A Machine Learning-Based Mortality Prediction Model for Patients with Chronic Hepatitis C Infection: An Exploratory Study.

Background: Chronic hepatitis C (HCV) infection presents global health challenges with significant morbidity and mortality implications. Successfully treating patients with cirrhosis may lead to mortality rates comparable to the general population. This study aims to utilize machine learning techniques to create predictive mortality models for individuals with chronic HCV infections. Methods: Data from chronic HCV patients at Sultan Qaboos University Hospital (2009-2017) underwent analysis. Data pre-processing handled missing values and scaled features using Python via Anaconda. Model training involved SelectKBest feature selection and algorithms such as logistic regression, random forest, gradient boosting, and SVM. The evaluation included diverse metrics, with 5-fold cross-validation, ensuring consistent performance assessment. Results: A cohort of 702 patients meeting the eligibility criteria, predominantly male, with a median age of 47, was analyzed across a follow-up period of 97.4 months. Survival probabilities at 12, 36, and 120 months were 90.0%, 84.0%, and 73.0%, respectively. Ten key features selected for mortality prediction included hemoglobin levels, alanine aminotransferase, comorbidities, HCV genotype, coinfections, follow-up duration, and treatment response. Machine learning models, including the logistic regression, random forest, gradient boosting, and support vector machine models, showed high discriminatory power, with logistic regression consistently achieving an AUC value of 0.929. Factors associated with increased mortality risk included cardiovascular diseases, coinfections, and failure to achieve a SVR, while lower ALT levels and specific HCV genotypes were linked to better survival outcomes. Conclusions: This study presents the use of machine learning models to predict mortality in chronic HCV patients, providing crucial insights for risk assessment and tailored treatments. Further validation and refinement of these models are essential to enhance their clinical utility, optimize patient care, and improve outcomes for individuals with chronic HCV infections.

MAFLD identifies patients with significant hepatic fibrosis better than MASLD.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Diagnostic criteria for metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) have been proposed but not yet validated. This study aimed to compare the diagnostic accuracy of the MASLD definition with the existing criteria for metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) in identifying patients with significant fibrosis. METHODS: The analysis included a total of 8317 individuals who had complete biochemical and liver ultrasonography data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (2017-2020). In this study, significant fibrosis (≥ F2) was determined by a median liver stiffness of ≥ 8.0 kPa. To identify independent factors associated with significant fibrosis, multivariable logistic regression analyses were applied. RESULTS: MAFLD (OR 3.44; 95% CI 2.88-4.12; P < 0.0001) has a trend for stronger and independent association with significant fibrosis compared to MASLD (OR 2.63; 95% CI 2.22-3.11; P < 0.0001). Non-MASLD MAFLD is independently associated with a 14.28-fold higher odds of significant fibrosis compared to non-MAFLD MASLD. The sensitivity for detecting significant fibrosis for MAFLD and MASLD was 76.23% vs 69.94%, respectively. The performance of MAFLD remains consistent in a sub-analysis of patients with no or mild alcohol intake. CONCLUSIONS: The definition of MAFLD provides a more precise identification of individuals who have both fatty liver and significant fibrosis, assessed by non-invasive tests.

Global Perspectives on the Hepatitis B Vaccination: Challenges, Achievements, and the Road to Elimination by 2030.

Annually, more than 1.5 million preventable new hepatitis B (HBV) infections continue to occur, with an estimated global burden of 296 million individuals living with chronic hepatitis B infection. This substantial health challenge results in over 820,000 annual deaths being attributed to complications such as liver cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The HBV vaccination remains the cornerstone of public health policy to prevent chronic hepatitis B and its related complications. It serves as a crucial element in the global effort to eliminate HBV, as established by the World Health Organization (WHO), with an ambitious 90% vaccination target by 2030. However, reports on global birth dose coverage reveal substantial variability, with an overall coverage rate of only 46%. This comprehensive review thoroughly examines global trends in HBV vaccination coverage, investigating the profound impact of vaccination on HBV prevalence and its consequences across diverse populations, including both high-risk and general demographics. Additionally, the review addresses the essential formidable challenges and facilitating factors for achieving WHO's HBV vaccination coverage objectives and elimination strategies in the coming decade and beyond.

