Age-specific impact of comorbidity on postoperative outcomes in older patients with colorectal cancer.

INTRODUCTION: Age and comorbidity are considered the strongest predictors for adverse events after colorectal cancer (CRC) surgery. We aimed to study the interaction of age and comorbidity and to gain better insight in options to improve care for the growing group of older patients. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We included all patients ≥70 years undergoing elective surgery for non-metastatic CRC between 2011 and 2019 in the Netherlands. Baseline characteristics, surgical and non-surgical complications, readmission, and short-term mortality were collected from the Dutch Colorectal Audit (DCRA). The cohort was stratified by 70-79, 80-89, and ≥ 90 years. Comorbidity prevalence and postoperative outcomes were determined per age group. We analyzed the interaction (age-group*comorbidity) with all outcomes using multivariate logistic regression analysis. Age-stratified analysis was indicated if the interaction was significant. RESULTS: We included 25,727 patients of 70-79 years, 12,198 patients of 80-89 years, and 713 of ≥90 years. Non-surgical complications and mortality increased with older age, while surgical complications significantly decreased. However, the association of a Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) score ≥ 3, cardiovascular, and cardiopulmonary disease with adverse postoperative outcome decreased with older age. For example, the odds ratio (OR) of a CCI score ≥ 3 for non-surgical complications was 1.79 (confidence interval [CI] 95% 1.66-1.94), 1.50 (CI 95% 1.36-1.65), and 1.21 (CI 95% 0.80-1.81) for, respectively, 70-79, 80-89, and ≥ 90 years. DISCUSSION: The rate of non-surgical complications after CRC surgery increased with older age, although older age itself became less associated with comorbidity. Perhaps risk assessment in the oldest patients should shift towards other predictors, such as frailty.

Epidemiology of Cancer in Older Adults: A Systematic Review.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: What are the prevalence, incidence and mortality rates of cancer among individuals aged 60 or older on a national, regional, and global scale? What factors affect differences in cancer survival between older and younger adults? RECENT FINDINGS: The epidemiological literature on cancer in older adults, particularly in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) and that focusing on the oldest adults, is expanding. These studies consistently show increasing global cancer incidence rates in older populations. Recent research also highlights a widening survival gap between middle-aged and older adults, with the stage at diagnosis being the primary driver. More research is needed to describe the cancer burden in older adults, especially focusing on the oldest population and LMICs, to better understand global healthcare challenges. Additionally, further exploring patient-related, clinical, and tumour-related factors which drive age-related survival differences could improve cancer outcomes in older adults.

A comparison of treatment allocation and survival between younger and older patients with HER2-overexpressing de novo metastatic breast cancer.

INTRODUCTION: There have been several developments in the treatment of HER2-overexpressing metastatic breast cancer. However, pivotal trials mainly included younger and healthier patients, resulting in a lack of information about the benefits and harms of treatment for most older patients. The aim of this study was to provide an overview of the differences in treatment allocation and survival outcomes over time between younger and older patients with HER2-overexpressing metastatic breast cancer. MATERIALS AND METHODS: All patients from the Netherlands Cancer Registry with de novo metastatic breast cancer between 2005 and 2021 were included. Patients were divided into three age groups: <65, 65-74, and ≥ 75 years. Changes in treatment allocation were graphically depicted over time. Cox proportional hazard models were used to calculate overall survival and Poisson models for relative survival. RESULTS: Overall, 2,722 patients were included. Between 2005 and 2021, the use of targeted therapy as first-line treatment increased for all age groups (<65 years from 33.8% to 90.6%, p < 0.001; 65-74 years from 29.2% to 86.5%, p = 0.001; ≥75 years from 4.3% to 55.8%, p < 0.001). Use of chemotherapy as first-line treatment also increased for all age groups (<65 years from 73.5% to 89.8%, p < 0.001; 65-74 years from 50.0% to 78.4%, p = 0.01; ≥75 years from 8.7% to 37.2%, p = 0.04). Although not statistically significant, the use of endocrine therapy, both as monotherapy and in combination with targeted therapy in the first line, decreased (<65 years 19.1% to 5.5%, p < 0.001; 65-74 years 25.0% to 13.5%, p = 0.03; ≥75 years 65.2% to 37.2%, p = 0.16). Changes in relative and overall survival were similar and improved in all age groups, but most in the youngest age group (relative excess risk [RER] 0.93, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.91-0.94 per year, p < 0.001), and least in patients ≥75 (RER 0.96, 95% CI 0.93-0.98 per year, p = 0.001). DISCUSSION: The use of first-line chemotherapy and targeted therapy increased in all age groups, while the use of endocrine therapy decreased over time. Nevertheless, the uptake of chemotherapy and targeted therapies was substantially slower in the oldest age group. Overall survival and relative survival improved for all age groups, but these improvements were smaller in the older age groups.

