2) compared with that for the BiPAP group (n = 1). No significant difference was seen in length of hospital stay or hospital charges, although there was a favorable trend toward the BiPAP group. Complications encountered in the BiPAP group included one patient with discomfort associated with the nasal BiPAP mask. Bayesian analysis demonstrated that in order for the collected data to be convincing at the 95% confidence level, the prior conviction among treating physicians that BiPAP was a successful treatment modality would have had to be 98.9%. CONCLUSIONS: In this study, BiPAP appeared to have no deleterious effects in patients with status asthmaticus, with a trend toward decreased endotracheal intubation rate, decreased length of hospital stay, and decreased hospital charges. Although further study with more patients is needed to determine the clinical and statistical significance of this intervention, ethical concerns regarding withholding BiPAP treatment from the patients in the control group forced a premature termination of the study in the authors' institution.

Clinical course and outcome of patients admitted to an ICU for status asthmaticus.

STUDY OBJECTIVES: To describe the prognostic factors, clinical course, and outcome of patients with status asthmaticus treated in a medical ICU (MICU). DESIGN: Analysis of prospective data. SETTING: A multidisciplinary MICU of an inner-city university hospital. PATIENTS: We collected data on 132 hospital admissions of 89 patients with status asthmaticus treated in our MICU from August 1995 through July 1998. MEASUREMENTS: APACHE (acute physiology and chronic health evaluation) II scores were among the parameters measured. RESULTS: Seventy-nine percent of the patients were female, and 67% were African American (mean +/- SD age, 42.4 +/- 15.1 years). Patients in 48 of the 132 hospital admissions (36%) required invasive mechanical ventilation; sepsis developed in patients during 17 hospital admissions (13%), nonpulmonary organ failure developed during 16 hospital admissions (12%), and ARDS developed during 2 hospital admissions (2%). Pneumothorax developed in four patients and required tube thoracostomy in all four patients. The median APACHE II score was 11. Predicted mortality and actual mortality were 6.7% and 8.3%, respectively. The two most common immediate causes of death were pneumothorax (n = 3) and nosocomial infection (n = 3). All the deaths occurred in female patients. Compared with survivors, nonsurvivors had higher APACHE II scores (median, 26 vs 15; p < 0.0001), PaCO(2) (63.8 +/- 21.3 mm Hg vs 47.8 +/- 19.1 mm Hg, p = 0.0101), and lower arterial pH (7.09 +/- 0.12 vs 7.27 +/- 0.12, p < 0.0001), respectively. Patients in 10 of 48 hospital admissions (21%) who required mechanical ventilation died. CONCLUSIONS: The hospital mortality of patients admitted to an MICU for status asthmaticus is higher than expected. Higher APACHE II score and PaCO(2) and lower arterial pH within 24 h of hospital admission are associated with increased mortality. Sepsis and nonpulmonary organ failure are more likely to develop in nonsurvivors than survivors.

Bacteremia in hospitalized patients with human immunodeficiency virus: A prospective, cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Bacterial infections complicate the course of patients with human immunodeficiency virus infection. The purpose of this study was to describe the bacterial pathogens causing blood stream infection, identify the risk factors for the development of blood stream infection and determine the impact of blood stream infection on the outcome of patients infected with human immunodeficiency virus. METHODS: The incidence, etiology, risk factors and outcome of bacterial blood stream infection were prospectively determined in 1,225 consecutive hospitalizations of adults with human immunodeficiency virus infection. RESULTS: Blood stream infection occurred in 88 hospitalizations (7%); 73 of 89 infections (82%) were community acquired. The most commonly isolated gram-positive organism was Streptococcus pneumoniae (21); gram-negative, Escherichia coli (14). Blood stream infection was detected in 8% of African Americans and 22% of Hispanics compared with 2% of whites (P = 0.0013). Patients with blood stream infection had higher white blood cell counts (median, 6.5 vs. 4.9 x 109/L; P = 0.0002) and mortality (18% vs. 4%; P < 0.0001) than patients without infection. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with human immunodeficiency virus, blood stream infection is associated with an increased mortality rate. Recognition of the incidence, etiology, and risk factors of blood stream infection in patients with human immunodeficiency virus infection could lead to measures that reduce the increased mortality.

