Are adverse events higher among patients with acute optic neuritis prescribed glucocorticoids? A retrospective, longitudinal cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: Optic neuritis (ON) is an acute focal inflammation of the optic nerve routinely treated with glucocorticoids. We aimed to compare adverse events (AE) among glucocorticoid-treated and untreated patients in the real world to guide clinical decision making about treatment tradeoffs. DESIGN: Retrospective, longitudinal cohort study. SETTING: Claims study from a large, private insurer in the USA (2005-2019). PARTICIPANTS: Adults≥18 years old with ≥1 ICD9/10 ON diagnosis with an evaluation/management visit code, and ≥6 months continuous enrolment prior to and following ON diagnosis. INTERVENTION: Glucocorticoid prescription exposure. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: Primary outcome was any AE within 90 days of glucocorticoid prescription. Secondary outcome was AE assessment by severity. Generalised estimating equations with logit link assessed relationships between glucocorticoid prescription and AEs. High-dimensional propensity score analyses accounted for potential confounding (eg, sociodemographics and comorbidities). Sensitivity analyses restricted the cohort to high-dose prescriptions (≥100 mg prednisone equivalent, injection/infusion), AEs within 30 days, highly specific ON definition and traditional propensity score match. RESULTS: Of the 14 311 people with 17 404 ON claims, 66.3% were women (n=9481), predominantly White (78.2%; n=9940), with median age (IQR)=48 (37,60) years. Within 90 days of the claim, 15.7% (n=2733/17 404) were prescribed glucocorticoids. The median (IQR) prescription duration=10 (6,20) days. Any and severe AEs were higher among patients prescribed glucocorticoids versus none (any AEs: n=437/2733 (16.0%) vs n=1784/14 671 (12.2%), adjusted OR 1.33 (95% CI: 1.18 to 1.50); severe AEs: n=72/2733 (2.6%) vs n=273/14 671 (1.9%), adjusted OR 1.82 (95% CI: 1.37 to 2.35)). Sensitivity analyses were similar. CONCLUSIONS: Real-world glucocorticoid prescriptions among ON patients were short-term, associated with a 30% relative increase in potentially serious AEs captured within healthcare encounters, including those not previously observed, such as VTE. These results can inform treatment decisions, particularly for ON patients likely to experience only marginal benefits.

Bidirectional Associations Between Mental Health Disorders and Chronic Diabetic Complications in Individuals With Type 1 or Type 2 Diabetes.

OBJECTIVE: To determine bidirectional associations between the timing of chronic diabetes complications (CDCs) and mental health disorders (MHDs) in individuals with type 1 or type 2 diabetes. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: We used a nationally representative health care claims database to identify matched individuals with type 1 or 2 diabetes or without diabetes using a propensity score quasirandomization technique stratified by age (0-19, 20-39, 40-59, and 60+ years). CDCs and MHDs were identified using ICD-9/10 codes. We fit Cox proportional hazards models with time-varying diagnoses of CDCs or MHDs to investigate their association with the hazard of developing MHDs or CDCs, respectively. RESULTS: From 2001 to 2018, a total of 553,552 individuals were included (44,735 with type 1 diabetes, 152,187 with type 2 diabetes, and 356,630 without diabetes). We found that having a CDC increased the hazard of developing an MHD (hazard ratio [HR] 1.9-2.9; P < 0.05, with higher HRs in older age strata), and having an MHD increased the hazard of developing a CDC (HR 1.4-2.5; P < 0.05, with the highest HR in age stratum 0-19 years). In those age <60 years, individuals with type 1 diabetes were more likely to have CDCs, whereas individuals with type 2 diabetes were more likely to have MHDs. However, the relationship between CDCs and MHDs in either direction was not affected by diabetes type (P > 0.05 for interaction effects). CONCLUSIONS: We found a consistent bidirectional association between CDCs and MHDs across the life span, highlighting the important relationship between CDCs and MHDs. Prevention and treatment of either comorbidity may help reduce the risk of developing the other.

Access to New Clinic Appointments for Patients With Cancer.

