Dealing with Time Estimates in Hospital Cost Accounting: Integrating Fuzzy Logic into Time-Driven Activity-Based Costing.

BACKGROUND: Time-driven activity-based costing (TDABC) can support value-based healthcare (VBHC) programs by providing insights into the actual relationships between time spent by the medical staff and the costs associated with specific care cycles. However, the robustness of time estimates (time variation) as well as the effort required to obtain these estimates are major challenges of the TDABC methodology, given the heterogeneity in patients' needs and the presence of (multi)morbidity. To allow for the variation in time estimates in an efficient manner, this study uses fuzzy logic (FL) to estimate the TDABC model parameters (FL-TDABC). METHODS: A standardized care path was used to calculate the annual costs (per patient) and cost drivers of the Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) care cycle following the FL-TDABC methodology. Cost information (2018) was derived from hospital reports concerning financial, human resource and business intelligence data from a Dutch top clinical research hospital, Maasstad Hospital. Time estimates of procedures were obtained by interviewing the medical staff and relevant care activities were extracted from electronic health records. For analytical and validation purposes, FL-TDABC estimates were compared with TDABC and ABC cost estimates. RESULTS: The RA care cycle annual costs totaled €1497 per patient (2018 prices) based on the FL-TDABC methodology. Maximum RA cycle costs (€1684) were some 22% higher than minimum costs (€1317) observed from FL-TDABC. Cost drivers explaining the cost variation are predominantly the number of consultations with rheumatologists and pharmacy costs related to RA. Based on TDABC and ABC, annual costs per patient were €1609 and €1604, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The FL-TDABC methodology offers a more precise and efficient estimate of care cycle costs, allowing for the subjective (fuzzy) nature of healthcare time estimates made by the medical staff. As a result, the FL-TDABC provides insight into the practice variation, and hence it can promote the transition from a volume-based system to a VBHC system.

Multimorbidity status and annual healthcare expenditures of rheumatoid arthritis patients: a Dutch hospital-centered versus population-based comparison.

The prevalence of multimorbidity among rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients is increasing and associated with worse outcomes. Therefore, management of multimorbid patients requires a multidisciplinary approach. However, healthcare systems consist of mono-disciplinary subsystems, which limits collaboration across subsystems. To study the importance of a multidisciplinary, integrated approach, associations between expenditures and multimorbidity are assessed in real-life data. Retrospective data on RA patients from a Dutch single-hospital are analyzed and compared to the Dutch RA population data. The Elixhauser index is used to measure the multimorbidity prevalence. Regression analyses were conducted to derive the relationship between multimorbidity, healthcare costs and self-reported quality of life (e.g. EQ-5D). When analyzing the impact of multimorbidity within RA patients in context of a single-hospital context, multimorbidity is only partially captured: 13% prevalence versus 24% of the Dutch population. Multimorbidity is associated with higher care expenditures. Depending on the type of multimorbidity, expenditures are €43-€5821 higher in a single-hospital and from €2259-€9648 in population data. Finally, medication use associated with chronic diseases and self-reported aspects of well-being are associated with similar increases in healthcare expenditures as multimorbidity based on hospital care. Within RA, a single-hospital approach underestimates the association between multimorbidity and healthcare expenditures as 43% of healthcare utilization and expenditures are missed. To overcome a single-provider perspective in healthcare and efficiently coordinate multimorbid patients, besides providing holistic care, professionals also need to use data providing comprehensive pictures of patients.

Assessment of the size selectivity of peritoneal permeability by the restriction coefficient to protein transport.