Frequency of use and characterization of frailty assessments in observational studies on older women with breast cancer: a systematic review.

BACKGROUND: Breast cancer and frailty frequently co-occur in older women, and frailty status has been shown to predict negative health outcomes. However, the extent to which frailty assessments are utilized in observational research for the older breast cancer population is uncertain. Therefore, the aim of this review was to determine the frequency of use of frailty assessments in studies investigating survival or mortality, and characterize them, concentrating on literature from the past 5 years (2017-2022). METHODS: MEDLINE, EMBASE and Cochrane Library were systematically queried to identify observational studies (case-control, cohort, cross-sectional) published from 2017-2022 that focus on older females (≥ 65 years) diagnosed with breast cancer, and which evaluate survival or mortality outcomes. Independent reviewers assessed the studies for eligibility using Covidence software. Extracted data included characteristics of each study as well as information on study design, study population, frailty assessments, and related health status assessments. Risk of bias was evaluated using the appropriate JBI tool. Information was cleaned, classified, and tabulated into review level summaries. RESULTS: In total, 9823 studies were screened for inclusion. One-hundred and thirty studies were included in the final synthesis. Only 11 (8.5%) of these studies made use of a frailty assessment, of which 4 (3.1%) quantified frailty levels in their study population, at baseline. Characterization of frailty assessments demonstrated that there is a large variation in terms of frailty definitions and resulting patient classification (i.e., fit, pre-frail, frail). In the four studies that quantified frailty, the percentage of individuals classified as pre-frail and frail ranged from 18% to 29% and 0.7% to 21%, respectively. Identified frailty assessments included the Balducci score, the Geriatric 8 tool, the Adapted Searle Deficits Accumulation Frailty index, the Faurot Frailty index, and the Mian Deficits of Accumulation Frailty Index, among others. The Charlson Comorbidity Index was the most used alternative health status assessment, employed in 56.9% of all 130 studies. Surprisingly, 31.5% of all studies did not make use of any health status assessments. CONCLUSION: Few observational studies examining mortality or survival outcomes in older women with breast cancer incorporate frailty assessments. Additionally, there is significant variation in definitions of frailty and classification of patients. While comorbidity assessments were more frequently included, the pivotal role of frailty for patient-centered decision-making in clinical practice, especially regarding treatment effectiveness and tolerance, necessitates more deliberate attention. Addressing this oversight more explicitly could enhance our ability to interpret observational research in older cancer patients.

Certification Training and Liver Transplant Experience Improves Liver Procurement Outcomes: The Dutch Approach.

BACKGROUND: This study investigates the impact of certification training and liver transplant experience on procurement outcomes of deceased donor liver procurement in the Netherlands. METHODS: Three groups (trainee, certified, and master) were formed, with further subdivision based on liver transplant experience. Three key outcomes-surgical injury, graft discard after injury, and donor hepatectomy duration-were analyzed. RESULTS: There were no significant differences in surgical graft injury in the three groups (trainee, 16.9%; certified, 14.8%; master, 18.2%; P = 0.357; 2011 to 2018). The only predictor for surgical graft injury was donation after cardiac death (odds ratio [OR], 1.49; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.10-2.02). Of the three groups, the master group had the highest discard rate after surgical injury (trainee, 0%; certified, 1.3%; master, 2.8%; P = 0.013). Master group without liver transplant experience (OR, 3.16; 95% CI, 1.21-8.27) and male donor sex (OR, 3.58; 95% CI, 1.32-9.73) were independent risk factors for discarding livers after surgical injury. Independent predictors for shorter hepatectomy durations included donors older than 50 years (coefficient [Coeff], -7.04; 95% CI, -8.03 to -3.29; P < 0.001), and master group (Coeff, -9.84; 95% CI, -14.37 to -5.31; P < 0.001) and certified group with liver transplant experience (Coeff, -6.54; 95% CI, -10.83 to -2.26; P = 0.003). On the other hand, master group without liver transplant experience (Coeff, 5.00; 95% CI, 1.03-8.96; P = 0.014) and donation after cardiac death (Coeff, 10.81; 95% CI, 8.32-13.3; P < 0.001) were associated with longer hepatectomy durations. CONCLUSIONS: Training and certification in abdominal organ procurement surgery were associated with a reduced discard rate for surgical injured livers and shorter hepatectomy times. The contrast between master group with and without liver transplant experience underscores the need for specialized training in this field.