Importance: Racial and ethnic disparities have been observed in the outpatient visit rates for specialist care, including cancer care; however, little is known about patients' experience at the critical step of attempting to access new clinic appointments for cancer care. Objective: To determine simulated English-speaking, Spanish-speaking, and Mandarin-speaking patient callers' ability to access new clinic appointments for 3 cancer types (colon, lung, and thyroid cancer) that disproportionately impact Hispanic and Asian populations. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cross-sectional audit study was conducted between November 2021 and March 2023 using 479 clinic telephone numbers that were provided by the hospital general information personnel at 143 hospitals located across 12 US states. Using standardized scripts, trained research personnel assigned to the roles of English-speaking, Spanish-speaking, and Mandarin-speaking patients called the telephone number for a clinic that treats colon, lung, or thyroid cancer to inquire about a new clinic appointment. Data analysis was conducted from June to September 2023. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was whether the simulated patient caller was able to access cancer care (binary variable, yes or no), which was defined to include being provided with a clinic appointment date or scheduling information. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to determine factors independently associated with simulated patient callers being able to access cancer care. Results: Of 985 total calls (399 English calls; 302 Spanish calls; 284 Mandarin calls), simulated patient callers accessed cancer care in 409 calls (41.5%). Differences were observed based on language type, with simulated English-speaking patient callers significantly more likely to access cancer care compared with simulated Spanish-speaking and Mandarin-speaking patient callers (English, 245 calls [61.4%]; Spanish, 110 calls [36.4%]; Mandarin, 54 calls [19.0%]; P < .001). A substantial number of calls ended due to linguistic barriers (291 of 586 Spanish or Mandarin calls [49.7%]) and workflow barriers (239 of 985 calls [24.3%]). Compared with English-speaking simulated patient callers, the odds of accessing cancer care were lower for Spanish-speaking simulated patient callers (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 0.34; 95% CI, 0.25-0.46) and Mandarin-speaking simulated patient callers (aOR, 0.13; 95% CI, 0.09-0.19). Compared with contacting clinics affiliated with teaching hospitals, callers had lower odds of accessing cancer care when contacting clinics that were affiliated with nonteaching hospitals (aOR, 0.53; 95% CI, 0.40-0.70). Conclusions and Relevance: In this cross-sectional audit study, simulated patient callers encountered substantial barriers when attempting to access clinic appointments for cancer care. These findings suggest that interventions focused on mitigating these barriers are necessary to increase access to cancer care for all patients.

Bilateral peripapillary choroidal neovascular membranes in Vogt-Koyanagi-Harada disease.

Choroidal neovascular membrane (CNVM) in Vogt-Koyanagi-Harada disease (VKH) is a known entity, observed primarily during the chronic convalescent and chronic-recurrent phases of the disease. However, the peripapillary location of CNVM is a rare finding.We describe a case of chronic VKH with bilateral peripapillary CNVM detected using multimodal imaging and the associated differential diagnoses and treatment approach.A combination of anti-vascular endothelial growth factor injections, systemic steroids and immunosuppressants is often required to manage the aggressive course of this choroidal neovascularisation.