Transport of serum proteins from the circulation to peritoneal dialysate in peritoneal dialysis patients mainly focused on total protein. Individual proteins have hardly been studied. We determined serum and effluent concentrations of four individual proteins with a wide molecular weight range routinely in the standardised peritoneal permeability analysis performed yearly in all participating patients. These include ß2-microglobulin, albumin, immunoglobulin G and α2-macroglobulin. The dependency of transport of these proteins on their molecular weight and diffusion coefficient led to the development of the peritoneal protein restriction coefficient (PPRC), which is the slope of the relation between the peritoneal clearances of these proteins and their free diffusion coefficients in water, when plotted on a double logarithmic scale. The higher the PPRC, the more size restriction to transport. In this review, we discuss the results obtained on the PPRC under various conditions, such as effects of various osmotic agents, vasoactive drugs, peritonitis and the hydrostatic pressure gradient. Long-term follow-up of patients shows an increase of the PPRC, the possible causes of which are discussed. Venous vasculopathy of the peritoneal microcirculation is the most likely explanation.

Diagnostic Performance and Clinical Utility of Referral Rules to Identify Primary Care Patients at Risk of an Inflammatory Rheumatic Disease.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the diagnostic performance and clinical utility of the Rotterdam Early Arthritis Cohort (REACH) and the Clinical Arthritis Rule (CARE) referral rules in an independent population of unselected patients from primary care. METHODS: This study consisted of adults who were suspected of the need for referral to a rheumatologist by their general practitioner. Diagnostic accuracy measures and a net benefit approach were used to compare both rules to usual care for recognizing inflammatory arthritis and inflammatory rheumatic diseases (IRDs). Using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator method and cross-validation we created an optimal prediction rule for IRD. RESULTS: This study consisted of 250 patients, of whom 42 (17%) were diagnosed with inflammatory arthritis and 55 (22%) with an IRD 3 months after referral. Considering inflammatory arthritis, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was 0.72 (95% confidence interval [95% CI] 0.64-0.80) for REACH and 0.82 (95% CI 0.75-0.88) for CARE. Considering IRD, the AUC was 0.66 (95% CI 0.58-0.74) for REACH and 0.76 (95% CI 0.69-0.83) for CARE. CARE was of highest clinical value when compared to usual care. The composite referral rule for IRD of 10 parameters included sex, age, joint features, acute onset of symptoms, physical limitations, and duration of symptoms (AUC 0.82 [95% CI 0.75-0.88]). CONCLUSION: Both validated rules have a net benefit in recognizing inflammatory arthritis as well as IRD compared to usual care, but CARE shows superiority over REACH. Although the composite referral rule indicates a greater diagnostic performance, external validation is needed.

Early Detection of Imminent Encapsulating Peritoneal Sclerosis: Free Water Transport, Selected Effluent Proteins, or Both?

BACKGROUND: No diagnostic tool or methodology is currently available for early detection of imminent encapsulating peritoneal sclerosis (EPS). The objective of this study was to investigate the predictive value of free water transport (FWT) and construct a panel of peritoneal effluent proteins for EPS alone or in combination with FWT. These parameters could be incorporated in the follow-up of peritoneal dialysis (PD) patients. METHODS: A case-control study, nested in a longitudinal PD patient cohort, was conducted. Time-specific areas under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve were calculated for FWT and effluent biomarkers at a lag time up to 3 years before EPS diagnosis. Free water transport was combined with appearance rates (AR) of biomarkers to assess their clinical validity. RESULTS: Free water transport volume and AR of effluent biomarkers were investigated in 11 EPS patients and 34 long-term PD patients. Diagnostic performance was best for FWT (area under the curve [AUC] 0.94) followed by plasminogen activator inhibitor (PAI-1) AR. Throughout, diagnostic panels of FWT and AR of cancer antigen 125 (CA125), interleukin-6 (IL-6), or (PAI-1) yielded specificity estimates above 84%. The combination of FWT and PAI-1 AR identified the largest proportion of EPS patients at 1 year prior to diagnosis (sensitivity 100%, specificity 94%). CONCLUSION: Measurement of FWT is simple and has the highest predictive value for imminent EPS. The addition of effluent biomarkers provides an all-round insight into the state of the peritoneum. Our data indicate that combining FWT with either PAI-1, CA125, or IL-6 has the highest specificity. This is required to avoid unnecessary discontinuation of PD treatment.

No Relation Between Peritoneal Fibrosis and Free Water Transport in a Rat Model.