Outcomes in studies regarding older patients with prostate cancer: A systematic review.

INTRODUCTION: Older patients are often deemed ineligible for clinical research, and many frequently-used endpoints and outcome measures are not as relevant for older patients for younger ones. This systematic review aimed to present an overview of outcomes used in clinical research regarding patients over the age of 65 years with prostate cancer. MATERIALS AND METHODS: PubMed and Embase were systematically searched to identify studies on prostate cancer (treatment) in patients aged ≥65 between 2016 and 2023. Data on title, study design, number of participants and age, stage of disease, treatment, and investigated outcomes were synthesized and descriptively analyzed. RESULTS: Sixty-eight studies were included. Of these most included patients over 65 years, while others used a higher age. Overall, 39 articles (57.3%) reported on survival-related outcomes, 22 (32.4%) reported on progression of disease and 38 (55.9%) used toxicity or adverse events as an outcome measure. Health-related quality of life and functional outcomes were investigated in 29.4%, and cognition in two studies. The most frequently investigated survival-related outcomes were overall and cancer-specific survival (51.3%); however, 38.5% only studied overall survival. DISCUSSION: The main focus of studies included in this review remains survival and disease progression. There is limited attention for health-related quality of life and functional status, although older patients often prioritize the latter. Future research should incorporate outcome measures tailored to the aged population to improve care for older patients with prostate cancer.

The effect of prehabilitation on long-term survival and hospital admissions in older patients undergoing elective colorectal cancer surgery.

INTRODUCTION: There is a growing body of evidence for a beneficial effect of prehabilitation on short-term outcomes after colorectal cancer (CRC) surgery in older patients. However, long-term effects on survival or hospital admissions have not been investigated. This study reports these long-term outcomes from a previously published observational cohort study. METHODS: We compared patients ≥75 years who received elective CRC surgery in Reinier de Graaf Hospital before (2010-2013: standard care) and after implementation of a multimodal prehabilitation program (2014-2015; prehabilitation). With a six-year follow-up period, we analyzed survival using the Kaplan-Meier method and the occurrence of one or more hospital admissions using logistic regression analyses. RESULTS: Overall, 137 patients were included in the standard care group and 86 patients in the prehabilitation group. There were no differences in patients, tumor and treatment characteristics. After six years, 51.1% in the standard care group and 59.3% in the prehabilitation group (p = 0.167) were still alive. When corrected for confounders in the prehabilitation group less patients had one or more hospital admissions during follow-up (odds ratio (OR) 0.43 (95% CI 0.24-0.77). CONCLUSIONS: Unfortunately these limited historical cohorts did not allow for strong conclusions concerning long-time survival. However, after prehabilitation less patients had hospital admissions during follow up. Hopefully, this first study into the long-term effects of multimodal prehabilitation will trigger more future research.

The prognostic value of a geriatric risk score for older patients undergoing emergency surgery of colorectal cancer: A retrospective cohort study.

INTRODUCTION: Emergency surgery of colorectal cancer is associated with high mortality rates in older patients. We investigated whether information on four geriatric domains has prognostic value for 30-day mortality and postoperative morbidity including severe complications. MATERIALS AND METHODS: All consecutive patients aged 70 years or older who underwent emergency colorectal cancer surgery in six Dutch hospitals (2014-2017) were studied. Presence of geriatric risk factors was scored prior to surgery as either 0 (risk absent) or 1 (risk present) in each of four geriatric domains and summed up to calculate a sumscore with a value between 0 and 4. In addition, we separately investigated the use of a mobility aid. Primary outcome was 30-day mortality. Secondary outcomes were any postoperative complications and severe complications. Multivariable logistic regression model was used to evaluate the sumscore and outcomes. RESULTS: Two hundred seven patients were included. Median age was 79.4 years. One hundred seventy-five patients (76%) presented with obstruction, 22 (11%) with a perforation, and 17 (8%) with severe anemia. Mortality rates were 2.9%, 13.6%, and 29.6% for patients with a sumscore of 0, 1-2, and 3-4 respectively, with odds ratio (OR) 4.8 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.03-22.95] and OR 10.6 [95% CI 1.99-56.34] for a sumscore of 1-2 and 3-4 respectively. Use of a mobility aid was associated with increased mortality OR 8.0 [95% CI 2.74-23.43] and severe complications OR 2.31 [95% CI 1.17-4.55]. DISCUSSION: This geriatric sumscore and the use of a mobility aid have strong association with 30-day mortality after emergency surgery of colorectal cancer. This could provide better insight into surgical risk and help select high-risk patients for alternative strategies.

