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1.
Nature ; 630(8015): 158-165, 2024 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38693268

RESUMEN

The liver has a unique ability to regenerate1,2; however, in the setting of acute liver failure (ALF), this regenerative capacity is often overwhelmed, leaving emergency liver transplantation as the only curative option3-5. Here, to advance understanding of human liver regeneration, we use paired single-nucleus RNA sequencing combined with spatial profiling of healthy and ALF explant human livers to generate a single-cell, pan-lineage atlas of human liver regeneration. We uncover a novel ANXA2+ migratory hepatocyte subpopulation, which emerges during human liver regeneration, and a corollary subpopulation in a mouse model of acetaminophen (APAP)-induced liver regeneration. Interrogation of necrotic wound closure and hepatocyte proliferation across multiple timepoints following APAP-induced liver injury in mice demonstrates that wound closure precedes hepatocyte proliferation. Four-dimensional intravital imaging of APAP-induced mouse liver injury identifies motile hepatocytes at the edge of the necrotic area, enabling collective migration of the hepatocyte sheet to effect wound closure. Depletion of hepatocyte ANXA2 reduces hepatocyte growth factor-induced human and mouse hepatocyte migration in vitro, and abrogates necrotic wound closure following APAP-induced mouse liver injury. Together, our work dissects unanticipated aspects of liver regeneration, demonstrating an uncoupling of wound closure and hepatocyte proliferation and uncovering a novel migratory hepatocyte subpopulation that mediates wound closure following liver injury. Therapies designed to promote rapid reconstitution of normal hepatic microarchitecture and reparation of the gut-liver barrier may advance new areas of therapeutic discovery in regenerative medicine.


Asunto(s)
Fallo Hepático Agudo , Regeneración Hepática , Animales , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Ratones , Acetaminofén/farmacología , Linaje de la Célula , Movimiento Celular/efectos de los fármacos , Proliferación Celular/efectos de los fármacos , Enfermedad Hepática Inducida por Sustancias y Drogas/patología , Modelos Animales de Enfermedad , Factor de Crecimiento de Hepatocito/metabolismo , Factor de Crecimiento de Hepatocito/farmacología , Hepatocitos/citología , Hepatocitos/efectos de los fármacos , Hepatocitos/metabolismo , Hepatocitos/patología , Hígado/citología , Hígado/efectos de los fármacos , Hígado/patología , Fallo Hepático Agudo/patología , Fallo Hepático Agudo/inducido químicamente , Regeneración Hepática/efectos de los fármacos , Ratones Endogámicos C57BL , Necrosis/inducido químicamente , Medicina Regenerativa , Análisis de Expresión Génica de una Sola Célula , Cicatrización de Heridas
2.
NEJM Evid ; 1(9): EVIDoa2200145, 2022 Sep.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38319812

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Sabizabulin is an oral, novel microtubule disruptor that has dual antiviral and anti-inflammatory activities in preclinical models. METHODS: A randomized, multicenter placebo-controlled phase 3 clinical trial was conducted with hospitalized patients with moderate to severe Covid-19 who were at high risk for acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) and death. Patients were randomly assigned (2:1) to 9 mg of oral sabizabulin or placebo daily (up to 21 days). The primary end point was all-cause mortality up to day 60. Key secondary end points were days in the intensive care unit (ICU), days on mechanical ventilation, and days in the hospital. RESULTS: A total of 204 patients were randomly assigned to treatment: 134 to sabizabulin and 70 to placebo. Baseline characteristics were similar. Sabizabulin superiority was demonstrated by a planned interim analysis for the first 150 randomized patients. Sabizabulin treatment resulted in a 24.9 percentage point absolute reduction and a 55.2% relative reduction in deaths compared with placebo (odds ratio, 3.23; 95% CI confidence interval, 1.45 to 7.22; P=0.0042). The mortality rate was 20.2% (19 of 94) for sabizabulin versus 45.1% (23 of 51) for placebo. For the key secondary end points, sabizabulin treatment resulted in a 43% relative reduction in ICU days (P=0.0013), a 49% relative reduction in days on mechanical ventilation (P=0.0013), and a 26% relative reduction in days in the hospital (P=0.0277) versus placebo. Adverse and serious adverse events were lower in the sabizabulin group compared with the placebo group. CONCLUSIONS: Sabizabulin treatment resulted in a 24.9% absolute reduction in deaths compared with placebo in hospitalized patients with moderate to severe Covid-19 at high risk for ARDS and death, with a lower incidence of adverse and serious adverse events compared with placebo. (Funded by Veru, Inc.; ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT04842747.)