Prevalence and Risk Factors of Distal Symmetric Polyneuropathy Among Predominantly Non-Hispanic Black, Low-Income Patients.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Distal symmetric polyneuropathy (DSP) is a disabling, often painful condition associated with falls and reduced quality of life. Non-Hispanic Black people and people with low income are underrepresented in existing DSP studies; therefore, it is unknown whether data accurately reflect the prevalence, risk factors, and burden of disease in these populations. METHODS: Patients older than 40 years presenting to an outpatient internal medicine clinic predominantly serving Medicaid patients in Flint, Michigan, were enrolled in a cross-sectional study. Demographics, clinical characteristics, including medication use, anthropomorphic measurements, fasting lipids, and hemoglobin A1c were collected. DSP was defined using the modified Toronto Clinical Neuropathy Score (mTCNS). Multivariable logistic regression was performed to model DSP and undiagnosed DSP as a function of potential risk factors age, metabolic syndrome, and race. DSP burden was measured using Peripheral Neuropathy Quality of Life Instrument-97. RESULTS: Two hundred participants were enrolled, and 169 (85%) completed all data collection. The population was 55% female of mean age (SD) 58.2 years (10.4) and 69% non-Hispanic Black. Among the population, 50% had diabetes, 67% had metabolic syndrome, and 47% had a household income <$20,000. DSP was present in 73% of the population, of which 75% were previously undiagnosed. Neuropathic pain was documented in 57% of participants with DSP. DSP based on mTCNS criteria was associated with older age (odds ratio [OR] 1.1 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.03-1.2]) and metabolic syndrome (OR 4.4 [1.1-18.1]). Non-Hispanic Black participants had lower odds of DSP (OR 0.1 [0.01-0.4]) than non-Hispanic White and Hispanic participants. DSP burden was high, including increased pain, health-related worry, and poorer quality of life (all p < 0.001). DISCUSSION: DSP is extremely common and often underrecognized in this predominantly non-Hispanic Black, low-income population and leads to substantial disease burden. Metabolic syndrome is a highly prevalent, modifiable risk factor in this population that should be managed to lower DSP prevalence.

Time-varying associations of patient and tumor characteristics with cancer survival: an analysis of SEER data across 14 cancer sites, 2004-2017.

PURPOSE: Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) cancer registries provides information about survival duration and cause of death for cancer patients. Baseline demographic and tumor characteristics such as age, sex, race, year of diagnosis, and tumor stage can inform the expected survival time of patients, but their associations with survival may not be constant over the post-diagnosis period. METHODS: Using SEER data, we examined if there were time-varying associations of patient and tumor characteristics on survival, and we assessed how these relationships differed across 14 cancer sites. Standard Cox proportional hazards models were extended to allow for time-varying associations and incorporated into a competing-risks framework, separately modeling cancer-specific and other-cause deaths. For each cancer site and for each of the five factors, we estimated the relative hazard ratio and absolute hazard over time in the presence of competing risks. RESULTS: Our comprehensive consideration of patient and tumor characteristics when estimating time-varying hazards showed that the associations of age, tumor stage at diagnosis, and race/ethnicity with risk of death (cancer-specific and other-cause) change over time for many cancers; characteristics of sex and year of diagnosis exhibit some time-varying patterns as well. Stage at diagnosis had the largest associations with survival. CONCLUSION: These findings suggest that proportional hazards assumptions are often violated when examining patient characteristics on cancer survival post-diagnosis. We discuss several interesting results where the relative hazards are time-varying and suggest possible interpretations. Based on the time-varying associations of several important covariates on survival after cancer diagnosis using a pan-cancer approach, the likelihood of the proportional hazards assumption being met or corresponding interpretation should be considered in survival analyses, as flawed inference may have implications for cancer care and policy.

Survival Prognostication in Patients with Differentiated Thyroid Cancer and Distant Metastases: A SEER Population-Based Study.

Background: For patients with thyroid cancer, distant metastasis is a significant predictor of poor outcome. Since distant metastasis occurs in less than 10% of patients with differentiated thyroid cancer, correlates of survival in this vulnerable patient population remain understudied. This study aimed to identify prognostic groups among patients with differentiated thyroid cancer and distant metastases and to determine the role of, and interactions between, patient and tumor characteristics in determining survival. Methods: We identified adult patients diagnosed with differentiated thyroid cancer with distant metastases from the U.S. SEER-17 cancer registry (2010-2019). Analyses were performed using Cox proportional hazards regression, survival trees, and random survival forest. Relative importance of patient and tumor factors important for disease-specific and overall survival was assessed based on the random survival forest analyses. Results: Cohort consisted of 2411 patients with differentiated thyroid cancer with distant metastases followed for a median of 62 months. Most common histopathologic subtype (86.0%) was papillary thyroid cancer, and the most common sites of distant metastasis were the lungs (33.7%) and bone (18.9%). Cox proportional hazards model illustrated significant associations between survival and the following: patient age (p < 0.001), tumor size (p < 0.01), and site of distant metastasis (p < 0.05). Survival tree analyses identified three distinct prognostic groups based on disease-specific survival (DSS) (5-year survival of the prognostic groups was 92%, 64%, and 41%; p < 0.001) and four distinct prognostic groups based on overall survival (OS) (5-year survival of the prognostic groups was 96%, 84%, 57%, and 31%; p < 0.001). The first split in the survival trees for DSS and OS was by age at diagnosis (≤57 years vs. ≥58 years) with subsequent splits based on presence/absence of lung metastases, tumor size (≤4 cm vs. >4 cm), and patient age. A total of 558 patients (23.1%) died from thyroid cancer, and 757 patients (31.4%) died from all causes during the study period. Conclusions: This study identifies distinct prognostic groups for patients with differentiated thyroid cancer with distant metastases and highlights the importance of patient age, lung metastases, and tumor size for determining both disease-specific and overall survival. These findings inform risk stratification and treatment decision-making in this understudied patient population.

