Can polygenic risk scores help explain disease prevalence differences around the world? A worldwide investigation.

Complex disorders are caused by a combination of genetic, environmental and lifestyle factors, and their prevalence can vary greatly across different populations. The extent to which genetic risk, as identified by Genome Wide Association Study (GWAS), correlates to disease prevalence in different populations has not been investigated systematically. Here, we studied 14 different complex disorders and explored whether polygenic risk scores (PRS) based on current GWAS correlate to disease prevalence within Europe and around the world. A clear variation in GWAS-based genetic risk was observed based on ancestry and we identified populations that have a higher genetic liability for developing certain disorders. We found that for four out of the 14 studied disorders, PRS significantly correlates to disease prevalence within Europe. We also found significant correlations between worldwide disease prevalence and PRS for eight of the studied disorders with Multiple Sclerosis genetic risk having the highest correlation to disease prevalence. Based on current GWAS results, the across population differences in genetic risk for certain disorders can potentially be used to understand differences in disease prevalence and identify populations with the highest genetic liability. The study highlights both the limitations of PRS based on current GWAS but also the fact that in some cases, PRS may already have high predictive power. This could be due to the genetic architecture of specific disorders or increased GWAS power in some cases.

Structure-informed clustering for population stratification in association studies.

BACKGROUND: Identifying variants associated with complex traits is a challenging task in genetic association studies due to linkage disequilibrium (LD) between genetic variants and population stratification, unrelated to the disease risk. Existing methods of population structure correction use principal component analysis or linear mixed models with a random effect when modeling associations between a trait of interest and genetic markers. However, due to stringent significance thresholds and latent interactions between the markers, these methods often fail to detect genuinely associated variants. RESULTS: To overcome this, we propose CluStrat, which corrects for complex arbitrarily structured populations while leveraging the linkage disequilibrium induced distances between genetic markers. It performs an agglomerative hierarchical clustering using the Mahalanobis distance covariance matrix of the markers. In simulation studies, we show that our method outperforms existing methods in detecting true causal variants. Applying CluStrat on WTCCC2 and UK Biobank cohorts, we found biologically relevant associations in Schizophrenia and Myocardial Infarction. CluStrat was also able to correct for population structure in polygenic adaptation of height in Europeans. CONCLUSIONS: CluStrat highlights the advantages of biologically relevant distance metrics, such as the Mahalanobis distance, which captures the cryptic interactions within populations in the presence of LD better than the Euclidean distance.

Modeling acute blood flow responses to a major arterial occlusion.

OBJECTIVE: The development of earlier and less invasive treatments for peripheral arterial disease requires a more complete understanding of vascular responses following a major arterial occlusion. A mechanistic model of the vasculature of the rat hindlimb is developed to predict acute (immediate) changes in vessel diameters and smooth muscle tone following femoral arterial occlusion. METHODS: Vascular responses of collateral arteries and distal arterioles to changes in pressure, shear stress, and metabolism are assessed before and after occlusion. The effects of exercise are also simulated and compared with venous flow measurements from WKY rats. RESULTS: The model identifies collateral arteries as the primary contributors to flow compensation following occlusion. Increasing the number of capillaries has minimal effect on blood flow while increasing the number of collateral arteries significantly increases flow, since the primary site of resistance shifts upstream to the collateral arteries following occlusion. Despite significant collateral dilation, calf flow remains below pre-occlusion levels and the deficit becomes more severe with increased activity. CONCLUSIONS: Although unable to compensate fully for an occlusion, the model demonstrates the importance of the shear response in collateral arteries and the metabolic response in the distal microcirculation in acute adaptations to a major arterial occlusion.

Assessing the hemodynamic contribution of capillaries, arterioles, and collateral arteries to vascular adaptations in arterial insufficiency.

OBJECTIVE: There is currently a lack of clarity regarding which vascular segments contribute most significantly to flow compensation following a major arterial occlusion. This study uses hemodynamic principles and computational modeling to demonstrate the relative contributions of capillaries, arterioles, and collateral arteries at rest or exercise following an abrupt, total, and sustained femoral arterial occlusion. METHODS: The vascular network of the simulated rat hindlimb is based on robust measurements of blood flow and pressure in healthy rats from exercise and training studies. The sensitivity of calf blood flow to acute or chronic vascular adaptations in distinct vessel segments is assessed. RESULTS: The model demonstrates that decreasing the distal microcirculation resistance has almost no effect on flow compensation, while decreasing collateral arterial resistance is necessary to restore resting calf flow following occlusion. Full restoration of non-occluded flow is predicted under resting conditions given all chronic adaptations, but only 75% of non-occluded flow is restored under exercise conditions. CONCLUSION: This computational method establishes the hemodynamic significance of acute and chronic adaptations in the microvasculature and collateral arteries under rest and exercise conditions. Regardless of the metabolic level being simulated, this study consistently shows the dominating significance of collateral vessels following an occlusion.