COVID-19 Outcome Prediction by Integrating Clinical and Metabolic Data using Machine Learning Algorithms.

Background: The coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is an infectious disease caused by the SARS-CoV-2 virus and is responsible for nearly 6 million deaths worldwide in the past 2 years. Machine learning (ML) models could help physicians in identifying high-risk individuals. Objectives: To study the use of ML models for COVID-19 prediction outcomes using clinical data and a combination of clinical and metabolic data, measured in a metabolomics facility from a public university. Methods: A total of 154 patients were included in the study. "Basic profile" was considered with clinical and demographic variables (33 variables), whereas in the "extended profile," metabolomic and immunological variables were also considered (156 characteristics). A selection of features was carried out for each of the profiles with a genetic algorithm (GA) and random forest models were trained and tested to predict each of the stages of COVID-19. Results: The model based on extended profile was more useful in early stages of the disease. Models based on clinical data were preferred for predicting severe and critical illness and death. ML detected trimethylamine N-oxide, lipid mediators, and neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio as important variables. Conclusions: ML and GAs provided adequate models to predict COVID-19 outcomes in patients with different severity grades.

COVID-19 Outcome Prediction by Integrating Clinical and Metabolic Data using Machine Learning Algorithms

ABSTRACT Background: The coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is an infectious disease caused by the SARS-CoV-2 virus and is responsible for nearly 6 million deaths worldwide in the past 2 years. Machine learning (ML) models could help physicians in identifying high-risk individuals. Objectives: To study the use of ML models for COVID-19 prediction outcomes using clinical data and a combination of clinical and metabolic data, measured in a metabolomics facility from a public university. Methods: A total of 154 patients were included in the study. "Basic profile" was considered with clinical and demographic variables (33 variables), whereas in the "extended profile," metabolomic and immunological variables were also considered (156 characteristics). A selection of features was carried out for each of the profiles with a genetic algorithm (GA) and random forest models were trained and tested to predict each of the stages of COVID-19. Results: The model based on extended profile was more useful in early stages of the disease. Models based on clinical data were preferred for predicting severe and critical illness and death. ML detected trimethylamine N-oxide, lipid mediators, and neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio as important variables. Conclusion: ML and GAs provided adequate models to predict COVID-19 outcomes in patients with different severity grades.

Identification of People with Diabetes Treatment through Lipids Profile Using Machine Learning Algorithms.

Diabetes incidence has been a problem, because according with the World Health Organization and the International Diabetes Federation, the number of people with this disease is increasing very fast all over the world. Diabetic treatment is important to prevent the development of several complications, also lipid profile monitoring is important. For that reason the aim of this work is the implementation of machine learning algorithms that are able to classify cases, that corresponds to patients diagnosed with diabetes that have diabetes treatment, and controls that refers to subjects who do not have diabetes treatment but some of them have diabetes, bases on lipids profile levels. Logistic regression, K-nearest neighbor, decision trees and random forest were implemented, all of them were evaluated with accuracy, sensitivity, specificity and AUC-ROC curve metrics. Artificial neural network obtain an acurracy of 0.685 and an AUC value of 0.750, logistic regression achieve an accuracy of 0.729 and an AUC value of 0.795, K-nearest neighbor gets an accuracy of 0.669 and an AUC value of 0.709, on the other hand, decision tree reached an accuracy pg 0.691 and a AUC value of 0.683, finally random forest achieve an accuracy of 0.704 and an AUC curve of 0.776. The performance of all models was statistically significant, but the best performance model for this problem corresponds to logistic regression.

Identification of Diabetic Patients through Clinical and Para-Clinical Features in Mexico: An Approach Using Deep Neural Networks.

Diabetes is a chronic and noncommunicable but preventable disease that is affecting the Mexican population at worrying levels, being the first place in prevalence worldwide. Early diabetes detection has become important to prevent other health conditions that involve low organ yield until the patient death. Based on this problem, this work proposes the architecture of an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) for the automated classification of healthy patients from diabetics patients. The analysis was performed used a set of 19 para-clinical features to determine the health status of the patients. The developed model was evaluated through a statistical analysis based on the calculation of the loss function, accuracy, area under the curve (AUC) and receiving operating characteristics (ROC) curve. The results obtained present statistically significant values, with accuracy of 0.94 and AUC values of 0.98. Based on these results, it is possible to conclude that the ANN implemented in this work can classify patients with presence of diabetes from controls with significant accuracy, presenting preliminary results for the development of a diagnostic tool that can be supportive for health specialists.