Obesity, Inflammation, and Clinical Outcomes in COVID-19: A Multicenter Prospective Cohort Study.

CONTEXT: Obesity is a risk factor for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)-related outcomes; however, the mechanism remains unclear. OBJECTIVE: The objective of this analysis was to determine whether inflammation mediates the association between obesity and COVID-19 outcomes. DESIGN: The International Study of Inflammation in Covid-19 (ISIC): A Prospective Multi-Center Observational Study Examining the Role of Biomarkers of Inflammation in Predicting Covid-19 Related Outcomes in Hospitalized Patients. SETTING: Ten hospitals in the United States and Europe. PARTICIPANTS: Adults hospitalized specifically for COVID-19 between February 1, 2020, through October 19, 2022. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Inflammatory biomarkers, including soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR), were measured at admission. Associations were examined between body-mass index (BMI, kg/m2) and a composite of death, need for mechanical ventilation, and renal replacement therapy, stratified by pre- and post-Omicron variants. The contribution of inflammation to the relationship between obesity and outcomes was assessed. RESULTS: Among 4644 participants (mean age 59.3, 45.6% male, 21.8% BMI≥35), those with BMI>40 (n=485) had 55% higher odds of the composite outcome (95% CI[1.21 to 1.98]) compared to non-obese individuals (BMI<30, n=2358) in multivariable analysis. In multiple mediation analysis, only suPAR remained a significant mediator between BMI and composite outcome. Associations were amplified for participants younger than 65 years and with pre-Omicron variants. CONCLUSION: Obesity is associated with worse outcomes in COVID-19, notably in younger participants and in the pre-Omicron era. Inflammation, as measured by suPAR, is a significant mediator of the association between obesity and COVID-19 outcomes.

Mechanical Ventilation and Outcomes of Children Who Undergo Ventricular Assist Device Placement: 2014-2020 Linked Analysis From the Advanced Cardiac Therapies Improving Outcomes Network and Pediatric Cardiac Critical Care Consortium Registries.