Innovative Water-Wire Cannulation Technique for Managing Near-Complete Obstruction Due to Post-orthotopic Liver Transplant Anastomotic Strictures: A Report of Two Cases.

This report presents an innovative water-wire cannulation technique for managing challenging anastomotic strictures in post-orthotopic liver transplant patients, highlighting its successful application in two distinct cases. Anastomotic strictures pose a significant hurdle in hepatobiliary medicine, often complicating the course post-liver transplantation. Standard endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) methods frequently encounter limitations in severe stricture cases, necessitating alternative approaches. The water-wire cannulation technique, introduced in this report, innovatively utilizes water injection to gently dilate the stricture, enabling successful guidewire insertion and subsequent standard endoscopic interventions. This method was effectively applied in two patients with severe anastomotic strictures, where conventional ERCP techniques were unsuccessful. The technique's effectiveness, demonstrated in these cases, offers a less invasive and potentially safer alternative to traditional options like cholangioscopy, percutaneous transhepatic cholangiography (PTC), or surgical revision, which carry higher risks and complexities. The water-wire cannulation technique's success emphasizes the need for innovative and adaptable strategies in hepatobiliary medicine, especially for managing post-transplant complications. Its potential applicability in a broader spectrum of biliary strictures warrants further exploration. Overall, this technique represents a significant advancement in the endoscopic management of complex biliary strictures, promising to enhance patient care and outcomes in hepatobiliary medicine.

Predictors of survival among patients with chronic hepatitis C at a tertiary care center in Oman.

BACKGROUND: Chronic hepatitis C (CHC) is a leading cause of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) worldwide. This study aimed to determine rates and predictors of survival among Omani patients with CHC at a tertiary hospital in Muscat, Oman. METHODS: This ambidirectional cohort study included all CHC patients who presented to the Sultan Qaboos University Hospital between January 2009 and December 2017. Baseline demographic, clinical, laboratory, and radiological data were analyzed. Patients were followed-up until death or the endpoint of the study (April 2022) to determine survival and associations with other parameters. RESULTS: A total of 702 CHC patients were included, of which 398 (56.7%) were under 50 years of age and 477 (67.9%) were male. Overall, 180 patients (25.6%) died by the study endpoint. The mean duration of follow-up was 93.3 ± 48.0 months. The 5-year survival rate was estimated to be 80.5%, while the 10-year survival was 73%. Sustained virological response and the absence of diabetes mellitus, chronic kidney disease, HCC, or other malignancies were associated with significantly better overall survival. The 3- and 5-year survival rate of patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV)-related HCC was 46.5% and 27.6%, respectively, with a median survival of 29.5 months. Co-infection with hepatitis B was associated with poor survival among this subgroup; conversely, early HCV screening and the presence of a single HCC lesion were associated with better overall survival. CONCLUSIONS: National policies for early CHC screening and rapid treatment are needed to improve survival rates in this population.