Time Trends in the Treatment and Survival of 5036 Uveal Melanoma Patients in The Netherlands over a 30-Year Period.

BACKGROUND: Uveal melanoma (UM) is a rare intraocular tumor with a dismal prognosis once metastasized. This study provides a nationwide overview and time trends of patients diagnosed with primary UM in the Netherlands between 1989 and 2019. METHODS: A retrospective population-based cohort study based on patients with primary UM from the database of the Netherlands Cancer Registry (NCR), linked with the national population registry Statistics Netherlands on inhabitants' cause of death. Two time periods (1989-2004, 2005-2019) were compared with descriptive statistics. Kaplan-Meier and (multivariate) Cox proportional hazard models were used to assess changes over time for overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS). RESULTS: In total, 5036 patients were analyzed with a median age of 64.0 years at the time of diagnosis. The number of patients increased over time. In the first (1989-2004) and second (2005-2019) period, 32% versus 54% of the patients received radiotherapy (p < 0.001). The median FU time was 13.4 years. The median OS of the first and second periods was 9.5 (95% CI 8.7-10.3) versus 11.3 years (95% CI 10.3-12.3; p < 0.001). The median CSS was 30.0 years (95% CI NA) in the first period and not reached in the second period (p = 0.008). In multivariate analysis (MVA), female gender (HR 0.85; 95% CI 0.79-0.92, p < 0.001) and radiotherapy treatment (HR 0.73; 95% CI 0.64-0.83, p < 0.001) were associated with better OS. Radiotherapy treatment (HR 0.74; 95% CI 0.61-0.90, p = 0.002) was also associated with better CSS. The period of diagnosis was not associated with OS or CSS. CONCLUSIONS: In this study of patients with primary UM, there was a shift to the diagnosis of smaller tumors, possibly due to stage migration. There was also an increase in eye-preserving treatments over time. OS and CSS were modestly improved in the second time period; however, the time period was not associated with OS or CSS in multivariate analyses.

Cancer treatment-related decision-making among culturally and linguistically diverse older adults with cancer: A scoping review by the International Society of Geriatric Oncology Nursing and Allied Health Interest Group.

INTRODUCTION: Countries with large economies are observing a growing number of culturally and linguistically diverse (CALD) older adults, many of whom will be affected by cancer. Little is known about the experiences and factors that influence cancer treatment decision-making in this population. The purposes of this scoping review are: (1) to summarize the published literature on cancer treatment-related decision-making with this population; and (2) to identify potential differences in how cancer treatment decisions are made compared to non-CALD older adults with cancer. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We conducted a scoping review following Arksey and O'Malley and Levac methods, Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses Scoping Review Guidelines. We conducted a comprehensive multidatabase search, screening 1,139 titles/abstracts. Following data abstraction, we analyzed the data using tabular and narrative summary. RESULTS: We extracted data from six studies that met the inclusion criteria: four quantitative and two qualitative; five from the United States and one from Canada. Three themes were identified: (1) barriers to decision-making, (2) the influence of family and friends on decisionmaking, and (3) differences in uptake and types of treatment received between CALD and non-CALD older adults. DISCUSSION: This comprehensive review of treatment decision-making among CALD older adults with cancer highlights the paucity of research in this area. The findings are limited to North American populations and may not represent experiences in other regions of the world. Future research should focus on studying their treatment-related decision-making experiences to improve the quality of care for this vulnerable population.

Time-trends and age and stage differences in 5-year relative survival for common cancer types by sex in the canton of Zurich, Switzerland.