OBJECTIVES: Placement of a ventricular assist device (VAD) improves outcomes in children with advanced heart failure, but adverse events remain important consequences. Preoperative mechanical ventilation (MV) increases mortality, but it is unknown what impact prolonged postoperative MV has. DESIGN: Advanced Cardiac Therapies Improving Outcomes Network (ACTION) and Pediatric Cardiac Critical Care Consortium (PC 4 ) registries were used to identify and link children with initial VAD placement admitted to the cardiac ICU (CICU) from August 2014 to July 2020. Demographics, cardiac diagnosis, preoperative and postoperative CICU courses, and outcomes were compiled. Univariable and multivariable statistics assessed association of patient factors with prolonged postoperative MV. Multivariable logistic regression sought independent associations with outcomes. SETTING: Thirty-five pediatric CICUs across the United States and Canada. PATIENTS: Children on VADs included in both registries. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Two hundred forty-eight ACTION subjects were linked to a matching patient in PC 4 . Median (interquartile) age 7.7 years (1.5-15.5 yr), weight 21.3 kg (9.1-58 kg), and 56% male. Primary diagnosis was congenital heart disease (CHD) in 35%. Pre-VAD explanatory variables independently associated with prolonged postoperative MV included: age (incidence rate ratio [IRR], 0.95; 95% CI, 0.93-0.96; p < 0.01); preoperative MV within 48 hours (IRR, 2.76; 95% CI, 1.59-4.79; p < 0.01), 2-7 days (IRR, 1.82; 95% CI, 1.15-2.89; p = 0.011), and greater than 7 days before VAD implant (IRR, 2.35; 95% CI, 1.62-3.4; p < 0.01); and CHD (IRR, 1.96; 95% CI, 1.48-2.59; p < 0.01). Each additional day of postoperative MV was associated with greater odds of mortality (odds ratio [OR], 1.09 per day; p < 0.01) in the full cohort. We identified an associated greater odds of mortality in the 102 patients with intracorporeal devices (OR, 1.24; 95% CI, 1.04-1.48; p = 0.014), but not paracorporeal devices (77 patients; OR, 1.04; 95% CI, 0.99-1.09; p = 0.115). CONCLUSIONS: Prolonged MV after VAD placement is associated with greater odds of mortality in intracorporeal devices, which may indicate inadequacy of cardiopulmonary support in this group. This linkage provides a platform for future analyses in this population.

Epidemiology of Postoperative Junctional Ectopic Tachycardia in Infants Undergoing Cardiac Surgery.

BACKGROUND: Junctional ectopic tachycardia (JET) complicates congenital heart surgery in 2% to 8.3% of cases. JET is associated with postoperative morbidity in single-center studies. We used the Pediatric Cardiac Critical Care Consortium data registry to provide a multicenter epidemiologic description of treated JET. METHODS: This is a retrospective study (February 2019-August 2022) of patients with treated JET. Inclusion criteria were (1) <12 months old at the index operation, and (2) treated for JET <72 hours after surgery. Diagnosis was defined by receiving treatment (pacing, cooling, and medications). A multilevel logistic regression analysis with hospital random effect identified JET risk factors. Impact of JET on outcomes was estimated by margins/attributable risk analysis using previous risk-adjustment models. RESULTS: Among 24,073 patients from 63 centers, 1436 (6.0%) were treated for JET with significant center variability (0% to 17.9%). Median time to onset was 3.4 hours, with 34% present on admission. Median duration was 2 days (interquartile range, 1-4 days). Tetralogy of Fallot, atrioventricular canal, and ventricular septal defect repair represented >50% of JET. Patient characteristics independently associated with JET included neonatal age, Asian race, cardiopulmonary bypass time, open sternum, and early postoperative inotropic agents. JET was associated with increased risk-adjusted durations of mechanical ventilation (incidence rate ratio, 1.6; 95% CI, 1.5-1.7) and intensive care unit length of stay (incidence rate ratio, 1.3; 95% CI, 1.2-1.3), but not mortality. CONCLUSIONS: JET is treated in 6% of patients with substantial center variability. JET contributes to increased use of postoperative resources. High center variability warrants further study to identify potential modifiable factors that could serve as targets for improvement efforts to ameliorate deleterious outcomes.

Impact of weight reduction on structural and functional parameters of the optic nerve in idiopathic intracranial hypertension.

PURPOSE: To evaluate the effect of weight reduction on the structural and functional parameters of the optic nerve in established cases of papilledema in Idiopathic Intracranial Hypertension (IIH). METHODS: A prospective observational study in early and established cases of papilledema in IIH presenting from December 2019 to February 2021. Functional parameters (visual acuity, contrast sensitivity, mean deviation, VER), structural parameters (RNFL, GCL-IPL, and optic disc height), and clinical grading of papilledema were measured at baseline and every 6 weeks for 6 months. All patients underwent medical (oral acetazolamide) and diet therapy. RESULTS: Mean body mass index (BMI) at presentation was 26.32 ± 3.52 kg/m² and the mean change in BMI over 6 months was 1.27 ± 0.50 kg/m². 67% of eyes had papilledema of grades 2-3 at the presentation. At the end of 6 months, 75% of eyes had grade 1 papilledema while 13% showed complete resolution. A reduction of 5.32 ± 3.58 in mean deviation (r = 0.316; p-value 0.01) and gain in VER P100 amplitude of 4.2 ± 2.7 µV (r = 0.40; p-value 0.003) were noted over 6 months with reduction in BMI over 6 months. A statistically significant reduction in optic disc height (ODH) was noticed with BMI reduction over 6 months (p = 0.0007; r = 0.45).A reduction of 1.72 ± 0.90 kg/m² (equivalent to 6.53% weight loss) in BMI was associated with a four-grade change in clinical grading of papilledema. CONCLUSION: Reduction in BMI had a significant impact on both structural and functional parameters of the optic nerve in IIH. The involvement of a well-certified dietician should be an integral part of treatment in IIH.