Mycobacterial and nonbacterial pulmonary complications in hospitalized patients with human immunodeficiency virus infection: a prospective, cohort study.

BACKGROUND: A prospective observational study was done to describe nonbacterial pulmonary complications in hospitalized patients with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection. METHODS: The study included 1,225 consecutive hospital admissions of 599 HIV-infected patients treated from April 1995 through March 1998. Data included demographics, risk factors for HIV infection, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II score, pulmonary complications, CD4+ lymphocyte count, hospital stay and case-fatality rate. RESULTS: Patient age (mean +/- SD) was 38.2 +/- 8.9 years, 62% were men, and 84% were African American. The median APACHE II score was 14, and median CD4+ lymphocyte count was 60/microL. Pulmonary complications were Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia (85) in 78 patients, Mycobacterium avium complex (51) in 38, Mycobacterium tuberculosis (40) in 35, Mycobacterium gordonae (11) in 11, Mycobacterium kansasii (10) in 9, Cytomegalovirus (10) in 10, Nocardia asteroides (3) in 3, fungus ball (2) in 2, respiratory syncytial virus (1), herpes simplex virus (1), Histoplasma capsulatum (1), lymphoma (3) in 3, bronchogenic carcinoma (2) in 2, and Kaposi sarcoma (1). The case-fatality rate of patients was 11% with Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia; 5%, Mycobacterium tuberculosis; 6%, Mycobacterium avium complex; and 7%, noninfectious pulmonary complications. CONCLUSION: Most pulmonary complications in hospitalized patients with HIV are from Pneumocystis and mycobacterial infection.

Bronchiolitis obliterans and other late onset non-infectious pulmonary complications in hematopoietic stem cell transplantation.

Pulmonary complications develop in 30-60% of hematopoietic stem cell transplants (HSCT). The main, late onset, non-infectious complications include Bronchiolitis obliterans (BO), Bronchiolitis obliterans organizing pneumonia (BOOP), and idiopathic pneumonia syndrome (IPS). BO and BOOP occur almost exclusively in allogeneic HSCT, and have 61% and 21% mortality rates, respectively. BOOP responds favorably to corticosteroids. IPS has less than 15% 1-year survival.

Systemic inflammatory response syndrome, organ failure, and outcome in critically ill obstetric patients treated in an ICU.

STUDY OBJECTIVES: To determine the incidence of systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) and organ failure and to describe the outcomes in critically ill obstetric patients who have been treated in medical ICUs. DESIGN: Retrospective review. SETTING: A multidisciplinary ICU at a tertiary-care institution. METHODS: We collected data on 74 obstetric patients who were admitted consecutively to the ICU from January 1991 through December 1998. Acute physiology and chronic health evaluation (APACHE) II scores were calculated. A p value < 0.05 was considered to be significant. MEASUREMENTS AND RESULTS: Fifty-eight percent of patients were admitted to the ICU postpartum. Their mean (+/- SD) age was 25.9 +/- 7.0 years, and 64% were African American and 34% were white. Fifty percent had preexisting medical conditions. Their mean APACHE II score was 14.0 +/- 5.9, and their predicted mortality rate was 17.6%. The most common reason for admission was respiratory insufficiency. Preeclampsia was present in 38% of patients, and hemolytic anemia, elevated liver enzymes, and low platelet count syndrome were present in 7% of patients. SIRS developed in 59% of patients. Patients with SIRS had longer ICU stays (p = 0.0008). Organ failure developed in 65% of patients, and ARDS developed in 15% of patients. Invasive mechanical ventilation was required in 45% of patients, and pulmonary artery catheterization was required in 35% of patients. The in-hospital mortality rate was 2.7%. There were five spontaneous abortions and eight perinatal deaths. CONCLUSIONS: The most common reason for admission to the ICU of critically ill obstetric patients was respiratory failure. Despite the severity of illness and the development of SIRS and organ failure in most patients, the mortality rate was low.