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Humanos , Ensayos Clínicos Fase III como Asunto , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como Asunto , Adulto
3.
Radiother Oncol ; 145: 146-153, 2020 04.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31981964

RESUMEN

PURPOSE: To evaluate whether the 8th staging system is a better discriminator of overall survival (OS) than the 7th edition for oropharyngeal cancer patients after definitive (chemo)radiotherapy (CRT). MATERIAL AND METHODS: Data from oropharyngeal cancer patients treated with CRT with curative intent between 2010 and 2016 at Guy's and St Thomas' Hospitals were reviewed. Human papillomavirus (HPV) status was ascertained in all cases. Patients were staged using the 7th edition and the 8th edition TNM staging system. Demographics, tumor characteristics and treatment response data were included in univariate and multivariate analysis for OS. OS and disease-free survival (DFS) were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. In addition, a multivariate survival Cox regression analysis of several clinical variables was performed. RESULTS: A total of 273 patients were included. The median follow-up was 4.7 years. Overall 63 patients died. In multivariate analysis, HPV status, complete response at 3 months and ≤21 units/week alcohol were prognostic for OS. For the entire cohort, the 5-year OS and DFS rates were 78.1% (95% confidence interval CI 0.719-0.831) and 73.9% (95% CI 0.677-0.792), respectively. Better stratification of OS and DFS was recorded by 8th edition for the entire cohort. In HPV-positive cases, risk stratification based on tobacco smoking and nodal stage resulted in statistically higher discrimination in OS rates (5-year OS 90.7% in low risk patients and 84.6% in intermediate risk, p = 0.05) and DFS rates (5-year DFS 91.5% in low risk and 76.1% in intermediate risk, p = 0.001). CONCLUSION: The 8th edition TNM staging system provides better OS stratification in oropharyngeal cancer after definitive CRT compared with the 7th edition. Other clinical variables, such as complete response at 3 months, alcohol and tobacco smoking, should also be considered in future classifications as they provide additional risk stratification information in both HPV-positive and HPV-negative disease.


Asunto(s)
Neoplasias de Cabeza y Cuello , Neoplasias Orofaríngeas , Humanos , Estadificación de Neoplasias , Neoplasias Orofaríngeas/patología , Neoplasias Orofaríngeas/terapia , Pronóstico , Estudios Retrospectivos , Carcinoma de Células Escamosas de Cabeza y Cuello
4.
Clin Oncol (R Coll Radiol) ; 32(2): 121-130, 2020 02.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31662220

RESUMEN

AIMS: Although cisplatin-fluoropyrimidine-based definitive chemoradiotherapy (dCRT) is a standard of care for oesophageal cancer, toxicity is significant and limits its use in elderly and frail patients. Weekly carboplatin-paclitaxel-based dCRT provides a viable alternative, although prospective data are lacking in the dCRT setting. Here we report the results of a national, multicentre retrospective review of outcome in patients treated with weekly carboplatin-paclitaxel-based dCRT. MATERIALS AND METHODS: In this multicentre retrospective study of nine radiotherapy centres across the UK we evaluated the outcome of patients who had non-metastatic, histologically confirmed carcinoma of the oesophagus (adenocarcinoma, squamous cell or undifferentiated; World Health Organization performance status 0-2; stage I-III disease) and had been selected to receive weekly carboplatin-paclitaxel-based dCRT as they were considered not suitable for cisplatin-fluoropyrimidine-based dCRT. dCRT consisted of carboplatin AUC 2 and paclitaxel 50 mg/m2 (days 1, 8, 15, 22, 29) and the recommended radiation dose was 50 Gy in 25 daily fractions. We assessed overall survival, progression-free survival (PFS; overall, local and distant), proportion of patients who were failure free at the response assessment (12 weeks after dCRT), treatment compliance and toxicity. RESULTS: In total, 214 patients from nine UK centres were treated between 15 February 2013 and 19 March 2019: 39.7% of patients were ≥75 years; 18.7% ≥ 80 years. Indications for weekly carboplatin-paclitaxel-based dCRT were comorbidities (47.2%), clinician choice (36.4%) and poor tolerance/progression on cisplatin-fluoropyrimidine induction chemotherapy (15.8%). The median overall survival was 24.28 months (95% confidence interval 20.07-30.09) and the median PFS was 16.33 months (95% confidence interval 14.29-20.96). Following treatment, 69.1% (96/139) had a combined complete response on endoscopy with non-progression (complete response/partial response/stable disease) on imaging. The 1- and 2-year overall survival rates for this patient group were 81.9% (95% confidence interval 75.6-86.8%) and 50.6% (95% confidence interval 40.5-60.0%), respectively. Thirty-three per cent (n = 70) of patients experienced at least one grade 3 + acute toxicity (grade 3/4 haematological: 10%; grade 3/4 non-haematological: 32%) and there were no treatment-related deaths. 86.9% of patients completed at least four cycles of concomitant weekly carboplatin-paclitaxel-based chemotherapy and planned radiotherapy was completed in 97.7% (209/214). CONCLUSION: Weekly carboplatin-paclitaxel-based CRT seems to be well tolerated in elderly patients and in those with comorbidities, where cisplatin-fluoropyrimidine-based dCRT is contraindicated. Survival outcomes are comparable with cisplatin-fluoropyrimidine-based dCRT.


