Whole-population trends in pathology-confirmed cancer incidence in Northern Ireland, Scotland and Wales during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic: A retrospective observational study.

INTRODUCTION: The COVID-19 epidemic interrupted normal cancer diagnosis procedures. Population-based cancer registries report incidence at least 18 months after it happens. Our goal was to make more timely estimates by using pathologically confirmed cancers (PDC) as a proxy for incidence. We compared the 2020 and 2021 PDC with the 2019 pre-pandemic baseline in Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland (NI). METHODS: Numbers of female breast (ICD-10 C50), lung (C33-34), colorectal (C18-20), gynaecological (C51-58), prostate (C61), head and neck (C00-C14, C30-32), upper gastro-intestinal (C15-16), urological (C64-68), malignant melanoma (C43), and non-melanoma skin (NMSC) (C44) cancers were counted. Multiple pairwise comparisons generated incidence rate ratios (IRR). RESULTS: Data were accessible within 5 months of the pathological diagnosis date. Between 2019 and 2020, the number of pathologically confirmed malignancies (excluding NMSC) decreased by 7315 (14.1 %). Scotland experienced early monthly declines of up to 64 % (colorectal cancers, April 2020 versus April 2019). Wales experienced the greatest overall change in 2020, but Northern Ireland experienced the quickest recovery. The pandemic's effects varied by cancer type, with no significant change in lung cancer diagnoses in Wales in 2020 (IRR 0.97 (95 % CI 0.90-1.05)), followed by an increase in 2021 (IRR 1.11 (1.03-1.20). CONCLUSION: PDC are useful in reporting cancer incidence quicker than cancer registrations. Temporal and geographical differences between participating countries mirrored differences in responses to the COVID-19 pandemic, indicating face validity and the potential for quick cancer diagnosis assessment. To verify their sensitivity and specificity against the gold standard of cancer registrations, however, additional research is required.

Head and neck cancer in the UK: what was the stage before COVID-19? UK cancer registries analysis (2011-2018).

Introduction People who present with more advanced stage head and neck cancer (HNC) are associated with poorer outcomes and survival. The burden and trends of advanced stage HNC are not fully known at the population level. The UK national cancer registries routinely collect data on HNC diagnoses.Aims To describe trends in stage of diagnosis of HNCs across the UK before the COVID-19 pandemic.Methods Aggregated HNC incidence data were requested from the national cancer registries of the four UK countries for the ten most recent years of available data by subsite and American Joint Commission on Cancer stage at diagnosis classification. Additionally, data for Scotland were available by age group, sex and area-based socioeconomic deprivation category.Results Across the UK, rates of advanced stage HNC had increased, with 59% of patients having advanced disease at diagnosis from 2016-2018. England had a lower proportion of advanced disease (58%) than Scotland, Wales or Northern Ireland (65-69%) where stage data were available. The completeness of stage data had improved over recent years (87% by 2018).Conclusion Prior to the COVID-19 pandemic, diagnoses of HNC at an advanced stage comprised the majority of HNCs in the UK, representing the major challenge for the cancer healthcare system.

Increasing Incidence of Young-Onset Colorectal Carcinoma A 3-Country Population Analysis.

BACKGROUND: The overall incidence of colorectal carcinoma is declining in Western populations; however, single country series demonstrate an increase in young-onset (<50 years) colorectal carcinoma. OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to determine whether the pattern of increasing incidence of young-onset colorectal carcinoma is consistent across 3 Western populations. DESIGN: This is a population incidence study. SETTINGS: National cancer registries of New Zealand, Sweden, and Scotland were used. PATIENTS: The incidence of colorectal carcinoma was calculated from population data for 3 countries over 2 to 4 decades. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The incidence of colorectal carcinoma was measured. Incidence rate ratios were determined and data were stratified by subsite (colon versus rectum), sex, and age (<50, 50-79, and ≥80 y). RESULTS: Overall colorectal carcinoma rates declined in New Zealand, remained stable in Scotland, and increased in Sweden. In all 3 populations, there was an increasing incidence of rectal carcinoma in those aged <50 years. Young-onset rectal carcinoma increased in New Zealand (1995-2012: incidence rate ratio = 1.18 (men) and 1.13 (women)), with declining incidence in all other age groups. Colon carcinoma did not increase in the population aged <50 years, with the exception of distal colonic carcinoma in men. Overall, rectal carcinoma incidence increased (1970-2014) in Sweden; however, increases in those <50 years of age exceeded increases in other age groups (incidence rate ratio = 1.14 (males) and 1.12 (females)). Distal colon carcinoma increases were most marked in the population aged <50 years. In Scotland (1990-2014), young-onset rectal carcinoma incidence increased (incidence rate ratio = 1.23 (males) and 1.27 (females)), with a smaller increase in colon carcinoma. LIMITATIONS: Limitations include its registry-based, population incidence research. CONCLUSIONS: This study shows an increase in young-onset rectal carcinoma in 3 national populations; this observation may provide a focus for looking at the role of environmental influences on the etiology of this increase and therefore to explore strategies for prevention. See Video Abstract at http://links.lww.com/DCR/B194. AUMENTO DE LA INCIDENCIA DE CARCINOMA COLORRECTAL DE INICIO JOVEN: UN ANÁLISIS DE POBLACIÓN DE TRES PAÍSES: La incidencia global de carcinoma colorrectal está disminuyendo en las poblaciones occidentales. Sin embargo, las series de un solo país demuestran un aumento en el carcinoma colorrectal de inicio joven (pacientes menores de 50 años).Determinar si el patrón de incidencia en aumento de carcinoma colorrectal de inicio joven es consistente en tres poblaciones occidentales.Estudio de incidencias de población en tres países.Registros nacionales de cáncer de Nueva Zelanda, Suecia y Escocia.la incidencia de carcinoma colorrectal se calculó a partir de datos de población de tres países durante dos o a cuatro décadas.Incidencia de carcinoma colorrectal. Se determinaron las tasas de incidencia y los datos se estratificaron por subsitio (colon versus recto), además de sexo y edad (<50, 50-79 y ≥ 80).las tasas generales de carcinoma colorrectal disminuyeron en Nueva Zelanda, se mantuvieron estables en Escocia y aumentaron en Suecia. En las tres poblaciones, hubo una incidencia creciente de carcinoma rectal en pacientes menores de 50 años. El carcinoma rectal de inicio juvenil aumentó en Nueva Zelanda (1995-2012): tasa de incidencia de 1,18 [varones] y 1,13 [mujeres], con una disminución de la incidencia en todos los demás grupos de edad. El carcinoma de colon no aumentó en la población de < 50 años, con la excepción del carcinoma de colon distal en hombres. En general, la incidencia de carcinoma rectal aumentó (1970-2014) en Suecia; sin embargo, los aumentos en aquellos de <50 años excedieron los aumentos en otros grupos de edad: tasa de incidencia 1.14 [hombres] y 1.12 [mujeres]. Los aumentos del carcinoma de colon distal fueron más marcados en la población de < 50 años. En Escocia (1990-2014), la incidencia de carcinoma rectal de inicio juvenil aumentó: relación de tasa de incidencia 1.23 [hombres] y 1.27 [mujeres], con un aumento menor en el carcinoma de colon.Investigación de incidencia poblacional basada en registros nacionales.Este estudio muestra un aumento en el carcinoma rectal de inicio joven en tres poblaciones nacionales. Esta observación puede indicar un enfoque para la examinación de influencias ambientales en la etiología de este aumento y, por lo tanto, explorar estrategias para la prevención. Consulte Video Resumen en http://links.lww.com/DCR/B194. (Traducción-Dr Adrián Ortega).