Clinical Characteristics, Etiology, and Prognostic Scores in Patients with Acute Decompensated Liver Cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND: Chronic liver disease and cirrhosis contribute significantly to global mortality, with limited improvements despite medical advancements. This study aims to evaluate acute decompensation of liver cirrhosis characteristics, etiology, and survival outcomes in Oman. In addition, we examined the accuracy of prognostic scores in predicting mortality at 28 and 90 days. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective analysis of 173 adult patients with acute decompensation of liver cirrhosis at Sultan Qaboos University Hospital in Oman. We collected demographic, clinical, and biochemical data, including etiology, prognostic scores (CTP, MELD-Na, CLIF-C), and health outcomes. RESULTS: Alcohol (29.5%), hepatitis C (27.75%), and hepatitis B (26.74%) were the predominant causes of liver cirrhosis in our cohort. Hepatic encephalopathy, mechanical ventilation, and admission to the intensive care unit were strongly associated with an increased mortality rate. The 1-year readmission rate stood at 42.2%. Liver transplantation was performed in 4.1% of cases. The overall mortality rate was approximately 40% during the follow-up period, and the cumulative 28-days and 90-days mortality rates were 20.8% and 25.4%, respectively. Prognostic scores (CTP, MELD-Na, CLIF-C) effectively predicted 28- and 90-day mortality, with CLIF-C demonstrating superior performance (AUROC 0.8694 ± 0.0302 for 28-day mortality and AUROC 0.8382 ± 0.0359 for 90-day mortality). CONCLUSION: Alcohol and viral hepatitis are the leading causes of liver cirrhosis in our study. Hepatic encephalopathy is a significant predictor of poor outcomes. Prognostic scores (CTP, MELD-Na, CLIF-C) have valuable predictive abilities for short-term mortality. These findings highlight the importance of public strategies to reduce alcohol consumption and the need for the comprehensive management of liver cirrhosis in Oman. Early diagnosis and intervention can improve clinical outcomes and support the establishment of a national organ transplantation program to address the healthcare challenge effectively.

Pneumoperitoneum After Jejunostomy Tube Placement Managed by Needle Decompression: A Case Report.

Percutaneous endoscopic feeding tube placement is a commonly performed procedure in patients who cannot take food by mouth. While it is considered a safe and effective method of providing nutritional support, like any medical procedure, it can lead to complications. Feeding tube placement, including percutaneous endoscopic jejunostomy (PEJ), is associated with several complications, including bleeding, site infection, aspiration, buried bumper, tube dislodgement, and pneumoperitoneum. We report a case of a 20-year-old male with multiple medical issues who underwent a PEJ that was complicated by bowel distension. The patient developed tension pneumoperitoneum post-procedure, which was treated with a bedside needle decompression. This case report highlights the significance of promptly recognizing and intervening in complications that may arise during a frequently performed medical procedure, PEJ tube placement, to prevent serious consequences, including bowel ischemia.

A Novel Technique Using Ryle's Tube for Colonic Decompression in Acute Colonic Pseudo-Obstruction.

Acute colonic pseudo-obstruction, also known as Ogilvie's syndrome, involves colon dilation without mechanical obstruction. It is conventionally treated with conservative measures such as fasting, nasogastric and rectal tube placement, correction of fluids and electrolytes, and, if necessary, use of neostigmine and colonic decompression through colonoscopy. Surgical intervention may be considered in severe cases. In this report, we present a case of acute colonic pseudo-obstruction where initial conservative management failed. The patient was successfully treated using a novel rectal tube insertion technique.

Mucinous Cystic Neoplasm of the Pancreas in Pregnancy: A Case Report.

Mucinous cystic neoplasms (MCNs) of the pancreas are rare epithelial neoplasms, characterized by an inner epithelial layer and an ovarian-type sub-epithelial stroma. These lesions are typically benign but can pose challenges during pregnancy due to their rapid growth potential, associated risk of malignant transformation, and complications such as pancreatitis. We present a case of a 39-year-old pregnant female with a history of recurrent acute pancreatitis, diagnosed with an MCN during pregnancy. Diagnostic procedures were deferred until after delivery, followed by successful distal pancreatectomy. This case underscores the importance of individualized management strategies in pregnant patients with pancreatic MCNs, balancing the need for timely intervention with maternal and fetal safety. Long-term follow-up is generally unnecessary for MCNs without associated invasive carcinoma, emphasizing the favorable prognosis of these lesions following complete surgical resection.

Hepatitis B Related Liver Cirrhosis in Oman.