BACKGROUND: Survival trends help to evaluate the progress made to reduce the burden of cancer. The aim was to estimate the trends in 5-year relative survival of patients diagnosed with breast, prostate, lung, colorectal cancer and skin melanoma in the time periods 1980-1989, 1990-1999, 2000-2009 and 2010-2015 in the Canton of Zurich, Switzerland. Furthermore, we investigated relative survival differences by TNM stage and age group. METHODS: Data from the Cancer Registry of Zurich was used from 1980 to and including 2015, including incident cases of breast (N = 26,060), prostate (N= 23,858), colorectal (N= 19,305), lung cancer (N= 16,858) and skin melanoma (N= 9780) with follow-up until 31 December 2020. The cohort approach was used to estimate 5-year relative survival. RESULTS: The 5-year relative survival increased significantly between 1980 and 1989, and 2010 and2015: from 0.70 to 0.89 for breast, from 0.60 to 0.92 for prostate, from 0.09 to 0.23 (men) and from 0.10 to 0.27 (women) for lung, from 0.46 to 0.66 (men) and from 0.48 to 0.68 (women) for colorectal cancer, and from 0.74 to 0.94 (men) and from 0.86 to 0.96 (women) for skin melanoma. Survival for stage IV tumors was considerably lower compared to lower-staged tumors for all cancer types. Furthermore, relative survival was similar for the age groups <80 years but lower for patients aged 80 years and older. CONCLUSION: The observed increasing trends in survival are encouraging and likely reflect raised awareness around cancer, improved diagnostic methods, and improved treatments. The fact that stage I tumor patients have generally high relative survival reflects the efforts made regarding early detection.

Persistent High Long-term Excess Mortality After Elective AAA Repair Especially in Women: A Large Population-based Study.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this time-trend analysis is to estimate long-term excess mortality and associated cardiovascular risk for abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) patients after elective repair while addressing the changes in AAA management and patient selection over time. BACKGROUND: Despite the intensification of endovascular aneurysm repair and cardiovascular risk management, Swedish population data suggest that AAA patients retain a persistently high long-term mortality after elective repair. The question is whether this reflects suboptimal treatment, a changing patient population over time, or a national phenomenon. METHODS: Nationwide time-trend analysis including 40,730 patients (87% men) following elective AAA repair between 1995 and 2017. Three timeframes were compared, each reflecting changes in the use of endovascular aneurysm repair and intensification of cardiovascular risk management. Relative survival analyses were used to estimate disease-specific excess mortality. Competing risk of death analysis evaluated the risk of cardiovascular versus noncardiovascular death. Sensitivity analysis evaluated the impact of changes in patient selection over time. RESULTS: Short-term excess mortality significantly improved over time. Long-term excess mortality remained high with a doubled mortality risk for women (relative excess risk=1.87, 95% CI: 1.73-2.02). Excess mortality did not differ between age categories. The risk of cardiovascular versus noncardiovascular death remained similar over time, with a higher risk of cardiovascular death for women. Changes in patient population (ie, older and more comorbid patients in the latter period) marginally impacted excess mortality (2%). CONCLUSIONS: Despite changes in AAA care, patients retain a high long-term excess mortality after elective repair with a persistent high cardiovascular mortality risk. In this, a clear sex - but no age - disparity stands out.

Physical Function and Physical Activity in Older Breast Cancer Survivors: 5-Year Follow-Up from the Climb Every Mountain Study.

BACKGROUND: A decline in physical activity and the ability to perform activities of daily living (ADL) and instrumental activities of daily living (IADL) could interfere with independent living and quality of life in older patients, but may be prevented with tailored interventions. The aim of the current study was to assess changes in physical activity and ADL/IADL in the first 5 years after breast cancer diagnosis in a real-world cohort of older patients and to identify factors associated with physical decline. METHODS: Patients aged ≥70 years with in situ or stages I-III breast cancer were included in the prospective Climb Every Mountain cohort study. Linear mixed models were used to assess physical activity (according to Metabolic Equivalent of Task (MET) hours per week) and ADL/IADL (according to the Groningen Activity Restriction Scale (GARS)) over time. Secondly, the association with geriatric characteristics, treatment, quality of life, depression, apathy, and loneliness was analyzed. RESULTS: A total of 239 patients were included. Physical activity and ADL/IADL changed in the first 5 years after diagnosis (mean change from baseline -11.6 and +4.2, respectively). Geriatric characteristics at baseline were strongly associated with longitudinal change in physical activity and ADL/IADL, whereas breast cancer treatment was not. A better quality of life was associated with better physical activity and preservation of ADL/IADL, while depression and loneliness were negatively associated with these outcomes. DISCUSSION: Geriatric characteristics, loneliness, and depressive symptoms were associated with physical decline in older patients with breast cancer, while breast cancer treatment was not.

Surgical and non-surgical complications after colorectal cancer surgery in older patients; time-trends and age-specific differences.