Asunto(s)
Carboplatino/uso terapéutico , Quimioradioterapia/métodos , Neoplasias Esofágicas/tratamiento farmacológico , Neoplasias Esofágicas/radioterapia , Paclitaxel/uso terapéutico , Platino (Metal)/uso terapéutico , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Protocolos de Quimioterapia Combinada Antineoplásica/uso terapéutico , Carboplatino/farmacología , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Paclitaxel/farmacología , Platino (Metal)/farmacología , Estudios Prospectivos , Estudios Retrospectivos
5.
Home Health Care Serv Q ; 38(3): 194-208, 2019.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31060448

RESUMEN

Consumers prefer home and community-based long-term care (LTC) services (HCBS) but lack information on those services. We examined the use of community health workers (CHWs) to find and help Medicaid beneficiaries with unmet LTC needs access HCBS compared to standard HCBS outreach approaches. We found that CHWs were very effective at finding persons with greater needs and were better able to help them access a greater range of HCBS services. We also found that five times fewer HCBS beneficiaries helped by CHWs had to use nursing home care services than those not helped by the CHWs despite the fact that their health status was poorer than those not helped by the CHWs. Our study provides evidence of the effectiveness of CHWs for HCBS service awareness and navigation.


Asunto(s)
Servicios de Salud Comunitaria/estadística & datos numéricos , Agentes Comunitarios de Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Personas con Discapacidad/rehabilitación , Servicios de Atención de Salud a Domicilio/estadística & datos numéricos , Cuidados a Largo Plazo/estadística & datos numéricos , Derivación y Consulta/estadística & datos numéricos , Adulto , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Medicaid , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estados Unidos
6.
JAMA ; 321(16): 1598-1609, 2019 04 23.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31012935

RESUMEN

Importance: Low birth weight and preterm birth are associated with adverse consequences including increased risk of infant mortality and chronic health conditions. Black infants are more likely than white infants to be born prematurely, which has been associated with disparities in infant mortality and other chronic conditions. Objective: To evaluate whether Medicaid expansion was associated with changes in rates of low birth weight and preterm birth outcomes, both overall and by race/ethnicity. Design, Setting, and Participants: Using US population-based data from the National Center for Health Statistics Birth Data Files (2011-2016), difference-in-differences (DID) and difference-in-difference-in-differences (DDD) models were estimated using multivariable linear probability regressions to compare birth outcomes among infants in Medicaid expansion states relative to non-Medicaid expansion states and changes in relative disparities among racial/ethnic minorities for singleton live births to women aged 19 years and older. Exposures: State Medicaid expansion status and racial/ethnic category. Main Outcomes and Measures: Preterm birth (<37 weeks' gestation), very preterm birth (<32 weeks' gestation), low birth weight (<2500 g), and very low birth weight (<1500 g). Results: The final sample of 15 631 174 births (white infants: 8 244 924, black infants: 2 201 658, and Hispanic infants: 3 944 665) came from the District of Columbia and 18 states that expanded Medicaid (n = 8 530 751) and 17 states that did not (n = 7 100 423). In the DID analyses, there were no significant changes in preterm birth in expansion relative to nonexpansion states (preexpansion to postexpansion period, 6.80% to 6.67% [difference: -0.12] vs 7.86% to 7.78% [difference: -0.08]; adjusted DID: 0.00 percentage points [95% CI, -0.14 to 0.15], P = .98), very preterm birth (0.87% to 0.83% [difference: -0.04] vs 1.02% to 1.03% [difference: 0.01]; adjusted DID: -0.02 percentage points [95% CI, -0.05 to 0.02], P = .37), low birth weight (5.41% to 5.36% [difference: -0.05] vs 6.06% to 6.18% [difference: 0.11]; adjusted DID: -0.08 percentage points [95% CI, -0.20 to 0.04], P = .20), or very low birth weight (0.76% to 0.72% [difference: -0.03] vs 0.88% to 0.90% [difference: 0.02]; adjusted DID: -0.03 percentage points [95% CI, -0.06 to 0.01], P = .14). Disparities for black infants relative to white infants in Medicaid expansion states compared with nonexpansion states declined for all 4 outcomes, indicated by a negative DDD coefficient for preterm birth (-0.43 percentage points [95% CI, -0.84 to -0.02], P = .05), very preterm birth (-0.14 percentage points [95% CI, -0.26 to -0.02], P = .03), low birth weight (-0.53 percentage points [95% CI, -0.96 to -0.10], P = .02), and very low birth weight (-0.13 percentage points [95% CI, -0.25 to -0.01], P = .04). There were no changes in relative disparities for Hispanic infants. Conclusions and Relevance: Based on data from 2011-2016, state Medicaid expansion was not significantly associated with differences in rates of low birth weight or preterm birth outcomes overall, although there were significant improvements in relative disparities for black infants compared with white infants in states that expanded Medicaid vs those that did not.