Pleural effusions and pneumothoraces in AIDS.

Pneumothorax occurs in 1 to 2% of hospitalized patients with HIV and is associated with 34% mortality. Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia and chest radiographic evidence of cysts, pneumatoceles, or bullae are risk factors for spontaneous pneumothorax. Tube thoracostomy, pleurodesis, and surgical treatment are usually needed to manage spontaneous pneumothorax in AIDS. Pleural effusion is seen in 7 to 27% of hospitalized patients with HIV infection. Its three leading causes are parapneumonic effusions, tuberculosis, and Kaposi sarcoma. Pleural effusions occur in 15 to 89% of cases of pulmonary Kaposi sarcoma and in 68% of cases of thoracic non-Hodgkin lymphoma in patients with AIDS. Primary effusion lymphoma accounts for 1 to 2% of non-Hodgkin lymphomas. Kaposi sarcoma and primary effusion lymphoma are associated with human herpesvirus 8. The prognosis of patients with pleural Kaposi sarcoma and non-Hodgkin lymphoma in AIDS is poor, and the major goal of treatment is palliation.

Association of pulmonary artery catheter use with in-hospital mortality.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the association of pulmonary artery catheter (PAC) use with in-hospital mortality. DESIGN: Prospective, observational study. SETTING: The medical intensive care units (MICU) of two teaching hospitals. METHODS: The study included 751 adults who were admitted to the MICU, excluding those who stayed for <24 hrs. Demographics and the worst Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II score within the first 24 hrs of MICU admission were obtained. Daily logistic organ dysfunction system (LODS) scores were calculated. The associations of in-hospital mortality with the admission source, admission disease category, APACHE II scores, the worst LODS scores, mechanical ventilation, and PAC use were determined using chi-square, Mann-Whitney U, and multiple logistic regression analysis tests. p Values < 0.05 were considered significant. RESULTS: Mean patient age was 52.6 +/- 17.1 yrs; 425 (57%) were male; 464 (62%) were African-American, 275 (37%) Caucasian, 6 (1%) Asian, and 6 (1%) Hispanic. PAC was used in 119/751 (16%). The median APACHE II and worst LODS scores were 19 and 4, respectively. The in-hospital mortality rate was 159/751 (21%). The median APACHE II score for survivors was 17.5, compared with 28.0 for nonsurvivors (p <.0001). The worst median LODS score was 4 for survivors, compared with 11 for nonsurvivors (p <.0001). Sixty-four (54%) of the 119 patients with PAC died, compared with 95 (15%) of the 632 without PAC (p <.0001). Multiple logistic regression analysis showed that higher APACHE II-predicted mortality rate (p =.0088) and worst daily LODS score (p <.0001) were associated with increased mortality. The admission source, admission disease category, PAC use, and mechanical ventilation were not associated with in-hospital mortality. CONCLUSIONS: This study could not detect an association between PAC use and mortality. The APACHE II-predicted mortality rate and the development of multiple organ dysfunction were the main determinants of poor outcome in critically ill patients admitted to MICU.

