Impact of statin treatment on non-invasive tests based predictions of fibrosis in a referral pathway for NAFLD.

OBJECTIVE: In non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), fibrosis determines the risk of liver complications. Non-invasive tests (NITs) such as FIB-4, NAFLD Fibrosis Score (NFS) and Hepamet, have been proposed as a tool to triage NAFLD patients in primary care (PC). These NITs include AST±ALT in their calculations. Many patients with NAFLD take statins, which can affect AST/ALT, but it is unknown if statin affects NITs fibrosis prediction. METHODS: We included 856 patients referred through a standardised pathway from PC with a final diagnosis of NAFLD. 832 had reliable vibration controlled transient elastography (VCTE) measurements. We assessed the effects of statins on the association between NITs and VCTE at different fibrosis thresholds. RESULTS: 129 out of 832 patients were taking a statin and 138 additional patients had indication for a statin. For any given FIB-4 value, patients on a statin had higher probabilities of high VCTE than patients not on a statin. Adjusting for body mass index, diabetes and age almost completely abrogated these differences, suggesting that these were related to patient's profile rather to a specific effect of statins. Negative predictive values (NPVs) of FIB-4 <1.3 for VCTE >8, 10, 12 and 16 were, respectively, 89, 94, 96% and 100% in patients on a statin and 92, 95, 98% and 99% in patients not on a statin. Statins had similar impact on Hepamet predictions but did not modify NFS predictions. CONCLUSION: In patients with NAFLD referred from PC, those on statins had higher chances of a high VCTE for a given FIB-4 value, but this had a negligible impact on the NPV of the commonly used FIB-4 threshold (<1.3).

Test-Retest Reliability and Consistency of HVPG and Impact on Trial Design: A Study in 289 Patients from 20 Randomized Controlled Trials.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Portal hypertension (PH) is a major driver for cirrhosis complications. Portal pressure is estimated in practice by the HVPG. The assessment of HVPG changes has been used for drug development in PH. This study aimed at quantifying the test-retest reliability and consistency of HVPG in the specific context of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) for the treatment of PH in cirrhosis and its impact on power calculations for trial design. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We conducted a search of published RCTs in patients with cirrhosis reporting individual patient-level data of HVPG at baseline and after an intervention, which included a placebo or an untreated control arm. Baseline and follow-up HVPGs in the control groups were extracted after digitizing the plots. We assessed reliability and consistency and the potential impact of study characteristics. We retrieved a total of 289 before and after HVPG measurements in the placebo/untreated groups from 20 RCTs. The time span between the two HVPG measurements ranged between 20 minutes and 730 days. Pre-/post-HVPG variability was lower in studies including only compensated patients; therefore, modeled sample size calculations for trials in compensated cirrhosis were lower than for decompensated cirrhosis. A higher proportion of alcohol-associated cirrhosis and unicentric trials was associated with lower differences between baseline and follow-up measurements. The smallest detectable difference in an individual was 26% and 30% in compensated and decompensated patients, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The test-retest reliability of HVPG is overall excellent. Within-individual variance was higher in studies including higher proportions of decompensated patients. These findings should be taken into account when performing power analysis for trials based on the effects on HVPG or when considering HVPG as a tool to guide therapy of PH.

A systematic review on pharmacokinetics, cardiovascular outcomes and safety profiles of statins in cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: There is increased interest in the therapeutic use of statins in cirrhosis, but preferred statin and safety outcomes are still not well known. In this systematic review we aimed to address pharmacokinetics (PK), safety, and effects on cardiovascular (CV) outcomes of statins in cirrhosis. METHODS: Our systematic search in several electronic databases and repositories of two regulatory bodies up to 2020-06-11 yielded 22 articles and 2 drug monographs with relevant data. RESULTS: Rosuvastatin and pitavastatin showed minimal PK changes in Child-Pugh A cirrhosis. Only rosuvastatin was assessed in a repeated dosing PK study. Atorvastatin showed pronounced PK changes in cirrhosis. No PK data was found for simvastatin, the most commonly used statin in cirrhosis trials. There was insufficient data to assess CV effects of statins in cirrhosis. Clinical trials in cirrhosis were limited to simvastatin, atorvastatin, and pravastatin. In patients taking simvastatin 40 mg, pooled frequency of rhabdomyolysis was 2%, an incidence 40-fold higher than that reported in non-cirrhosis patients, while this was no rhabdomyolysis observed in patients on simvastatin 20 mg, atorvastatin 20 mg, or pravastatin 40 mg. Drug-induced liver injury was of difficult interpretation due to co-existence of muscle damage. No overt liver failure was reported. CONCLUSIONS: Simvastatin 40 mg should be avoided in decompensated cirrhosis. Safety data on simvastatin 20 mg or other statins are based on small study sample size. This rarity of evidence combined with lack of data in dose adjustment methods in cirrhosis is a barrier for using statins for CV indications or for investigational use for liver indications.

Impact of Implementing a "FIB-4 First" Strategy on a Pathway for Patients With NAFLD Referred From Primary Care.

Detection of advanced fibrosis in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is essential for stratifying patients according to the risk of liver-related morbidity. Noninvasive methods such as vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) and Fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4) have been recommended to identify patients for further assessment. The aim of this study was to assess the potential impact of implementing a "FIB-4 First" strategy to triage patients entering a NAFLD assessment pathway. The pathway for patients with suspected NAFLD was piloted at a tertiary liver center. Referral criteria were 16-65 years old, elevated alanine aminotransferase and/or steatosis on imaging, and absence of a previous liver diagnosis. A registered nurse risk-stratified all patients based on VCTE and FIB-4 was calculated. Potential alternative diagnoses were excluded with bloodwork. A total of 565 patients underwent risk stratification with VCTE with a 97% success rate. Ten percent had VCTE of at least 8 kPa; 560 patients had FIB-4 available for analysis and 87% had values less than 1.3. Of those with a FIB-4 of at least 1.3, 69% had a VCTE less than 8 kPa. Further modeling showed that the presence of diabetes, age, and body mass index had only a moderate impact on the association between FIB-4 and elastography values if using a FIB-4 threshold of 1.3. Conclusion: A FIB-4 threshold of 1.3 was acceptable for excluding the presence of advanced fibrosis (assessed by VCTE). A staged risk-stratification model using FIB-4 and VCTE could save up to 87% of further assessments. This model could improve accessibility by moving the initial fibrosis evaluation to the medical home and helping to prioritize patients for further specialized care.