Asunto(s)
Disparidades en el Estado de Salud , Recién Nacido de Bajo Peso , Cobertura del Seguro , Medicaid , Nacimiento Prematuro , Femenino , Hispánicos o Latinos , Humanos , Recién Nacido , Modelos Lineales , Masculino , Grupos Raciales , Gobierno Estatal , Estados Unidos
7.
Public Health Rep ; 133(3): 294-302, 2018.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29620480

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: The high concentration of smokers among subgroups targeted by the Affordable Care Act and the historically worse health and lower access to health care among smokers warrants an evaluation of how Medicaid expansion affects smokers. We evaluated the impact of Medicaid expansion on smoking behavior, access to health care, and health of low-income adults, and we compared outcomes of all low-income people with outcomes of low-income current smokers by states' Medicaid expansion status. METHODS: We obtained data from the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (2011-2016) for low-income adults aged 18-64. We estimated multivariable linear ordinary least squares probability models using a quasi-experimental difference-in-difference approach to compare smoking behavior, access to health care, and health between people in expansion states and nonexpansion states and, specifically, on low-income adults and the subgroup of low-income current smokers. RESULTS: Compared with low-income smokers in nonexpansion states, low-income smokers in expansion states were 7.6 percentage points (95% confidence interval [CI], 5.7-9.6; P < .001) more likely to have health insurance, 3.2 percentage points (95% CI, 1.3-5.2; P = .001) more likely to report good or better health, and 2.0 percentage points (95% CI, -3.9 to -0.1; P = .044) less likely to have cost-related barriers to care. Health and insurance gains among current smokers in expansion states were larger relative to health gains (1.6 percentage points; 95% CI, 0.5-2.7; P = .003) and insurance gains (4.6 percentage points; 95% CI, 3.5-5.8; P < .001) of all low-income adults in these states. CONCLUSIONS: Greater improvements among low-income smokers in Medicaid expansion states compared with nonexpansion states could influence future smoking behaviors and warrant longer-term monitoring. Additionally, health and insurance gains among low-income smokers in expansion states suggest the potential for Medicaid expansion to improve health among smokers compared with nonsmokers.


Asunto(s)
Estado de Salud , Cobertura del Seguro/estadística & datos numéricos , Seguro de Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Medicaid/estadística & datos numéricos , Fumadores/estadística & datos numéricos , Adolescente , Adulto , Sistema de Vigilancia de Factor de Riesgo Conductual , Femenino , Accesibilidad a los Servicios de Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act/legislación & jurisprudencia , Pobreza , Estados Unidos , Adulto Joven
8.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 115(14): 3529-3537, 2018 04 03.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29555739

RESUMEN

Population numbers at local levels are fundamental data for many applications, including the delivery and planning of services, election preparation, and response to disasters. In resource-poor settings, recent and reliable demographic data at subnational scales can often be lacking. National population and housing census data can be outdated, inaccurate, or missing key groups or areas, while registry data are generally lacking or incomplete. Moreover, at local scales accurate boundary data are often limited, and high rates of migration and urban growth make existing data quickly outdated. Here we review past and ongoing work aimed at producing spatially disaggregated local-scale population estimates, and discuss how new technologies are now enabling robust and cost-effective solutions. Recent advances in the availability of detailed satellite imagery, geopositioning tools for field surveys, statistical methods, and computational power are enabling the development and application of approaches that can estimate population distributions at fine spatial scales across entire countries in the absence of census data. We outline the potential of such approaches as well as their limitations, emphasizing the political and operational hurdles for acceptance and sustainable implementation of new approaches, and the continued importance of traditional sources of national statistical data.


Asunto(s)
Censos , Emigrantes e Inmigrantes/estadística & datos numéricos , Vivienda , Modelos Teóricos , Densidad de Población , Dinámica Poblacional , Países en Desarrollo , Humanos
9.
Genes Brain Behav ; 17(6): e12429, 2018 07.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29045054

RESUMEN

The identification of novel genetic modifiers of age-at-onset (AAO) of Alzheimer's disease (AD) could advance our understanding of AD and provide novel therapeutic targets. A previous genome scan for modifiers of AAO among families affected by early-onset AD caused by the PSEN2 N141I variant identified 2 loci with significant evidence for linkage: 1q23.3 and 17p13.2. Here, we describe the fine-mapping of these 2 linkage regions, and test for replication in 6 independent datasets. By fine-mapping these linkage signals in a single large family, we reduced the linkage regions to 11% their original size and nominated 54 candidate variants. Among the 11 variants associated with AAO of AD in a larger sample of Germans from Russia, the strongest evidence implicated promoter variants influencing NCSTN on 1q23.3 and ZBTB4 on 17p13.2. The association between ZBTB4 and AAO of AD was replicated by multiple variants in independent, trans-ethnic datasets. Our results show association between AAO of AD and both ZBTB4 and NCSTN. ZBTB4 is a transcriptional repressor that regulates the cell cycle, including the apoptotic response to amyloid beta, while NCSTN is part of the gamma secretase complex, known to influence amyloid beta production. These genes therefore suggest important roles for amyloid beta and cell cycle pathways in AAO of AD.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedad de Alzheimer/genética , Proteínas Represoras/genética , Edad de Inicio , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Enfermedad de Alzheimer/metabolismo , Secretasas de la Proteína Precursora del Amiloide/genética , Secretasas de la Proteína Precursora del Amiloide/metabolismo , Mapeo Cromosómico/métodos , Femenino , Ligamiento Genético , Predisposición Genética a la Enfermedad , Variación Genética , Genotipo , Humanos , Masculino , Glicoproteínas de Membrana/genética , Glicoproteínas de Membrana/metabolismo , Regiones Promotoras Genéticas , Proteínas Represoras/metabolismo
10.
Med Care ; 55(11): 924-930, 2017 11.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29028756