Clinical course, prognostic factors, and outcome prediction for HIV patients in the ICU. The PIP (Pulmonary complications, ICU support, and prognostic factors in hospitalized patients with HIV) study.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: To describe the clinical course and prognostic factors in patients with HIV admitted to the ICU. DESIGN: Prospective, observational. SETTING: A university-affiliated medical center. METHODS: : We included 169 consecutive ICU admissions, from April 1995 through March 1999, of 141 adults with HIV. Data collected included APACHE (acute physiology and chronic health evaluation) II score, CD4(+) lymphocyte count, serum albumin level, in-hospital mortality, and the development of organ failure, systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS), and ARDS. RESULTS: The ICU admission rate of hospitalized patients with HIV infection was 12%. The most common reason for ICU admission was respiratory failure, occurring in 65 patient admissions. Mechanical ventilation was required in 91 admissions (54%), ARDS developed in 37 admissions (22%), Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia was diagnosed in 24 admissions (14%), and SIRS developed in 126 admissions (75%). One or more organ failures developed in 131 admissions (78%). The actual and predicted mortality rates were 29.6% and 45.2%, respectively, with a standardized mortality ratio of 0.65. The most frequent immediate cause of death was bacterial infection. The CD4(+) lymphocyte count (median, 27.5 cells/microL vs 59 cells/microL; p = 0.0310) and serum albumin level (median 2.2 g/dL vs 2.6 g/dL; p = 0.0355) of nonsurvivors were lower and the APACHE II score (median, 30 vs 21; p < 0.0001) was higher, compared to those of survivors. A higher APACHE II score (odds ratio [OR], 1.11; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.05 to 1.16) and a transfer from another hospital ward (OR, 3.03; 95% CI, 1.20 to 7.68) were independently associated with increased mortality. The median number of organ failures that developed in survivors was one, compared to four in nonsurvivors (p < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: The outcome of HIV-infected patients admitted to the ICU has improved over the years. The CD4 count does not correlate with in-hospital mortality. Higher APACHE II scores and a transfer from another hospital ward are associated with a poor outcome.

Bacterial pneumonia in hospitalized patients with HIV infection: the Pulmonary Complications, ICU Support, and Prognostic Factors of Hospitalized Patients with HIV (PIP) Study.

STUDY OBJECTIVES: To describe the causative organisms and factors associated with bacterial pneumonia and to assess its impact on the outcome of hospitalized patients with HIV. DESIGN: Prospective, observational. SETTING: A university-affiliated medical center. METHODS: We included 1,225 consecutive hospital admissions, from April 1995 through March 1998, of 599 adults with HIV. We collected data on APACHE II (acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II) score, leukocyte and CD4+ lymphocyte counts, length of hospital stay, ICU admission rate, and case-fatality rate. Chest radiographs and laboratory results were reviewed. The presence of bacterial pneumonia was noted. RESULTS: Bacterial pneumonia was diagnosed in 111 hospitalizations (9%): 80 (72%) were community-acquired infections. The CD4+ lymphocyte count was lower (median, 38 vs 66/microL, p = 0.0027), APACHE II score higher (17 vs 13, p < 0. 0001), length of hospital stay longer (median, 6 vs 4), and ICU admission (28% vs 9%) and case-fatality rates (21% vs 4%) higher in patients with bacterial pneumonia compared with those without bacterial pneumonia. The most common pathogen was Pseudomonas aeruginosa (32 admissions), followed by Streptococcus pneumoniae (22 admissions), Staphylococcus aureus (16 admissions), and Haemophilus influenzae (11 admissions). Thirty-three (30%) of the pneumonias were bacteremic. Bacteremia was more common in pneumococcal than in pseudomonal pneumonia (95% vs 9%, p < 0.0001). Compared with patients with pneumococcal pneumonia, patients with pseudomonal pneumonia had lower leukocyte and CD4+ lymphocyte counts, longer hospital stay, and similar case-fatality rate. CONCLUSIONS: P aeruginosa is becoming a common cause of both community-acquired and nosocomial bacterial pneumonia in hospitalized patients with HIV, especially in those with low leukocyte and CD4+ lymphocyte counts.

Pleural effusion and pneumothorax in hospitalized patients with HIV infection: the Pulmonary Complications, ICU support, and Prognostic Factors of Hospitalized Patients with HIV (PIP) Study.