BACKGROUND: Trends of surgical and non-surgical complications among the old, older and oldest patients after colorectal cancer (CRC) surgery could help to identify the best target outcome to further improve postoperative outcome. MATERIALS AND METHODS: All consecutive patients ≥70 years receiving curative elective CRC resection between 2011 and 2019 in The Netherlands were included. Baseline variables and postoperative complications were prospectively collected by the Dutch ColoRectal audit (DCRA). We assessed surgical and non-surgical complications over time and within age categories (70-74, 75-79 and ≥ 80 years) and determined the impact of age on the risk of both types of complications by using multivariate logistic regression analyses. RESULTS: Overall, 38648 patients with a median age of 76 years were included. Between 2011 and 2019 the proportion of ASA score ≥3 and laparoscopic surgery increased. Non-surgical complications significantly improved between 2011 (21.8%) and 2019 (17.1%) and surgical complications remained constant (from 17.6% to 16.8%). Surgical complications were stable over time for each age group. Non-surgical complications improved in the oldest two age groups. Increasing age was only associated with non-surgical complications (75-79 years; OR 1.17 (95% CI 1.10-1.25), ≥80 years; OR 1.46 (95% CI 1.37-1.55) compared to 70-74 years), not with surgical complications. CONCLUSION: The reduction of postoperative complications in the older CRC population was predominantly driven by a decrease in non-surgical complications. Moreover, increasing age was only associated with non-surgical complications and not with surgical complications. Future care developments should focus on non-surgical complications, especially in patients ≥75 years.

Revising the Role of Integrin Subunit ß4 Expression in Colon Cancer Progression and Survival.

PURPOSE: Integrin subunit ß4 (ß4) has been proposed to play an important role in colon cancer progression through its involvement in hemidesmosome disassembly processes and tumor cell migration. However, the association between ß4 expression and clinicopathological outcomes in colon cancer remains unclear. METHODS: Expression of ß4 was assessed by immunohistochemistry in a large cohort of 651 colon cancer patients, the largest colon cancer cohort so far. Chi-squared tests were used to study the association between ß4 expression and clinicopathological features. Overall and disease-free survival were assessed by Cox proportional hazard models. RESULTS: Loss of ß4 expression was associated with local tumor invasion. Only 17.9% of the pT1 tumors displayed weak ß4 expression level versus 28.1% of pT4 tumors, and 25.0% of the pT1 tumors had a high expression level versus 8.6% of the pT4 tumors (p = 0.012). No association between ß4 expression and overall (p = 0.845) or disease-free survival (p = 0.767) was encountered, which disputes the role of ß4 as a biomarker of malignant behavior in colon cancer. CONCLUSION: Contradictory reports have suggested opposite roles for ß4 expression in (colon) cancer progression. In the present large cohort of colon cancer patients, we found that ß4 expression was not associated with worse clinical prognosis, but decreased with advanced pathological tumor stage. Future studies should establish whether loss of ß4 expression promotes invasive characteristics of colon cancer cells.

Excess Mortality for Abdominal Aortic Aneurysms and the Potential of Strict Implementation of Cardiovascular Risk Management: A Multifaceted Study Integrating Meta-Analysis, National Registry, and PHAST and TEDY Trial Data.

OBJECTIVE: Previous studies imply a profound residual mortality risk following successful abdominal aorta aneurysm (AAA) repair. This excess mortality is generally attributed to increased cardiovascular risk. The aim of this study was (1) to quantify the excess residual mortality for patients with AAA, (2) to evaluate the cross sectional level of cardiovascular risk management, and (3) to estimate the potential of optimised cardiovascular risk management to reduce the excess mortality in these patients. METHODS: Excess mortality was estimated through a systematic review and meta-analysis, and through data from the Swedish National Health Registry. Cardiovascular risk profiles were individually assessed during eligibility screening of patients with AAA for two multicentre pharmaceutical AAA stabilisation trials. The potential of full implementation of cardiovascular risk management was estimated through the validated Second Manifestations of ARTerial disease (SMART) risk scores algorithm. RESULTS: The meta-analysis showed a similarly impaired survival for patients who received early repair (small AAA) or regular repair (≥ 55 mm), and a further impaired survival for patients under surveillance for a small AAA. Excess mortality was further quantified using Swedish population data. The data revealed a more than quadrupled and doubled five year mortality rate for women and men who had their AAA repaired, respectively. Evaluation of the level of risk management of 358 patients under surveillance in 16 Dutch hospitals showed that the majority of patients with AAA did not meet therapeutic targets set for risk management in high risk populations, and indicated a more pronounced prevention gap in women. Application of the SMART risk score algorithm predicted that optimal implementation of risk management guidelines would reduce the 10 year risk of major adverse cardiovascular events from 43% to 14%. CONCLUSION: Independent of the rupture risk, AAA is associated with a worryingly compromised life expectancy with a particularly poor prognosis for women. Optimal implementation of cardiovascular risk prevention guidelines is predicted to profoundly reduce cardiovascular risk.