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Previous studies showed that the Hospital Readmissions Reduction Program (HRRP) and the Hospital Value-based Purchasing Program (HVBP) disproportionately penalized hospitals caring for the poor. The Mississippi Delta Region (Delta Region) is among the most socioeconomically disadvantaged areas in the United States. The financial performance of hospitals in the Delta Region under both HRRP and HVBP remains unclear. OBJECTIVE: To compare the differences in financial performance under both HRRP and HVBP between hospitals in the Delta Region (Delta hospitals) and others in the nation (non-Delta hospitals). RESEARCH DESIGN: We used a 7-year panel dataset and applied difference-in-difference models to examine operating and total margin between Delta and non-Delta hospitals in 3 time periods: preperiod (2008-2010); postperiod 1 (2011-2012); and postperiod 2 (2013-2014). RESULTS: The Delta hospitals had a 0.89% and 4.24% reduction in operating margin in postperiods 1 and 2, respectively, whereas the non-Delta hospitals had 1.13% and 1% increases in operating margin in postperiods 1 and 2, respectively. The disparity in total margins also widened as Delta hospitals had a 1.98% increase in postperiod 1, but a 0.30% reduction in postperiod 2, whereas non-Delta hospitals had 1.27% and 2.28% increases in postperiods 1 and 2, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The gap in financial performance between Delta and non-Delta hospitals widened following the implementation of HRRP and HVBP. Policy makers should modify these 2 programs to ensure that resources are not moved from the communities that need them most.


Asunto(s)
Economía Hospitalaria/organización & administración , Programas de Gobierno/estadística & datos numéricos , Readmisión del Paciente/economía , Evaluación de Programas y Proyectos de Salud/economía , Compra Basada en Calidad/economía , Programas de Gobierno/métodos , Humanos , Mississippi , Estados Unidos
11.
J R Soc Interface ; 14(129)2017 04.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28381641

RESUMEN

Improved understanding of geographical variation and inequity in health status, wealth and access to resources within countries is increasingly being recognized as central to meeting development goals. Development and health indicators assessed at national or subnational scale can often conceal important inequities, with the rural poor often least well represented. The ability to target limited resources is fundamental, especially in an international context where funding for health and development comes under pressure. This has recently prompted the exploration of the potential of spatial interpolation methods based on geolocated clusters from national household survey data for the high-resolution mapping of features such as population age structures, vaccination coverage and access to sanitation. It remains unclear, however, how predictable these different factors are across different settings, variables and between demographic groups. Here we test the accuracy of spatial interpolation methods in producing gender-disaggregated high-resolution maps of the rates of literacy, stunting and the use of modern contraceptive methods from a combination of geolocated demographic and health surveys cluster data and geospatial covariates. Bayesian geostatistical and machine learning modelling methods were tested across four low-income countries and varying gridded environmental and socio-economic covariate datasets to build 1×1 km spatial resolution maps with uncertainty estimates. Results show the potential of the approach in producing high-resolution maps of key gender-disaggregated socio-economic indicators, with explained variance through cross-validation being as high as 74-75% for female literacy in Nigeria and Kenya, and in the 50-70% range for many other variables. However, substantial variations by both country and variable were seen, with many variables showing poor mapping accuracies in the range of 2-30% explained variance using both geostatistical and machine learning approaches. The analyses offer a robust basis for the construction of timely maps with levels of detail that support geographically stratified decision-making and the monitoring of progress towards development goals. However, the great variability in results between countries and variables highlights the challenges in applying these interpolation methods universally across multiple countries, and the importance of validation and quantifying uncertainty if this is undertaken.


Asunto(s)
Simulación por Computador , Demografía , Alfabetización/estadística & datos numéricos , Adolescente , Adulto , Teorema de Bayes , Conducta Anticonceptiva/estadística & datos numéricos , Femenino , Mapeo Geográfico , Trastornos del Crecimiento/epidemiología , Humanos , Kenia/epidemiología , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Redes Neurales de la Computación , Nigeria/epidemiología , Estado Nutricional , Pobreza , Población Rural , Saneamiento , Factores Sexuales , Factores Socioeconómicos , Análisis Espacial
12.
Acta Oncol ; 56(5): 646-652, 2017 May.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28301974