Free water transport (FWT) during peritoneal dialysis (PD) can easily be measured by Na+ kinetics. In long-term PD, FWT might reflect peritoneal fibrosis, but morphologic or functional relationships have not been investigated. Nonconventional dialysis solutions might be associated with better preservation of peritoneal tissues and function. We developed a long-term peritoneal exposure model in rats with impaired kidney function and investigated peritoneal morphology and function in that model after exposure to conventional and nonconventional solutions.Two studies were reanalyzed. Transport was assessed using a standard peritoneal permeability analysis adapted for the rat. Omental tissue was stained with picro-sirius red (PSR) for uniform quantification of fibrosis. A semiquantitative fibrosis score was also calculated.Rats (n = 9) exposed to a conventional solution for 16 weeks were compared with rats (n = 9) exposed to other solutions. Peritoneal transport parameters were similar, but the degree of fibrosis tended to be more severe in the conventional-solution group. Compared with the situation in humans, the contribution of FWT to ultrafiltration in rats was larger than that of small-pore fluid transport. No correlation between the percentage PSR positivity and FWT was observed. A marked difference in PSR positivity was found between the two studies.The long-term exposure model is not suitable for the study of relationships between FWT and peritoneal fibrosis. Quantitative assessment of the fibrosis is difficult.

The Association of Effluent Ca125 with Peritoneal Dialysis Technique Failure.

UNLABELLED: ♦ BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Cancer antigen 125 (CA125) reflects the mesothelial cell mass lining the peritoneal membrane in individual patients. A decline or absence of mesothelial cells can be observed with duration of peritoneal dialysis (PD) therapy. Technique failure due to peritoneal membrane malfunction becomes of greater importance after 2 years of PD therapy in comparison to the initial period. In this study, we aimed to investigate the association between effluent CA125 and technique survival in incident PD patients with a PD therapy period of at least 2 years. ♦ METHODS: Within the Netherlands Cooperative Study on the Adequacy of Dialysis (NECOSAD), a Dutch multicenter cohort including 2,000 incident dialysis patients, we identified all PD patients who developed technique failure after 2 years of PD therapy and randomly selected a number of them as cases in a nested case-control study. Controls were PD patients matched on follow-up time without technique failure. Cases and controls were included if they had a dialysate specimen available within 24 ± 6 months of PD therapy for retrospective CA125 determinations. Odds ratios for technique failure related to CA125 were estimated. We used a prospective cohort with incident PD patients from the Academic Medical Center-University of Amsterdam (AMC) for replication of effect estimates. In these patients, absolute risk of technique failure was estimated and related to effluent CA125 levels. ♦ RESULTS: A total of 38 PD patients were selected from the NECOSAD cohort. From the AMC cohort as replication cohort, 91 PD patients were included. Incidence rates of PD technique failure per 100 patient-years were 16.3 in the NECOSAD cohort and 12.9 in the AMC cohort. In both study populations CA125 levels below 12 - 14 kU/L were associated with an increased risk for technique failure. Technique survival rates in the AMC were 87% in patients with levels of CA125 above 12.1 kU/L and 65% for those with CA125 levels below this threshold after a maximum 5-year follow-up. ♦ CONCLUSIONS: Patients with high CA125 levels after at least 2 years of PD therapy tend to have better technique survival than patients with low CA125 levels. These results support the importance of effluent CA125 as a risk factor for dropout in long-term PD therapy.

The value of osmotic conductance and free water transport in the prediction of encapsulating peritoneal sclerosis.

Qualitative assessments in long-term patients and in those with encapsulating peritoneal sclerosis (EPS) have shown that impaired osmotic conductance is likely a factor contributing to the presence of ultrafiltration failure in those individuals. In the present study, we investigated the value of osmotic conductance, its components LpA and the reflection coefficient sigma, and free water transport (FWT) in 12 patients with EPS, in 21 patients with long-term ultrafiltration failure, and in 26 time-restricted control subjects with normal ultrafiltration. A decrease in all parameters was observed during a period of 4 years in patients with EPS and ultrafiltration failure, with FWT showing the largest difference between all three groups; however, the receiver operating curves showed that only FWT appeared to be a significant predictor of EPS. Because its measurement is simple, FWT should be included in the regular assessment of peritoneal function.