Intubation Decision Based on Illness Severity and Mortality in COVID-19: An International Study.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the impact of intubation timing, guided by severity criteria, on mortality in critically ill COVID-19 patients, amidst existing uncertainties regarding optimal intubation practices. DESIGN: Prospective, multicenter, observational study conducted from February 1, 2020, to November 1, 2022. SETTING: Ten academic institutions in the United States and Europe. PATIENTS: Adults (≥ 18 yr old) confirmed with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection and hospitalized specifically for COVID-19, requiring intubation postadmission. Exclusion criteria included patients hospitalized for non-COVID-19 reasons despite a positive SARS-CoV-2 test. INTERVENTIONS: Early invasive mechanical ventilation (EIMV) was defined as intubation in patients with less severe organ dysfunction (Sequential Organ Failure Assessment [SOFA] < 7 or Pa o2 /F io2 ratio > 250), whereas late invasive mechanical ventilation (LIMV) was defined as intubation in patients with SOFA greater than or equal to 7 and Pa o2 /F io2 ratio less than or equal to 250. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: The primary outcome was mortality within 30 days of hospital admission. Among 4464 patients, 854 (19.1%) required mechanical ventilation (mean age 60 yr, 61.7% male, 19.3% Black). Of those, 621 (72.7%) were categorized in the EIMV group and 233 (27.3%) in the LIMV group. Death within 30 days after admission occurred in 278 patients (42.2%) in the EIMV and 88 patients (46.6%) in the LIMV group ( p = 0.28). An inverse probability-of-treatment weighting analysis revealed a statistically significant association with mortality, with patients in the EIMV group being 32% less likely to die either within 30 days of admission (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 0.68; 95% CI, 0.52-0.90; p = 0.008) or within 30 days after intubation irrespective of its timing from admission (adjusted HR 0.70; 95% CI, 0.51-0.90; p = 0.006). CONCLUSIONS: In severe COVID-19 cases, an early intubation strategy, guided by specific severity criteria, is associated with a reduced risk of death. These findings underscore the importance of timely intervention based on objective severity assessments.

Residential Address Amplifies Health Disparities and Risk of Infection in Individuals With Diabetic Foot Ulcers.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the association between social determinants of health (SDOH) and a diagnosis of diabetic foot ulcer (DFU) infection. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Targeted interrogation of electronic health record data using novel search engines to analyze individuals with a DFU infection during a 5-year period (2013-2017) was performed. We extracted geolocated neighborhood data and SDOH characteristics from the National Neighborhood Data Archive and used univariate and multiple logistic regression to evaluate associations with outcomes in the population with diabetes. RESULTS: Among 4.3 million people overall and 144,564 individuals with diabetes seen between 2013 and 2017, 8,351 developed DFU, of which cases 2,252 were complicated by a DFU infection. Sex interactions occurred, as men who experienced a DFU infection more frequently identified as having nonmarried status than their female counterparts. For the population with DFU infection, there were higher rates for other SDOH, including higher neighborhood disadvantaged index score, poverty, nonmarriage, and less access to physician/allied health professionals (all P < 0.01). In multiple logistic regression, those individuals who developed DFU infection came from neighborhoods with greater Hispanic and/or foreign-born concentrations (odds ratio 1.11, P = 0.015). CONCLUSIONS: We found significant differences in neighborhood characteristics driving a higher risk for DFU infection in comparisons with the grouping of individuals with diabetes overall, including increased risk for individuals with Hispanic and/or foreign-born immigration status. These data strongly support the need to incorporate SDOH, particularly ethnic and immigration status, into triage algorithms for DFU risk stratification to prevent severe diabetic foot complications and move beyond biologic-only determinants of health.