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Optimal initial management of rectal carcinoma with synchronous metastases (RCSM) is controversial - both for patients being treated with curative and palliative intent. This study aims to evaluate the use of an upfront treatment strategy combining FOLFOX chemotherapy with split-course pelvic chemoradiation (FOLFOX + CRT) for patients with RCSM. MATERIAL AND METHODS: An analysis of all patients who commenced treatment with FOLFOX + CRT at our institutions between January 2009 and June 2014 was performed. The regimen consisted of a total of 12 weeks of treatment with split-course pelvic chemoradiation (50.4Gy with concurrent oxaliplatin and 5-FU) alternating with FOLFOX chemotherapy. Restaging imaging was performed following treatment, with subsequent management as per local standard of care. RESULTS: 78 patients (15 with resectable liver-only metastases) were identified. 77 (99%) completed at least 45Gy of radiation and 87% completed ≥75% of planned dose intensity of both oxaliplatin and 5FU. Two (2.6%) patients died within 30 days of treatment. Rates of radiological complete or partial response for local and metastatic disease were 90% and 66%, respectively. 24% patients had radiological disease progression of metastatic disease. Median overall survival for patients with unresectable metastatic disease at baseline was 23 months (95%CI: 19-28). 12 patients underwent radical surgery to both the rectum and liver and had an estimated 3-year overall survival rate of 62% (95%CI: 37-100). For those patients who did not proceed to rectal surgery, only 7% required palliative re-irradiation or surgery at a later date and all >20months from initial treatment. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with unresectable metastatic disease, FOLFOX + CRT provides durable pelvic control for the majority without the need for additional local treatment. For patients with an advanced primary tumor and synchronous resectable liver-only metastases, FOLFOX + CRT can be considered a feasible and tolerable upfront treatment option.


Asunto(s)
Protocolos de Quimioterapia Combinada Antineoplásica/uso terapéutico , Quimioradioterapia , Neoplasias Primarias Múltiples/terapia , Neoplasias del Recto/terapia , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Femenino , Fluorouracilo/administración & dosificación , Estudios de Seguimiento , Humanos , Leucovorina/administración & dosificación , Metástasis Linfática , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Neoplasias Primarias Múltiples/secundario , Compuestos Organoplatinos/administración & dosificación , Oxaliplatino , Pronóstico , Neoplasias del Recto/patología , Estudios Retrospectivos , Tasa de Supervivencia
13.
Clin Otolaryngol ; 42(1): 115-122, 2017 Feb.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27185284

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: To analyse survival and toxicity outcomes in patients treated with primary intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) for oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) in the era of routine human papilloma virus (HPV) testing. DESIGN: Single-institution case series. SETTING: Tertiary Head and Neck Cancer Unit. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 186 patients received IMRT (+/- chemotherapy) for radical primary treatment of OPSCC between March 2010 and December 2013. HPV status was available for 88% of cases. Median radiation dose was 65 Gy in 30 daily fractions. 90% of stage III/IV patients received concurrent chemotherapy or cetuximab. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Overall, disease-free and disease-specific survival; rates of late xerostomia and dysphagia. RESULTS: A total of 177 patients completed treatment (Stage I/II: 23; Stage III/IV: 154), with median follow-up of 26 months. Estimated 3-year overall survival (OS), disease-free survival (DFS) and disease-specific survival (DSS) rates were 77.2% (70.5-83.9), 72.3% (65.4-79.2) and 80.2% (74.1-86.3). Estimated 3-year OS, DFS and DSS for HPV-positive patients were 90.9% (85.2-96.6), 87.9% (81.4-94.4) and 91.8% (86.3-97.3). A previously identified risk stratification method was validated, showing improved OS for low-risk over high-risk patients (HR 0.09, P < 0.001). The 2-year feeding tube retention rate was 6%, and 2-year grade ≥2 xerostomia rate was 38% (23% if mean contralateral parotid dose <24 Gy). CONCLUSIONS: Outcomes with IMRT are favourable, particularly in the HPV-positive patient group. This data further supports the use of a previously described prognostication model that can be used to select patients for escalation/de-escalation clinical trials.


Asunto(s)
Carcinoma de Células Escamosas/terapia , Trastornos de Deglución/epidemiología , Neoplasias Orofaríngeas/terapia , Radioterapia de Intensidad Modulada/efectos adversos , Xerostomía/epidemiología , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Carcinoma de Células Escamosas/mortalidad , Quimioterapia Adyuvante , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Neoplasias Orofaríngeas/mortalidad , Estudios Retrospectivos , Tasa de Supervivencia , Resultado del Tratamiento , Reino Unido
14.
Paediatr Perinat Epidemiol ; 30(1): 67-75, 2016 Jan.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26480292

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: There is a growing body of research documenting an increased risk of neonatal morbidity for late preterm infants (LPI, 34(0/7) weeks to 36(6/7) weeks) and early term infants (ETI, 37(0/7) weeks to 38(6/7) weeks) compared with term infants (TI, 39(0/7) to 41(6/7) ); however, there has been little research on outcomes beyond the first year of life. In this study, we examined respiratory outcomes of LPI and ETI in early childhood. METHODS: South Carolina Medicaid claims data for maternal delivery and infant birth hospitalisations were linked to vital records data for the years 2000 through 2003. Medicaid claims for all infants were then followed until their fifth birthday or until a break in their eligibility. Infants born between 34(0/7) and 41(6/7) weeks were eligible. Infants with congenital anomaly, birthweight below 500 g or above 6000 g, and multiple births were excluded. We fit Cox proportional hazard models from which adjusted hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) were derived. RESULTS: A total of 3476 LPI, 12 398 ETI, and 25 975 term infants were included. Both LPI and ETI were associated with an increased risk for asthma (LPI: HR 1.24, 95% CI 1.10, 1.40; ETI: HR 1.12, 95% CI 1.06, 1.19), and bronchitis (LPI: HR 1.15, 95% CI 1.00, 1.34; ETI: HR 1.13, 95% CI 1.05, 1.2) at 3 to 5 years of age. CONCLUSIONS: Late preterm infants and early term infants are at increased risk for asthma and bronchitis.