Can effluent matrix metalloproteinase 2 and plasminogen activator inhibitor 1 be used as biomarkers of peritoneal membrane alterations in peritoneal dialysis patients?

BACKGROUND: Peritoneal effluent contains clinically relevant substances derived from intraperitoneal production or transperitoneal transport, or both. The glycoproteinase matrix metalloproteinase 2 (MMP-2) cleaves denatured collagen and complements other collagenases in the degradation of fibrillar collagens. Elevated intraperitoneal levels of plasminogen activator inhibitor 1 (PAI-1) have been demonstrated to be present in patients with intra-abdominal adhesions. The aim of the present study was therefore to investigate the potential for effluent MMP-2 and PAI-1 to be used as markers of the development of peritoneal alterations. In addition, MMP-2 was analyzed in previously frozen effluent samples from a uremic rat model, in which data concerning the severity of peritoneal fibrosis were available. METHODS: This prospective, single-center cohort study included 86 incident peritoneal dialysis (PD) patients. All patients were treated solely with biocompatible dialysis solutions and underwent a standard peritoneal permeability analysis (SPA). The presence of local MMP-2 and PAI-1 production and the relationships between those markers and peritoneal transport parameters were analyzed. Furthermore, effluent interleukin 6 was analyzed as a marker of local inflammation. RESULTS: Median effluent levels of 21.4 ng/mL for MMP-2 and 0.9 ng/mL for PAI-1 were found. The median dialysate appearance rates were 218.8 ng/min for MMP-2 and 9.6 ng/min for PAI-1. Local peritoneal production averaged 90% of effluent MMP-2 concentration and 74% of effluent PAI-1 concentration. Furthermore, correlations between peritoneal transport parameters and MMP-2 and PAI-1 were observed. Longitudinal follow-up showed no change for MMP-2 (p = 0.37), but a tendency for PAI-1 to increase with the duration of PD (p < 0.001). In rats, a significant relationship was present between the extent of peritoneal fibrosis and the appearance rate of MMP-2 (r = 0.64, p = 0.03). CONCLUSIONS: The foregoing data illustrate the potential of effluent MMP-2 and PAI-1 as biomarkers of peritoneal modifications, especially fibrosis; however, the components of peritoneal transport and local production should be clearly distinguished in every patient.

Early diagnostic markers for encapsulating peritoneal sclerosis: a case-control study.

OBJECTIVE: Encapsulating peritoneal sclerosis (EPS) is a severe complication of long-term peritoneal dialysis (PD). The aim of this study was to investigate whether dialysate levels of cancer antigen-125 (CA125), K(+), interleukin (IL)-6, and vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) are early diagnostic markers of EPS. Therefore, we analyzed the time courses of the above described dialysate markers in EPS patients and controls. METHODS: Dialysate and serum samples of 11 EPS patients and 31 control patients, all treated with PD for at least 57 months, were longitudinally collected during standard peritoneal permeability analyses. CA125 and IL-6 were measured in dialysate only, K(+) and VEGF were measured in both dialysate and serum. CA125 and IL-6 are expressed as appearance rates (AR). The linear mixed model was used to analyze the time courses. Sensitivity and specificity were calculated based on the results of the last 2 time points. RESULTS: No differences in the time courses of the different markers were present between the groups. For K(+) and VEGF attributed to local production, no differences between the groups were found. However, AR-CA125 was lower during the last 3 years prior to EPS (p < 0.05) and AR-IL-6 tended to be higher 2 years prior to EPS (p = 0.09). The combination of AR-CA125 < 33 U/min and AR-IL-6 > 350 pg/min had a sensitivity of 70% and a specificity of 89% for the development of EPS. CONCLUSIONS: Compared to controls, AR-CA125 showed lower values and AR-IL-6 tended to be higher during the last years prior to the diagnosis of EPS. The sensitivity and specificity of the combination of CA125 and IL-6 indicate their potential use for an early diagnosis of EPS.