Time Trends in Treatment Strategies and Survival of Older versus Younger Patients with Synchronous Metastasised Melanoma-A Population-Based Study in the Netherlands Cancer Registry.

Around 45% of patients with melanoma are older than 65 years. In recent years, immunotherapy has proven very effective for metastasised melanoma. The aim of this study was to investigate the time trends in treatment strategies and survival in older versus younger patients with synchronous metastasised melanoma. We included all patients diagnosed between 2000 and 2019 from the Netherlands cancer registry. We analysed changes in first-line systemic treatment using multivariable logistic regression models, stratified by age (<65, 65−75, and ≥75). Changes in overall survival were studied using multivariable Cox regression analysis. A total of 2967 patients were included. Immunotherapy prescription increased significantly over time for all age groups (<65 years: 11.8% to 64.9%, p < 0.001; 65−75 years: 0% to 68.6%, p < 0.001; >75 years: 0% to 39.5%, p < 0.001). In multivariable analyses, overall survival improved for patients aged <65 and 65−75 (HR 0.96, 95% CI 0.92−1.00 and HR 0.95, 95% CI 0.89−1.00, respectively), but not in patients over 75 (HR 0.98, 95% CI 0.91−1.05). In conclusion, overall survival has improved in patients with synchronous metastasised melanoma aged <75 years, but not in patients aged 75 years or older. This might be explained by lower prescription rates of immunotherapy in this age group.

Breast cancer mortality of older patients with and without recurrence analysed by novel multi-state models.

INTRODUCTION: In older patients with breast cancer, the risk of dying from other causes than breast cancer strongly increases after the age of 70. The aim of this study was to assess contributions of breast cancer mortality versus other-cause mortality after locoregional or distant recurrence in a population-based cohort of older patients analysed by multi-state models. METHODS: Surgically treated patients ≥70 years diagnosed with stage I-III breast cancer in 2003-2009 were selected from the Netherlands Cancer Registry. A novel multi-state model with locoregional and distant recurrence that incorporates relative survival was fitted. Other-cause and breast cancer mortality were indicated as population and excess mortality. RESULTS: Overall, 18,419 patients were included. Ten-year cumulative incidences of locoregional and distant recurrence were 2.8% (95%CI 2.6-3.1%) and 12.5% (95%CI 11.9-13.1%). Other-cause mortality increased from 23.9% (95%CI 23.7-24.2%) in patients 70-74 years to 73.8% (95%CI 72.2-75.4%) in those ≥80 years. Ten-year probabilities of locoregional or distant recurrence with subsequent breast cancer death were 0.4-1.3% and 10.2-14.6%, respectively. For patients with a distant recurrence in the first two years after diagnosis, breast cancer death probabilities were 95.3% (95%CI 94.2-96.4%), 93.1% (95%CI 91.6-94.6%), and 88.6% (95%CI 86.5-90.8%) in patients 70-74, 75-79, and ≥80 years. CONCLUSION: In older patients without recurrence, prognosis is driven by other-cause mortality. Although locoregional recurrence is a predictor for worse outcome, given its low incidence it contributes little to breast cancer mortality after diagnosis. For patients who develop a distant recurrence, breast cancer remains the dominant cause of death, even at old age.

Donor characteristics and their impact on kidney transplantation outcomes: Results from two nationwide instrumental variable analyses based on outcomes of donor kidney pairs accepted for transplantation.