OBJECTIVES: To describe the incidence, causes, and impact of pleural effusion and pneumothorax in hospitalized patients with HIV infection. DESIGN: Prospective, observational. SETTING: A university-affiliated medical center. METHODS: During a 3-year period, 599 HIV-infected patients with a total of 1,225 consecutive hospital admissions were followed. A total of 1,097 hospital admissions were included. Patients' medical records, chest radiographs, and computerized laboratory values were reviewed. RESULTS: Pleural effusions developed in 160 hospital admissions (14. 6%). The effusions were right sided (56%), left sided (29%), and bilateral (15%). Their sizes were small (65%), moderate (23%), large (9%), and massive (4%). The associated conditions were infectious: bacterial pneumonia (n = 50), pulmonary tuberculosis (n = 10), Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia (PCP; n = 5), and empyema (n = 2); and noninfectious: renal failure (n = 15), hypoalbuminemia (n = 12), malignancy (n = 9), pancreatitis (n = 7), hepatic cirrhosis (n = 5), congestive heart failure (n = 4), atelectasis (n = 3), pulmonary embolism (n = 3), trauma (n = 1), and surgery (n = 1). Pneumothorax developed in 13 hospital admissions (1.2%). The conditions associated with pneumothorax were iatrogenic (n = 4), bacterial pneumonia (n = 3), PCP (n = 2), positive pressure ventilation for PCP (n = 2), pulmonary Mycobacterium avium complex (n = 1), and trauma (n = 1). The in-hospital mortality of hospital admissions with pleural effusion was 10.0% compared to 5.4% of those without pleural effusion (p = 0.0407). The in-hospital mortality of hospital admissions with pneumothorax was 30.8% compared to 5.8% of those without pneumothorax (p = 0.0060). CONCLUSIONS: Pleural effusions occur in 14.6% of hospital admissions in our patient population with HIV infection. Bacterial pneumonia is the condition most commonly associated with pleural effusion. Pneumothorax, seen in 1.2% of hospital admissions with HIV infection, is associated with poor outcome.

Triage of patients with acute gastrointestinal bleeding for intensive care unit admission based on risk factors for poor outcome.

This study's aim was to determine the prognostic factors and to develop a triage system for intensive care unit (ICU) admission of patients with gastrointestinal bleeding (GIB). This prospective, observational study included 411 adults consecutively hospitalized for GIB. Each patient's selected clinical findings and laboratory values at presentation were obtained. The Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II scores were calculated from the initial findings in the emergency department. Poor outcome was defined as recurrent GIB, emergency surgery, or death. The role of hepatic cirrhosis, APACHE II score, active GIB, end-organ dysfunction, and hypotension in predicting outcome was evaluated. Chi-square, Student's t, Mann-Whitney U, and logistic regression analysis tests were used for statistical comparisons. Poor outcome developed in 81 (20%) patients; 39 died, 23 underwent emergency surgery, and 47 rebled. End-organ dysfunction, active bleeding, hepatic cirrhosis, and high APACHE II scores were independent predictors of poor outcome with odds ratios of 3:1, 3:1, 2:3, and 1:1, respectively. The ICU admission rate was 37%. High APACHE II score, active bleeding, end-organ dysfunction, and hepatic cirrhosis are independent predictors of poor outcome in patients with GIB and can be used in the triage of these patients for ICU admission.

Upper gastrointestinal bleeding in patients with hepatic cirrhosis: clinical course and mortality prediction.

OBJECTIVE: We conducted this study to describe the complications and validate the accuracy of previously reported prognostic indices in predicting the mortality of cirrhotic patients hospitalized for upper GI bleeding. METHODS: This prospective, observational study included 111 consecutive hospitalizations of 85 cirrhotic patients admitted for GI bleeding. Data obtained included intensive care unit (ICU) admission status, Child-Pugh score, the development of systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS), organ failure, and inhospital mortality. The performances of Garden's, Gatta's, and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II prognostic systems in predicting mortality were assessed. RESULTS: Patients' mean age was 48.7 yr, and the median APACHE II and Child-Pugh scores were 17 and 9, respectively. Their ICU admission rate was 71%. Organ failure developed in 57%, and SIRS in 46% of the patients. Nine patients had acute respiratory distress syndrome, and three patients had hepatorenal syndrome. The inhospital mortality was 21%. The APACHE II, Garden's, and Gatta' s predicted mortality rates were 39%, 24%, and 20%, respectively, and their areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) were 0.78, 0.70, and 0.71, respectively. The AUC for Child-Pugh score was 0.76. CONCLUSIONS: SIRS and organ failure develop in many patients with hepatic cirrhosis hospitalized for upper GI bleeding, and are associated with increased mortality. Although the APACHE II prognostic system overestimated the mortality of these patients, the receiver operating characteristic curves did not show significant differences between the various prognostic systems.