Asunto(s)
Recien Nacido Prematuro , Nacimiento Prematuro , Trastornos Respiratorios/economía , Trastornos Respiratorios/epidemiología , Preescolar , Femenino , Humanos , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Masculino , Medicaid , Embarazo , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Trastornos Respiratorios/etiología , South Carolina/epidemiología , Estados Unidos/epidemiología
15.
J Thorac Cardiovasc Surg ; 150(3): 474-80.e2, 2015 Sep.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26242838

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: The hybrid approach for the initial management of hypoplastic left heart syndrome shifts the risks of major open surgery from the vulnerable neonatal period to an older age. This study determined differences between the hybrid and the standard Norwood procedures in postoperative in-hospital mortality, renal failure, and survival to at least 2 years of age. METHODS: Data from the Pediatric Health Information System, a detailed hospital discharge database of 43 freestanding children's hospitals, were analyzed. The Pediatric Health Information System includes demographic information, diagnosis, and procedure and clinical service data. Instrumental variable regression techniques were used to estimate the predicted probability of in-hospital mortality, renal failure, and survival to 24 months of age for infants with hypoplastic left heart syndrome who received a hybrid or Norwood procedure. The statistical models controlled for demographics and comorbid chromosomal anomalies. RESULTS: A total of 3654 infants with hypoplastic left heart syndrome underwent intervention from 1998 to 2012. Of these, 242 underwent the hybrid approach and the remainder underwent the Norwood procedure. Instrumental variable models showed significantly reduced odds of patients who underwent the hybrid approach being diagnosed with renal failure (adjusted risk ratio [ARR], 0.48; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.26-0.89); increased odds of surviving initial hospitalization (ARR, 1.28; 95% CI, 1.06-1.55); increased odds of survival, indicated by readmissions more than 6 months after initial hospitalization (ARR, 1.53; 95% CI, 1.05-2.22); and a decrease in length of stay by 20 days for the initial surgical hospitalization (95% CI, -27.4 to -13.9). CONCLUSIONS: The short term hospital-based outcomes and longer-term survival outcomes of the hybrid approach for hypoplastic left heart syndrome may be better than those of the Norwood procedure.


Asunto(s)
Síndrome del Corazón Izquierdo Hipoplásico/cirugía , Procedimientos de Norwood , Cuidados Paliativos/métodos , Factores de Edad , Preescolar , Terapia Combinada , Bases de Datos Factuales , Femenino , Mortalidad Hospitalaria , Hospitales Pediátricos , Humanos , Síndrome del Corazón Izquierdo Hipoplásico/diagnóstico , Síndrome del Corazón Izquierdo Hipoplásico/mortalidad , Síndrome del Corazón Izquierdo Hipoplásico/fisiopatología , Lactante , Tiempo de Internación , Modelos Lineales , Masculino , Análisis Multivariante , América del Norte , Procedimientos de Norwood/efectos adversos , Procedimientos de Norwood/mortalidad , Oportunidad Relativa , Insuficiencia Renal/etiología , Factores de Riesgo , Análisis de Supervivencia , Factores de Tiempo , Resultado del Tratamiento
16.
J Perinatol ; 35(8): 660-4, 2015 Aug.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25836321

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: We sought to compare the long-term neurodevelopmental outcomes of late preterm, early term and term infants while controlling for a wide range of maternal complications and comorbidities. STUDY DESIGN: Data for the study was obtained from the South Carolina Medicaid claims and vital records databases from 1 January 2000 to 31 December 2003. We included infants weighing between 1500 and 4500 g, born between 34 0/7 and 41 6/7 weeks, and with no congenital anomalies. Outcome measures were based on the presence of ICD-9-CM codes for attention deficit hyperactivity disorders and developmental speech or language disorders. RESULT: A total of 3270 late preterm (LPIs), 11,527 early term (ETIs) and 24,005 term infants met the eligibility criteria. Rates for all outcome variables were statistically significant and elevated for LPI, but adjusted hazard ratios (AHRs) were only significant for the risk of developmental speech and/or language delay (LPI: AHR 1.36 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.23 to 1.50; ETI: AHR 1.27 95% CI 1.17 to 1.37). CONCLUSION: Late preterm and early term deliveries have adverse long-term neurodevelopmental outcomes, and these outcomes should be considered when determining the timing of delivery.