Objectives: An estimated 887 000 deaths were due to chronic hepatitis B (CHB) related complications in 2015 worldwide. Most of these deaths were related to decompensated liver cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Oman is a country with an intermediate prevalence of CHB. The Hepatitis B vaccine was introduced in Oman in 1990, with a vaccine coverage rate of > 95% reported in 2005. Despite the association between CHB and liver cirrhosis and HCC, no available data from Oman demonstrates CHB-related liver cirrhosis. We sought to estimate the prevalence of CHB among patients with liver cirrhosis from Oman. Methods: We conducted a retrospective chart review of patients diagnosed with liver cirrhosis at Sultan Qaboos University Hospital and Armed Forces Hospital between January 2006 and April 2013. All pediatric and adult patients with liver cirrhosis were included. We collected demographic data and liver cirrhosis investigations. Results: A total of 419 patients were included. Two-thirds of the patients were males. The median age was 59 years. Omani patients represented the majority (97.1%) of patients with cirrhosis. Diabetes mellitus was present in almost half of the patients, and 22.2% indicated alcohol consumption. Evidence of previous or current hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection was found in about half of the cohort (51.3%). Only 3.3% of CHB patients were positive for hepatitis B e-Antigen. HBV DNA was detected in 47 patients (21.9%), of which 20 patients had a high viral load > 2000 IU/ml. More than a third (36.7%) had positive hepatitis B surface antibody (anti-HBs), indicating immunity to HBV, and 27.1% was due to previous HBV infection, 5.2% was immune due to vaccination, and 3.7% had positive anti-HBs and unknown anti-HBc status. Negative anti-HBs was found in 34.1% of the cohort and 29.9% had unknown immunity status. HBV coinfection with HCV was found in 24.7% of HBV patients with cirrhosis. Conclusions: Serological markers of CHB are common among liver cirrhosis patients in Oman. CHB related cirrhosis was more common in old age males than females (70.7% vs. 29.3%, respectively; p < 0.010). Evidence of past or present HBV infection was found in > 50% of the patients.

Risk Factors for Hepatitis B Virus Transmission in Oman.

OBJECTIVES: Hepatitis B virus (HBV) is a major public health problem worldwide. The prevalence of HBV is dependent on the modes of transmission. Chronic hepatitis B (CHB) infection can progress to liver cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma. Oman is regarded as an intermediate endemic region and has had a neonatal vaccine against HBV since 1990. However, little research has been conducted regarding risk factors for HBV transmission. Our study aimed to identify the prevalence of major risk factors for acquiring HBV in Oman. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective chart review of all adult Omani patients diagnosed with CHB at two tertiary hospitals in Oman, Sultan Qaboos University Hospital and Armed Forces Hospital, between February 2009 and July 2013. The prevalence of major risk factors was identified by interviewing CHB patients using a standard questionnaire during their follow-up visits to the hepatology clinic at both hospitals. The risk factor frequency was stratified by age, gender, and educational level. RESULTS: A total of 274 patients were interviewed; 52.2% of the participants were males. The median age for men was 35.9 years and 35.1 years for women, with 75.5% aged 20-39 years old. The antenatal screening was the most common means of identifying HBV infection in females, and pre-blood donation screening was the most common in males. Intra-familial contact with HBV infected persons and behavioral risks such as body piercing (females) and barber shaving (males) were more common than nosocomial risk factors. Knowledge about HBV infection was scarce among our participants. More than half of the participants had a positive family history of HBV infection. There was a significant association between HBV infection and age groups, and educational levels (p < 0.050 and p < 0.001, respectively). Among those who were infected due to intra-familial contact or behavioral risk, there was a significant difference between the two sexes (p < 0.020) and between the three age groups (< 23, 23-28, >28) of HBV positive mothers (33.3%, 14.3%, and 6.6%, respectively; p < 0.050). There was also a statistically significant difference among different educational levels (p < 0.050). CONCLUSIONS: Direct contact of infected individuals within a family and exposure to high-risk behaviors such as piercing and barber shaving are the main reported risk factors for HBV infection in Omani patients. Reducing the vertical and horizontal transmission of HBV in Oman could be improved by implementing routine antenatal screening of pregnant women and a greater focus on contact screening, respectively.