SuPAR, biomarkers of inflammation, and severe outcomes in patients hospitalized for COVID-19: The International Study of Inflammation in COVID-19.

Severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a hyperinflammatory syndrome. The biomarkers of inflammation best suited to triage patients with COVID-19 are unknown. We conducted a prospective multicenter observational study of adult patients hospitalized specifically for COVID-19 from February 1, 2020 to October 19, 2022. Biomarkers measured included soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR), C-reactive protein, interleukin-6, procalcitonin, ferritin, and D-dimer. In-hospital outcomes examined include death and the need for mechanical ventilation. Patients admitted in the United States (US, n = 1962) were used to compute area under the curves (AUCs) and identify biomarker cutoffs. The combined European cohorts (n = 1137) were used to validate the biomarker cutoffs. In the US cohort, 356 patients met the composite outcome of death (n = 197) or need for mechanical ventilation (n = 290). SuPAR was the most important predictor of the composite outcome and had the highest AUC (0.712) followed by CRP (0.642), ferritin (0.619), IL-6 (0.614), D-dimer (0.606), and lastly procalcitonin (0.596). Inclusion of other biomarkers did not improve discrimination. A suPAR cutoff of 4.0 ng/mL demonstrated a sensitivity of 95.4% (95% CI: 92.4%-98.0%) and negative predictive value (NPV) of 92.5% (95% CI: 87.5%-96.9%) for the composite outcome. Patients with suPAR < 4.0 ng/mL comprised 10.6% of the cohort and had a 0.8% probability of the composite outcome. Applying this cutoff to the validation cohort yielded a sensitivity of 93.8% (90.4%-96.7%) and NPV of 95.5% (93.1%-97.8%) for the composite outcome. Among commonly measured biomarkers, suPAR offered stronger discriminatory ability and may be useful in triaging low-risk patients with COVID-19.

Accountable Care Organization Attribution and Post-Acute Skilled Nursing Facility Outcomes for People Living With Dementia.

OBJECTIVES: Under the Accountable Care Organization (ACO) model, reductions in healthcare spending have been achieved by targeting post-acute care, particularly in skilled nursing facilities (SNFs). People with Alzheimer disease and related dementias (ADRD) are frequently discharged to SNF for post-acute care and may be at particular risk for unintended consequences of SNF cost reduction efforts. We examined SNF length of stay (LOS) and outcomes among ACO-attributed and non-ACO-attributed ADRD patients. DESIGN: Observational serial cross-sectional study. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Twenty percent national random sample of fee-for-service Medicare beneficiaries (2013-2017) to identify beneficiaries with a diagnosis of ADRD and with a hospitalization followed by SNF admission (n = 263,676). METHODS: Our primary covariate of interest was ACO (n = 66,842) and non-ACO (n = 196,834) attribution. Hospital readmission and death were measured for 3 time periods (<30, 31-90, and 91-180 days) following hospital discharge. We used 2-stage least squares regression to predict LOS as a function of ACO attribution, and patient and facility characteristics. RESULTS: ACO-attributed ADRD patients have shorter SNF LOS than their non-ACO counterparts (31.7 vs 32.8 days; P < .001). Hospital readmission rates for ACO vs non-ACO differed at ≤30 days (13.9% vs 14.6%; P < .001) but were similar at 31-90 days and 91-180 days. No significant difference was observed in mortality post-hospital discharge for ACO vs non-ACO at ≤30 days; however, slightly higher mortality was observed at 31-90 days (8.4% vs 8.8%; P = .002) and 91-180 days (7.6% vs 7.9%; P = .011). No significant association was found between LOS and readmission, with small effects on mortality favoring ACOs in fully adjusted models. CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS: Being an ACO-attributed patient is associated with shorter SNF LOS but is not associated with changes in readmission or mortality after controlling for other factors. Policies that shorten LOS may not have adverse effects on outcomes for people living with dementia.