Background: Donor-characteristics and donor characteristics-based decision algorithms are being progressively used in the decision process whether or not to accept an available donor kidney graft for transplantation. While this may improve outcomes, the performance characteristics of the algorithms remains moderate. To estimate the impact of donor factors of grafts accepted for transplantation on transplant outcomes, and to test whether implementation of donor-characteristics-based algorithms in clinical decision-making is justified, we applied an instrumental variable analysis to outcomes for kidney donor pairs transplanted in different individuals. Methods: This analysis used (dis)congruent outcomes of kidney donor pairs as an instrument and was based on national transplantation registry data for all donor kidney pairs transplanted in separate individuals in the Netherlands (1990-2018, 2,845 donor pairs), and the United Kingdom (UK, 2000-2018, 11,450 pairs). Incident early graft loss (EGL) was used as the primary discriminatory factor. It was reasoned that a scenario with a dominant impact of donor variables on transplantation outcomes would result in high concordance of EGL in both recipients, whilst dominance of asymmetrical outcomes could indicate a more complex scenario, involving an interaction of donor, procedural and recipient factors. Findings: Incidences of congruent EGL (Netherlands: 1·2%, UK: 0·7%) were slightly lower than the arithmetical (stochastic) incidences, suggesting that once a graft has been accepted for transplantation, donor factors minimally contribute to incident EGL. A long-term impact of donor factors was explored by comparing outcomes for functional grafts from donor pairs with asymmetrical vs. symmetrical outcomes. Recipient survival was similar for both groups, but a slightly compromised graft survival was observed for grafts with asymmetrical outcomes in the UK cohort: (10-years Hazard Ratio for graft loss: 1·18 [1·03-1·35] p<0·018); and 5 years eGFR (48·6 [48·3-49·0] vs. 46·0 [44·5-47·6] ml/min in the symmetrical outcome group, p<0·001). Interpretation: Our results suggest that donor factors for kidney grafts deemed acceptable for transplantation impact minimally on transplantation outcomes. A strong reliance on donor factors and/or donor-characteristics-based decision algorithms could result in unjustified rejection of grafts. Future efforts to optimize transplant outcomes should focus on a better understanding of the recipient factors underlying transplant outcomes. Funding: None.

Validation of the 70-gene signature test (MammaPrint) to identify patients with breast cancer aged ≥ 70 years with ultralow risk of distant recurrence: A population-based cohort study.

INTRODUCTION: When risk estimation in older patients with hormone receptor positive breast cancer (HR + BC) is based on the same factors as in younger patients, age-related factors regarding recurrence risk and other-cause mortality are not considered. Genomic risk assessment could help identify patients with ultralow risk BC who can forgo adjuvant treatment. However, assessment tools should be validated specifically for older patients. This study aims to determine whether the 70-gene signature test (MammaPrint) can identify patients with HR + BC aged ≥70 years with ultralow risk for distant recurrence. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Inclusion criteria: ≥70 years; invasive HR + BC; T1-2N0-3M0. EXCLUSION CRITERIA: HER2 + BC; neoadjuvant therapy. MammaPrint assays were performed following standardized protocols. Clinical risk was determined with St. Gallen risk classification. Primary endpoint was 10-year cumulative incidence rate of distant recurrence in relation to genomic risk. Subdistribution hazard ratios (sHR) were estimated from Fine and Gray analyses. Multivariate analyses were adjusted for adjuvant endocrine therapy and clinical risk. RESULTS: This study included 418 patients, median age 78 years (interquartile range [IQR] 73-83). Sixty percent of patients were treated with endocrine therapy. MammaPrint classified 50 patients as MammaPrint-ultralow, 224 patients as MammaPrint-low, and 144 patients as MammaPrint-high risk. Regarding clinical risk, 50 patients were classified low, 237 intermediate, and 131 high. Discordance was observed between clinical and genomic risk in 14 MammaPrint-ultralow risk patients who were high clinical risk, and 84 patients who were MammaPrint-high risk, but low or intermediate clinical risk. Median follow-up was 9.2 years (IQR 7.9-10.5). The 10-year distant recurrence rate was 17% (95% confidence interval [CI] 11-23) in MammaPrint-high risk patients, 8% (4-12) in MammaPrint-low (HR 0.46; 95%CI 0.25-0.84), and 2% (0-6) in MammaPrint-ultralow risk patients (HR 0.11; 95%CI 0.02-0.81). After adjustment for clinical risk and endocrine therapy, MammaPrint-high risk patients still had significantly higher 10-year distant recurrence rate than MammaPrint-low (sHR 0.49; 95%CI 0.26-0.90) and MammaPrint-ultralow patients (sHR 0.12; 95%CI 0.02-0.85). Of the 14 MammaPrint-ultralow, high clinical risk patients none developed a distant recurrence. DISCUSSION: These data add to the evidence validating MammaPrint's ultralow risk threshold. Even in high clinical risk patients, MammaPrint-ultralow risk patients remained recurrence-free ten years after diagnosis. These findings justify future studies into using MammaPrint to individualize adjuvant treatment in older patients.