Nomenclature and definition of metabolic-associated fatty liver disease: a consensus from the Middle East and north Africa.

With the increasing prevalence of obesity and type 2 diabetes, fatty liver disease associated with metabolic dysfunction is a global health problem, especially because it is one of the earliest consequences of obesity and it precedes diabetes development. Fatty liver disease associated with metabolic dysfunction is of particular concern in the Middle East and north Africa, where its prevalence is greater than that in the rest of the world. Despite the magnitude of the problem, no regional guidelines have been developed to address this disease. This Review describes suggestions of redefining fatty liver disease associated with metabolic dysfunction, including its terminology and criteria for diagnosis. Experts have raised serious concerns on the current nomenclature, which labels the disease as non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), and its diagnostic criteria. The panel reached a consensus that the disease should be renamed as metabolic-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) and that the disease should be diagnosed by positive criteria. The aim is now to work with authorities across the region to implement these proposed changes and reflect them in health-care policy and to improve health care for patients in this region.

Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Oman: An analysis of 284 cases.

OBJECTIVES: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common type of primary liver tumour worldwide and is increasing in incidence. This study aimed to describe the clinical characteristics of HCC among Omani patients, along with its major risk factors, outcomes and the role of surveillance. METHODS: This retrospective case-series study was conducted between January 2008 and December 2015 at the three main tertiary care hospitals in Oman. All adult Omani patients diagnosed with HCC and visited these hospitals during the study period were included. Relevant data were collected from the patients' electronic medical records. RESULTS: A total of 284 HCC patients were included in the analysis. The mean age was 61.02 ± 11.41 years and 67.6% were male. The majority had liver cirrhosis (79.9%), with the most common aetiologies being chronic hepatitis C (46.5%) and B (43.2%). Only 13.7% of cases were detected by the HCC surveillance programme. Approximately half of the patients (48.5%) had a single liver lesion and 31.9% had a liver tumour of >5 cm in size. Approximately half (49.2%) had alpha-fetoprotein levels of ≥200 ng/mL. The majority (72.5%) were diagnosed using multiphase computed tomography alone. Less than half of the patients (48.9%) were offered one or more HCC treatment modalities. CONCLUSION: The majority of Omani HCC patients were male and had cirrhosis due to viral hepatitis. In addition, few patients were identified by the national surveillance programme and presented with advanced disease precluding therapeutic or even palliative treatment.

Noninvasive assessment and risk factors of liver fibrosis in patients with thalassemia major using shear wave elastography.

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to estimate the prevalence of liver fibrosis and assess the risk factors for developing significant liver fibrosis in patients with Thalassemia Major (TM). METHODS: All patients with TM over the age of 10 years were included in the study. RESULTS: A total of 94 eligible patients underwent 2-D SWE. The median age was 26.7 years. The median of the average 5-year serum ferritin (5yrSF) and liver iron concentration (LIC) assessed by MRI T2* were 1326 µg/L and 6.7 mg/g dw, respectively. Hepatitis C and hepatitis B core antibodies were positive in 38% and 1% of the patients respectively. The proportion of patients with significant fibrosis was 60%. Male gender increased the risk of significant fibrosis (Odds ratio of 0.4; p = .0373). Additionally, the 5yrSF (p = .00661), the LIC (p = .0225) and the lowest LIC of the previous 5 years (p = .0211) were significant. In the multivariable logistic regression model, only 5yrSF (p = .0035) and gender (p = .00984) remained significant. CONCLUSIONS: The risk of liver fibrosis is associated with iron overload and gender in patients with TM.

Tenofovir-induced Leukocytoclastic Vasculitis.