Predicting 3-day and 7-day outcomes of weaning from mechanical ventilation.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the correlation of acute physiology and chronic health evaluation (APACHE) II score and various weaning indexes (WIs) with 3- and 7-day weaning outcomes. DESIGN: Prospective, observational. SETTING: The medical ICU of a teaching, urban hospital. METHODS: The study included 118 adults referred for weaning from mechanical ventilation (MV). Critical care physicians, critical care nurses, and respiratory care practitioners were asked to predict whether it would take < or =3 days, 4 to 7 days, or > or =8 days to wean each patient from MV. The WIs and APACHE II scores were measured or calculated. The causes of respiratory failure, the duration of MV before initiating weaning assessment, and the 3- and 7-day weaning outcomes were obtained. Significance was set at p<0.05. RESULTS: The most common causes of respiratory failure were pneumonia (38 cases) and acute exacerbation of COPD (29 cases). Fifty-seven patients (48%) were successfully weaned from MV within 3 days of weaning assessment, and 67 (57%) were weaned within 7 days. The percentages of correct prediction of 3-day weaning outcome by critical care physicians, critical care nurses, and respiratory care practitioners were 64%, 62%, and 59%, respectively; for 7-day weaning outcome, 60%, 64%, and 58%, respectively. The successfully weaned groups had significantly lower APACHE II scores and higher maximal inspiratory pressures than the unsuccessfully weaned (failure) groups. There were no significant differences between the two groups for the remaining indexes, including rapid shallow breathing, dynamic compliance, static compliance, spontaneous respiratory rate, and the ratio of PaO2 to the fraction of inspired oxygen. CONCLUSIONS: The overall severity of illness as assessed by APACHE II score correlates better with 3- and 7-day weaning outcome than the published WIs.

Systemic inflammatory response syndrome in patients hospitalized for gastrointestinal bleeding.

OBJECTIVE: To describe the incidence and causes of systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS), to determine the risk factors for its development, and to assess its impact on the outcome of patients hospitalized for gastrointestinal bleeding. DESIGN: Prospective, observational study. SETTING: A 528-bed, university-affiliated, teaching hospital. PATIENTS: The study included 411 adults hospitalized for gastrointestinal bleeding from January 1, 1995, through June 30, 1996. MEASUREMENTS: We obtained the demographic data, selected clinical findings, laboratory values, length of hospital stay, presence and cause of SIRS, presence of organ failure, and in-hospital mortality for each patient. The Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) score was calculated. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to determine differences between groups. RESULTS: Patients' ages (mean +/- SD) were 55.9 +/- 17.3 yr; 227 (55%) were male; 247 (60%) were African-American. SIRS developed in 112 patients (27%). Sepsis was the cause of SIRS in 63% of patients (70/112). Severe sepsis developed in 20 patients and septic shock in 5 patients. The most common cause of sepsis was pneumonia (19). There were no significant differences in age, gender, race, and the presence of liver disease between patients with and without SIRS. Upper gastrointestinal bleeding (76/211 vs. 36/ 200; p = .0196), intensive care unit admission (73/152 vs. 391259; p < .0001), and higher APACHE II scores (median, 17 vs. 11; p< .0001) were associated with the development of SIRS. The length of hospital stay was longer (median, 9.5 vs. 3 days; p < .0001), and the number of organ failures (median, 1 vs. 0; p < .0001) and in-hospital mortality rates (23 vs. 4%; p < .0001) were higher in patients with SIRS than in those without SIRS. CONCLUSIONS: SIRS occurs in 27% of patients admitted for gastrointestinal bleeding and is associated with a poor prognosis. Intensive care unit admission, upper gastrointestinal bleeding, and high APACHE II scores are risk factors for the development of SIRS in patients hospitalized for gastrointestinal bleeding.