Asunto(s)
Trastorno por Déficit de Atención con Hiperactividad/epidemiología , Clasificación Internacional de Enfermedades/normas , Trastornos del Desarrollo del Lenguaje/epidemiología , Nacimiento Prematuro/economía , Preescolar , Bases de Datos Factuales , Femenino , Edad Gestacional , Humanos , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Masculino , Análisis Multivariante , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Estudios Retrospectivos , South Carolina , Nacimiento a Término
17.
J R Soc Interface ; 12(105)2015 Apr 06.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25788540

RESUMEN

The age-group composition of populations varies considerably across the world, and obtaining accurate, spatially detailed estimates of numbers of children under 5 years is important in designing vaccination strategies, educational planning or maternal healthcare delivery. Traditionally, such estimates are derived from population censuses, but these can often be unreliable, outdated and of coarse resolution for resource-poor settings. Focusing on Nigeria, we use nationally representative household surveys and their cluster locations to predict the proportion of the under-five population in 1 × 1 km using a Bayesian hierarchical spatio-temporal model. Results showed that land cover, travel time to major settlements, night-time lights and vegetation index were good predictors and that accounting for fine-scale variation, rather than assuming a uniform proportion of under 5 year olds can result in significant differences in health metrics. The largest gaps in estimated bednet and vaccination coverage were in Kano, Katsina and Jigawa. Geolocated household surveys are a valuable resource for providing detailed, contemporary and regularly updated population age-structure data in the absence of recent census data. By combining these with covariate layers, age-structure maps of unprecedented detail can be produced to guide the targeting of interventions in resource-poor settings.


Asunto(s)
Demografía/métodos , Mapeo Geográfico , Planificación en Salud/métodos , Población , Factores de Edad , Teorema de Bayes , Humanos , Nigeria
18.
Phys Rev Lett ; 113(15): 155001, 2014 Oct 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25375712

RESUMEN

Turbulence is widely expected to limit the confinement and, thus, the overall performance of modern neoclassically optimized stellarators. We employ novel petaflop-scale gyrokinetic simulations to predict the distribution of turbulence fluctuations and the related transport scaling on entire stellarator magnetic surfaces and reveal striking differences to tokamaks. Using a stochastic global-search optimization method, we derive the first turbulence-optimized stellarator configuration stemming from an existing quasiomnigenous design.

19.
J Neonatal Perinatal Med ; 7(3): 229-35, 2014 Jan 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25322995

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Patent ductus arteriosus (PDA) occurs in 70% of extremely low birth weight (ELBW, birth weight <1000 g) infants. Approximately 34% of ELBW infants with a PDA have spontaneous closure. Failure of the ductus arteriosus to close has been associated with multiple morbidities. OBJECTIVE: To examine variability over time and across hospitals in early therapeutic (2-7 day) use of indomethacin (INDO) vs ibuprofen (IBU) for PDA treatment in outborn ELBW infants and examine the outcomes and side effects of both pharmacological agents in this population. METHODS: Data were extracted from the Pediatric Health Information System. ELBW infants born between January 1, 2007 and December 31, 2010 and admitted on day of life 0 were eligible for inclusion. 732 infants had a PDA diagnosis and met inclusion criteria. We explored the variability in PDA pharmacotherapy over time and across hospitals. We compared outcomes of both agents for in-hospital mortality, need for surgical ligation, intraventricular hemorrhage, necrotizing enterocolitis, bronchopulmonary dysplasia, periventricular leukomalacia, renal failure, and persistent pulmonary hypertension. Statistical methods included chi square and multivariable regression analysis. Instrumental variable analysis was used to control for selection bias and omitted variables. RESULTS: There was large variability in PDA pharmacotherapy over time and across hospitals. INDO use declined as IBU use grew from 12.8 to 38.9%. There was no difference in hospital or NICU characteristics between high and low IBU using NICUs. Renal failure was more common in infants receiving INDO compared to IBU. CONCLUSION: We noted large variability in PDA pharmacotherapy. Renal failure was more common with INDO use. Until further studies to compare the long-term effects of both drugs, our data support IBU as the preferred medication for PDA pharmacotherapy in ELBW infants.


Asunto(s)
Inhibidores de la Ciclooxigenasa/uso terapéutico , Conducto Arterioso Permeable/tratamiento farmacológico , Ibuprofeno/uso terapéutico , Indometacina/uso terapéutico , Recien Nacido con Peso al Nacer Extremadamente Bajo , Enfermedades del Prematuro/tratamiento farmacológico , Estudios de Cohortes , Femenino , Humanos , Recién Nacido , Recien Nacido Prematuro , Masculino , Análisis de Regresión , Estudios Retrospectivos , Resultado del Tratamiento
20.
J Ark Med Soc ; 110(10): 206-8, 2014 Mar.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24720006

RESUMEN

The incidence of macrosomia in Arkansas was relatively unchanged from 2004 to 2010 with the incidence being 7.7%. Some risk factors identified through the analysis of hospital discharge data include male fetus, gestational age, maternal weight gain during pregnancy, and pregestational and gestational diabetes.


Asunto(s)
Peso al Nacer , Diabetes Gestacional/epidemiología , Macrosomía Fetal/epidemiología , Arkansas/epidemiología , Femenino , Humanos , Incidencia , Recién Nacido , Masculino , Embarazo , Factores de Riesgo
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