Tenofovir, a nucleotide analog, is one of the first-line medications recommended for the treatment of active chronic hepatitis B virus infection (CHB) and as a primary prophylaxis to prevent hepatitis B reactivation in cases of immunosuppression. We report the first case of tenofovir-induced leukocytoclastic vasculitis (LCV). A 43-year-old obese woman, who was known to have inactive CHB, was diagnosed with chronic immune thrombocytopenic purpura (ITP). She was treated with corticosteroid therapy and was put on tenofovir to prevent hepatitis B virus reactivation. A month later, she developed a skin rash, described as non-blanchable well-defined erythematous to violaceous papules and targetoid patches in her lower extremities. A skin biopsy showed features of LCV. The rash resolved completely within few days after replacing tenofovir with entecavir.

Epidemiology of Chronic Hepatitis C Infections at a Tertiary Care Centre in Oman.

OBJECTIVES: Chronic hepatitis C (CHC) is a leading cause of liver cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) worldwide. However, there is a lack of data regarding the epidemiology of CHC in Oman. This study aimed to describe the clinicopathological characteristics and outcomes of CHC-infected patients at a tertiary care hospital in Oman. METHODS: This retrospective descriptive hospital-based study included all CHC-infected patients who presented to the Sultan Qaboos University Hospital (SQUH) in Muscat, Oman, between January 2010 and December 2015. The baseline demographic, clinical, laboratory and radiological data of the patients were analysed. RESULTS: A total of 603 CHC-infected patients were identified during the study period; of these, 65.8% were male and the mean age was 44.8 ± 16.5 years. The main risk factors associated with CHC infection were intravenous drug abuse (23.9%) and a history of blood transfusions (20.7%). The most prevalent virus genotypes were 1 and 3 (44.0% and 35.1%, respectively). Upon initial presentation, 33.0% of the cohort had liver cirrhosis; of these, 48.7% had decompensated cirrhosis and 23.1% had HCCs. Liver transplantation was only performed for 7.5% of the cirrhosis patients, mostly as a curative treatment for HCC. CONCLUSION: The implementation of national policies to prevent hepatitis C transmission and encourage the early screening of at-risk patients is recommended to reduce the burden and consequences of this disease in Oman.

Chylous Ascites: Evaluation and Management.

Chylous ascites refers to the accumulation of lipid-rich lymph in the peritoneal cavity due to disruption of the lymphatic system secondary to traumatic injury or obstruction. Worldwide, abdominal malignancy, cirrhosis, and tuberculosis are the commonest causes of CA in adults, the latter being most prevalent in developing countries, whereas congenital abnormalities of the lymphatic system and trauma are commonest in children. The presence of a milky, creamy appearing ascitic fluid with triglyceride content above 200 mg/dL is diagnostic, and, in the majority of cases, unless there is a strong suspicion of malignancy, further investigations are not required in patients with cirrhosis. If an underlying cause is identified, targeted therapy is possible, but most cases will be treated conservatively, with dietary support including high-protein and low-fat diets supplemented with medium-chain triglycerides, therapeutic paracentesis, total parenteral nutrition, and somatostatins. Rarely, resistant cases have been treated by transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt, surgical exploration, or peritoneovenous shunt.

Rituximab for refractory autoimmune hepatitis: a case report.

Auto-immune hepatitis (AIH) is a chronic progressive hepatitis of unknown aetiology whose clinical presentation ranges from asymptomatic to fulminant hepatic failure. Corticosteroids and azathioprine, which are considered standard therapy for AIH, may, however, be associated with treatment failures and toxicities. Among the alternative medications under investigation, rituximab, used to treat successfully various auto-immune disorders, has fewer side effects. We report herein the case of a 68-year-old woman who developed AIH with worsening clinical, laboratory and histological features despite high-dose prednisone. On rituximab, the patient showed rapid and dramatic clinical improvement, suggesting a therapeutic role for this medication in severe AIH. Indeed, prospective controlled studies are needed to assess and validate this role.