Uveal melanoma-associated survival in Scotland.

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: The Scottish Ocular Oncology Service (SOOS) manages all patients with uveal melanoma (UM) in Scotland. Our aim was to determine the long-term all-cause and cause-specific survival of patients with UM, irrespective of treatment modality. SUBJECTS/METHODS: A retrospective single-centre cohort study including all patients diagnosed with UM by the SOOS between 1/1/1998 and 31/12/2002. Data from the SOOS database were correlated with death records held by National Records of Scotland, which provided date, and all listed causes, of death for all deceased patients. RESULTS: Two hundred and eighteen patients were newly diagnosed with UM between 1/1/1998 and 31/12/2002. One hundred and fifteen (52.8%) were female. The mean (median) age at diagnosis was 63(65) years (range: 16-89). Of 179 choroidal melanomas, melanoma-specific survival was 92.3%, 87.4% and 83.8% at 5, 10 and 15 years, respectively. Cancer-specific survival was 85.8%, 71.8% and 62.3%. All-cause survival was 81.6% (146/179), 62.0% (111/179) and 46.7% (computed, fraction inexpressible). Of 26 ciliary body melanomas, melanoma-specific survival was 87.2%, 81.3% and 81.3% at 5, 10 and 15 years. Cancer-specific survival was 62.9%, 40.6% and 40.6%. All-cause survival was 61.5% (16/26), 38.5% (10/26) and 26.9% (7/26). Of 13 iris melanomas, at all three timepoints (5/10/15 years), melanoma-specific survival was 100%, cancer-specific survival was 92.3%, and all-cause survival was 76.9% (10/13). CONCLUSIONS: Correlation of SOOS and national records survival data confirms 15-year melanoma-specific survival of 83.8%, 81.3% and 100% for choroidal, ciliary body and iris melanomas, respectively. We can now provide accurate survival data to our patients in Scotland.

Descriptive epidemiology of cancer of unknown primary site in Scotland, 1961-2010.

BACKGROUND: Cancers of unknown primary site (CUP) pose problems for diagnosis, treatment, and accurate prediction of prognosis. However, there are limited published data describing the epidemiology of this disease entity. Our aim was to describe the epidemiology of CUP in Scotland. METHODS: Anonymised data, covering the period 1961-2010, were extracted from the Scottish Cancer Registry database, based on the following ICD-10 diagnostic codes: C26.0, C26.8, C26.9, C39, and C76-C80. Age-standardised incidence rates were calculated by direct standardisation to the World Standard Population. Estimates of observed survival were calculated by the Kaplan-Meier method. RESULTS: Between 1961 and 2010, there were 50,941 registrations of CUP, representing 3.9% of all registrations of invasive cancers. Age-standardised rates increased to a peak in the early to mid-1990s, followed by a steeper decrease in rates. During 2001-2010, age-standardised rates of CUP were higher in the most compared with the least deprived fifth of the population. Observed survival was marginally higher in patients diagnosed during 2001-2010 (median 5.6 weeks) compared with those diagnosed in the previous two decades. During the most recent decade, survival decreased with age at diagnosis, and was higher in patients with squamous cell carcinoma and with lymph node metastases. CONCLUSION: Patterns of CUP in Scotland are largely consistent with those reported from the few other countries that have published data. However, in comparing studies, it is important to note that there is heterogeneity in terms of definition of CUP, as well as calendar period of diagnosis or death. Variation in the definition of CUP between different epidemiological studies suggests that there would be merit in seeking international agreement on guidelines for the registration of CUP as well as a standard grouping of diagnostic codes for analysis.