Contemporary Care and Outcomes of Critically-ill Children With Clinically Diagnosed Myocarditis.

PURPOSE: To describe contemporary management and outcomes in children with myocarditis who are admitted to a cardiac intensive care unit (CICU) and to identify the characteristics associated with mortality. METHODS: All patients in the Pediatric Cardiac Critical Care Consortium (PC4) registry between August 2014 and June 2021 who were diagnosed with myocarditis were included. Univariable analyses and multivariable logistic regression evaluated the factors associated with in-hospital mortality. RESULTS: There were 847 CICU admissions for myocarditis in 51 centers. The median age was 12 years (IQR 2.7-16). In-hospital mortality occurred in 53 patients (6.3%), and 60 (7.1%) had cardiac arrest during admission. Mechanical ventilation was required in 339 patients (40%), and mechanical circulatory support (MCS) in 177 (21%); extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO)-only in 142 (16.7%), ECMO-to-ventricular assist device (VAD) in 20 (2.4%), extracorporeal cardiac resuscitation in 43 (5%), and VAD-only in 15 (1.8%) patients. MCS was associated with in-hospital mortality; 20.3% receiving MCS died compared to 2.5% without MCS (P < 0.001). Mortality rates were similar in ECMO-only, ECMO-to-VAD and VAD-only groups. The median time from CICU admission to ECMO was 2.0 hours (IQR 0-9.4) and to VAD, it was 9.9 days (IQR 6.3-16.8). Time to MCS was not associated with mortality. In multivariable modeling of patients' characteristics, smaller body surface area (BSA) and low eGFR were independently associated with mortality, and after including critical therapies, mechanical ventilation and ECMO were independent predictors of mortality. CONCLUSION: This contemporary cohort of children admitted to CICUs with myocarditis commonly received high-resource therapies; however, most patients survived to hospital discharge and rarely received VAD. Smaller patient size, acute kidney injury and receipt of mechanical ventilation or ECMO were independently associated with mortality.

Cardiovascular Risk Stratification of Patients Undergoing Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation: The CARE-BMT Risk Score.

BACKGROUND: Evidence guiding the pre-hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) cardiovascular evaluation is limited. We sought to derive and validate a pre-HSCT score for the cardiovascular risk stratification of HSCT candidates. METHODS AND RESULTS: We leveraged the CARE-BMT (Cardiovascular Registry in Bone Marrow Transplantation) study, a contemporary multicenter observational study of adult patients who underwent autologous or allogeneic HSCT between 2008 and 2019 (N=2435; mean age at transplant of 55 years; 4.9% Black). We identified the subset of variables most predictive of post-HSCT cardiovascular events, defined as a composite of cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction, heart failure, stroke, atrial fibrillation or flutter, and sustained ventricular tachycardia. We then developed a point-based risk score using the hazard ratios obtained from Cox proportional hazards modeling. The score was externally validated in a separate cohort of 919 HSCT recipients (mean age at transplant 54 years; 20.4% Black). The risk score included age, transplant type, race, coronary artery disease, heart failure, peripheral artery disease, creatinine, triglycerides, and prior anthracycline dose. Risk scores were grouped as low-, intermediate-, and high-risk, with the 5-year cumulative incidence of cardiovascular events being 4.0%, 10.3%, and 22.4%, respectively. The area under the receiver operating curves for predicting cardiovascular events at 100 days, 5 and 10 years post-HSCT were 0.65 (95% CI, 0.59-0.70), 0.73 (95% CI, 0.69-0.76), and 0.76 (95% CI, 0.69-0.81), respectively. The model performed equally well in autologous and allogeneic recipients, as well as in the validation cohort. CONCLUSIONS: The CARE-BMT risk score is easy to calculate and could help guide referrals of high-risk HSCT recipients to cardiovascular specialists before transplant and guide long-term monitoring.